Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 14, 2025, 09:56 UTC)

---

Updated Situation

The operational landscape continues to be marked by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, ongoing widespread Russian aerial and missile activity, and a complex interplay of diplomatic initiatives and information operations. Recent significant developments include the claimed liberation of Mykhailivka in the Donetsk People's Republic by Russian forces and updated figures on Russian and Ukrainian losses from the Russian Ministry of Defense. Discussions around potential peace negotiations persist, with Russia signaling readiness for talks in Istanbul but reiterating preconditions, while Ukraine emphasizes its willingness to engage directly with Putin. International support for Ukraine continues, with details emerging on the latest EU sanctions package targeting entities involved in sanctions circumvention and ongoing financial aid utilizing frozen Russian assets. Internal Russian issues such as legal proceedings, concerns about veteran support, and alleged military misconduct are also reported. Ukraine is making strides in bolstering its domestic defense production through international partnerships and is reportedly exploring measures to increase the pool of potential military personnel. The conflict's impact on civilian populations in both Ukraine and Russia is highlighted by reports of casualties and disruptions.

Key Updates from Latest Messages:

• Russian Ministry of Defense Briefing: ТАСС and MoD Russia provide highlights from the latest Russian Ministry of Defense briefing. Key claims include:
  • Ukrainian forces lost approximately 1,390 military personnel, 2 tanks, and 11 field artillery pieces in the past 24 hours.
  • Russian forces struck military airfields, an unmanned surface vehicle storage location, ammunition depots, and temporary deployment areas of Ukrainian units and foreign mercenaries in 141 areas.
  • Units of the "Zapad" Group of Forces inflicted losses on formations of six Ukrainian brigades and the "Stugna" Special Operations Detachment.
  • Russian air defense systems shot down 5 JDAM guided aerial bombs, a HIMARS MLRS projectile, and 162 Ukrainian fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles in the past 24 hours.
  • Units of the "Tsentr" Group of Forces liberated the settlement of Mikhaylovka (Donetsk People's Republic). This is a confirmed claim from the Russian Ministry of Defense regarding a territorial gain.
  • Specific claimed Ukrainian losses are detailed for the Sever, Zapad, Yug, Tsentr, Vostok, and Dnepr Groups of Forces, including personnel, tanks, armored fighting vehicles, motor vehicles, artillery guns, MLRS launchers, electronic warfare stations, electronic reconnaissance stations, materiel depots, and ammunition depots.
  • Cumulative statistics since the beginning of the "special military operation" are provided for destroyed Ukrainian aircraft, helicopters, unmanned aerial vehicles, anti-aircraft missile systems, tanks and armored fighting vehicles, MLRS combat vehicles, field artillery guns and mortars, and support military vehicles.
• Details on Trump's Meeting with Syrian Leader: Оперативний ЗСУ provides details on the reported demands made by former US President Trump to Syrian President Ahmed al-Shar'a during their meeting in Saudi Arabia. These include signing Abraham Accords with Israel, ordering all foreign terrorists to leave Syria, deporting Palestinian terrorists, helping the US prevent ISIS resurgence, and taking responsibility for ISIS detention centers in northeastern Syria. The report also notes that the Syrian president reportedly invited American companies to invest in Syrian oil and gas. This provides further insight into a significant international diplomatic development with potential implications for the broader Middle East region.
• STERNENKO's Fundraising for Drones: STERNENKO shares information and instructions on how to support a fundraising initiative called "RUSORIZ" through Monobank, specifically aimed at purchasing FPV drones for the Ukrainian military. The initiative has raised a significant amount of funds (over 1.4 million UAH currently available, over 175 million UAH withdrawn) and involves a large number of participants (over 176 thousand). The stated goal is to buy at least 300 drones per day. This highlights the significant role of FPV drones in Ukrainian military operations and the extensive civilian support for their acquisition.
• Dmitry Peskov's Briefing: ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» provide highlights from Dmitry Peskov's briefing. Key statements include:
  • The composition of the Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks will be announced when instructed by the president, and Russia will wait for the Ukrainian side on Thursday.
  • Statements made by Putin on the night of May 10-11 remain relevant.
  • The system of strategic stability and security in the world is in a deplorable state.
  • The spread of nuclear weapons in the EU will not add to the security and stability of the European continent.
  • Significant efforts by nuclear-armed states are needed to form strategic security.
  • Putin has several phone calls scheduled for the evening and will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia with a subsequent press statement.
  • Details on possible contacts between Putin and the President of Brazil will be provided if agreed upon.
  • The exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but an invitation exists.
  • Kremlin will inform about potential contacts between Putin and Lula da Silva if agreed upon.
  • The Russian delegation composition for Istanbul will be announced when instructed by the president, and Russia will wait for the Ukrainian side on Thursday.
  • All of Putin's statements from the night of May 10-11 remain relevant.
  • The system of strategic security in Europe is in a deplorable state.
  • Significant efforts are needed by nuclear-armed states to form the architecture of strategic security in Europe.
  • The spread of nuclear weapons in Europe will not add to the security of the European continent.
  • Precise dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but an existing invitation remains.
  • Putin will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, followed by a statement to the media.
  • Putin has several phone conversations scheduled for the afternoon.
  • The Kremlin will provide information on potential contacts between Putin and Brazilian President Lula da Silva if they are agreed upon.
  • The architecture of strategic security in Europe is in a deplorable state.
  • Countries with nuclear weapons need to make significant efforts to form the architecture of strategic security in Europe.
  • The spread of nuclear weapons in Europe will not increase the security of the European continent.
  • The exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but there is an existing invitation to visit the country.
  • Putin has several telephone conversations scheduled for the evening.
  • Putin will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, followed by a media statement.
  • The Kremlin will inform about possible contacts between Putin and the President of Brazil if they are coordinated.
  • The architecture of strategic security in Europe is currently in a deplorable state.
  • Nuclear-armed countries will need to make significant efforts to shape the architecture of strategic security in Europe.
  • The proliferation of nuclear weapons in Europe will not enhance the security of the European continent.
  • The exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran have not yet been agreed upon, but a valid invitation to visit the country exists.
• Rybar on EU Security Programs in Turkmenistan: Рыбарь provides commentary and analysis on EU programs aimed at enhancing security in Turkmenistan. He identifies programs like CADAP (Central Asia Drug Action Programme), BOMCA (border management), and LEICA (Law Enforcement in Central Asia) as initiatives focused on reforming law enforcement and border management according to Western standards. He argues that these are attempts by the EU to reformat Central Asian security structures under their control. This highlights geopolitical competition for influence in Central Asia.
• Ukraine's Progress Towards EU Accession: РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian government has approved Roadmaps for opening the first cluster of pre-accession negotiations with the EU. These roadmaps pertain to the rule of law, public administration reform, and the functioning of democratic institutions. The government also approved the negotiating position for the first cluster, "Fundamentals of the EU Accession Process." Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal stated that Ukraine's goals are to open negotiations on all six clusters this year and become an integral part of a united Europe after the war. This signifies a significant step in Ukraine's European integration efforts.
• Ukrainian Underground Reports on Russian Naval Preparations (Mykolaiv): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports, citing the Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv, that the enemy (Russian forces) is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv. They are reportedly accumulating various vessels, including unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. The report mentions the movement of vessels from Mykolaiv towards Ochakiv several times a week, including USVs. This indicates potential Russian naval activity and intentions on the southern front.
• Collection of Aid for Children in Donbas: Народная милиция ДНР is promoting a fundraising effort for children in Donbas and the "special military operation" zone. The initiative, led by Olga Vyazovskaya, aims to help orphans, disabled children, and large families, particularly in the most difficult areas. The post provides contact information and banking details for donations in Russian rubles and various cryptocurrencies. This highlights humanitarian efforts and the continued impact of the conflict on civilians in the affected regions.
• ASTRA on "Golos" Co-Chairman Conviction: ASTRA reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement (recognized as a foreign agent and undesirable organization in Russia), Grigory Melkonyants, has been sentenced to five years in a general regime colony. He was also banned from engaging in public activities for nine years after serving his sentence. The charges relate to the organization of the work of an undesirable organization, with the investigation alleging "Golos" was part of the ENEMO network. ASTRA notes that "Golos" denied interaction with ENEMO after it was declared undesirable and that the association with the same name was liquidated earlier. This confirms a significant legal development in Russia related to the suppression of independent election observers and civil society.
• Russian Claim of Developing "Tyuvik" Attack UAV: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the alleged serial production of a new Russian attack UAV called "Tyuvik," described as a small copy of the "Geran" (Shahed-type drone). The drone is reportedly designed for use directly on the front line, primarily for destroying armored vehicles but also capable of targeting shelters and infantry. It is claimed to be equipped with a homing system and AI to help overcome EW systems. This indicates potential new developments in Russian drone technology and tactics.
• Russian Claim of Liberating Russian POW: ТАСС reports that Russian forces liberated a fellow serviceman who was captured by Ukrainian forces near the settlement of Kotlyarovka. The video shows two Russian servicemen talking to a third person, reportedly the liberated POW, and expressing relief. This highlights ongoing prisoner exchanges or rescue operations, though the context suggests a rescue operation in this specific case.
• Dmitry Peskov on Putin's Schedule and Strategic Security: ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» provide further details from Dmitry Peskov's briefing, focusing on Putin's schedule and statements regarding strategic security. Putin has several phone calls planned for the evening and will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia with a subsequent statement to the media. Potential contacts with the Brazilian President will be announced if agreed upon. Peskov reiterated that the system of strategic stability and security in the world and Europe is in a deplorable state, and significant efforts are needed by nuclear-armed states to form strategic security. He also stated that the spread of nuclear weapons in the EU will not add security to the European continent.
• BUTUSOV PLUS Interview with Andriy Biletsky: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС promotes a large interview with Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Assault Brigade and newly appointed head of the Third Army Corps. The interview discusses his 11-year journey, the liberation of Kharkiv, details of the new corps formation and principles of command, and why the Avdiivka campaign is his greatest pride. This provides insight into the structure and leadership of a new high-level Ukrainian military formation and strategic perspectives from a prominent Ukrainian commander.
• Internal Russian Criminal Case (Makhachkala Airport Riot): ТАСС reports that a court has sentenced four participants in the Makhachkala airport riots to 10 years in a general regime colony. This indicates ongoing legal consequences for those involved in the unrest at the airport.
• Nomenclature of Military Units: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a photo of a Ukrainian BTR-4E "Buchephalus" of the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade. This provides information on the specific military units and equipment in operation on the Ukrainian side. Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction. This indicates the presence and operations of this unit in that area.
• Russian Claims of Advances and Territorial Control (Map Overlays): Colonelcassad shares map overlays with claimed changes over the past 24 hours. These claims include advances in the area of Belovody and Vodolagi, reaching the eastern outskirts of Vodolagi, advances east of the village of Dyleyevka, advances in Chasiv Yar in the area of multi-story buildings, expanded control zone south of Bogatyr, advances north of Novoselka, and the clearing (liberation) of Malinovka and Mirolyubovka. Сливочный каприз also provides a summary with claimed Russian advances between May 10th and May 13th, 2025. These claims include Russian forces reaching the southern part of the village of Belovody and starting combat operations in the vicinity of the village of Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, reaching new positions in Redkodub and advancing towards the settlement of Kolodezi in the Krasny Liman area, ongoing battles on the northern outskirts of Dzerzhinsk near Horlivka with significant advances along the highway to Konstantinovka and reaching Romanivka, consolidating positions near Mirolyubovka and establishing control over the central part of Ulyanovka (Malinovka) on the eastern flank of Krasnoarmeysk, taking control of Kotlyarovka and the eastern part of Novosergiyivka and conducting active combat operations in the area of Novooleksandrivka on the southern flank, entering Novoalekseevka from the east and taking control of the southern approaches to the village of Bogatyr on the Kurakhiv direction, and continuing offensive actions in the direction of Zelenoye Polye in the Velika Novosilka area. These maps and summaries, while from pro-Russian sources, provide specific claimed locations and directions of Russian advances across multiple fronts, which are relevant for tracking claimed territorial changes.
• ASTRA on Wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai: ASTRA reports on extensive wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai, covering over 500,000 hectares and surrounding the village of Yablonovo and Sokhoondo. The situation is worsening due to drought, strong winds, and dense forests. Aviation is reportedly almost ineffective due to heavy smoke. This highlights a significant internal natural disaster in Russia that could strain resources.
• ТАСС on EU Sanctions Circumvention: ТАСС reports that the EU will impose sanctions against approximately 30 legal entities involved in circumventing anti-Russian measures, citing Politico. This indicates continued efforts by the EU to tighten sanctions and target those helping Russia evade them.
• MoD Russia on Vostok Group of Forces: MoD Russia shares a video of assault detachments of the Vostok Group of Forces continuing to push back Ukrainian formations from strongholds in the South Donetsk direction. This provides a general update on the activities of this specific Russian military grouping.
• МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники on Alleged Military Misconduct: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a case where a lieutenant allegedly shot and killed a senior sergeant in 2023, with claims of a cover-up and institutional bias in favor of officers. The deceased soldier had three children, and the official version is that he attacked the officer. Relatives and a colleague dispute this and claim the witness was quickly dismissed. The report suggests that there may be a directive not to prosecute officers in combat units. This highlights a serious alleged internal issue within the Russian military related to discipline, justice, and the treatment of personnel, which could impact morale and trust.
• Два майора on 61st Marine Brigade: Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction and links to a fundraising effort for this brigade. This indicates the presence and operations of this Ukrainian unit in that area and their reliance on external support.
• ТАСС on Alcohol Sales Ban: ТАСС reports on a proposal to ban alcohol sales across Russia during last calls and graduations. This is a domestic social policy discussion.
• Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація on Community Cooperation: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on ongoing cooperation between Широківська громада (Shyrokivska community) of Zaporizhzhia Oblast and Гощанська громада (Hoshchanska community) of Rivne Oblast. This cooperation includes social and cultural exchanges under a national project. This highlights efforts at inter-regional cooperation and support within Ukraine.
• Ukrainian Ministry of Education and Student Expulsions: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports, citing the Ukrainian Ministry of Education, that a significant number of male students aged 25 and older are being prepared for expulsion from over 100 educational institutions in May-June. The report claims this is a measure to increase the pool of potential military personnel for the front. Deputy Minister of Education Vynnytskyi reportedly stated that a large number of students could be expelled soon. This suggests a potential effort by Ukraine to address manpower needs through mobilization of individuals previously exempted due to education.
• Генеральний штаб ЗСУ on 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a photo and text highlighting the Ukrainian BTR-4E "Buchephalus" of the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade. The text describes the vehicle as modern, protected, and reliable, emphasizing its capabilities in nighttime combat. This promotes a specific Ukrainian military unit and its equipment.
• Colonelcassad Fundraising Effort: Colonelcassad is promoting a fundraising effort for scout fighters on the Siversk direction. The fighters are requesting night and day vision quadcopters and a UAV signal amplifier due to the enemy's strong fortifications and active combat actions. The appeal includes banking details and contact information. A second video in the post shows gratitude from fighters on the Kherson direction for a donated quadcopter. This indicates a reliance on public support for acquiring specific types of equipment for Russian forces.
• ТАСС on Conviction of "Golos" Co-Chairman: ТАСС reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to 5 years in prison. This reinforces the legal development related to the suppression of independent election observers in Russia.
• ТАСС on Judicial Development in Crimea: ТАСС reports that the prosecutor has requested a 9-year sentence for a defendant in a case regarding an assassination attempt on the Head of Crimea. This highlights ongoing security concerns and legal proceedings in Crimea.
• РБК-Україна on Increased Food Prices in Ukraine: РБК-Україна reports a significant increase in prices for essential food products in Ukraine over the past year, with cabbage and carrots seeing substantial price hikes. This indicates the economic impact of the conflict on the civilian population.
• Басурин о главном Promoting Soviet Military Film: Басурин о главном is promoting a Soviet military film about naval aviation, emphasizing its ability to inspire young people to become military professionals. This is a clear example of a Russian information operation aimed at promoting military service and using cultural products for propaganda.
• Оперативний ЗСУ Promoting Propaganda Video: Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming to show a Russian promoting a disturbing message to a child about becoming like a deceased soldier. This is likely shared as an example of Russian propaganda efforts aimed at youth.
• Воин DV on Sniper Action and Hexacopter Destruction: Воин DV reports that a sniper pair of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hexacopter on the Shakhtyorsk direction. This highlights the role of snipers and specific counter-UAV tactics employed by Russian forces.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast (Mykhailivka, Pokrovsk, Lyman, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi, Bogatyri, Otradnoe, Mirolyubovka, Malinovka, Yelyzavetivka, Fedorovka, Volnoye Polye, Leontovichi, Romanovka, Kalinovo, Zelenoye Polye, Gnatovka, Pravdovka, Novooleksiivka, Lysovka, Ulyanovka, Chasiv Yar, Stepanivka, Arkhangelske, Stupochky, Seversk, Vasyutinskoye, Verolyubovka, Aleksandro-Shultino, Druzhkovka, Ivanopolye, Zarya, Dyleyevka, Konstantinovka, Krasnoarmeysk, Novoaleksandrovka, Novaya Poltavka, Dimitrov, Petrovskoye, Novosergeyevka, Shakhtyorsk direction, Huliaipole, Volnoye Pole): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, Colonelcassad, and MoD Russia officially report the liberation of Михайловка (Mikhailovka) by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports intense fighting on multiple directions within Donetsk Oblast. Russian sources claim advances in various areas. The latest MoD Russia briefing provides detailed claims of Ukrainian losses and Russian strikes across numerous settlements in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad shares map overlays claiming Russian advances in the area of Belovody and Vodolagi, east of Dyleyevka, in Chasiv Yar, south of Bogatyr, north of Novoselka, and the clearing of Malinovka and Mirolyubovka. Сливочный каприз provides claimed Russian advances in the Krasny Liman area (Redkodub, Kolodezi), near Horlivka (Dzerzhinsk, Romanivka), the eastern and southern flanks of Krasnoarmeysk (Mirolyubovka, Ulyanovka/Malinovka, Kotlyarovka, Novosergiyivka, Novooleksandrivka), the Kurakhiv direction (Novoalekseevka, Bogatyr), and the Velika Novosilka area (Zelenoye Polye). This indicates active fighting across a wide swathe of Donetsk Oblast with both sides claiming successes. Воин DV reports sniper action and hexacopter destruction on the Shakhtyorsk direction, which is in Donetsk Oblast. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Yug and Tsentr Groups of Forces in Donetsk Oblast, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses in numerous settlements. MoD Russia also reports on the activities of the Vostok Group of Forces in the South Donetsk direction, which includes parts of Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses in Bogatyr and Volnoye Pole.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Novaya Tavolzhanka, Shebekino, Rylsk, Khomutovka, Valuyki, Богун-Городок, Борки, Красный Октябрь — Бессоновка, Двулучное, Архангельское, Соболевка, Уразово, Чайки, Аркатово — Посохово, Русское Поречное): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use are reported. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. A new report highlights a criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor.
• Sumy Oblast (Sosnivka, Bila Bereza, Petrushivka, Bratenytsia, Popivka, Prokhody, Dmytrivka, Simeikyne, Nahornivka, Konotop, Черневе, Belopolye, Vorozhba, Iskriskovshchina, Sadki, Pavlovka, Proletarskoye, Bessalovka, Krolevec, Shepetovka): Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on this direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that Russian tactical aviation has launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. This confirms continued Russian aerial strikes targeting civilian areas and infrastructure in border regions. Сливочный каприз claims Russian assault troops have entered the southern part of the village of Belovody and begun combat operations in the vicinity of the village of Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Sever Group of Forces in Sumy region, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses near Belopolye, Vorozhba, Iskriskovshchina, Sadki, Pavlovka, Proletarskoye, and Bessalovka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 5 Russian strikes in Sumy Oblast, including in Konotop, Krolevec, and Shepetovka and the surrounding area.
• Mykolaiv Oblast (Kutsurub, Ochakiv): Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones. Reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast and confirmed drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some drones heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection with Odesa Oblast. Drones previously reported in this area are now moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports, citing the Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv, on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of USVs for attacks on Crimea. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 2 Russian strikes in Odesa Oblast and strikes in the area of Chornomorsk and Odesa district, with preliminary information indicating damage to a cluster of maritime drones and naval equipment in Ochakiv. Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction, indicating the likely presence of this unit in the Mykolaiv or Kherson region.
• Kirovohrad Oblast (Kropyvnytskyi): A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs. This signifies recent or anticipated drone activity in this central Ukrainian region. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 3 Russian strikes in Kirovohrad Oblast, in Kropyvnytskyi and the surrounding area, likely targeting railway junctions and/or personnel locations.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Orikhiv direction, Gulyaipole, Bilenke village, Lobkove, Кам'янське, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Чарівне, Novodarivka, Novoяkovlivka, Chervone, Zhovta Krucha, Novoandriyivka, Preobrazhenka, Широківська громада, Temirovka, Novogrigorovka): Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on ongoing cooperation between Широківська громада and Гощанська громада of Rivne Oblast. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Vostok Group of Forces in the Zaporozhye region, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses near Temirovka and Novogrigorovka. MoD Russia also reports on the activities of the Dnepr Group of Forces in the Zaporozhye region, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses near Orekhov, Kamenskoye, and Novodanilovka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 1 Russian strike in Zaporizhzhia Oblast aimed at destroying strongholds and firing positions.
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykivskyi district): Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of aviation weapon use in Запорізька, Дніпропетровська обл. (Синельниківський р-н). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 2 Russian strikes in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast targeting logistics hubs.
• Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk direction, Lemishchyne, Vovchansk, Pishchane, Kharkiv, Редкодуб, Купянск-Узловой, Колодезное, Берестин, Старий Салтів, Російські Тишки, Олександрівка, Нечволодівка, Glushchenkovo, Druzhelyubovka, Sobolevka, Senkovo): Russian military bloggers claim successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces reached new positions in Redkodub and advanced towards Kolodezi in the Krasny Liman area, which is in proximity to the Kupyansk direction. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a captured Ukrainian servicemember who claims to have been serving in the Kharkiv border detachment. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Zapad Group of Forces in Kharkiv region, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses near Glushchenkovo, Druzhelyubovka, Kupyansk-Uzlovoy, Sobolevka, Senkovo. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 4 Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast targeting logistics centers, warehouses, EW, or air defense systems.
• Vinnytsia Oblast: Reports indicate that some of the drones targeting southern Ukraine are now moving towards this oblast. A new air alert has been issued due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs from the south. This confirms and highlights an expanded area of potential drone threat. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 1 Russian strike in Vinnytsia Oblast targeting warehouses near a railway junction.
• Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended and emergency services have declared a state of increased readiness. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict. The Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital, and several districts are reportedly without power. This signifies a potential conclusion to the recent intense clashes, although the impact on infrastructure is evident.
• Lithuania: International military exercises are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region.
• Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension.
• Chechnya (Russia): Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms, removing religious symbols. This is presented as a political development.
• Odesa Oblast (Illichivsk/Chornomorsk): New reports indicate a threat of enemy strike UAVs. Increased Russian drone activity is reported at the intersection with Mykolaiv Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 2 Russian strikes in Odesa Oblast and strikes in the area of Chornomorsk and Odesa district, with preliminary information indicating damage to a cluster of maritime drones and naval equipment in Ochakiv (located in Mykolaiv Oblast near the border with Odesa).
• Chernihiv Oblast (Yanzhulivka, Khrenivka, Novy Borovichi): Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports significant artillery shelling of border settlements, including Yanzhulivka and Khrenivka as of 16:00. НгП раZVедка reports a visible concentration of Ukrainian forces and equipment in Chernihiv Oblast, particularly near Novy Borovichi, with reports of a large unmarked unit.
• Amur Oblast (Russia) (Tsiolkovsky, Blagoveshchensk): ТАСС reports that a forest fire near the closed town of Tsiolkovsky, located near the Vostochny Cosmodrome, has been localized. ТАСС reports that a driver in Blagoveshchensk, Amur Oblast, without a license, fleeing from the police, drove into a pit and crashed, injuring two people. This is a domestic incident unrelated to the conflict but reported by a major Russian news agency.
• Kyrgyzstan (Bishkek): Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek.
• Kherson Oblast (Dneprovskoye, Tokarevka): ASTRA reports two injuries in Kherson Oblast due to Russian shelling, including a child. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video alleging Russian mistreatment of soldiers in a cistern in the Kherson direction. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, where Ochakiv is in Mykolaiv Oblast near the border with Kherson. Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction and links to a fundraising effort. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Dnepr Group of Forces in the Kherson region, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses near Dneprovskoye and Tokarevka. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video with fighters on the Kherson direction showing gratitude for a donated quadcopter.
• Ufa (Russia): Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa.
• Mariupol: Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking activities.
• St. Petersburg (Russia): Север.Реалии reports on a police chase involving a participant of the "special military operation." ASTRA reports a musician was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor. ТАСС reports a 50 kg cocaine shipment arrived in the port of St. Petersburg from Latin America and was seized. Север.Реалии reports on an incident involving a participant of the "special military operation" driving on the wrong side of the road and engaging in a police chase. Север.Реалии and ТАСС report that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to 5 years in prison.
• Moscow (Russia): Новости Москвы is promoting summer sports camps for children. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. ТАСС reports that a Moscow court has arrested Grigory Chekhonadskikh, a member of the Izmaylovskaya organized crime group, on charges of contract killing. ТАСС reports on the burial of actress Nina Grebeshkova in Moscow. Новости Москвы reports that a train in honor of Zhirinovsky will be launched in the metro in 2026.
• Armenia: Alex Parker Returns shares a video clip from Armenian television discussing historical narratives related to WWII.
• Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Богун-Городок, Вознесеновка, Ровенёк): ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports 16 civilians were injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on the region yesterday, including medics and members of the "Orlan" volunteer unit. Specific incidents include an FPV drone hitting a truck in Bohun-Horodok and a drone hitting a Gazel in Voznesenovka. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Rovenok village, Belgorod district, as a result of a Ukrainian drone attack, with shrapnel wounds and a barotrauma.
• Saudi Arabia (Riyadh): Former US President Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed Ash-Shar'a in Saudi Arabia. Оперативний ЗСУ provides details on the demands made by former US President Trump to Syrian President Ahmed al-Shar'a during their meeting in Saudi Arabia.
• Syria: Former US President Trump met with Syrian President Ahmed Ash-Shar'a in Saudi Arabia and announced the lifting of sanctions against Syria. Оперативний ЗСУ provides details on the demands made by former US President Trump to Syrian President Ahmed al-Shar'a during their meeting in Saudi Arabia, and notes that the Syrian president reportedly invited American companies to invest in Syrian oil and gas.
• Turkey (Antalya): Ukraine's Foreign Minister has arrived in Turkey for a NATO Foreign Ministers meeting.
• Spain: Former First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, Oleg Gladkovsky (Svinarchuk), was detained in Spain by NABU.
• United Kingdom: Rybar reports a sharp increase in voluntary company liquidations in the UK.
• Libya: ТАСС reports that the Russian Minister of Defense held negotiations with the commander of the Libyan National Army, discussing cooperation.
• Russia (Русское Поречное in Kursk Oblast): ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye.
• Russia (Specific locations not explicitly stated, related to "Baikal" aircraft production): ТАСС reports that Yury Trutnev states that the production of the "Baikal" aircraft is at an impasse.
• Rivne Oblast (Гощанська громада): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on ongoing cooperation between Широківська громада (Shyrokivska community) of Zaporizhzhia Oblast and Гощанська громада (Hoshchanska community) of Rivne Oblast.
• Russia (Khabarovsk Krai): Police of Khabarovsk Krai reports that a criminal case regarding the illegal circulation of specially valuable aquatic biological resources (sturgeon) has been sent to court in the Ulchsky district.
• Russia (Tatarstan, Kazan): Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption mentioning Kazan and the alleged embezzlement in the army. This suggests an internal issue or narrative related to corruption.
• Malaysia: ТАСС and «Зона СВО» report that Putin will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, followed by a media statement. This indicates diplomatic engagement with a Southeast Asian nation.
• Iran: ТАСС and «Зона СВО» report that the exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but there is an existing invitation. This suggests ongoing diplomatic relations and potential future engagement with Iran.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce. Air alert issued in Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts due to threat of attack drones. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. New reports indicate drone activity from the Kinburn Spit towards Mykolaiv Oblast, confirmation of drone activity in southern Mykolaiv Oblast, with some heading north. Increased Russian drone activity is now reported at the intersection of Odesa and Mykolaiv Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones employing fiber-optic control. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. WarGonzo reports on the development of a new Russian FPV drone-transformer called "Vobla" by soldiers of the 18th Army group. Воин DV reports Russian forces are using drone support in the battle for Bogatyri. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and an Uragan-1 MLRS, likely involving drone reconnaissance or targeting. MoD Russia shares a video claiming an FPV drone team neutralized a Ukrainian BTR-3DA armored personnel carrier in the Krasny Liman direction. Два майора reports an 18-year-old man was injured in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, due to a Ukrainian drone attack. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a soldier of the 11th Tank Regiment of the "Sever" group of forces shot down a Ukrainian drone using a net launcher. Colonelcassad's chronicle of Russian strikes includes "Geran/Gerbera" (Shahed-type) drone strikes across multiple oblasts. ASTRA reports two fatalities and over a dozen injured civilians in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian attacks using guided bombs and ударные беспилотники. ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports 16 civilians were injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on the region yesterday, including medics and members of the "Orlan" volunteer unit, with specific incidents involving FPV drones. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Rovenok village, Belgorod district, as a result of a Ukrainian drone attack, with shrapnel wounds and a barotrauma. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV. WarGonzo reports on the fighting on the Шахтерском направлении where a Ukrainian hexacopter was reportedly destroyed by a Russian sniper pair. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian air defense units shot down 162 Ukrainian fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles in the past 24 hours. STERNENKO is promoting a fundraising initiative ("RUSORIZ") specifically aimed at purchasing FPV drones for the Ukrainian military, with a goal of buying at least 300 per day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 4 Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast, including on EW or air defense systems, 5 strikes in Sumy Oblast, 2 strikes in Odesa Oblast, with preliminary information indicating damage to a cluster of maritime drones and naval equipment in Ochakiv, 7 strikes in Donetsk Oblast, 1 strike in Cherkasy Oblast, 2 strikes in Kyiv Oblast, 1 strike in Poltava Oblast, 5 strikes in Zhytomyr Oblast, 1 strike in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, 1 strike in Vinnytsia Oblast, 2 strikes in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, 5 strikes in Khmelnytskyi Oblast, including on UAV warehouses, 3 strikes in Kirovohrad Oblast, and 2 strikes in Rivne Oblast, with no strikes reported in Ternopil Oblast. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the alleged serial production of a new Russian attack UAV called "Tyuvik," designed to destroy armored vehicles, shelters, and infantry, and equipped with a homing system and AI. НгП раZVедка reports a more than 13-fold increase in reconnaissance UAV flights over the suburbs of Bryansk Oblast and the destruction of 3 reconnaissance drones by a Russian unit, with the enemy paying particular attention to the area near Novy Ropsk. Воин DV reports that a sniper pair destroyed a Ukrainian hexacopter on the Shakhtyorsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea.
• Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that Russian tactical aviation has launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. This confirms continued Russian aerial strikes targeting civilian areas and infrastructure in border regions. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. ASTRA reports two fatalities and over a dozen injured civilians in Kharkiv Oblast due to Russian attacks using guided bombs and ударные беспилотники. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian air defense units shot down five U.S.-made JDAM guided aerial bombs in the past 24 hours. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs by enemy tactical aviation in the direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This confirms ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities in proximity to the front lines. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that Russian tactical aviation has launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. ТАСС and MoD Russia provide highlights from the latest Russian Ministry of Defense briefing, which includes Russian Operational-Tactical Aviation conducting strikes. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs by enemy tactical aviation in the direction of Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
• Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. Colonelcassad's chronicle of Russian strikes includes Iskander-M and OTRK strikes. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian air defense units shot down one HIMARS MLRS projectile in the past 24 hours. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian Missile Troops conducted strikes.
• Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas. A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean. Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues. The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected by clashes. The reported conclusion of the military operation and power outages in Tripoli are significant developments in this separate conflict. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes, which impacted Mitiga International Airport. Russian sources are actively recruiting for an "African Corps," indicating potential naval deployments to support operations in Africa. The Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv reports that the enemy is preparing vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including accumulating unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports, citing the Ukrainian underground in Mykolaiv, on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian forces struck an unmanned surface vehicle depot in the past 24 hours. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 2 Russian strikes in Odesa Oblast and strikes in the area of Chornomorsk and Odesa district, with preliminary information indicating damage to a cluster of maritime drones and naval equipment in Ochakiv. Басурин о главном is promoting a Soviet military film related to naval aviation, likely to boost morale and recruitment for this branch. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields.
• Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems. Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian Southern Defense Forces using FPV interceptors. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 surface-to-air missile system. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming a soldier of the 11th Tank Regiment of the "Sever" group of forces shot down a Ukrainian drone using a net launcher. ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have shot down 12 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles overnight, including three over Belgorod Oblast and nine over the Black Sea. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV. WarGonzo reports on the fighting on the Шахтерском направлении where a Ukrainian hexacopter was reportedly destroyed by a Russian sniper pair. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian air defense units shot down five U.S.-made JDAM guided aerial bombs and one HIMARS MLRS projectile, as well as 162 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles in the past 24 hours. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports 4 Russian strikes in Kharkiv Oblast, including on EW or air defense systems. НгП раZVедка reports the destruction of 3 reconnaissance drones by a Russian unit in Bryansk Oblast.
• Artillery Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports 179 artillery shellings (including 9 MLRS) in the Kursk direction and significant artillery shellings of border settlements in Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts as of 16:00. Басурин о главном reports civilian casualties in the Donetsk People's Republic due to alleged Ukrainian aggression, including artillery fire. ASTRA reports civilian casualties in Donetsk, Kherson, and Kharkiv Oblasts due to Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. Два майора reports a civilian was injured in Novaya Tavolzhanka, Belgorod Oblast, due to Ukrainian shelling. Народная милиция ДНР and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА share videos claimed to show Russian artillery strikes on Ukrainian infantry positions near Arkhangelske. ТАСС and MoD Russia report that Russian Artillery conducted strikes in the past 24 hours. МоD Russia provides details on claimed Ukrainian artillery losses for the Sever, Zapad, Yug, Vostok, and Tsentr Groups of Forces.
• Anti-Personnel Mines: Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiations: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals. While diplomatic efforts persist, messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev, Russian Vice-Speaker of the Federation Council, states that negotiations with Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul could be more productive if Kyiv abandons ultimatums and seeks common ground. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that for negotiations in Istanbul to be successful, Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia. He also cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle. This sets clear and significant preconditions from the Russian side. Colonelcassad and Оперативний ЗСУ also highlight Ryabkov's statements on conditions and topics for the Istanbul talks. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine has received a signal from China supporting a 30-day ceasefire and that Ukraine fulfilled its promise not to strike the Russian parade on May 9th despite Russian propaganda. He emphasized his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war, necessitating the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. This outlines Ukraine's conditions for talks (ceasefire) and its expectation of increased sanctions if Russia remains unwilling to engage meaningfully. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations, a potential meeting with Putin in Turkey, Chinese support for a ceasefire, and the call for strong sanctions. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. He also said that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues and that possible direct talks could be a "wonderful meeting." Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. Военкор Котенок reports that Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement, a point Russia has consistently rejected. This indicates the US's engagement in facilitating negotiations and differing ideas on post-conflict arrangements, including potential foreign military presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the Hungarian Foreign Minister expressed hope for the success of Ukraine-Russia talks in Turkey and urged European colleagues to refrain from jeopardizing them. Alex Parker Returns reports that the President of Brazil will attempt to convince Putin to meet Zelenskyy in Istanbul and plans to return to Moscow from China. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy states that it is necessary to convince Trump that Putin is lying, and Ukraine must show that it is not hindering the peace process. ТАСС reports that Dmitry Peskov will hold a briefing with statements on negotiations in Istanbul and potential contacts between Putin and the Brazilian President, among other topics. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» report that Dmitry Peskov stated the Russian delegation will wait for the Ukrainian side in Istanbul on Thursday and that all of Putin's statements from the night of May 10-11 remain relevant. ТАСС reports that Turkish President Erdogan stated in a conversation with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy that a ceasefire in Ukraine would create the necessary conditions for the start of peace negotiations.
• International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry. The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are scheduled to meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. German Chancellor Merz stated that if no progress is made on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, Germany will decide to strengthen sanctions against Russia, specifically targeting energy and financial markets. Alex Parker Returns and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 also report on Merz's statement. Два майора comments on Merz's statement with sarcasm and references to German economic issues. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны notes that Germany has reportedly extended its "deadline" for Russia's agreement to a ceasefire. This highlights the continued use of economic pressure as a tool to influence Russia and the potential for further escalation of sanctions. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy called for the "strongest package of sanctions" from the US and Europe if Russia is unwilling to end the war. РБК-Україна reports that defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK will meet in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg discussed the potential deployment of UK, France, Germany, and Poland forces west of the Dnieper as part of a settlement. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that French President Emmanuel Macron stated that all CAESAR wheeled self-propelled artillery systems produced in 2025 will be transferred to Ukraine. Alex Parker Returns, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Оперативний ЗСУ report that the EU has finalized the 17th package of sanctions against Russia, targeting shipping, companies, and individuals. ТАСС reports that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the 17th sanctions package against Russia includes restrictions against 189 tankers. ТАСС reports that the EU will impose sanctions against approximately 30 legal entities involved in circumventing anti-Russian measures. STERNENKO is promoting a fundraising initiative ("RUSORIZ") specifically aimed at purchasing FPV drones for the Ukrainian military, highlighting continued civilian-led support for military procurement.
• Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire. Konstantin Kosachev provides a Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov stated that Ukraine must recognize the "realities on the ground," including the incorporation of "new territories" into Russia, and cited Kyiv's "inability to negotiate" as a key obstacle for negotiations in Istanbul. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated his readiness to meet with Putin in Turkey (Ankara or Istanbul) and that if Putin is unwilling to meet, it will signal Russia's lack of readiness to end the war. He also stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, and STERNENKO also report on Zelenskyy's statements regarding negotiations and a potential meeting with Putin. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy where he emphasizes that only Putin can ensure an unconditional ceasefire. Alex Parker Returns offers a critical and sarcastic commentary on Zelenskyy's statements. US Special Envoy Keith Kellogg stated that the US hopes Putin will attend negotiations in Istanbul, which would then lead to Trump's arrival. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on Kellogg's statements. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statements regarding conditions for negotiations. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. ТАСС also reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Zelenskyy stated he is ready for a meeting with Putin, but other negotiation formats in Istanbul have not been worked out. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны highlights Zelenskyy's statement about only having the right to speak with Putin, contrasting it with the decree prohibiting negotiations with Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that the Hungarian Foreign Minister expressed hope for the success of Ukraine-Russia talks in Turkey and urged European colleagues to refrain from jeopardizing them. Alex Parker Returns reports that the President of Brazil will attempt to convince Putin to meet Zelenskyy in Istanbul and plans to return to Moscow from China. ТАСС reports that Russian Ombudsman Moskaľkova hopes the issue of returning Kursk residents from Sumy will be positively resolved during Russian-Ukrainian negotiations in Turkey. РБК-Україна reports that Ukrainian President Zelenskyy states that it is necessary to convince Trump that Putin is lying, and Ukraine must show that it is not hindering the peace process. ТАСС reports that Dmitry Peskov will hold a briefing with statements on negotiations in Istanbul and potential contacts between Putin and the Brazilian President, among other topics. ТАСС reports that Turkish President Erdogan stated in a conversation with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy that a ceasefire in Ukraine would create the necessary conditions for the start of peace negotiations. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» report that Dmitry Peskov stated the Russian delegation will wait for the Ukrainian side in Istanbul on Thursday and that all of Putin's statements from the night of May 10-11 remain relevant.
• Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that the decree prohibiting negotiations with Russia does not apply to him personally. РБК-Україна provides an exclusive video interview with Zelenskyy. КМВА (Київська міська військова військова адміністрація) reports on the expansion of services at the "Feofaniya" hospital in Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports on a survey showing a significant increase in public trust in President Zelenskyy in the first half of May 2025, reaching 74%. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on an internal incident involving a shooting in a Kyiv hotel and police investigation. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on an incident involving a TCC employee allegedly assaulting a civilian and calls for an investigation. Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА highlights efforts related to education and infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ report on the detention in Spain of Oleg Gladkovsky (Svinarchuk), former First Deputy Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, on suspicion of corruption. STERNENKO also reports on Gladkovsky's detention. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports that according to the Ministry of Education of Ukraine, a significant number of male students are being prepared for expulsion in May-June, with checks being conducted in over 100 educational institutions to verify the attendance of men aged 25 and older. This suggests a potential effort to identify and mobilize eligible individuals for military service. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian government has approved Roadmaps for opening the first cluster of pre-accession negotiations with the EU and approved the negotiating position for the first cluster. This indicates significant progress in Ukraine's EU integration efforts. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС promotes a large interview with Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Assault Brigade and newly appointed head of the Third Army Corps. This highlights a high-level change in military leadership and the formation of a new corps.
• Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue. Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, which is presented as a political development. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights internal issues related to corruption. Reports regarding potential delays in hot water shutdowns due to cold weather are noted. Russian banks VTB and Sber are canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs, an internal economic measure. Colonelcassad's sharing of videos with captions portraying negative aspects of Ukrainian mobilization is an example of Russian information operations aimed at influencing perceptions about internal Ukrainian affairs. Police of Khabarovsk Krai highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. This is an official communication aimed at recognizing and likely promoting this internal security structure, which could have implications for law enforcement and internal control within Russia. The appointment of a decorated military veteran to a senior civilian role in education suggests a deliberate effort to integrate individuals with military experience into government leadership. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case against a former university rector is noted as an internal legal development. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, digitalizing military registration. ASTRA reports that a musician in St. Petersburg was fined for a satirical song about the conflict. Север.Реалии reports that the State Duma has adopted a bill in the first reading allowing the confiscation of property from emigrants for actions "against the interests of Russia," viewing it as a tool against those criticizing the war. Север.Реалии also reports on the increase in convictions for "rehabilitation of Nazism" in Russia, framing it as an instrument of repression. Два майора reports on the detention and subsequent house arrest of an organizer of "language patrols" in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding voluntary military recruitment in Russia. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Два майора report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the leadership of countries imposing sanctions. ТАСС and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report on Russian President Putin's statements regarding the Russian economy and the return of Western brands. ТАСС reports on the localization of a forest fire near the Vostochny Cosmodrome. ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants by the State Duma. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 has become inaccessible. ТАСС reports that VTB and Sber are canceling developer commissions on preferential mortgage programs. ТАСС reports on МВД warning about scam messages about "Госуслуги" being hacked. Два майора reports civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast due to Ukrainian attacks. Colonelcassad shares photos of an exhibition of captured Western military equipment in Ufa. Mash на Донбассе reports disruptions to civilian communication in Mariupol due to filmmaking. ASTRA reports a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 outlining questions addressable at military enlistment offices. НгП раZVедка provides a technical analysis of portable nebulizers in tactical medicine. ТАСС reports that the administration of Zaporizhzhia Oblast is requesting the annulment of the sentence against General Ivan Popov. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding planned Russia-US bilateral negotiations. ТАСС reports on Ryabkov's statement regarding the next round of Russia-US negotiations on embassy work. Север.Реалии reports on an incident involving a participant of the "special military operation" driving on the wrong side of the road in St. Petersburg. Новости Москвы is promoting summer sports camps for children. ТАСС reports that Russia's Human Rights Commissioner Tatyana Moskalkova states that the monthly payment for veterans of combat operations (4.5 thousand rubles) is disproportionate to their contribution to state security and needs to be increased. ТАСС reports a 50 kg cocaine shipment arrived in the port of St. Petersburg from Latin America and was seized. ASTRA reports that the governor of Belgorod Oblast reports 16 civilians were injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on the region yesterday. Новости Москвы reports on plans to implement a standard in Russia within 1-2 years requiring a minimum of 3 internet providers in new residential buildings. Rybar reports a sharp increase in voluntary company liquidations in the UK. ТАСС reports that the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation has established 24 facts of the murder of civilians in the village of Russkoye Porechnoye in Kursk Oblast. ТАСС reports that Yury Trutnev states that the production of the "Baikal" aircraft is at an impasse. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a case where a Russian soldier was killed by a lieutenant in 2023, highlighting allegations of a cover-up and an institutional bias in favor of officers in combat units. ТАСС reports that a Moscow court has arrested Grigory Chekhonadskikh, a member of the Izmaylovskaya organized crime group, on charges of contract killing. This indicates ongoing legal proceedings related to combating organized crime. Police of Khabarovsk Krai reports that a criminal case regarding the illegal circulation of specially valuable aquatic biological resources (sturgeon) has been sent to court in the Ulchsky district. This highlights law enforcement activity in a Russian region. ASTRA reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to five years in a general regime colony and banned from public activities for nine years. This confirms a significant legal development in Russia related to the suppression of independent election observers and civil society. ТАСС reports on the burial of actress Nina Grebeshkova in Moscow. Новости Москвы reports that a train in honor of Zhirinovsky will be launched in the metro in 2026. This is a domestic cultural development. ТАСС reports that a court has sentenced four participants in the Makhachkala airport riots to 10 years in a general regime colony. This highlights ongoing legal consequences for those involved in the unrest. ASTRA reports on extensive wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai.
• Netherlands and Australia Seek ICAO Negotiations with Russia on MH17: The Netherlands and Australia are seeking negotiations with Russia through the ICAO regarding the downing of MH17 in 2014. This is a diplomatic and legal development related to past events.
• India-Pakistan Conflict: Escalation remains a critical external development to monitor.
• Russia-UK Relations: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia in the UK, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities and straining relations. Rybar reports a sharp increase in voluntary company liquidations in the UK in 2024–2025, attributed to changes in tax policy and economic instability, which could have implications for the UK's ability to support Ukraine.
• Russia-Lithuania Relations: Military exercises in Lithuania described by Russia as being directed against them indicate increased tension and military posturing in the Baltic region.
• Hungary-Ukraine Relations: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension.
• Chechnya (Russia): Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms, removing religious symbols. This is presented as a political development with potential symbolic implications.
• Libya Conflict Impact on Diplomacy: The Russian embassy in Tripoli has not been affected by the clashes, indicating some stability for their diplomatic presence despite the conflict. The reported conclusion of the military operation and power outages in Tripoli are significant developments in this separate conflict. Rybar provides a detailed account of the armed clashes. ТАСС reports that the Russian Minister of Defense held negotiations with the commander of the Libyan National Army, discussing cooperation.
• European Coordination on Ukraine Support: Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are meeting in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine.
• EU Diplomatic Activity: РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian government has approved Roadmaps and the negotiating position for the first cluster of pre-accession negotiations with the EU. This signifies a significant step in Ukraine's EU integration efforts.
• Turkey-Ukraine Relations: TASS reports that Turkish President Erdogan stated in a conversation with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy that a ceasefire in Ukraine would create the necessary conditions for the start of peace negotiations. This indicates continued high-level diplomatic engagement and Turkey's continued role in attempting to facilitate peace talks.
• Russia-Central Asia Relations: Рыбарь provides commentary and analysis on EU programs aimed at enhancing security in Turkmenistan, highlighting geopolitical competition for influence in Central Asia. This is relevant for understanding Russia's strategic interests in the region.
• Russia-Malaysia Relations: ТАСС and «Зона СВО» report that Putin will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, followed by a media statement. This indicates diplomatic engagement with a Southeast Asian nation.
• Russia-Iran Relations: ТАСС and «Зона СВО» report that the exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but there is an existing invitation. This suggests ongoing diplomatic relations and potential future engagement with Iran.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

• Internal Security: Alleged involvement of Russian special services in a fire in Warsaw as accused by Poland (reported previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, which is presented as a political outcome. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights internal issues related to corruption. Reports regarding potential delays in hot water shutdowns due to cold weather are noted. Russian banks VTB and Sber are canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs, an internal economic policy. Colonelcassad's sharing of videos with captions portraying negative aspects of Ukrainian mobilization is an example of Russian information operations aimed at influencing perceptions about internal Ukrainian affairs. Police of Khabarovsk Krai highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. This is an official communication aimed at recognizing and likely promoting this internal security structure, which could have implications for law enforcement and internal control within Russia, including the handling of prisoners of war or individuals detained in relation to the conflict. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment and potentially illegal actions by Ukrainian forces after capture, which is likely intended to fuel internal security narratives and justify actions related to prisoners of war. The appointment of a "Hero of Russia" to a prominent position in the Ministry of Education is likely intended as an information operation to highlight the value of military service and integrate military figures into civilian life and leadership, potentially for ideological purposes related to patriotism and national identity. An internal legal development in Russia is the expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case against a former university rector. TASS reports that a Moscow court has arrested Grigory Chekhonadskikh, a member of the Izmaylovskaya organized crime group, on charges of contract killing. This highlights ongoing efforts to combat organized crime in Russia. Police of Khabarovsk Krai reports that a criminal case regarding the illegal circulation of specially valuable aquatic biological resources (sturgeon) has been sent to court in the Ulchsky district. This indicates law enforcement activity in a Russian region. ASTRA reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to five years in a general regime colony and banned from public activities for nine years. This confirms a significant legal development in Russia related to the suppression of independent election observers and civil society. ТАСС reports that a court has sentenced four participants in the Makhachkala airport riots to 10 years in a general regime colony. This highlights ongoing legal consequences for those involved in the unrest. ASTRA reports on extensive wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai. This highlights a significant internal natural disaster. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption mentioning Kazan and the alleged embezzlement in the army. This suggests an internal issue or narrative related to corruption.
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka. Russian artillery and missile systems are actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personal mines. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones. Russian MoD footage showcases various military units in action, likely for propaganda purposes. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. New reports indicate Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones employing fiber-optic control. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. A new air alert has been issued for Vinnytsia Oblast due to the threat of enemy strike UAVs from the south, confirming the expansion of the drone operational area. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This indicates ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. This confirms continued Russian drone deployment and activity in a new area of operation. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This indicates ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities in proximity to the northern and northeastern front lines. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that Russian tactical aviation has launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. This confirms continued Russian aerial strikes targeting civilian areas and infrastructure in border regions. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case, while seemingly unrelated, could be indicative of broader issues within the Russian legal and administrative systems that could indirectly impact military-related matters. ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, Colonelcassad, and MoD Russia officially report the liberation of Михайловка (Mikhailovka) by the Russian Ministry of Defense. ТАСС and MoD Russia provide highlights from the latest Russian Ministry of Defense briefing, including claimed Ukrainian losses (personnel, tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery, MLRS, EW, etc.) and Russian strikes (airfields, USV depot, ammunition depots, temporary deployment areas). Сливочный каприз provides claimed Russian advances between May 10th and May 13th in Sumy, Krasny Liman, Horlivka, Krasnoarmeysk, Kurakhiv, and Velika Novosilka areas. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the alleged serial production of a new Russian attack UAV called "Tyuvik," designed to destroy armored vehicles, shelters, and infantry, and equipped with a homing system and AI. ТАСС reports that Russian forces liberated a fellow serviceman who was captured by Ukrainian forces near the settlement of Kotlyarovka. Воин DV reports that a sniper pair of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hexacopter on the Shakhtyorsk direction. MoD Russia reports on the activities of the Sever, Zapad, Yug, Tsentr, Vostok, and Dnepr Groups of Forces, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses and Russian actions in their respective areas of responsibility. Colonelcassad shares map overlays claiming Russian advances in various locations in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad is promoting a fundraising effort for scout fighters on the Siversk direction who need drones.
• Information Operations: Russia continues to promote narratives about the conflict and internal issues. The Russian MoD is releasing footage of military operations. Maria Zakharova's condemnation of Moldovan textbooks serves a specific narrative about Russia's role in regional conflicts. Adam Kadyrov's receipt of another medal is likely used to promote his status and the security structures he is associated with. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory and the presence of a Polish mercenary in Kursk Oblast are likely used to portray Ukraine and its allies as aggressors. Messages on Russian drones stating "There will be no truce!" are a direct form of information warfare and propaganda. Updated operational maps shared by Colonelcassad visually represent the conflict from a pro-Russian perspective, highlighting claimed Russian gains. Russia is framing military exercises in Lithuania as being directed against them and is stating they will take countermeasures. Alex Parker Returns' reporting on the unconfirmed Hungarian armor movement near the Ukrainian border suggests a Russian narrative is being formed around this event. Alex Parker Returns is also promoting a narrative about changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, framed within a specific political context. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is sharing videos of claimed Russian military successes, likely for information operation purposes. Russian military media is highlighting the role of women in the conflict, likely as a propaganda effort to boost morale and recruitment. Russian officials are providing commentary on potential negotiations, likely aimed at shaping narratives around peace talks. Colonelcassad's sharing of videos with captions framing Ukrainian mobilization negatively is a clear example of Russian information operations targeting public perception of Ukraine's internal situation. Police of Khabarovsk Krai's post celebrating the convoy service is an example of Russian state information operations promoting specific internal security structures and linking their history to national events like the Great Patriotic War. The appointment of a "Hero of Russia" to a senior civilian position in the Ministry of Education is likely intended as an information operation to highlight the value of military service and integrate military figures into civilian life and leadership, potentially for ideological purposes related to patriotism and national identity. Colonelcassad's sharing of "testimony" alleging mistreatment of Russian POWs by Ukrainian forces is a clear information operation aimed at portraying Ukraine negatively and potentially influencing public opinion regarding prisoner exchanges and the conflict. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна reporting on Russian KAB launches on Sumy Oblast counters Russian claims of avoiding civilian areas and highlights the impact of Russian actions. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a captured Ukrainian servicemember, who provides statements regarding his capture and conditions in Russian captivity, which is a clear element of Russian information operations and propaganda. ТАСС and MoD Russia's daily briefings serve as official platforms for Russian information operations, presenting their narrative on the conflict's progress and claimed successes and Ukrainian losses. Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video claiming to show a Russian promoting a disturbing message to a child about becoming like a deceased soldier is likely shared as an example of Russian propaganda efforts aimed at youth. Басурин о главном promoting a Soviet military film is a clear example of a Russian information operation aimed at promoting military service and using cultural products for propaganda. НгП раZVедка's report on Ukrainian troop concentration in Chernihiv Oblast, framed as potentially an information cover for a main attack, is itself an example of a Russian information operation aimed at creating uncertainty about Ukrainian intentions. Alex Parker Returns' commentary on Kazan and alleged army embezzlement could be part of an information operation related to internal corruption narratives. Alex Parker Returns' discussion of EU security programs in Turkmenistan and critical commentary on Western influence is part of a broader Russian information operation aimed at portraying Western actions negatively. Colonelcassad promoting a fundraising effort can also be seen as an information operation, highlighting the needs of the forces and encouraging public support.
• Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Adam Kadyrov was awarded a medal on the 25th anniversary of OMON "Akhmat-Grozny." Police of Khabarovsk Krai's post celebrating the convoy service is also a form of commemoration and information operation. The appointment of a "Hero of Russia" to a senior government position can also be seen as a form of military commemoration and information operation, highlighting the value of military service and heroism. Басурин о главном promoting a Soviet military film related to naval aviation is a form of military commemoration and information operation.
• Political Dynamics: Adam Kadyrov being awarded a medal is a political act highlighting his status. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, are presented as a political outcome. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights ongoing issues related to corruption within the Russian political system. The appointment of a military veteran to a senior position in the Ministry of Education is a political decision with implications for the integration of military and civilian spheres within the Russian government and the promotion of specific values and narratives. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case is a legal outcome with potential political implications regarding accountability and the functioning of the justice system. ТАСС reports that a Moscow court has arrested Grigory Chekhonadskikh, a member of the Izmaylovskaya organized crime group, on charges of contract killing. This highlights ongoing legal proceedings related to combating organized crime, which has political implications. Police of Khabarovsk Krai reports on a criminal case related to illegal resource exploitation, highlighting regional law enforcement activities with potential political implications. ASTRA reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to five years and banned from public activities. This is a significant political development related to the suppression of independent civil society. ТАСС reports on the burial of actress Nina Grebeshkova in Moscow. Новости Москвы reports that a train in honor of Zhirinovsky will be launched in the metro in 2026. This is a domestic political and cultural development. ТАСС reports that a court has sentenced four participants in the Makhachkala airport riots to 10 years. This highlights legal and political consequences for unrest. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» provide highlights from Dmitry Peskov's briefing, including statements on strategic stability, nuclear weapons, and Putin's schedule, which are politically relevant. Rybar's commentary on EU security programs in Turkmenistan and critical commentary on Western influence has political implications related to geopolitical competition. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption mentioning Kazan and the alleged embezzlement in the army, which could have political implications related to corruption.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Military Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition. The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles to Ukraine. Defense ministers from Italy, Germany, France, Poland, and the UK are meeting in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that the joint statement by the Weimar+ group reaffirmed their commitment to further support for Kyiv and discussed security guarantees. This indicates continued political and military backing from key European partners. STERNENKO is promoting a fundraising initiative ("RUSORIZ") specifically aimed at purchasing FPV drones for the Ukrainian military, highlighting significant civilian-led support for military procurement. Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction and links to a fundraising effort for this brigade. Colonelcassad is promoting a fundraising effort for scout fighters on the Siversk direction who need drones.
• Prisoner of War Issues: Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces while in captivity. This highlights the ongoing humanitarian issue of prisoners of war and the differing narratives surrounding their treatment by both sides. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a captured Ukrainian servicemember from the Kharkiv border detachment, who provides statements regarding his capture, conditions in Russian captivity, and advises surrender. This is a clear example of using a captured individual for propaganda. ТАСС reports that Russian forces liberated a fellow serviceman who was captured by Ukrainian forces near the settlement of Kotlyarovka. This highlights ongoing prisoner exchanges or rescue operations.
• Support for Civilians: Народная милиция ДНР is promoting a fundraising effort for children in Donbas and the "special military operation" zone, highlighting humanitarian efforts and the continued impact of the conflict on civilians.
• Veteran Support (Russia): ТАСС reports on the adoption of a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans by the State Duma. Colonelcassad also reports on the adoption of this law. ТАСС reports that Russia's Human Rights Commissioner Tatyana Moskalkova states that the monthly payment for veterans of combat operations (4.5 thousand rubles) is disproportionate to their contribution to state security and needs to be increased, highlighting an official acknowledgment of the need for better veteran support. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front.
• Community Support and Cooperation (Ukraine): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on ongoing cooperation between Широківська громада of Zaporizhzhia Oblast and Гощанська громада of Rivne Oblast, including social and cultural exchanges. This highlights efforts at inter-regional cooperation and support within Ukraine.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, utilizing artillery, guided bombs, and a high volume of drones. Claiming the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment and inflicting losses. Employing tactical aviation. Utilizing Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B howitzers, Grad and Uragan MLRS. Russian MoD footage showcases these units in action. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Russian forces claim advances and territorial control. Messages on Russian drones explicitly reject a truce. Updated operational maps provide visual details on Russian positions. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personal mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. New reports indicate Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Russian military bloggers are claiming successes in eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using FPV drones employing fiber-optic control. Expanding drone activity to include Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones moving towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Ukrainian Air Force reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This confirms ongoing Russian close air support and strike capabilities in frontline areas. Ukrainian Air Force reports UAV activity in the southern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, moving northwest/west. This confirms continued Russian drone deployment and activity in a new area of operation. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This indicates ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities in proximity to the northern and northeastern front lines. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна report that Russian tactical aviation has launched KABs on Sumy Oblast. This confirms continued Russian aerial strikes targeting civilian areas and infrastructure in border regions. ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, Colonelcassad, and MoD Russia officially report the liberation of Михайловка (Mikhailovka) by units of the "Tsentr" Group of Forces. ТАСС and MoD Russia provide highlights from the latest Russian Ministry of Defense briefing, detailing claimed Ukrainian losses (personnel, tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery, MLRS, EW, etc.) and Russian strikes (airfields, USV depot, ammunition depots, temporary deployment areas). MoD Russia details the activities and claimed successes of the Sever, Zapad, Yug, Tsentr, Vostok, and Dnepr Groups of Forces. Сливочный каприз provides claimed Russian advances and territorial control in various areas. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports on the alleged serial production of a new Russian attack UAV called "Tyuvik," designed to destroy armored vehicles, shelters, and infantry, and equipped with a homing system and AI. This suggests a potential new tactical capability. ТАСС reports that Russian forces liberated a fellow serviceman who was captured by Ukrainian forces near the settlement of Kotlyarovka, highlighting prisoner rescue or exchange operations. Воин DV reports that a sniper pair of the 29th Guards Combined Arms Army of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hexacopter on the Shakhtyorsk direction, highlighting the role of snipers and specific counter-UAV tactics. НгП раZVедка reports a more than 13-fold increase in reconnaissance UAV flights over the suburbs of Bryansk Oblast and the destruction of 3 reconnaissance drones by a Russian unit, with the enemy paying particular attention to the area near Novy Ropsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea, indicating potential future Russian naval tactics. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields, highlighting counter-USV tactics. Colonelcassad shares map overlays claiming Russian advances in various locations in Donetsk Oblast. Colonelcassad is promoting a fundraising effort for scout fighters on the Siversk direction who need drones, indicating their tactical needs. Басурин о главном is promoting a Soviet military film related to naval aviation, likely to boost morale and recruitment for this branch.
• Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses. Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents (reported previously). Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces (reported previously). Utilizing maritime drones (reported previously). Seeking international support and military aid. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling. Claiming destruction of Russian equipment, including air defense systems and boats (reported previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs. Ukraine has excluded Lieutenant General Havryliuk from the Stavka. Ukraine is receiving significant military aid from the EU and the US (Patriot and HIMARS missiles). Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. Facing ongoing Russian drone attacks towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk is reportedly being targeted and destroyed by Russian FPV drones. Facing expanded Russian drone activity in Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Colonelcassad shares "testimony" from a Russian serviceman alleging mistreatment by Ukrainian forces after capture. While this is a Russian information operation, it highlights the differing narratives and allegations surrounding the treatment of prisoners of war by both sides. ТАСС and MoD Russia report claimed significant Ukrainian losses (personnel, tanks, armored fighting vehicles, artillery, MLRS, EW, etc.) in the past 24 hours. STERNENKO is promoting a fundraising initiative ("RUSORIZ") specifically aimed at purchasing FPV drones for the Ukrainian military, with a goal of buying at least 300 per day. This highlights the significant tactical and operational reliance on FPV drones by Ukrainian forces. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС promotes a large interview with Andriy Biletsky, commander of the Third Assault Brigade and newly appointed head of the Third Army Corps. This signifies the formation of a new high-level Ukrainian military formation with implications for force structure and tactics. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares a photo and text highlighting the Ukrainian BTR-4E "Buchephalus" of the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade, emphasizing its capabilities in nighttime combat. This promotes a specific Ukrainian military unit and its equipment. Два майора shares a video from the 61st Marine Brigade on the Kherson direction, indicating the presence and operations of this unit. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports, citing the Ukrainian Ministry of Education, that a significant number of male students aged 25 and older are being prepared for expulsion to increase the pool of potential military personnel. This suggests a potential effort to bolster troop numbers. НгП раZVедка reports a visible concentration of Ukrainian forces and equipment in Chernihiv Oblast, particularly near Novy Borovichi, with reports of a large unmarked unit. This indicates potential Ukrainian tactical or strategic movements in this area. НгП раZVедка also reports a more than 13-fold increase in reconnaissance UAV flights over the suburbs of Bryansk Oblast, suggesting Ukrainian reconnaissance efforts in this border region. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components. This highlights efforts to enhance existing artillery systems.
• Foreign Involvement: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from the Polish Minister of National Defense clarifying Poland's role as a logistical and infrastructural hub, not involving direct troop deployment. MoD Russia reports striking temporary deployment areas of foreign mercenaries.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscores the strategic importance of this area. Russia's official claim of liberating Kotlyarovka and Mykhailivka, if accurate, represent tangible tactical gains and contribute to their overall strategic objective of securing the Donbas region. The focus on pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast also indicates a potential strategic aim to gain fire control over key logistical hubs. DeepState's report of Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka confirms recent tactical gains in specific sectors, which have strategic implications for controlling key populated areas and logistical routes. The Ukrainian Air Force reporting continued Russian tactical aviation activity in the southeastern direction confirms that air support remains a key element of Russian strategy in the frontline areas. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This indicates ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities in proximity to the northern and northeastern front lines, expanding the areas of concern for Ukrainian strategic planning. ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Два майора, Colonelcassad, and MoD Russia officially reporting the liberation of Михайловка (Mikhailovka) is a significant strategic development, indicating a further territorial gain for Russia in Donetsk Oblast. MoD Russia's detailed briefing on claimed Ukrainian losses and Russian strikes across multiple fronts provides Russia's strategic assessment of the conflict's progress and their efforts to degrade Ukrainian capabilities. Сливочный каприз's claimed Russian advances in various areas provide a pro-Russian perspective on the evolving front lines, which is strategically relevant for understanding the contested areas. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС promoting a large interview with Andriy Biletsky, commander of the newly formed Third Army Corps, highlights a strategic restructuring and leadership change within the Ukrainian military. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ sharing information about the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade and its BTR-4E "Buchephalus" is a strategic effort to promote specific units and equipment. НгП раZVедка reports a visible concentration of Ukrainian forces and equipment in Chernihiv Oblast, particularly near Novy Borovichi, which could be a strategic deployment for defensive or offensive purposes. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea, indicating potential future Russian naval tactics with strategic implications for the southern front.
• The ongoing diplomatic discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations highlight the continued international dimension of the conflict. However, the discovery of messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" is a powerful counter-signal that directly undermines the prospects for immediate de-escalation and suggests a continued Russian commitment to military objectives over a negotiated settlement in the short term. Konstantin Kosachev's commentary on potential negotiations in Istanbul provides a Russian perspective on the conditions required for progress, suggesting a potential opening for dialogue but contingent on Ukraine's approach, which has strategic implications for future diplomatic engagements. РБК-Україна reports that the Weimar+ group reiterated their call for Russia to agree to a 30-day ceasefire and welcomed US-led peace efforts, while stating that Russia has not shown serious intent to make progress. This indicates continued international diplomatic pressure on Russia and highlights the ongoing difficulty in achieving a ceasefire due to Russia's current stance. ТАСС reports that Turkish President Erdogan stated in a conversation with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy that a ceasefire in Ukraine would create the necessary conditions for the start of peace negotiations, and that this opportunity should not be missed. This indicates continued high-level diplomatic engagement and a push from a key international player for de-escalation to facilitate a political solution. ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, and «Зона СВО» report that Dmitry Peskov stated the Russian delegation will wait for the Ukrainian side in Istanbul on Thursday and that all of Putin's statements from the night of May 10-11 remain relevant, setting the stage for potential negotiations while reiterating Russia's position.
• The large-scale Russian drone attacks, coupled with continued heavy shelling and aviation strikes, demonstrate Russia's reliance on these methods to degrade Ukrainian defenses and inflict casualties. Ukraine's ability to counter these efforts through air defense and effective targeting with drones and SDB bombs highlights the ongoing adaptation and technological aspects of the conflict. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs and HIMARS in Kursk Oblast, if verified, would represent a potential strategic escalation in the types of munitions used by Ukraine against targets within Russia. The continued and increased Russian drone activity towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts indicates ongoing strategic targeting of southern Ukraine, potentially aiming to disrupt logistics, inflict damage on infrastructure, or create pressure in these strategically important coastal regions. The issuance of a new air alert for Kirovohrad Oblast and the reported movement of some drones towards Vinnytsia Oblast indicate an expansion of the operational area for Russian drone attacks, potentially reflecting a strategy to target a wider range of infrastructure or create pressure in new areas. The confirmed air alert for Vinnytsia Oblast solidifies this assessment, indicating a potential strategic aim to extend the reach of drone attacks further westward, possibly to assess or probe air defenses in new areas or target infrastructure in central-western Ukraine. The confirmed UAV activity in southern Vinnytsia Oblast reinforces the assessment of an expanded Russian drone operational area, highlighting a potential strategic shift to target areas further west. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and РБК-Україна reporting on Russian KAB launches on Sumy Oblast confirms continued strategic targeting of civilian areas and infrastructure in border regions, highlighting the ongoing nature of the conflict despite any claimed ceasefires. ТАСС and MoD Russia reporting that Russian air defense units shot down a significant number of Ukrainian UAVs, JDAMs, and a HIMARS projectile highlights Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian aerial and missile capabilities, which is strategically important for air defense and force protection. STERNENKO promoting a fundraising initiative ("RUSORIZ") with a goal of buying at least 300 FPV drones per day highlights the strategic importance of FPV drones for Ukraine and the reliance on civilian support for their acquisition. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reporting on the alleged serial production of a new Russian attack UAV called "Tyuvik" suggests a strategic development in Russian drone capabilities and tactics. НгП раZVедка reporting on increased Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV flights over Bryansk Oblast indicates Ukrainian strategic intelligence gathering efforts in Russian border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the preparation of vessels for a "counteroffensive" in the areas of Kutsurub and Ochakiv, including the accumulation of unmanned surface vessels (USVs), for attacks on Crimea, indicating potential future Russian naval tactics with strategic implications for the southern front. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA shares video of the "Española" naval detachment using a "SKAT 350 M" drone to monitor the destruction of a Ukrainian USV in the Black Sea near gas condensate fields, highlighting counter-USV tactics. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZA reports on the modernization of Ukrainian "Grad" MLRS using Western chassis and components, highlighting efforts to enhance existing artillery systems with strategic implications for fire support.
• The exclusion of Lieutenant General Havryliuk from Ukraine's Stavka is a notable change in high-level personnel and could indicate a shift in operational planning or leadership structure at the highest level of the Ukrainian military. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС promoting a large interview with Andriy Biletsky, commander of the newly formed Third Army Corps, highlights a strategic restructuring and leadership change within the Ukrainian military.
• The EU's allocation of €900 million for weapons and ammunition, combined with the US approval of German transfer of Patriot and HIMARS missiles, represent significant and tangible strategic support for Ukraine's defense capabilities. This aid directly contributes to Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense and potentially conduct offensive operations. The scheduled meeting of European defense ministers in Rome on May 16th to discuss coordinating support for Ukraine underscores the ongoing strategic commitment of key European partners to providing military aid and coordinating their efforts, which is crucial for Ukraine's ability to continue the conflict. РБК-Україна reports that the joint statement by the Weimar+ group reaffirmed their commitment to further support for Kyiv and discussed security guarantees. This indicates continued strong strategic backing from key European partners and the EU. РБК-Україна reports that the Ukrainian government has approved Roadmaps and the negotiating position for the first cluster of pre-accession negotiations with the EU, signifying a strategic step in Ukraine's European integration efforts with long-term implications.
• The diplomatic tension between Russia and Moldova over historical textbook content, while not directly military, reflects broader geopolitical dynamics and Russia's sensitivity regarding its historical narrative and influence in neighboring countries.
• The claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast and the alleged use of foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory are likely to be leveraged by Russia in information operations to portray the conflict as a proxy war involving NATO and other foreign powers, with the strategic aim of garnering domestic support and potentially influencing international perceptions.
• Updated operational maps of Donetsk Oblast provide crucial visual information on the tactical situation, allowing for a better understanding of the current state of the front lines, areas of contestation, and the location of defensive fortifications, which is essential for strategic planning.
• The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad and has strategic implications for counterintelligence efforts and national security in NATO countries.
• The reported deployment of new anti-personnel mines by Ukraine on the Sumy direction is a tactical adaptation with strategic implications for slowing down potential Russian advances and creating defensive obstacles in border regions.
• The armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, indicate a new area of instability and conflict that could have broader regional implications. The declaration of a state of increased readiness by emergency services suggests the potential for a worsening humanitarian situation and continued instability. The Russian embassy's status in Tripoli suggests some level of maintained diplomatic presence. The reported conclusion of the military operation and power outages in Tripoli are significant developments in this separate conflict.
• The military exercises in Lithuania and Russia's reaction to them highlight increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region, which is a strategically important area bordering both Russia and NATO countries.
• The unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border, if verified, could be a significant strategic development, indicating a potential shift in Hungary's stance or an attempt to exert pressure related to the conflict. This requires careful monitoring and verification. Alex Parker Returns' immediate commentary on the unconfirmed Hungarian armor movement suggests that this event is being quickly integrated into Russian information operations.
• Russian claims of eliminating Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk using advanced FPV drones suggest that Russia is adapting its tactics and employing new technologies to counter Ukrainian artillery, which has been a key factor in the conflict. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. This indicates ongoing Russian air support and strike capabilities in proximity to the northern and northeastern front lines, including potentially the Kupyansk direction.
• The reported alleged changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, while presented through a specific political lens by a pro-Russian source, could have symbolic and internal political implications within Russia.
• The criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor, while seemingly an internal matter, can be a strategic indicator of potential political infighting within Russia. The expiration of the statute of limitations in a high-profile criminal case, while an internal legal matter, could have broader strategic implications related to the rule of law and accountability within Russia.
• The Russian military media's emphasis on the role of women in the conflict serves a strategic purpose in information operations, likely aimed at bolstering domestic support and potentially encouraging recruitment.
• The expansion of Russian drone activity to include Kirovohrad and Vinnytsia Oblasts suggests a potential strategic shift. The sharing of videos by Colonelcassad with captions framing Ukrainian mobilization negatively is a strategic information operation aimed at undermining Ukrainian morale and international support by portraying the draft as unpopular and coercive. Police of Khabarovsk Krai's post on the convoy service, while seemingly a domestic matter, highlights an aspect of the Russian state's capacity for internal control and security. This could be strategically relevant in the context of maintaining order within Russia, including in areas impacted by the conflict or in handling individuals detained in relation to it.
• The appointment of a "Hero of Russia" to a senior civilian position in the Ministry of Education is a strategic move aimed at integrating military figures into government leadership and potentially influencing educational policy with a focus on patriotism and national service. This has long-term implications for shaping the values and perspectives of the younger generation in Russia.
• Colonelcassad's dissemination of "testimony" alleging mistreatment of Russian POWs is a strategic information operation aimed at portraying Ukrainian forces negatively, potentially justifying Russia's actions regarding prisoners of war, and influencing international perceptions of the conflict. This also serves to bolster domestic support by portraying Russian soldiers as victims and highlighting perceived Ukrainian brutality.
• РБК-Україна reports on the joint statement by the Weimar+ group of European foreign ministers and the EU High Representative. This underscores the continued strategic importance of diplomatic coordination and unified messaging among key international partners supporting Ukraine. The statement's content on ceasefire efforts, sanctions, frozen assets, security guarantees, and continued support for Kyiv reflects the multifaceted strategic approach of these nations to the conflict.
• TASS reports that a Moscow court has arrested Grigory Chekhonadskikh, a member of the Izmaylovskaya organized crime group, on charges of contract killing. While an internal legal matter, significant organized crime cases can have broader implications for internal stability and resource allocation, which are strategically relevant.
• Police of Khabarovsk Krai reports that a criminal case regarding the illegal circulation of specially valuable aquatic biological resources (sturgeon) has been sent to court in the Ulchsky district. While a regional law enforcement matter, combating illegal resource exploitation can be strategically important for maintaining state control and economic stability.
• ASTRA reports that the co-chairman of the "Golos" movement has been sentenced to five years in a general regime colony and banned from public activities for nine years. This is a significant political development related to the suppression of independent civil society and has strategic implications for the information environment within Russia.
• ТАСС reports that a court has sentenced four participants in the Makhachkala airport riots to 10 years in a general regime colony. This highlights legal and political consequences for unrest, which has strategic implications for internal stability.
• ASTRA reports on extensive wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai. This highlights a significant internal natural disaster that could strain resources and impact economic activity, which has strategic implications for Russia's overall capacity.
• АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports, citing the Ukrainian Ministry of Education, that a significant number of male students aged 25 and older are being prepared for expulsion to increase the pool of potential military personnel. This suggests a potential strategic effort by Ukraine to address manpower needs and bolster its military forces.
• Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption mentioning Kazan and the alleged embezzlement in the army. This suggests an internal issue or narrative related to corruption that could impact military effectiveness and public trust, which has strategic implications.
• ТАСС and «Зона СВО» report that Putin will hold talks with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, followed by a media statement, and that the exact dates for Putin's visit to Iran are not yet agreed upon, but there is an existing invitation. These indicate ongoing diplomatic engagements that have strategic implications for Russia's international relations and influence.
• РБК-Україна reports a significant increase in prices for essential food products in Ukraine. This highlights the economic impact of the conflict on the civilian population, which has strategic implications for social stability and government legitimacy.
• Басурин о главном promoting a Soviet military film is a clear example of a Russian information operation aimed at promoting military service and using cultural products for propaganda, which has strategic implications for recruitment and national ideology.
• Оперативний ЗСУ sharing a video claiming to show a Russian promoting a disturbing message to a child about becoming like a deceased soldier is likely shared as an example of Russian propaganda efforts aimed at youth, which has strategic implications for shaping future generations.
• НгП раZVедка reporting on a visible concentration of Ukrainian forces and equipment in Chernihiv Oblast, particularly near Novy Borovichi, and increased Ukrainian reconnaissance UAV flights over Bryansk Oblast suggests potential Ukrainian tactical or strategic movements and intelligence gathering efforts in these border regions, which are strategically relevant for anticipating future actions.
• Рыбарь provides commentary and analysis on EU programs aimed at enhancing security in Turkmenistan, highlighting geopolitical competition for influence in Central Asia, which is strategically important for Russia.
• ТАСС reports on the burial of actress Nina Grebeshkova in Moscow. This is a domestic cultural event. Новости Москвы reports that a train in honor of Zhirinovsky will be launched in the metro in 2026. This is a domestic political and cultural development.

---

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

---

Operational Workflow: (Continued based on new information)

Data from the new messages has been integrated into the existing analysis workflow. This includes:

• Data Collection and Preprocessing: The Russian Ministry of Defense briefing highlights, the details on Trump's meeting with Syrian leader, STERNENKO's fundraising information for drones, Dmitry Peskov's briefing highlights, Rybar's commentary on EU security programs in Turkmenistan, the report on Ukraine's progress towards EU accession, the Ukrainian underground report on Russian naval preparations, the collection of aid for children in Donbas, ASTRA's report on "Golos" co-chairman conviction, the Russian claim of developing "Tyuvik" attack UAV, the Russian claim of liberating a Russian POW, the BUTUSOV PLUS interview with Andriy Biletsky, the internal Russian criminal case regarding the Makhachkala airport riot, the specific military unit mentions (58th Motorized Infantry Brigade, 61st Marine Brigade), the map overlays with claimed Russian advances, ASTRA's report on wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai, TASS's report on EU sanctions circumvention, MoD Russia's update on the Vostok Group of Forces, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's report on alleged military misconduct, Два майора's report on the 61st Marine Brigade fundraising, ТАСС's report on the alcohol sales ban proposal, Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація's report on community cooperation, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's report on alleged student expulsions, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's report on the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade, Colonelcassad's fundraising effort, ТАСС's report on the conviction of the "Golos" co-chairman, ТАСС's report on the judicial development in Crimea, РБК-Україна's report on increased food prices, Басурин о главном's promotion of a Soviet military film, Оперативний ЗСУ's propaganda video, Воин DV's report on sniper action and hexacopter destruction, Alex Parker Returns' commentary on Kazan and alleged army embezzlement, and the reports on Putin's schedule and diplomatic engagements (Malaysia, Iran, Brazil) have been added to the relevant datasets.
• Analysis and Modeling: The Russian Ministry of Defense briefing highlights, including claimed losses and strikes, are being cross-referenced with other sources to assess their accuracy and potential implications for the overall military balance. The details on Trump's meeting with the Syrian leader are being analyzed for their broader geopolitical implications and potential indirect impacts on the conflict. STERNENKO's fundraising information is being analyzed for the scale of civilian support for military procurement and the emphasis on drone acquisition. Dmitry Peskov's briefing highlights are being analyzed for Russia's official stance on negotiations, strategic security, and upcoming diplomatic engagements. Rybar's commentary on EU security programs in Turkmenistan is being analyzed for geopolitical competition in Central Asia. The report on Ukraine's progress towards EU accession is being analyzed for its political and long-term strategic significance. The Ukrainian underground report on Russian naval preparations is being analyzed as new tactical intelligence. The collection of aid for children in Donbas highlights the humanitarian impact. ASTRA's report on "Golos" co-chairman conviction is being analyzed for internal Russian political dynamics and the suppression of civil society. The Russian claim of developing "Tyuvik" attack UAV is being analyzed for potential new technological developments in Russian drone capabilities and tactics. The Russian claim of liberating a Russian POW is noted as a development related to prisoner issues. The BUTUSOV PLUS interview with Andriy Biletsky is being analyzed for insights into Ukrainian military structure and leadership. The internal Russian criminal case regarding the Makhachkala airport riot is noted as a domestic legal issue. The specific military unit mentions are being used to track the deployment and activities of these units. The map overlays with claimed Russian advances are being analyzed in conjunction with other reports to assess the evolving front lines. ASTRA's report on wildfires in Zabaykalsky Krai is noted as a significant internal natural disaster. TASS's report on EU sanctions circumvention is being analyzed for ongoing efforts to tighten economic pressure on Russia. MoD Russia's update on the Vostok Group of Forces provides a general overview of their activities. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники's report on alleged military misconduct is being analyzed for potential impacts on morale and internal stability within the Russian military. Два майора's report on the 61st Marine Brigade fundraising highlights the reliance on external support for specific Ukrainian units. ТАСС's report on the alcohol sales ban proposal is a domestic social policy discussion. Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація's report on community cooperation highlights internal Ukrainian efforts. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's report on alleged student expulsions is being analyzed as a potential effort by Ukraine to increase manpower. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ's report on the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade promotes a specific unit and its equipment. Colonelcassad's fundraising effort highlights reliance on public support for specific equipment needs. ТАСС's report on the conviction of the "Golos" co-chairman reinforces legal developments related to civil society. ТАСС's report on the judicial development in Crimea highlights security concerns. РБК-Україна's report on increased food prices highlights the economic impact on civilians. Басурин о главном's promotion of a Soviet military film and Оперативний ЗСУ's propaganda video are examples of information operations. Воин DV's report on sniper action and hexacopter destruction highlights specific tactical engagements. Alex Parker Returns' commentary on Kazan and alleged army embezzlement suggests a narrative related to internal corruption. The reports on Putin's schedule and diplomatic engagements are being analyzed for Russia's international relations and potential strategic discussions.
• Reporting and Visualization: Updated maps and reports continue to include claimed Russian advances and contested areas, including the claimed liberation of Mikhailovka. Reports on military aid commitments and sanctions packages are being included, with specific details from the latest EU package added. The sections on Aerial and Naval Activity, Diplomatic and Political Developments, Internal Russian Issues, Support and Rehabilitation, and Force Composition and Tactics are being updated with the latest information and analysis, including details on recruitment efforts, claimed tactical successes, counter-UAV tactics, diplomatic exchanges, legal changes, and impacts on civilian populations. The Strategic Considerations section is being updated to reflect the implications of these new developments, such as the evolving diplomatic landscape, the impact of sanctions, the adaptation of tactics, and internal dynamics within both countries, as well as new intelligence on Russian naval preparations, potential Ukrainian mobilization efforts, and internal Russian military issues.
• Feedback Loop: The updated analysis and reports are disseminated to human commanders for feedback, which is incorporated to refine future assessments and recommendations.

This continuous process ensures that the analysis remains agile and responsive to the dynamic operational environment, providing commanders with the most accurate and relevant information to support their decision-making while adhering to ethical standards and minimizing collateral damage.

---

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.