Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 12, 2025, 10:26 UTC)
Updated Situation
The operational landscape continues to be dominated by intense ground combat, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, where Russian forces claim further advances and control over key settlements like Kotlyarovka. Fighting also remains active in the Kursk border region and on the Lyman and Krasnoarmeysk directions. Russian aerial activity remains significant, involving extensive drone usage (including decoys and guided aerial bombs), with Ukrainian air defenses reporting notable interceptions. Ukrainian forces are also actively employing drones for reconnaissance and strikes against Russian positions and equipment. Diplomatic efforts continue, with China now publicly supporting the proposed 30-day ceasefire and the Vatican engaging in discussions with Ukraine on humanitarian issues and peace prospects. Russia continues to assert its readiness for negotiations on its terms, while internal Russian issues, including social and logistical challenges for returning veterans and security incidents, are being reported. Significant developments include Russia's claim of liberating Kotlyarovka, Ukrainian and Chinese support for a ceasefire, reported difficulties for returning Russian veterans, a planned long-term blockage of a key border crossing by Polish carriers, and heightened internal security concerns and counterintelligence efforts in Ukraine.
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk, Toretsk, Dzerzhinsk, Novopavlivka, Kramatorsk, Доброполья, Kotlyarovka, Novosergiyevka, Novonikolayevka, Nadezhdinka, Orekhovo, Zverevo, Leontovichi, Krasnoarmeysk, Kamianka, Chelyuskinets, Myrolyubivka, Hrodivka, Myrne, Zorya, Lysivka, Dachenske, Udachne, Novooleksandrivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, Kostiantynopil, Novosilka, Vilne Pole, Pryvilne, Bahatyr, Shevchenko, Novopil, Ridkodub, Zelena Dolyna, Grygorivka, Orikhove-Vasylivka, Chasiv Yar, Bila Hora, Predtechyne, Druzhba, Dyliivka, Yelyzavetivka): Remains the primary focus of intense ground combat. Ukrainian General Staff reports numerous assaults repelled.Сили оборони Півдня України reports 13 attacks repelled on the Novopavlivka direction, six on the Orikhiv direction, and one unsuccessful attempt on the Dnipro direction.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about rescuing a dog in the "liberated" Novohrodivka, indicating Russian presence and control claims.ASTRA reports a Russian drone attacked a civilian cargo train in Donetsk Oblast, injuring the driver.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 5 injured and damage from shelling in Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, and Bakhmut districts.WarGonzo reports a man was killed and a teenager injured in Horlivka.Russian sources report continued combat in the South Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia directions.Воин DV reports Russian units destroyed Ukrainian assets and disrupted rotations in the areas of Alekseevka and Bogatyr.Народная милиция ДНР reports Russian artillery and UAV operators destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a Russian tank was destroyed by a Ukrainian "Spartan" brigade using "Stugna-P" and drones near Novoseriivka, west of Pokrovsk, confirming continued Russian attempts to advance and Ukrainian defensive actions in this area.Kotsnews shares a video claiming "Vega" special forces are destroying Ukrainian assets on the Pokrovsk direction.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports continued Russian launches of KABs towards Donetsk Oblast.Воин DV reports units of the 36th Combined Arms Army are operating west of Bogatyr.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, resulting in injuries and damage to a house.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports damage to houses and a car in the village of Kamianka as a result of Ukrainian shelling.Ukrainian source (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS) reports Russian forces conducted an assault on Avdiivka direction, near Ocheretyne, suffering heavy losses.ТАСС reports the liberation of Kotlyarovka by the Russian Ministry of Defense.WarGonzo reports the liberation of Kotlyarovka.Военкор Котенок reports the official report of the liberation of Kotlyarovka by the Russian Ministry of Defense.Два майора reports the liberation of Kotlyarovka by the Russian Ministry of Defense.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the liberation of Kotlyarovka.Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports Russian forces continue flanking Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), with ongoing fighting.Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming to show the repulsion of a Ukrainian offensive on Dzerzhinsk during the ceasefire.Два майора shares photos and videos from the "Dnipropetrovsk direction" where heavy fighting is reportedly ongoing near the recently claimed liberated Kotlyarovka.Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition reports Russian forces have completed the clearing of Kotlyarovka and are less than two kilometers from the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, claiming fire control over the area of Ukrainian Novopavlivka, a key logistical hub.ТАСС reports, citing a source in Russian security forces, that the liberation of Kotlyarovka opens the way to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.Kotsnews reports the liberation of Kotlyarovka and its strategic importance for cutting Ukrainian logistics.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports Russian advances between Nadezhdinka and Novoaleksandrovka on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, reaching the southern outskirts of Novonikolayevka, and ongoing fighting for Orekhovo and Zverevo, claiming control over the western part of Zverevo.Президентська бригада ЗСУ reports continued destruction of Russian forces by the 2nd Mechanized Battalion on the Toretsk direction, with Russian assault groups attempting to advance and accumulate in residential areas, being detected and neutralized by Ukrainian drone operators.Mash на Донбассе reports on Ukrainian attempts at a counteroffensive in Dzerzhinsk during the ceasefire, claiming their repulsion and destruction of equipment and personnel by Russian forces.Два майора shares a video of a captured Ukrainian soldier from the 157th Separate Mechanized Brigade (trained in France) on the Konstantinovka direction, who claims to have been mobilized from a bus, spent 40 days on positions without rotation, ran out of supplies, and that "Azov" members were present but retreated.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the liquidation of Russian forces by Ukrainian drone operators in the Chasiv Yar area.Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the destruction of Ukrainian personnel in a trench near Yelyzavetivka using an FPV drone.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces have reached Novosergiyevka and occupied new positions in the eastern part of the settlement, advancing 1.5 km.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian drone operations against Ukrainian positions on the Donetsk Direction.Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming that drone operators of the "Okhotnik" special forces detachment of the 51st Combined Arms Army are destroying Ukrainian forces with drone drops on the positions of Ukrainian forces.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces have expanded their control zone by about 1.5 km around the eastern part of Krasnoarmeysk, taking new positions along the banks of the Myrolyubivka reservoir on the Kazennyi Torets River, and that Russian servicemen were shelled by Ukrainian forces during rotation near Myrolyubivka and Hrodivka.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Rylsk, Tetkino, Khomutovka, Valuyki, Богун-Городок, Борки, Красный Октябрь — Бессоновка, Двулучное, Архангельское, Соболевка, Уразово, Чайки, Аркатово — Посохово, Sudzha):Ukrainian General Staff reports combat engagements, aviation strikes, and artillery shellings.ASTRA and Север.Реалии report a missile strike on Rylsk, injuring three people and damaging a hotel and vehicles.Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claim a Ukrainian HIMARS system was destroyed near Nahornivka, Sumy Oblast, after allegedly striking Rylsk.Рыбарь reports continued fighting near Tetkino and Ukrainian attempts to break through.Два майора reports a child injured by a Ukrainian drone in Khomutovka and civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in various settlements of Belgorod Oblast.ASTRA reports one person injured by a Ukrainian drone in Valuyki.ASTRA reports a Russian FAB-500 bomb falling in Belgorod Oblast.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and ТАСС report the destruction of a Ukrainian HIMARS MLRS in Sumy Oblast here.ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region involving a "gachimuchi" porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic in Zheleznogorsk.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims "Cosmonauts" (likely referring to VKS personnel) and airborne troops are repelling enemy attacks near Tetkino, where Ukrainian forces are attempting to break through.ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened regarding the shelling of Rylsk under the article of terrorism.ТАСС reports that Khinshtein considers the level of corruption in Kursk Oblast to have reached the highest official level, and that people with criminal pasts should not be in positions of authority.
Sumy Oblast (Nahornivka, Konotop, Черневе, Sumy community, Suburbs of Sumy, Iskriskivshchina, Rechki, Yablonovka, Yunakovka, Miropolye, Turya, Sorokino, Korenek, Novovasilievka, Baranovka, Pavlovka, Okhtyrka, Lebedyn, Ryzhivka, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, Petrushivka, Середина Буда, Нововасильевка, Хутор Михайловский, Толстодубово, Василевское, Nova Sloboda, Brusky, Budky, Sudzha):Colonelcassad and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claim a Ukrainian HIMARS system was destroyed near Nahornivka after allegedly striking Rylsk.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports repeated KAB launches on Sumy Oblast.Russian aviation strikes were carried out in the Cherneve area.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a Russian drone strike on an energy worker's vehicle in Sumy Oblast resulted in one fatality.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and ТАСС report the destruction of a Ukrainian HIMARS MLRS here.РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy, with one fatality and injuries.Kadyrov_95 reports on the operations of the "Zapad-AHMAT" battalion and police forces in Sumy Oblast, claiming significant losses inflicted on the enemy.Colonelcassad shares video claiming to show an attack on enemy positions in Sumy Oblast.ASTRA reports one person died and another was injured in Sumy Oblast due to a drone strike on an energy worker's car, with another person injured nearby.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims that Ukrainian forces have started using new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction, describing them and comparing them to reduced-size Soviet anti-tank mines.
Odesa Oblast (Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi):Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi injured one person and damaged civilian infrastructure.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms significant destruction and one injured person.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports observing increased movement of military cargo in the Odesa port area.Colonelcassad shares video claiming to show night strikes of "Geraniums" on targets in the Belgorod-Dnestrovsky area.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including Belgorod-Dnestrovsky.
Mykolaiv Oblast:Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack.Сили оборони Півдня України reports front-line settlements affected by FPV drone strikes.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including the vicinity of Voznesensk.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Orikhiv direction, Gulyaipole, Bilenke village, Novodarivka, Temyrivka, Olhivske, Malynivka, Mala Tokmachka, Kamyanske, Vysoke, Verbove, Novopil, Stepove, Mali Scherbaky, Novoandriyivka, Shcherbaky, Polohy, Energodar):Сили оборони Півдня України reports repelling six enemy assaults on the Orikhiv direction and front-line settlements affected by FPV drone strikes and artillery/MLRS shelling.MoD Russia reports a Grad MLRS crew eliminated a Ukrainian manpower and hardware cluster.Два майора is fundraising for tank crews on the Zaporizhzhia direction.MoD Russia and Воин DV report Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian assets and disrupted rotations near Gulyaipole.🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports Russian drone attacks overnight and KAB strikes in the morning on Zaporizhzhia district, affecting Bilenke village and damaging a parked vehicle.Mash на Донбассе reports a relaxation of the curfew in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.Russian sources report continued combat in Zaporizhzhia.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including Zaporizhzhia Oblast.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties in Kherson Oblast and damage in Nova Kakhovka, which is in Kherson Oblast, near Zaporizhzhia.Два майора shares photos and videos from the "Dnipropetrovsk direction" which is adjacent to Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and where heavy fighting is reportedly ongoing.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of aviation weapons in the Synelnykove district.Два майора shares a video claiming that the "Nemets" group of the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to eliminate enemy personnel in multi-kilometer trenches on the Zaporizhzhia front.
Zhytomyr Oblast:Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including the vicinity of Zhytomyr and Berdichev.
Chernihiv Oblast:Affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack (reported previously).Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports rocket danger (later lifted).
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:Сили оборони Півдня України reports front-line settlements affected by FPV drone strikes and artillery/MLRS shelling.Рыбарь reports Russian forces approaching the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast south of Pokrovsk.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.Два майора shares photos and videos from the "Dnipropetrovsk direction" where heavy fighting is reportedly ongoing near the recently claimed liberated Kotlyarovka.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of aviation weapons in the Synelnykove district.
Kherson Oblast (Chelburda, Aleshkinsky district, Kakhovka, Hola Prystan, Brylivka, Olhivka, Novooleksandrivka, Hola Prystan', Tarasivka, Nova Kakhovka, Dnipryany, Kozatske, Кінбурнська коса):Сили оборони Півдня України reports one unsuccessful enemy attempt to advance on the Dnipro direction and front-line settlements affected by FPV drone strikes and artillery/MLRS shelling.Рыбарь reports three civilian fatalities from Ukrainian strikes and continued mutual artillery/drone strikes across the Dnieper.Военкор Котенок reports four civilian fatalities and two injured in the village of Chelburda in Aleshkinsky district due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes. This, if confirmed, would indicate further civilian casualties from drone activity and potentially Ukrainian targeting of civilian areas. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports four civilian fatalities and injuries due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes in Chelburda, and damage in Nova Kakhovka.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including Kherson Oblast.
Belgorod Oblast (Russia) (Korocha district, Valuyki, Bohun-Horodok, Borki, Krasnyi Oktiabr - Bessonovka road, Dvuluchne, Arkhangelske, Sobolivka, Urazovo, Chaiki, Arkatovo - Posokhovo road, Ivitsa, "Belgorod People's Republic"):Два майора reports civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in various settlements.ASTRA reports one person injured by a Ukrainian drone in Valuyki.ASTRA reports a Russian FAB-500 bomb falling in Korocha district.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian SSOs conducted a raid here and captured Russian soldiers.
Rivne Oblast (Near Rivne):Офіс Генерального прокурора and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS report the detention of two Russian agents for an attempted terrorist attack.Оперативний ЗСУ provides further details on the attempted terrorist attack, stating they planned to blow up a police investigation team.
Poltava Oblast:Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger (later lifted).
Buryatia (Russia) (Barguzin):БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС highlights a memorial for those killed in the "SVO".Colonelcassad reports that the Minister of Transport of Buryatia, Alexander Goge, has been detained on corruption charges.
Perm (Russia):Военкор Котенок reports a disturbing alleged violent crime.
Kemerovo Oblast (Russia) (Novokuznetsk):Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the detention of a teenager allegedly planning a terrorist attack on a military commissariat in collusion with a "terrorist organization connected with Ukraine."ASTRA reports the detention of two 16-year-old teenagers in Novokuznetsk suspected of preparing to blow up a military commissariat, allegedly on assignment from the "Freedom of Russia Legion."
Algeria:ASTRA reports that General Surovikin was seen here.
Mogilev (Belarus):Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that schoolgirls were found showing disrespectful gestures to Victory Day fireworks and were subjected to "serious work."Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus, specifically mentioning the incident in Mogilev.
Rostov Oblast (Russia) (Kamensk-Shakhtinsky):Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, which allegedly produces rocket fuel for Russian MLRS and Iskander missiles. Russian sources claim no consequences.
Polish-Ukrainian Border (Yahodyn - Dorohusk crossing):РБК-Україна reports that Polish carriers may potentially block the "Yahodyn - Dorohusk" border crossing for up to four months due to a protest, according to Ukrainian border guards. This would significantly impact logistical flows between Ukraine and Poland, potentially affecting military aid and civilian goods. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the potential blockage.Два майора reports on the potential blockage.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on the planned 4-month blocking action by Polish farmers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.Рыбарь discusses the potential blocking action by Polish carriers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.
Kyiv Oblast (Zgurivka, Brovary, Bila Tserkva):Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including these areas.КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reports the appointment of Ihor Reva as Deputy Head of the Kyiv City Military Administration, highlighting his background in project management and military service, including participation in the counteroffensive in Zaporizhzhia and development of the "Reserve+" application.
Cherkasy Oblast (Kaniv):Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including Kaniv.
Kharkiv Oblast (Vovchansk, Kupyansk):ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports three enemy attacks in the Vovchansk area, with fierce battles ongoing, and mentions an attempted Russian assault near Vovchansk was repelled.ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports that on May 10th, Russian occupiers attempted an assault in the area of the 15th Brigade of the National Guard "Kara-Dag" on the Kupyansk direction using motorcycles, which was repelled with the destruction of 10 Russian personnel and 9 motorcycles.Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video labeled "Kharkiv...", likely depicting the situation in the city.
Cheboksary (Russia):МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment.
Lyman Direction (Krasnyi Lyman - Kolodezi, Терны, Yampolivka, Bilohorivka, Ivanivka, Novosadove):Сливочный каприз reports positional combat operations near Krasnyi Lyman, with Russian forces on the approaches to Kolodezi under Ukrainian fire, and claims Russian forces have advanced 2.5 km on the western bank of the Zherebets River, reaching the vicinity of Kolodezi from the north.Сливочный каприз shares a map and analysis indicating positional combat in the area of Krasnyi Lyman, with Russian forces on the approaches to Kolodezi under Ukrainian fire, and claiming Russian forces have advanced 2.5 km on the western bank of the Zherebets River and reached the vicinity of Kolodezi from the north.
Konstantinovka Direction:Два майора shares a video of a captured Ukrainian soldier from the 157th Separate Mechanized Brigade here.
Sumy Direction:Colonelcassad shares video claiming to show an attack on enemy positions here.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims that Ukrainian forces have started using new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction.
Belgorod District (Russia) (Krasny Oktyabr - Bessonovka road):Два майора reports a civilian woman was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a car here.
Synelnykove district (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast):Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of aviation weapons.
Donetsk Oblast (Slavyansk, Kramatorsk):Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that a resident of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk district, Donetsk Oblast, has been exposed for state treason for collecting and transmitting information about the location and movement of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and equipment to representatives of the Russian agent network, including an employee of the Smolensk Military Hospital of the Russian Ministry of Defense who has ties to Russian military intelligence.Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on the detention of this Russian agent in Donetsk Oblast who was correcting strikes on Ukrainian defenders.
Southern Donetsk Direction:Воин DV reports that the operator of a UAV from the 14th Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group of forces destroyed Starlink satellite communication terminals here.Воин DV reports continued violations of the ceasefire by both sides, with both artillery and drone exchanges on the Southern Donetsk direction.
Artemivsk Direction:НгП раZVедка shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian temporary deployment point here.
Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):
Drone Activity:Ukrainian Air Force reports a large-scale Russian attack involving 108 Shahed-type and decoy drones overnight, with 55 shot down and 30 decoy drones lost. The attack affected Odesa, Mykolaiv, Donetsk, and Zhytomyr Oblasts. Сили оборони Півдня України reports around 650 kamikaze drone strikes and over 400 drops from UAVs using around 500 munitions in the South.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi injured one person and damaged civilian infrastructure.Север.Реалии reports a freight train was attacked by a Russian drone in Donetsk Oblast, injuring the train driver.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS confirms significant destruction and injury in Odesa Oblast due to the attack.Два майора reports a child injured by a Ukrainian drone in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, and civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast.ASTRA reports one person injured by a Ukrainian drone in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, citing Ukrainian GUR, reports on a new Russian cruise missile ("Banderol") launched from Orion UAVs.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports "Rubikon" special center strike drones are hitting various Ukrainian UAVs.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful use of FPV drones on the Kharkiv direction, destroying enemy vehicles and positions.Два майора is fundraising for drone detectors for tank crews.Военкор Котенок is fundraising for motorcycles and drone detectors.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a Russian drone strike on an energy worker's vehicle in Sumy Oblast resulted in one fatality.🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports Russian drone attacks overnight and KAB strikes in the morning on Zaporizhzhia district, affecting Bilenke village and damaging a parked vehicle.Народная милиция ДНР reports Russian artillery and UAV operators destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position.Kotsnews shares a video claiming soldiers are using a "net launcher" to intercept Ukrainian kamikaze drones.Воин DV reports Russian units destroyed a Dart UAV, a Leleka UAV, and 6 Baba Yaga hexacopters, and disrupted attempts to reinforce positions and evacuate using FPV drones.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a Russian tank was destroyed by a Ukrainian "Spartan" brigade using "Stugna-P" and drones.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show a Russian "Niva" vehicle being attacked by a Ukrainian FPV drone.Военкор Котенок reports four civilian fatalities and two injured in Chelburda, Kherson Oblast, due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes.Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov Oblast.Воин DV reports units of the 36th Combined Arms Army operating west of Bogatyr have destroyed Ukrainian UAV command points and Baba Yaga hexacopters.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, Donetsk Oblast, resulting in injuries and damage.Russian military bloggers are discussing efforts to improve anti-drone warfare and the need for better equipment and coordination.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including "Geran/Gerbera" drone strikes on multiple regions.ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports 128 drone-kamikaze attacks and 102 UAVs destroyed or damaged in the Kharkiv operational zone.ТАСС reports the Russian MoD claimed to have shot down 135 Ukrainian UAVs over the past day.WarGonzo reports means of air defense shot down 135 UAVs.Kadyrov_95 reports on the use of drones and claims of accurate strikes in Sumy Oblast.ASTRA reports one person died and another was injured in Sumy Oblast due to a drone strike on an energy worker's car, with another person injured nearby.Два майора reports a civilian woman was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a car in Belgorod district.Президентська бригада ЗСУ reports Ukrainian drone operators detecting and neutralizing Russian assault groups and their shelters on the Toretsk direction.Воин DV reports that the operator of a UAV from the 14th Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group of forces destroyed Starlink satellite communication terminals on the Southern Donetsk direction.Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Donbas: Rubicon is working" which includes a list of targets allegedly hit by drones, including shelters, firing positions, dugouts, temporary deployment points, strongpoints, mortar positions, various types of UAVs ("Baba Yaga," DJI Mavic, Leleka-100), vehicles (van, pickup truck, Ural-4320, M113, BvS 10, HMMWV), personnel, a ground robotic complex, patch antenna, communication antenna, and a satellite antenna.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that fighters of the "Sting" group of the "Balista" special unit hit a vehicle with an FPV drone from which Russian soldiers fell out, and then, after the vehicle caught fire and ammunition began to detonate, they finished off a curious Russian soldier who looked at what was burning.STERNENKO shares a video claiming that soldiers of the 1039th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down another Zala Z-20 UAV and two regular Zala UAVs.Воин DV reports continued violations of the ceasefire by both sides, with both artillery and drone exchanges on the Southern Donetsk direction, and that Ukrainian forces used 75 FPV drones and 43 combat charge drops from quadcopters, while Russian forces used 50 FPV drones and 55 combat charge drops from quadcopters in response.
Aviation Activity:Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports repeated KAB launches on Sumy Oblast.Сили оборони Півдня України reports 10 aviation strikes by Russian forces in the South, using 15 guided aerial bombs and 101 unguided aerial rockets.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided munition use for frontline regions.ASTRA reports a Russian FAB-500 aviation bomb fell in Belgorod Oblast.ТАСС reports the delivery of new Su-35S fighter jets to the Russian Ministry of Defense.🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports KAB strikes in the morning on Zaporizhzhia district.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine] reports continued Russian launches of KABs towards Donetsk Oblast.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including aviation strikes on multiple regions.ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports 2 aviation strikes using 2 KABs in the Kharkiv operational zone.Басурин о главном reports on the delivery of new Su-35S fighters to the Russian Aerospace Forces.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warns of the threat of aviation weapons in the Synelnykove district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast and later repeated launches towards Sumy Oblast, and KAB launches towards Donetsk Oblast.The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports Russian aviation strikes with unguided rockets on Malynivka and Zaliznychne in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and Russian aviation strikes with four guided aerial bombs in Kursk Oblast.
Missile Activity:ASTRA and Север.Реалии report a missile strike on Rylsk in Kursk Oblast, injuring three people.Сили оборони Півдня України reports around 350 enemy shellings using over 1400 munitions in the South, including MLRS.MoD Russia reports a Grad MLRS crew eliminated a Ukrainian manpower and hardware cluster in Zaporizhzhia.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports rocket danger in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts (later lifted).Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and ТАСС report the destruction of a Ukrainian HIMARS MLRS in Sumy Oblast after it allegedly fired on Rylsk.Colonelcassad provides a summary of strikes including missile strikes on multiple regions.ТАСС reports the Russian MoD claimed to have shot down 9 JDAM bombs and 2 HIMARS projectiles.WarGonzo reports means of air defense shot down nine guided aerial bombs JDAM and two HIMARS missiles.Воин DV reports 156 artillery shellings, including 3 from MLRS, in Kursk Oblast.ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened regarding the shelling of Rylsk under the article of terrorism.Воин DV reports 156 artillery shellings, including 11 with cluster munitions, and 3 MLRS shellings by the Ukrainian side on the Southern Donetsk direction, and 43 artillery tasks conducted by Russian forces in response.
Naval Activity:Ukrainian General Staff reports the absence of Russian missile carriers in the Black and Azov Seas.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports observing increased movement of military cargo in the Odesa port area, including two military ships.Сили оборони Півдня України reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 4 enemy boats in the past day.
Air Defense Activity:Ukrainian Air Force reports 55 Russian UAVs were shot down overnight.Сили оборони Півдня України reports Ukrainian forces destroyed 3 enemy air defense systems in the past day.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports "Rubikon" special center strike drones are hitting various Ukrainian UAVs.Kotsnews shares a video claiming soldiers are using a "net launcher" to intercept Ukrainian kamikaze drones.ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on the destruction of 102 UAVs by Ukrainian forces in the Kharkiv operational zone.ТАСС reports the Russian MoD claimed to have shot down 9 JDAM bombs, 135 UAVs, and 2 HIMARS projectiles over the past day.WarGonzo reports means of air defense shot down nine guided aerial bombs JDAM and two HIMARS missiles, as well as 135 UAVs.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a photo and text stating that 8 British Raven air defense systems have been sent to Ukraine, with 5 more to come, highlighting their use against "Shahed" targets.STERNENKO shares a video claiming that soldiers of the 1039th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down another Zala Z-20 UAV and two regular Zala UAVs.
Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):
Ceasefire and Negotiations:Discussions regarding potential peace talks in Istanbul persist.Ukrainian officials maintain their stance of not agreeing to talks without a prior ceasefire.Russian sources express skepticism about Ukraine's willingness to negotiate on Russian terms.The Guardian reports that Zelenskyy's offer to meet Putin in Istanbul is seen as a move to seize the initiative.РБК-Україна reports that Andriy Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, stated that Ukraine will not agree to talks without a prior ceasefire and questions who else in Russia is capable of making and enforcing decisions of that level besides Putin.ISW analyzes Putin's statement on resuming direct talks based on Istanbul protocols, interpreting it as demanding Ukraine's full capitulation and aiming to delay negotiations while continuing offensives.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 and ТАСС report that Brazilian President Lula da Silva proposed himself to Putin as a mediator for negotiations on Ukraine.Reports suggest that Ukraine has held secret, high-level negotiations with Russia since 2022.Bloomberg reports a potential EU/US "strong response," including sanctions, if Russia does not cease fire today.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his first conversation with Pope Leo XIV, discussing humanitarian issues, a potential ceasefire, and negotiations, and inviting the Pope to visit Ukraine.РБК-Україна confirms Zelenskyy's conversation with Pope Leo XIV, highlighting discussions on deported children, the proposed ceasefire, and readiness for negotiations.Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on Zelenskyy's conversation with the Pope, emphasizing the Pope's support for a just and lasting peace and the return of prisoners.ТАСС reports on a Sky News commentator stating Trump's support for direct talks in Turkey has disarmed European leaders.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports China supports the proposed 30-day ceasefire.Оперативний ЗСУ reports China supports the proposed 30-day ceasefire.Стрелков Игорь Иванович provides a pessimistic assessment of upcoming negotiations in Istanbul, viewing a proposed 30-day truce as a tactical ploy by Ukraine to prepare for an offensive.РБК-Україна reports that the President of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is justifying his visit to Putin for the Victory Parade, stating that Brazil remains committed to peace and that his trip was part of efforts to strengthen multilateral relations and attempt to mediate peace talks.ТАСС reports that The Times, citing Putin's speech, claims he has effectively demanded Ukraine's capitulation, excluding an immediate ceasefire and repeating the demand to eliminate the root causes of the war, which the publication interprets as the overthrow of Zelenskyy's regime, Ukraine's refusal to join NATO, and territorial concessions.
International Support for Ukraine:A meeting of EU foreign ministers is scheduled in the UK today to discuss support for Ukraine and European security.The UK Foreign Minister plans to announce further sanctions against individuals supporting the Russian invasion.ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's defense industrial base.Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a meeting between Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Norwegian Chief of Defence to discuss continued military support and cooperation.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his conversation with Pope Leo XIV, discussing humanitarian issues.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that the German Foreign Minister stated that Germany is ready to continue supplying weapons to Ukraine if a ceasefire is not reached.Басурин о главном shares a link to an article that refers to European politicians as "fools" and quotes Macron, stating "the cap is not for Senka," indicating a dismissive view of Macron's statements or actions.ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's military-industrial complex, funded by income from frozen Russian assets, with a focus on drone and missile production.
Russia-Poland Relations:Poland has decided to close the Russian Consulate General in Krakow, citing alleged Russian special services involvement in a sabotage act. This is a significant diplomatic escalation. ТАСС reports Maria Zakharova stated Russia will respond to Poland's actions.Оперативний ЗСУ and РБК-Україна confirm Poland's decision and Russia's reaction.Два майора reports on Poland's decision to close the Russian consulate in Krakow, linking it to alleged Russian sabotage.ТАСС reports that Russian MFA Spokesperson Maria Zakharova stated that Russia will respond to Poland's decision to close the Russian consulate in Krakow.ТАСС reports Poland's Ministry of Foreign Affairs states the Russian Ambassador will be invited to receive a note regarding the closure and that diplomats must leave within 30 days.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on the planned 4-month blocking action by Polish farmers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.Рыбарь discusses the potential blocking action by Polish carriers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.Рыбарь analyzes Poland's decision to close the Russian Consulate General in Krakow, linking it to alleged Russian special services involvement in a shopping center fire and noting that Ukrainians were initially accused of such arsons.
Russia-Ukraine Diplomatic Activity: Discussion around potential direct negotiations in Istanbul continues, with differing conditions from each side. Reports suggest that Ukraine has held direct, high-level, and secret negotiations with Russia on the Arabian Peninsula multiple times since 2022, including in 2024.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his first conversation with Pope Leo XIV, discussing humanitarian issues, a potential ceasefire, and negotiations.Стрелков Игорь Иванович provides a pessimistic assessment of upcoming negotiations in Istanbul.
Russian Internal Politics:ТАСС reports the inclusion of former Bashneft president and ex-senator Viktor Khoroshavtsev in the Russian Interior Ministry's wanted database.Военкор Котенок reports a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm involving migrants.Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and Новости is promoting narratives related to Victory Day and alleged "neo-fascism."Два майора is engaged in fundraising.Военкор Котенок is engaged in fundraising.Басурин о главном reports on the PKK self-dissolution.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the detention of a teenager allegedly planning a terrorist attack on a military commissariat in collusion with a "terrorist organization connected with Ukraine."ASTRA reports on Russian disinformation regarding European leaders.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that schoolgirls were found showing disrespectful gestures to Victory Day fireworks in Mogilev, Belarus.ASTRA reports the detention of two 16-year-old teenagers in Novokuznetsk suspected of preparing to blow up a military commissariat.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on plans to exempt participants of the "special military operation" from land and transport taxes.ASTRA reports that former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev has called on Russian military personnel to mutiny if the war is frozen.МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment.ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region involving a "gachimuchi" porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic in Zheleznogorsk.WarGonzo reports on a Russian "Opinion Leaders Intensive" event focusing on information operations and historical memory.Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus.ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened regarding the shelling of Rylsk under the article of terrorism.ТАСС reports that Khinshtein considers the level of corruption in Kursk Oblast to have reached the highest official level, and that people with criminal pasts should not be in positions of authority.ASTRA reports that "Match TV" has closed comments under a post congratulating Kabaeva, and suggests this is due to negative or inappropriate comments.Colonelcassad reports that the Minister of Transport of Buryatia, Alexander Goge, has been detained on corruption charges.
Ukraine's International Relations: Ukraine is engaging with EU foreign ministers in the UK to discuss support. Ukraine is responding to Hungary's expulsion of diplomats and addressing the issue of rare earth metal reserves and potential US interest (reported previously). Discussion around potential direct negotiations with Russia in Istanbul continues. The Guardian reports on Zelenskyy's move to seize the initiative regarding Istanbul talks.Ukraine is engaged in counterintelligence efforts, leading to the detention of Russian agents.ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's defense industrial base.Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a meeting between Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Norwegian Chief of Defence to discuss continued military support and cooperation.РБК-Україна reports that Polish carriers may potentially block the "Yahodyn - Dorohusk" border crossing for up to four months.Українські прикордонники report receiving information about the potential protest by Polish carriers.Оперативний ЗСУ reports on the potential border blockage.Два майора reports on the potential border blockage by Polish carriers.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his first conversation with Pope Leo XIV.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on the planned 4-month blocking action by Polish farmers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.China supports the proposed 30-day ceasefire.(ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ)Рыбарь discusses the potential blocking action by Polish carriers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing.РБК-Україна reports that the President of Brazil, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, is justifying his visit to Putin for the Victory Parade, stating that Brazil remains committed to peace and that his trip was part of efforts to strengthen multilateral relations and attempt to mediate peace talks.ТАСС reports that The Times, citing Putin's speech, claims he has effectively demanded Ukraine's capitulation.
PKK Self-Dissolution:Басурин о главном, Colonelcassad, and Alex Parker Returns report that the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) has decided to self-dissolve. This has implications for Turkey and regional security. Рыбарь analyzes the PKK's decision to self-dissolve.Alex Parker Returns reports on the PKK officially stating its self-dissolution.
US-China Relations:A 90-day trade truce is reported. This is a significant international economic development. Оперативний ЗСУ and Alex Parker Returns confirm the US-China trade truce.ТАСС reports the US and China have agreed to mutually reduce tariffs by 10% for an initial 90-day period.Оперативний ЗСУ reports global financial markets reacted positively to the US-China trade truce news.
Russia-Belarus Relations:Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on an incident in Mogilev, Belarus, regarding schoolgirls showing disrespect to Victory Day fireworks.Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus, specifically mentioning the incident in Mogilev.
Litigation:ТАСС reports that Alisher Usmanov has won a court case in Luxembourg regarding the ownership of his yacht.
Information Warfare Discussion:Рыбарь announces a video podcast discussing neural network information warfare.
US Politics:Alex Parker Returns discusses the potential gift of a luxury Boeing 747-8 to Donald Trump from Qatar.ТАСС reports on a Sky News commentator stating Trump's support for direct talks in Turkey has disarmed European leaders.
Vatican Engagement:Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his first conversation with Pope Leo XIV, discussing humanitarian issues, a potential ceasefire, and negotiations, and inviting the Pope to visit Ukraine.РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ also report on this conversation.
Financial Sector (Russia):ТАСС reports that Sber and VTB have canceled commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs.
China's Stance:ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports China supports the proposed 30-day ceasefire.Оперативний ЗСУ reports China supports the proposed 30-day ceasefire.РБК-Україна reports that a representative of the Chinese MFA stated that China supports all peaceful efforts and hopes that the parties involved will reach a just, lasting, binding, and mutually acceptable peace agreement through dialogue and negotiations, and that China is ready to constructively cooperate with the international community.
Internal Russian Issues (Updated):
Internal Security:Reports of drone activity within Russia continue (Kursk, Belgorod, Rostov Oblasts).ТАСС reports the inclusion of former Bashneft president and ex-senator Viktor Khoroshavtsev in the Russian Interior Ministry's wanted database.Военкор Котенок reports a disturbing alleged violent crime in Perm involving migrants.Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and Новости is promoting narratives related to internal and external threats.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports the detention of a teenager in Novokuznetsk allegedly planning a terrorist attack on a military commissariat.ASTRA reports on Russian disinformation regarding European leaders.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports on the incident in Mogilev, Belarus, regarding schoolgirls showing disrespect to Victory Day fireworks.ASTRA reports the detention of two 16-year-old teenagers in Novokuznetsk suspected of preparing to blow up a military commissariat.Оперативний ЗСУ claims a UAV fell on the territory of the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov Oblast.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports a Ukrainian drone strike on the village of Chelyuskinets, Donetsk Oblast.Russian source (Mash на Донbasse) reports damage to houses and a car in the village of Kamianka as a result of Ukrainian shelling.Russian military bloggers are discussing efforts to improve anti-drone warfare.ASTRA reports that former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev has called on Russian military personnel to mutiny if the war is frozen, which could be interpreted as a call for internal unrest.МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment.ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region involving a "gachimuchi" porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic in Zheleznogorsk.WarGonzo reports on a Russian "Opinion Leaders Intensive" event focusing on information operations and historical memory.Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus, specifically mentioning the incident in Mogilev.ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened regarding the shelling of Rylsk under the article of terrorism.ТАСС reports that Khinshtein considers the level of corruption in Kursk Oblast to have reached the highest official level.ASTRA reports that "Match TV" has closed comments under a post congratulating Kabaeva, and suggests this is due to negative or inappropriate comments.Colonelcassad reports that the Minister of Transport of Buryatia, Alexander Goge, has been detained on corruption charges.
Legal Developments:ТАСС reports the inclusion of former Bashneft president and ex-senator Viktor Khoroshavtsev in the Russian Interior Ministry's wanted database.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on plans to exempt participants of the "special military operation" from land and transport taxes.ТАСС reports that Alisher Usmanov has won a court case in Luxembourg regarding the ownership of his yacht.ТАСС reports a criminal case has been opened regarding the shelling of Rylsk under the article of terrorism.ТАСС reports that Khinshtein considers the level of corruption in Kursk Oblast to have reached the highest official level, and that people with criminal pasts should not be in positions of authority.Colonelcassad reports that the Minister of Transport of Buryatia, Alexander Goge, has been detained on corruption charges.
Information Operations:Russian sources continue to promote narratives related to Victory Day, the conflict in Ukraine, and internal/external threats.Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and Новости is celebrating LPR day and promoting narratives on "neo-fascism."Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is sharing content related to Russian forces and potentially propaganda about Ukrainian areas.Два майора and Военкор Котенок are sharing videos and commentary, including fundraising appeals.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны is sharing videos of military actions and commenting on international events.Басурин о главном is commenting on regional developments.ASTRA reports a Russian FAB-500 bomb falling in Belgorod Oblast, potentially highlighting issues that Russian authorities may seek to downplay or misrepresent.ASTRA reports on Russian disinformation regarding European leaders, exemplified by Maria Zakharova's claim about European leaders using drugs.Два майора is discussing efforts to improve tactical medicine in the Russian military.Рыбарь analyzes the PKK's decision to self-dissolve and its implications.Alex Parker Returns comments on the French Presidential Palace's response to alleged disinformation about Macron.Alex Parker Returns reports on the PKK officially stating its self-dissolution.Рыбарь announces a video podcast discussing neural network information warfare, indicating a focus on the evolving landscape of information operations.Alex Parker Returns discusses the potential gift of a luxury Boeing 747-8 to Donald Trump and the implications for US foreign policy, including controversial and biased commentary.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on alleged Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties, which is a common information operation tactic.«Зона СВО» shares a message expressing optimism for victory, a morale-boosting message.WarGonzo reports on a Russian "Opinion Leaders Intensive" event, highlighting the organized nature of information operations and the focus on historical memory and the role of opinion leaders.ASTRA reports that former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev has called on Russian military personnel to mutiny, which could be used in information operations by both sides.МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment, which could be used by both sides in information operations.ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region involving a "gachimuchi" porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic, highlighting potential information manipulation or oversight.WarGonzo provides a summary of claimed Russian strikes and Ukrainian losses, serving their information operation.ТАСС reports on a Sky News commentator's view on Trump's support for talks, fitting into the Russian narrative of perceived Western division.Colonelcassad shares video claiming to show an attack on enemy positions in Sumy Oblast by "Rusich" army, likely for propaganda purposes.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video claiming to show a Mavic drone strike and evacuation on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, which could be used to highlight Russian drone capabilities and alleged Ukrainian casualties.ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 reports on Russian forces using motorcycles in an assault, and the successful repulsion of the assault, likely for Ukrainian morale and information operations.Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming to show the repulsion of a Ukrainian offensive on Dzerzhinsk during the ceasefire, serving as a counter-narrative to any potential Ukrainian claims and highlighting Russian effectiveness.Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares a video questioning the whereabouts of "doubles," a likely sarcastic commentary on Russian personnel losses and potentially information operations surrounding them.Janus Putkonen - Uutisia and kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET is promoting content framed around Russian forces returning to work after the ceasefire, likely to portray continued Russian activity and success.Colonelcassad shares a sarcastic commentary on a Ukrainian nationalist's statement about space colonization, likely to mock Ukrainian narratives and capabilities.WarGonzo analyzes the India-Pakistan conflict, potentially to draw parallels or highlight broader geopolitical dynamics.Стрелков Игорь Иванович provides a pessimistic assessment of upcoming negotiations, aligning with a critical stance on the Russian government's approach to the conflict.ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans, a potentially negative internal report.ASTRA reports on a controversy involving a porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic, which could be seen as highlighting internal issues and the impact of the war narrative on public life.STERNENKO comments on Pavel Gubarev's call for mutiny, using it to highlight internal dissent and potential instability in Russia.Старше Эдды shares a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus.Полиция Хабаровского края shares a post about inviting foreigners for entry into Russia, focusing on the Far Eastern and Central Federal Districts, likely highlighting efforts to attract labor or population, which could be relevant for the Russian economy and demographics.ASTRA reports that "Match TV" has closed comments under a post congratulating Kabaeva, and suggests this is due to negative or inappropriate comments, which could indicate efforts to control the information space and prevent negative commentary.Басурин о главном shares a link to an article that refers to European politicians as "fools" and quotes Macron, which is a clear information operation aimed at discrediting European leadership.ТАСС reports that The Times, citing Putin's speech, claims he has effectively demanded Ukraine's capitulation, which is likely a part of the Russian information operation to portray their strong stance and potentially pressure Ukraine.ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's military-industrial complex, funded by income from frozen Russian assets, with a focus on drone and missile production, which is a factual report but can also be used in information operations to highlight Western support for Ukraine.
Military Production:ТАСС reports the delivery of new Su-35S fighter jets to the Russian Ministry of Defense.Оперативний ЗСУ claims the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, Rostov Oblast, which was allegedly targeted by a UAV, produces rocket fuel for Russian MLRS and Iskander missiles.Басурин о главном reports on the delivery of new Su-35S fighters.
Civilian Casualties (Russian territory):ASTRA and Север.Реalii report three injured civilians in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast.Два майора reports a child injured by a Ukrainian drone in Khomutovka, Kursk Oblast, and civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in various settlements of Belgorod Oblast.ASTRA reports one person injured by a Ukrainian drone in Valuyki, Belgorod Oblast.Два майора reports a civilian woman was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a car in Belgorod district.
Military Personnel Status:ASTRA reports that "disgraced" General Surovikin was seen in Algeria, with a Russian State Duma member claiming he is working as a military advisor in Africa.
Agricultural Impact:Новости Москвы reports that frost has destroyed a significant portion of sugar beet and stone fruit harvests in Russia.
Veteran Support Issues:МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front.ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans.
Financial Sector (Russia):ТАСС reports that Sber and VTB have canceled commissions for developers on preferential mortgage programs.
Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)
Civilian Impact:Reports of civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure continue in Donetsk, Odesa, and Kherson Oblasts in Ukraine, and Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts in Russia.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a drone attack on Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi injured one person and damaged civilian infrastructure.Север.Реalii reports a freight train was attacked by a Russian drone in Donetsk Oblast, injuring the train driver.ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports 5 injured and damage from shelling in Donetsk Oblast.WarGonzo reports a man killed and a teenager injured in Horlivka.Два майора reports civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone and shelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast.Рыбарь reports three civilian fatalities in Kherson Oblast from Ukrainian strikes and continued mutual artillery/drone strikes across the Dnieper.ASTRA and Север.Реalii report three injured civilians in Rylsk, Kursk Oblast.Оперативний ЗСУ reports a Russian drone strike on an energy worker's vehicle in Sumy Oblast resulted in one fatality.🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports Russian drone attacks overnight and KAB strikes in the morning on Zaporizhzhia district, affecting Bilenke village and damaging a parked vehicle.Военкор Котенок reports four civilian fatalities and two injured in the village of Chelburda, Kherson Oblast, due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports injuries and damage to a house in the village of Chelyuskinets, Donetsk Oblast, as a result of a Ukrainian drone strike.Russian source (Mash на Донбассе) reports damage to houses and a car in the village of Kamianka, Donetsk Oblast, as a result of Ukrainian shelling.РБК-Україна reports a drone strike on an energy worker's car in the suburbs of Sumy, with one fatality and injuries.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports four civilian fatalities and injuries due to alleged Ukrainian drone strikes in Chelburda, Kherson Oblast, and damage in Nova Kakhovka.Новости Москвы reports that frost has destroyed a significant portion of sugar beet and stone fruit harvests in Russia.Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a message from a local resident in the "nezalezhnaya" (Ukraine) describing alleged TCC activities involving the abduction of civilians.ASTRA reports one person died and another was injured in Sumy Oblast due to a drone strike on an energy worker's car, with another person injured nearby.Два майора reports a civilian woman was injured by a Ukrainian drone attack on a car in Belgorod district.Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that a resident of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk district, Donetsk Oblast, has been exposed for state treason for collecting and transmitting information about the location and movement of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and equipment to representatives of the Russian agent network, which was then used for shelling.
Ukrainian Military Training:ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 highlights ongoing infantry training at the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade in Kharkiv Oblast.
Fundraising Efforts:Два майора and Военкор Котенок are conducting fundraising for equipment for Russian military units.РБК-Україна reports on the Ukrainian "Rubizh" brigade fundraising for equipment and vehicle repairs after losses.Colonelcassad is conducting a fundraiser for Russian units in the Artemivsk-Chasiv Yar-Klishchiivka-Siversk directions.STERNENKO is promoting a fundraising campaign for "russoriz" (likely anti-Russian drone operations).БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС is fundraising for vehicles for a Ukrainian unit operating near Pokrovsk.
Support for Military Personnel and Families:Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a video about rescuing a dog from Novohrodivka, highlighting a humanitarian action by Russian soldiers.‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура» reports on the return of prisoners of war and efforts to support them and their families.РБК-Україна highlights efforts in Dnipro to help wounded soldiers return to life and service after injuries.Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports a meeting between Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Norwegian Chief of Defence discussing support for wounded and rehabilitated Ukrainian soldiers.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reports on his first conversation with Pope Leo XIV, discussing humanitarian issues, including the return of deported children.МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary, Russia, is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front.ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans.Два майора shares a video of a captured Ukrainian soldier receiving medical attention and food, potentially for informational purposes.Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reports on a meeting held at the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War with the families of servicemen of the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade, discussing the absence of released soldiers from the unit, the process of submitting requests for exchanges, the constant movement of prisoners by the enemy, establishing correspondence, the interrogation of released prisoners, the work of search groups, the evacuation of bodies, and interaction with the National Police, with an emphasis on finding the maximum number of missing persons.Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими shares photos of individuals at this meeting, some wearing shirts indicating their connection to the military unit, including "42 brigade, 422 battalion."
Tactical Medicine:Два майора is discussing efforts to improve tactical medicine in the Russian military, specifically regarding antibiotic usage and the importance of documenting medical treatment on injured personnel.
Financial Support (Ukraine):РБК-Україна reports that banks in Ukraine will reduce limits on card transfers and payments via IBAN from June 1, 2025, for individuals, with lower limits for "high-risk" clients, but not affecting those with confirmed income sources like salaries.
Adoption (Ukraine):🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares information about financial assistance for adopting a child in Ukraine.
Support for Veterans (Russia):МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports a veteran in Cheboksary is facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front.ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans.
Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)
Russian Forces: Continuing intense ground assaults across multiple directions, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, claiming tactical gains and control of Kotlyarovka. Conducting large-scale drone attacks (over 100 UAVs), extensive artillery and MLRS shelling, and aviation strikes with guided bombs. Utilizing FPV drones. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment (HIMARS, boats, air defense systems, vehicles). Employing tactical aviation. Delivering new Su-35S fighter jets. Potentially using a new cruise missile ("Banderol") launched from drones. Reporting continued combat in the South Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia directions and successful strikes by Grad MLRS in Zaporizhzhia. Observing increased military cargo movement in Odesa. Facing Ukrainian counterattacks and resistance. Claiming destruction of a Ukrainian HIMARS system in Sumy Oblast. Destroying Ukrainian assets and disrupting rotations in the Bogatyr, Alekseevka, and Gulyaipole areas. Targeting energy workers with drones in Sumy Oblast. Using a "net launcher" to intercept Ukrainian drones. Attempting to advance in the Toretsk direction. Using motorcycles for assaults on the Kupyansk direction (repelled by Ukraine). (Ukrainian General Staff, Сили оборони Півдня України, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Рыбарь, Два майора, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, MoD Russia, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС, ASTRA, Север.Реalii, WarGonzo, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Народная милиция ДНР, Kotsnews, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Mash на Донбассе, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Сливочный каприз)Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims "Cosmonauts" and airborne troops are repelling enemy attacks near Tetkino, where Ukrainian forces are attempting to break through.Воин DV reports that the operator of a UAV from the 14th Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group of forces destroyed Starlink satellite communication terminals on the Southern Donetsk direction.Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Donbas: Rubicon is working" which includes a list of targets allegedly hit by drones, including shelters, firing positions, dugouts, temporary deployment points, strongpoints, mortar positions, various types of UAVs ("Baba Yaga," DJI Mavic, Leleka-100), vehicles (van, pickup truck, Ural-4320, M113, BvS 10, HMMWV), personnel, a ground robotic complex, patch antenna, communication antenna, and a satellite antenna.Два майора shares a video claiming that the "Nemets" group of the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to eliminate enemy personnel in multi-kilometer trenches on the Zaporizhzhia front.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that fighters of the "Sting" group of the "Balista" special unit hit a vehicle with an FPV drone from which Russian soldiers fell out, and then, after the vehicle caught fire and ammunition began to detonate, they finished off a curious Russian soldier who looked at what was burning.STERNENKO shares a video claiming that soldiers of the 1039th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down another Zala Z-20 UAV and two regular Zala UAVs.Воин DV reports continued violations of the ceasefire by both sides, with both artillery and drone exchanges on the Southern Donetsk direction, and that Ukrainian forces used 75 FPV drones and 43 combat charge drops from quadcopters, while Russian forces used 50 FPV drones and 55 combat charge drops from quadcopters in response.Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming that drone operators of the "Okhotnik" special forces detachment of the 51st Combined Arms Army are destroying Ukrainian forces with drone drops on the positions of Ukrainian forces.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces have expanded their control zone by about 1.5 km around the eastern part of Krasnoarmeysk, taking new positions along the banks of the Myrolyubivka reservoir on the Kazennyi Torets River, and that Russian servicemen were shelled by Ukrainian forces during rotation near Myrolyubivka and Hrodivka.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the liquidation of Russian forces by Ukrainian drone operators in the Chasiv Yar area.Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show the destruction of Ukrainian personnel in a trench near Yelyzavetivka using an FPV drone.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian drone operations against Ukrainian positions on the Donetsk Direction.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА claims that Ukrainian forces have started using new anti-personnel mines on the Sumy direction.
Ukrainian Forces: Actively defending against Russian assaults across numerous sectors, reporting successful repels and significant Russian losses (personnel, equipment, air defense systems, boats). Conducting counterintelligence operations and detaining suspected Russian agents. Utilizing air defense to counter Russian aerial attacks, successfully intercepting a large number of drones. Conducting drone attacks in Russian border regions. Engaging in training exercises for ground forces. Returning prisoners of war. Conducting SSOs raids on Russian territory, resulting in prisoner captures. Fundraising for equipment and repairs. Rehabilitating wounded soldiers. Discussing continued military support and cooperation with international partners. Destroying a Russian tank using anti-tank systems and drones. Using FPV drones. Repelling Russian assaults in the Vovchansk and Kupyansk areas. Using drone operators to detect and neutralize Russian assault groups and shelters on the Toretsk direction. Allegedly attempting a counteroffensive in Dzerzhinsk during the ceasefire (claimed repelled by Russia). (Ukrainian General Staff, Сили оборони Півдня України, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Офіс Генерального прокурора, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ASTRA, Север.Реalii, ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Mash на Донбассе)БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС reports Ukrainian SSOs conducted a raid in the enemy rear and ambushed a Russian assault group, destroying all of them.✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 reports that the 24th Separate Mechanized Brigade named after King Danylo is updating vacancies and is looking for specialists in FPV operators, UAV operators, sappers, master technicians, ground robot operators, and UAV crew drivers, highlighting the brigade's focus on technology and specialized personnel.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a photo and text stating that 8 British Raven air defense systems have been sent to Ukraine, with 5 more to come, highlighting their use against "Shahed" targets.Colonelcassad shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces surrendered on the Zaporizhzhia direction.Colonelcassad shares photos of captured Western weaponry and drones from the Sumy direction, claiming they were collected by Russian reconnaissance units.Colonelcassad shares photos and analysis of a Ukrainian drone-kamikaze warhead, providing technical details and analysis.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claimed to show Ukrainian drone operators liquidating Russian forces in the Chasiv Yar area.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that fighters of the "Sting" group of the "Balista" special unit hit a vehicle with an FPV drone and then finished off a curious Russian soldier.STERNENKO shares a video claiming that soldiers of the 1039th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down another Zala Z-20 UAV and two regular Zala UAVs.Воин DV reports continued violations of the ceasefire by both sides, with both artillery and drone exchanges on the Southern Donetsk direction, and that Ukrainian forces used 75 FPV drones and 43 combat charge drops from quadcopters.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces were shelled by Ukrainian forces during rotation near Myrolyubivka and Hrodivka.
PKK: Reportedly deciding to self-dissolve and transition to political methods. (Басурин о главном, Colonelcassad, Alex Parker Returns)Рыбарь analyzes the PKK's decision to self-dissolve, noting that it wasn't a military defeat but a diplomatic solution.
Strategic Considerations (Updated)
The continued intensity of ground combat across multiple fronts, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, despite the declared end of the Russian ceasefire, indicates that both sides remain committed to achieving military objectives through force. The high number of reported engagements underscores the attritional nature of the current phase of the conflict. The Russian claim of liberating Kotlyarovka, if confirmed, represents a tactical gain and a potential step in their flanking maneuver towards Pokrovsk, which is a significant strategic objective. Russian sources emphasize its strategic importance for gaining fire control over a key Ukrainian logistical hub.The report of heavy fighting continuing near Kotlyarovka suggests that even after a claimed capture, the area remains contested or subject to counterattacks.The report of Russian forces continuing to flank Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk) indicates a sustained strategic focus on this area.The alleged repulsion of a Ukrainian offensive on Dzerzhinsk during the ceasefire, if true, would support the Russian narrative of Ukrainian violations and highlight the importance of maintaining control in that area.Ukrainian forces reporting continued destruction of Russian forces on the Toretsk direction and repelling assaults in the Vovchansk and Kupyansk areas indicate successful defensive actions in these crucial sectors.Russian claims of advances on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, reaching the southern outskirts of Novonikolayevka and fighting for Orekhovo and Zverevo, if confirmed, suggest a continued Russian push in this area.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video claiming Ukrainian SSOs conducted a raid and ambushed a Russian assault group in the enemy rear highlights Ukraine's ability to conduct operations behind enemy lines, which is strategically valuable for intelligence gathering and disrupting enemy activities.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны claims "Cosmonauts" and airborne troops are repelling enemy attacks near Tetkino, where Ukrainian forces are attempting to break through, underscoring the continued importance of the border region and Russian defensive efforts.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces have reached Novosergiyevka and occupied new positions in the eastern part of the settlement, advancing 1.5 km, suggesting ongoing Russian tactical gains in this direction.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video claiming to show the liquidation of Russian forces by Ukrainian drone operators in the Chasiv Yar area, indicating ongoing combat and Russian losses in this key location.Сливочный каприз reports positional combat in the Krasnoarmeysk area and claims Russian forces have expanded their control zone by about 1.5 km around the eastern part of Krasnoarmeysk, taking new positions along the banks of the Myrolyubivka reservoir on the Kazennyi Torets River, indicating continued Russian tactical advances.
The large-scale Russian drone attack and continued heavy shelling and aviation strikes highlight Russia's reliance on these methods to degrade Ukrainian defenses, target infrastructure, and inflict casualties. Ukraine's ability to intercept a significant number of drones, coupled with the reported destruction of Russian air defense systems by Ukrainian forces, indicates an ongoing air and electronic warfare battle. The reported use of a new cruise missile ("Banderol") launched from drones, allegedly with foreign components, suggests Russia is adapting its tactics and may be seeking to circumvent sanctions or utilize readily available technology, posing an evolving threat that requires updated countermeasures.Russian claims of destroying a Ukrainian HIMARS in Sumy Oblast, if confirmed, represent a strategic success in countering Ukrainian long-range precision strike capabilities.The claim of a Ukrainian successful drone strike on the Kamensky Chemical Plant in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, if confirmed, represents a significant strategic impact on Russian military production and logistical capabilities.Russian military bloggers discussing efforts to improve anti-drone warfare and the need for better equipment and coordination within the Russian military suggests recognition of Ukrainian drone effectiveness and ongoing efforts to adapt tactically.The scale of the Russian drone attack (108 UAVs) underscores their continued capability and intent to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses.The reported loss of 102 Ukrainian UAVs in the Kharkiv operational zone highlights the intensity of drone warfare in that area.The Russian Ministry of Defense claiming to have destroyed a large number of Ukrainian UAVs, JDAM bombs, and HIMARS reinforces their narrative of successful air defense and countering Western military aid.ASTRA reporting a fatality and injuries in Sumy Oblast from a drone strike on an energy worker's car highlights the impact of drone warfare on civilian infrastructure and personnel.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a photo and text stating that 8 British Raven air defense systems have been sent to Ukraine, with 5 more to come, highlighting specific international military aid and its purpose in air defense.Воин DV reports that the operator of a UAV from the 14th Separate Guards Special Forces Brigade of the "Vostok" group of forces destroyed Starlink satellite communication terminals on the Southern Donetsk direction, highlighting the targeting of critical communication infrastructure.Colonelcassad shares a video titled "Donbas: Rubicon is working" which includes a list of targets allegedly hit by drones, providing detailed information on the types of Ukrainian assets being targeted by Russian drones, including various UAVs, vehicles, and communication equipment.Два майора shares a video claiming that the "Nemets" group of the 291st Motorized Rifle Regiment is using FPV drones to eliminate enemy personnel in multi-kilometer trenches on the Zaporizhzhia front, highlighting a specific tactic using FPV drones against entrenched positions.Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming that fighters of the "Sting" group of the "Balista" special unit hit a vehicle with an FPV drone and then finished off a curious Russian soldier, illustrating a specific FPV drone engagement sequence and its lethal outcome.STERNENKO shares a video claiming that soldiers of the 1039th Anti-Aircraft Missile Regiment shot down another Zala Z-20 UAV and two regular Zala UAVs, providing specific information on successful Ukrainian air defense actions against reconnaissance and attack drones.Воин DV reports continued violations of the ceasefire by both sides, with both artillery and drone exchanges on the Southern Donetsk direction, and that Ukrainian forces used a higher number of FPV drones and combat charge drops from quadcopters than Russian forces in response, indicating intense mutual drone activity.АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video of Russian drone operations against Ukrainian positions on the Donetsk Direction, showcasing ongoing Russian drone activity in this key area.
The diplomatic exchanges and public statements from leaders like Donald Trump and Russian officials underscore the continued international dimension of the conflict and the ongoing efforts to find a path towards negotiation. The divergent positions on the conditions for a ceasefire highlight the deep-seated disagreements that remain. Andriy Yermak's comments on the necessity of a prior ceasefire for negotiations and his focus on Putin as the key decision-maker provide insight into Ukraine's diplomatic strategy and its assessment of the Russian leadership's willingness to engage in substantive talks.ISW's analysis suggests Russia is using the idea of negotiations to buy time and continue its offensive, reinforcing the need for caution in diplomatic engagements.Brazilian President Lula da Silva's offer to mediate indicates ongoing international interest in a peaceful resolution, though the effectiveness of this offer is uncertain.The claim by a Ukrainian deputy of secret high-level talks since 2022 suggests that informal communication channels may exist despite public posturing, which could be strategically relevant for future de-escalation efforts.The Bloomberg report on potential EU/US sanctions if Russia doesn't cease fire today indicates potential international pressure, although its impact remains to be seen.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's conversation with Pope Leo XIV demonstrates Ukraine's continued efforts to engage international actors on humanitarian issues and peace efforts, and his invitation to the Pope is a strategic move to gain further international support.РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ confirming Zelenskyy's conversation with the Pope reinforces its significance.ТАСС reporting a Sky News commentator's view on Trump's support for talks aligns with the Russian narrative of perceived Western division.China's public support for the proposed 30-day ceasefire, as reported by ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Оперативний ЗСУ, is a significant diplomatic development that could increase pressure for de-escalation.Стрелков Игорь Иванович's pessimistic assessment of upcoming negotiations and his view of a proposed truce as a tactical ploy by Ukraine reflect a hardline perspective within Russia that is skeptical of diplomatic solutions.РБК-Україна reporting that the President of Brazil is justifying his visit to Putin suggests that even countries seeking neutrality are facing pressure to clarify their stances and actions related to the conflict.ТАСС reporting that The Times, citing Putin's speech, claims he has effectively demanded Ukraine's capitulation, highlights the ongoing divergence in stated goals and the significant gap that needs to be bridged for any meaningful negotiations.РБК-Україна reports that a representative of the Chinese MFA stated that China supports all peaceful efforts and hopes that the parties involved will reach a just, lasting, binding, and mutually acceptable peace agreement through dialogue and negotiations, and that China is ready to constructively cooperate with the international community, which reinforces China's position as a potential mediator or facilitator in future peace talks.
Poland's decision to close the Russian consulate in Krakow, citing alleged Russian sabotage, is a significant escalation in diplomatic tensions and suggests a potential expansion of Russian hostile activities beyond Ukraine's borders. This development requires heightened vigilance and coordination among NATO allies to deter and respond to such actions. Russia's stated intention to respond to Poland's actions confirms the diplomatic fallout and the likelihood of reciprocal measures.The report of a protest by Polish carriers potentially blocking a key border crossing for an extended period would have significant strategic implications for logistics and supply lines to Ukraine, potentially affecting military aid and civilian goods.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting on the planned 4-month blockage emphasizes its potential long-term impact.Рыбарь's analysis of Poland's decision and the potential border blockage highlights the interconnectedness of political, security, and logistical factors in the region.
Reports of increased Russian military cargo movement in the Odesa port area warrant close monitoring and intelligence analysis to determine the nature and intent of these movements. This could indicate preparations for offensive actions in the south or simply logistical resupply, but it represents a potential area of increased risk.
The detention of Russian agents in Rivne Oblast for an attempted terrorist attack underscores the ongoing internal security threats faced by Ukraine and the importance of effective counterintelligence efforts to prevent destabilization and gather intelligence on Russian networks within the country. The details provided by Ukraine's National Police highlight the specific target (police investigation team) and the methods used, indicating a direct attempt to undermine Ukrainian law enforcement and create chaos.Офіс Генерального прокурора reporting that a resident of Slovyansk, Kramatorsk district, Donetsk Oblast, has been exposed for state treason for collecting and transmitting information about the location and movement of Ukrainian Armed Forces personnel and equipment to representatives of the Russian agent network, which was then used for shelling, highlights a specific instance of successful counterintelligence against a collaborator network providing targeting information to Russia.Оперативний ЗСУ also reporting on the detention of this Russian agent reinforces the significance of this counterintelligence success.
The continued reporting of civilian casualties and damage on both sides of the front line highlights the devastating humanitarian impact of the conflict and the ongoing violation of international humanitarian law. Prioritizing minimizing civilian harm and collateral damage remains a critical ethical and strategic imperative. The report of a drone strike on an energy worker's vehicle in Sumy Oblast is a stark example of the targeting of civilian essential services and personnel.The reported civilian fatalities and injuries in Kherson and Donetsk Oblasts due to alleged drone strikes and shelling underscore the ongoing threat to civilians and the potential for violations of international law.The report of alleged Ukrainian drone strikes causing civilian casualties in Kherson Oblast is a significant claim with humanitarian and strategic implications.ASTRA reporting a fatality and injuries in Sumy Oblast from a drone strike on an energy worker's car further highlights the human cost.Два майора reporting a civilian woman injured by a Ukrainian drone in Belgorod district also points to civilian impact in border regions.Офіс Генерального прокурора reporting on the exposure of a resident of Slovyansk for state treason and the subsequent shelling based on her information directly links collaboration with civilian casualties and infrastructure damage.
The ongoing fundraising efforts by Russian military bloggers for equipment like drones and thermal imagers suggest that while the Russian state provides significant resources, there may still be gaps in supply at the unit level, and public support plays a role in bridging these gaps. The fundraising efforts by both Russian and Ukrainian units underscore the attritional nature of the conflict and the constant need for resources.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС is fundraising for vehicles for a Ukrainian unit operating near Pokrovsk, indicating specific logistical needs and public support for addressing them.
The reported self-dissolution of the PKK could have regional implications, particularly for Turkey, and might indirectly influence the broader geopolitical landscape surrounding the conflict. Рыбарь's analysis of the PKK decision suggests a diplomatic resolution rather than a military defeat, which could have implications for Turkish military operations in northern Iraq.
The delivery of new Su-35S fighter jets to Russia indicates their continued efforts to maintain and modernize their air force, which remains a significant factor in the conflict. This is a strategic asset for Russia's air power projection.
The report of a Russian FAB-500 bomb falling in Belgorod Oblast, coupled with previous similar incidents, suggests potential technical challenges or errors in the use of guided munitions by Russian forces. This could have implications for the effectiveness of their air strikes and potentially pose risks to their own territory.
The US-China trade truce is a significant international economic development that could have broader geopolitical implications, although its direct impact on the conflict in Ukraine is not immediately clear. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting positive global financial market reactions to this truce highlights its broader economic significance.
The reported rocket threat in Poltava and Chernihiv Oblasts, although later lifted, indicates that areas beyond the immediate front lines remain vulnerable to Russian missile strikes, necessitating continued air defense preparedness across a wide area.Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warning of aviation weapons in the Synelnykove district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast further emphasizes the widespread threat.
The report of the detention of a teenager in Novokuznetsk allegedly planning a terrorist attack on a military commissariat, linked by Russian sources to Ukraine, is a strategic narrative promoted by Russia to portray Ukraine as supporting terrorism and to justify internal security measures.ASTRA's report linking the detained teenagers to the "Freedom of Russia Legion" adds another layer to the Russian narrative and could be used to discredit this group.ASTRA reporting on a controversy involving a porn actor's photo on a Victory Day mosaic, while seemingly trivial, could highlight issues with information control and the impact of the war narrative on public life.
The continued Russian drone and KAB attacks on frontline communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast highlight the ongoing threat to civilians and infrastructure in these areas and underscore the need for continued defensive measures.
The relaxation of the curfew in Zaporizhzhia Oblast suggests a perceived improvement in the security situation in certain areas, which could be strategically relevant for assessing the effectiveness of defensive operations in those specific areas.
Russian claims of using anti-drone systems like the "net launcher" indicate their strategic efforts to counter Ukraine's effective use of UAVs, an important aspect of the ongoing technological and tactical adaptation in the conflict.
The European Commission's investment in Ukraine's defense industry is a long-term strategic commitment to bolstering Ukraine's ability to sustain its defense efforts and potentially reduce reliance on external aid over time.ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's military-industrial complex, funded by income from frozen Russian assets, with a focus on drone and missile production, which highlights a concrete step in this strategic commitment and the source of funding.
The return of Ukrainian prisoners of war is a critical humanitarian and strategic process, with implications for morale, intelligence gathering, and potential future exchanges.The report from the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade highlighting the return of two soldiers on May 6th provides specific details and emphasizes the ongoing nature of these exchanges and the efforts to support returning personnel.Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими reporting on a meeting with families of servicemen of the 422nd Separate Rifle Battalion of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade, discussing the absence of released soldiers from the unit and the process of submitting requests for exchanges, highlights the ongoing challenges and importance of prisoner exchanges and the concerns of families.The discussion of interrogating released prisoners and the work of search groups for missing persons and body evacuation further underscores the intelligence gathering and humanitarian aspects of this issue.
The report on the rehabilitation of wounded Ukrainian soldiers in Dnipro highlights the strategic importance of medical support and reintegration efforts to maintain the strength and morale of the armed forces.
The meeting between the Ukrainian and Norwegian Chiefs of Defence underscores the continued high-level international military cooperation and the importance of sustained support and coordination for Ukraine's defense.
The incident in Mogilev, Belarus, regarding schoolgirls showing disrespect to Victory Day fireworks highlights the cultural and political significance of Victory Day in Russia and allied countries and the potential for internal social and political issues related to the conflict and its associated symbolism.Старше Эдды sharing a video and commentary comparing the handling of individuals showing disrespect on Victory Day in Russia and Belarus highlights different approaches to maintaining public order and enforcing patriotic narratives in the two countries.
The potential blocking of the "Yahodyn - Dorohusk" border crossing by Polish carriers for an extended period would have significant strategic implications for logistics and supply lines to Ukraine, potentially impacting the flow of military aid and other essential goods.Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting on the planned 4-month blockage confirms the potential severity of this disruption.Рыбарь discussing the potential blocking action by Polish carriers at the Yahodyn-Dorohusk border crossing further emphasizes the strategic importance of this logistical bottleneck.
The Russian State Duma planning legislation to exempt participants of the "special military operation" from land and transport taxes indicates a strategic effort to provide incentives and support for military personnel, potentially aimed at boosting morale and recruitment.
Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) claiming to have detected and engaged a Russian infantry group in the enemy rear highlights Ukraine's capability to conduct operations behind enemy lines, which is strategically valuable for intelligence gathering and disrupting enemy activities.БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video claiming Ukrainian SSOs conducted a raid and ambushed a Russian assault group in the enemy rear further corroborates these capabilities.
The continued Russian launches of KABs towards Donetsk Oblast indicate the sustained use of guided aerial bombs as a tactical tool in this area, requiring ongoing countermeasures from Ukrainian forces.
The discussion on tactical medicine in the Russian military, specifically regarding antibiotic usage, suggests a focus on improving medical support for combat personnel, which is strategically relevant for maintaining force effectiveness and minimizing casualties.
The Ukrainian video claiming to show a Russian vehicle being attacked by a Ukrainian FPV drone underscores the continued importance of drone warfare and the vulnerability of ground transport to such attacks.
Russian military bloggers discussing efforts to improve anti-drone warfare and the need for better equipment and coordination highlights the strategic importance of this aspect of the conflict and the ongoing technological competition.
The discussion by Alex Parker Returns regarding the potential gift of a Boeing 747-8 to Donald Trump from Qatar, in exchange for recognizing Palestine, introduces a geopolitical element that could have indirect strategic implications for US foreign policy and relationships in the Middle East, potentially influencing the broader international context of the Ukraine conflict.
The call by former "people's governor of Donbas" Pavel Gubarev for Russian military personnel to mutiny if the war is frozen is a significant internal development that could indicate fissures within the pro-war faction in Russia and poses a potential long-term internal security threat.STERNENKO commenting on this call highlights its significance from a Ukrainian perspective.
The report of a veteran in Cheboksary, Russia, facing difficulties finding employment after returning from the front highlights potential challenges with veteran reintegration and support in Russia, which could impact morale and recruitment efforts and potentially lead to social instability.ТАСС reports on the Minister of Agriculture in Yakutia apologizing for "unworthy gifts" to veterans further underscores issues with veteran support.
The reduction in limits for bank transfers in Ukraine from June 1, 2025, could have implications for financial transactions and potentially impact the informal economy or methods of transferring funds, which could be strategically relevant for both civilian and military activities.
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy's conversation with Pope Leo XIV is a diplomatic effort to leverage religious and humanitarian influence for peace and the return of deported children, highlighting a focus on non-military avenues for addressing aspects of the conflict.
The alleged activities of TCC (Territorial Recruitment Centers) in Ukraine, as described by a local resident, if indicative of widespread practices, could have implications for public perception of mobilization efforts and potentially impact social stability.
The reported destruction of a significant portion of Russian agricultural harvests due to frost could have strategic implications for food security and the Russian economy, potentially impacting domestic stability and resource allocation.
The appointment of Ihor Reva as Deputy Head of the Kyiv City Military Administration, with a background in project management and military experience, suggests a strategic focus on leveraging diverse skills for administrative efficiency and military support in the capital.КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) reporting on this appointment with details of his background and responsibilities highlights this strategic personnel decision.
Russian military blogger's pessimistic assessment of upcoming negotiations aligns with a viewpoint critical of the Russian government's approach and suggests skepticism about the likelihood of a favorable outcome for Russia through diplomatic means.
The capture of a Ukrainian soldier from the 157th Separate Mechanized Brigade, who claims mobilization from a bus and lack of rotation and supplies, provides potential intelligence on Ukrainian recruitment practices, troop morale, and logistical challenges.Два майора sharing a video of this captured Ukrainian soldier is likely part of a Russian information operation to highlight perceived weaknesses in the Ukrainian military.
ТАСС reports that Khinshtein considers the level of corruption in Kursk Oblast to have reached the highest official level, and that people with criminal pasts should not be in positions of authority, highlighting a domestic issue within Russia that could have implications for regional governance and potentially impact the effectiveness of war-related efforts.
ASTRA reports that "Match TV" has closed comments under a post congratulating Kabaeva, and suggests this is due to negative or inappropriate comments, which could indicate efforts to control the information space and prevent the expression of dissenting opinions or negative sentiment.
Colonelcassad reports that the Minister of Transport of Buryatia, Alexander Goge, has been detained on corruption charges, highlighting potential corruption within the Russian government which could impact efficiency and resources.
ТАСС reports that The Times, citing Putin's speech, claims he has effectively demanded Ukraine's capitulation, excluding an immediate ceasefire and repeating the demand to eliminate the root causes of the war, which The Times interprets as the overthrow of Zelenskyy's regime, Ukraine's refusal to join NATO, and territorial concessions, which highlights the significant gap between Russian and Ukrainian positions and the difficulty in achieving a negotiated settlement.
ТАСС reports that the European Commission has signed the first contracts for €1 billion in investments in Ukraine's military-industrial complex, funded by income from frozen Russian assets, with a focus on drone and missile production, which represents a concrete step in providing long-term military support to Ukraine and utilizing frozen Russian assets, which is a significant financial and political development.
Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.
