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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-05-13 13:28:53Z
9 months ago
Previous (2025-05-13 12:58:39Z)

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 13, 2025, 13:26 UTC)


Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, persistent aerial and drone activity, and targeted strikes, particularly in Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk border region. Russia continues to claim tactical successes and territorial control, including the liberation of Mirolyubovka and progress in the Bogatyr area. Ukrainian forces are actively defending, conducting counterintelligence operations, and utilizing drone capabilities. Diplomatic efforts continue, with reports of potential negotiations in Turkey involving US envoys, though explicit Russian messaging ("There will be no truce!") and Ukrainian conditions suggest a diplomatic breakthrough is not imminent. Internal Russian issues, including alleged corruption, challenges with military recruitment, and information operations, continue to be reported. Recent updates indicate ongoing political commentary from Russian leadership and a call for donations from an independent Russian media outlet.

New significant updates:

  • Ukrainian Efforts Regarding Prisoners of War and Missing Personnel: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War, with the initiative of the "Women of Territorial Defense" association, held a meeting with families of soldiers from the 111th separate territorial defense brigade to discuss the search for and return of their relatives from Russian captivity, as well as the search for missing personnel and the identification of fallen soldiers. This highlights ongoing Ukrainian efforts to address the humanitarian impact of the conflict and support the families of those captured or missing. The discussion included the process of submitting requests to the Russian side for all categories of captured and missing personnel.
  • Russian Digitalization of Military Registration and Summonses: Reports indicate that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, allowing individuals to access a personal account with passport and insurance data. While sections for summonses and temporary restrictions are still being populated, the system is expected to work similarly to public services websites. Lawyers suggest that a summons will be considered delivered even if the individual has not logged into the website, becoming valid immediately upon sending for registered users or after 7 days for those without a personal account. This signifies a significant step in the digitalization of Russian military conscription processes and potentially streamlines the identification and notification of individuals for military service.
  • Allegations of Torture Chamber in Vovchansk: Ukrainian intelligence (GUR) reports that two individuals born in 1991 and 1993, identified as members of illegal armed groups from the so-called "L/DPR," have been notified of suspicion of organizing a torture chamber in Vovchansk. This points to alleged war crimes and human rights abuses in occupied or contested territories and ongoing Ukrainian efforts to investigate and prosecute such cases.
  • Russian Claims of Advances in the Andreevskoe Direction (Bogatyri and Otradnoe): Rybar reports on the military situation in the Andreevskoe direction as of 16:00 on May 13th, claiming successful Russian advances on several sectors. Specifically, it is reported that Russian forces are approaching the Volchya river, which indirectly suggests progress near Alekseevka. Russian forces are claimed to control approximately 70% of Bogatyri, despite Ukrainian resistance and the transfer of reserves. Claims of full control over Bogatyri are stated to be inaccurate as of 16:00 on May 13th, with fighting ongoing. Further south, a fortified stronghold at the intersection of highways H-15 and T-05-18 has reportedly been cleared, and assault groups are present to the west. Successes are also claimed on the Bogatyri-Otradnoe line, with Russian units occupying several tree lines and pushing Ukrainian forces closer to Otradnoe. It is suggested that fighting for Otradnoe could begin in the coming days. This indicates continued Russian offensive pressure and claimed tactical gains in this area of Donetsk Oblast.
  • Ukrainian Support for Military Units: Oleksandr Vilkul, head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council, reports on sending aid to the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade and the 21st Brigade of the National Guard (military unit 3011). The aid includes 4 pickup trucks, 10 charging stations, training equipment, electrical goods, and other items, totaling over 7.3 million UAH. He also states that since the start of the full-scale war, over 2.8 billion UAH in aid has been provided to over 200 military units with the support of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council. This highlights ongoing Ukrainian efforts at the regional level to provide material support to their armed forces.
  • Russian Commentary on Ukraine's Mobilization and Russia's Volunteer Recruitment: Russian President Putin claims that, unlike in Russia where 50-60 thousand volunteers join the army each month, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization with methods comparable to catching dogs in the street, recruiting around 30 thousand people per month. НгП раZVедка echoes this statement, praising Putin for being direct. Colonelcassad also highlights Putin's claims regarding recruitment numbers in both countries and links Ukraine's alleged forced mobilization and high losses to the desire for a 30-day ceasefire. This is a clear information operation aimed at discrediting Ukrainian mobilization efforts, portraying a negative image of the Ukrainian government, and highlighting claimed differences in recruitment methods and public support for the military effort in both countries.
  • Continued Discussion on Potential Istanbul Negotiations: РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official. The official describes the situation as "very dynamic" and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." CNN is cited as the source. Regardless of Trump's presence, the US envoys (Witkoff and Kellogg) plan to be in Istanbul as observers. Colonelcassad also reports on the US envoys attending the Istanbul talks (Witkoff and Kellogg) and notes the possible appearance of Trump only if Putin is present. He also mentions Rubio visiting Antalya. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны echoes the Reuters report on US envoys traveling to Istanbul and the uncertainty of Trump's personal attendance, citing CNN. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, including the issue of territories. He added that Russia is ready to negotiate responsibly but doubts the other side's ability to reach agreements. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on the potential Istanbul talks, dismissively referring to Ukrainians and questioning the likelihood of Putin engaging directly with the Ukrainian delegation at this stage. He suggests the Ukrainian delegation will eventually engage in talks regardless of Putin's presence. РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, his view on Putin's intentions, why Putin avoids direct contact with Trump, the likelihood of Putin's attendance, how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, the threat of new sanctions, and whether Trump could withdraw from talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin will arrive in Istanbul, which would lead to Trump's arrival, and that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues. This further highlights the differing priorities and conditions for negotiations. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence in Istanbul. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul, but confirms the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg. This indicates continued focus on the diplomatic track and its complexities.
  • Russian Commentary on Economic Resilience and Western Brands: Russian President Putin stated that the Russian economy is demonstrating resilience and developing. He also commented that Russian brands are emerging, and their quality is often better than Western products. He added that apologies from Western brands would not be enough for their return, and Russia would only allow them back if it's beneficial. ТАСС reports on these statements by Putin. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны echoes Putin's statements on the economy and Western brands. ТАСС further reports on Putin's specific comment that Russian brands have become a significant factor and their quality is often better. ТАСС also reports on Putin's statement that Russia should allow Western companies back only if it is beneficial to the country, referencing WTO rules.
  • Russian Commentary on Inflation and Economic Policy: Russian President Putin called high inflation one of the main problems of the current Russian economy. He stated that Russia needs a "soft landing" in the economy, meaning suppressing inflation without freezing development. ТАСС reports on these comments by Putin.
  • Russian Commentary on Sanctions: Russian President Putin stated that Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything. ТАСС reports on this statement. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны echoes Putin's comments on sanctions.
  • Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Western Actions: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report from Два майора announcing the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire), with a planned output of up to 10,000 missiles per year. The report frames this as Western countries preparing for war with Russia while talking about peace. This highlights the perception within some Russian military blogging circles of Western intentions and the ongoing arms race.
  • Continued Reporting on Russian Military Desertions and Recruitment Issues: ASTRA reports on the escape of 10 armed servicemen from the Kuzminsky training ground near Chkalovo in Rostov Oblast, confirming they are former convicts, some with convictions for murder and robbery, and that they were contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine. A relative of one escapee is quoted, stating the reason for escape must have been significant. ASTRA also reports that four escapees have been caught and the search for the others continues. This adds further detail to the previously reported escape incident.
  • Allegations of Weapon Smuggling from "LPR" to Russia: ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg, Alexey Panzhev, is accused of attempting to smuggle several Kalashnikov assault rifles and hand grenades from the "Luhansk People's Republic" to Rostov Oblast in February 2025. He reportedly admitted guilt and was working in one of the territorial units of the Investigative Committee in Luhansk since 2023. This highlights potential issues with illicit arms trafficking from occupied territories into Russia, potentially involving individuals with official positions.
  • Russian Legal Measures Related to Taxi Localization: TASS reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on the localization of taxi vehicles. The law requires cars to gain a certain number of localization points (for production or parts made in Russia) to be included in the taxi registry. This is an internal economic and regulatory measure. Новости Москвы also reports on this law.
  • Wildfire Near Russian Cosmodrome: TASS reports that a forest fire that approached the closed town of Tsiolkovsky in Amur Oblast, located near the Vostochny Cosmodrome, has been localized and there is no longer a threat to the city. This indicates a successful response to a natural disaster near a strategic facility. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this fire approaching the town.
  • Russian Political Meeting: TASS reports that Russian President Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya" (Business Russia).
  • Russian Announcement of Search for Graffiti Artist: Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg, 31-year-old Yevgeny Smirnov, who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny" on a fence. He is accused of hooliganism motivated by political hatred and is reportedly now in France after leaving Russia. This highlights ongoing efforts to suppress dissent and control information within Russia.
  • Russian Military Blogger Reports on Fighting in Bogatyr: Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. He claims that two-thirds of the village is under the control of the "Vostok" group of forces and that clearing operations are ongoing in the southern, southeastern, and eastern parts. He urges caution in reporting achievements and emphasizes the importance of allowing assault units to consolidate positions. This indicates ongoing tactical engagements and contested control in this area.
  • Russian Military Blogger Reports on Combat in Sudzha: Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions in Belovody and the vicinity of Vodolagi coming under Ukrainian shelling. He claims that Russian forces have advanced at least 1.5 km from the demarcation line in the southern direction in the Sumy security zone. Geocoordinates are provided for specific locations and times within a video (not analyzed here). This suggests ongoing tactical activity and Russian claims of limited advances in this border area.
  • Ukrainian Drone Attack on Kharkiv: Oleh Syniehubov, head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration, reports a preliminary assessment of a Russian UAV strike (likely "Molniya" type) in the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv, with no casualties reported so far. This confirms continued Russian drone activity targeting Kharkiv.
  • Russian MoD Claims Destruction of Ukrainian SAM and MLRS: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video from Ukrainian Special Operations Forces claiming the successful attack and destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 surface-to-air missile system and an Uragan-1 multiple launch rocket system. The video reportedly shows detonation and uncontrolled missile launches, indicating critical damage. This highlights successful Ukrainian targeting of valuable Russian air defense and artillery assets, likely through reconnaissance and coordinated strikes.
  • Russian Law on Out-of-Court Bankruptcy for Military Personnel: Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the "special military operation," allowing them to utilize this mechanism if their debt does not exceed 1 million rubles, they have no seizable property, and an enforcement document was issued and not fulfilled at least a year prior. This indicates measures to provide financial relief and support for those involved in the conflict.
  • Unavailability of Independent Russian Media Channel in Telegram: ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent St. Petersburg publication MR7 (Moy Rayon) has become inaccessible in search and is marked as private. This follows the loss of the publication's media status in Russia due to a lawsuit by Roskomnadzor over the labeling of "foreign agents." This suggests continued pressure and censorship of independent media in Russia.
  • German Chancellor on Sanctions and Ceasefire: Alex Parker Returns and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 report that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, Germany will decide to strengthen sanctions against Russia, specifically targeting energy and financial markets. This indicates continued international pressure on Russia and links potential further sanctions to progress in de-escalation efforts.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

  • Donetsk Oblast (Bogatyr, Alekseevka, Otradnoe, Horlivka, Druzhba, Toretsk, H-15 and T-05-18 highways): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces, including the "Center" Group of Forces, claim the complete liberation of Mirolyubovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Russian military bloggers continue to claim advances and territorial control in various areas, including near Otradnye and Bogatyr, and are pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports tense fighting in the vicinity of Toretsk, claiming Russian control of "practically the entire city" but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in both defensive and offensive operations, utilizing drone capabilities effectively. Civilian casualties and damage from shelling are reported (Luhansk, previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on the front lines, control of populated areas, and fortifications on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian drone control points and logistical assets in Donetsk Oblast. Death of a Ukrainian soldier reported near Toretsk (previously). Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area and active combat near Horlivka, with claimed Russian gains north of Druzhba. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and outlining the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attacks. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including Russian objectives of cutting off Ukrainian groupings and reaching key settlements like Izium and Sloviansk, and describing ongoing battles and the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, claiming two-thirds of the village is under the control of the "Vostok" group of forces and that clearing operations are ongoing. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction (Bogatyri and Otradnoe), claiming control of approximately 70% of Bogatyri and clearing a stronghold at the intersection of highways H-15 and T-05-18. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS near Toretsk, Donetsk Oblast, by Ukrainian Special Operations Forces. Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, resulting in injuries and damage to a house. Russian source (Mash на Донbasse) reports damage to houses and a car in the village of Kamianka as a result of Ukrainian shelling.
  • Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Sudzha, Belovody, Vodolagi, Kommunar village): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use in the Tetkino area are reported. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing ongoing shelling and a challenging environment for local residents. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. The Russian SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast, referring to them as "valuable assets" and potentially seeking to exchange them for "Azov" fighters. ТАСС reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets" and may demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. ASTRA reports a drone attacked a monument in Kommunar village.
  • Sumy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on this direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners. Russian sources claim forceful mobilization and engagement of Ukrainian cooks in this area (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast, which is adjacent to Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, potentially impacting this and other border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating Russian presence and administrative efforts. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area and Russian claims of limited advances in the Sumy security zone. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports launches of guided aerial bombs towards the region.
  • Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb).
  • Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups at a personnel accumulation point using SDB bombs (previously). Air raid alert declared due to the threat of Russian aviation (previously), but later cleared. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, with discussions on the region's recovery, highlighting the significant percentage of occupied territory and the impact of shelling and casualties. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA discussed the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports one FAB strike in the Zaporizhzhia area, close to the front line. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses.
  • Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border to gain fire control over a logistical hub (previously). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in the oblast while advancing (previously). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the locations of Ukrainian forces in the Dnipro area. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces have advanced over 2.5 km westwards from Novosyolka towards the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" and fled, being apprehended later. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Rybar reports on Russian troops successfully advancing in the Andreevskoe direction and getting closer to the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
  • Chernihiv Oblast: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint in the Chernihiv region.
  • Transnistria (Moldova): Mentioned in the context of Russian diplomatic tension with Moldova over historical textbook content.
  • Moldova: Experiencing diplomatic tension with Russia over historical textbook content regarding the Transnistrian conflict. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy. Russian MFA condemns Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria.
  • Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict. TASS reports that the Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital of Libya, and several districts are reportedly without power. This signifies a potential conclusion to the recent intense clashes, although the impact on infrastructure is evident.
  • Lithuania: International military exercises "Thunder Fortress 2025" are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region.
  • Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted the economy here. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks.
  • United Kingdom: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities.
  • Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk, one in the area and one in the city.
  • Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in this area. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, which is in the general vicinity of Velikaya Novosyolka, and mentions the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction.
  • Mariupol (Donetsk Oblast): ASTRA shares a video of residents appealing to the Russian parliament about housing issues and alleged corruption (previously). Mash на Донбассе reports the discovery of a weapons cache from WWII in Mariupol.
  • Luhansk: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. ТАСС shares video footage of the alleged aftermath of this attack. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, resulting in damage and casualties among emergency responders.
  • Kaluga (Russia): Incident involving a woman setting fire to Russian National Guard vehicles reported (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports on this incident, highlighting the alleged actions of the woman.
  • Novosibirsk Oblast (Russia): Criminal case opened against a regional official (previously).
  • Khimki (Moscow Oblast, Russia): Video reportedly shows fresh graves at a cemetery (previously).
  • Kherson Oblast: Russian Ministry of Defense shares a video of snipers undergoing drills (previously). Sentencing in an assassination attempt case reported (previously). Ukrainian Air Force warns of drone threat (previously), but later lifted. Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian personnel in Mkhy and at MA PP "Krest," and an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya. Colonelcassad reports a drone attack on an ambulance in Novaya Zburyevka, Kherson Oblast, during a claimed ceasefire period (reported previously in the 6-hour old data).
  • Republic of Crimea: Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of a Ukrainian UAV (previously). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO," related to this region. ASTRA reports a local resident allegedly vandalized flags on the graves of deceased participants in the conflict with Ukraine here.
  • Stavropol Krai (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police for corruption.
  • Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian UAVs (previously). Reports of shelling (previously). Colonelcassad claims a Ukrainian drone strike on the Belgorod regional government building resulted in injuries during a claimed ceasefire period (reported previously in the 6-hour old data).
  • Verona (Italy): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference.
  • Krasnoyarsk (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process.
  • Pokrovsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Mirolyubovka was liberated on this direction.
  • Nizhny Novgorod (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a trip for children to Minsk focusing on shared history. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman here.
  • Minsk (Belarus): Destination for a trip for children from Nizhny Novgorod focusing on historical sites.
  • Habarovsk Krai (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a procedural update for the Interior Ministry. Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Interior Ministry here. Полиция Хабаровского края highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs here.
  • Perm (Russia): Alex Parker Returns reports a disturbing alleged violent crime here. TASS reports on a temporary closure of a bar here due to sanitary violations following the discovery of a deceased person.
  • Rostov Oblast (Russia) (Kuzminsky training ground, Chkalovo, Kamensk-Shakhtinsky): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground here, specifically identified as the Kuzminsky training ground near Chkalovo. ASTRA provides additional details, including that the escapees are former convicts and were reportedly contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, and reports the military is actively searching for the remaining escapees. Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky. ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast.
  • Kryvyi Rih (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine): Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike here, including many child casualties. Олександр Вілкул reports on sending aid to Ukrainian military units from Kryvyi Rih.
  • Leningrad Oblast (Russia): TASS reports that a criminal case has been initiated and an investigation is underway regarding a child's death from poisoning after visiting a cafe here (previously). TASS reports on sanitary violations in a cafe where a child died from poisoning here.
  • Moscow Oblast (Russia) (Ramenky): Новости Москвы reports a raven attack on a teenager here. Новости Москвы reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. Новости Москвы reports on dog poisoning incidents in Moscow.
  • Penza (Russia): Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from a military event here on May 9th.
  • Syria: Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from here to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group.
  • Slovakia: РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted the economy here.
  • Hungary: РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted the economy here. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks.
  • Kyrgyzstan: Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" here, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred.
  • Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine): Colonelcassad reports a man here allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" and fled, being apprehended later.
  • Chechnya (Russia): ASTRA reports on an incident here where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. Alex Parker Returns reports on the removal of Orthodox crosses from the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya.
  • Bilozershchyna (Cherkasy Oblast, Ukraine): Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna.
  • White Church (Kyiv Oblast, Ukraine): Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP related to the Savior-Transfiguration Cathedral in White Church, claiming the cathedral belongs to the OCU.
  • Kharkiv (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology. Oleh Syniehubov reports a likely Russian drone strike in the Shevchenkivskyi district.
  • Khmelnytskyi (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the Khmelnytskyi NPP.
  • Rivne (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the Rivne NPP.
  • South Ukraine (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from the South Ukraine NPP.
  • Chornobyl Zone (Ukraine): Рыбарь reports the transportation of spent fuel to the Chornobyl zone is occurring without full observation.
  • Novopavlivka direction (likely Donetsk Oblast): РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses.
  • Tsiolkovsky (Amur Oblast, Russia): TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city from a natural fire. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this fire. TASS reports that the forest fire has been localized and there is no threat to the city.
  • Lyman direction (Donetsk Oblast): РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction.
  • St. Petersburg (Russia): Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined here for a sarcastic song related to the conflict. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident here who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny". ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible here. ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district here is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast.
  • Amur Oblast (Russia): TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city of Tsiolkovsky here from a natural fire. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on this fire. TASS reports that the forest fire near Tsiolkovsky has been localized.
  • Sudzha (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Сливочный каприз reports combat operations here, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances.
  • Belovody (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Сливочный каприз reports Russian forward positions here came under Ukrainian shelling.
  • Vodolagi (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Сливочный каприз reports Russian forward positions in the vicinity here came under Ukrainian shelling.
  • Istanbul (Turkey): ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel here for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling here for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling here for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling here for proposed negotiations. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations here will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations here. РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin arrives here, leading to Trump's arrival. ТАСС reports CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip here.
  • Antalya (Turkey): Colonelcassad reports that Rubio will be visiting here from May 14th to 16th.
  • Vovchansk (Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine): РБК-Україна reports on alleged torture chamber here.
  • Andreevskoe direction (likely Donetsk Oblast): Rybar reports on Russian advances here.
  • Shevchenkivskyi district (Kharkiv, Ukraine): Oleh Syniehubov reports a likely Russian drone strike here.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

  • Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft, previously). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce (previously). Air alert issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Claims of Ukrainian forces using FPV drones in Kursk. Ukrainian showcase of a drone with a grenade launcher. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone near Malinivka. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 74 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles over the past day. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA discussed the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA discussed the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports one FAB strike in the Zaporizhzhia area, close to the front line. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a shot down "Phoenix" drone (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast, which was later lifted (previously). Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use (previously). The Ukrainian Air Force issued a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to the potential use of attack drones, which was later lifted. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a communication tower with EW in the Sumy region. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, resulting in damage and casualties. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation). Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances, potentially involving drone activity. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. ASTRA reports a drone attacked a monument in Kommunar village, Kursk Oblast. Oleh Syniehubov reports a likely Russian drone strike in the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, likely with drone assistance.
  • Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts (previously). Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions (previously). Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing (previously). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reported the use of a FAB-3000 guided aerial bomb against alleged Ukrainian forces advancing on Tyotkino in the Kursk border region (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 8 US-made JDAM guided aerial bombs over the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the eastern and northeastern directions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports one FAB strike in the Zaporizhzhia area, close to the front line. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast.
  • Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea (previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of one HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 MLRS.
  • Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas (previously). A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean (previously). Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues (previously). The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO," related to this region. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US, potentially impacting naval logistics and control. Два майора discusses the potential use of naval escorts for Russian merchant ships (previously). TASS reports that the Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital of Libya, and several districts are reportedly without power.
  • Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems (previously). Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 74 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles, 8 US-made JDAM guided aerial bombs, and one HIMARS MLRS projectile over the past day. Colonelcassad shares photos related to an SA-6 Gainful system, relevant to air defense. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a communication tower with EW in the Sumy region. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares images of a SAM system, likely a S-75 Dvina, in a deployed position, discussing its potential use and vulnerability. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets, which likely includes countering drones and other threats. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by FPV interceptors in the South. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM.
  • Artillery Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian artillery shelling impacting residents in Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 13 field artillery guns and mortars over the past day across all directions. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports over 54,018 enemy shellings in the Zaporizhzhia region since the beginning of 2025 (likely a typo for 2022). The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a 120-mm mortar in Progress. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including Russian objectives of cutting off Ukrainian groupings and reaching key settlements like Izium and Sloviansk, and describing ongoing battles and the use of artillery and drones by both sides. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that there has been increased shelling on the Novopavlivsk direction. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and active combat near Horlivka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Uragan-1 MLRS. Russian source (Mash на Донbasse) reports damage to houses and a car in Kamianka as a result of Ukrainian shelling.
  • Anti-Personnel Mines: Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners.
  • Mining: Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border.
  • Electronic Warfare (EW): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

  • Ceasefire and Negotiation Discussions: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals. While diplomatic efforts persist (Zelenskyy-Erdogan call, Turkish mediation efforts), messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO reports that the Kremlin will announce Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks when Putin deems it necessary, and notes speculation about Lavrov and Ushakov. Colonelcassad also reports that the Russian delegation in Istanbul will be led by Lavrov and Ushakov. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Russia continues to prepare for the Istanbul talks and that the Kremlin will announce who will represent Russia when Putin deems it necessary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 echoes Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) claims that Russia made it clear that a delegation led by Yury Ushakov will go to Istanbul, and portrays Zelenskyy's desire to meet Putin as an obstacle to peace talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the ongoing preparations for Istanbul talks and Peskov's statement, expressing skepticism about the process. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets" and may demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, including the issue of territories, and expressed doubts about the other side's ability to reach agreements. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul, expressing skepticism about their effectiveness and questioning the likelihood of Putin attending to speak directly with the Ukrainian delegation at this stage. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, his view on Putin's intentions, why Putin avoids direct contact with Trump, the likelihood of Putin's attendance, how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, the threat of new sanctions, and whether Trump could withdraw from talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin will arrive in Istanbul, which would lead to Trump's arrival, and that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul.
  • International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry. The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, highlighting international partnerships for recovery. STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum, implying the need for continued international efforts to pressure Russia. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary, two countries with ties to Russia, potentially influencing their stance on the conflict and aid to Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, focusing on energy and financial markets. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Олександр Вілкул reports on sending significant aid to Ukrainian military units from Kryvyi Rih. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting the impact of Western-provided or supported capabilities. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, sanctions against Russia will be strengthened.
  • Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy. Russian MFA condemns Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria.
  • Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO and Colonelcassad report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reiterate Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks depends on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, his view on Putin's intentions, why Putin avoids direct contact with Trump, the likelihood of Putin's attendance, how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, the threat of new sanctions, and whether Trump could withdraw from talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin will arrive in Istanbul, leading to Trump's arrival, and that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul.
  • Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing a Ukrainian MP, claims high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of two individuals suspected of state treason, alleging they were agents of the FSB. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on recovery and attracting investment. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective, referring to him as the "husband of the current dictator of Ukraine." The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks depends on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, his view on Putin's intentions, why Putin avoids direct contact with Trump, the likelihood of Putin's attendance, how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, the threat of new sanctions, and whether Trump could withdraw from talks. РБК-Україна reports on alleged torture chamber in Vovchansk, linking it to members of "L/DPR" armed groups.
  • Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue (Kaluga incident, previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. Филолог в засаде comments on internal Russian military discussions and potential areas for reform. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats." Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Interior Ministry. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses. Alex Parker Returns reports a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground in Rostov Oblast. TASS reports on a temporary closure of a bar in Perm due to sanitary violations following the discovery of a deceased person. Новости Москвы reports a raven attack on a teenager in Ramenky. TASS reports on sanitary violations in a cafe in Leningrad Oblast where a child died from poisoning. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. Новости Москвы reports the State Duma adopted a law on requirements for the level of localization of taxis. ТАСС reports from May 23, online appeals to the Ministry of Internal Affairs will be accepted only through confirmed "Gosuslugi." Новости Москвы announces "Museum Night" from May 17-18. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for a sarcastic song "Za Nashikh," which was found to contain calls for violence by experts. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were contracted with the Russian Ministry of Defense for deployment to Ukraine, and reports the military is actively searching for the remaining escapees. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. TASS reports that the Ministry of Emergency Situations is protecting the city of Tsiolkovsky in Amur Oblast from a natural fire. TASS reports that Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya." ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. ТАСС reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that the Russian economy is demonstrating resilience and developing, and commented on Russian brands and Western companies. ТАСС reports that Putin called high inflation one of the main problems and stated Russia needs a "soft landing" in the economy. ТАСС reports that Putin stated Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov expressed doubts about the other side's ability to reach agreements during negotiations. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny". Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. ASTRA is appealing for donations to support their work, highlighting challenges faced by independent media in Russia. Новости Москвы reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses. TASS reports that the forest fire near Tsiolkovsky has been localized. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding economic resilience and Western brands. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding inflation and economic policy. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding sanctions. TASS reports on Putin's statement on the quality of Russian brands. TASS reports on Putin's statement on allowing Western companies back. TASS reports on the adoption of the law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible in Telegram.
  • Russia-Belarus Relations: Close cooperation reported with plans for a Belarusian Consulate General (previously). An international boxing tournament in Bryansk involving Russian and Belarusian силові відомства ( силові відомства) highlights continued cooperation and joint events (previously). A trip for Russian children to Minsk focusing on shared history reinforces these ties (previously).
  • UK-Russia Relations: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia in the UK, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities and straining relations.
  • Russia-Lithuania Relations: Military exercises in Lithuania described by Russia as being directed against them indicate increased tension and military posturing in the Baltic region.
  • Hungary-Ukraine Relations: Unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border could indicate increased tension or a shift in Hungary's posture towards the conflict. This report requires verification. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Hungary. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks.
  • Turkey-Russia Relations: Discussions continue regarding a potential meeting in Turkey (previously). STERNENKO, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS echoes Yermak's statement. Alex Parker Returns reiterates Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official. РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin arrives here, leading to Trump's arrival. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip here.
  • Other International Developments: Armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya (previously). India-Pakistan conflict remains an external development (previously). ASTRA reports on the outcome of a mayoral election in the Philippines involving a candidate under ICC arrest (previously). Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia and potential meetings (previously). Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources (previously). Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group, questioning the narrative of this group. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process, including the potential involvement of third countries and international organizations. Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology, and there is a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from several Ukrainian NPPs to the Chornobyl zone. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week. TASS reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin arrives in Istanbul, leading to Trump's arrival. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence in Istanbul. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, sanctions against Russia will be strengthened.
  • Judicial System (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers (previously). Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, alleging fraud and inadequate construction. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for "discrediting" the army. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, potentially highlighting illegal activities. ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny". TASS reports the State Duma has adopted a law on the localization of taxi vehicles. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO.
  • Financial Sector (Ukraine): Discussion regarding changes to limits on card transfers and payments via IBAN (previously).
  • Financial Sector (Russia): Reports on Sber and VTB canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs (previously). TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened this week, focusing on energy and financial markets. TASS reports that Putin called high inflation one of the main problems and stated Russia needs a "soft landing." TASS reports that Putin stated Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, sanctions against Russia will be strengthened.
  • Ukraine-US Relations: РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources (previously). Fighterbomber comments on this agreement (previously). STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, citing Reuters. РБК-Україна also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations, noting it is unclear if President Trump will join. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and STERNENKO also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul for proposed negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin arrives in Istanbul, leading to Trump's arrival. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence in Istanbul. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul.
  • Demographics (Ukraine): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the severe demographic impact of the war on Ukraine, with deaths significantly exceeding births in 2024 (previously).

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

  • Internal Security: Alleged involvement of Russian special services in a fire in Warsaw as accused by Poland (reported previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. Reports from a pro-Russian source allege changes to the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, removing religious symbols, which is presented as a political outcome. A criminal case against a figure linked to the former Kursk Oblast governor highlights internal issues related to corruption. Police of Khabarovsk Krai highlights the history and role of the convoy service within the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny". ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible in Telegram, suggesting continued pressure on independent media. Новости Москвы reports on dog poisoning incidents in Moscow.
  • Legal Developments: TASS reports the State Duma has adopted a law on the localization of taxi vehicles. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO.
  • Information Operations: Russia continues to promote narratives about the conflict and internal issues. The Russian MoD is releasing footage of military operations. Maria Zakharova's condemnation of Moldovan textbooks serves a specific narrative about Russia's role in regional conflicts. Adam Kadyrov's receipt of another medal is likely used to promote his status and the security structures he is associated with. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory and the presence of a Polish mercenary in Kursk Oblast are likely used to portray Ukraine and its allies as aggressors. Messages on Russian drones stating "There will be no truce!" are a direct form of information warfare and propaganda (previously). Updated operational maps shared by Colonelcassad visually represent the conflict from a pro-Russian perspective, highlighting claimed Russian gains. Russia is framing military exercises in Lithuania as being directed against them and is stating they will take countermeasures. Alex Parker Returns' reporting on the unconfirmed Hungarian armor movement near the Ukrainian border, including a subsequent photo and text, suggests a Russian narrative is being formed around this event. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers (previously), which has implications for the internal information space. TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts, indicating a strategic effort to control information and promote a specific narrative (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire, which is part of the information war (previously). TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, which can be used to portray political instability in a neighboring country. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary contrasting the perception of World War II and the current conflict, touching on the brutality and potentially serving as commentary on narratives surrounding it (previously). МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment, which can be framed positively for domestic consumption. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone, likely for propaganda. Colonelcassad claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka and shares a video, which is a clear information operation. Два майора also confirms the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. Военкор Котенок reports the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area, which is an information operation to claim territorial gains. Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast, which can be used to highlight the impact of Ukrainian shelling on Russian territory. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations (previously). Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective (previously). ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day, serving as patriotic propaganda. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting alleged corruption within Ukrainian TCCs, likely to undermine trust in Ukrainian institutions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet, which is a patriotic and military-focused information piece. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo of social media comments discussing the "mercy" of WWII versus the current conflict, which can be used to highlight critical views within Russia or for propaganda (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, and TASS shares video footage of the aftermath, both contributing to the information war. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg, highlighting the ongoing crackdown on dissent and information control within Russia. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks and for propaganda. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accusing them of inciting inter-ethnic hatred and linking it to elections and "Russophobia." The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes, which is a form of propaganda showcasing military capabilities. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, emphasizing the casualties among emergency responders, likely to portray Ukraine as targeting civilians and emergency services. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, serving an information operation purpose. The Russian SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast held in Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters, which is a clear information operation to portray Ukraine negatively and potentially create leverage for prisoner exchanges. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, highlighting alleged corruption and inadequate construction in a critical border region, which serves as an internal information operation acknowledging issues but framing it as a legal matter. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities regarding religious symbols, likely leveraged by both pro- and anti-Kremlin sources. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement, using derogatory language and promoting the Russian narrative on negotiations. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential human rights concerns related to military recruitment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Handelsblatt article about a potentially "soft" 17th EU sanctions package, using it to argue that Western sanctions are ineffective (previously). ТАСС reports from May 23, online appeals to the Ministry of Internal Affairs will be accepted only through confirmed "Gosuslugi." Новости Москвы announces "Museum Night" from May 17-18. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, which is part of military blogging and information dissemination. Рыбарь's commentary on nuclear waste in Ukraine, using the term "black hole," is a clear information operation aimed at raising concerns about nuclear safety and portraying Ukraine negatively. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the destruction of Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, likely for propaganda purposes. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone, likely for propaganda and morale boosting. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, likely part of an information operation to portray Russian control and administrative efforts. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine, praising him for being direct. ТАСС reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month, a statement likely intended to project strength. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that the Russian economy is demonstrating resilience and developing, and commented on Russian brands and Western companies, likely for domestic reassurance and to project economic strength. ТАСС reports that Putin called high inflation one of the main problems and stated Russia needs a "soft landing," acknowledging economic challenges while presenting a plan. ТАСС reports that Putin stated Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything, acknowledging external pressure while projecting defiance. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, and expressed doubts about the other side's ability to reach agreements, shaping the narrative around potential talks. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny", highlighting efforts to suppress dissent and control information. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul, dismissively referring to Ukrainians, which is part of the information war. ASTRA is appealing for donations to support their work, highlighting the challenges faced by independent media in Russia. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video portraying the "Putinyugend" in Russia, likely for propaganda purposes to highlight alleged indoctrination. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities and suggesting Ukrainians are not eager to fight, which is a clear information operation. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, framed within a religious and patriotic narrative. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams, likely for propaganda to highlight military capabilities. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible in Telegram, suggesting continued censorship.
  • Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Adam Kadyrov was awarded a medal on the 25th anniversary of OMON "Akhmat-Grozny." An international boxing tournament in Bryansk involving Russian and Belarusian силові відомства ( силові відомства) highlights continued cooperation and joint events (previously). A trip for Russian children to Minsk focusing on shared history reinforces these ties (previously). ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video from a military event in Penza on May 9th. ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, framed within a narrative of sacrifice and duty. Fighterbomber shares a photo of a Russian fighter jet, likely for morale or propaganda purposes.
  • Political Dynamics: Adam Kadyrov being awarded a medal is a political act highlighting his status. TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy, highlighting political tensions in a neighboring country. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations (previously). Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective (previously). Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses. Север.Реалии reports on a new protocol for "discrediting" the army against a blockade survivor in St. Petersburg, highlighting potential political repression. Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, linking it to upcoming elections and "Russophobia." ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement, using political rhetoric. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential human rights concerns related to military recruitment. Север.Реалии reports that musician Alexei Sidorov was fined in St. Petersburg for "discrediting" the army. TASS reports that Putin is holding a meeting with members of the All-Russian Public Organization "Delovaya Rossiya." ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. ТАСС reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that the Russian economy is demonstrating resilience and developing, and commented on Russian brands and Western companies. ТАСС reports that Putin called high inflation one of the main problems and stated Russia needs a "soft landing." ТАСС reports that Putin stated Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, including the issue of territories. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny". Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official. РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, his view on Putin's intentions, why Putin avoids direct contact with Trump, the likelihood of Putin's attendance, how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, the threat of new sanctions, and whether Trump could withdraw from talks. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities. Новости Москвы reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding economic resilience and Western brands. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding inflation and economic policy. TASS reports on Putin's statements regarding sanctions. TASS reports on Putin's statement on the quality of Russian brands. TASS reports on Putin's statement on allowing Western companies back. TASS reports on the adoption of the law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible in Telegram.
  • Industrial Capacity: An infographic indicates a significant increase in production at Russian defense plants since 2022 across aircraft, explosives, and artillery sectors (previously). This points to a substantial military-industrial capacity and efforts to sustain the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. STERNENKO shares an article discussing how the US could disrupt Russian weapons production by targeting the supply of tantalum. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, highlighting potential targeting of industrial infrastructure. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, likely impacting Russian military industrial assets.
  • Naval Strategy: Russia's reiteration of its ambitious shipbuilding strategy emphasizes a long-term focus on strengthening its naval power (previously). Два майора discusses the potential use of naval escorts for Russian merchant ships (previously). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a screenshot of a news article quoting Patrushev on the Black Sea Fleet successfully fulfilling tasks in the "SMO." Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discusses potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US, which could have implications for naval control and energy security. TASS reports that the Ministry of Defense, subordinate to the Government of National Unity, has announced the "successful completion of the military operation" in the capital of Libya, and several districts are reportedly without power, relevant to the naval situation in the Mediterranean.
  • Veteran Support Issues: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front (previously). ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans (previously). TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO.
  • Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants who received citizenship were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service. This indicates Russian efforts to recruit personnel. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground in Rostov Oblast, highlighting challenges with recruiting and retaining personnel from this group. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential issues with voluntary recruitment. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, confirming they are former convicts contracted for deployment to Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization efforts. ТАСС reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month. Новости Москвы reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses and commentary about the process.
  • Military Strategy and Tactics (Internal Discussion): Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics and the need for better interaction between branches of troops. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank, highlighting adaptability in the field. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post discussing tactical medicine practices within the Russian military. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities and suggesting Ukrainians are not eager to fight. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, detailing tactical movements and contested areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting tactical successes against valuable Russian assets.
  • Nuclear Safety Concerns (Information Operation): Рыбарь reports that the IAEA cannot verify the condition or volume of nuclear fuel at the research reactor in the Kharkiv Institute of Physics and Technology, and there is a lack of control over the movement of spent fuel from several Ukrainian NPPs to the Chornobyl zone. This is presented as a significant risk by the Russian source. Рыбарь shares a stylized image and commentary related to nuclear waste in Ukraine, using the term "black hole."

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

  • Humanitarian Situation: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure in Luhansk (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling, impacting residents and causing fear. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption, which can impact public services. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, claiming civilian casualties. Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties and injuries. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports over 54,018 enemy shellings in the Zaporizhzhia region since the beginning of 2025 (likely a typo for 2022) and highlights the large number of people under occupation. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном report casualties among emergency responders due to a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. TASS reports that the SVR claims in Zelensky's circle, they refer to Курск residents taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine as "valuable assets." TASS reports that the SVR does not rule out that Kyiv will demand the return of Azov fighters in exchange for residents of the Kursk region. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing the fear among residents in Kursk Oblast due to ongoing shelling. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, Father Antony Savchenko, in the SVO zone due to an enemy strike, highlighting the human cost of the conflict. РБК-Україна reports on alleged torture chamber in Vovchansk.
  • Military Support (Ukraine): The EU is allocating an additional €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition (previously). Taiwan is allocating $2 million for demining efforts (previously). A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses regional recovery, which indirectly supports the overall Ukrainian effort (previously). DeepState reported the creation of a specialized EU-Ukraine Defense Cooperation Task Force to accelerate the production of drones, missiles, and UAVs, with significant EU investment (€1 billion already, plus €900 million expected) funded by frozen Russian assets (previously). ASTRA highlights Ukrainian Magura V5/V7 maritime drones and their use in destroying Russian military assets (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the expanding "Pentagon" drone unit is recruiting (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles to Ukraine (previously). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction and requests donations. РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on recovery and attracting investment. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on increased movement of military equipment and goods into Ukraine during a claimed three-day "truce." АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Олександр Вілкул reports on sending significant aid to Ukrainian military units from Kryvyi Rih. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful strikes on Russian military assets.
  • Military Support (Russia): Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment for fighters on the Kursk front (previously). "Humanitarian Aid Omsk" and "Народная милиция ДНР" report on civilian/volunteer support and delivery of household appliances to Russian military units (previously). Colonelcassad reported on significant support provided to units of the "Vostok" group of forces, including drones, electronic warfare systems, vehicles, ground assault robots, and personal protective equipment, funded by subscribers and friends, and launched a new fundraising appeal for an assault infantry platoon (previously). TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding state support for culture and arts, which can be framed as supporting national identity linked to the military (previously). Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on fundraising for a drone and signal amplifier for a comrade, and Colonelcassad reports funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles as part of fundraising for equipment. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units. ASTRA is appealing for donations to support their work, highlighting challenges faced by independent media in Russia. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction, likely for propaganda and fundraising.
  • Rehabilitation: A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses rehabilitation services for veterans (previously).
  • Veteran Support Issues (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front. ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. TASS reports the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans. Alex Parker Returns shares information on services offering assistance with obtaining driver's licenses and cleaning databases, including discounts for SVO participants, potentially highlighting illegal activities. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO.
  • Support for Ukrainian POWs and Families: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reported a meeting with families of defenders in the Volyn region to discuss prisoner exchanges, missing persons procedures, and communication with official structures (previously). Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine by the Armed Forces of Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reports on a meeting with families of soldiers from the 111th separate territorial defense brigade regarding the search for and return of prisoners and missing personnel.
  • Post-Conflict Recovery: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy, focusing on effective reconstruction strategies, energy efficiency, environmental friendliness, the role of communities and regions, innovation, business support, partnerships, and attracting investments. This highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery. TASS reports that Putin has instructed the restoration of cultural heritage sites in territories affected by combat and shelling (previously). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 is actively preparing for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on the region's recovery, including housing for internally displaced persons and energy decentralization. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations.
  • Tactical Medicine (Russia): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post discussing tactical medicine practices within the Russian military. This indicates ongoing efforts to improve medical support for combat personnel.
  • Support for Civilians (Ukraine): Discussion regarding financial assistance for adopting a child (previously). Олександр Вілкул highlights the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 highlights the need for housing for internally displaced persons in the Zaporizhzhia region.
  • Civil Society Development (Ukraine): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports on a meeting of the Coordination Council on Civil Society Development under the ZODA, discussing the development of local democracy and civil society in the region, with the participation of representatives of the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine and public organizations.
  • Support for Military Personnel (Russia): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, Father Antony Savchenko, in the SVO zone due to an enemy strike, highlighting the risks faced by those providing spiritual support to the troops. Colonelcassad reports that the State Duma has adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for participants of the SVO, providing financial support.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

  • Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, utilizing artillery, guided bombs, and a high volume of drones. Claiming the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment and inflicting losses. Employing tactical aviation. Utilizing Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B howitzers, Grad and Uragan MLRS. Russian MoD footage showcases these units in action. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Russian forces claim advances and territorial control, including the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and Mirolyubovka and recent advances in Toretsk, Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on Russian positions and claimed control. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by a FPV drone after hitting a mine. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area and active combat near Horlivka, with claimed Russian gains north of Druzhba. Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling. Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and successful assaults. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing claims liberation of Mirolyubovka and details alleged Ukrainian losses. Colonelcassad shares a video from a captured Ukrainian phone allegedly showing brutal treatment of a Ukrainian soldier by his comrades in Kursk Oblast, likely intended to portray disarray in Ukrainian ranks. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attacks. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting issues with military infrastructure. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing Russian objectives and ongoing battles, including the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, including that they are former convicts and were contracted for deployment to Ukraine. Воин DV reports that soldiers from the 39th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade of the 68th Guards Army Corps held a ceremony of laying flowers at a monument to fallen comrades in the SVO zone. Два майора reports on the 177th Separate Guards Naval Infantry Regiment of the Caspian Flotilla continuing to create conditions for issuing Russian passports in Sumy Oblast, potentially indicating Russian presence and administrative efforts. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, and that the situation has escalated on the Novopavlivsk direction, with increased shelling and attempts to break through, despite significant Russian losses. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, claiming two-thirds of the village is under the control of the "Vostok" group of forces and that clearing operations are ongoing, and that the enemy (Ukrainian forces) are using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances, and claims Russian forces have advanced at least 1.5 km from the demarcation line in the southern direction in the Sumy security zone. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use, suggesting their importance in tactical operations. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets, highlighting the tactical use of FPV drones. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities and suggesting Ukrainians are not eager to fight. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, Father Antony Savchenko, in the SVO zone due to an enemy strike. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, claiming control of approximately 70% of Bogatyri and clearing a stronghold. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction, likely showcasing Russian drone capabilities. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful strikes against valuable Russian assets.
  • Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses (personnel, equipment, air defense systems, boats, previously). Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents (reported previously). Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces (reported previously). Utilizing maritime drones (reported previously). Seeking international support and military aid. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling. Claiming destruction of Russian equipment, including air defense systems and boats (reported previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). Ukraine has excluded Lieutenant General Havryliuk from the Stavka. Ukraine is receiving significant military aid from the EU and the US (Patriot and HIMARS missiles). Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. Facing ongoing Russian drone attacks towards Mykolaiv and Odesa Oblasts. Ukrainian artillery near Kupyansk is reportedly being targeted and destroyed by Russian FPV drones. Facing expanded Russian drone activity in Kirovohrad Oblast and with some drones heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast. Now facing a confirmed threat of enemy strike UAVs in Vinnytsia Oblast. Actively using a large number of FPV drones in battles in Bogatyr to slow down Russian advances. Experiencing shelling of forward positions in the Sudzha area. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video portraying the "Putinyugend" in Russia, likely for propaganda purposes. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities and suggesting Ukrainians are not eager to fight. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of claimed successful hunting of Russians by the 60th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP, which may be used to evade mobilization. ТАСС reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine. Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny", highlighting ongoing efforts to suppress dissent within Russia. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul, dismissively referring to Ukrainians. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks depends on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, including his view on how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use against Ukrainian positions and equipment. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Олександр Вілкул reports on sending significant aid to Ukrainian military units from Kryvyi Rih. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS by Ukrainian Special Operations Forces, highlighting successful tactical operations. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian FPV interceptors.
  • Foreign Fighters: Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction.
  • Equipment and Tactics: Use of various types of drones (strike, reconnaissance, FPV, "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, quadcopters) by both sides. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERnenko highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by an FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers are ongoing within Russia, with Colonelcassad reporting funds collected for 62 motorcycles and transmission of 30 vehicles. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' tactics near Bogatyr, including swift assaults and drone use. WarGonzo shares an anecdotal story about using a spoon to start a tank, highlighting adaptability in the field. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups and include NATO-style weapons. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and a strongpoint in the Sumy region, a strongpoint in the Chernihiv region, a 120-mm mortar in Progress, an enemy temporary deployment point in Bachevsk, personnel in Mkhy, personnel at MA PP "Krest," an armored fighting vehicle in Loknya, and a communication tower with EW in Kamenskaya Sloboda. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," using the term "ludolov" (man-catcher) which is a derogatory term used by Russian sources for Ukrainian recruiters, implying resistance to mobilization. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, describing the use of artillery and drones by both sides. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the work of UAV interceptor operators from the "Center" and "Vostok" groups of forces, claiming they are effectively destroying heavy Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" hexacopters with FPV drones. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy is using a large amount of equipment in assaults on the Novopavlivsk direction. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets. Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian FPV interceptors. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction, detailing tactical movements and contested areas. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, highlighting successful tactical operations.
  • Russian Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, which will digitalize military registration and summonses. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot related to the Register of Summonses.
  • Russian Logistics: ASTRA reports that a former deputy head of the Investigative Committee of the Frunzensky district of St. Petersburg is accused of attempting to smuggle weapons from "LPR" to Rostov Oblast.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

  • The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscores the strategic importance of this area. Russia's official claim of liberating Mirolyubovka, if accurate, represents tangible tactical gains and contributes to their overall strategic objective of securing the Donbas region. The focus on pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast also indicates a potential strategic aim to gain fire control over key logistical hubs. DeepState's report of Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka confirms recent tactical gains in specific sectors, which have strategic implications for controlling key populated areas and logistical routes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's report on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective provides insight into claimed Russian progress and ongoing Ukrainian resistance in a key urban area. Сливочный каприз claiming Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area and active combat near Horlivka suggests ongoing Russian offensive actions aimed at expanding their control in western Donetsk and around key urban centers. STERNENKO highlighting increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction underscores this area as a current focus of Russian offensive efforts. Kotsnews reports on the "Vostok" group of forces' actions near Bogatyr, claiming advances and outlining the strategic importance of this area for targeting the T0428 highway, which is a key logistical route. The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the liberation of Mirolyubovka reinforces this strategic objective. The Russian Ministry of Defense released footage claiming Grad MLRS strikes against Ukrainian temporary deployment areas near Fedorovka and Komar in the South Donetsk direction, indicating strategic targeting of Ukrainian concentrations. Colonelcassad reports intense fighting near Toretsk, highlighting the strategic importance of this urban area. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, outlining Russian strategic objectives of cutting off Ukrainian groupings and reaching key settlements like Izium and Sloviansk. РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, indicating a strategic push towards key administrative boundaries. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, claiming two-thirds of the village is under the control of the "Vostok" group of forces, indicating a strategic objective in this contested area. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances, suggesting a potential new area of tactical focus or pressure by Russian forces in a border region. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts, indicating continued Russian strategic air support in key areas. Rybar reports on Russian advances in the Andreevskoe direction (Bogatyri and Otradnoe), highlighting a successful offensive and potential push towards the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction, indicating the strategic use of drones in this key area. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS near Toretsk, highlighting successful Ukrainian strategic targeting of valuable Russian assets. Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, resulting in injuries and damage to a house, indicating potential Ukrainian strategic targeting in Russian-controlled areas. Russian source (Mash на Донbasse) reports damage to houses and a car in the village of Kamianka as a result of Ukrainian shelling, indicating ongoing strategic impact of artillery on civilian areas.
  • The ongoing diplomatic discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations highlight the continued international dimension of the conflict. However, the discovery of messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" (previously) and the uncertainty surrounding the level of Russian representation for the Istanbul talks, as reported by STERNENKO and echoed by other sources, are powerful counter-signals that directly undermine the prospects for immediate de-escalation and suggest a continued Russian commitment to military objectives over a negotiated settlement in the short term. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) commentary on the Russian delegation and Zelenskyy's actions further highlights the information war surrounding potential negotiations. РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak states Russia has given no answer regarding Putin's participation in Istanbul talks and that his refusal would signal Russia's unwillingness for peace, reiterating Ukraine's focus on the outcome of these talks as a key indicator of Russian intentions. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Alex Parker Returns echo Yermak's statement. НгП раZVедка comments on Yermak's statement from a pro-Russian perspective, contributing to the information war surrounding negotiations. ТАСС reports that US Special Envoy Stephen Witkoff and Special Representative for Ukraine Kurt Volker will travel to Istanbul for proposed negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, indicating continued international engagement in seeking a diplomatic resolution. РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, STERNENKO, and Оперативний ЗСУ also report on the US envoys traveling to Istanbul, noting the uncertainty of President Trump's participation. Colonelcassad comments on the change in messaging from Berlin regarding consequences for lack of ceasefire progress, arguing it highlights the limited value of threats from Europe and their exclusion from negotiation talks, which is a strategic narrative to diminish the influence of European actors. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, indicating continued Western pressure for de-escalation. ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, including the issue of territories, and expressed doubts about the other side's ability to reach agreements, which shapes the Russian narrative on potential peace talks. Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul, expressing skepticism about their effectiveness and questioning the likelihood of Putin attending, which is part of the information war. РБК-Україна reports that whether Trump will be present at the Istanbul talks remains an open question and will largely depend on Putin's attendance, according to a US administration official, and suggests Trump's potential participation puts "great pressure on Putin." РБК-Україна shares a blitzt-interview with Russian opposition political scientist Ivan Preobrazhensky about the potential Istanbul negotiations, including his view on how Zelenskyy's proposal has put Putin in a difficult position, highlighting the political maneuvering around the talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Kellogg stated the US hopes Putin will arrive in Istanbul, which would lead to Trump's arrival, and that the US seeks a comprehensive ceasefire before addressing territorial issues, highlighting the differing strategic objectives of the US and Russia in potential negotiations. Alex Parker Returns reiterates the uncertainty of Trump's presence in Istanbul. ТАСС reports that CNN states Trump has not yet decided on the trip to Istanbul, confirming the travel of Witkoff and Kellogg, indicating continued uncertainty at the highest political level regarding participation. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, sanctions against Russia will be strengthened, linking diplomatic progress to economic pressure.
  • The large-scale Russian drone attacks, coupled with continued heavy shelling and aviation strikes, demonstrate Russia's reliance on these methods to degrade Ukrainian defenses and inflict casualties. Ukraine's ability to counter these efforts through air defense and effective targeting with drones and SDB bombs highlights the ongoing adaptation and technological aspects of the conflict. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs and HIMARS in Kursk Oblast (previously), if verified, would represent a potential strategic escalation in the types of munitions used by Ukraine against targets within Russia. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast, which, if confirmed, is a strategic strike aimed at disrupting Russian logistics in a critical border region. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher highlights innovation in Ukrainian tactics and equipment, which can have strategic implications for future engagements. Народная милиция ДНР claiming destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine highlights the effectiveness of combined arms tactics. The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop indicates strategic targeting of Ukrainian military production capabilities. Военкор Котенок reporting on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling underscores the strategic impact of Ukrainian actions on Russian border regions. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk suggests Ukrainian targeting of logistical or industrial infrastructure in occupied territories. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warning of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast, and its subsequent lifting, indicates ongoing Russian aerial reconnaissance or attack capabilities and Ukrainian air defense responsiveness in this area (previously). Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, would represent a significant development in Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and a potential new threat to targets within Russia. Russian military bloggers claim increasing reports of destroyed Ukrainian equipment in the Kharkiv direction due to drone use, suggesting Russian tactical success in countering Ukrainian forces in this area (previously). Fundraising efforts for drones and signal amplifiers within Russia highlight the ongoing strategic importance of these technologies and the resource demands of the conflict. The Ukrainian Air Force issuing and later lifting a threat alert for Mykolaiv and Kherson Oblasts due to attack drones indicates ongoing aerial threats in southern Ukraine. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian UAV control point and communication tower with EW in the Sumy region highlights strategic targeting of Ukrainian command and control and intelligence capabilities. Colonelcassad and Басурин о главном reporting a Ukrainian drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, with casualties among emergency responders, is a strategic information point used to portray Ukraine negatively. STERNENKO shares a video claiming to show the downing of four Russian reconnaissance drones (Zala and Supercam) in the Sumy border region. Kotsnews shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense showcasing the destruction of Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, highlighting Russian efforts to counter Ukrainian strike capabilities. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports rocket danger in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating ongoing Russian missile threats. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports two strikes in Kramatorsk and three strikes in Mykolaiv (one in the suburb), one in Odesa, and two in Vinnytsia (one on a military training center, the other under investigation), indicating Russian targeting of military and logistical assets across multiple regions. Воин DV reports that fierce battles continue in the village of Bogatyr, with the enemy (Ukrainian forces) using a large number of FPV drones to slow down Russian advances, highlighting the tactical adaptation and use of FPV drones by Ukrainian forces in contested areas. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances, suggesting ongoing tactical activity and potential escalation in border regions. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video and appeals for donations for the acquisition of drones for special forces units, showcasing footage of drones in use, emphasizing the strategic importance of drones in current operations. MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets, highlighting a specific Russian unit focused on drone operations and their claimed successes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire), which is a significant strategic development in terms of international military aid and long-term supply of advanced weaponry to Ukraine. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation in the southeastern direction with a threat of aerial guided munitions for frontline oblasts, indicating continued Russian strategic air support in key areas of operation. ASTRA reports a drone attacked a monument in Kommunar village, Kursk Oblast, indicating continued Ukrainian strategic targeting within Russia. Oleh Syniehubov reports a likely Russian drone strike in the Shevchenkivskyi district of Kharkiv, highlighting ongoing Russian aerial targeting of urban centers. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS near Toretsk, highlighting successful Ukrainian strategic targeting of valuable Russian assets. STERNENKO shares a video claiming the downing of two Russian Zala reconnaissance drones by Ukrainian FPV interceptors, highlighting tactical successes against Russian intelligence gathering. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a compilation of drone strikes by the "Svyatogor" battalion on Ukrainian equipment and shelters in the Donetsk direction, indicating the strategic use of drones in offensive operations.
  • The exclusion of Lieutenant General Havryliuk from Ukraine's Stavka is a notable change in high-level personnel and could indicate a shift in operational planning or leadership structure at the highest level of the Ukrainian military.
  • The EU's allocation of €900 million for weapons and ammunition, combined with the US approval of German transfer of Patriot and HIMARS missiles (previously), represent significant and tangible strategic support for Ukraine's defense capabilities. This aid directly contributes to Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense and potentially conduct offensive operations. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reporting on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery, which is a strategic long-term consideration. РБК-Україна reporting on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources suggests a strategic focus on leveraging natural resources for economic support and potentially military funding. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦's active preparation for the Ukraine Recovery Conference 2025, focusing on critical infrastructure and internally displaced persons, underscores the strategic importance of post-conflict recovery and international partnerships for the long-term stability and resilience of Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks, highlighting strategic efforts to maintain international support for Ukraine's European integration. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that German Chancellor Merz stated sanctions against Russia will be strengthened if there is no progress on a ceasefire this week, indicating continued Western pressure for de-escalation and potentially impacting Russia's ability to sustain the conflict. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a report about the creation of a new center in Germany by Rheinmetall and Lockheed Martin for the production of precision missiles (GMLRS, ATACMS, Hellfire), which is a significant strategic development in terms of international military aid and long-term supply of advanced weaponry to Ukraine. Олександр Вілкул reports on sending significant aid to Ukrainian military units from Kryvyi Rih, highlighting regional support for the military effort. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian Buk-M3 SAM and Uragan-1 MLRS, indicating the impact of Western-provided or supported capabilities on the battlefield. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that German Chancellor Merz stated that if there is no progress on a ceasefire in Ukraine this week, sanctions against Russia will be strengthened, linking diplomatic progress to economic pressure.
  • The diplomatic tension between Russia and Moldova over historical textbook content (previously), and the reports of criminal cases in Gagauzia (Moldova), reflect broader geopolitical dynamics and Russia's sensitivity regarding its historical narrative and influence in neighboring countries. Russian MFA condemning Moldovan textbook content on Transnistria reinforces this tension.
  • The claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast and the alleged use of foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory are likely to be leveraged by Russia in information operations to portray the conflict as a proxy war involving NATO and other foreign powers, with the strategic aim of garnering domestic support and potentially influencing international perceptions. РБК-Україна reporting the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction provides counter-information on foreign fighter involvement.
  • Updated operational maps of Donetsk Oblast provide crucial visual information on the tactical situation, allowing for a better understanding of the current state of the front lines, areas of contestation, and the location of defensive fortifications, which is essential for strategic planning. Военкор Котенок provides a detailed tactical analysis of the Krasnolimansk direction, including potential Russian objectives and the current state of battles. Rybar provides an updated map of the Andreevskoe direction, detailing Russian advances and contested areas.
  • The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK (previously) highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad and has strategic implications for counterintelligence efforts and national security in NATO countries.
  • The reported deployment of new anti-personnel mines by Ukraine on the Sumy direction is a tactical adaptation with strategic implications for slowing down potential Russian advances and creating defensive obstacles in border regions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claiming Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian strongpoint in the Sumy region implies ongoing tactical engagements in this area. Сливочный каприз reports combat operations in the Sudzha area, with Russian forward positions coming under Ukrainian shelling and Russian claims of limited advances in the Sumy security zone, suggesting ongoing tactical activity and potentially a new area of pressure.
  • The armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, indicate a new area of instability and conflict that could have broader regional implications, potentially drawing the attention of international actors or impacting energy markets. The reported successful completion of the military operation and subsequent power outages in Tripoli indicate that the immediate crisis may have concluded, but the damage to infrastructure suggests a lasting impact on the city and potential for continued instability.
  • The military exercises in Lithuania and Russia's reaction to them highlight increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region, which is a strategically important area bordering both Russia and NATO countries.
  • The unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border, if verified, could be a significant strategic development, indicating a potential shift in Hungary's stance or an attempt to exert pressure related to the conflict. This requires careful monitoring and verification. Alex Parker Returns' immediate commentary on this unconfirmed event suggests it is being quickly integrated into Russian information operations. РБК-Україна reports that US tariffs have significantly impacted Hungary, potentially influencing its political stance. РБК-Україна reports that some EU countries are exploring ways to bypass Hungary's blocking of Ukraine's EU membership talks.
  • The detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk highlights the ongoing intelligence war within Ukraine and Russia's alleged efforts to gather information on Ukrainian military locations and movements. This underscores the importance of counterintelligence. Colonelcassad reports on finding weapon caches in DPR, claiming they are for Ukrainian sabotage groups, which aligns with Russian narratives about Ukrainian internal threats and sabotage. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk.
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones is a key component of their information strategy to portray the conflict as favorable to Russia. Analyzing these claims against other available information is crucial for assessing the actual impact of operations. The Russian Ministry of Defense daily briefing explicitly states claimed Ukrainian losses across all operational zones, which is a direct strategic communication effort. Colonelcassad shares the Russian Ministry of Defense report detailing alleged Ukrainian losses.
  • Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award is strategically important for Ukrainian morale and countering Russian information operations targeting him.
  • The ASTRA report on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers (previously) highlights internal Russian dynamics related to information control and dissent, which can have implications for the broader political landscape.
  • TASS reporting on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts indicates a strategic effort to utilize these areas for ideological purposes and promote a specific narrative supporting the war effort (previously).
  • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire (previously) reflects discussions within the international community about the long-term consequences of the conflict and potential de-escalation scenarios.
  • The ASTRA report on the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai highlights significant corruption within Russian law enforcement, which can impact governance and potentially military effectiveness indirectly.
  • МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment is strategically relevant as it indicates Russian efforts to increase manpower for the conflict. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and ASTRA report on escaped former prisoners from a military training ground highlights challenges and potential risks associated with Russia's recruitment efforts, particularly from correctional facilities. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a conscript being forced to sign a contract, highlighting potential issues with voluntary recruitment. ASTRA provides further details on the escaped former prisoners from the Kuzminsky training ground in Rostov Oblast, confirming they are former convicts contracted for deployment to Ukraine. Colonelcassad reports a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer," highlighting potential resistance to mobilization efforts. ТАСС reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month, a statement likely intended to project strength and address manpower concerns. Новости Москвы reports that the Register of Summonses has started operating in Moscow, digitalizing military registration and potentially streamlining mobilization. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares a screenshot and commentary related to the Register of Summonses, providing insight into the implementation of this new system.
  • Сили оборони Півдня України sharing a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson highlights the human element of the conflict and efforts to support and recognize those involved, which is important for morale and public support.
  • Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reporting the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers is a Ukrainian information operation aimed at highlighting Russian losses, particularly among leadership. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP in Bilozershchyna and White Church, claiming they may be used to evade mobilization, highlighting potential internal issues related to military service.
  • Военкор Котенок sharing a report on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling is likely intended to highlight the impact of the conflict on Russian territory and potentially garner support for increased security measures or offensive actions. Два майора reports the arrest of the head of a company responsible for building fortifications in Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, highlighting issues with military infrastructure in a critical border region. TASS reports that the SVR claims Kyiv intends to delay the return of residents from Kursk Oblast taken to Ukraine, using them as "valuable assets" and "hostages," and potentially demanding the return of Azov fighters, which is a clear information operation to portray Ukraine negatively and potentially create leverage for prisoner exchanges.
  • ASTRA reporting the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev highlights ongoing legal proceedings against individuals who have left Russia and are critical of the government.
  • Филолог в засаде commenting on internal Russian military discussions about strategy and tactics, including the slow integration of modern approaches, is strategically valuable as it provides insight into potential weaknesses or areas of friction within the Russian military command and planning.
  • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting alleged high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs is a significant information operation aimed at undermining public trust in Ukrainian institutions and potentially discouraging mobilization efforts. РБК-Україна reports on alleged torture chamber in Vovchansk, highlighting alleged war crimes in contested areas and potentially influencing international perceptions.
  • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 sharing a detailed post on tactical medicine reflects efforts within the Russian military community to improve medical support for combat personnel, which is strategically relevant for maintaining force effectiveness and minimizing casualties. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reporting the death of two Russian Special Operations Forces servicemen due to an IED near the Bryansk-Sumy border highlights the risks of special operations in border regions.
  • Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, could lead to a reassessment of the threat to Russian territory and potential adjustments in defensive strategies.
  • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlighting the severe demographic impact of the war on Ukraine in 2024 (previously) is a critical strategic consideration for Ukraine's long-term sustainability, manpower, and recovery efforts.
  • TASS reporting the State Duma adopted a law on out-of-court bankruptcy for SVO participants and veterans is a strategic move by the Russian government to address potential financial hardship among those involved in the conflict, likely aimed at maintaining morale and support. Colonelcassad reports on the adoption of this law.
  • Alex Parker Returns reporting a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm involving migrants (previously), and the subsequent TASS report on the temporary closure of a bar, highlights potential internal social tensions and security concerns within Russia that could have indirect strategic implications.
  • Олександр Вілкул highlighting the civilian impact of a ballistic missile strike in Kryvyi Rih, including many child casualties, is a powerful strategic communication effort aimed at underscoring the human cost of the conflict and garnering international sympathy and condemnation. Colonelcassad reporting a man in Nikopol allegedly opened fire on a "mobilization officer" highlights potential resistance to mobilization efforts.
  • Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEЕТ/TIEDOTТЕЕТ (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) discussing potential for Turkey to provide oil and gas from Syria to the US in exchange for sanctions relief against a Syrian group, and questioning the narrative, introduces a complex geopolitical dynamic involving multiple actors and potential shifts in alliances or energy flows, which could have strategic implications for regional stability.
  • РБК-Україна reporting that US tariffs have significantly impacted Slovakia and Hungary, two countries with ties to Russia, could influence their economic stability and potentially their political stance towards the conflict and aid to Ukraine.
  • Рыбарь reports the detention of an alleged organizer of "language patrols" in Kyrgyzstan, accused of inciting inter-ethnic hatred, linking it to upcoming elections and "Russophobia," highlighting potential internal instability and Russian information operations in Central Asia.
  • ASTRA reports on an incident in Chechnya where the Russian Coat of Arms at an award ceremony for Adam Kadyrov allegedly had Orthodox crosses removed, highlighting internal controversy and sensitivities regarding religious symbols within Russia, potentially impacting domestic support and narratives. Alex Parker Returns reports on the removal of Orthodox crosses from the Russian coat of arms in Chechnya, highlighting this internal issue.
  • The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War met with families of servicemen, discussing the negotiation process and the search for new tools to free captured soldiers, including those potentially held in Chechnya, highlighting the strategic importance of prisoner exchanges and the potential complexities involved. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reports on a meeting with families of territorial defense soldiers regarding the search for and return of prisoners and missing personnel, emphasizing the ongoing efforts and challenges in this area.
  • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on a Handelsblatt article about a potentially "soft" 17th EU sanctions package, strategically using it to argue that Western sanctions are ineffective and to potentially influence perceptions of the impact of sanctions on Russia (previously).
  • Рыбарь reporting on nuclear safety concerns in Ukraine is a strategic information operation aimed at raising international concerns and potentially influencing discussions about the control of nuclear facilities. Рыбарь shares a stylized image and commentary related to nuclear waste in Ukraine, using the term "black hole," which is a clear propaganda effort to portray Ukraine negatively in terms of nuclear safety.
  • Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reporting on alleged fraudulent issuance of certificates by the UOC MP related to military service evasion highlights potential internal issues within Ukraine regarding mobilization and the role of religious institutions.
  • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on increased movement of military equipment and goods into Ukraine during a claimed three-day "truce," suggesting potential strategic resupply efforts by Ukraine.
  • РБК-Україна reports that the spokesman for the Southern Defense Forces, Vladyslav Voloshyn, stated that the enemy has intensified assaults in the south, attempting to reach the administrative border of Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, indicating a strategic push towards key administrative boundaries with significant implications for territorial control and logistical routes.
  • TASS reports that Putin stated that, unlike in Russia, Ukraine is conducting forced mobilization, comparing the methods to catching dogs in the street, which is a key element of Russian information operations aimed at undermining Ukrainian mobilization and portraying the Ukrainian government negatively. НгП раZVедка echoes Putin's statement on forced mobilization in Ukraine, praising him for being direct, reinforcing this information operation within the Russian information space.
  • TASS reports that Putin claims 50-60 thousand volunteers are joining the Russian army each month, a statement likely intended to project strength and demonstrate public support for the military effort.
  • TASS reports that Putin stated that the Russian economy is demonstrating resilience and developing, and commented on Russian brands and Western companies, likely for domestic reassurance and to project economic strength in the face of sanctions. TASS reports on Putin's statement regarding the quality of Russian brands. TASS reports on Putin's statement on allowing Western companies back based on benefit to Russia.
  • TASS reports that Putin called high inflation one of the main problems of the current Russian economy and stated Russia needs a "soft landing," acknowledging economic challenges while presenting a plan for economic management.
  • TASS reports that Putin stated Russia should not be afraid of new sanctions but needs to be prepared for anything, acknowledging external pressure while projecting defiance and readiness.
  • ТАСС reports that Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that the topics for negotiations in Istanbul will cover sustainable settlement and realities on the ground, including the issue of territories, and expressed doubts about the other side's ability to reach agreements, which provides insight into the Russian position on potential peace talks and their skepticism about the outcome.
  • Север.Реалии reports that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has announced the search for a resident of St. Petersburg who drew graffiti "Putin killed Navalny", highlighting ongoing efforts to suppress dissent and control information within Russia, which is strategically relevant for understanding the internal political climate.
  • Старше Эдды provides a pro-Russian perspective on potential negotiations in Istanbul, expressing skepticism about their effectiveness and questioning the likelihood of Putin attending to speak directly with the Ukrainian delegation, which is part of the information war aimed at shaping expectations about the talks.
  • ASTRA is appealing for donations to support their work, highlighting challenges faced by independent media in Russia, which is strategically relevant for understanding the information landscape within Russia and the difficulties faced by alternative voices. ASTRA reports that the Telegram channel of the independent publication MR7 has become inaccessible in Telegram, suggesting continued censorship of independent media.
  • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video portraying the "Putinyugend" in Russia, likely for propaganda purposes to highlight alleged indoctrination and portray a negative image of Russian youth organizations.
  • Басурин о главном provides commentary on the war, comparing US and Ukrainian military capabilities and suggesting Ukrainians are not eager to fight, which is a clear information operation aimed at demoralizing Ukrainian forces and their international supporters.
  • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the tragic death of a military priest, Father Antony Savchenko, in the SVO zone due to an enemy strike, highlighting the human cost of the conflict and framing it within a narrative of sacrifice and duty, which is strategically relevant for maintaining morale and garnering support.
  • MoD Russia shares a video showcasing the work of FPV drone teams of the "Rubikon" Center in eliminating Ukrainian assets, likely for propaganda to highlight military capabilities and tactical successes in drone warfare.
  • РБК-Україна reports on alleged torture chamber in Vovchansk, highlighting alleged war crimes in contested areas and potentially influencing international perceptions.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

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