Sitrep 2025-05-11 22:17:35

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 11, 2025, 22:15 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat, persistent aerial and drone activity, and targeted strikes. Eastern and southern Ukraine continue to be primary areas of focus, alongside ongoing, high-intensity fighting in the border regions. Russian forces continue offensive efforts across multiple axes, met by fierce Ukrainian defensive actions. Recent reports detail updated casualty figures, continued Russian aerial and drone strikes (including KABs and FPV drones), Ukrainian deep strikes targeting Russian military and logistical assets, and international diplomatic activity. New information highlights continued civilian casualties and damage from Russian strikes, claims of Russian territorial gains, Ukrainian reports of repelling numerous assaults, ongoing Russian drone and air activity with specific weapon types mentioned, updated estimates of Russian losses, continued Ukrainian deep strikes, the significant impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian infrastructure and internal security concerns in Russia, information operations surrounding Victory Day and historical narratives, Russian internal security issues, Ukrainian discussions on military service for women, increased membership in a Russian youth military-patriotic movement, successful Ukrainian infrastructure restoration efforts, and a claimed Russian ceasefire that appears to be largely disregarded in areas of intense fighting. The escalation between India and Pakistan continues, with reports of exchanges of fire and aerial activity despite a claimed ceasefire. Ukraine has launched a "military marketplace" (Brave1 Market) for direct procurement of military technology by units, incentivized by "combat points" for destroyed enemy assets.

Significant updates from the latest messages include:

Intensified Fighting and Russian Advances near Kostiantynivka: An officer of the Armed Forces of Ukraine with the call sign "Alex" reports that the battle for Kostiantynivka has effectively begun. He states that Russian forces have shifted their focus from the Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk) and New York directions and are now actively engaged southwest of Kostiantynivka. He reports significant Russian advances in the area of Oleksandropil-Novoolexandrivka and breakthroughs from Romanivka towards Yablunivka over the past week. This assessment from a Ukrainian source underscores the seriousness of the situation around Kostiantynivka.
Ukrainian Drone Activity and Casualties: The Ukrainian unit "Flying Skull" claims to have destroyed a Russian soldier on the Pokrovsk direction using an FPV drone. A video is shared as evidence. This highlights the continued effectiveness of Ukrainian FPV drones in inflicting casualties on the battlefield. Russian military bloggers also report on the use of FPV drones by Russian forces, including a strike on Ukrainian personnel attempting to hide in a pipe. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone, demonstrating counter-drone tactics.
Ukrainian Confirmation of Russian Ceasefire Rejection: Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Ihor Brusylo, stated that Ukraine is awaiting a response from Russia regarding a 30-day ceasefire. He added that if Russia does not agree, leaders can convene via video conference to decide on next steps. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has also stated that Ukraine is ready for meetings and negotiations in any format if there is a 30-day ceasefire. This confirms Ukraine's position on the ceasefire proposal and their engagement in related diplomatic discussions.
Air Raid Alerts and Tactical Aviation Activity: An air raid alert was announced for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding the city of Zaporizhzhia), followed by a general all-clear for threats in the oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reported activity of enemy tactical aviation on the eastern direction. This indicates continued Russian aerial presence and the potential for strikes in eastern and southern Ukraine. Air raid alerts are announced for Kirovohrad and Kharkiv Oblasts due to the threat of attack drones.
Russian Defense Minister Meets with Niger's Defence Minister and Mali's Defence Minister: The Russian Ministry of Defence reports a meeting between Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov and the Defence Minister of Niger, Corps General Salifou Modi. The discussion focused on expanding military cooperation and viewed the Alliance of Sahel States as a manifestation of these countries' determination for an independent foreign policy. The Russian Ministry of Defence also reports a meeting between Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov and the Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs of Mali, Corps General Sadio Camara, also focusing on cooperation and expressing support for Russia's "special military operation." This highlights Russia's diplomatic and military engagement in Africa.
Internal Ukrainian Military Personnel Changes: Anatoliy Loyf, the head of the Main Directorate of Counterintelligence Support for Critical Infrastructure and Countering Terrorism Financing of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), has been dismissed by SBU Head Vasyl Malyuk. This comes after a journalist reported seeing Loyf at a birthday celebration with an individual allegedly involved in the security of the owner of a sanctioned betting company. This indicates internal personnel changes and potential investigations within the SBU.
Russian Information Operation - Victory Day and Propaganda: A Russian military blogger shares a photo of a non-detonated Ukrainian shell casing with the inscription "Death to Katsaps" found by a Russian soldier. This is likely used for propaganda purposes. Another Russian military blogger shares a video celebrating Victory Day in Caracas, Venezuela, highlighting the presence of the Victory Banner and Russian flag, emphasizing "brotherly ties" and a shared view on sovereignty and peace. Another shares a photo of a photo of Zelenskyy's grandfather with a message calling Zelenskyy a "traitor" attached to a Soviet Army monument in Berlin. These examples demonstrate continued Russian information operations leveraging Victory Day narratives and attempting to create divisions. ASTRA reports on the detention of teenagers and potential punishment for their parents in Belarus for showing a middle finger to a Victory Day salute, highlighting control over dissent. TASS reports that Maria Zakharova stated that while the West seeks to rewrite history, Russia and China remember the heroes of WWII, promoting a shared historical narrative.
Ukrainian Drone Strike in Vovchansk: DeepState shares a video claiming the "liquidation" of a Russian soldier in Vovchansk by a Ukrainian drone unit. This indicates continued fighting and Ukrainian drone activity in the Kharkiv direction.
Discussion on Ceasefire Monitoring: French President Emmanuel Macron stated that the monitoring of a potential ceasefire would be primarily led by the United States, with participation from all Europeans. This clarifies the proposed international involvement in ceasefire monitoring.
Russian Lack of Contact with French President: Peskov, spokesperson for the Russian President, stated that Russia is currently not in contact with the French President. Peskov also commented on "confrontational" statements from Western leaders regarding the ceasefire proposal. This indicates a lack of direct high-level communication between the two countries and Russia's perception of Western rhetoric.
Russian Shelling and Drone Attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: The Head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports Russian attacks on Nikopol district using FPV drones and artillery, and on Mezheva community in Synelnykove district. A 62-year-old woman was injured in Nikopol district, and residential buildings, power lines, and a gas pipeline were damaged. A business was damaged in Mezheva community, but no casualties were reported there. This highlights continued Russian targeting of civilian areas and infrastructure in southern and southeastern Ukraine.
Fire at Russian Airfield: A Ukrainian source shares a video showing a fire at the Kadala airfield near Chita, Russia. The video is reportedly filmed by Russian pilots. This indicates a potential incident or attack affecting Russian aviation infrastructure far from the front lines.
Russian Claims of Territorial Gains: Russian sources claim advances on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction near Vesele, Volne Pole, Novopil, Shevchenko, Bogatyr, and Udachne. A Russian military blogger shares data claiming significant territorial gains since October 2023, particularly in the Avdeevka-Krasnoarmeysk and Velikaya Novosilka areas.
Continued India-Pakistan Conflict: Continued escalation with reported strikes and explosions. India and Pakistan report exchanges involving ballistic and cruise missiles, with India claiming a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases. Pakistan claims an Indian UAV was intercepted and destroyed over Rawalpindi. Air defense systems are reportedly active over Islamabad. Four explosions were reported in Amritsar, with Pakistan claiming five ballistic missiles hit the city. Pakistan claimed one ballistic missile hit Adampur. Pakistan claimed air defense intercepted Indian cruise missiles targeting Rafiki and Shorkot airbases. Pakistan claimed India launched "air-to-ground" missiles at Murid and Shorkot airbases. Explosions are reported in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir, despite a claimed ceasefire, with a local official expressing concern about the situation. Videos are published online showing shooting and air defense activity in the border region. India reportedly accuses Pakistan of violating the ceasefire. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan, with visual confirmation of an unexploded warhead, and Pakistan claims to have intercepted several such missiles. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th.
Russian Military Blogger Fundraising: Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment, including drones.
Discussion on Conflict Resolution: A Slovak Member of the European Parliament stated that the EU will soon have to realize that the conflict in Ukraine cannot be resolved on the battlefield and that negotiations with Russia are necessary.
Russian Military Literature/Propaganda: A Russian military blogger shares a video of a poem about a veteran, described as a "very touching work."
Russian Discussion on Naval Security: A Russian military blogger analyzes the increased pressure from Western countries (specifically the UK) on Russia's "shadow fleet" of oil tankers and discusses the need for increased naval presence and unconventional tactics to protect Russian shipping.
Ukrainian Military Marketplace Launched: Ukraine has launched "Brave1 Market," allowing military units direct procurement of equipment like FPV drones and electronic warfare modules using "combat points" earned for destroying enemy assets.
New Russian Drone Groups from Kursk Entering Sumy Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering the airspace of Sumy Oblast from the Kursk region.
Russian Reconnaissance UAVs in Northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts: The Ukrainian Air Force reports the presence of enemy reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts, with means engaged for their destruction.
Imminent Threat of Enemy UAVs Towards Brovary/Kyiv: The Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning regarding enemy UAVs moving towards Brovary and Kyiv from the east and northeast.
Threat of Enemy Attack Drones in Donetsk Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Donetsk Oblast.
Continued Focus on Perm Crime Incident: Alex Parker Returns shares a video and a post attributed to "Rebe Pozdman" regarding a domestic crime incident in Perm, indicating continued attention to this issue.
Updated Russian Drone Movement Information: The Ukrainian Air Force provides further detailed updates on the movement of enemy attack drones, specifying their location and direction in Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, and indicating their movement into the central part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok offers even more granular, real-time tracking of multiple drone groups across various regions, including their approach to Kyiv and Brovary.
New Russian Drone Groups from Luhansk Entering Eastern Kharkiv Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering the airspace on the east of Kharkiv Oblast from occupied Luhansk Oblast.
Threat of Enemy Attack Drones in Kirovohrad and Kharkiv Oblasts: The Ukrainian Air Force announces a threat of enemy attack drones for Kirovohrad and Kharkiv Oblasts.
Threat of Enemy Attack Drones in Kherson Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force announces a threat of enemy attack drones from occupied territory in Kherson Oblast, specifically noting movement towards southwestern Dnipropetrovsk and eastern Mykolaiv Oblasts, and towards Kherson from the east.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Donetsk Oblast (Kostiantynivka, Oleksandropil, Novoolexandrivka, Romanivka, Yablunivka, Toretsk (Dzerzhinsk), New York, Elizavetovka, Pokrovsk direction, Makeyevka, Huevo, Alexandropol, Hrodivka, Myroliubivka, Dachenske, Zvirove, Kotlyne, Udachne, Kotlyarivka, Preobrazhenka, Andriivka, Rozlyv, Novosilka, Novopil, Pryvilne, Burlatske, Stepove, Shcherbaky, Bilohorivka, Fedorivka, Chasiv Yar, Kurdiumivka, Krymske, Vesele, Volne Pole, Shevchenko, Bogatyr, Malinovka, Gulyaipole, Mirnoye): The battle for Kostiantynivka has reportedly begun with significant Russian advances southwest of the city, including breakthroughs towards Yablunivka. Intense ground combat continues across numerous sectors. Russian forces are reported to have advanced near Oleksandropil-Novoolexandrivka and from Romanivka towards Yablunivka. Ukrainian forces are reportedly engaging Russian forces on the Pokrovsk direction with drones. Intense fighting is reported near Chasiv Yar. Russian sources claim destruction of Ukrainian personnel near Elizavetovka. Continued fighting is reported near Dzerzhinsk. Intense ground combat continues across numerous sectors. Russian sources claim a targeted drone strike on the Ukrainian 63rd Mechanized Brigade in Torskoye (reported previously). Russian sources claim to have repelled a Ukrainian attack near Chasiv Yar (reported previously). Fighting is reported near Dzerzhinsk (reported previously). Ukrainian sources report the posthumous award of Hero of Ukraine to a soldier who died leading an assault near Makiivka (reported previously). DeepState shares a video claiming Ukrainian forces are destroying enemy personnel in Huevo (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported 117 combat engagements in total across all directions as of 16:00, including 41 Russian attempts to advance on the Pokrovsk direction (32 repelled, 9 ongoing), 19 attacks on the Novopavlivka direction (3 ongoing), 17 attacks on the Lyman direction (2 ongoing), 5 attacks on the Toretsk direction, 4 attacks on the Kramatorsk direction, 3 attacks on the Orikhiv direction, 3 attacks on the Kupiansk direction (1 ongoing), and 2 attacks on the Siversk direction. Russian sources claim advances on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction near Vesele, Volne Pole, and Novopil. Russian sources also claim advances near Shevchenko, Bogatyr, and Udachne on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction. Russian military blogger claims significant territorial gains in Avdeevka-Krasnoarmeysk and Velikaya Novosilka areas since October 2023. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Deep State, that Russian forces have advanced near Alexandropol and Rozliv. Colonelcassad reports Russian advances in Bogatyr towards Andreevka and claims some Ukrainian acknowledgement of Russian successes near Volnoe Pole. Colonelcassad claims Russian forces have advanced near Romanovka on the Konstantinovka direction. Colonelcassad's fundraising effort targets units on the Toretsk direction (near Dzerzhinsk). Воин DV reports Russian strikes on Ukrainian points of temporary deployment in the areas of Alekseevka and Bogatyr, and claimed destruction of Ukrainian UAV command points in various areas including Malinovka, Gulyaipole, and Mirnoye. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones for Donetsk Oblast.
Kursk Oblast (Russia) / Sumy Oblast (Ukraine Border) (including Sudzha checkpoint, Glushkovo, Tyotkino, Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, Petrushivka, Bunyakino, Sukhodol, Novovasilievka, Bachevsk, Dvuluchnoye in Valuyki district): Colonelcassad claims Russian reconnaissance units operating near the Sudzha checkpoint found the remains of a Ukrainian serviceman and collected Western trophies. This indicates ongoing Ukrainian military activity and presence in this border region. Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted a missile strike on an Internal Affairs building in Glushkovo (reported previously). Russian sources report continued Ukrainian attempts to cross the border near Tyotkino despite the claimed ceasefire (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff reports border settlements in Sumy Oblast, which border Kursk, are suffering from cynical shelling from Russian territory, including Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, and Petrushivka (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff also reports repelling 7 Russian attacks on the Kursk direction (reported previously). Russian tactical aviation is reported to have launched guided aerial bombs towards the region, including areas of Nova Sloboda, Brusky, and Boyaro-Lezhachi (reported previously). The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast (reported previously). RBC-Ukraine previously reported three civilian deaths and seven injured in Sumy Oblast due to Russian shelling (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared video claiming destruction of Ukrainian forces and assets in settlements in Sumy Oblast (Bunyakino, Sukhodol, Novovasilievka, Bachevsk). Rocket danger was announced and subsequently cleared for Sumy Oblast (reported previously). Sumi Oblast was affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, but without casualties according to the Sumi Oblast Military Administration. Colonelcassad reports ongoing but unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through into Kursk Oblast near Tetkino in small, unarmored groups. ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region where a Pole Dance studio was reported. Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy region. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Dvuluchnoye, Valuyki district of Belgorod Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering the airspace of Sumy Oblast from the Kursk region. The Ukrainian Air Force provides updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs on the west and in the central part of Sumy Oblast, moving southwest. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports several drone groups west of Konotop, moving south, and new groups northern of Konotop moving west.
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol district, Marhanetska community, Myrivska community, Mezheva community, Synelnykove district, Kamenskoye): Russian forces attacked Nikopol district with FPV drones and artillery, causing civilian injury and damage to homes, power lines, and a gas pipeline. Russian forces also attacked Mezheva community in Synelnykove district, damaging a business. Threat of Russian aviation strike weapons reported by the Ukrainian Air Force for Synelnykove district (reported previously). This suggests potential targeting of this area by Russian tactical aviation. Significant infrastructure restoration projects are underway in Kryvyi Rih (reported previously). Fast-moving targets from southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast are detected heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). Missile danger was announced and subsequently cleared for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). The Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy strike UAVs in the central part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, moving northwest. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports two drone groups flying from Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Kamenskoye and one drone group west of Kamenskoye, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones from occupied territory in Kherson Oblast, specifically noting movement towards southwestern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
Kharkiv Oblast (Vovchansk, Velykyi Burluk, Synelnykove, Zapsillya, Kupiansk): Ukrainian drone unit claims to have liquidated a Russian soldier in Vovchansk. The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported repelling two Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction, with one engagement ongoing (reported previously). Russian sources previously claimed a strike on a Russian UAV command point near Synelnykove and the destruction of an IMR-1 and a T-72 tank near Zapsillya (reported previously). A Ukrainian source previously reported a Russian FPV drone attack on a communal service vehicle in Kupiansk, injuring a worker (reported previously). Ukrainian forces reportedly repelled a Russian assault on the Kharkiv direction (reported previously). АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful use of FPV drones on the Kharkiv direction. Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Kharkiv region. Воин DV reports Russian strikes on Ukrainian points of temporary deployment and UAV command points in areas of responsibility of units from Primorye, Transbaikal, Amur, and Buryatia, which could include the Kharkiv direction. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Kharkiv Oblast, with means engaged for their destruction. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering the airspace on the east of Kharkiv Oblast from occupied Luhansk Oblast, moving west. The Ukrainian Air Force announces a threat of enemy attack drones for Kharkiv Oblast.
Sumy Oblast (Nova Sloboda, Brusky, Boyaro-Lezhachi, Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, Petrushivka, Bunyakino, Sukhodol, Novovasilievka, Bachevsk, Konotop): Russian tactical aviation is reported to have launched guided aerial bombs towards the region, including areas of Nova Sloboda, Brusky, and Boyaro-Lezhachi (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff reports border settlements are suffering from cynical shelling from Russian territory, including Starikove, Maryine, Myropilske, Novodmytrivka, and Petrushivka (reported previously). The Ukrainian Air Force reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast (reported previously). RBC-Ukraine previously reported three civilian deaths and seven injured in Sumy Oblast due to Russian shelling (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared video claiming destruction of Ukrainian forces and assets in settlements in Sumy Oblast (Bunyakino, Sukhodol, Novovasilievka, Bachevsk). Rocket danger was announced and subsequently cleared for Sumy Oblast (reported previously). Sumi Oblast was affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, but without casualties according to the Sumi Oblast Military Administration. Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs on Sumy region. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering the airspace of Sumy Oblast from the Kursk region. The Ukrainian Air Force provides updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs on the west and in the central part of Sumy Oblast, moving southwest. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports several drone groups west of Konotop, moving south, and new groups northern of Konotop moving west.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (including Prymorsk, Malinovka, Gulyaipole, Mirnoye, Kamenskoye, Novonikolaevka): Air raid alert announced for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast (excluding the city of Zaporizhzhia), subsequently cleared. The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported repelling three Russian assaults on the Orikhiv direction (near Stepove and Shcherbaky) and no active Russian offensive actions on the Huliaipole direction. Russian sources previously reported hitting Ukrainian formations on the Dnipro grouping of forces direction near Novodanylivka, Pavlivka, and Kamianske. Missile danger was announced for Zaporizhzhia Oblast and subsequently cleared (reported previously). Prymorsk (occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast) was a launch direction for Russian drones overnight. Colonelcassad claims some Ukrainian soldiers have surrendered on the Zaporizhzhia direction. Воин DV reports Russian strikes on Ukrainian UAV command points and personnel in the areas of Malinovka, Gulyaipole, and Mirnoye. The Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy strike UAVs on the east of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, moving northwest/west. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports two drone groups flying from Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Kamenskoye and two groups circling near Novonikolaevka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Chernihiv Oblast (Klyusy, Gorsk, Nizhyn): Colonelcassad previously shared video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian forces and assets in settlements in Chernihiv Oblast (Klyusy, Gorsk), specifically targeting UAV control points. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv Oblast, with means engaged for their destruction. The Ukrainian Air Force provides updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs on the east and south of Chernihiv Oblast, course - western/southern/southwestern. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports two drone groups in northern Chernihiv Oblast and two drone groups over Nizhyn.
India-Pakistan Border Regions (Rawalpindi, Islamabad, Amritsar, Adampur, Rafiki Airbase, Murid Airbase, Shorkot Airbase, Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir): Continued escalation with reported strikes and explosions. India and Pakistan report exchanges involving ballistic and cruise missiles, with India claiming a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases (reported previously). Pakistan claims an Indian UAV was intercepted and destroyed over Rawalpindi (reported previously). Air defense systems are reportedly active over Islamabad (reported previously). Four explosions were reported in Amritsar, with Pakistan claiming five ballistic missiles hit the city (reported previously). Pakistan claimed one ballistic missile hit Adampur (reported previously). Pakistan claimed air defense intercepted Indian cruise missiles targeting Rafiki and Shorkot airbases (reported previously). Pakistan claimed India launched "air-to-ground" missiles at Murid and Shorkot airbases (reported previously). Explosions are reported in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir, despite a claimed ceasefire, with a local official expressing concern about the situation. Videos are published online showing shooting and air defense activity in the border region. India reportedly accuses Pakistan of violating the ceasefire. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan, with visual confirmation of an unexploded warhead, and Pakistan claims to have intercepted several such missiles. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th.
Russia (Kadala airfield near Chita, Tatarstan - Naberezhnye Chelny, Kaluga Oblast - Shaikovka, Kapustin Yar Test Site, Perm, Kislovodsk in Stavropol Krai, Podmoskovye in Moscow Oblast, Krasnoyaruzhsky district and Dvuluchnoye in Valuyki district in Belgorod Oblast): Fire reported at the Kadala airfield near Chita. Reported damage at the Shaikovka strategic aviation airfield from repeated Ukrainian UAV strikes (reported previously). Potential fire at the KamAZ plant in Tatarstan (reported previously). Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site from May 12th-13th, suggesting planned missile testing or activity, potentially involving "Oreshnik" type missiles and likely ballistic missile tests (reported previously). Alex Parker Returns shares a video and a post attributed to "Rebe Pozdman" regarding a domestic crime incident in Perm. STERNENKO shares a video claiming partisan activity (burning of the letter "V" on a city sign) in Kislovodsk. Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" shares information and imagery regarding a fatal incident in Podmoskovye (Moscow Oblast) involving a combat grenade explosion during a family gathering, resulting in multiple deaths, and notes that one of the deceased was a participant in the "SVO." Два майора shares a video showcasing the use of a TM-62 anti-tank mine by a Russian UAV operator against enemy positions in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district of Belgorod Oblast, highlighting tactical drone use for weapon delivery. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Dvuluchnoye, Valuyki district of Belgorod Oblast. ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region where a Pole Dance studio was reported. ASTRA reports on a veteran receiving an expired food gift in Yakutsk. Новости Москвы reports on scammers impersonating former employers. Colonelcassad shares a video of Russian military police (VP) detaining people.
Priazov direction: The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported no active Russian offensive actions on the Priazov direction.
Dnipro grouping of forces direction: Russian sources previously reported hitting Ukrainian formations on this direction near Novodanylivka, Pavlivka, and Kamianske.
South Donetsk direction: Russian sources claim changes in the situation on the South Donetsk direction with advances near Vesele, Volne Pole, and Novopil. Russian sources also claim advances near Shevchenko, Bogatyr, and Udachne on the South Donetsk direction. Russian military blogger claims significant territorial gains in the Velikaya Novosilka area since October 2023.
Zhytomyr Oblast: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims "Geran" drones struck enemy objects in Zhytomyr, including the "Ozerne" airfield, citing local residents.
Kirovohrad Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force announces a threat of enemy attack drones for Kirovohrad Oblast.
Mykolaiv Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones from occupied territory in Kherson Oblast, specifically noting movement towards eastern Mykolaiv Oblast.
Cherkasy Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України provides updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs on the north of Cherkasy Oblast, moving west. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports seven drone groups flying in the area of Pryluky towards Cherkasy Oblast, and four drone groups on the north of Cherkasy Oblast moving west.
Kyiv Oblast (Brovary): The Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning regarding enemy UAVs moving towards Brovary and Kyiv from the east and northeast. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok reports three drone groups approaching Brovary and Kyiv, six drone groups on the east of Kyiv Oblast, and one drone group on the north of Kyiv Oblast, moving west. Повітряні Сили ЗС України provides updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs on the west of Kyiv Oblast, moving west.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Extensive drone activity continues on both sides. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ report that Russia launched 108 strike UAVs (Shaheds and imitators) overnight, with 60 confirmed shot down and 41 imitators lost. Воин DV reports Russian units used strike UAVs in operations overnight, claiming the destruction of Ukrainian UAV command points, various types of drones ("Baba Yaga," Lancet-type, quadcopters), vehicles, and personnel across different areas. Два майора shares a video showing tactical drone use for weapon delivery (TM-62 mine) in Belgorod Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims "Geran" drones struck military objects in Zhytomyr, including an airfield. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming successful use of FPV drones on the Kharkiv direction. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Belgorod Oblast. Ukraine's launch of the "Brave1 Market" includes FPV drones and electronic warfare modules as available items, highlighting their continued importance. The Ukrainian Air Force provides further detailed updates on the movement of enemy attack drones across multiple oblasts, including new groups entering Sumy from Kursk and eastern Kharkiv from Luhansk. Nikolaevskiy Vanyok offers even more granular, real-time tracking of multiple drone groups. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning regarding enemy UAVs moving towards Brovary and Kyiv. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Donetsk, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Kherson Oblasts. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone. Videos are published online showing air defense activity in the India-Pakistan border region, potentially involving counter-drone efforts. Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for drones.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Russian tactical aviation is reported to have launched guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast, including the areas of Nova Sloboda, Brusky, and Boyaro-Lezhachi (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported 7 aviation strikes and the dropping of 10 guided aerial bombs across various directions today. The Ukrainian Air Force previously reported repeated launches of guided aerial bombs towards Sumy Oblast. KAB launches were previously detected towards Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy and Kharkiv regions from the east.
Missile Activity: Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted a missile strike on a Russian Internal Affairs building in Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast (reported previously). Missile danger was announced for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, subsequently cleared. Fast-moving targets are detected moving from southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). Missile danger was announced and subsequently cleared for Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site from May 12th-13th, suggesting planned missile activity, potentially involving "Oreshnik" type missiles and likely ballistic missile tests (reported previously). Reuters sources previously reported Iran is preparing to supply Fath-360 missile launch systems to Russia. Rocket danger was announced and subsequently cleared for Sumy Oblast (reported previously). India and Pakistan report exchanges involving ballistic and cruise missiles, with India claiming a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases (reported previously). Explosions are reported in Srinagar, India-Pakistan border region, despite a claimed ceasefire, potentially indicating missile or artillery strikes. Shooting is reported in the India-Pakistan border region. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan, with visual confirmation of an unexploded warhead, and Pakistan claims to have intercepted several such missiles.
Aviation: Activity of enemy tactical aviation is reported on the eastern direction. Russian tactical aviation is reported to be active, launching guided aerial bombs (reported previously). Russian sources previously discussed the use of helicopters in counter-drone operations. Russian sources also previously mentioned NATO aircraft activity near the Black Sea coast. Possible Indian air strike on a Pakistani Air Force Base in Rawalpindi (reported previously). Pakistan previously claimed India launched "air-to-ground" missiles at multiple airbases. India previously claimed a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases. Russian military blogger shares video showing Russian military aircraft, indicating ongoing Russian aviation operations (reported previously). Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a threat of Russian aviation strike weapons being used in the Synelnykove district of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (reported previously). Повітряні Силі ЗС України reports repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy and Kharkiv regions from the east. Videos are published online showing air defense activity in the India-Pakistan border region, potentially involving counter-aviation efforts. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th.
Naval Activity: A Russian military blogger analyzes the increased pressure on Russia's "shadow fleet" and discusses the need for increased naval presence to protect shipping. No new significant naval engagements reported beyond this analysis. A Ukrainian source previously shared a video claiming successful work by Ukrainian Black Sea Lions 37th Separate Marine Battalion drone pilots, suggesting continued maritime drone operations.
Air Defense Activity: Air raid alert announced and subsequently cleared for communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air defense systems are actively working over Islamabad, Pakistan (reported previously). Pakistan previously claimed interception and destruction of an Indian UAV over Rawalpindi and interception of Indian cruise missiles near Shorkot. Повітряні Силі ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and Генеральний штаб ЗСУ report the successful downing of 60 out of 108 Russian strike UAVs launched overnight. Videos are published online showing air defense activity in the India-Pakistan border region. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone, demonstrating air defense tactics.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Ceasefire Discussions: Ukraine is awaiting a response from Russia regarding a 30-day ceasefire. French President Emmanuel Macron stated that the monitoring of a potential ceasefire would be primarily led by the United States, with participation from all Europeans. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is ready for meetings and negotiations in any format in case of a 30-day ceasefire. Turkey has expressed readiness to undertake a monitoring mission for a potential ceasefire in Ukraine (reported previously). Discussions regarding a 30-day ceasefire proposal are ongoing, with a Ukrainian source previously reporting on the differing perspectives of the West, Ukraine, and Russia on the matter. Peskov previously reiterated that discussion of a 30-day ceasefire is impossible without considering "nuances." President Zelenskyy has publicly stated that if Russia confirms a full, lasting, and reliable ceasefire starting May 12th, Ukraine is ready to meet for negotiations. ТАСС reports that Russian Senator Pushkov noted Trump's positive evaluation of Russia's initiative for direct talks with Kyiv, contrasting it with Macron's stance. ТАСС reports that Ushakov stated negotiations with Ukraine in Istanbul should consider the real situation and the developments of the 2022 negotiations, outlining Russia's conditions. DeepState data indicates an increase in Russian assault actions during the claimed ceasefire period (May 8-10) compared to the previous month, suggesting the ceasefire was largely disregarded in areas of intense fighting.
Russia-Ukraine Relations: Peskov states there has been no reaction from Kyiv to Putin's offer of negotiations without preconditions. Peskov states that Russia is currently not in contact with the French President. Peskov commented on "confrontational" statements from Western leaders regarding the ceasefire proposal. President Zelenskyy's statement on readiness for negotiations if a ceasefire is confirmed is directed at the international community and Russia. ТАСС reports that Ushakov stated negotiations with Ukraine in Istanbul should consider the real situation and the developments of the 2022 negotiations, outlining Russia's conditions.
Russian-Chinese Relations: High-level meeting between Putin and Xi Jinping in Moscow focusing on deepening comprehensive partnership, strategic interaction, increasing trade in national currencies, a joint statement on global strategic stability, and historical narratives around WWII (reported previously). They previously expressed support for peace efforts but stressed addressing "root causes." TASS reports that Maria Zakharova stated that while the West seeks to rewrite history, Russia and China remember the heroes of WWII, promoting a shared historical narrative. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th, indicating Chinese engagement with information related to the India-Pakistan conflict.
Turkish Diplomacy: Turkish President Erdogan is reportedly receptive to mediating peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, as suggested by former US President Trump (reported previously). Turkey has expressed readiness to undertake a monitoring mission for a potential ceasefire in Ukraine (reported previously).
Ukraine-US Relations: Ukrainian Parliament previously ratified the "minerals agreement" with the US, with plans to establish an investment fund. Contacts between Russia and the US on Ukraine and other issues are reported to occur frequently (reported previously). Ukrainian President Zelenskyy previously thanked former US President Trump for not stopping US aid, intelligence sharing, and sanctions against Russia, and expressed hope for strengthened sanctions. Donald Trump previously commented on the potential for a fair trade deal with China. ТАСС reports that Russian Senator Pushkov noted Trump's positive evaluation of Russia's initiative for direct talks with Kyiv. ТАСС reports on Iran's Foreign Minister traveling to Muscat for indirect talks with the US on the nuclear dossier.
Internal Ukrainian Politics: Anatoliy Loyf, head of a key SBU directorate, has been dismissed by SBU Head Vasyl Malyuk. Recognition of military personnel with the title "Hero of Ukraine," including the Head of the SBU and fallen soldiers (reported previously). Reports of a shooting incident with multiple fatalities in Sofiivska Borshchahivka (reported previously). Bail was previously posted for Roman Nasirov, former head of the State Fiscal Service. Vice-Prime Minister Stefanishyna previously discussed Ukraine's potential timeline for EU accession. Ukrainian source previously raised concerns about Hungarian intelligence activities focused on Ukraine. Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming to show forced mobilization in Kharkiv, an information operation focused on internal Ukrainian issues. Ukraine's launch of the "Brave1 Market" initiative demonstrates a focus on internal military modernization and efficiency, supported by the Ministry of Digital Transformation. Messages commemorating Mother's Day from Ukrainian military and government sources aim to maintain morale and national unity.
Internal Russian Politics: Peskov states there has been no reaction from Kyiv to Putin's offer of negotiations without preconditions. Peskov states that Russia is currently not in contact with the French President. Peskov commented on "confrontational" statements from Western leaders regarding the ceasefire proposal. Peskov previously commented on the discussion of a 30-day ceasefire. The Russian Ministry of Defense previously released daily figures on claimed Ukrainian losses. Celebratory events for Victory Day are widely reported across Russia (reported previously). Russian Ministry of Defense previously stated Russian forces are strictly observing a ceasefire since May 8th based on humanitarian considerations. Kadyrov_95 previously shared video of a religious gathering commemorating his father. TASS previously reported American director Oliver Stone attended a Victory Day reception in the Kremlin. TASS previously reported that Putin spent over 14 hours on May 9th in discussions with high-ranking foreign guests. TASS previously reported that Putin concluded a series of bilateral international meetings by receiving the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, in the Kremlin. TASS previously reported that the Russian Ambassador to the US, Alexander Darchiev, stated at a Victory Day reception that current and future generations should not allow Nazism to rise again, claiming it has already taken root in some countries. Details of the Putin-Fico meeting were previously reported. Colonelcassad previously shared a video about alleged Nazi atrocities in Makeyevka during WWII, reflecting a specific information operation focus. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel and equipment around Victory Day, reinforcing the narrative of ongoing operations. ASTRA previously reported the detention of a woman in Yekaterinburg for wearing a jacket with perceived Ukrainian symbols. A Victory Day auto rally was previously held in Dokuchaevsk. ASTRA reports on the detention of teenagers and potential punishment for their parents in Belarus for showing a middle finger to a Victory Day salute, highlighting control over dissent. A Slovak Member of the European Parliament stated that the EU will soon have to realize that the conflict in Ukraine cannot be resolved on the battlefield and that negotiations with Russia are necessary. ТАСС reports on Dmitry Vodolatsky's statement claiming Ukrainian force depletion, reflecting official messaging. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on speculation about a potential change in British intelligence leadership, reflecting attention to Western political developments. ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region related to Victory Day commemorations and internal security measures. Новости Москвы reports on scammers impersonating former employers, highlighting internal security and criminal activity. ASTRA reports on a veteran receiving an expired food gift in Yakutsk, highlighting potential administrative issues. Colonelcassad shares a video of Russian military police detaining people, suggesting ongoing efforts to maintain internal order. Alex Parker Returns shares a video and a post attributed to "Rebe Pozdman" regarding a domestic crime incident in Perm, indicating continued attention to this issue.
Iran-Russia Relations: Reuters sources previously reported Iran is preparing to supply launch systems for Fath-360 short-range ballistic missiles to Russia in the near future.
Russia-Uzbekistan Relations: TASS previously reported that Putin concluded a series of bilateral international meetings by receiving the President of Uzbekistan, Shavkat Mirziyoyev, in the Kremlin.
US-China Relations: The US and China are holding talks in Geneva regarding de-escalation of the trade war. Donald Trump previously commented on potential for a fair trade deal. TASS reports that Maria Zakharova stated that while the West seeks to rewrite history, Russia and China remember the heroes of WWII, promoting a shared historical narrative.
India-Pakistan Conflict: Continued escalation reported with alleged strikes on military bases and explosions in cities. Conflicting claims regarding types of missiles used and success of strikes. India previously claimed a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases. Explosions reported in Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir, despite a claimed ceasefire. Shooting and air defense activity reported in the border region. India reportedly accuses Pakistan of ceasefire violations. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th.
European Leaders Visit to Kyiv: TASS previously reported German Chancellor Merz, French President Macron, and UK Prime Minister Starmer have traveled to Kyiv. РБК-Україна previously confirmed and expanded this, reporting French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk are in Kyiv.
Russia-US Relations: Russian Ambassador to US previously stated reality requires restoration of normal relations and shared responsibility for global stability and security. ТАСС reports on Iran's Foreign Minister traveling to Muscat for indirect talks with the US on the nuclear dossier.
Poland-Ukraine Relations: Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk is in Kyiv as part of a high-level European delegation (reported previously).
Russia-Slovakia Relations: Details of the Putin-Fico meeting were previously reported, highlighting Fico's stance on sanctions and his promise to veto an EU ban on Russian energy imports. A Slovak Member of the European Parliament expressed the view that the conflict cannot be resolved militarily and requires negotiations with Russia.
Russia-Niger Relations: Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov held bilateral talks with the Defence Minister of Niger, Corps General Salifou Modi, focusing on expanding military cooperation.
Venezuela-Russia Relations: A Russian military blogger shares a video celebrating Victory Day in Caracas, highlighting perceived "brotherly ties."
Russia-Mali Relations: Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov held bilateral talks with the Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs of Mali, Corps General Sadio Camara, focusing on cooperation and expressing support for Russia's "special military operation."

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security and Attacks: Fire reported at the Kadala airfield near Chita. Reported Ukrainian missile strike on an Internal Affairs building in Glushkovo, Kursk Oblast (reported previously). Reported damage at the Shaikovka strategic aviation airfield from repeated Ukrainian UAV strikes (reported previously). Potential fire at the KamAZ plant in Tatarstan (reported previously). The Ukrainian General Staff previously reported border settlements in Sumy Oblast are suffering from cynical shelling from Russian territory. Firework display in Reni, Odesa Oblast attributed to "partisans" by Russian sources (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control points in Chernihiv Oblast. Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site from May 12th-13th (reported previously). ASTRA previously reported the detention of a woman in Yekaterinburg for wearing a jacket with perceived Ukrainian symbols. ASTRA reports on the detention of teenagers and potential punishment for their parents in Belarus for showing a middle finger to a Victory Day salute, highlighting control over dissent. A tragic incident involving a combat grenade explosion during a family gathering in Podmoskovye (Moscow Oblast), with a participant of the "SVO" among the deceased, highlights concerns about the circulation of military-grade explosives and potential issues with individuals returning from the conflict. STERNENKO shares a video claiming partisan activity (burning of a symbol) in Kislovodsk (Stavropol Krai). Новости Москвы reports on scammers impersonating former employers to access "Gosuslugi" accounts, highlighting ongoing internal security and criminal activity. Colonelcassad shares a video of Russian military police detaining people, suggesting ongoing efforts to maintain internal order. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Belgorod Oblast. Alex Parker Returns shares a video and a post attributed to "Rebe Pozdman" regarding a domestic crime incident in Perm, indicating continued attention to this issue.
Military Performance and Capabilities: An officer of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports significant Russian advances southwest of Kostiantynivka and towards Yablunivka. Russian military blogger claims VDV fighters are engaging and destroying Ukrainian infantry and equipment near Tyotkino (reported previously). Russian military bloggers are fundraising for equipment for fighters on the Kursk front due to "enemy activation" (reported previously). Archived footage previously claiming "jewelry precision" destruction of Ukrainian positions in Kharkiv Oblast by Russian UAVs is shared. The Russian Ministry of Defense previously released daily figures on claimed Ukrainian losses. Russian Ministry of Defense previously stated Russian forces are strictly observing a ceasefire since May 8th based on humanitarian considerations, a claim contradicted by reports of fighting. Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site from May 12th-13th, suggesting planned missile testing or activity, including likely ballistic missile tests (reported previously). Potential future acquisition of Fath-360 missile launch systems from Iran (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming volunteers of the BARS-3 battalion on the Orikhiv direction restored a monument directly on the front line during shelling. Promoting historical narratives of alleged atrocities to reinforce political messaging (reported previously). Engaged in military exchanges with India as reported by Pakistan (reported previously). India previously claimed a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel and equipment around Victory Day, likely intended to bolster public support. Russian sources claim advances on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction near Vesele, Volne Pole, and Novopil. Russian sources also claim advances near Shevchenko, Bogatyr, and Udachne on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction. Conducting military cooperation talks with Niger. Utilizing propaganda efforts around discovered Ukrainian ordnance. Utilizing information operations targeting Zelenskyy's image and legacy. Conducting reconnaissance missions in border regions and collecting enemy equipment. Russian military blogger claims significant territorial gains since October 2023. Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment. Russian military bloggers report on the use of FPV drones, including a strike on Ukrainian personnel. A Russian military blogger analyzes the need for increased naval presence to protect shipping. Conducting military cooperation talks with Mali. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russia launched 108 strike UAVs and imitators overnight, with 60 confirmed shot down and 41 imitators lost, indicating significant aerial activity. Воин DV reports Russian units used strike UAVs and artillery in operations overnight, claiming the destruction of Ukrainian UAV command points, drones, vehicles, and personnel. Два майора shares a video showing tactical drone use for weapon delivery (TM-62 mine) in Belgorod Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims "Geran" drones struck military objects in Zhytomyr, including an airfield. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА shares a video claiming successful use of FPV drones on the Kharkiv direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports, citing Deep State, that Russian forces have advanced near Makiyivka, Alexandropol, and Rozliv. Colonelcassad reports ongoing but unsuccessful Ukrainian attempts to break through into Kursk Oblast near Tetkino. Colonelcassad reports Russian advances in Bogatyr and near Romanovka. Воин DV reports Russian strikes on Ukrainian points of temporary deployment and claimed destruction of Ukrainian UAV command points in areas of responsibility. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering Sumy from Kursk and eastern Kharkiv from Luhansk. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Donetsk, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Kherson Oblasts. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming fighters of the 27th brigade are burning Ukrainian positions and advancing in Kharkiv Oblast using strike drones.
Civilian Casualties: A 62-year-old woman was injured in Russian shelling and drone attacks in Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. ASTRA previously reported that three people have died and seven have been injured in Russian shellings of Sumy Oblast. RBC-Ukraine previously reported three civilian deaths and seven injured in Sumy Oblast. Colonelcassad shares graphic photos and commentary claiming to show the remains of a deceased Ukrainian serviceman in the area of the Sudzha checkpoint in Kursk Oblast, also claiming Russian reconnaissance units collected trophies and plan to transport the remains to Russian morgues for potential transfer to relatives in Ukraine. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Dvuluchnoye, Valuyki district of Belgorod Oblast. Sumi Oblast was affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, but without casualties according to the Sumi Oblast Military Administration.
Information Control and Censorship: Extensive information campaigning around Victory Day is evident. Alex Parker Returns previously shared a video making a negative historical comparison between Zelenskyy and Hitler. Russian military bloggers are sharing videos promoting patriotism and emphasizing the importance of remembering the "Great feat of the Soviet people" (reported previously). TASS previously reported that the Russian Ambassador to the US, Alexander Darchiev, stated at a Victory Day reception that current and future generations should not allow Nazism to rise again, claiming it has already taken root in some countries. Colonelcassad previously shared a video about alleged Nazi atrocities in Makeyevka during WWII, a strong example of utilizing historical narratives for political messaging. Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming to show forced mobilization in Kharkiv, an example of utilizing negative information about Ukraine. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel and equipment around Victory Day. ASTRA previously reported the detention of a woman in Yekaterinburg for wearing a jacket with perceived Ukrainian symbols. A Victory Day auto rally was previously held in Dokuchaevsk. ASTRA reports on the detention of teenagers and potential punishment for their parents in Belarus for showing a middle finger to a Victory Day salute, highlighting control over dissent. Russian military blogger shares a photo of a non-detonated Ukrainian shell casing with an anti-Russian inscription, likely for propaganda. Russian military blogger shares a photo of a photo of Zelenskyy's grandfather with a message calling Zelenskyy a "traitor" attached to a Soviet Army monument in Berlin, a direct information operation targeting Zelenskyy's image and legacy. ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region and the reporting of the Pole Dance studio, indicating active information control efforts. ТАСС reports on Dmitry Vodolatsky's statement claiming Ukrainian force depletion, a clear information operation. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports on speculation about a potential change in British intelligence leadership, reflecting attention to Western political developments. Alex Parker Returns shares a video and a post attributed to "Rebe Pozdman" regarding a domestic crime incident in Perm, indicating continued attention to this issue. ТАСС reports that Maria Zakharova stated that while the West seeks to rewrite history, Russia and China remember the heroes of WWII, promoting a shared historical narrative. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th, indicating Chinese engagement with information related to the India-Pakistan conflict. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming fighters of the 27th brigade are burning Ukrainian positions and advancing in Kharkiv Oblast, likely for propaganda purposes. A Russian military blogger shares a video of a poem about a veteran, likely for propaganda purposes.
Military Commemoration and Information Operations: Celebratory events for Victory Day are widely reported, including fireworks, drone shows, and auto rallies (reported previously). Cultural events, such as concerts for military personnel, are being held (reported previously). Russian military bloggers previously continued fundraising for equipment. Kadyrov_95 previously shared video of a religious gathering with strong patriotic and military undertones. Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming volunteers of the BARS-3 battalion on the Orikhiv direction restored a monument directly on the front line during shelling. Colonelcassad previously shared a video about alleged Nazi atrocities in Makeyevka during WWII. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel in the conflict zone around Victory Day, actively participating in information operations. A Victory Day auto rally was previously held in Dokuchaevsk. Russian military blogger shares a video celebrating Victory Day in Caracas, Venezuela, highlighting the presence of Russian symbols and perceived "brotherly ties," an example of leveraging international events for domestic and international information operations. Russian military blogger shares a photo of a photo of Zelenskyy's grandfather with a message calling Zelenskyy a "traitor" attached to a Soviet Army monument in Berlin, a targeted information operation. ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region related to Victory Day commemorations and public morality, highlighting how public events are intertwined with the ongoing conflict and efforts to maintain morale. A Russian military blogger shares a video of a poem about a veteran, likely for commemoration and propaganda.
Public Support for the Military: Auto rallies and fundraising efforts indicate continued public support (reported previously). Cultural events for military personnel aim to strengthen this support (reported previously). Russian military bloggers previously continued fundraising for equipment. Kadyrov_95 previously shared video of a religious gathering with strong patriotic and military undertones. Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming volunteers of the BARS-3 battalion on the Orikhiv direction restored a monument directly on the front line during shelling. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel in the conflict zone, likely intended to bolster public support. Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment.
Law Enforcement: ASTRA previously reported the detention of a woman in Yekaterinburg. ASTRA reports on the detention of teenagers and potential punishment for their parents in Belarus. Colonelcassad shares a video of Russian military police detaining people, suggesting ongoing efforts to maintain internal order. Alex Parker Returns shares a video with a caption "Briefly about the work of the police in Perm," indicating continued attention to this issue and potentially criticism of law enforcement.
Diplomatic Engagements: Putin previously had extensive diplomatic engagements on Victory Day, including with the President of Uzbekistan. Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov held bilateral talks with the Defence Minister of Niger. Russian Defence Minister Andrei Belousov held bilateral talks with the Minister of Defence and Veterans Affairs of Mali. Putin is conducting a meeting with the President of Palestine. ТАСС reports on the Russian Minister of Defense holding negotiations with the commander of the Libyan National Army, discussing cooperation.
Casualties: Russian military blogger shares a photo of a non-detonated Ukrainian shell casing with an anti-Russian inscription found by a Russian soldier, implying potential casualties. Reports of a father and son from Buryatia previously killed in the conflict. Colonelcassad shares graphic photos and commentary claiming to show the remains of a deceased Ukrainian serviceman in the area of the Sudzha checkpoint in Kursk Oblast, also claiming Russian reconnaissance units collected trophies and plan to transport the remains to Russian morgues for potential transfer to relatives in Ukraine. A 62-year-old woman was injured in Russian shelling and drone attacks in Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Два майора reports a Ukrainian drone strike injured a civilian in Dvuluchnoye, Valuyki district of Belgorod Oblast. Sumi Oblast was affected by a large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, but without casualties according to the Sumi Oblast Military Administration.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Military Support and Logistics (Ukraine): БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС is fundraising for Mavic 3T and Mavic Pro drones for a unit on the Bakhmut direction (from previous reporting). This highlights ongoing efforts to equip Ukrainian forces, particularly with crucial drone technology. Оперативний ЗСУ is fundraising for drones, explicitly stating that fundraising is slow and asking for support to help save soldiers' lives and eliminate occupiers. This underscores the continued need for external support and the direct link between donations and operational capabilities. STERNENKO is fundraising for drones (Apachi team), using graphic video and aggressive language to motivate donations. Ukrainian General Staff highlights the effectiveness of specific Ukrainian units, implying ongoing support and training. "ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS" shares a video showing the distribution of surrender leaflets by Ukrainian forces, which is a form of psychological operation aimed at the opposing force. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video on language and national idea, which could be related to supporting national identity and morale. Ukraine's launch of the "Brave1 Market" allows military units to directly procure FPV drones, ground robots, electronic warfare modules, and other equipment using "combat points" earned for destroying enemy assets. This initiative, linked to a system of "combat points" for destroying enemy targets, aims to streamline support, incentivize effectiveness, and improve logistics. Филолог в засаде and Олег Царёв provide details and commentary on this initiative.
Civilian Support (Ukraine): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (OVA) reports Russian guided aerial bomb (KAB) strikes on the Velykomykhailivska community in Synelnykove district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, injuring two men, one severely (from previous reporting). This highlights the ongoing impact of Russian attacks on civilians and the need for humanitarian assistance. A 62-year-old woman was injured in Russian shelling and drone attacks in Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and residential buildings were damaged. ASTRA previously reported civilian casualties and damage to residential and other buildings in Sumy Oblast due to Russian shellings. A Ukrainian military blogger previously shared a photo captioned "ceasefire," implying continued impacts on civilians. Confirmed civilian casualties in Sumy Oblast due to Russian shelling by RBC-Ukraine (reported previously).
Military Support and Logistics (Russia): ТАСС highlights Russian cosmonauts holding an "Immortal Regiment" event on the ISS, linking space exploration to WWII victory (from previous reporting). This is a symbolic act intended to boost morale and connect the current conflict to historical narratives. Dnevnik Desantnika is fundraising for a Mavic 3 Pro drone and a signal amplifier. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ is fundraising for Mavic drones, asking for support from "Dear Russians" to help their fighters. This demonstrates the continued reliance on public and volunteer support to equip Russian forces. Dnevnik Desantnika reports that fundraising is slow and expresses shame in constantly asking, highlighting potential challenges in maintaining public enthusiasm for supporting the military. "Два майора" is fundraising for armor for military vehicles, indicating support efforts for providing protection to Russian forces. "Воин DV" shares a video showing the delivery of mail to front-line servicemen, highlighting logistical support for morale. "Дневник Десантника🇷🇺" shares a post with a morale-boosting tone and a picture of a kitten, potentially aimed at his unit or audience. MoD Russia reports on paratrooper awards and assault detachment training, likely for morale. Colonelcassad continues fundraising for Russian military personnel on the Svatove-Kreminna and Toretsk directions, seeking funds for body armor, helmets, medical supplies, and communications equipment. Два майора is fundraising for motorcycles, drone detectors, and thermal imagers for tankers on the Zaporizhzhia direction. These efforts highlight the continued reliance on public support for equipping some Russian units and may indicate gaps in official supply. Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment, including drones.
Cultural Support: Artists from Buryatia are previously conducting concerts for participants of the "SMO" in hospitals and training grounds (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming volunteers of the BARS-3 battalion restored a monument directly on the front line during shelling. A Russian military blogger shares a video of a poem about a veteran, likely for support and morale.
Infrastructure Restoration: Detailed reports on water supply restoration projects in Kryvyi Rih (reported previously).
Personnel Support: Meeting between the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War and families of captured and missing marines (reported previously). Recognition of Ukrainian military personnel with high honors (reported previously). Russian military bloggers report on the use of FPV drones by Russian forces, including a strike on Ukrainian personnel attempting to hide and evacuate wounded. Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими shares a message for Mother's Day, highlighting the support for mothers who lost children in the war and young mothers raising children while fathers are fighting.
Fundraising: Continued fundraising efforts by military bloggers (reported previously). A Ukrainian unit claims the viewing of their video is "paid" and asks for donations for "russoriz" (likely a euphemism for anti-Russian efforts). Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment.
Support for Businesses: The head of the Kryvyi Rih defense council previously highlighted ongoing international partnership projects for reconstruction and support, including grants and loan compensation for small and medium businesses.
Educational Support: International partnership projects previously providing computer equipment to educational institutions in Kryvyi Rih.
Energy Solutions: International partnership projects previously providing energy solutions like battery stations and solar power plants in Kryvyi Rih.
Veteran Support (Russia): ASTRA reports on a veteran receiving an expired food gift in Yakutsk, highlighting a potential issue with the quality of support provided to veterans.
Commemoration and Morale (Ukraine): ‼️47 окрема механізована бригада «Маґура», Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (via Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi), and Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими share messages commemorating Mother's Day, emphasizing the strength and resilience of Ukrainian mothers and the sacrifices made by their children. This serves to boost morale and national unity.
Commemoration and Morale (Russia): ASTRA reports on a controversy in the Kursk region related to Victory Day commemorations and public morality, highlighting how public events are intertwined with the ongoing conflict and efforts to maintain morale.

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russia: Intensifying offensive operations southwest of Kostiantynivka and towards Yablunivka. Continues offensive operations on other key ground axes, utilizing artillery, guided bombs (KABs), and drones (including FPV drones). Engaging Ukrainian forces in border regions with VDV units and special detachments. Utilizing extensive information operations, particularly around Victory Day, including leveraging international events and symbols. Conducting shellings and drone attacks on Ukrainian border regions and other areas, resulting in civilian casualties and damage. Reports of advances near Romanivka, Oleksandropil, and Nova Poltavka (reported previously). Russian Ministry of Defense previously stated Russian forces are strictly observing a ceasefire since May 8th based on humanitarian considerations, a claim contradicted by reports of fighting. Airspace closed over Kapustin Yar test site from May 12th-13th, suggesting planned missile testing or activity, including likely ballistic missile tests (reported previously). Potential future acquisition of Fath-360 missile launch systems from Iran (reported previously). Colonelcassad previously shared a video claiming volunteers of the BARS-3 battalion on the Orikhiv direction restored a monument directly on the front line during shelling. Promoting historical narratives of alleged atrocities to reinforce political messaging (reported previously). Engaged in military exchanges with India as reported by Pakistan (reported previously). India previously claimed a series of strikes on three Pakistani airbases. Colonelcassad previously shared a photo selection showcasing Russian military personnel and equipment around Victory Day, likely intended to bolster public support. Russian sources claim advances on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction near Vesele, Volne Pole, and Novopil. Russian sources also claim advances near Shevchenko, Bogatyr, and Udachne on the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction. Conducting military cooperation talks with Niger. Utilizing propaganda efforts around discovered Ukrainian ordnance. Utilizing information operations targeting Zelenskyy's image and legacy. Conducting reconnaissance missions in border regions and collecting enemy equipment. Russian military blogger claims significant territorial gains since October 2023. Russian military bloggers are continuing fundraising efforts for military equipment. Russian military bloggers report on the use of FPV drones, including a strike on Ukrainian personnel. A Russian military blogger analyzes the need for increased naval presence to protect shipping. Conducting military cooperation talks with Mali. Launching 108 strike UAVs and imitators overnight. Using guided aerial bombs on Sumy and Kharkiv regions. Employing tactical drones for weapon delivery. Claiming advances near Makiyivka, Alexandropol, Rozliv, and Romanovka. Claiming Ukrainian force depletion on the Pokrovsk direction. Conducting internal security checks. Experiencing civilian injuries from Ukrainian drone attacks in border regions. Воин DV reports Russian units used strike UAVs and artillery in operations overnight, claiming the destruction of Ukrainian UAV command points, drones, vehicles, and personnel. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering Sumy from Kursk and eastern Kharkiv from Luhansk. The Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Donetsk, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Kherson Oblasts. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone, demonstrating counter-drone tactics. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares a video claiming fighters of the 27th brigade are burning Ukrainian positions and advancing in Kharkiv Oblast using strike drones.
Ukraine: Actively defending against Russian advances around Kostiantynivka. Continuing defensive and limited offensive operations, including reported cross-border activity. Utilizing drones for engagements, including deep strikes, counter-drone operations, and targeted strikes on personnel (including FPV drones in Vovchansk and on the Pokrovsk direction). Seeking international support and military aid. Countering Russian information operations. Experiencing shelling and drone attacks on border regions and other areas resulting in civilian casualties and damage. Experiencing internal personnel changes within the SBU. Engaging in potential military exchanges with Pakistan as reported by India (reported previously). Hosting high-level European leaders in Kyiv (reported previously). Awaiting a response from Russia regarding a ceasefire. Repelling Russian assaults on the Kharkiv direction (reported previously). Engaging in humanitarian efforts related to prisoners of war. Conducting fundraising for military equipment. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy stated that Ukraine is ready for negotiations in any format in case of a 30-day ceasefire. Ukrainian military bloggers report on the use of FPV drones by Ukrainian forces in Vovchansk and on the Pokrovsk direction. Successfully downing 60 out of 108 Russian strike UAVs launched overnight. Applying continued pressure in the Kursk border region (reported by Russian sources). Launching the "Brave1 Market" and "combat points" system. Commemorating Mother's Day to boost morale. Experiencing civilian injuries from Russian drone attacks in Sumy Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of enemy strike drones entering Sumy from Kursk and eastern Kharkiv from Luhansk, and Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of enemy attack drones in Donetsk, Kirovohrad, Kharkiv, and Kherson Oblasts. A Russian military blogger shares a video claiming fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian "DARTS" kamikaze drone with an FPV drone, demonstrating the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones and Russian counter-drone tactics.
Western PMCs: Colonelcassad reports the alleged presence of PMCs from Poland, Lithuania, Denmark, and Great Britain in the Kursk direction, potentially for sabotage missions. This report requires further verification.
India: Engaged in military exchanges with Pakistan, claiming strikes on Pakistani airbases (reported previously). Accusing Pakistan of ceasefire violations. Colonelcassad reports, citing visuals, that India used French SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles against Pakistan.
Pakistan: Engaged in military exchanges with India, reporting on Indian strikes and claiming interceptions (reported previously). Experiencing explosions and shooting in the border region despite a claimed ceasefire. Reportedly accused by India of ceasefire violations. Claiming to have intercepted French SCALP-EG missiles. Chinese sources share an animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft on May 7th.
Niger: Conducting military cooperation talks with Russia.
Mali: Conducting military cooperation talks with Russia and expressing support for Russia's "special military operation."

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

Ukraine's launch of the "Brave1 Market" with the "combat points" system represents a significant strategic shift in how Ukraine is approaching military logistics, procurement, and incentivization. By creating a direct link between units' combat effectiveness and their ability to acquire necessary equipment, Ukraine is aiming to significantly streamline supply chains, reduce bureaucracy, and motivate units to achieve tangible results on the battlefield. This model, leveraging principles from e-commerce and gaming, is innovative and could potentially provide Ukraine with a significant advantage in rapidly adapting to evolving battlefield needs and optimizing resource allocation based on proven effectiveness. The success of this initiative will be a key factor in Ukraine's ability to sustain and enhance its military capabilities in a protracted conflict. Russian commentary acknowledging this initiative and contrasting it with their own system underscores the potential strategic impact and highlights areas for potential Russian military modernization.
The large-scale Russian drone attack overnight, including a significant number of drone imitators, suggests a tactic aimed at overwhelming Ukrainian air defenses or probing their capabilities with a mix of real and decoy assets. While Ukrainian forces reported a high rate of interception of the strike drones, the sheer volume of the attack and the use of decoys indicate a continuing Russian effort to find ways to penetrate Ukrainian airspace and deliver strikes. This underscores the ongoing importance of robust air defense and electronic warfare capabilities for Ukraine.
The continued intense ground combat and Russian claims of tactical advances in eastern Ukraine, despite the declared ceasefire, confirm that Russia is prioritizing military operations to achieve territorial gains over immediate de-escalation or meaningful negotiations. The DeepState data indicating increased Russian assault actions during the claimed ceasefire period further supports this assessment. This suggests that Ukraine must remain prepared for continued high-intensity fighting and potential further Russian offensive pushes, particularly in key areas like the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts.
President Zelenskyy's public statement reiterating Ukraine's readiness for negotiations contingent on a confirmed, full, lasting, and reliable ceasefire starting May 12th is a key diplomatic maneuver aimed at maintaining international support and placing the onus on Russia to demonstrate a genuine commitment to de-escalation. This sets clear conditions for potential talks and frames any continued Russian military activity after this date as a clear rejection of a path towards peace.
Russian official commentary claiming Ukrainian force depletion on the Pokrovsk direction and expressing confidence in military victory are clear information operations aimed at influencing perceptions of the conflict's trajectory. These narratives are intended to demoralize Ukrainian forces, boost Russian morale, and potentially justify continued offensive actions. It is crucial to evaluate these claims against independent intelligence sources.
The reported Ukrainian drone strike causing civilian injury in Belgorod Oblast highlights the humanitarian consequences of cross-border attacks on civilian areas. While potentially aimed at military or infrastructure targets, such incidents can impact public perception and are likely to be used in Russian information operations to portray Ukraine as targeting civilians.
The fatal grenade incident in Podmoskovye, involving a participant of the "SVO," raises concerns about the potential for military-related issues to manifest in civilian settings within Russia, including the circulation of dangerous materials and the psychological impact of the conflict on returning personnel. This could have broader internal security implications for Russia.
The continued reliance on public fundraising by Russian military bloggers for essential equipment like drones, thermal imagers, and vehicles suggests potential ongoing logistical challenges or shortcomings within the official Russian military supply system. This reliance on civilian support, while demonstrating a degree of public engagement, could also be a limiting factor in sustaining large-scale operations if official supply chains are insufficient.
The potential partisan activity in Kislovodsk, if confirmed, suggests a degree of internal resistance or discontent within Russia that could manifest in acts of sabotage. While likely limited in scope, such incidents could contribute to internal instability and divert Russian security resources.
Messages commemorating Mother's Day by both Ukrainian and Russian sources highlight the human cost of the conflict and serve as a tool for maintaining morale and national unity by emphasizing the sacrifices and resilience of families affected by the war.
The discussion within Russian military commentary regarding Ukraine's "Brave1 Market" and the perceived bureaucratic inefficiencies in their own system suggests a degree of introspection and potential pressure for military modernization within Russia to match Ukrainian innovation in logistics and procurement.
The report of Russian reconnaissance UAVs in northern Chernihiv and Kharkiv Oblasts indicates Russian efforts to gather intelligence and potentially direct strikes in these areas, which could be a prelude to increased activity or aimed at disrupting Ukrainian logistics or defenses in the north. The Ukrainian response of engaging means for their destruction highlights the importance of countering enemy reconnaissance.
The specific warning regarding enemy UAVs moving towards Brovary and Kyiv underscores the immediate strategic threat to the Ukrainian capital and the sophistication of Ukrainian real-time tracking and warning systems.
The announcement of a threat of enemy attack drones in Kirovohrad and Kherson Oblasts indicates an expansion of the geographical area under reported threat of Russian drone activity, potentially requiring a broader dispersion of Ukrainian air defense assets. The specific mention of movement towards southwestern Dnipropetrovsk and eastern Mykolaiv Oblasts from Kherson highlights potential trajectories and targets in those areas.
The report of new groups of enemy strike drones entering eastern Kharkiv Oblast from occupied Luhansk Oblast indicates continued Russian aerial pressure on this front and highlights the ongoing use of occupied territory as a launch point for attacks.
Colonelcassad's report on India's alleged use of French SCALP-EG cruise missiles against Pakistan is strategically significant as it provides information on the types of weapons being used in this regional conflict and could inform assessments of military capabilities and potential arms transfers.
The Chinese animation claiming Pakistan downed six Indian aircraft is an example of how third parties engage in information operations related to other conflicts, which can influence global perceptions and potentially regional dynamics.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report