Sitrep 2025-05-13 07:27:16

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 13, 2025, 07:26 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains defined by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk border region. Russian forces continue to employ extensive aerial and drone assets, with recent reports highlighting significant drone activity and continued use of guided aerial bombs. Diplomatic discussions persist, with focus on potential negotiations, though the intensity of fighting on the ground suggests a breakthrough is not imminent. New reporting from a Russian military blogger details ongoing Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Kursk border region near Tetkino, including the use of small infantry groups and sabotage/reconnaissance groups on the Seim River, suggesting a potential build-up for a more serious attack. This assessment is based on observed Ukrainian force accumulation and increased aviation activity in the area. Russia claims the destruction of a Ukrainian communication node on the South Donetsk direction near Otradnoe and the capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners near Bogatyr on the same direction, claiming unexpected success. Russian aviation continues to conduct strikes in the areas of Novoukrainka and Shevchenko. Internal matters in both countries, including security operations and information campaigns, continue to be reported. Fundraising efforts for military support remain active on both sides. Russia commemorates Black Sea Fleet Day. Reports from Libya indicate the stated end of military operations in Tripoli by the Government of National Unity forces after clashes, although the situation remains tense. An internal Russian investigation into a regional official in Novosibirsk has been reported. Cybersecurity warnings are being disseminated by Ukrainian cyberpolice. Ukrainian attacks by three aircraft-type UAVs on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk are reported, with one more drone striking the territory less than an hour later, causing a fire and damage. Ukraine's Air Force reports downing 10 Shahed-type attack UAVs and various imitation drones overnight. A potential act of sabotage or resistance targeting Russian National Guard vehicles by arson has been reported in Kaluga, Russia. Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) has reportedly detained an individual in Rivne Oblast suspected of preparing a diversion at a power transmission line connected to the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant, allegedly for the Russian military intelligence, involving the attempted use of a GPS tracker. A court in the UK has sentenced six Bulgarian citizens to significant prison terms for spying for Russia, highlighting ongoing international intelligence activities. US President Trump has arrived in Saudi Arabia as part of a Middle East tour. Reports suggest President Zelenskyy will only meet with President Putin in Istanbul and not other Russian representatives. Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Russian Ministry of Defense is highlighting the repair and restoration of military equipment, including a Grad MLRS launcher. Reports of discussions between Brazil and a Rosatom structure regarding joint uranium and lithium extraction. Reports of Russian Su-25 aircraft conducting air strikes in the Kharkiv direction. Reports of forced mobilization of cooks in the Sumy direction by Ukrainian forces (from a Russian source). Reports of Ukrainian forces destroying two Zala Kub loitering munitions. Reports of civilian casualties from Russian shelling in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts. Concerns raised by NATO regarding the inability of alliance armies to achieve air superiority and the need for integrating budget drone systems, citing the conflict in Ukraine as an example. A Russian military blogger highlights footage allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast, framed with commentary about a "sanitary zone." A Russian military blogger claims work is underway on forcing the Dnipro River.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Stara Mykolaivka, Mayak, Shevchenko Pershe, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Poltavka, Pokrovsk, Illinivka, Sukhyy Yar, Oleksiyivka, Odradne, Voskresenka, Vovchansk, Krasnyi Pershyi, Pishchane, Hlushkivka, Novoosynove, Zelenyy Hay, Hrekivka, Ridkodub, Torske, Kolodyazi, Zelena Dolyna, Nadiya, Lypove, Novomykhaylivka, Yampolivka, in the direction of Olhivka, Hryhorivka, Bilohorivka, Vasukivka, Chasiv Yar, in the direction of Bila Hora, Predtechyne, Dyliyivka, Petrivka, Toretsk, Nova Poltavka, Myrolubivka, Promin, Lysivka, Myrnohrad, Udachne, Novoserhiyivka, Novooleksandrivka, Kotlyarivka, Troyitske, Andriyivka, Stara Mykolayivka, Malynivka, Yelyzavetivka, Popiv Yar, Novomykolayivka, Muravka, Oleksiyivka, Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Zelene Pole, Novosilka and towards Shevchenko, Mala Tokmachka, Mali Scherbaky and towards Pavlivka, Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovsk, Myrove hromadas, Bohater, Kotlyarivka, Komar, Sukhyi Balka, Kalynove, Stepanivka, Novoukrainka, Otradnoe): Remains a primary focus of intense ground combat. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 166 combat engagements in total in the past day. Specific areas of Russian assault and Ukrainian defense include the Kharkiv direction (Vovchansk and Krasnyi Pershyi - 7 attacks repelled), Kupiansk direction (Pishchane, Hlushkivka, Novoosynove - 5 attacks repelled), Lyman direction (various settlements - 20 attacks), Siversk direction (Hryhorivka and Bilohorivka - 6 attacks repelled), Kramatorsk direction (Vasukivka, Chasiv Yar and towards Bila Hora and Predtechyne - 4 engagements), Toretsk direction (Dyliyivka, Petrivka and Toretsk - 9 attacks), Pokrovsk direction (numerous settlements - 60 attacks repelled), Novopavlivka direction (Kostyantynopil, Bahatyr, Zelene Pole, Novosilka and towards Shevchenko - 24 attacks repelled), and Orikhiv direction (Mala Tokmachka, Mali Scherbaky and towards Pavlivka - 6 attacks repelled). Russian air strikes were reported in the areas of Stara Mykolayivka, Mayak, Shevchenko Pershe, Udachne, Novomykolayivka, Poltavka, Pokrovsk, Illinivka, Sukhyy Yar, Oleksiyivka, Odradne, Voskresenka. Russian forces attacked the Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovsk, and Myrove hromadas with Grad MLRS, artillery, and UAVs. WarGonzo claims successful Russian assault operations in Bohater with control over approximately half the settlement, official liberation of Kotlyarivka, Russian attacks towards Odrade and Komar, and advances towards Stara Mykolaivka with fighting beginning for this settlement, and the practical liquidation of a "pocket" between Sukhyi Balka and Kalynove. Сливочный каприз claims the destruction of a Ukrainian Leopard tank near Stepanivka by a Russian FPV drone. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video of fighting for Kotlyarivka. ASTRA reports a Russian drone attacked a civilian cargo train in Donetsk Oblast on May 12, injuring the driver. Russian source Mash на Донбассе reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, resulting in injuries and damage, and Ukrainian shelling of Kamianka causing damage. The Defense Forces of the South report 24 attacks repelled on the Novopavlivka direction, 6 attacks repelled on the Orikhiv direction, and Russian activity on the Huliaipole direction (no offensive, but regrouping). ТАСС reports the destruction of a Ukrainian communication node near Otradnoe on the South Donetsk direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Басурин о главном claim the capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners near Bogatyr on the South Donetsk direction. Воин DV reports Russian aviation strikes on Ukrainian positions in the areas of Novoukrainka and Shevchenko on the South Donetsk direction. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares an image of an artillery unit, with accompanying text mentioning an artilleryman from Bakhmut, highlighting continued operations in this area.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) / Sumy Oblast (Ukraine Border) (Boyaro-Lezhachi, Chumakove, Zinove, Glushkovo, Rylsk, Tetkino, Khomutovka, Loknya, Novy Put, Seim River): The Ukrainian General Staff reports 9 combat engagements of varying intensity, 18 air strikes with 20 guided bombs, and 254 artillery shellings (8 MLRS) in the Kursk direction in the past day. Russian air strikes were reported in the areas of Boyaro-Lezhachi, Chumakove, Zinove. AV БогомаZ reports a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. Liveuamap Source reports Ukrainian forces repelled 9 Russian army assaults in the Kursk region. WarGonzo reports continued Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate Russian defenses near Tetkino and ongoing Russian operations and fighting near Loknya within Sumy Oblast. ASTRA reports a 5-year-old child was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a civilian vehicle in Khomutovka on May 11th. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly found on a captured Ukrainian phone from the Kursk Oblast. Два майора reports continued periodic clashes with Ukrainian formations near Tetkino and in the area of Novy Put, highlighting the use of infantry groups and increased activity of sabotage and reconnaissance groups on boats on the Seim River. They assess a potential build-up for a more serious Ukrainian attack. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video with the caption "Ніхто вже нічого не забирає і не уйоб#є. Курщина" (No one is taking anything or f*ing off anymore. Kursk region), potentially implying ongoing Ukrainian activity or a shift in the situation in the area.** Рыбарь reports on a difficult situation in the Tetkino area, with the enemy trying to isolate the combat area, disrupt supply lines with strikes on bridges and crossings, and using drones to cut off forward units. He also mentions Ukrainian attempts to break through into Kursk Oblast and Russian forces inflicting comprehensive fire damage on approaching Ukrainian reserves. Additionally, he reports on attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics in Sumy Oblast, including near Konotop, and the announcement of civilian evacuation from Nova Sloboda and Maryanivka. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast, with commentary about a "sanitary zone."
Sumy Oblast (Boяro-Lezhachi, Chumakove, Zinove, Bilohalytsia, Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, Petrushivka, Konotop, suburbs of Sumy, Loknya, frontline oblasts, Nova Sloboda, Maryanivka): Russian air strikes were reported in the areas of Boyaro-Lezhachi, Chumakove, Zinove, Bilohalytsia. The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported border settlements are suffering from shelling from Russian territory, including Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, and Petrushivka. РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy resulted in one fatality and injuries. WarGonzo reports ongoing Russian operations and fighting near Loknya within Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts, which includes Sumy. Рыбарь reports on Russian offensive actions in strongpoints in the villages of Belovody and Loknya and nearby forest belts in the Sumy direction. He also reports on attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics in Sumy Oblast, including near Konotop, and the announcement of civilian evacuation from Nova Sloboda and Maryanivka. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБ (guided aerial bombs) by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video claiming to show forcefully mobilized Ukrainian cooks being engaged by Russian forces in the Sumy direction.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Novodarivka, Hulyaipole, Vysoke, Pavlivka, Novoyakovlivka, Mala Tokmachka, Mali Shcherbaky, in the direction of Pavlivka, Bilenke village): Russian air strikes were reported in the areas of Novodarivka, Hulyaipole, Vysoke, Pavlivka, Novoyakovlivka. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 6 attacks were repelled on the Orikhiv direction (Mala Tokmachka, Mali Shcherbaky, in the direction of Pavlivka). The Ukrainian General Staff reports no Russian offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 and ASTRA report that a 72-year-old man was injured in a Russian drone attack on his car in a frontline hromada. STERNENKO also reports this incident. WarGonzo reports no significant changes on the Zaporizhzhia front with ongoing artillery and drone use. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about countering drones on the Zaporizhzhia direction. The Defense Forces of the South report 6 attacks repelled on the Orikhiv direction and Russian activity on the Huliaipole direction (no offensive, but regrouping). Два майора is fundraising for equipment for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Север.Реалии reports a 72-year-old local resident was injured in the village of Bilenke, Zaporizhzhia Oblast as a result of Russian shelling.
Bryansk Oblast (Russia): AV БогомаZ reports that Russian air defense forces detected and destroyed a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV over Bryansk Oblast overnight. ASTRA reports a 5-year-old child injured in a Ukrainian drone attack in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, was transported to a hospital in Bryansk Oblast. Рыбарь reports on enemy shelling of the border area and remote mining of roads in Bryansk Oblast. He also mentions the detonation of a remote explosive device on a road near Suzemka-Strachovo, injuring two civilians.
Kharkiv Oblast (Dvorichna, Vovchansk, Krasnyi Pershyi, Pishchane, Hlushkivka, Novoosynove, suburbs of Sumy, frontline oblasts): Russian air strikes were reported in the area of Dvorichna. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 7 attacks were repelled on the Kharkiv direction (Vovchansk and Krasnyi Pershyi) and 5 attacks were repelled on the Kupiansk direction (Pishchane, Hlushkivka, Novoosynove). Олег Синєгубов reports Russian strikes on 3 settlements, with two civilians injured (62-year-old man in Kindrashivka, 51-year-old man in Ruski Tyshky), using 2 KABs and 2 FPV drones, damaging 2 private houses in Kupiansk district. Liveuamap Source reports clashes on the Kharkiv and Kupyansk axes yesterday. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts, which includes Kharkiv. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the situation in their operational zone, including 7 enemy attacks repelled near Vovchansk and Krasnyi Pershyi, 119 kamikaze drones used by the enemy, 371 shellings, Russian losses of 44 personnel (27 irreversible) and 94 units of weapons/equipment destroyed/damaged (including 1 artillery system, 29 vehicles, 60 UAVs, 4 special equipment), 91 shelters and 2 ammunition storage sites destroyed. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian Su-25 aircraft are operating in the Kharkiv direction.
LNR (Makiyivka, Luhansk): TASS reports Russian claims of destroying several Ukrainian strongpoints and occupying two forest belts near Makiyivka. ТАСС reports that Rosgvardia discovered over 70 kg of explosives in a cache in a forest belt in LNR. Mash на Донбассе and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk, causing a fire and damage to the administrative building and civilian transport.
Libya (Tripoli, Abu Salim): РБК-Україна reports Libya claims a successful military operation in Tripoli. WarGonzo reports on the renewed violence in Tripoli after the killing of a high-ranking security official. ASTRA reports that the Ministry of Defense of the GNA has stated the completion of a military operation in Tripoli and the establishment of full control over the Abu Salim area after clashes, though the situation remains tense.
Krasnodar Krai (Russia): ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident involving Russian military personnel on the "Krasnodar-Kropotkin" highway.
Volgograd (Russia): TASS reports a domestic political discussion regarding renaming a district.
Kamensk-Shakhtinsky (Rostov Oblast, Russia): Оперативний ЗСУ previously claimed a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant.
Kherson Oblast (Kozatske, near Antonivskyi railway bridge and southern part of island zone, Chelburda, Hola Prystan, Nova Kakhovka, Oleshky, Kakhovka, Kairy, Kozachi Laheri, Kamenka, Korsunka, Kniaz-Hryhorivka, Malokakhovka, Nova Zburivka, Nova Maiachka, Novofedorivka, Rybalche): Russian air strikes were reported in the area of Kozatske. The Defense Forces of the South report 4 unsuccessful Russian attempts to advance near the Antonivskyi railway bridge and in the southern part of the island zone of the Dnipro. They also report 2 civilian injuries (including 1 child) in Kherson Oblast due to drone terror, shelling, and air strikes. Рыбарь reports that a Ukrainian strike on Chelburda in the Oleshkinsky district resulted in four fatalities and one injury. He also reports a local resident was injured in Hola Prystan and mentions Ukrainian shelling of numerous other settlements in the area. Север.Реалии reports two people, including a child, were injured in Kherson Oblast as a result of Russian shelling. Alex Parker Returns claims work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River.
Buryatia (Russia): ASTRA reports a state of emergency due to forest fires covering over 53 thousand hectares. STERNENKO reiterates the state of emergency in Buryatia due to forest fires.
Amur Oblast (Russia) (near Blagoveshchensk and Svobodny): STERNENKO shares videos of a large forest fire near a highway in Amur Oblast.
Mykolaiv Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of Russian strike UAVs from the south in Mykolaiv Oblast.
Novosibirsk Oblast (Russia): ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened against the head of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Novosibirsk Oblast for exceeding official powers, with damages estimated at 95 million rubles. ASTRA reports on the detention of the minister and the details of the criminal case. Colonelcassad shares a video of law enforcement approaching the minister's residence.
Perm (Russia): The regional ministry of territorial security in Perm denies previous reports of violent actions and claims that a death occurred due to a penetrating stab wound.
Luhansk (LNR): Mash на Донбассе and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk.
Rivne Oblast: Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a resident of Varash has been notified of suspicion in preparing a diversion at a power transmission line of the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant for Russian special services, involving the attempted use of a GPS tracker. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides further details on the SBU detention of a Russian military intelligence agent preparing a GPS beacon for a Russian strike on power lines near the Rivne NPP.
Kaluga (Russia): Оперативний ЗСУ reports a woman set fire to 5 Russian National Guard vehicles overnight.
London (UK): ASTRA reports a UK court sentenced six Bulgarian citizens to prison terms for spying for Russia.
Riyadh (Saudi Arabia): РБК-Україна reports US President Trump has arrived in Riyadh as part of his Middle East tour.
Istanbul (Turkey): Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report that President Zelenskyy will only meet with President Putin in Istanbul and not other Russian representatives.
Kirovohrad Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in the southeastern part of the oblast.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Highly active on both sides. The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia used 3058 kamikaze drones in the past day. Russian forces attacked the Nikopol district with UAVs. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 and ASTRA report that a 72-year-old man was injured in a Russian drone attack on his car in a frontline hromada in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. STERNENKO also reports this incident. AV БогомаZ reports a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy resulted in one fatality and injuries. Олег Синєгубов reports Russian forces used 2 FPV drones in Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO posts a call for donations for "russoriz" (likely drone operations). Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares images and analysis of a downed Ukrainian drone with a "no truce" message. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, and РБК-Україна report the successful downing of 10 Russian Shahed-type attack UAVs and various imitation drones launched overnight. РБК-Україна notes this was an atypical number. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about countering drones on the Zaporizhzhia direction. The Defense Forces of the South report 6 Shahed-136 UAVs destroyed and almost 600 kamikaze drone strikes and 300 drops from UAVs in Southern Ukraine in the past day, impacting civilian areas and causing casualties in Kherson Oblast. Сливочный каприз claims the destruction of a Ukrainian Leopard tank by a Russian FPV drone near Stepanivka. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition mentions Ukrainian drone attacks during the battle for Kotlyarivka. Два майора reports increased activity of Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups on boats on the Seim River in the Kursk border region and that drones are cutting off Russian forward units in the Tetkino area. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of Russian strike UAVs from the south in Mykolaiv Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights the use of the Ukrainian "Lyut" UAV by the HUR. Mash на Донбассе and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports 119 kamikaze drones used by the enemy and 60 enemy UAVs destroyed in their operational zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing a Russian drone countering a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Рыбарь reports on the enemy using drones to cut off Russian forward units near Tetkino. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in the southeastern part of Kirovohrad Oblast. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces destroyed two Zala Kub loitering munitions.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia dropped 141 guided bombs in the past day, including 20 in the Kursk direction. Russian air strikes with guided bombs were reported in Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts. Олег Синєгубов reports Russian forces used 2 KABs in Kharkiv Oblast. The Defense Forces of the South report Russian forces used 24 KABs in 8 air strikes on civilian/critical infrastructure in Southern Ukraine. Colonelcassad shares videos claiming strikes by Su-34 crews in the Temirovka area, likely involving guided bombs. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБ by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the enemy used 2 KABs in their operational zone.
Missile Activity: The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted over 5400 shellings (103 MLRS) in the past day, including 254 artillery shellings (8 MLRS) in the Kursk direction. Russian forces attacked the Nikopol district with Grad MLRS and artillery. The Defense Forces of the South report over 300 Russian shellings using over 1400 munitions and 52 unguided air rockets in 8 air strikes in Southern Ukraine in the past day. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights the use of the Ukrainian S-200 missile system by the HUR in a long-range strike role.
Aviation Activity: The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted 78 aviation strikes in the past day, including 18 in the Kursk direction. Russian air strikes were reported in Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts. Олег Синєгубов reports Russian forces used 2 KABs (delivered by aviation) in Kharkiv Oblast. The Defense Forces of the South report 8 Russian air strikes on civilian/critical infrastructure in Southern Ukraine using KABs and unguided rockets. Colonelcassad shares videos claiming strikes by Su-34 crews in the Temirovka area. Fighterbomber provides a detailed description of the L-39 Albatros trainer aircraft used by the Russian Air Force. Два майора reports active Russian aviation work on the Kursk direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with a threat of using aerial weapons for frontline oblasts. Воин DV reports bombardment aviation of the Russian 11th Guards Army conducted strikes in the areas of Novoukrainka and Shevchenko. Colonelcassad reports OAK has transferred a new batch of Su-35S fighters to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of КАБ by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the enemy inflicted aviation strikes in their operational zone and used 2 KABs. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian Su-25 aircraft are operating in the Kharkiv direction.
Naval Activity: Басурин о главном posts about May 13th being Black Sea Fleet Day. РБК-Україна reports Netherlands and Australia are seeking ICAO negotiations with Russia on MH17 compensation, related to past naval activity. The Defense Forces of the South report the destruction of 2 Russian boats in the past day. Рыбарь posts about May 13th being Black Sea Fleet Day. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video of the Kakhovka reservoir, potentially related to the naval/riverine situation. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River. Alex Parker Returns claims work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire and Negotiations: Diplomatic discussions regarding a potential ceasefire and negotiations continue. РБК-Україна reports on the Weimar+ statement regarding ceasefire in Ukraine, pressure on Russia, security guarantees, and further support for Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports Netherlands and Australia are seeking ICAO negotiations with Russia on MH17 compensation. РБК-Україна reports European leaders are reportedly waiting for the Istanbul talks and a potential meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin before pressing the US for new sanctions. The US wants to allow for negotiations on Thursday. If Putin refuses to meet Zelenskyy or agree to an immediate ceasefire on Thursday, European leaders will urge Trump to impose sanctions. TASS reports Whitkoff states Trump "ultimately" insists on direct Russia-Ukraine talks, threatening US withdrawal, and that Putin's consent is necessary. TASS also reports Whitkoff named territorial concessions by Kyiv, ZNPP use, and Ukraine's access to the Dnipro/Black Sea as key negotiation topics. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reiterates Whitkoff's statements. Alex Parker Returns reports on a phone conversation between Turkish President Erdoğan and Russian President Putin where Erdoğan emphasized that a comprehensive ceasefire would create the necessary environment for peace talks in Istanbul. РБК-Україна shares a summary of statements by Trump's Special Envoy Whitkoff, reiterating hopes for a Zelenskyy-Putin summit, Trump's ultimatum for direct talks, and the key issues for discussion. Два майора comments on Whitkoff's statements. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Whitkoff stated Trump issued an ultimatum to Ukraine and Russia regarding negotiations, threatening US withdrawal if direct talks and progress do not occur quickly. РБК-Україна reports that Trump's proposal to come to Istanbul caused a series of diplomatic calls between the US, European countries, and Ukraine to discuss the path to a ceasefire. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report that President Zelenskyy will only meet with President Putin in Istanbul and not other Russian representatives.
International Support for Ukraine: РБК-Україна reports on the Weimar+ statement regarding security guarantees and further support for Kyiv. РБК-Україна reports European leaders are reportedly waiting for the Istanbul talks before pressing the US for new sanctions. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports European Commissioner for Defense Andrius Kubilius suggests a potential for Russian aggression against Europe post-peace, implying a need for continued deterrence and support for Ukraine. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for pickup trucks. ТАСС reports the EU is reportedly preparing a way to bypass Hungary's veto on sanctions against Russia. РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between the US, European countries (UK, France, Germany, Poland), and Ukraine to discuss the path to a ceasefire following Trump's proposal.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: РБК-Україна reports European leaders are reportedly waiting for a potential meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin in Istanbul before pressing the US for new sanctions. The US wants to allow for negotiations on Thursday. If Putin refuses to meet Zelenskyy or agree to a ceasefire on Thursday, European leaders will reportedly call on Trump to impose sanctions. TASS reports Whitkoff states Trump "ultimately" insists on direct Russia-Ukraine talks, threatening US withdrawal. TASS also reports Whitkoff named territorial concessions by Kyiv, ZNPP use, and Ukraine's access to the Dnipro/Black Sea as key negotiation topics. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reiterates Whitkoff's statements. РБК-Україна shares a summary of statements by Trump's Special Envoy Whitkoff, reiterating hopes for a Zelenskyy-Putin summit, Trump's ultimatum for direct talks, and the key issues for discussion. ТАСС reports Whitkoff named territorial concessions by Kyiv, ZNPP use, and Ukraine's access to the Dnipro and Black Sea as main topics for settlement talks. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Whitkoff stated Trump issued an ultimatum to Ukraine and Russia regarding negotiations, threatening US withdrawal. РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between the US, European countries, and Ukraine to discuss the path to a ceasefire following Trump's proposal. Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна report that President Zelenskyy will only meet with President Putin in Istanbul and not other Russian representatives.
Internal Russian Politics: Новости Москвы reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense has developed a project to collect DNA from servicemembers. TASS reports a domestic political discussion regarding renaming a district in Volgograd. Север.Реалии reports on the pervasive military propaganda in Russian schools. ТАСС reports that Rosgvardia discovered over 70 kg of explosives in a cache in a forest belt in LNR. ТАСС reports on a bill being introduced to the State Duma about annual payments for medical, scientific, cultural workers, teachers, and pharmacists. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on the detention of a driver with illegal drugs. ТАСС reports on a contract between Brazil and Rosatom for small NPP construction. ASTRA reports a state of emergency due to forest fires in Buryatia. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, used for propaganda. ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened against the head of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Novosibirsk Oblast. Север.Реалии reports on the tragic outcome of using an unsafe Russian medication as an import substitute, including a child's death. Новости Москвы reports on a study claiming that residents of Chukotka can save up for a Moscow apartment faster than Muscovites. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the arrest of 23 people, including 5 police officers, in a case of fraud against participants of the "special operation" at Sheremetyevo airport. ТАСС reports the Ministry of Health did not support the idea of including a Russian language and communication skills exam in the accreditation procedure for foreign doctors. Север.Реалии reports a court in Vologda sentenced a transgender woman to four years in prison for "justifying terrorism" over a repost. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a woman set fire to 5 Russian National Guard vehicles overnight in Kaluga. Colonelcassad shares a video of law enforcement approaching the Novosibirsk minister's residence.
Libya Conflict: РБК-Україна reports Libya claims a successful military operation in Tripoli. WarGonzo reports on renewed violence in Tripoli after the killing of a high-ranking security official. ASTRA reports that the Ministry of Defense of the GNA has stated the completion of a military operation in Tripoli and the establishment of full control over the Abu Salim area after clashes, though the situation remains tense.
Russia-US Relations: РБК-Україна reports European leaders are reportedly waiting for the Istanbul talks before pressing the US for new sanctions, and if Putin refuses a ceasefire, they will call on Trump to impose sanctions. TASS reports Whitkoff states Trump "ultimately" insists on direct Russia-Ukraine talks, threatening US withdrawal, and that Putin's consent is necessary. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reiterates Whitkoff's statements. TASS reports Whitkoff named territorial concessions by Kyiv, ZNPP use, and Ukraine's access to the Dnipro/Black Sea as key negotiation topics. ТАСС reports Whitkoff states Trump "ultimately" insists on direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations, threatening US withdrawal, and that Putin's consent is necessary and contacts with Russia are needed. ТАСС reports Whitkoff named territorial concessions by Kyiv, ZNPP use, and Ukraine's access to the Dnipro and Black Sea as main topics for settlement talks. РБК-Україна shares a summary of statements by Trump's Special Envoy Whitkoff, reiterating hopes for a Zelenskyy-Putin summit, Trump's ultimatum for direct talks, and the key issues for discussion. Два майора comments on Whitkoff's statements. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that Whitkoff stated Trump issued an ultimatum to Ukraine and Russia regarding negotiations, threatening US withdrawal. РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between the US and European countries/Ukraine following Trump's proposal. РБК-Україна reports US President Trump has arrived in Saudi Arabia as part of a Middle East tour.
Russia-Brazil Relations: TASS reports on a contract between Brazil and Rosatom for small NPP construction. ТАСС reports Brazil and a Rosatom structure have begun negotiations on joint uranium and lithium extraction.
Syria: РБК-Україна reports potential Syrian offer to Trump on mineral resources.
Turkey: Alex Parker Returns reports on a phone conversation between Turkish President Erdoğan and Russian President Putin where Erdoğan emphasized that a comprehensive ceasefire would create the necessary environment for peace talks in Istanbul.
Russia-EU Relations: ТАСС reports the EU is reportedly preparing a way to bypass Hungary's veto on sanctions against Russia. РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between European countries and the US/Ukraine following Trump's proposal.
Russia-UK Relations: РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between the UK and the US/European countries/Ukraine following Trump's proposal. ASTRA reports a UK court sentenced six Bulgarian citizens to prison terms for spying for Russia.
Russia-France Relations: РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between France and the US/European countries/Ukraine following Trump's proposal.
Russia-Germany Relations: РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between Germany and the US/European countries/Ukraine following Trump's proposal.
Russia-Poland Relations: РБК-Україна reports on diplomatic calls between Poland and the US/European countries/Ukraine following Trump's proposal.
NATO: Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports NATO is considering changing its military doctrine due to the inability to achieve air superiority and the need for budget drone systems, citing the conflict in Ukraine.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security: AV БогомаZ reports a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident involving Russian military personnel in Krasnodar Krai. ТАСС reports that Rosgvardia discovered over 70 kg of explosives in a cache in a forest belt in LNR. Полиция Хабаровского края reports on the detention of a driver with illegal drugs. ASTRA reports a state of emergency due to forest fires in Buryatia. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, used for propaganda. ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened against the head of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Novosibirsk Oblast for exceeding official powers, with damages estimated at 95 million rubles. This highlights internal law enforcement and anti-corruption efforts. WarGonzo reports on renewed violence and fighting in Tripoli, Libya, potentially impacting Russian interests there. STERNENKO shares videos of large forest fires in Amur Oblast and reiterates the state of emergency in Buryatia due to forest fires, highlighting environmental issues. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the arrest of 23 people, including 5 police officers, in a case of fraud against participants of the "special operation" at Sheremetyevo airport, indicating internal crime and corruption affecting military personnel. Рыбарь reports on enemy shelling of the border area and remote mining of roads in Bryansk Oblast, and a remote explosive device detonation injuring two civilians, highlighting the impact of conflict on Russian territory and civilians. Север.Реалии reports a court in Vologda sentenced a transgender woman to four years in prison for "justifying terrorism" over a repost, indicating internal political repression. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a woman set fire to 5 Russian National Guard vehicles overnight in Kaluga, indicating a potential act of sabotage or resistance.
Casualties: The Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian losses of 1070 personnel in the past day. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 and ASTRA report that a 72-year-old man was injured in a Russian drone attack on his car in a frontline hromada in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. STERNENKO also reports this incident. ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident in Krasnodar Krai resulted in one military fatality and one military injury, as well as injury to the driver of the other car. Олег Синєгубов reports two civilians injured in Kharkiv Oblast. РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy resulted in one fatality and injuries. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" reports on the death of Konstantin Breus, a Russian athlete who served in Ukraine. The Defense Forces of the South report estimated Russian losses of 137 personnel in Southern Ukraine in the past day and 2 civilian injuries (including 1 child) in Kherson Oblast. Север.Реалии reports on the tragic outcome of using an unsafe Russian medication as an import substitute, including a child's death. Рыбарь reports on a remote explosive device detonation in Bryansk Oblast injuring two civilians. Рыбарь reports that a Ukrainian strike on Chelburda in Kherson Oblast resulted in four fatalities and one injury, and another local resident was injured in Hola Prystan. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian losses of 44 personnel (27 irreversible) in their operational zone. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a Russian soldier who has been awarded for successful combat. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast, indicating potential significant casualties in that area.
Military Performance and Capabilities: The Ukrainian General Staff reports 166 combat engagements, 78 aviation strikes, 141 guided bombs dropped, over 5400 shellings, and 3058 kamikaze drones used by Russia in the past day. They also report estimated Russian losses of 1070 personnel, 2 tanks, 14 armored fighting vehicles, 62 artillery systems, 100 operational-tactical level UAVs, 138 vehicles, and 1 heavy flamethrower system in the past day. TASS reports Russian claims of destroying several Ukrainian strongpoints and occupying two forest belts near Makiyivka in LNR. ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident involving Russian military personnel in Krasnodar Krai. ТАСС reports on a contract between Brazil and Rosatom for small NPP construction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, citing The Economist, reports Russia is significantly increasing arms production, including tanks. The graph shows increased activity at the Omskransmash tank factory. Colonelcassad shares videos claiming strikes by Su-34 crews in the Temirovka area. Новости Москвы reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense has developed a project to collect DNA from servicemembers. AV БогомаZ reports a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight. WarGonzo claims successful Russian assault operations in Bohater with control over approximately half the settlement, liberation of Kotlyarivka, and advances near Stara Mykolaivka and the liquidation of a "pocket". Сливочный каприз claims the destruction of a Ukrainian Leopard tank by a Russian FPV drone. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims Kotlyarivka was liberated by Russian forces and describes the fighting. The Defense Forces of the South report estimated Russian losses of 1 tank, 17 artillery systems, 26 vehicles/armored vehicles, 1 UAV, 2 electronic warfare stations, 7 motorcycles, 2 quadricycles, 1 ground drone, 2 boats, 6 generators, 14 UAV antennas, 2 communication antennas, 1 surveillance camera, 2 ammunition storage sites, and 3 fuel/lubricant storage sites destroyed in Southern Ukraine in the past day. ТАСС reports the destruction of a Ukrainian communication node on the South Donetsk direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Басурин о главном claim the capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners near Bogatyr. Воин DV reports Russian aviation strikes in the areas of Novoukrainka and Shevchenko. Colonelcassad reports OAK has transferred a new batch of Su-35S fighters to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Два майора reports active Russian aviation work on the Kursk direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with a threat of using aerial weapons. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of Russian strike UAVs from the south in Mykolaiv Oblast. Рыбарь reports on Russian offensive actions in strongpoints in the villages of Belovody and Loknya and nearby forest belts in the Sumy direction, and Russian forces inflicting comprehensive fire damage on approaching Ukrainian reserves near Tetkino. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports Russian losses of 94 units of weapons/equipment destroyed/damaged, including 1 artillery system, 29 vehicles, 60 UAVs, and 4 special equipment, as well as destroying 91 shelters and 2 ammunition storage sites. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing a Russian drone countering a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a Russian soldier who has been awarded for successful combat. Два майора is fundraising for equipment for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction, including motorcycles, drone detectors, and thermal imagers. MoD Russia shares a video highlighting the repair and restoration of military equipment, including a BM-21 Grad MLRS launcher by the 99th Separate Repair and Maintenance Battalion of the Southern MD. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian Su-25 aircraft are operating effectively in the Kharkiv direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video claiming to show forcefully mobilized Ukrainian cooks being engaged by Russian forces in the Sumy direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast. Alex Parker Returns claims work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports NATO is considering changing its military doctrine due to the inability to achieve air superiority and the need for budget drone systems, citing the conflict in Ukraine as an example.
Civilian Casualties (Russian territory): ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident in Krasnodar Krai resulted in injury to the driver of the other car. ASTRA reports a 5-year-old child was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a civilian vehicle in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, on May 11th. Рыбарь reports on a remote explosive device detonation in Bryansk Oblast injuring two civilians. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video implying Russian civilians are intentionally exposing old vehicles to Ukrainian drone attacks to claim compensation.
Information Control and Censorship: TASS reports a domestic political discussion regarding renaming a district in Volgograd. Север.Реалии reports on the pervasive military propaganda in Russian schools. Басурин о главном posts about Black Sea Fleet Day. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, used for propaganda. Рыбарь posts about Black Sea Fleet Day. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Басурин о главном share a video claiming capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners, framed as a success. «Зона СВО» shares a patriotic message. Север.Реалии reports a court in Vologda sentenced a transgender woman to four years in prison for "justifying terrorism" over a repost. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video implying Russian civilians are intentionally exposing old vehicles to Ukrainian drone attacks to claim compensation, framing it as "Russian ingenuity."
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Басурин о главном posts about Black Sea Fleet Day, detailing its history and significance. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, used for propaganda. Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition shares a video fragment of the fighting for Kotlyarivka, framing its liberation as a success. WarGonzo provides front-line summaries from a Russian perspective. Fighterbomber provides a detailed description of the L-39 Albatros trainer aircraft, potentially for a military-aligned audience. Рыбарь posts about Black Sea Fleet Day. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Басурин о главном share a video claiming capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners, framed as a success. «Зона СВО» shares a patriotic message. Игорь Артамонов reports on a regional athlete winning a world championship, framed as a source of pride. Colonelcassad shares a video featuring a Russian soldier who has been awarded for successful combat. MoD Russia shares a video highlighting the repair and restoration of military equipment, potentially for morale and to showcase capabilities. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast, framed with commentary about a "sanitary zone," potentially an information operation to highlight casualties or difficult conditions.
Law Enforcement: Полиция Хабаровского края reports on the detention of a driver with illegal drugs. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, which if accurate, points to criminal activity within military ranks. ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened against a regional official in Novosibirsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the arrest of 23 people, including 5 police officers, in a case of fraud against participants of the "special operation" at Sheremetyevo airport. The regional ministry of territorial security in Perm denies previous reports of violent actions and claims that a death occurred due to a penetrating stab wound, potentially related to criminal activity. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a woman set fire to 5 Russian National Guard vehicles overnight in Kaluga, which is a law enforcement/security structure. Colonelcassad shares a video of law enforcement approaching the Novosibirsk minister's residence.
Social Welfare: ТАСС reports on a bill being introduced to the State Duma about annual payments for medical, scientific, cultural workers, teachers, and pharmacists. Север.Реалии reports on the tragic outcome of using an unsafe Russian medication as an import substitute, including a child's death. Новости Москвы reports on a study claiming economic disparities within Russia. ТАСС reports the Ministry of Health did not support the idea of including a Russian language and communication skills exam in the accreditation procedure for foreign doctors.
Personnel Management: Новости Москвы reports that the Russian Ministry of Defense has developed a project to collect DNA from servicemembers. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the arrest of individuals, including police, for fraud against participants of the "special operation". Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video claiming to show forcefully mobilized Ukrainian cooks being engaged by Russian forces in the Sumy direction, framing it from a Russian perspective.
Criminal Activity: Полиция Хабаровского края reports on the detention of a driver with illegal drugs. Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember, which if accurate, points to criminal activity within military ranks. ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened against a regional official in Novosibirsk. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the arrest of 23 people, including 5 police officers, in a case of fraud against participants of the "special operation" at Sheremetyevo airport. The regional ministry of territorial security in Perm denies previous reports of violent actions and claims that a death occurred due to a penetrating stab wound, potentially related to criminal activity. Оперативний ЗСУ reports a woman set fire to 5 Russian National Guard vehicles overnight in Kaluga, indicating a potential act of arson. Colonelcassad shares a video of law enforcement approaching the Novosibirsk minister's residence in relation to a criminal case.
Natural Disasters: ASTRA reports a state of emergency due to forest fires in Buryatia. STERNENKO shares videos of large forest fires in Amur Oblast and reiterates the state of emergency in Buryatia due to forest fires.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Civilian Impact: Russian forces attacked the Nikopol district with Grad MLRS, artillery, and UAVs, causing a house fire but no casualties. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 and ASTRA report that a 72-year-old man was injured in a Russian drone attack on his car in a frontline hromada in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. STERNENKO also reports this incident. Олег Синєгубов reports two civilians injured in Kharkiv Oblast and damage to two private houses. РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy resulted in one fatality and injuries. ASTRA reports a fatal traffic accident in Krasnodar Krai resulted in injury to the driver of the other car. ASTRA reports a 5-year-old child was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a civilian vehicle in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, on May 11th. Russian air strikes were reported in populated areas of Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts. The Defense Forces of the South report 2 civilian injuries (including 1 child) in Kherson Oblast due to drone terror, shelling, and air strikes, and damage to civilian/critical infrastructure in Southern Ukraine. Север.Реалії reports on the tragic outcome of using an unsafe Russian medication as an import substitute, including a child's death. Рыбарь reports on a remote explosive device detonation in Bryansk Oblast injuring two civilians. Рыбарь reports that a Ukrainian strike on Chelburda in Kherson Oblast resulted in four fatalities and one injury, and another local resident was injured in Hola Prystan. Mash на Донбассе reports Ukrainian shelling of Kamianka in Donetsk Oblast caused damage. Mash на Донбассе reports Ukrainian drone strike on Chelyuskinets in Donetsk Oblast resulted in injuries and damage. Mash на Донбассе reports Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk caused a fire and damage to the administrative building and civilian transport. Рыбарь reports on the announcement of civilian evacuation from Nova Sloboda and Maryanivka in Sumy Oblast. Север.Реалии reports two people, including a child, were injured in Kherson Oblast as a result of Russian shelling. Север.Реалии reports a 72-year-old local resident was injured in the village of Bilenke, Zaporizhzhia Oblast as a result of Russian shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video implying Russian civilians are intentionally exposing old vehicles to Ukrainian drone attacks to claim compensation.
Military Support (Ukraine): STERNENKO posts a call for donations for "russoriz" (likely drone operations). ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for pickup trucks. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights the use of the S-200 missile system by the HUR in a long-range strike role and also mentions the "Lyut" UAV. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" is fundraising for Ukrainian forces, mentioning prizes including items signed by high-ranking military figures. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports on a ceremony for young paratroopers joining the DShV. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces destroyed two Zala Kub loitering munitions.
Military Commemoration: Басурин о главном posts about Black Sea Fleet Day. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), and Оперативний ЗСУ post reminders about the daily 9:00 minute of silence in Ukraine to honor fallen defenders. Рыбарь posts about Black Sea Fleet Day. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares excerpts from an interview with a Ukrainian infantryman. «Зона СВО» shares a patriotic message. Игорь Артамонов reports on a regional athlete winning a world championship, framed as a source of pride, potentially for morale.
Internal Military Issues (Ukraine - alleged): Kotsnews shares a graphic video allegedly showing abuse of a Ukrainian servicemember.
Rehabilitation (Ukraine): БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares excerpts from an interview with a Ukrainian infantryman who is undergoing treatment and rehabilitation after being wounded.
Ukrainian Military Training: Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports on a ceremony for young paratroopers joining the DShV after two months of intensive training. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares information about a training for youth and children's public organizations focusing on working with youth during wartime and post-war period.
Civilian Support (Russia): Два майора is fundraising for equipment for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier.
Information Security (Ukraine): ТАСС reports on Ukrainian cyberpolice cybersecurity warnings.
Counter-Sabotage (Ukraine): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a resident of Varash has been notified of suspicion in preparing a diversion at a power transmission line of the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant for Russian special services. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides further details on the SBU detention of a Russian military intelligence agent preparing a GPS beacon for a Russian strike on power lines near the Rivne NPP.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russia: Conducting high-intensity offensive operations with 166 combat engagements reported in the past day. Utilizing a high volume of aerial and artillery assets, including 78 aviation strikes, 141 guided bombs, over 5400 shellings (103 MLRS), and 3058 kamikaze drones. Focusing attacks on multiple directions in Donetsk Oblast (Lyman, Siversk, Kramatorsk, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Orikhiv, Prydniprovskyi) and the Kursk direction. Employing Grad MLRS, artillery, and UAVs in the Nikopol district. Launching air strikes in Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson Oblasts. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian strongpoints and occupation of forest belts near Makiyivka. Experiencing non-combat fatalities and injuries among military personnel. Increasing arms production significantly, particularly tanks. Developing a project to collect DNA from servicemembers. Deploying Su-34 crews for strikes. Experiencing destruction of an aircraft-type UAV over Bryansk Oblast. Claiming successful assault operations in Bohater (control of ~half) and liberation of Kotlyarivka, and advances near Stara Mykolaivka and the liquidation of a "pocket" between Sukhyi Balka and Kalynove. Claiming destruction of a Ukrainian Leopard tank by an FPV drone near Stepanivka. Engaging in ongoing operations and fighting near Loknya in Sumy Oblast. Conducting regrouping and preparatory actions on the Huliaipole direction. (Ukrainian General Staff, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ASTRA, STERNENKO, AV БогомаZ, Олег Синєгубов, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Colonelcassad, WarGonzo, Сливочный каприз, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Сили оборони Півдня України) Два майора reports ongoing clashes and Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Kursk border region near Tetkino and Novy Put using infantry groups and sabotage/reconnaissance groups on boats on the Seim River. They assess a potential build-up for a more serious Ukrainian attack. ТАСС reports the destruction of a Ukrainian communication node on the South Donetsk direction. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and Басурин о главном claim the capture of Ukrainian strongpoints and prisoners near Bogatyr on the South Donetsk direction. Воин DV reports Russian aviation strikes in the areas of Novoukrainka and Shevchenko. Colonelcassad reports OAK has transferred a new batch of Su-35S fighters to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Два майора reports active Russian aviation work on the Kursk direction. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports activity of Russian tactical aviation on the northeastern direction with a threat of using aerial weapons. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of Russian strike UAVs from the south in Mykolaiv Oblast. Рыбарь reports on Russian offensive actions in strongpoints in the villages of Belovody and Loknya and nearby forest belts in the Sumy direction, and Russian forces inflicting comprehensive fire damage on approaching Ukrainian reserves near Tetkino, and attempts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics in Sumy Oblast. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports the enemy used 119 kamikaze drones and inflicted 371 shellings in their operational zone. Colonelcassad shares a video allegedly showing a Russian drone countering a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. Рыбарь reports on the enemy using drones to cut off Russian forward units near Tetkino. Два майора is fundraising for equipment for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction, including motorcycles, drone detectors, and thermal imagers. MoD Russia shares a video highlighting the repair and restoration of military equipment, including a BM-21 Grad MLRS launcher by the 99th Separate Repair and Maintenance Battalion of the Southern MD. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian Su-25 aircraft are operating effectively in the Kharkiv direction. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video claiming to show forcefully mobilized Ukrainian cooks being engaged by Russian forces in the Sumy direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in the Kursk Oblast, indicating potential significant casualties in that area. Alex Parker Returns claims work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River.
Ukraine: Actively defending against numerous Russian assaults, repelling attacks on the Kharkiv (7), Kupiansk (5), Siversk (6), Toretsk (9), Pokrovsk (60), Novopavlivka (24), Orikhiv (6), and Prydniprovskyi (4) directions. Countering Russian aerial activity, including downing an aircraft-type UAV over Bryansk Oblast and 10 Shahed-type attack UAVs and imitation drones overnight. Conducting strikes on Russian assets, including 12 areas of personnel and equipment concentration, 3 artillery pieces, 2 communication nodes, and 3 other important objects. Experiencing civilian casualties and damage from Russian attacks in Nikopol, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and Sumy Oblasts. Seeking international support and aid. Conducting fundraising for military operations. Experiencing the death of a Russian athlete who served in Ukraine. Ukrainian forces in the South report repelling Russian assaults on the Novopavlivka (24), Orikhiv (6), and Prydniprovskyi (4) directions and inflicting losses on Russian forces (137 personnel, various equipment). Ukrainian drone wreckage with a "no truce" message reinforces the ongoing nature of the conflict. (Ukrainian General Staff, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ASTRA, STERNENKO, AV БогомаZ, РБК-Україна, Олег Синєгубов, Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц", Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, Сили оборони Півдня України) Два майора reports ongoing clashes and Ukrainian attempts to infiltrate the Kursk border region near Tetkino and Novy Put using infantry groups and sabotage/reconnaissance groups on boats on the Seim River. ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» is fundraising for pickup trucks. Оперативний ЗСУ highlights the use of the Ukrainian S-200 missile system by the HUR in a long-range strike role and also mentions the "Lyut" UAV. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares excerpts from an interview with a Ukrainian infantryman on surviving drone attacks. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), and Оперативний ЗСУ commemorate fallen defenders. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on Ukrainian National Police special operation against drug business. ТАСС reports on Ukrainian cyberpolice cybersecurity warnings. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video with the caption "Ніхто вже нічого не забирає і не уйоб#є. Курщина", potentially implying ongoing Ukrainian activity or a shift in the situation in the Kursk region. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports repelling 7 enemy attacks in their operational zone and destroying 60 enemy UAVs. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" is fundraising for Ukrainian forces. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України reports on a ceremony for young paratroopers joining the DShV. Mash на Донбассе and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV in the southeastern part of Kirovohrad Oblast. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a resident of Varash has been notified of suspicion in preparing a diversion at a power transmission line of the Rivne Nuclear Power Plant for Russian special services. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS provides further details on the SBU detention of a Russian military intelligence agent preparing a GPS beacon for a Russian strike on power lines near the Rivne NPP. STERNENKO shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces destroyed two Zala Kub loitering munitions. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video implying Russian civilians are intentionally exposing old vehicles to Ukrainian drone attacks to claim compensation. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shares images of an artillery unit, highlighting their operations. Alex Parker Returns claims work is being done on forcing the Dnipro River.
Libya: Claims a successful military operation in Tripoli. (РБК-Україна) WarGonzo reports on renewed violence in Tripoli. ASTRA reports that the Ministry of Defense of the GNA has stated the completion of a military operation in Tripoli and the establishment of full control over the Abu Salim area after clashes.

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The unwavering high intensity of combat across multiple fronts, particularly the 166 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff, demonstrates that Russia is committed to achieving its objectives through military means, even as diplomatic discussions occur. This reinforces the assessment that a negotiated settlement is not immediately likely and underscores the need for Ukraine to sustain its defense and receive continued international support.
The significant scale of Russian aerial and artillery attacks (78 air strikes, 141 guided bombs, over 5400 shellings, 3058 kamikaze drones) represents a deliberate strategy to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses and inflict damage on both military and civilian targets. The concentration of these attacks in key oblasts (Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson) highlights their strategic priorities. Countering this overwhelming firepower, particularly the threat of guided bombs and mass drone attacks, remains a critical strategic challenge for Ukraine. The report of NATO considering changes to its military doctrine due to the challenges of air superiority and the need for budget drone systems, citing the conflict in Ukraine, directly underscores the strategic impact of these Russian tactics on Western military thinking and preparedness.
The updated estimated Russian losses (1070 personnel and significant equipment) underscore the high cost of Russia's offensive operations. While Russia is reportedly increasing production to mitigate equipment losses, sustaining such personnel casualties presents a long-term challenge for their forces. Ukraine's ability to inflict these losses is strategically important for degrading Russia's war-fighting capability. The video shared by a Russian military blogger allegedly showing bodies of Russian soldiers in black bags in Kursk Oblast, framed with commentary about a "sanitary zone," serves as a stark visual representation of these casualties and could be intended for internal consumption or propaganda purposes.
The confirmed Russian attacks on civilian areas, resulting in casualties and damage, continue to be a major humanitarian concern and reinforce the narrative of Russian disregard for international humanitarian law. This impacts international perceptions of the conflict and influences the level and nature of international support for Ukraine. The reports of civilian casualties and damage from Ukrainian strikes in Russian border regions, while presented by Russian sources, also highlight the civilian impact of the conflict extending beyond Ukraine. The video shared by BУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, implying Russian civilians are intentionally exposing old vehicles to Ukrainian drone attacks to claim compensation, if accurate, suggests a localized phenomenon potentially driven by economic hardship in border regions and could be exploited for information operations.
Donald Trump's reported ultimatum for direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations introduces a new element of direct US pressure on the diplomatic process. The potential for the US to withdraw from the settlement process if direct talks do not occur is a significant strategic factor that could influence the trajectory of future diplomatic efforts. Whitkoff's articulation of key negotiation topics (territory, ZNPP, Dnipro/Black Sea access) provides insight into the core demands being considered. The report that Trump's proposal for a meeting in Istanbul caused a series of diplomatic calls between the US, European countries, and Ukraine indicates the level of coordination and the seriousness with which this diplomatic initiative is being treated by key international actors. The reports that President Zelenskyy will only meet with President Putin in Istanbul, and not other Russian representatives, clarifies Ukraine's stance on the level of representation required for meaningful negotiations.
The explicit linkage by European leaders of new sanctions against Russia to the outcome of the Istanbul talks and a potential Zelenskyy-Putin meeting provides a clear strategic framework for how international economic pressure is being used as leverage in the diplomatic process. This puts pressure on Russia to engage meaningfully in negotiations or face potential further economic consequences. The reported EU preparation to bypass Hungary's veto on sanctions indicates the determination of some EU members to maintain economic pressure despite internal obstacles.
The European Commissioner for Defense's assessment of a potential for future Russian aggression against Europe highlights a long-term strategic concern that extends beyond the current conflict in Ukraine. This perspective underscores the strategic importance of supporting Ukraine as a means of deterring broader Russian expansionism and securing European stability.
Russia's reported significant increase in arms production, particularly tanks, is a critical long-term strategic development. This indicates Russia's adaptation to a protracted conflict and its efforts to rebuild and potentially expand its military capabilities, posing a sustained challenge to Ukraine and its international partners. The reported transfer of a new batch of Su-35S fighters further supports the assessment of ongoing Russian military production and modernization efforts. MoD Russia highlighting the repair and restoration of military equipment, including a Grad MLRS launcher, demonstrates efforts to maintain operational readiness and potentially compensate for production limitations or combat losses.
The visual confirmation of a "no truce" sentiment on a downed Ukrainian drone highlights the determination of at least some Ukrainian forces to continue fighting, which influences the tactical and operational tempo on the ground and may impact the feasibility of any short-term ceasefire agreements.
The discovery of a large cache of explosives in LNR suggests ongoing security challenges and potential clandestine activities in occupied territories, which could be linked to partisan resistance or preparation for future actions, impacting the stability and control of these areas.
The pervasive military propaganda in Russian schools is a long-term strategic effort aimed at shaping public opinion and fostering support for the government's policies and the military conflict among the younger generation. This has implications for future social and political dynamics within Russia.
The reported state of emergency due to forest fires in Buryatia and the large fires in Amur Oblast, while domestic issues, highlight potential resource strains and challenges within Russia that could indirectly impact their ability to sustain military operations if resources are diverted to manage internal crises.
The updated reporting on increased Ukrainian activity in the Kursk border region, including the use of infantry and sabotage/reconnaissance groups, and the Russian assessment of a potential build-up for a more serious attack, suggests a potential shift in the operational focus or an increased threat to Russian border areas. This requires careful monitoring and adaptation of defensive strategies on both sides. Рыбарь's reporting on the difficult situation in the Tetkino area, including disrupted supply lines and drones cutting off Russian units, provides further detail on the tactical challenges faced by Russia in this area.
The Russian claim of destroying a Ukrainian communication node and capturing strongpoints and prisoners near Bogatyr highlights the ongoing tactical battles and attempts by Russia to achieve localized gains and disrupt Ukrainian command and control. If confirmed, this would represent a tactical success for Russia and could necessitate adjustments in Ukrainian defensive planning and communication strategies in that area.
Ukraine's adaptation of the S-200 missile system for long-range strikes demonstrates innovation and a willingness to adapt existing capabilities for offensive purposes. This could pose a new or enhanced threat to Russian targets at a greater distance and could influence Russian defensive postures in rear areas.
The Ukrainian National Police special operation against drug businesses is strategically important for maintaining internal security and combating organized crime, which can indirectly impact the war effort by preventing criminal elements from exploiting the conflict and undermining state stability.
The cybersecurity warnings from Ukrainian cyberpolice highlight the ongoing cyber dimension of the conflict and the efforts by Ukraine to protect its population and infrastructure from cyber threats, which are closely linked to military operations.
The reported end of military operations in Tripoli, Libya, while a separate conflict, is strategically relevant as it involves a region where Russia has previously sought influence. The resolution or continuation of conflict in Libya could impact regional dynamics and potential Russian resource allocation or diplomatic efforts.
The ongoing fundraising efforts by Ukrainian military units highlight the importance of public support and volunteer initiatives in supplementing official military supply chains and addressing immediate equipment needs. This can be a critical factor in sustaining operations, particularly for specialized equipment. The fundraising for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction by a Russian military blogger highlights a similar reliance on public support for specific equipment needs on the Russian side.
The commemoration of fallen defenders in Ukraine and the interview with a wounded soldier reflect the human cost of the conflict and serve to maintain national morale and resilience by honoring sacrifices and providing insights into the realities of combat.
The reported arrest of individuals, including police officers, for fraud against participants of the "special operation" in Russia highlights potential internal issues related to corruption and crime that could impact the morale and trust of Russian military personnel and their families.
The detention and criminal case against a regional minister in Novosibirsk further underscore internal anti-corruption efforts in Russia, which could be framed as attempts to improve governance or could be indicative of internal power struggles.
The sentencing of a transgender woman in Russia for "justifying terrorism" over a repost highlights internal political repression and restrictions on freedom of expression, which are relevant to the internal stability and social dynamics within Russia.
The report that the Russian Ministry of Health did not support including a Russian language exam for foreign doctors' accreditation is a domestic policy matter but could have implications for the healthcare system, which indirectly supports the population and potentially military personnel.
The Ukrainian drone attacks on an asphalt concrete plant in Luhansk are strategically significant as they target industrial infrastructure, which could be used to support military operations or the economy in occupied territories. This suggests a Ukrainian effort to disrupt Russian capabilities behind the front lines.
The ceremony for young paratroopers joining the Ukrainian DShV highlights Ukraine's ongoing efforts to train and incorporate new personnel into key combat units, which is crucial for maintaining force strength and operational capability. The report of a training for youth and children's public organizations in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, focusing on wartime and post-war work with youth, indicates efforts to address the long-term social and psychological impact of the conflict and engage civil society in recovery efforts.
The commentary by a Russian military blogger on Russian drone countering a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone provides insight into the evolving tactics and counter-measures being employed in drone warfare, which is a key aspect of the current conflict.
The reported act of sabotage or resistance targeting Russian National Guard vehicles in Kaluga is strategically significant as it suggests potential internal dissent or clandestine activity within Russia targeting state security structures. While the scale is limited, it highlights the possibility of asymmetric threats behind the front lines.
The SBU detention of an individual preparing a diversion at a power transmission line connected to the Rivne NPP is a critical strategic counter-sabotage action. Targeting energy infrastructure, especially nuclear-related, would have significant consequences, and preventing such an act is vital for national security and stability. The alleged involvement of Russian military intelligence underscores the continued threat of clandestine operations within Ukraine.
The UK court sentencing individuals for spying for Russia highlights the ongoing intelligence war being waged beyond the immediate conflict zone. This is strategically important as it reveals Russian efforts to gather intelligence and conduct influence operations in Western countries, and the counter-intelligence efforts being undertaken to thwart them.
US President Trump's arrival in Saudi Arabia as part of a Middle East tour is a significant diplomatic development, as the US plays a key role in international relations and potential diplomatic efforts related to the conflict in Ukraine. His engagement with regional powers could have indirect implications for the broader geopolitical landscape surrounding the conflict.
The claim by Alex Parker Returns that work is underway on forcing the Dnipro River is a potentially significant strategic development. Forcing a major river like the Dnipro would be a complex and high-risk operation, but if successful, it could open new avenues for offensive operations or significantly alter the front lines. This requires further verification and monitoring.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report