Sitrep 2025-05-08 09:46:25

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 8, 2025, 09:45 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment is currently characterized by continued, intense ground combat across multiple axes in eastern and southern Ukraine, particularly the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Lyman, and Toretsk directions, despite a claimed Russian ceasefire that appears to be largely disregarded in active combat zones. A notable development is the ongoing Ukrainian cross-border operation in the Kursk region of Russia, with reports of continued Ukrainian pressure and Russian counter-efforts resulting in claimed destruction of Ukrainian equipment and ongoing fighting in areas like Tyotkino. Russian aerial and drone activity remains widespread and significant, with large-scale attacks reported against multiple Ukrainian oblasts, including Kyiv, causing civilian casualties and damage. Ukrainian deep strikes continue, with reports of drone attacks on Russian military airfields and industrial facilities. Information operations remain a significant aspect of the conflict, with both sides leveraging narratives around the upcoming Victory Day and the ongoing fighting. Diplomatic activity continues, including high-level meetings between Russia and China, and discussions regarding potential ceasefires and international support. Internal Russian issues, such as security concerns, flight delays attributed to drone attacks, and legal investigations within the Ministry of Defense, are also being reported.

New significant updates from the latest messages:

Increased Intensity and Disregard for Ceasefire: Military units from the Pokrovsk and Southern directions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces have received orders to open fire only in response to enemy fire, while officially Ukrainian command has not confirmed a ceasefire, only a decrease in combat intensity in some areas. However, fighting continues in several key areas including the Lyman direction, Vovchansk, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, and the Novopavlivka area of Donetsk Oblast. The main point of tension remains the Kursk border area near Tetkino, where Ukrainian forces continue attacks for the fourth day. A damaged French VAB armored personnel carrier abandoned by Ukrainian forces in the Kursk border region suggests ongoing combat in that area. While some Russian units have reportedly ceased assault operations in observance of the ceasefire, fighting persists in active zones. These reports collectively confirm that the claimed Russian ceasefire is not being fully observed by either side in areas of active combat, particularly on the most contested fronts and the Kursk border. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Военкор Котенок, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Ongoing Ukrainian Border Operations in Kursk with Equipment Losses: Underlining the continued intensity on the Kursk border, a damaged French VAB armored personnel carrier, allegedly abandoned by Ukrainian forces, has been photographed in the region. This serves as visual evidence of the ongoing combat and Ukrainian equipment losses in this area. Russian military bloggers continue to report on the fighting near Tetkino, highlighting it as the main point of tension and confirming ongoing Ukrainian attacks. (Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
High Number of Engagements Reported by Ukrainian General Staff: In the past day, the Ukrainian General Staff reported a high number of combat engagements across multiple axes, including 61 on the Pokrovsk axis, 32 on the Novopavlivka axis, 24 on the Lyman axis, 13 on the Toretsk axis, 11 on the Kharkiv axis, 10 on the Kramatorsk axis, 7 on the Orikhiv axis, and 6 each on the Siversk and Kupiansk axes. They also reported one unsuccessful Russian attempt on the Huliaipole and Kherson axes. These figures underscore the sustained high intensity of ground combat across a wide area of the front. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff)
Confirmation of Civilian Death from Earlier Strike: A 59-year-old man injured in a Russian strike on a bus in Marhanets on April 23rd has died in the hospital, bringing the total fatalities from that incident to 10. This highlights the long-term and tragic consequences of Russian strikes on civilian targets. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Russian Diplomatic Activity and Victory Day Commemorations: Milorad Dodik and the President of Guinea-Bissau have arrived in Moscow for Victory Day events. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov and heads of foreign delegations from countries including Abkhazia, Algeria, Belarus, Burkina Faso, Egypt, India, Kazakhstan, Cuba, Laos, Libya, Myanmar, Mongolia, Niger, Nigeria, Thailand, Equatorial Guinea, South Ossetia, and South Africa laid wreaths at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier in the Alexander Garden. This highlights Russia's efforts to maintain international ties and leverage the symbolic importance of Victory Day for diplomatic engagement. Putin also congratulated leaders of CIS countries and the peoples of Georgia and Moldova on the 80th anniversary of Victory. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, ТАСС)
Ongoing Russian-Chinese Strategic Partnership Discussions: Putin and Xi Jinping continued negotiations in the Kremlin, discussing plans for future cooperation. Putin highlighted that Russia welcomes the creation and transfer of Chinese production to Russia and intends to create comfortable conditions for Chinese companies. Energy was noted as a key area of cooperation with new joint initiatives planned. Record trade turnover was reported as not the limit, with work ongoing to maintain positive dynamics. Russia was identified as the main importer of Chinese cars. Putin announced an agreement on investment protection would be concluded. Joint film production was discussed as increasing. Both leaders emphasized their foreign policy coordination as a stabilizing factor and their joint stance on forming a more just and democratic world order based on international law and the central role of the UN. These reports underscore the deepening strategic and economic partnership between Russia and China amidst the ongoing conflict and Russia's isolation from the West. (ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Ukrainian Internal Security and State Treason Investigation: Two residents, one from Kyiv and one from Rivne, have been notified of suspicion of state treason. They are accused of being recruited by a Russian citizen via Telegram in February and March 2025, respectively, to collect and transmit information about the location of Ukrainian military units (including the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade in Kyiv), military hospitals, and administrative buildings in Kyiv and Rivne, including photo/video and precise coordinates. They have been remanded in custody. This highlights ongoing counter-intelligence efforts by Ukraine to identify and neutralize individuals providing information to Russia, which is crucial for national security and preventing targeting of military assets and personnel. (Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Ukrainian Military Leadership Commemorations: The Head of the Kharkiv Oblast Administration commemorated the 80th anniversary of the victory over Nazism in World War II, laying flowers and honoring those who sacrificed their lives. He drew parallels between the fight against Nazism and the current fight against "rashism," emphasizing Ukraine's role in WWII and the ongoing struggle against Russian aggression. He also announced one-time financial assistance from the regional budget to WWII veterans and disabled individuals. This highlights the Ukrainian perspective on the historical context of the current conflict and efforts to support veterans. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Ukrainian Military Training: Photos and text from the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade in Kharkiv show soldiers training to counter enemy drones using shotguns, highlighting adaptation to current battlefield threats at the local level. Photos and text from the 113th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade in Kharkiv show soldiers undergoing marksmanship and tactical medicine training, emphasizing continuous skill development. These reports underscore the ongoing training and preparedness efforts of Ukrainian territorial defense forces in a frontline region. (ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
Funding for Ukrainian Military Units and Drones: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС is conducting a fundraising campaign for drones and related equipment for the "BULAVA" unit, highlighting their claimed effectiveness and critical need for assistance. This demonstrates the continued reliance on public support and fundraising to equip Ukrainian units, particularly with essential assets like drones. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
Russian Information Operations and Propaganda on Victory Day: Russian military bloggers and official sources are heavily promoting the historical narrative of Victory Day, emphasizing the fight against "fascism" and drawing parallels to the current conflict. This includes sharing historical footage, promoting military symbols, and releasing patriotic music videos. A music video "At War is My Face" is presented as a response to those labeling Russia as an "aggressor," explicitly linking the historical victory to the current conflict. Videos of rehearsals for the Victory Day parade in Moscow, including pedestrian units, are being shared. Footage of Russian Ka-52 helicopters allegedly shooting down drones near Moscow during yesterday's attack is being used to highlight air defense efforts. There are reports of "Victory-mania" events in Dagestan, Krasnodar, and Ivanovo involving children dressed in Red Army uniforms and participating in patriotic displays, highlighting the ideological indoctrination of youth. New documentaries about historical figures related to Victory Day are being promoted. These efforts aim to mobilize public support, legitimize the current conflict by linking it to historical narratives, and project an image of national unity and military strength ahead of Victory Day. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Fighterbomber, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad)
Russian Internal Discussions on Military Logistics: A discussion about the "effectiveness" of using donkeys with radio repeaters in mountainous areas, as they are allegedly not targeted by drones like vehicles are, is being reported. This seemingly unusual discussion, involving a State Duma defense committee head, highlights both potential logistical challenges in certain terrains and perhaps internal criticism or sarcastic commentary on the reliance on unconventional methods. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
Critique of German Companies' Role in WWII and Current Support for Ukraine: A Russian military blogger comments on a statement by German companies acknowledging their support for the Nazi regime in 1933, contrasting it with a current major German defense contractor (Rheinmetall) supplying weapons to Ukraine. The author frames this as hypocrisy and argues that not all companies have learned from history. This is likely an information operation aimed at discrediting Western support for Ukraine by drawing controversial historical parallels. (Басурин о главном)
Ukraine Considers Transitioning from Dollar to Euro: Sources report that Ukraine is considering abandoning the dollar and tying its currency more closely to the euro, citing the head of the National Bank. This is a significant potential economic policy shift for Ukraine. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Moscow Flight Delays Attributed to Drone Attack: Significant flight delays at Moscow airports this morning (over 100 flights reported delayed or canceled) are attributed to yesterday's massive UAV attack on the Moscow region. This highlights the practical impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian infrastructure and daily life. The Ministry of Transport is reportedly inspecting Moscow airports regarding these delays. Despite restrictions being lifted, hundreds of passengers remain stranded. (Moscow News, ASTRA, Север.Реалии, ТАСС)
Internal Legal Investigation in Russia: The investigation into former Lieutenant General Yuri Kuznetsov, former chief of personnel of the Ministry of Defense, is reportedly complete, with accusations of receiving a large bribe. This highlights ongoing legal actions against alleged corruption within the Russian military structure. (Два майора)
Ukrainian Military Ombudsmen Bill Submitted: President Zelenskyy has submitted a bill to the Verkhovna Rada on creating the position of a military ombudsman, designated as urgent. This indicates a focus on addressing the rights and concerns of military personnel within Ukraine. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Continued Reports of Russian Shelling in Bryansk Oblast: Despite a declared Russian ceasefire, Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted 66 strikes on border settlements in Bryansk Oblast in the past day. This reinforces the Russian narrative of Ukrainian disregard for the ceasefire. (ТАСС)
Continued Information Operations on US Stance on Ukraine: A TASS report citing Russian diplomat Vasily Nebenzya claims the US demonstrates a desire for a long-term solution to the conflict but that Kyiv and its European allies are trying to disrupt peace initiatives. This reflects the Russian narrative blaming Ukraine and the West for the continuation of the conflict. Separately, an advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine comments on the US "silence" regarding a settlement, suggesting Washington has realized that the current "soft diplomacy" is ineffective and they are seeing a different model of behavior from Ukraine as a constructive partner. He believes that more "tougher" actions from the US towards Russia may be seen "sufficiently quickly." This provides a Ukrainian perspective on the US role and potential future approaches. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
Funding Campaign for Russian Military Unit: A Russian military blogger has successfully completed a fundraising campaign for a Mavic drone, radio cable, and tents for a battalion of the 70th полк 42-й дивизии, with remaining funds going to medical backpacks. This highlights the ongoing reliance on public support to equip Russian military units, similar to the Ukrainian situation. (Сливочный каприз)
Arrest of Activist in Russia Related to Navalny Photo: An activist in St. Petersburg has been arrested and sentenced to 8 days for posting a photo of Alexey Navalny, deemed a demonstration of symbols of an extremist organization. This highlights the ongoing crackdown on dissent and freedom of expression in Russia. (ASTRA)

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Pokrovsk Direction: Remains the most intense area of combat with 61 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Ukrainian military units from here have reportedly received orders to open fire only in response. Fighting continues here despite the ceasefire. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Novopavlivka Direction: Experienced the second-highest intensity with 32 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Fighting continues in the Novopavlivka area of Donetsk Oblast despite the ceasefire. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Lyman Direction: Experienced 24 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Fighting continues here despite the ceasefire. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Toretsk Direction: Experienced 13 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Fighting continues here despite the ceasefire. A period of quiet in Toretsk has reportedly ended. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Kharkiv Direction: Experienced 11 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Ukrainian Territorial Defense Brigades (127th and 113th) in Kharkiv are conducting counter-drone, marksmanship, and tactical medicine training. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦)
Kramatorsk Direction: Experienced 10 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Fighting continues in Chasiv Yar despite the ceasefire. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны)
Orikhiv Direction: Experienced 7 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Ukrainian military units from the South have reportedly received orders to open fire only in response. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Siversk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff)
Kupiansk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff)
Huliaipole Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff)
Kherson Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff yesterday. Positional battles and shelling are ongoing here despite the claimed ceasefire. (Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Kursk Oblast (Russia - Tetkino, Novy Put, Glushkovsky district): Fighting continues intensely with Ukrainian forces reportedly continuing attacks towards Tetkino and Novy Put, aiming to stretch Russian forces and break through defenses. Ukrainian forces reportedly occupied two streets in Tetkino yesterday, and Russian aviation is actively using FABs against entrenched Ukrainian groups. Russian claims of destroying a Ukrainian armored assault early this morning near Novy Put, including IMR, M-113s, a Bradley, and a Kozak. A damaged French VAB armored personnel carrier, allegedly abandoned by Ukrainian forces, is reported in the Kursk border region. Tetkino remains the main point of tension where Ukrainian attacks continue despite the ceasefire. Air raid sirens activated in Oryol after multiple missile alerts in Kursk. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Два майора, Военкор Котенок, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Военкор Котенок)
Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast: Subjected to a significant Russian ballistic missile and multi-phased drone attack overnight. Confirmed civilian casualties in Kyiv: 2 dead (mother and son) in Shevchenkivskyi district, 6 injured (including 4 children) in Sviatoshynskyi district from drone strikes, and 1 injured from a ballistic missile. Damage to residential buildings and infrastructure. Ongoing drone activity reported near Vasylkiv, towards Kyiv past Boiarka, in the south near Stavyshche, and at the intersection of Zhytomyr and Kyiv Oblasts. Investigation into alleged state treason involving intelligence gathering on military facilities in Kyiv. (Zelenskiy / Official, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Sumy Oblast (General, including Velyka Chernechchyna, Nedryhailiv, and border regions): Subjected to Russian aerial attacks, including a ballistic missile strike on Velyka Chernechchyna, followed by aviation bombs and continued shelling during rescue operations. Missile threat reported towards Nedryhailiv. Ongoing high-speed targets reported moving southwest. Continued Ukrainian pressure on the Russian border in the direction of Tetkino originates from Sumy Oblast. Investigation into alleged state treason involving intelligence gathering in Rivne, which could have implications for Sumy Oblast if part of a broader network. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Оперативний ЗСУ, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Frontline areas): Subjected to widespread strikes since the evening. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Donetsk Oblast (General, including Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Pokrovsk, Novopavlivka, Kostyantynivka, Rivne, and frontline areas mentioned by Воин DV): Subjected to widespread strikes since the evening. Intense ground combat continues on multiple axes. A civilian ambulance in Kostyantynivka was reportedly destroyed by two Russian FPV drones before the ceasefire, highlighting impact on civilian infrastructure. Investigation into alleged state treason involving intelligence gathering on military facilities in Rivne. Russian military blogger claims successful Russian operations and claimed destruction of a variety of Ukrainian assets in areas including Zelene Pole, Bogatyr, Alekseyevka, Kostyantynopil, Hulyaypole, Chervone, Dorozhnyanka, Odradne, and Komar. Positional battles reported near Chasiv Yar, with Russian forces claiming to occupy the territory of the Severny mine. Russian MLRS activity reported in the South Donetsk direction. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Liveuamap Source, citing the Ukrainian General Staff, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Воин DV, Сливочный каприз, MoD Russia)
Zhytomyr Oblast: Subjected to widespread strikes since the evening. Ongoing drone activity reported at the intersection of Zhytomyr and Kyiv Oblasts. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Николаевский Ванёк)
Kherson Oblast (Frontline areas): Subjected to widespread strikes since the evening. Positional battles and shelling are ongoing here despite the claimed ceasefire. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Frontline areas, including Pavlohrad and Marhanets): Subjected to widespread strikes since the evening. Missile threat reported towards Pavlohrad, with an all-clear later issued. Death of a civilian from a previous strike in Marhanets confirmed. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА))
Chernihiv Oblast: Ongoing drone activity reported near Bobrovytsia and at the intersection of Chernihiv and Kyiv Oblasts. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Cherkasy Oblast: Ongoing drone activity reported heading towards Zvenyhorodka. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Poltava Oblast: Ongoing groups of drones reported towards/past Poltava and through Kremenchuk towards Kirovohrad Oblast. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Kirovohrad Oblast: Ongoing groups of drones reported heading towards this oblast. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Bryansk Oblast (Russia - border regions): Reported 66 Ukrainian strikes on border settlements in the past day, despite a claimed Russian ceasefire. (ТАСС)
Oryol (Russia): Air raid sirens activated after missile alerts in Kursk. (Военкор Котенок)
Kubinka Airfield (Moscow Oblast, Russia): Reported Ukrainian drone strike overnight targeting personnel and equipment, with conflicting Russian reports on the extent of damage. (STERNENKO, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Rivne (Ukraine): Investigation into alleged state treason involving intelligence gathering on military facilities in Rivne. (Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Konstantinovka (Donetsk Oblast): A civilian ambulance was reportedly destroyed by two Russian FPV drones here before the ceasefire. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Zelene Pole, Bogatyr, Alekseyevka, Kostyantynopil, Hulyaypole, Chervone, Dorozhnyanka, Odradne, Komar (Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts): Russian military blogger claims successful Russian operations and claimed destruction of a variety of Ukrainian assets in these areas. (Воин DV)
Chasiv Yar (Donetsk Oblast): Positional battles reported here, with Russian forces claiming to occupy the territory of the Severny mine. (Сливочный каприз)
South Donetsk Direction: Russian MLRS activity reported as thwarting a Ukrainian Armed Forces rotation. (MoD Russia)
Moscow (Russia): Significant flight delays at airports attributed to yesterday's drone attack. Partial restrictions on taxi, carsharing, and kicksharing services reported for May 7th and 9th. Issues with "Yandex Taxi" due to communication problems in the center reported. Investigation into former Deputy Minister of Defense Kuznetsov ongoing. An activist arrested for posting a photo of Alexey Navalny. Arrival of foreign dignitaries for Victory Day events. Putin held negotiations with Xi Jinping. (Moscow News, ASTRA, Север.Реалии, ТАСС, ТАСС, Два майора, ASTRA, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Russia launched 142 drones overnight, with half being "Shaheds," and dozens more are still active. Ukrainian Air Force reports current activity of UAVs in Kyiv, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Poltava, and Kirovohrad Oblasts, detailing trajectories and locations. Reported Ukrainian drone strike on Kubinka airfield near Moscow overnight, with conflicting Russian reports on damage. Footage of Russian Ka-52 helicopters allegedly shooting down drones near Moscow during yesterday's attack is being used by Russian sources. Russian military blogger claims successful Russian operations destroying 12 "Baba Yaga" drones, 16 quadcopters, and disabling UAV operator points in areas including Zelene Pole, Bogatyr, Alekseyevka, Kostyantynopil, Hulyaypole, Chervone, Dorozhnyanka, Odradne, and Komar. Discussion among Russian military bloggers about the effectiveness of using donkeys with radio repeaters in mountainous areas because they are allegedly not targeted by drones. Concerns raised by a Russian military blogger about fire safety regulations hindering businesses from implementing physical protection against drones. A civilian ambulance in Kostyantynivka was reportedly destroyed by two Russian FPV drones before the ceasefire. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, STERNENKO, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Воин DV, МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники, Kotsnews, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Ballistic Missile Activity: Russia launched 4 ballistic missiles overnight, with one targeting Velyka Chernechchyna in Sumy Oblast and another targeting Kyiv. A missile threat was reported towards Pavlohrad, with an all-clear later issued. Russian military blogger claims "Iskanders" were used in strikes on central Ukraine this morning. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad)
Aviation: Russian aviation used aviation bombs in Sumy Oblast during rescue operations after a ballistic missile strike. Russian aviation is actively using FABs against entrenched Ukrainian groups in Tetkino. Ukrainian Air Force warns about the activity of enemy tactical aviation on the southeastern direction and the threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Footage of Russian Ka-52 helicopters allegedly shooting down drones near Moscow during yesterday's attack is being used by Russian sources. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Continued shelling reported in Sumy Oblast during rescue operations. Positional battles and shelling are ongoing near Pokrovsk and in the Kherson region despite the claimed ceasefire. Russian military blogger claims Russian forces suppressed Ukrainian forces with artillery in areas including Zelene Pole, Bogatyr, Alekseyevka, Kostyantynopil, Hulyaypole, Chervone, Dorozhnyanka, Odradne, and Komar. Russian MLRS activity reported as thwarting a Ukrainian Armed Forces rotation in the South Donetsk direction. (Zelenskiy / Official, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Воин DV, MoD Russia, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Russian-Chinese Relations: Putin and Xi Jinping continued negotiations in the Kremlin, discussing plans for future cooperation, trade, investment protection, energy, and joint film production. Both leaders emphasized their foreign policy coordination as a stabilizing factor and their joint stance on forming a more just and democratic world order based on international law and the central role of the UN. (ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС)
Victory Day Narratives and Diplomacy: Milorad Dodik and the President of Guinea-Bissau have arrived in Moscow for Victory Day events. Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov and heads of foreign delegations from numerous countries laid wreaths at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier. Putin congratulated leaders of CIS countries and the peoples of Georgia and Moldova on the 80th anniversary of Victory. Russian sources are heavily promoting the historical narrative of Victory Day, drawing parallels to the current conflict and using patriotic imagery and media. The President of Azerbaijan, Ilham Aliyev, reportedly found a reason not to attend the Victory Day events in Moscow, with some Azerbaijani media interpreting it as a "punishment" for Moscow's response to a recent aviation incident and a signal of a shift in alliances. (ТАСС, MoD Russia, ТАСС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Fighterbomber, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad, Военкор Котенок)
Peace Negotiations Discussions: A TASS report citing Russian diplomat Vasily Nebenzya claims the US demonstrates a desire for a long-term solution but that Kyiv and its European allies are trying to disrupt peace initiatives. An advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine comments on the US "silence" regarding a settlement, suggesting Washington has realized that current diplomacy is ineffective and they see Ukraine as a constructive partner, potentially leading to "tougher" US actions towards Russia. (ТАСС, РБК-Україна)
EU-Uzbekistan Relations: Rybar reports on new EU-funded projects for civil society in Uzbekistan focusing on gender equality, legal education, and media literacy, interpreted as the EU engaging in "deeper work" in Central Asia. (Рыбарь)
Ukraine-US Relations: An advisor to the Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine comments on the US stance regarding a settlement. (РБК-Україна)
Internal Ukrainian Politics: President Zelenskyy has submitted a bill to the Verkhovna Rada on creating the position of a military ombudsman, designated as urgent. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Internal Russian Politics and Security: Partial restrictions on taxi, carsharing, and kicksharing services in Moscow on May 7th and 9th, and issues with "Yandex Taxi" due to communication problems, suggest potential security measures or technical issues related to Victory Day or recent attacks. An activist in St. Petersburg has been arrested and sentenced for posting a photo of Alexey Navalny. Investigation into former Deputy Minister of Defense Kuznetsov ongoing. (ТАСС, Moscow News, ASTRA, Север.Реалии, Два майора, ASTRA)
Critique of German Companies: A Russian military blogger comments on German companies acknowledging their historical support for Nazism while a current German defense contractor supplies weapons to Ukraine, framing it as hypocrisy. (Басурин о главном)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Security and Transportation Disruptions: Significant flight delays at Moscow airports are attributed to yesterday's massive UAV attack. Partial restrictions on taxi, carsharing, and kicksharing services in Moscow on May 7th and 9th, and issues with "Yandex Taxi" due to communication problems in the center, are reported. (Moscow News, ASTRA, Север.Реалии, ТАСС)
Military Production and Industrial Facilities: Reported Ukrainian drone strikes on industrial facilities in Saransk and potentially military airfields near Moscow and Kaluga, and the "Splav" plant in Tula Oblast. (Previous reports)
Legal Investigations: The investigation into former Lieutenant General Yuri Kuznetsov, former chief of personnel of the Ministry of Defense, is reportedly complete, with accusations of receiving a large bribe. (Два майора)
Information Operations and Propaganda: Heavy promotion of Victory Day narratives and patriotic content, including music videos, parade rehearsals, and events involving children. Highlighting alleged Ukrainian disregard for the declared ceasefire. Using footage of successful air defense measures against drones near Moscow. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Fighterbomber, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad, ТАСС)
Logistical Discussions: Discussion among Russian military bloggers about the effectiveness of using donkeys with radio repeaters in mountainous areas. (МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники)
Bureaucratic Obstacles: Concerns raised by a Russian military blogger about fire safety regulations hindering businesses from implementing physical protection against drones. (Kotsnews)
Humanitarian Support for Veterans: Fundraising appeal for a Russian veteran commander who suffered severe injuries and needs funds for rehabilitation. (Военкор Котенок)
Political/Diplomatic Disagreements: The reported reason for the President of Azerbaijan's absence from Victory Day events and its interpretation by Azerbaijani media as a form of "punishment" and a signal of shifting alliances. (Военкор Котенок)
Arrests and Crackdown on Dissent: An activist in St. Petersburg has been arrested and sentenced for posting a photo of Alexey Navalny. (ASTRA)
Public Funding for Military Units: Successful completion of a fundraising campaign by a Russian military blogger for a drone and other equipment for a military unit, highlighting reliance on public support. (Сливочный каприз)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Humanitarian Situation: Confirmed civilian fatalities (2) and injuries (6, including 4 children) in Kyiv due to Russian drone attacks. One injured person from a ballistic missile attack in Kyiv. Death of a civilian from a previous strike in Marhanets confirmed, bringing the total to 10 from that incident. A civilian ambulance in Kostyantynivka was reportedly destroyed by two Russian FPV drones before the ceasefire. Russian reports of civilian casualties in Bryansk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling. (КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС)
Veteran Support: One-time financial assistance from the Kharkiv Oblast budget for WWII veterans and disabled individuals. Fundraising appeal for a Russian veteran commander who suffered severe injuries and needs funds for rehabilitation. Successful fundraising for medical backpacks for a Russian military unit. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Военкор Котенок, Сливочный каприз)
Military Aid and Equipment: Fundraising campaign for drones and related equipment for a Ukrainian unit underway. Successful fundraising for a drone and other equipment for a Russian military unit completed. Discussion among Russian military bloggers about Latvian development of autonomous drone interceptors and potential supply to Ukraine. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Сливочный каприз, Два майора)
Ukrainian Military Personnel Welfare: President Zelenskyy has submitted a bill to the Verkhovna Rada on creating the position of a military ombudsman, designated as urgent. (РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Prisoner of War Issues: Meeting at the Ukrainian Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War with families of captured marines, discussing conditions, communication, negotiations, and mechanisms for release. Highlighting that Russia does not provide official information on POWs. (Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
Internal Issues in Ukrainian Prisons: Two more employees of the Poltava penal colony notified of suspicion of torture against a prisoner in April 2025. (Офіс Генерального прокурора)

Other Information (Updated):

Casualty Reports: Confirmed civilian fatalities (2) and injuries (7, including 4 children) in Kyiv from Russian attacks. Death of a civilian from a previous strike in Marhanets confirmed, bringing the total to 10. Russian reports of civilian casualties in Bryansk Oblast due to Ukrainian shelling. Russian claims of destroying Ukrainian equipment (IMR, M-113s, Bradley, Kozak, VAB) in the Kursk border region. Russian military blogger claims successful Russian operations destroying Ukrainian drones ("Baba Yaga," quadcopters) and equipment in various areas. Fundraising appeal for a Russian veteran commander who suffered severe injuries. (КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА), ТАСС, Два майора, Военкор Котенок, Воин DV, Военкор Котенок)
Russian Military Capabilities Showcase: Footage of Russian Ka-52 helicopters allegedly shooting down drones near Moscow during yesterday's attack is being used by Russian sources. Video of Russian Defense Minister Belousov awarding medals to military personnel. Russian military blogger claims successful Russian operations utilizing artillery and FPV drones in various areas. Russian MLRS activity reported. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС, Воин DV, MoD Russia)
Information Operations: Heavy promotion of Victory Day narratives and patriotic content by Russian sources. Highlighting alleged Ukrainian disregard for the declared ceasefire and perceived Ukrainian threats. Using footage of successful air defense measures. Critique of German companies supporting Ukraine by drawing historical parallels. Commentary on political/diplomatic disagreements, such as the Azerbaijani President's absence from Victory Day events. Arrest of an activist in Russia for perceived political dissent. (АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Fighterbomber, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Оперативний ЗСУ, Старше Эдды, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, Басурин о главном, ASTRA)
Ukrainian Military Units Mentioned: 3rd Separate Assault Brigade (in the context of intelligence gathering). 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade. 113th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade. BULAVA unit (in the context of fundraising). 501st Separate Marine Battalion / 36th Marine Brigade (in the context of POWs). (Офіс Генерального прокурора, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими)
Development of Drone Interceptors by Latvia: Discussion among Russian military bloggers about Latvian development of autonomous drone interceptors and potential supply to Ukraine. (Два майора)
Funding for Military Units: Fundraising campaign for drones and related equipment for a Ukrainian unit. Successful fundraising for a drone and other equipment for a Russian military unit completed. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Сливочный каприз)
Internal Russian Issues: Security/transportation disruptions in Moscow. Legal investigation within the Ministry of Defense. Bureaucratic obstacles hindering drone defense for businesses. Humanitarian support needs for veterans. Arrests and crackdown on dissent. Public funding for military units. (ТАСС, Moscow News, ASTRA, Север.Реалии, Два майора, Kotsnews, Военкор Котенок, ASTRA, Сливочный каприз)
Ukrainian Internal Affairs: Investigation into alleged state treason in Kyiv and Rivne. Submitting a bill on a military ombudsman. Internal issues in Ukrainian prisons. (Офіс Генерального прокурора, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Офіс Генерального прокурора)
International Relations: Continued high-level negotiations between Russia and China. Arrival of foreign dignitaries in Moscow for Victory Day. Reported reason for Azerbaijani President's absence from Victory Day events. US diplomat's comments on peace initiatives. Ukrainian advisor's comments on US stance. New EU-funded civil society projects in Uzbekistan. (ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Военкор Котенок, ТАСС, РБК-Україна, Рыбарь)

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report