Sitrep 2025-05-09 04:35:44

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 9, 2025, 04:34 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be defined by intense ground combat, particularly around Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Novopavlivka. Despite a declared Russian ceasefire for Victory Day, fighting persists in contested areas, including the Kursk border region and near the Antonovsky Bridge. Russian aerial activity, encompassing widespread drone and ballistic missile launches, continues across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, leading to ongoing air raid alerts. Ukrainian drone attacks are still targeting Russian industrial and military facilities, leading to temporary disruptions at airports. Sadly, civilian casualties are still being reported on both sides, with a fatality confirmed in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to a drone attack and an injury in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from recent shelling.

Diplomatic and information operations remain highly active. Ukraine has received significant EU financial aid from frozen Russian assets, with further allocations planned for arms procurement. Political discussions regarding potential peace negotiations are ongoing, with Donald Trump calling for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire and Ukraine expressing readiness for such a pause provided Russia ceases offensive actions. The newly elected Pope Leo XIV has also made statements concerning peace. Ukraine has ratified an economic partnership agreement with the US concerning minerals. Russia is heavily engaged in Victory Day commemorations, employing military parades, auto rallies in occupied territories, and historical narratives to link the current conflict to the defeat of Nazism in WWII. Internal Russian issues include security incidents and robust information campaigns, with discussions about potential post-May 9th mobile internet restrictions. Military diplomatic meetings are taking place, such as between Russia and Kazakhstan. The UK is reportedly poised to impose sanctions on 100 oil tankers in Russia's "shadow fleet." Russian state media is providing extensive coverage of Victory Day celebrations, including live broadcasts of the Moscow parade and fireworks. China-Russia trade turnover has decreased in January-April 2025. Escalating Israeli airstrikes on Sana'a International Airport in Yemen have also been reported.

New significant updates and analysis from the latest messages (past few minutes):

Continued Intense Fighting in Kursk Border Region: Russian military bloggers claim continued fighting and attempts by Ukrainian forces to break through, with Russian forces claiming success in repelling assaults and destroying Ukrainian equipment near Tetkino and Novy Put', despite the declared ceasefire. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь)
Ukrainian Drone Successes in Donetsk Oblast: Ukrainian sources share video claiming to show the "spectacular destruction" of a Russian BMP and a tank by Ukrainian drone operators from the 414th UAV Brigade "Birds of Madyar" in Donetsk Oblast. (Оперативний ЗСУ)
Russian Analysis of Kashmir Conflict and Information Warfare: A prominent Russian military blogger provides commentary on the India-Pakistan conflict, highlighting artillery exchanges and an active information war, contrasting it with the conflict in Ukraine. (Рыбарь)
Russian Military Blogger Reflects on "Human Dreams": A Russian military blogger shares a personal reflection, unrelated to operational intelligence. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Russian Military Blogger Updates on Southern Donetsk Direction: A Russian military blogger shares a map overlay near Bahatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, indicating a "frontline correction." (Colonelcassad)
Ukrainian Information Operation Regarding Victory Day Symbolism: A Ukrainian official shares historical photos of a Victory Day parade, highlighting the absence of certain symbols used in current Russian propaganda, aimed at challenging the Russian narrative. (Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц")
Russia Restores Flight Schedule: TASS reports that Aeroflot has restored its flight schedule across its entire route network, indicating a return to normal civil aviation operations after recent disruptions. (ТАСС)
Ukrainian Official on Economic Partnership Agreement with US: A member of the Ukrainian Parliament's committee on national security provides details on the implications of the ratified economic partnership agreement with the US concerning minerals. (РБК-Україна)
Russian Ministry of Defense Reports on Reconstructing Alley in Luhansk Oblast: The Russian Ministry of Defense shares a video claiming reconstruction of a historical alley in occupied Luhansk on the eve of Victory Day, a Russian information operation. (MoD Russia)
Russian Missile Intercepted Over Poltava Oblast: A Russian missile was shot down over Myrhorod district in Poltava Oblast, causing damage to houses but no casualties. (РБК-Україна)
Ukrainian Humanitarian Initiative: A Ukrainian organization announces a humanitarian initiative for mothers and children in Kyiv. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
Ballistic Missile Threat Alert: The Ukrainian Air Force issued an alert for a threat of ballistic missile use in areas with air raid alerts. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Russian Military Blogger Provides Summary of the Day: A Russian military blogger provides a summary of recent claimed Russian advances on multiple directions, reports on Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge, states the ceasefire is not being observed by Ukraine, and predicts future Ukrainian actions. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Slovakian Prime Minister Arrives in Moscow for Victory Day: TASS reports the arrival of the Slovakian Prime Minister in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations, indicating diplomatic engagement. (ТАСС)
Ukrainian and Russian Reactions to Slovakian PM's Arrival: Contrasting reactions from Ukrainian and Russian sources highlight differing perspectives on this diplomatic event. (Alex Parker Returns, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Russian Military Blogger Shares Aviation Footage: A Russian military blogger shares aviation footage lacking specific operational details. (Fighterbomber)
Russian Duma Member Comments on New Pope: A Russian official comments on the new Pope and hopes for continued positive relations with the Vatican. (ТАСС)
Russian Civil Aviation Returns to Schedule: TASS reiterates that Russian civil aviation has returned to performing flights on schedule. (ТАСС)
Zelenskyy and Trump Phone Conversation: Ukrainian sources report President Zelenskyy is holding a phone conversation with Donald Trump, a significant political development regarding potential mediation. (Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO)
Air Raid All Clear (Except Sumy Oblast): The Ukrainian Air Force issued an "all clear" for air raid threats across most of Ukraine, except Sumy Oblast. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine)
Russian Military Blogger Calls for Sharing Family Stories of Fighting Fascism for Victory Day: A Russian military blogger is encouraging users to share family stories of fighting fascism in WWII, linking it to the current conflict and promoting patriotic narratives. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Air Danger Alert Canceled in Lipetsk Oblast: The Governor of Lipetsk Oblast has announced the cancellation of the yellow level of air danger. (Игорь Артамонов)
Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Addresses Ukrainians and Moldovans Celebrating Victory Day "Behind Closed Shutters": Maria Zakharova is reported by TASS as addressing Ukrainians and Moldovans she claims are celebrating Victory Day in secret, emotionally urging them "not to give up," a targeted information operation. (ТАСС)
Russian Fighter Hangs Victory Banner, Russian, and North Korean Flags on Cell Tower in Kursk Oblast, Vows to Finish the Job: A Russian soldier in Kursk Oblast is reported by Kotsnews to have hung flags, including the Victory Banner, Russian, and North Korean flags, on a cell tower while vowing to "finish your job" (referencing WWII veterans) and with the sound of a drone detector in the background. This is a multi-faceted symbolic act with potential indications of foreign support and ongoing drone threat. (Kotsnews)
Russian Military Blogger Discusses the Importance of Patriotism and Youth Education: A Russian military blogger shares a lengthy text on the importance of patriotism and youth education, reflecting ongoing ideological emphasis within certain Russian military circles. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
TASS Reports on "Immortal Regiment" March in Chita: TASS reports over 7,000 people participated in the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita, another example of widespread Victory Day commemorations used for public support. (ТАСС)
Damage in Zaporizhzhia Oblast: The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a woman was killed in the Vasylivka community due to enemy attack and details the extent of Russian strikes across 8 settlements, including 150 drone attacks and 70 artillery shellings, resulting in destruction and damage to civilian infrastructure. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Destruction of a Russian Strongpoint: Russian military blogger from the "Vostok" grouping shares archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian strongpoint on the Southern Donetsk direction on May 6th. (Воин DV)
Russian Military Blogger Calls for Sharing Victory Day Celebration Content: A Russian military blogger is calling on his audience to share photos and videos of Victory Day celebrations in their cities for a compilation. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Temporary Airport Closure in Saratov: ASTRA reports that the airport in Saratov has temporarily suspended operations, according to Rosaviatsiya, likely due to drone activity. (ASTRA)
Updated Russian Loss Figures: The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides updated estimated Russian losses, indicating significant increases in personnel, tanks, AFVs, UAVs, artillery systems, MLRS, anti-aircraft systems, and vehicles & fuel tanks over the past day. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
Trump Calls for 30-Day Ceasefire: ASTRA and STERNENKO report on Donald Trump's call for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire and threat of sanctions if not observed, referencing his conversation with Zelenskyy and Ukraine's stated readiness for a ceasefire. (ASTRA, STERNENKO)
Shelling in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports continued enemy shelling and drone attacks in the Nikopol district, impacting multiple communities, resulting in an injured civilian and damage to residential and civilian infrastructure. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
"Immortal Regiment" Swim in Novosibirsk: TASS reports on a "Immortal Regiment" swim event in Novosibirsk as part of Victory Day commemorations. (ТАСС)
Summary of SVO for May 8th: Rybаr provides a video summary of the "Special Military Operation" for May 8th, claiming Ukrainian attempts to attack Russian territories despite the ceasefire, including breakthroughs near Tetkino and Novy Put', and Russian advances on the Lyman direction. (Рыбарь)

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Pokrovsk Direction: Intense ground combat continues, with this remaining a primary focus of Russian offensive efforts. (Previous reporting)
Novopavlivka Direction: Intense ground combat continues. (Previous reporting)
Lyman Direction: Intense ground combat continues. Russian military blogger claims significant advances to the west of Novovodiane before the ceasefire. (Рыбарь)
Kursk Oblast (Russia) (Tetkino, Novy Put', Budki, Glushkovo, Shchegolyok, Zvannoye, Sudzha): Contested fighting continues with claimed Ukrainian attacks and Russian efforts to repel them, with specific reports of attempts to break through near Tetkino and Novy Put' despite the ceasefire. Civilian casualties reported from shelling and drone attacks. Russian soldier hangs Victory Banner, Russian flag, and North Korean flag on a cell tower, with the sound of a drone detector present. Fighting near the Sudzha checkpoint is reported as Russia attempts to breach defenses. Partial Ukrainian raid actions are reported across the border on the flanks. Russian forces are reportedly using aviation bombs on their own and Ukrainian villages. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Два майора, Kotsnews, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Рыбарь)
Sumy Oblast: Reported rapid-moving targets detected. Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian tactical aviation activity on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided missile use for frontline regions, and KAB launches. Russian special unit claims elimination of Ukrainian personnel in bordering forests. Ukrainian forces are reportedly attempting to break through Russian defenses near the border. Air raid threat remains. (Previous reporting, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
Poltava Oblast (Myrhorod district, Kremenchuk): Missile tracked towards Kremenchuk. A Russian missile was shot down over Myrhorod district, damaging houses. (Previous reporting, РБК-Україна)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Primorskoye, Huliaipole, Malinivka, Temirivka, Novodarivka, Stepnohirsk, Preobrazhenka, Charivne, Robotyne, Tokmak direction, Vasylivka community): Civilian fatality in Primorskoye due to an FPV drone attack. Russian soldier fatality reported due to Ukrainian shelling. Military personnel of the Russian "Vostok" grouping conducted an auto rally to congratulate civilians here on Victory Day, as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Subjected to extensive Russian strikes (aviation, drones, MLRS, artillery), impacting multiple settlements and resulting in injuries, a fatality, and damage to civilian and critical infrastructure. Ukrainian forces are using hexacopters and battery packs to destroy enemy equipment and personnel. Russian claim of Ukrainian fiber-optic guided kamikaze drone use and destroying Ukrainian UAV command post and equipment on the Polohy direction using drones. Ukrainian Air Force reports an enemy reconnaissance UAV moving from the southeast towards Zaporizhzhia. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ТАСС, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Previous reporting)
Saransk (Mordovia, Russia): Targeted by Ukrainian drone attacks, reportedly striking industrial facilities. (Previous reporting)
Tula Oblast (Russia): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on the "Splav" plant. (Previous reporting)
Moscow Oblast (Russia) (Kubinka, Moscow airports, Krasnoarmiysk): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on the Kubinka military airfield and reportedly the production of aviation bombs at JSC "NPO Bazalt" in Krasnoarmiysk. Temporary restrictions and disruptions at Moscow airports due to attacks. Russian Ka-52 helicopters reportedly engaging Ukrainian drones here. Russian drones (Orlans, Iks, Geraniums) participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow. (Previous reporting)
Kaluga Oblast (Russia) (Shaikovka): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on a military airfield, causing temporary disruptions. (Previous reporting)
Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast: Subjected to a significant Russian ballistic missile and multi-phased drone attack yesterday, resulting in civilian fatalities and injuries. Air raid all clear has been issued (except Sumy Oblast). Center of Kyiv to be blocked tomorrow due to foreign delegations. (Previous reporting)
Bryansk Oblast (Russia) (Demyanki): Civilian injuries after a Ukrainian drone attack. Russian Governor claims repelling a massive Ukrainian strike. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian air defense shot down 524 UAVs over the past day, likely including those targeting Bryansk. (Previous reporting)
Belgorod Oblast (Shebekino, Murom, Shamino, Gruzskoe, Urazovo, Kukuevka, Grayvoron): Under fire from Ukrainian forces. (Два майора)
Kherson Oblast (Dnepryany, Oleshky, Kakhovka, Tarasivka, Antonovsky Bridge, Kinburn Spit): Reported civilian fatality in Dnepryany due to Ukrainian shelling. Potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge, with both sides claiming engagement and use of artillery/aviation. Russian FSB claims prevention of a terrorist attack and detention of three Ukrainian natives in Kakhovka. Ukrainian drone reportedly attacked an ambulance in Oleshky. Ukrainian drone reportedly attacked the house of a "district council deputy" appointed by Russia in Tarasivka. Kinburn Spit is under Ukrainian fire. Russian naval infantry drone operators reportedly countering enemy drones here. (ТАСС, Два майора, Mash на Донбассе, ASTRA, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Luhansk Oblast (Makeevka): Russian forces claim an advance and occupied new positions. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video claiming reconstruction of a historical alley here. (Previous reporting)
India-Pakistan Border (Jammu and Kashmir, Amritsar): Pakistan reportedly attacked military bases. Reported large aerial battle and missile attack on Amritsar airport. Pakistan opened fire on the line of control. Russian military blogger provides commentary on the conflict, highlighting artillery exchanges and an active information war. (Previous reporting)
Persian Gulf: Iran publishes videos of US and coalition actions. (Previous reporting)
DNR (Occupied Territory): Military personnel of the Russian "Vostok" grouping conducted an auto rally to congratulate civilians here on Victory Day, as reported by the Russian Ministry of Defense. Colonelcassad shares a video of Russian military personnel congratulating veterans from a "recently liberated" settlement here. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Previous reporting)
Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky (Russia): Solemn march by parade calculations for Victory Day. (Воин DV)
Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (Russia): Solemn march by parade calculations for Victory Day. (Воин DV)
Ulan-Ude (Russia): Solemn march by parade calculations for Victory Day. (Воин DV)
Zakarpattia Oblast (Historical Context): TASS disseminating historical documents related to alleged collaboration of Uniate church priests with occupiers during WWII. (ТАСС)
Lipetsk Oblast (Russia): Air danger alert has been canceled. (Игорь Артамонов)
Chita (Russia): "Immortal Regiment" march for Victory Day reported. (ТАСС)
Donetsk Oblast (Southern Donetsk Direction): Remains an area of intense ground combat. Russian Ministry of Defense and Kotsnews claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control posts by FPV drones in this direction. Russian military blogger from the "Vostok" grouping shares archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian strongpoint on the Southern Donetsk direction on May 6th. (MoD Russia, Kotsnews, Воин DV)
Eastern Front (General): Ukrainian sources indicate increased enemy activity on the eastern front, specifically mentioning increased use of drones by the enemy. (STERNENKO)
Sana'a (Yemen): Subjected to a series of intense Israeli airstrikes, primarily targeting Sana'a International Airport, which is reported as completely destroyed. Strikes also reportedly hit power stations and a cement plant. (TASS, WarGonzo, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Военкор Котенок, РБК-Україна)
Hodeidah (Yemen): Reported Israeli airstrikes on the port the previous day. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
European Russia: Ukrainian source claims potential large-scale mobile internet disconnection across the entire European part tomorrow, possibly for security reasons related to Victory Day. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Vologda Oblast (Russia) (Cherepovetsky district): Two aircraft-type UAVs reportedly shot down over Cherepovetsky district. (Два майора, ТАСС)
Vladimir Oblast (Russia) (Alexeevsky district): Drone fell in Alexeevsky district with no casualties. (ASTRA)
Rostov Oblast (Russia) (Kamensk-Shakhtinsky): Report of a UAV destroyed in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky. (Colonelcassad)
Crimea: High Court of London has allowed Russia to temporarily not execute the decision of the Hague arbitration regarding the recovery of $207.8 million in favor of Ukrainian DTEK Krymenergo for the loss of energy assets in Crimea. (ТАСС)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Nikopol district, Pokrovska hromada, Cherervonohryhorivska hromada, Myrivska hromada, Marhanetska hromada, Synelnykove district, Kryvyi Rih, Ilaryonivska community, Novopavlivka): Nikopol district attacked by Russian artillery and a kamikaze drone. Pokrovska hromada, Synelnykove district, hit by Russian guided aerial bombs, injuring people. Situation in Kryvyi Rih reported as controlled. Cemetery with numerous graves of unidentified soldiers reported in Dnipropetrovsk. Handover of an inclusive minibus for veterans in Dnipropropetrovsk Oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense shows UAV teams, TOS-2, Grad, and Giatsint-S in action here. Reported injury from morning strike in Ilaryonivska community. A bridge over the Solona River in Novopavlivka was reportedly destroyed by Russian KABs. Continued enemy shelling and drone attacks in the Nikopol district, impacting multiple communities, resulting in an injured civilian and damage to residential and civilian infrastructure. (Олександр Вілкул, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, MoD Russia, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (OVA), Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Cherkasy Oblast (Kaniv, Uman district, Zvenyhorodskyi district, Uman, Shpola, Cherkasy): Several groups of drones reported near Kaniv and Uman district (previous reporting). Threat of strike UAVs announced for Zvenyhorodskyi district (previous reporting). Ukrainian Air Force warns of enemy UAV over Uman and in the area of Shpola and Cherkasy. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Kirovohrad Oblast: Threat of strike UAVs announced (previous reporting). Drone movement reported west and south of Kropyvnytskyi. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Zhytomyr Oblast: Second wave of drone movement towards Zhytomyr Oblast from Kyiv Oblast reported (previous reporting). Drone reported near Korosten (previous reporting). Drone movement reported towards Zhytomyr (past Brusyliv) (previous reporting). (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Chernihiv Oblast: Drones from Sumy Oblast, passing Romny and Konotop, moving towards Chernihiv Oblast (previous reporting). Drone movement reported from Sumy Oblast towards Chernihiv Oblast (previous reporting). Russian special unit claims elimination of Ukrainian personnel in bordering forests. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition)
Sverdlovsk Oblast (Russia) (Bulnash): A gas explosion occurred in a residential building here, resulting in one injury and evacuation (previous report). (Оперативний ЗСУ)
Moscow (Russia): A fatal gas explosion occurred in a Moscow apartment building, resulting in the deaths of a soldier's wife and son (previous report). (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
Dagestan (Russia) (Makhachkala): Shooting attack on traffic police here, resulting in casualties (previous report). (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Leningrad Oblast (Russia) (Vsevolozhsk): Reported incident involving individuals with "Russian Community" patches allegedly breaking into an apartment, leading to a fire and fatalities (previous report). (Север.Реалии)
Nizhny Novgorod (Russia): Russian state media reports on the delayed first flight from Nizhny Novgorod to Sukhum due to temporary closure of airspace after Ukrainian drone attacks (previous report). Rosaviatsiya imposed restrictions on airport operations in Nizhny Novgorod (previous reporting). (ТАСС, Новости Москвы)
Samara Oblast (Russia): Russian Ministry of Defense claims three UAVs were shot down over industrial enterprises with no casualties or damage (previous report). Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian air defense shot down 524 UAVs over the past day, likely including those targeting Samara. Rosaviatsiya imposed restrictions on airport operations in Samara. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, ASTRA)
Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky (Russia): Two earthquakes reported 75 km away (previous report). (ТАСС)
Cuba: Russian Embassy contacts Cuban authorities regarding a bus accident (previous report). Medvedev met with the President of Cuba in Moscow (previous report). (ТАСС, Новости Москвы)
Georgia: US Embassy in Georgia warned of possible terrorist threats (previous report). (ТАСС)
Melitopol: Colonelcassad shares a photo of a monument to Stalin here. (Colonelcassad)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Widespread and ongoing Russian drone activity across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, including widespread and dynamic drone activity with updated trajectories and new areas of threat. Massive and prolonged Russian drone attack on Kharkiv and Kyiv and surrounding regions. Russian forces used 1076 drones-kamikaze in strikes over the past day. Russian forces used 150 drones of various modifications in attacks on Zaporizhzhia Oblast and a kamikaze drone in attacks on Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Ukrainian drone attacks confirmed targeting industrial facilities in Saransk, Tula, an airfield in Kubinka, and reportedly the production of aviation bombs at JSC "NPO Bazalt" in Krasnoarmiysk, Moscow Oblast, and a sugar factory in Kursk Oblast. Confirmed fire in Saransk and Tula following drone attacks. Temporary restrictions imposed and lifted at multiple Russian airports due to drone attacks, including a temporary suspension at Saratov airport. Russian authorities and military bloggers claim high numbers of Ukrainian drone interceptions on approaches to Moscow and other regions (524 UAVs shot down over Russia over the past day), including two aircraft-type UAVs over Vologda Oblast and a UAV in Rostov Oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense shows UAV teams in action. Russian claim of Ukrainian fiber-optic guided kamikaze drone use on the Zaporizhzhia front. Russian claim of destroying Ukrainian UAV command posts, equipment, personnel, and ammunition depots using drones (including "Geran" drones) and artillery. Russian forces in Kharkiv Oblast used 5 cases of FPV drone use against civilian vehicles. Ukrainian forces are using hexacopters and battery packs to destroy enemy equipment and personnel on the Zaporizhzhia front. Russian military blogger claims drone operators of the "DPR People's Militia" unit "Okhotnik" destroyed Ukrainian personnel with drone drops. Kotsnews shares a video claiming FPV drone crews destroyed a Ukrainian BMP-1 in Kherson Oblast. Internal Russian commentary expressing frustration over the continued success of Ukrainian drone attacks deep within Russia. Russian drones (Orlans, Iks, Geraniums) participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow. Claimed destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles in an underground garage near Velyka Pysarivka by Russian drones. High activity of UAVs from both sides reported in the Kursk border region. Ka-52 helicopters reportedly engaging Ukrainian drones near Moscow. Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy Russian personnel and equipment. Ukrainian forces are using FPV drones to destroy Russian Mavic drones on the Svatove direction. Russian military blogger reports Russian naval infantry drone operators effectively countering enemy drones on the Kherson direction. Russian military blogger reports trenches near Tetkino are filled with bodies of Ukrainian forces, implying drone activity as a cause. Russian military blogger reports on the use of Lancet and Z-16 drones in the Kursk border region, claiming destruction of numerous Ukrainian vehicles. Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian drone losses for the past day as 124. Drone fell in Alexeevsky district, Vladimir Oblast. Air Raid Alert in Lipetsk Oblast due to UAV threat, later canceled. Greek company demonstrates autonomous coastal defense systems, including unmanned surface vessels and fixed-wing drones. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of another Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone. Civilian fatality in Primorskoye, Zaporizhzhia due to an FPV drone attack. Ukrainian 46th Separate Airmobile Podilska Brigade claims to have destroyed a Russian assault involving 14 units of motor vehicles, likely with drone support. Russian forces claim to be destroying Ukrainian armored vehicles and infantry near Kupyansk using FPV drones. Potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge involves drone activity. Russian military blogger reports on counter-drone project "Hammer of Witches" targeting Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drones, including shooting them down and repurposing captured ones. Russian special unit "Anvar" claims elimination of Ukrainian personnel in bordering forests of Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts, using drones as part of their approach. Ukrainian 108th battalion "Wolves of Da Vinci" claims destruction of a Russian assault group near Pokrovsk using drones. Russian forces, according to military bloggers, claim continued fighting and Ukrainian counterattacks on the Southern Donetsk direction despite a declared ceasefire, with the enemy using heavy artillery and drones against them. Russian military blogger from the "Vostok" grouping shares archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian strongpoint on the Southern Donetsk direction on May 6th using drones. Ukrainian forces claim downing of Russian FPV drones on the eastern front. Ukrainian unmanned boats (MBEKs) are reported to be in the sea, potentially in waiting mode. (РБК-Україна, ASTRA, STERNENKO, ДСНС у м. Києві, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Николаевский Ванёк, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Воин DV, Олександр Вілкул, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), РБК-Україна, Рыбарь, Два майора, Battle_🅉 _Sailor ⚓, Battle_🅉 _Sailor ⚓, ASTRA, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Оперативний ЗСУ, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Народная милиция ДНР, Kotsnews, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Два майора, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Два майора, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Два майора, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ASTRA, ASTRA, Два майора, Два майора, ТАСС, ТАСС, Игорь Артамонов, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, 46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Военкор Котенок, WarGonzo, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Colonelcassad, Воин DV, MoD Russia, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs/FABs): Russian forces conducted 63 aviation strikes using 103 guided aerial bombs over the past day. Russian forces conducted 10 aviation strikes on Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including guided aerial bombs (KABs) in attacks on Synelnykove district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Huliaipilska hromada, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian tactical aviation reportedly launched guided aerial bombs at Sumy Oblast (4 strikes and 9 KABs on Kursk Oblast). Russian military blogger reports Russian aviation using FABs with UMPK against Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast (previous report). Ukrainian General Staff reports enemy dropped 175 guided aerial bombs on Ukraine and 27 on Kursk Oblast in the past day, totaling 202 KABs. Dva Mayora reports that Tetkino, Kursk Oblast, has been "перепаханное ударами ФАБов". Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast reported. Potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge involves claimed Ukrainian use of aviation with guided aerial bombs (KABs). A bridge over the Solona River in Novopavlivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, was reportedly destroyed by Russian KABs. (Previous reporting, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Два майора, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна, Военкор Котенок, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Missile Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports enemy launched one missile attack using two missiles in the past day. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares analysis from a Russian military blogger on a "massive attack" using long-range UAVs and missiles, with 447 launched in one night. Ukrainian Air Force warns of missile danger in Odesa Oblast. Dva Mayora reports that two Ukrainian missiles were shot down over Tamani, Krasnodar Krai. Threat of ballistic missile use from the northeastern direction reported earlier. Resident in Kyiv reported a night ballistic attack. North Korea launched an unidentified ballistic missile (or several short-range ballistic missiles). Reported missile attack on Amritsar airport in India. Russian Governor of Bryansk claims one cruise missile was among the over 140 aerial targets destroyed yesterday. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian air defense shot down five Neptune, six JDAM, and two HIMARS missiles/projectiles over the past day. Russian military blogger speculates on retaliation for Victory Day attacks, mentioning potential use of "Oreshnik" missile strike on Kyiv. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the Ukrainian Air Force issued two aviation missile alerts on the eastern and northeastern directions during the night. A Russian missile was shot down over Myrhorod district, Poltava Oblast, causing damage. The Ukrainian Air Force issued a ballistic missile threat alert. Air raid all clear issued except for Sumy Oblast. 3 Russian missile carriers present in the Black Sea with a total potential salvo of up to 14 "Kalibr" missiles. (Previous reporting, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Два майора, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ТАСС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, AV БогомаZ, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Colonelcassad, Оперативний ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, РБК-Україна)
Naval Activity: The threat of unmanned boat attacks in Novorossiysk continues, with reports suggesting the use of BECs equipped with air defense systems offshore. High Court of London has allowed Russia to temporarily not execute the decision of the Hague arbitration regarding the recovery of $207.8 million in favor of Ukrainian DTEK Krymenergo for the loss of energy assets in Crimea. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming to show "Our warriors' work on Ukrainian unmanned boats," depicting the reflection of a USV attack and highlighting the effectiveness of landing craft with machine guns as countermeasures. Ukrainian Navy reports zero Russian missile carriers or naval vessels in the Black and Azov Seas as of the morning of May 8th, but one Kalibr carrier with 8 missiles in the Mediterranean. Greek company demonstrates autonomous coastal defense systems, including unmanned surface vessels designed to hide on the seabed. Ukrainian aviation is reportedly working on the southern direction, targeting boats. Russian military blogger reports NATO reconnaissance active over the Black Sea. The UK is reportedly set to impose sanctions on 100 oil tankers in Russia's "shadow fleet." 3 Russian missile carriers present in the Black Sea with a total potential salvo of up to 14 "Kalibr" missiles. Russian vessels moving through the Kerch Strait, with some continuing towards the Bosphorus. Two Mayors military blogger reports several dozen Ukrainian unmanned boats (MBEKs) are in the sea, potentially in waiting mode. (Colonelcassad, РБК-Україна, Два майора, Battle_🅉 _Sailor ⚓, Battle_🅉 _Sailor ⚓, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, РБК-Україна, Два майора)
Russian Aviation: Russian forces conducted 63 aviation strikes using 103 guided aerial bombs over the past day. Russian forces conducted 10 aviation strikes on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian forces used guided aerial bombs (KABs) in attacks on Synelnykove district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Huliaipilska hromada, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Threat of enemy aviation weapons use reported in Synelnykove district, Dnipropetropovsk Oblast. Russian tactical aviation reportedly launched guided aerial bombs at Sumy Oblast (4 strikes and 9 KABs on Kursk Oblast). Russian Ka-52 helicopters reportedly engaging Ukrainian drones near Moscow. Russian military blogger reports Russian aviation using FABs with UMPK against Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast (previous report). Russian Ministry of Defense shows UAV teams, TOS-2, Grad, and Giatsint-S in action. Ukrainian Air Force warns of enemy tactical aviation activity on the southeastern direction and the northeastern direction with a threat of aviation weapon use for frontline regions. Potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge involves claimed Ukrainian use of aviation with guided aerial bombs (KABs). Ukrainian aviation is reportedly working on the southern direction, including MiG-29s, targeting personnel, command posts, and boats. Ukrainian Air Force warns of Russian tactical aviation activity on the northeastern direction and the threat of aerial weapons. Fighterbomber shares a video with aviation footage. Russian forces are reportedly using aviation bombs on their own and Ukrainian villages in the Kursk border region. Ukrainian Air Force reports Russian tactical aviation activity on the northeastern direction, with a threat of aerial guided missile use for frontline regions. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Kotsnews, Kotsnews, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, Два майора, Два майора, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Два майора, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Военкор Котенок, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Fighterbomber, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Russian forces conducted 4234 shellings using various weapons over the past day. Russian forces conducted 237 artillery shellings and 8 MLRS shellings on Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian forces used artillery in attacks on Nikopol district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Russian Ministry of Defense shows TOS-2, Grad, and Giatsint-S in action. Russian Ministry of Defense reports Russian air defense shot down five Neptune, six JDAM, and two HIMARS missiles/projectiles over the past day, likely including those launched by Ukrainian artillery/MLRS. Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian artillery losses for the past day as 71. Russian claim of destroying a US-supplied M-119 howitzer near Novoukrainka using artillery and UAVs (previous report). WarGonzo shares video footage claiming to show the first combat use of North Korean-supplied M1991 (Chuchhe-100) 240mm MLRS by Russian forces (previous report). Russian forces conducted 277 artillery shellings and 1 RSML shelling on Kursk Oblast. Russian military blogger claims Artillerymen of the 200th brigade destroyed strongholds and command posts near Bahatyr and its surroundings using Krasnopol. Pakistan opened fire on the line of control in Jammu and Kashmir. Civilian fatality in Dnepryany, Kherson Oblast, due to Ukrainian shelling. Potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge involves artillery. Russian special unit "Anvar" claims elimination of Ukrainian personnel in bordering forests, using artillery and MLRS as part of their approach. Russian forces, according to a military blogger, claim continued fighting and Ukrainian counterattacks on the Southern Donetsk direction despite a declared ceasefire, with the enemy using heavy artillery against them. Russian military blogger reports Ukrainian group landing near the Antonovsky Bridge engaged by Russian artillery. Russian military blogger reports Russian forces used artillery on Alexandropol and in the eastern part of Ulyanovka. Russian military blogger reports 173 shelling attacks from artillery, tanks, and mortars, and 4 MLRS attacks by Ukrainian forces violating the ceasefire. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Олександр Вілкул, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, MoD Russia, РБК-Україна, Воин DV, Воин DV, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Воин DV, Воин DV, ТАСС, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Военкор Котенок, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Colonelcassad, Воин DV, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Два майора)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Victory Day Narratives: Russia is heavily engaged in Victory Day commemorations, using military parades across numerous cities, auto rallies in occupied territories, and historical narratives to link the current conflict to the defeat of Nazism in WWII, including a "Immortal Regiment" swim in Novosibirsk. TASS is disseminating historical documents alleging collaboration of Ukrainian religious figures with fascists during WWII. Russian military units are participating in commemorations from occupied territories. Russian military bloggers are actively promoting the Victory Day narrative and the ongoing conflict, including calling for sharing family stories of fighting fascism. Russian media reports high social media engagement on Victory Day. Moscow News shares historical Victory Day audio. Басурин о главном calls Victory Day sacred and links current military actions to the fight against Nazism. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 calls Victory Day the most important holiday and explicitly links it to the fight against Nazism, urging remembrance of ancestors' feats. TASS reports on Maria Zakharova addressing Ukrainians and Moldovans celebrating behind closed shutters. Russian soldier hangs Victory Banner, Russian, and North Korean flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast as part of a Victory Day message. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita. A Ukrainian information operation highlights the absence of "Colorado ribbons" in a 1985 Victory Day parade. (Воин DV, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Fighterbomber, Новости Москвы, Басурин о главном, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Kotsnews, Анатолiй Штефан "Штiрлiц", Previous reporting)
Ukraine-US Relations: Ukraine has ratified the economic partnership agreement with the US concerning minerals. Donald Trump states he will speak with Zelenskyy "soon" and suggests seeking China's assistance in settling the conflict. US Vice President J.D. Vance states the US will not intervene in the India-Pakistan conflict. Donald Trump has called for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire and threatened sanctions if it's not observed. Ukrainian sources report President Zelenskyy is holding a phone conversation with Donald Trump. (Previous reporting, ASTRA, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ)
EU Support for Ukraine: Ukraine has received €1 billion from the EU from the profits of frozen Russian central bank assets. The EU will allocate an additional €1 billion for Ukrainian arms procurement, funded by frozen Russian assets. (Previous reporting)
Ukraine Conflict Resolution: Donald Trump suggests he might ask China's leadership to help with the settlement and claims "good progress" towards a peace agreement. Reports of potential US-Russia talks on restoring Russian gas supplies to Europe. Polish Foreign Minister suggests Turkey and China could replace the US as mediators. Newly elected Pope Leo XIV began his address with a message of peace. Donald Trump has called for a 30-day unconditional ceasefire. Ukraine has expressed readiness for a real and lasting ceasefire of at least 30 days, contingent on the cessation of missile strikes, drone attacks, and ground assaults. Ukrainian sources report President Zelenskyy is holding a phone conversation with Donald Trump. (Previous reporting, ASTRA, STERNENKO, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Vatican: Election of a new Pope, Robert Francis Prevost (Leo XIV), the first American pontiff. New Pope Leo XIV began his address with a message of peace. A Russian Duma member comments on the new Pope and hopes for continued positive relations with the Vatican. An interview with the Apostolic Nuncio to Ukraine discusses expectations from the new Pope regarding the conflict. (Previous reporting, ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
Russia's Historical Narrative: Russian Foreign Ministry establishes the position of Ambassador for the preservation of memorial heritage. Russian State Duma highlights efforts in protecting historical memory. Russian military bloggers are discussing Moldova's approach to historical memory and creating short films about WWII. Patriarch Kirill and others lay a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier. Russian Governor shares story of WWII veteran. TASS is disseminating historical documents alleging collaboration of Ukrainian religious figures with fascists during WWII as part of this narrative. Russian military bloggers are actively linking the historical victory to the current conflict and encouraging sharing family stories of fighting fascism. (ТАСС, Басурин о главном, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Previous reporting)
Russia-China Relations: Chinese President Xi Jinping emphasizes strong mutual support with Russia on core interests. Donald Trump suggests he might ask China for help with the Ukraine conflict. Polish Foreign Minister suggests China as a potential mediator. China-Russia trade turnover has decreased by 7.5% in January-April 2025. (ТАСС)
India-Pakistan Relations: India and Pakistan reportedly engaged in a large aerial battle. Pakistan reportedly attacked military bases in Jammu and Kashmir and launched a missile attack on Amritsar airport. US Vice President J.D. Vance states the US will not intervene in this conflict. Pakistan opened fire on the line of control. Russian military blogger provides commentary on the conflict. (Previous reporting)
Slovakia: Slovak Prime Minister Fico is traveling to Moscow via a southern route. TASS reports the arrival of the Slovakian Prime Minister in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations. Contrasting reactions from Ukrainian and Russian sources highlight differing perspectives on this diplomatic event. (Previous reporting, ТАСС, Alex Parker Returns, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Serbia: Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić is arriving in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations. (Previous reporting)
Palestine: Palestinian President has arrived in Moscow for Victory Day. (Previous reporting)
Kazakhstan: Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov met with his Kazakh counterpart to discuss bilateral cooperation. (Previous reporting)
Azerbaijan-Russia Relations: Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev reportedly canceled his visit to Moscow for Victory Day, potentially signaling a distance from Russia. (Previous reporting)
Internal Russian Politics - Inter-ethnic Relations: Russian Duma Deputy reacts to an incident involving Ingush individuals, highlighting internal social and political tensions. (Previous reporting)
Iran-US Relations: Iran publishes videos of US and coalition actions in the Persian Gulf. (Previous reporting)
United Kingdom: Reportedly set to impose sanctions on 100 oil tankers in Russia's "shadow fleet." (РБК-Україна)
Moldova: TASS reports on Maria Zakharova addressing Moldovans celebrating Victory Day behind closed shutters. (TASS)
North Korea: Russian soldier hangs North Korean flag on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast, potentially indicating some form of connection or propaganda effort. (Kotsnews)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Impact of Ukrainian Attacks: Ukrainian drone attacks on industrial facilities and military airfields, and civilian casualties in border regions. Disruptions to civilian air travel, including temporary airport closures in Saratov and previous disruptions at Moscow, Nizhny Novgorod, and Samara airports. (Previous reporting, ASTRA)
Pressure on Dissent: Police checking a journalist's family in Saratov based on a complaint about "imposing Western values." (Previous reporting)
Information Operations: Russian military bloggers are actively sharing content to support the war effort and fundraising. State efforts to control historical narratives are intense, particularly around Victory Day. TASS is disseminating historical documents as part of this campaign. Military units are participating in information operations from occupied territories. Russian military blogger is actively promoting the Victory Day narrative and the ongoing conflict. Russian media reports high social media engagement on Victory Day. Moscow News shares historical Victory Day audio. Russian military blogger shares a graphic video likely as propaganda. Russian military blogger highlights successful fundraising supported by the public. Басурин о главном is actively linking the historical victory to the current conflict. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is encouraging sharing family stories of fighting fascism and calling for sharing Victory Day celebration content from cities. TASS reports on Maria Zakharova addressing Ukrainians and Moldovans celebrating behind closed shutters. Russian soldier hangs flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast as part of a Victory Day message, including the Russian and North Korean flags. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita and a "Immortal Regiment" swim in Novosibirsk. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА discusses the importance of patriotism and youth education. (ТАСС, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА, Fighterbomber, Басурин о главном, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Kotsnews, Previous reporting)
Military Fundraising: Russian military bloggers are requesting donations for essential equipment. Successful fundraising for a drone and other equipment reported. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Military Recognition: Servicemen being presented with state awards near the line of contact. (Previous reporting)
Socio-Political Events: Incident during a "Memory Parade" in Ulyanovsk Oblast where children felt unwell. Internal social and political tensions. (Previous reporting)
Defense Ministry Leadership: Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov met with his Kazakh counterpart. (Previous reporting)
Perception of US Relations: Russian official Ushakov comments on US-Russia relations. (Previous reporting)
Military Fatalities: Russian soldier fatality reported in Zaporizhzhia. Civilian fatalities reported in Kursk Oblast from shelling and drone attacks. Ukrainian General Staff provides updated estimated Russian losses, including personnel fatalities. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна)
Victory Day Commemorations: Military parades are underway in numerous cities across Russia, including the Russian Far East and Siberia, and an auto rally in occupied territories is taking place. TASS is providing extensive live coverage of the Moscow parade and fireworks. Historical documents are being disseminated. Russian military bloggers are actively promoting the day. Russian military blogger links the historical victory to the current conflict. Russian media reports high social media engagement. Moscow News shares historical audio. Басурин о главном calls Victory Day sacred and links current military actions to the fight against Nazism. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 calls Victory Day the most important holiday and explicitly links it to the fight against Nazism, urging remembrance of ancestors' feats and encouraging sharing family stories and celebration content. TASS reports on Maria Zakharova addressing Ukrainians and Moldovans celebrating behind closed shutters. Russian soldier hangs Victory Banner, Russian, and North Korean flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast as part of a Victory Day message. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita and a "Immortal Regiment" swim in Novosibirsk. (Воин DV, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Fighterbomber, Басурин о главном, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Kotsnews)
Economic Issues: Decrease in China-Russia trade turnover. (ТАСС)
Air Danger Alerts: Yellow level of air danger has been canceled in Lipetsk Oblast. (Игорь Артамонов)
Ideological Messaging: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА discusses the importance of patriotism and youth education. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Potential Internet Restrictions: Discussion in the State Duma about potential post-May 9th mobile internet disconnections, particularly in regions bordering Ukraine and following the model of occupied Crimea, framed as a security measure against Ukrainian drone activity. (ASTRA)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Public Morale and Support for Military: Ukrainian 46th Separate Airmobile Podilska Brigade congratulates infantry on Infantry Day. Head of the Kryvyi Rih Defense Council congratulates infantry on Infantry Day, emphasizing their importance. Russian military enlistment campaign in Lipetsk Oblast, promoting service by contract. Ukrainian National Guard unit fundraising for equipment replacement. Showcasing Ukrainian sniper capabilities. Russian military blogger shares a promotional video for the "Maxim Krivonos Battalion," likely aimed at recruitment. Ukrainian information operation highlighting the award of "Hero of Ukraine" to a soldier. The Governor of Bryansk Oblast in Russia presents state awards to participants of the "special military operation" and representatives of industrial and construction enterprises, highlighting the perceived threat from Ukraine and efforts to rebuild infrastructure in occupied territories, likely boosting morale and support. Russian military blogger is actively supporting the ongoing conflict and Victory Day commemorations, including reports of successful fundraising and emphasizing the "reliable rear" of public support. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is encouraging sharing family stories of fighting fascism to foster patriotism and calling for sharing Victory Day celebration content from cities. Russian soldier hangs flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast and delivers a patriotic message. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА discusses the importance of patriotism and youth education. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita and a "Immortal Regiment" swim in Novosibirsk. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Kotsnews, Игорь Артамонов, ТАСС, Previous reporting)
Humanitarian Situation: Increased civilian casualties (4 injured) and widespread damage to residential and commercial infrastructure in Kharkiv due to the massive drone attack. Civilian casualties confirmed in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian FPV drone attacks (2 killed, 3 injured by drone near Shchegolyok; 1 killed by explosive device near Zvannoye). Reportedly, a man was injured in the Ilaryonivska community of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast due to a morning strike and hospitalized in serious condition. A gas explosion occurred in a residential building in Bulnash, Sverdlovsk Oblast, resulting in one injury and evacuation. Damage at the Barabashovo market in Kharkiv includes around 90 trading facilities damaged and 20 burned. Donald Trump stated that the US will help the residents of Gaza get food. Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration reports 4 injured civilians and details on damaged buildings and the Barabashovo market fire. STERNENKO reports a person killed and civilian infrastructure damaged in Odesa Raion as a result of a Russian strike. Reported injury from morning strike in Ilaryonivska community, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. In Oleshky, Kherson Oblast, a Ukrainian drone reportedly attacked an ambulance, injuring a paramedic and severely damaging the vehicle. Russian Human Rights Commissioner discusses return of Kursk residents from Sumy. Escalation in India-Pakistan conflict with both sides reporting civilian casualties. A representative from the Spiritual Administration of Muslims of Russia suggests Russia should accept refugees if the conflict escalates. A fatal gas explosion occurred in a Moscow apartment building, resulting in the deaths of a soldier's wife and son. Dva Mayora reports damage to civilian infrastructure in Kursk Oblast (sugar factory, poultry farm, church) from drone debris. Dva Mayora reports a woman was injured in Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast, due to a drone attack. Russian military fatality reported in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Civilian fatalities and injuries from shelling and drone attacks reported in Kursk Oblast. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a woman was killed in the Vasylivka community due to enemy attack and details the extent of Russian strikes across 8 settlements, including 150 drone attacks and 70 artillery shellings, resulting in destruction and damage to civilian infrastructure. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports continued enemy shelling and drone attacks in the Nikopol district, impacting multiple communities, resulting in an injured civilian and damage to residential and civilian infrastructure. Ukrainian humanitarian initiative for mothers and children in Kyiv announced. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Два майора, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ASTRA, РБК-Україна, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), Оперативний ЗСУ, ТАСС, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, STERNENKO, Mash на Донбассе, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими, Previous reporting)
International Aid: Donald Trump stated that the US will help the residents of Gaza get food and is discussing mechanisms to deliver aid bypassing Hamas. (РБК-Україна)
Adoption in Ukraine: 43 children have been adopted in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast in 2025, mostly by Ukrainian families. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Veteran Support: Ukrainian government platform for veteran prosthetics and rehabilitation. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is encouraging sharing family stories of fighting fascism to honor veterans and preserve memory. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Prisoner Exchange: Significant large-scale prisoner exchange with 205 Ukrainian service members returning home. Ukrainian Border Guards share video of the prisoner exchange. Both Ukrainian and Russian sources share visuals and commentary on the prisoner exchange. Details provided on the cumulative number of Ukrainians returned and the condition of some returnees. Ukrainian report highlights the return of 18 defenders from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast as part of this exchange. (РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russia: Continuing large-scale drone and missile attacks, including ballistic missiles and rapid-moving targets. Maintaining intense ground pressure on multiple axes. Conducting offensive actions and fighting in the Kursk border region, with reports of attempts to breach defenses near Sudzha and partial Ukrainian raid actions on flanks, and claimed repelled attempts to break through near Tetkino and Novy Put'. Employing aviation, guided aerial bombs, MLRS, and artillery extensively. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment with drones. Leveraging military bloggers for reporting, fundraising, and information operations. Adapting counter-UAV tactics. Actively showcasing claimed successes. Utilizing army aviation. Employing unconventional tactics. Introducing a new qualification badge for assault troops. Threatening "Oreshnik" missile strike on Kyiv. Experiencing internal security incidents. Presenting state awards to military personnel. Training operators of heavy hexacopter drones. Claiming an advance near Makeevka. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment near Kupyansk using FPV drones. Countering potential Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge. Utilizing historical narratives and military parades as part of their strategy, with widespread parades occurring in numerous cities and an auto rally in occupied territories. Russian military blogger's photo shows a drone associated with a unit designation, indicating continued operational activity. Russian military fatality reported in Zaporizhzhia. Russian missile carriers have returned to the Black Sea, increasing the threat of "Kalibr" missile strikes. Russian military blogger shares a graphic video likely depicting violence against Ukrainian soldiers. Russian military blogger reports successful fundraising for a drone and medical backpacks for a military unit. Russian soldier hangs Victory Banner, Russian, and North Korean flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast as part of a Victory Day message, with the sound of a drone detector present. Two Mayors military blogger reports violations of the ceasefire by Ukrainian forces, including shelling and drone use. Russian Ministry of Defense and Kotsnews claim the destruction of Ukrainian UAV control posts by FPV drones in the South Donetsk direction. Russian military blogger from the "Vostok" grouping shares archival video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian strongpoint on the Southern Donetsk direction on May 6th using drones. Russian military blogger reports Russian forces used artillery on Alexandropol and in the eastern part of Ulyanovka, and advanced in forest belts near Kotlyarivka and Nadiyivka, and established positions in the eastern part of Orikhiv. Russian forces reportedly used aviation bombs on their own and Ukrainian villages in the Kursk border region. Russian forces are reportedly using aviation bombs on their own and Ukrainian villages in the Kursk border region. Russian military bloggers claim continued fighting and attempts by Ukrainian forces to break through, with Russian forces claiming success in repelling assaults and destroying Ukrainian equipment near Tetkino and Novy Put', despite the declared ceasefire. Russian military blogger provides a summary of recent claimed Russian advances on multiple directions, reports on Ukrainian landing activity near the Antonovsky Bridge, states the ceasefire is not being observed by Ukraine, and predicts future Ukrainian actions. (Воин DV, ТАСС, Colonelcassad, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, РБК-Україна, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Kotsnews, Два майора, MoD Russia, Рыбарь)
Ukraine: Conducting renewed ground offensive actions and partial raid actions in the Kursk border region, with reports of attempting to break through defenses near Sudzha and conducting actions on the flanks, and claimed attempted breakthroughs near Tetkino and Novy Put'. Utilizing drones for deep strikes into Russian territory and for tactical engagements, including rescue operations. Repelling numerous Russian ground assaults. Maintaining defenses against Russian aerial and missile attacks. Reporting on estimated daily Russian losses, with significant increases in personnel, tanks, AFVs, UAVs, artillery systems, MLRS, anti-aircraft systems, and vehicles & fuel tanks reported. Potentially deploying elite drone units. Continuing fundraising efforts. Actively commemorating fallen soldiers. Demonstrating tactical medical preparedness. Highlighting Russian casualties. Reporting on Russian activity and casualties in specific oblasts. Improving medical rehabilitation facilities. Conducting targeted strikes on individuals associated with Russian-installed administrations. Liberated a forest area near Lyptsi. Conducting special operations in the enemy rear. Training territorial defense forces. Pursuing legal accountability for war crimes. Engaging with the Coordination Headquarters for Treatment of Prisoners of War. Training military personnel in tactical medicine. Experiencing civilian casualties from Russian drone attacks and shelling. Claiming destruction of Russian equipment. Two Mayors military blogger reports violations of the ceasefire by Ukrainian forces, including shelling and drone use. Ukrainian unmanned boats (MBEKs) are reported to be in the sea, potentially in waiting mode. Ukrainian sources share video claiming to show the "spectacular destruction" of a Russian BMP and a tank by Ukrainian drone operators from the 414th UAV Brigade "Birds of Madyar" in Donetsk Oblast. Ukrainian forces claim downing of Russian FPV drones on the eastern front. Ukrainian information operation highlights the absence of "Colorado ribbons" in a 1985 Victory Day parade. Ukrainian forces are using drones to destroy Russian personnel and equipment. (Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, STERNENKO, Анатолiй Штефан "Штiрлiц", Previous reporting)
Rapid Support Forces (Sudan): Reportedly using kamikaze drones against Port Sudan. (Previous reporting)
M23 Movement (DRC): Reportedly continuing attacks despite agreements. (Previous reporting)
Greece: Demonstrating advanced autonomous coastal defense systems. (Previous reporting)
Iran: Publishing videos of US and coalition actions in the Persian Gulf. (Previous reporting)
North Korea (Potential): Russian soldier hangs North Korean flag on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast, potentially indicating some form of connection or propaganda effort. (Kotsnews)
Israel: Conducting significant airstrikes on Sana'a International Airport and other targets in Yemen. (TASS, WarGonzo, Оперативний ЗСУ, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Военкор Котенок, РБК-Україна)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Operational Workflow: (Continued based on new information)

Data from the new messages will be integrated into the existing analysis workflow. This includes:

Data Collection and Preprocessing: The messages detailing claimed fighting and Ukrainian attempts to break through in the Kursk border region will be added to the dataset on border skirmishes and ground engagements. The video of Ukrainian drone operators destroying Russian armor will be added to the dataset on Ukrainian drone effectiveness and Russian equipment losses. The Russian military blogger's commentary on the India-Pakistan conflict provides comparative data on information warfare. The map overlay on the Southern Donetsk direction will be added to the dataset on frontline changes and contested areas. The Ukrainian information operation regarding Victory Day symbolism will be added to the dataset on information warfare and propaganda. The report on the restoration of Aeroflot flight schedules will be added to the dataset on the impact of attacks on Russian infrastructure. The Ukrainian official's comments on the economic partnership agreement will be added to the dataset on international aid and economic developments. The Russian Ministry of Defense video on reconstructing an alley in Luhansk will be added to the dataset on Russian information operations in occupied territories. The report on the missile interception over Poltava and damage will be added to the dataset on Russian missile activity and civilian impact. The Ukrainian humanitarian initiative announcement will be added to the dataset on civilian support and well-being. The ballistic missile threat alert will be integrated into the real-time threat assessment. The Russian military blogger's summary of the day will be added to the dataset on Russian perspectives of the conflict and claimed operational details. The report on the Slovakian Prime Minister's arrival in Moscow will be added to the dataset on Russian diplomatic engagement. The contrasting reactions to the Slovakian PM's visit will be added to the dataset on information operations surrounding diplomatic events. The aviation footage from Fighterbomber will be analyzed for any identifiable aircraft or operational context. The Russian Duma member's comments on the new Pope will be added to the dataset on Russia-Vatican relations. The reiterated report on Russian civil aviation returning to schedule reinforces previous information. The reports on the Zelenskyy-Trump phone conversation will be added to the dataset on high-level diplomatic engagement and peace negotiation efforts. The air raid all clear (except Sumy) will update regional threat assessments. The Russian military blogger encouraging sharing family stories for Victory Day will be added to the dataset on Russian information operations and historical narratives. The cancellation of the air danger alert in Lipetsk Oblast will update regional threat assessments. Maria Zakharova's video addressing Ukrainians and Moldovans will be added to the dataset on Russian information operations targeting neighboring countries. The video and photos from Kotsnews showing flags on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast, including the Russian, Victory Banner, and North Korean flags, along with the sound of a drone detector, are high-priority data points. These will be added to datasets on territorial control, symbols of affiliation, potential foreign involvement, and the ongoing drone threat in the Kursk region. The text from АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА on patriotism and youth education will be added to the dataset on Russian ideological messaging and efforts to foster patriotism. The TASS report on the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita will be added to the dataset on Victory Day commemorations and their scale across Russia. The report from the Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration detailing the fatality, drone attacks, and artillery shellings will be added to datasets on civilian casualties, Russian attack methods, and damage to civilian infrastructure. The archival video of the destruction of a Russian strongpoint will be added to the dataset on Ukrainian effectiveness in targeting fortified positions. The Russian military blogger calling for sharing Victory Day content will be added to the dataset on Russian information operations and public mobilization. The report on the temporary airport closure in Saratov will be added to the dataset on the impact of Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure. The updated Russian loss figures from the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine will be integrated into the assessment of enemy capabilities and attrition rates. The reports on Donald Trump's call for a ceasefire will be added to the dataset on international peace initiatives and political pressure. The report from the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration detailing shelling and drone attacks, civilian injury, and damage will be added to datasets on Russian attack methods, civilian impact, and specific affected areas. The report on the "Immortal Regiment" swim in Novosibirsk will be added to the dataset on Victory Day commemorations and propaganda efforts. The video summary of the SVO from Rybаr will be added to the dataset on Russian operational reporting and claimed successes.
Analysis and Modeling: The information on the Kursk border region fighting will be used to update assessments of the intensity and success of Ukrainian cross-border operations and Russian defensive capabilities. The video of Ukrainian drone effectiveness will inform targeting strategies and assessments of Russian armor vulnerability. The map overlay will be analyzed for potential shifts in control or new areas of Russian focus. The information operation regarding Victory Day symbolism will be analyzed for its potential impact on public perception and its effectiveness in countering Russian narratives. The restoration of flight schedules suggests that immediate threats to air travel in Russia have subsided, although localized disruptions may still occur. The details on the economic partnership agreement will be analyzed for their potential long-term impact on Ukraine's resource sector and economic resilience. The Russian information operations surrounding Victory Day will be continuously monitored for shifts in messaging or new propaganda techniques. The missile interception over Poltava highlights the continued threat of Russian missile strikes and the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defense in that region. The ballistic missile threat alert will be incorporated into predictive models for potential attack locations and timings. The Russian military blogger's summary will be cross-referenced with other sources to validate claimed advances and assessed Ukrainian actions. The arrival of the Slovakian Prime Minister will be analyzed for its potential implications for international relations and support for Russia. The Zelenskyy-Trump conversation and Trump's ceasefire call are significant diplomatic developments that will be analyzed for their potential to influence the conflict's trajectory and potential for negotiations. The cancellation of the air danger alert in Lipetsk Oblast will be used to update the regional threat assessment for that area. Maria Zakharova's message will be analyzed for its specific target audience, emotional appeal, and potential impact on sentiment in Ukraine and Moldova. The video and photos of the flags on the cell tower in Kursk Oblast will be subjected to detailed analysis. Identification of the "Oprichnik" flag, if confirmed, will trigger an analysis of the potential presence and characteristics of the associated unit. The presence of the North Korean flag will require further investigation to determine if it indicates direct involvement, symbolic support, or an information operation. The sound of the drone detector will be used to reinforce the analysis of the persistent drone threat in the border regions. The text on patriotism will be analyzed for its messaging and its potential role in supporting military recruitment and public support for the conflict. The report on the "Immortal Regiment" march will be used to further quantify the scale and reach of Victory Day commemorations as a tool for mobilizing public support. The details of the attack in Zaporizhzhia will be used to update casualty figures, assess the impact of drone and artillery strikes on civilian areas, and refine geographical threat assessments. The archival video of the destroyed strongpoint will be used to analyze Russian tactics for targeting fortified positions and Ukrainian defensive vulnerabilities. The call for sharing Victory Day content from cities will be analyzed as a public engagement and propaganda tactic. The temporary airport closure in Saratov confirms the continued vulnerability of Russian infrastructure to Ukrainian drone attacks. The updated Russian loss figures will be used to refine attrition models and assess the overall impact of the conflict on Russian military strength. Donald Trump's ceasefire call will be analyzed for its potential influence on negotiation dynamics and its reception by both sides. The report from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast will be used to update information on localized shelling and drone activity, civilian impact, and damage. The "Immortal Regiment" swim will be analyzed as a unique form of Victory Day commemoration and its potential impact on public sentiment. Rybаr's summary will be analyzed for its narrative framing and consistency with other reporting.
Reporting and Visualization: The updated reports will include details on the continued fighting in the Kursk border region, highlighting conflicting claims and specific locations mentioned. Ukrainian drone successes in Donetsk will be noted with reference to the provided video. The map overlay from the Southern Donetsk direction will be incorporated into situational maps if deemed reliable. The Ukrainian information operation regarding Victory Day symbolism will be included in the diplomatic and political developments section. The restoration of Aeroflot flights will be noted in the internal Russian issues section. The details on the economic partnership agreement will be included in the diplomatic and political developments. Russian information operations in occupied territories and surrounding Victory Day will be comprehensively reported. The missile interception over Poltava will be noted in the aerial activity section. The ballistic missile threat alert will be highlighted in real-time alerts. The Russian military blogger's summary will be included in the analysis of Russian perspectives and claimed operations. The arrival of the Slovakian Prime Minister will be reported in the diplomatic and political developments. The Zelenskyy-Trump conversation and Trump's ceasefire call will be prominently featured in the diplomatic and political developments section, with analysis of potential implications. The cancellation of the air danger alert in Lipetsk Oblast will be noted in the areas of significant activity. Maria Zakharova's targeted information operation will be noted in the diplomatic and political developments section. The highly significant event of flags being placed on a cell tower in Kursk Oblast will be prominently featured in the areas of significant activity and force composition sections, with a detailed analysis of the flags and their potential implications. The ongoing emphasis on patriotism and youth education in Russian military blogger circles will be noted in the internal Russian issues or support and rehabilitation sections. The scale of the "Immortal Regiment" march in Chita and the swim in Novosibirsk will be included in the internal Russian issues or diplomatic and political developments sections (Victory Day commemorations). The details of the attack in Zaporizhzhia, including the fatality and extent of damage, will be included in the areas of significant activity and humanitarian situation sections. The archival video of the destroyed strongpoint will be noted in the force composition and tactics section. The temporary airport closure in Saratov will be included in the internal Russian issues and aerial activity sections. The updated Russian loss figures will be presented in the relevant sections (e.g., Force Composition). Donald Trump's ceasefire call and Ukraine's response will be highlighted in the diplomatic and political developments section. The report from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast detailing shelling, drone attacks, civilian injury, and damage will be included in the areas of significant activity and humanitarian situation sections. Rybаr's summary will contribute to the overall operational picture presented in the report.
Feedback Loop: The updated analysis and reports will be disseminated to human commanders for feedback, which will be incorporated to refine future assessments and recommendations.

This continuous process ensures that the analysis remains agile and responsive to the dynamic operational environment, providing commanders with the most accurate and relevant information to support their decision-making while adhering to ethical standards and minimizing collateral damage.

Situation Report