Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 13, 2025, 10:56 UTC)

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Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be marked by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk border region. Aerial and drone activity remains a significant factor across multiple fronts, with continued reports of Russian aerial strikes, guided aerial bomb usage, and widespread drone use by both sides. Ukraine is actively working to counter these threats and conduct its own targeted strikes. Diplomatic discussions regarding potential negotiations in Turkey continue, with statements from both Ukrainian and Russian officials, although the intensity of fighting and explicit Russian messaging ("There will be no truce!") suggest a diplomatic breakthrough is not imminent. Internal Russian issues, including court cases, domestic incidents, and military policy changes, are being reported. Discussions around potential visits of international figures to Ukraine are also ongoing. New information confirms increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region due to military exercises in Lithuania. Reports of armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, have emerged, leading to airport disruptions. Allegations of Russian espionage and sabotage activities in the UK have resulted in convictions. There are unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the border with Ukraine, which is being leveraged in Russian information operations. Ukraine has reported the detention of two individuals suspected of acting as agents for the FSB, providing intelligence on Ukrainian military locations in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. Ukraine is highlighting continued international support for military aid and is showcasing internal efforts related to military training and veteran support. Russia has officially claimed the liberation of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. Russia's Ministry of Defense has released its daily briefing claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Ukrainian sources are reporting the successful downing of several Russian officers. Reports indicate continued shelling and a challenging environment in the Kursk border region from the perspective of local residents. Ukraine is highlighting international initiatives for its recovery. Internal Russian discussions and commentary on military strategy and public opinion are being observed. Russia is reinforcing cultural and historical narratives. Reports of illegal activities and law enforcement actions within Russia continue. Information operations remain a significant aspect of the conflict. There are reports of damage to an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks. Internal Russian military discussions highlight concerns about the integration of modern technology and tactics. Reports from Russian sources claim high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs. Discussions and publications within the Russian military community are addressing issues of tactical medicine. A report from a Russian military channel suggests potential issues with current Russian military strategy and the slow integration of new tactical approaches.

Significant updates from the latest messages include:

• Russia Officially Claims Liberation of Mirolyubovka in DPR: The Russian Ministry of Defense, along with several Russian military bloggers (Два майора, Военкор Котенок, Colonelcassad), officially claims that units of the "Center" Group of Forces have liberated the settlement of Mirolyubovka in the Donetsk People's Republic. Colonelcassad claims this is on the Krasnoarmeysk direction. The Russian Ministry of Defense states that resolute actions led to the liberation. Два майора also confirms the liberation, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. Военкор Котенок reports the liberation from Ukrainian occupation. Colonelcassad shares a video of the "Center" group operating in Mirolyubovka on the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Operatsiya Z: Voenkorry Russkoy Vesny claims that soldiers of the "Center" group have completely driven the enemy out of the settlement of Mirolyubovka on the Pokrovsk direction and conducted a sweep. This is a significant claim of territorial control by Russian forces.
• Russian Ministry of Defense Daily Briefing Claims Significant Ukrainian Losses: The Russian Ministry of Defense has released its daily briefing claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones, including approximately 1,375 personnel, four tanks, and 17 armored vehicles over the past day. They also claim to have struck a workshop for the assembly of Ukrainian "Bogdana" self-propelled artillery units. This is a regular information operation by the Russian MoD to present a narrative of successful operations and inflict heavy losses on Ukraine.
• Ukraine Reports Detention of Suspected FSB Agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk: The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine has reported the detention of two individuals suspected of state treason, alleging they were agents of the FSB who transmitted data on the locations of Ukrainian forces in the Dnipro and Kramatorsk areas. One suspect reportedly collected information on fire training locations near Dnipro, while the other provided details on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk. This highlights ongoing counterintelligence efforts by Ukraine and alleged Russian intelligence gathering within Ukrainian territory.
• Russian Military Blogger Reports on Fighting in Toretsk Area, Claims Failed Ukrainian Counter-attack: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on tense fighting in the vicinity of Toretsk, claiming that Russian units control "practically the entire city" but Ukrainian forces are attempting counter-attacks. He specifically mentions a counter-offensive attempt by the Ukrainian 100th Separate Mechanized Brigade with armored vehicles before May 9th, which he claims was repelled by Russian artillery and drones, resulting in significant Ukrainian losses. He states that some Ukrainian soldiers who did not manage to escape are hiding in the city and being found. He refers to a Ukrainian DeepState report on this attempt as "carelessness," implying a failed and costly action for Ukraine. This provides a Russian perspective on the fighting in Toretsk, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian resistance and counter-attack attempts.
• Ukrainian Source Reports Capture of Uzbek National Fighting for Russia in Lyman Direction: РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national by the Ukrainian 63rd Separate Mechanized Brigade on the Lyman direction. The captured individual reportedly stated he "sold himself for Russian citizenship and 2 million rubles" to fight for Russia, went on an assault, got lost, and surrendered to Ukrainian forces. This provides intelligence on Russia's recruitment of foreign nationals and their motivations, as well as on the surrender of Russian-aligned fighters on the Lyman direction.
• Sentencing of Former Head of Traffic Police in Stavropol for Bribery: ASTRA reports that the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai, Alexey Safonov, has been sentenced to 20 years in a strict regime colony and fined 100 million rubles for multi-million dollar bribes. The report highlights the notoriety of the case due to searches revealing a luxurious mansion. This is an internal Russian legal development highlighting significant corruption within law enforcement.
• Ukrainian Showcase of Drone with Grenade Launcher: Оперативний ЗСУ and БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС share a video showcasing the claimed first combat use of a drone equipped with a grenade launcher by the BULAVA unit of the Bohdan Khmelnytsky Presidential Separate Special Purpose Brigade, targeting enemy infantry. This highlights innovation in Ukrainian drone tactics and equipment.
• Russian Military Blogger Claims Destruction of Ukrainian Armored Vehicle by FPV Drone: Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian "Kozak" armored combat vehicle near Malinivka by an FPV drone operated by the "Sparta" battalion of the 51st Guards Combined Arms Army after the vehicle was damaged by a mine. This highlights the combined arms tactics (mines and drones) employed by Russian forces and alleged Ukrainian equipment losses.
• Ukrainian Air Force Reports Lifting of Drone Threat: Повітряні Сили ЗС України has announced the lifting of the threat of enemy attack UAVs in Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts. This indicates a potential incoming Russian drone attack that did not materialize or was neutralized.
• Russian Ministry of Defense Showcases Military Operations Footage: The Russian Ministry of Defense has released footage showcasing the actions of various military units, including Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B howitzers, Grad and Uragan MLRS, and attack FPV drone teams. This is likely intended for propaganda purposes to demonstrate Russian military capabilities and activity.
• Russian MFA Rejects Moldovan Textbook Content on Transnistria: Maria Zakharova, Russian MFA Spokesperson, has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks, calling it "baseness, lies, and distortion of history." This indicates continued diplomatic tension between Russia and Moldova over historical narratives and influence in the region.
• Zelenskyy Excludes Havryliuk from Stavka: President Zelenskyy has signed a decree to exclude Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. Havryliuk was previously the Deputy Minister of Defense. This confirms a significant personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure.
• Updated Operational Maps of Donetsk Oblast Shared by Russian Source: Colonelcassad has shared updated maps showing the operational situation on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions as of May 12, 2025. These maps delineate front lines, control of populated areas, and the presence of fortifications, providing visual information on the tactical situation from a pro-Russian perspective.
• Adam Kadyrov Awarded Another Medal: Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal on the 25th anniversary of the OMON "Akhmat-Grozny" special purpose unit. This is a recurring event highlighting his growing prominence and association with security structures in Chechnya and is likely intended for internal political messaging.
• Claims of Ukrainian Aviation Bomb Strikes and HIMARS Use in Kursk: WarGonzo has shared a video and commentary claiming that Ukrainian forces are using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory and reports alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk Oblast and ongoing shelling and FPV drone drops. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast, allegedly targeting a column of Russian occupants. These reports, if accurate and verified, would indicate a potential escalation in the types of munitions used by Ukraine against targets within Russia and underscore continued Ukrainian targeting in this border region.
• Claims of a Polish Mercenary in Kursk Oblast: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны has shared content claiming to show a deceased Polish mercenary in Kursk Oblast. This report, if confirmed, would support claims of foreign fighter involvement in the conflict on the Ukrainian side in this border region.
• Convictions for Espionage for Russia in the UK: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that six Bulgarians have been sentenced to a total of over 50 years in prison in the UK for spying for Russia. Their activities reportedly included surveillance of journalists, dissidents, and Ukrainian military personnel, and plans for kidnappings and assassinations, mentioning the GRU. This highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities in the UK and successful counterintelligence efforts.
• Ukrainian Forces Reportedly Deploying New Anti-Personnel Mines in Sumy Oblast: Colonelcassad reports that Ukrainian forces have started using new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. These mines are described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and are allegedly supplied by Western partners. This indicates a new tactical approach by Ukraine in this region.
• Armed Clashes in Tripoli, Libya, Lead to Airport Suspension: Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, and TASS report armed clashes and fighting in Tripoli, Libya, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport is suspended, and planes are being evacuated. Unconfirmed reports link the escalation to the killing of a militia commander. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict in the region.
• Military Exercises in Lithuania Described by Russia as Directed Against Them: TASS reports that Deputy Head of the Russian MFA Alexander Grushko stated that the international military exercises "Thunder Fortress 2025" in Lithuania are directed against Russia, and Moscow will take measures to nullify NATO's efforts. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region and Russia's perception of NATO actions.
• Russian Advances in Donetsk Oblast (Toretsk, Romanivka, Novoolekivka) Reported by Ukrainian Source: DeepState reports that the enemy has advanced in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka, and their map has been updated. This provides a Ukrainian source acknowledging recent Russian tactical gains in these specific areas, aligning with some Russian claims of advances in Donetsk.
• Unconfirmed Reports of Hungarian Armor on Ukrainian Border: Alex Parker Returns claims that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban has started moving armored vehicles to the Hungarian-Ukrainian border, suggesting a potential "second front." This report is currently unconfirmed and requires verification. Alex Parker Returns also shares a photo and text implying a Russian reaction to this unconfirmed report.
• Russian Commentary on Negotiations: STERNENKO reports that the Kremlin will announce Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks when Putin deems it necessary, and notes that Russian sources claim it will be Lavrov and Ushakov, but states this is "not accurate." This highlights uncertainty and speculation regarding the Russian delegation for the planned negotiations. Colonelcassad also reports that the Russian delegation in Istanbul will be led by Lavrov and Ushakov. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Russia continues to prepare for the Istanbul talks and that the Kremlin will announce who will represent Russia when Putin deems it necessary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Dmitry Peskov reiterated that Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks will be announced when Putin deems it necessary, echoing previous statements. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) claims that Russia made it clear that a delegation led by Yury Ushakov will go to Istanbul, and portrays Zelenskyy's desire to meet Putin as an obstacle to peace talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the ongoing preparations for Istanbul talks and Peskov's statement, expressing skepticism about the process.
• Discussion on Russian AI Capabilities: Два майора shares a promotional post about a webinar on Russian AI tools and their capabilities compared to Western counterparts. While not directly a military update, it touches on technological development which can have military applications.
• Commentary on Nuclear Deterrence: Alex Parker Returns shares a statement attributed to former Lithuanian President Grybauskaitė suggesting that Russian nuclear weapons should not be feared as they are an outdated tool. This reflects discussions and differing perspectives on nuclear deterrence in the context of the conflict. TASS shares a statement from the head of the State Duma Defense Committee claiming NATO is preparing for future war and revising its military doctrine. Старше Эдды views Grybauskaitė's words as a provocation for nuclear tests in Ukraine, linking it to Western desire to understand the effects of nuclear weapons.
• Ukrainian Report of Demobilized Russian Officers: Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a photo message claiming the successful "demobilization" (killed or captured) of several Russian officers, including captains and lieutenants. This is a Ukrainian report highlighting alleged Russian officer losses.
• International Legal Developments: ASTRA reports that former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte won a mayoral election despite being under arrest in The Hague by the International Criminal Court. This is a significant international legal development, though not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine.
• Report on Conditions in Kursk Oblast: Военкор Котенок shares a video and commentary from residents of Kursk Oblast describing the ongoing "unquiet situation," including explosions and sirens, and the fear it causes. Residents also mention that access to dozens of villages and the town of Sudzha remains closed due to Ukrainian artillery shelling, impacting daily life and causing hardship. This provides a ground-level perspective on the impact of the conflict in this Russian border region.
• Russian Claims of Advances in Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole Area: Сливочный каприз shares photos and commentary claiming active combat in the Velikaya Novosyolka area and an attack by Russian infantry units towards Zelenoye Pole. They claim Russian forces have advanced over 2.5 km westwards from Novosyolka towards the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast and are shelling Ukrainian positions. This is a claim of Russian territorial gains and offensive actions in the western part of Donetsk Oblast.
• Ukrainian Report on Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shares photos and a message about a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy, focusing on effective reconstruction strategies, energy efficiency, environmental friendliness, the role of communities and regions, innovation, business support, partnerships, and attracting investments. This highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery.
• Ukrainian Recognition of "Madyar" as Hero of Ukraine: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a photo message stating that "Madyar," a figure previously reported as targeted by Russian propaganda, has received the Hero of Ukraine award. This highlights recognition of military achievements within Ukraine and counters Russian information operations targeting this individual.
• Russian Internal Legal Case Regarding Bloggers: ASTRA provides a detailed report on the court ruling in Moscow regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers Yuri Dud and Artemy Lebedev, including the specific amounts of fines and the requirement to remove video content. Mizulina reportedly stated she would send the funds to support "SVO participants." This highlights legal actions related to internal information space and dissent in Russia.
• Russian State Support for Culture and Arts: TASS reports that Putin has instructed the development of mechanisms to allocate funds from the rental of foreign animated films to finance Russian ones and to direct a percentage of state funding for cinematography to animation. He also instructed the creation of a list of 100 best domestic films for schools, development of a museum development project, and proposals for preferential lending for cultural investment projects. He also ordered the creation of a patriotism-oriented theater in Moscow and the transfer of literary and publishing policy to the Ministry of Culture. This indicates state efforts to promote Russian culture and potentially utilize it for ideological purposes.
• Discussion on Ceasefire and Russian Military Production: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from European Commissioner for Defense Andrius Kubilius suggesting that a ceasefire would allow Russia to accumulate weapons and potentially attack Europe later, arguing that Russia's economy is on a military footing and cannot easily revert. This reflects concerns within some European circles about the strategic implications of a premature ceasefire.
• Russian Report on Criminal Cases in Gagauzia (Moldova): TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia, Eugenia Gutsul, and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy. This highlights political tensions and legal actions in Moldova, which has implications for regional stability and Russian influence.
• Discussion on World War II and Ukraine Conflict: Alex Parker Returns shares a video and commentary contrasting the perception of World War II being more "merciful" than the current conflict in Ukraine. This touches on the brutality of the current conflict and potentially serves as commentary on narratives surrounding it. Alex Parker Returns also shares a photo of social media comments discussing the "mercy" of WWII versus the current conflict, and reports complaints about life in Russia.
• Russian Military Recruitment Efforts: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants who received citizenship were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service. This indicates Russian efforts to recruit personnel, including naturalized citizens. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники also shares footage of this recruitment process.
• Report on a Ukrainian Servicemember from Kherson: Сили оборони Півдня України shares a photo message about a Ukrainian sergeant from Kherson, Vladyslav "Garik," who has been fighting since 2022, was trained in the UK, and aims for an officer rank. The report highlights the personal experiences and motivations of Ukrainian soldiers from occupied territories, the impact of the war on families, and the support they receive.
• Russian Report on Shot Down "Phoenix" Drone: Николаевский Ванёк shares a photo message claiming a "Phoenix" drone was shot down and contained a "secret message." The message is not detailed.
• Peskov on Istanbul Talks Representatives: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that Dmitry Peskov reiterated that Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks will be announced when Putin deems it necessary, echoing previous statements.
• Russian Naval Day Commemoration: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet of the Russian Navy, highlighting its historical significance and current role.
• Reported Ukrainian Drone Attack on Asphalt Concrete Plant in Luhansk: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that Russians are complaining about a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, claiming two dead and 15 injured. ТАСС shares video footage of the alleged aftermath of this attack on the asphalt concrete plant.
• Russian Military Blogger Commentary on Current Military Thought: Филолог в засаде, a Russian military blogger, comments on the evolution of military technology and tactics, noting that while basic principles from WWII remain, there is a critical delay in integrating modern means and tactical approaches into the Russian military. He mentions observing a lack of proper interaction between branches of troops. This provides insight into internal Russian military discussions and potential areas of concern or needed reform. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations, linking them to discussions about the actions of a specific assault detachment.
• Russian Information Operations on Victory Day: TASS has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day, highlighting ongoing Russian efforts to commemorate the event and utilize it for patriotic messaging.
• Reported Corruption within Ukrainian TCCs: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing a Ukrainian MP, claims that TCCs receive up to 2 billion euros in bribes annually, suggesting significant corruption within Ukraine's military recruitment system.
• Fundraising Efforts by Ukrainian Blogger: STERNENKO, a Ukrainian blogger, highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction and requests donations to support Ukrainian efforts, indicating a need for resources in this area.
• Russian Military Bloggers Showcase Daily Life: Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats" as part of a "Soldier's Daily Life" segment, likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale.
• Russian Military Community Discussion on Tactical Medicine: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post from "Latysh," head of a tactical medicine project, discussing the controversial use of nasopharyngeal airways in cases of nosebleeds and providing medical rationale and alternatives. This indicates ongoing efforts within the Russian military community to improve tactical medical practices.
• Russian Internal Affairs Update: Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Russian Interior Ministry, which will require confirmed accounts on public services portals and Russian email domains. This is a procedural update for internal law enforcement.
• Russian Government Meeting on Business Issues: Глеб Никитин, a Russian official, reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod to discuss issues faced by entrepreneurs, including administrative pressure and technical connection timelines. He notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses in the region. This is an internal Russian economic and governance update.
• Ukrainian Air Force Warns of Drone Threat in Kharkiv Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast.
• Russian Claims of S-200 Missile Use by Ukraine: Colonelcassad shares photos and commentary claiming that modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are being used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory. The shared photos appear to show a missile launch and an SA-6 Gainful missile system, which is related to the S-200 system.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Donetsk Oblast: Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Russian forces, including the "Center" Group of Forces, claim the complete liberation of Mirolyubovka. Colonelcassad claims Mirolyubovka is on the Krasnoarmeysk direction. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Russian military bloggers continue to claim advances and territorial control in various areas, including near Otradnoye and Bogatyr, and are pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports tense fighting in the vicinity of Toretsk, claiming Russian control of "practically the entire city" but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Ukrainian forces are actively engaged in both defensive and offensive operations, utilizing drone capabilities effectively. Civilian casualties and damage from shelling are reported (Luhansk, previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on the front lines, control of populated areas, and fortifications on the South-Donetsk and Konstantinovka directions. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian drone control points and logistical assets in Donetsk Oblast. Death of a Ukrainian soldier reported near Toretsk (previously). Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka area towards Zelenoye Pole. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction.
• Kursk Oblast (Russia): Ongoing conflict with reported Ukrainian attempts to break through and Russian counterattacks. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes, HIMARS strikes, and FPV drone use in the Tetkino area are reported. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing ongoing shelling and fear among residents, with access to Sudzha and dozens of villages remaining closed due to Ukrainian artillery shelling.
• Sumy Oblast: Affected by Russian aerial and artillery activity. Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on this direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners. Russian sources claim forceful mobilization and engagement of Ukrainian cooks in this area (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast, which is adjacent to Sumy Oblast.
• Mykolaiv Oblast: Affected by Russian drone attacks. Air alert issued due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted.
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Continued intense fighting with Russian assaults and Ukrainian defenses. Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups at a personnel accumulation point using SDB bombs (previously). Air raid alert declared due to the threat of Russian aviation (previously), but later cleared. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously).
• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Russian forces are reportedly pushing towards the border to gain fire control over a logistical hub (previously). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in the oblast while advancing (previously). Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the locations of Ukrainian forces in the Dnipro area. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces have advanced over 2.5 km westwards from Novosyolka towards the administrative borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
• Chernihiv Oblast: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach.
• Transnistria (Moldova): Mentioned in the context of Russian diplomatic tension with Moldova over historical textbook content.
• Moldova: Experiencing diplomatic tension with Russia over historical textbook content regarding the Transnistrian conflict. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy.
• Tripoli (Libya): Experiencing armed clashes and fighting, with reports of gunfire and armored vehicles. Mitiga International Airport operations are suspended. This indicates a new area of instability and conflict.
• Lithuania: International military exercises "Thunder Fortress 2025" are taking place, described by Russia as being directed against them. This indicates increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region.
• Hungarian-Ukrainian Border: Unconfirmed reports suggest Hungary is moving armored vehicles towards the border. This report requires verification but indicates potential for increased tension.
• United Kingdom: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities.
• Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of a suspected FSB agent who transmitted data on the movement of equipment and positions of Ukrainian units in Kramatorsk.
• Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole (Donetsk Oblast): Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in this area.
• Mariupol (Donetsk Oblast): ASTRA shares a video of residents appealing to the Russian parliament about housing issues and alleged corruption (previously).
• Luhansk: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. ТАСС shares video footage of the alleged aftermath of this attack.
• Kaluga (Russia): Incident involving a woman setting fire to Russian National Guard vehicles reported (previously).
• Novosibirsk Oblast (Russia): Criminal case opened against a regional official (previously).
• Khimki (Moscow Oblast, Russia): Video reportedly shows fresh graves at a cemetery (previously).
• Kherson Oblast: Russian Ministry of Defense shares a video of snipers undergoing drills (previously). Sentencing in an assassination attempt case reported (previously). Ukrainian Air Force warns of drone threat (previously), but later lifted. Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson.
• Republic of Crimea: Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of a Ukrainian UAV (previously).
• Stavropol Krai (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police for corruption.
• Belgorod Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of Ukrainian UAVs (previously). Reports of shelling (previously).
• Verona (Italy): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference.
• Krasnoyarsk (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process.
• Pokrovsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims Mirolyubovka was liberated on this direction.
• Nizhny Novgorod (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a trip for children to Minsk focusing on shared history.
• Minsk (Belarus): Destination for a trip for children from Nizhny Novgorod focusing on historical sites.
• Habarovsk Krai (Russia): Mentioned in the context of a procedural update for the Interior Ministry.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Pervasive on both sides. Ukrainian forces claim destruction of Russian assault groups using SDB bombs (delivered via aircraft, previously). Russian MoD footage includes footage of attack FPV drone teams in action. Russian drones are being found with messages explicitly rejecting a truce (previously). Air alert issued in Mykolaiv Oblast due to threat of attack drones, but later lifted. Reports of FPV drone drops in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Claims of Ukrainian forces using FPV drones in Kursk. Ukrainian showcase of a drone with a grenade launcher. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone. Russian Ministry of Defense claims destruction of 135 Ukrainian UAVs over the past day. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (previously), but later lifted in Kherson and Mykolaiv. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a shot down "Phoenix" drone. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory and shares photos related to an SA-6 Gainful system.
• Aviation Activity: Russian forces are conducting aviation strikes with guided aerial bombs towards Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts (previously). Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the southeastern and northeastern directions (previously). Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs to strike Russian territory (Kursk Oblast). Russian sources claim to be destroying NATO equipment in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast with aviation while advancing (previously). Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reported the use of a FAB-3000 guided aerial bomb against alleged Ukrainian forces advancing on Tyotkino in the Kursk border region (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that three guided aerial bombs (KABs) hit the village of Hremyach in Chernihiv Oblast.
• Missile Activity: Russia is utilizing missile strikes. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Iskander-M operational-tactical missile system crews in action. Reports of alleged HIMARS strikes (two) in the Tetkino area of Kursk. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea (previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 2 HIMARS projectiles and 9 JDAM bombs over the past day. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory.
• Naval Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas (previously). A Kalibr carrier is reported in the Mediterranean (previously). Logistical movement through the Kerch Strait continues (previously). The situation in Tripoli, Libya, has led to the evacuation of civilian planes from Mitiga International Airport. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet.
• Air Defense Activity: Ukraine reports shooting down a significant number of Russian UAVs and destroying Russian air defense systems (previously). Russian sources claim their air defense systems are hitting Ukrainian UAVs and downing guided aerial bombs. The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot missiles to Ukraine (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of 135 Ukrainian UAVs, 9 JDAM bombs, and 2 HIMARS projectiles over the past day. Colonelcassad shares photos related to an SA-6 Gainful system, relevant to air defense.
• Artillery Activity: Heavy artillery shelling continues on both sides. Russian MoD footage includes footage of Giatsint-B towed howitzer crews, Grad and Uragan MLRS crews in action. Reports of ongoing shelling in the Tetkino area of Kursk. Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian artillery shelling impacting residents in Kursk Oblast.
• Anti-Personnel Mines: Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, described as resembling lighters or small anti-tank mines and allegedly supplied by Western partners.
• Mining: Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a drone.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

• Ceasefire and Negotiations: Discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue amidst conflicting signals. While diplomatic efforts persist (Zelenskyy-Erdogan call, Turkish mediation efforts), messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO reports that the Kremlin will announce Russia's representatives for the Istanbul talks when Putin deems it necessary, and notes speculation about Lavrov and Ushakov. Colonelcassad also reports that the Russian delegation in Istanbul will be led by Lavrov and Ushakov. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that Russia continues to prepare for the Istanbul talks and that the Kremlin will announce who will represent Russia when Putin deems it necessary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 echoes Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) claims that Russia has announced its delegation and portrays Zelenskyy's actions negatively in relation to peace talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks and Peskov's statement.
• International Support for Ukraine: The EU intends to allocate €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition for Ukraine, in addition to previous investments in the defense industry (previously). The US has approved Germany's transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles (likely for HIMARS) to Ukraine (previously). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy.
• Russia-Moldova Relations: Maria Zakharova has strongly condemned the mention of Russia as a party to the Transnistrian conflict in new Moldovan history textbooks. This indicates continued diplomatic tension. TASS reports on criminal cases against the head of Gagauzia and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy.
• Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations continues, with differing conditions from each side. Messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" directly contradict diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire (previously). STERNENKO and Colonelcassad report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reiterate Peskov's statement on announcing representatives. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks.
• Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has excluded Lieutenant General Ivan Havryliuk from the composition of the Stavka of the Commander-in-Chief. This signifies a personnel change at a high level within Ukraine's defense leadership structure. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, citing a Ukrainian MP, claims high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs.
• Internal Russian Issues: Reports of internal security concerns continue (Kaluga incident, previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers. TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. Филолог в засаде comments on internal Russian military discussions and potential areas for reform. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats."
• Russia-Belarus Relations: Close cooperation reported with plans for a Belarusian Consulate General (previously). An international boxing tournament in Bryansk involving Russian and Belarusian силові відомства ( силові відомства) highlights continued cooperation and joint events (previously). A trip for Russian children to Minsk focusing on shared history reinforces these ties (previously).
• UK-Russia Relations: Six Bulgarians have been convicted and sentenced for spying for Russia in the UK, highlighting alleged Russian intelligence activities and straining relations.
• Russia-Lithuania Relations: Military exercises in Lithuania described by Russia as being directed against them indicate increased tension and military posturing in the Baltic region.
• Hungary-Ukraine Relations: Unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border could indicate increased tension or a shift in Hungary's posture towards the conflict. This requires verification. Alex Parker Returns is leveraging this unconfirmed report in information operations.
• Turkey-Russia Relations: Discussions continue regarding a potential meeting in Turkey (previously). STERNENKO, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 report on the likely Russian delegation for the Istanbul talks. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) comments on the Russian delegation for Istanbul talks. Alex Parker Returns comments on the preparations for Istanbul talks.
• Other International Developments: Armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya (previously). India-Pakistan conflict remains an external development (previously). ASTRA reports on the outcome of a mayoral election in the Philippines involving a candidate under ICC arrest. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia and potential meetings. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources.
• Judicial System (Russia): ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers. Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev.
• Financial Sector (Ukraine): Discussion regarding changes to limits on card transfers and payments via IBAN (previously).
• Financial Sector (Russia): Reports on Sber and VTB canceling commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs (previously).
• Ukraine-US Relations: РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources. Fighterbomber comments on this agreement.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

• Internal Security: Alleged involvement of Russian special services in a fire in Warsaw as accused by Poland (reported previously). Adam Kadyrov has reportedly received another medal. Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast could be used to support narratives about foreign involvement against Russia. The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Northern.Reality reports on the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev (previously). ASTRA reports the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev. Филолог в засаде comments on internal Russian military discussions. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats." Полиция Хабаровского края provides an update on the new procedure for submitting electronic appeals to the Interior Ministry. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses.
• Military Performance and Capabilities: Russian forces claim advances and the liberation of Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka. Russian artillery and missile systems are actively engaged. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are using new anti-personnel mines. Russian sources are promoting the development of new domestic electric motors for drones (previously). Russian MoD footage showcases various military units in action, likely for propaganda purposes. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in the Toretsk area, claiming Russian control but ongoing Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area. Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling. Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory.
• Casualty Reports and Morale: Authorities in Bashkortostan have acknowledged the deaths of five thousand residents in the war (previously). Ukrainian intelligence intercept reports significant losses and low morale in a Russian unit in Bryansk Oblast (previously). Death of a Ukrainian soldier reported near Toretsk (previously). Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers. Военкор Котенок shares a report describing the fear and impact of ongoing shelling on residents in Kursk Oblast.
• Logistical and Equipment Issues: The reliance on volunteer support for equipment like motorcycles suggests potential logistical gaps or needs within some Russian units (previously). Ukrainian claims of destroying Russian trucks and "bukhankas" in Donetsk Oblast highlight successful targeting of Russian logistics (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by a drone. Военкор Котенок reports that access to Sudzha and dozens of villages in Kursk remains closed due to Ukrainian artillery shelling, impacting daily life and potentially logistics.
• Information Operations: Russia continues to promote narratives about the conflict and internal issues. The Russian MoD is releasing footage of military operations. Maria Zakharova's condemnation of Moldovan textbooks serves a specific narrative about Russia's role in regional conflicts. Adam Kadyrov's receipt of another medal is likely used to promote his status and the security structures he is associated with. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory and the presence of a Polish mercenary in Kursk Oblast are likely used to portray Ukraine and its allies as aggressors. Messages on Russian drones stating "There will be no truce!" are a direct form of information warfare and propaganda (previously). Updated operational maps shared by Colonelcassad visually represent the conflict from a pro-Russian perspective, highlighting claimed Russian gains. Russia is framing military exercises in Lithuania as being directed against them and is stating they will take countermeasures. Alex Parker Returns' reporting on the unconfirmed Hungarian armor movement near the Ukrainian border, including a subsequent photo and text, suggests a Russian narrative is being formed around this event. ASTRA reports on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers, which has implications for the internal information space. TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts, indicating a strategic effort to control information and promote a specific narrative. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire, which is part of the information war. TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, which can be used to portray political instability in a neighboring country. Alex Parker Returns shares commentary contrasting the perception of World War II and the Ukraine conflict, touching on the brutality and potentially serving as commentary on narratives surrounding it. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment, which can be framed positively for domestic consumption. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone, likely for propaganda. Colonelcassad claims the liberation of Mirolyubovka and shares a video, which is a clear information operation. Два майора also confirms the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. Военкор Котенок reports the liberation of Mirolyubovka, citing the Russian Ministry of Defense. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area, which is an information operation to claim territorial gains. Военкор Котенок shares a report on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast, which can be used to highlight the impact of Ukrainian shelling on Russian territory. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, which includes political commentary. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective. ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day, serving as patriotic propaganda. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," likely aimed at humanizing soldiers and boosting morale. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports alleged corruption within Ukrainian TCCs, likely to undermine trust in Ukrainian institutions. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet, which is a patriotic and military-focused information piece. Alex Parker Returns shares a photo of social media comments discussing the "mercy" of WWII versus the current conflict, which can be used to highlight critical views within Russia or for propaganda.
• Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Adam Kadyrov was awarded a medal on the 25th anniversary of OMON "Akhmat-Grozny." An international boxing tournament in Bryansk involving Russian and Belarusian силові відомства ( силові відомства) highlights continued cooperation and joint events (previously). A trip for Russian children to Minsk focusing on shared history reinforces these ties (previously). ТАСС has compiled photos and videos of light shows in honor of Victory Day. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet.
• Political Dynamics: Adam Kadyrov being awarded a medal is a political act highlighting his status. TASS reports on criminal cases in Gagauzia, Moldova, and speculation that these could be used by the Moldovan authorities to gain control over the autonomy, highlighting political tensions in a neighboring country. Рыбарь reports and analyzes a proposal by Donald Trump to resettle white South African farmers in the US, linking it to US-South Africa relations. Военкор Котенок reports on Donald Trump's trip to Saudi Arabia, including commentary on his potential actions and motivations. Fighterbomber comments on the US-Ukraine agreement on mineral resources and upcoming negotiations, presenting a skeptical and critical perspective. Глеб Никитин reports on a meeting with a business ombudsman in Nizhny Novgorod and notes a decrease in administrative pressure on businesses.
• Industrial Capacity: An infographic indicates a significant increase in production at Russian defense plants since 2022 across aircraft, explosives, and artillery sectors (previously). This points to a substantial military-industrial capacity and efforts to sustain the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop.
• Naval Strategy: Russia's reiteration of its ambitious shipbuilding strategy emphasizes a long-term focus on strengthening its naval power (previously). Два майора discusses the potential use of naval escorts for Russian merchant ships (previously). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 commemorates the Day of the Black Sea Fleet.
• Veteran Support Issues: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front (previously). ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans (previously).
• Recruitment: МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants who received citizenship were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service. This indicates Russian efforts to recruit personnel. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники shares footage of this recruitment process.
• Military Strategy and Tactics (Internal Discussion): Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics and the need for better interaction between branches of troops. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

• Humanitarian Situation: Civilian casualties reported due to alleged Ukrainian drone attacks on infrastructure in Luhansk (previously). Военкор Котенок reports on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling, impacting residents and causing fear. ASTRA reports the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai for corruption, which can impact public services. News of a death from poisoning after visiting a cafe in Leningrad Oblast is reported by TASS (previously). Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk, claiming civilian casualties.
• Military Support (Ukraine): The EU is allocating an additional €900 million from frozen Russian assets for weapons and ammunition (previously). Taiwan is allocating $2 million for demining efforts (previously). A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses regional recovery, which indirectly supports the overall Ukrainian effort (previously). DeepState reported the creation of a specialized EU-Ukraine Defense Cooperation Task Force to accelerate the production of drones, missiles, and UAVs, with significant EU investment (€1 billion already, plus €900 million expected) funded by frozen Russian assets (previously). ASTRA highlights Ukrainian Magura V5/V7 maritime drones and their use in destroying Russian military assets (previously). ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that the expanding "Pentagon" drone unit is recruiting (previously). The US has approved the transfer of 100 Patriot and 125 long-range missiles to Ukraine (previously). 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. STERNENKO highlights increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction and requests donations. РБК-Україна reports on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources.
• Military Support (Russia): Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment for fighters on the Kursk front (previously). "Humanitarian Aid Omsk" and "Народная милиция ДНР" report on civilian/volunteer support and delivery of household appliances to Russian military units (previously). Colonelcassad reported on significant support provided to units of the "Vostok" group of forces, including drones, electronic warfare systems, vehicles, ground assault robots, and personal protective equipment, funded by subscribers and friends, and launched a new fundraising appeal for an assault infantry platoon (previously). TASS reports on Putin's instructions regarding state support for culture and arts, which can be framed as supporting national identity linked to the military. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats" sent from the front, implying volunteer support or the provision of comfort items.
• Rehabilitation: A meeting in Kharkiv Oblast discusses rehabilitation services for veterans (previously).
• Veteran Support Issues (Russia): МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front. ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans.
• Support for Ukrainian POWs and Families: The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War reported a meeting with families of defenders in the Volyn region to discuss prisoner exchanges, missing persons procedures, and communication with official structures (previously). Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson, highlighting the impact of the war on families and the support they receive.
• Post-Conflict Recovery: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona, Italy, focusing on effective reconstruction strategies, energy efficiency, environmental friendliness, the role of communities and regions, innovation, business support, partnerships, and attracting investments. This highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery. TASS reports that Putin has instructed the restoration of cultural heritage sites in territories affected by combat and shelling (previously).
• Tactical Medicine (Russia): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a detailed post discussing tactical medicine practices within the Russian military. This indicates ongoing efforts to improve medical support for combat personnel.
• Support for Civilians (Ukraine): Discussion regarding financial assistance for adopting a child (previously).
• Veteran Support (Ukraine): Discussion on helping wounded soldiers return to life and service (previously). Discussion on support for wounded and rehabilitated soldiers (previously).

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

• Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, utilizing artillery, guided bombs, and a high volume of drones. Claiming the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka (previously) and Mirolyubovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment and inflicting losses. Employing tactical aviation. Utilizing Iskander-M missile systems, Giatsint-B howitzers, Grad and Uragan MLRS. Russian MoD footage showcases these units in action. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Russian forces claim advances and territorial control, including the complete liberation of Kotlyarovka and Mirolyubovka and recent advances in Toretsk, Romanivka, and Novoolekivka. Messages on Russian drones explicitly reject a truce (previously). Updated operational maps provide visual details on Russian positions and claimed control. Reports suggest Ukraine is deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, which Russian forces will need to counter. Народная милиция ДНР claims destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine, highlighting combined arms tactics. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones and the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Сливочный каприз claims Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area, involving infantry units and shelling Ukrainian positions. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reports on fighting in Toretsk, claiming Russian control and repelling Ukrainian counter-attack attempts. Военкор Котенок reports on Ukrainian artillery shelling in Kursk Oblast. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports on a raid in Krasnoyarsk where migrants were sent to military registration offices and received summons for service, indicating recruitment efforts. Филолог в засаде comments on the integration of modern military technology and tactics and the need for better interaction between branches of troops. Филолог в засаде later reiterates his previous posts on changes in artillery operations. Два майора shares photos and videos of "frontline cats," which can be seen as part of troop welfare.
• Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses. Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces (previously). Utilizing maritime drones (previously). Seeking international support and military aid. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling (previously). Claiming destruction of Russian equipment, including air defense systems and boats (previously). Ukrainian sources claim the destruction of Russian assault groups in Zaporizhzhia using SDB bombs (previously). Ukraine has excluded Lieutenant General Havryliuk from the Stavka. Ukraine is receiving significant military aid from the EU and the US (Patriot and HIMARS missiles). Reports suggest Ukrainian forces are deploying new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction. Claims of Ukrainian aviation bomb strikes and HIMARS use in Kursk Oblast. Claims of a Polish mercenary fighting on the Ukrainian side in Kursk Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports the detention of suspected FSB agents who transmitted data on Ukrainian military locations. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award, highlighting recognition of military achievements. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike in Kursk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ showcases a drone with a grenade launcher. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers. Сили оборони Півдня України shares a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson, highlighting individual experiences and training. Николаевский Ванёк reports on a shot down "Phoenix" drone. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warns of a threat of enemy attack UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory and shares photos related to an SA-6 Gainful system.
• Foreign Fighters: Claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast. РБК-Україна reports the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia on the Lyman direction.
• Equipment and Tactics: Use of various types of drones (strike, reconnaissance, FPV, "Baba Yaga," aircraft-type, quadcopters) by both sides. Employment of guided aerial bombs (FAB-3000, KABs), artillery, MLRS, and MANPADS. Use of boats for sabotage and reconnaissance (previously). Potential use of ATVs by Ukrainian infantry (targeted by Russian drones, previously). Poddubny emphasizes the enemy's (likely Ukrainian) extensive use of heavy drones capable of carrying significant payloads on the Krasnoarmeysk direction and the priority of destroying them (previously). STERnenko highlights the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of using FPV interceptors to down Russian Shahed drones (previously). TSAPLIЕNKO_UKRAINE FIGHTS highlights the effectiveness of Igla MANPADS (previously). Dva Mayora reports on Ukrainian SSO tactics and equipment in Kursk, mentioning they are trained by Western instructors (previously). ARKHANGEL SPETSNAZA highlights the use of FPV drones for targeting enemy personnel and demonstrates the features and capabilities of a captured American Mark 19 automatic grenade launcher and compares it to the Russian AGS-17 (previously). The Russian Ministry of Defense highlights the effectiveness of Msta-S self-propelled howitzers, and mentions the use of tube artillery and cluster ammunition by Russian forces and the destruction of "Baba Yaga" type heavy UAVs in the liberation of Kotlyarovka, and the use of FPV drones and reconnaissance quadcopters (previously). Dnevnik Desantnika reports that enemy positions in Bilovody are well-fortified (previously). БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video showcasing the claimed first combat use of a drone with a grenade launcher. Президентська бригада ЗСУ shares a video from the 4th Battalion claiming successful FPV drone strikes against enemy infantry (previously). Colonelcassad shares a video of a "Solntsepyok" system operating on the Pokrovsk direction (previously). Voin DV reports on Russian units destroying a mortar crew position and an ammunition depot (previously), and claims destruction of a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone and a pickup truck with personnel by FPV drones (previously). Народная милиция ДНР claims a Ukrainian armored vehicle was damaged by a mine before being destroyed by an FPV drone. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop. Colonelcassad claims modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

• The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, underscores the strategic importance of this area. Russia's official claim of liberating Mirolyubovka, if accurate, represents tangible tactical gains and contributes to their overall strategic objective of securing the Donbas region. The focus on pushing towards the border of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast also indicates a potential strategic aim to gain fire control over key logistical hubs. DeepState's report of Russian advances in Toretsk, near Romanivka, and Novoolekivka confirms recent tactical gains in specific sectors, which have strategic implications for controlling key populated areas and logistical routes. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА's report on fighting in Toretsk from a pro-Russian perspective provides insight into claimed Russian progress and ongoing Ukrainian resistance in a key urban area. Сливочный каприз claiming Russian advances in the Velikaya Novosyolka - Zelenoye Pole area suggests ongoing Russian offensive actions aimed at expanding their control in western Donetsk. STERNENKO highlighting increased Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction underscores this area as a current focus of Russian offensive efforts.
• The ongoing diplomatic discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations highlight the continued international dimension of the conflict. However, the discovery of messages on Russian drones explicitly stating "There will be no truce!" (previously) and the uncertainty surrounding the level of Russian representation for the Istanbul talks, as reported by STERNENKO and echoed by other sources, are powerful counter-signals that directly undermine the prospects for immediate de-escalation and suggest a continued Russian commitment to military objectives over a negotiated settlement in the short term. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) commentary on the Russian delegation and Zelenskyy's actions further highlights the information war surrounding potential negotiations.
• The large-scale Russian drone attacks, coupled with continued heavy shelling and aviation strikes, demonstrate Russia's reliance on these methods to degrade Ukrainian defenses and inflict casualties. Ukraine's ability to counter these efforts through air defense and effective targeting with drones and SDB bombs highlights the ongoing adaptation and technological aspects of the conflict. Claims of Ukrainian forces using foreign-made aviation bombs and HIMARS in Kursk Oblast (previously), if verified, would represent a potential strategic escalation in the types of munitions used by Ukraine against targets within Russia. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a HIMARS strike on a bridge in Kursk Oblast, which, if confirmed, is a strategic strike aimed at disrupting Russian logistics in a critical border region. Оперативний ЗСУ showcasing a drone with a grenade launcher highlights innovation in Ukrainian tactics and equipment, which can have strategic implications for future engagements. Народная милиция ДНР claiming destruction of a Ukrainian armored vehicle by an FPV drone after hitting a mine highlights the effectiveness of combined arms tactics. The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery workshop indicates strategic targeting of Ukrainian military production capabilities. Военкор Котенок reporting on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling underscores the strategic impact of Ukrainian actions on Russian border regions. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting a drone attack on an asphalt concrete plant in occupied Luhansk suggests Ukrainian targeting of logistical or industrial infrastructure in occupied territories. Повітряні Сили ЗС України warning of a drone threat in Kharkiv Oblast indicates ongoing Russian aerial reconnaissance or attack capabilities in this area. Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, would represent a significant development in Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities and a potential new threat to targets within Russia.
• The exclusion of Lieutenant General Havryliuk from Ukraine's Stavka is a notable change in high-level personnel and could indicate a shift in operational planning or leadership structure at the highest level of the Ukrainian military.
• The EU's allocation of €900 million for weapons and ammunition, combined with the US approval of German transfer of Patriot and HIMARS missiles (previously), represent significant and tangible strategic support for Ukraine's defense capabilities. This aid directly contributes to Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense and potentially conduct offensive operations. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reporting on a Ukraine Recovery Conference in Verona highlights international efforts and planning for Ukraine's post-conflict recovery, which is a strategic long-term consideration. РБК-Україна reporting on Ukraine's parliament supporting changes to the Budget Code for an agreement with the US on mineral resources suggests a strategic focus on leveraging natural resources for economic support and potentially military funding.
• The diplomatic tension between Russia and Moldova over historical textbook content (previously), and the reports of criminal cases in Gagauzia (Moldova), reflect broader geopolitical dynamics and Russia's sensitivity regarding its historical narrative and influence in neighboring countries.
• The claims of a Polish mercenary being found in Kursk Oblast and the alleged use of foreign-made aviation bombs on Russian territory are likely to be leveraged by Russia in information operations to portray the conflict as a proxy war involving NATO and other foreign powers, with the strategic aim of garnering domestic support and potentially influencing international perceptions. РБК-Україна reporting the capture of an Uzbek national fighting for Russia provides counter-information on foreign fighter involvement.
• Updated operational maps of Donetsk Oblast provide crucial visual information on the tactical situation, allowing for a better understanding of the current state of the front lines, areas of contestation, and the location of defensive fortifications, which is essential for strategic planning.
• The conviction of six Bulgarians for spying for Russia in the UK (previously) highlights alleged Russian intelligence activities operating abroad and has strategic implications for counterintelligence efforts and national security in NATO countries.
• The reported deployment of new anti-personnel mines by Ukraine on the Sumy direction is a tactical adaptation with strategic implications for slowing down potential Russian advances and creating defensive obstacles in border regions.
• The armed clashes in Tripoli, Libya, indicate a new area of instability and conflict that could have broader regional implications, potentially drawing the attention of international actors or impacting energy markets.
• The military exercises in Lithuania and Russia's reaction to them highlight increased military activity and tension in the Baltic region, which is a strategically important area bordering both Russia and NATO countries.
• The unconfirmed reports of Hungary moving armored vehicles towards the Ukrainian border, if verified, could be a significant strategic development, indicating a potential shift in Hungary's stance or an attempt to exert pressure related to the conflict. This requires careful monitoring and verification. Alex Parker Returns' immediate commentary on this unconfirmed event suggests it is being quickly integrated into Russian information operations.
• The detention of suspected FSB agents in Dnipro and Kramatorsk highlights the ongoing intelligence war within Ukraine and Russia's alleged efforts to gather information on Ukrainian military locations and movements. This underscores the importance of counterintelligence.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming significant Ukrainian losses across all operational zones is a key component of their information strategy to portray the conflict as favorable to Russia. Analyzing these claims against other available information is crucial for assessing the actual impact of operations.
• Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on "Madyar" receiving the Hero of Ukraine award is strategically important for Ukrainian morale and countering Russian information operations targeting him.
• The ASTRA report on the court ruling regarding the lawsuit by Ekaterina Mizulina against bloggers highlights internal Russian dynamics related to information control and dissent, which can have implications for the broader political landscape.
• TASS reporting on Putin's instructions regarding culture and arts indicates a strategic effort to utilize these areas for ideological purposes and promote a specific narrative supporting the war effort.
• ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS sharing a statement from a European Commissioner about the strategic implications of a ceasefire reflects discussions within the international community about the long-term consequences of the conflict and potential de-escalation scenarios.
• The ASTRA report on the sentencing of the former head of the traffic police in Stavropol Krai highlights significant corruption within Russian law enforcement, which can impact governance and potentially military effectiveness indirectly.
• МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on a raid targeting migrants for military recruitment is strategically relevant as it indicates Russian efforts to increase manpower for the conflict.
• Сили оборони Півдня України sharing a report about a Ukrainian servicemember from Kherson highlights the human element of the conflict and efforts to support and recognize those involved, which is important for morale and public support.
• Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reporting the alleged demobilization of several Russian officers is a Ukrainian information operation aimed at highlighting Russian losses, particularly among leadership.
• Военкор Котенок sharing a report on the challenging environment in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling is likely intended to highlight the impact of the conflict on Russian territory and potentially garner support for increased security measures or offensive actions.
• ASTRA reporting the заочное sentencing of former bank owner Sergei Pugachev highlights ongoing legal proceedings against individuals who have left Russia and are critical of the government.
• Филолог в засаде commenting on internal Russian military discussions about strategy and tactics, including the slow integration of modern approaches, is strategically valuable as it provides insight into potential weaknesses or areas of friction within the Russian military command and planning.
• Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting alleged high levels of corruption within Ukrainian TCCs is a significant information operation aimed at undermining public trust in Ukrainian institutions and potentially discouraging mobilization efforts.
• Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 sharing a detailed post on tactical medicine reflects efforts within the Russian military community to improve medical support for combat personnel, which is strategically relevant for maintaining force effectiveness and minimizing casualties.
• Colonelcassad claiming modernized Ukrainian S-200 missiles are used as surface-to-surface ballistic missiles to strike Russian territory, if confirmed, could lead to a reassessment of the threat to Russian territory and potential adjustments in defensive strategies.

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Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.