Sitrep 2025-05-08 07:16:26

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 8, 2025, 07:15 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment continues to be defined by intense ground combat, persistent aerial and drone activity from both sides, and targeted deep strikes. The focus remains primarily on eastern and southern Ukraine, with continued notable activity in the border regions. Information operations surrounding the approaching May 9th Victory Day remain prevalent, with both sides leveraging historical narratives. Recent reports detail ongoing Russian offensive efforts across multiple axes and fierce Ukrainian defensive actions, updated casualty figures, continued Russian aerial and drone strikes, Ukrainian deep strikes targeting Russian military production facilities and logistical hubs, and international diplomatic activity related to the conflict and other regional tensions. New information highlights continued civilian casualties and damage from Russian strikes, claims of Russian territorial gains, Ukrainian reports of repelling numerous assaults, ongoing Russian drone and air activity with specific weapon types mentioned, updated estimates of Russian losses, continued Ukrainian deep strikes, the significant impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian infrastructure and internal security concerns in Russia, information operations surrounding Victory Day and historical narratives, Russian internal security issues, Ukrainian discussions on military service for women, increased membership in a Russian youth military-patriotic movement, successful Ukrainian infrastructure restoration efforts, and a claimed Russian ceasefire that appears to be largely disregarded in areas of intense fighting.

Significant updates from the latest messages include:

Continued Intense Ground Combat, Especially on the Kursk Border: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report a "new wave of offensive" by the enemy on the Kursk front, with attacks underway at Novy Put, Volfino, and Tyotkino. They claim tanks, quad bikes, and BMPs are attempting to break through "dragon's teeth" near Novy Put, Ukrainian infantry continues to attack the outskirts of Tyotkino towards a VDV stronghold, and infantry is also attacking in tree lines towards Volfino. They state that Russian airborne troops (from Ivanovo and Crimea), reconnaissance units, and artillery are engaging the enemy. STERNENKO reports that a Russian soldier who went on a morning assault was killed. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video suggesting ongoing fighting and Russian casualties on a minefield. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 states that on separate sections of the front, including in the Tetkino area, the enemy does not observe the ceasefire, and battles continue. Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations and a Russian infantry attack and clearing of a Ukrainian stronghold north of Makeevka in the Borova area, with a claimed Russian advance of over 1 km on the western bank of the Zherebets River. Военкор Котенок claims Russian assault groups advanced over 1 km north of Chasiv Yar and entered the "Severny" mine. Сили оборони Півдня України report 32 enemy attacks repelled on the Novopavlivka direction, one unsuccessful Russian attempt on the Huliaipole direction, seven enemy attacks repelled on the Orikhiv direction, and one unsuccessful Russian attempt on the Pridniprovskyi direction over the past day. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports that before the ceasefire announcement, Russian troops advanced on the Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka directions, entering the eastern part of Troitske and controlling a significant part of the settlement according to Ukrainian analysts, and advancing west of Nelepovka along a forest belt up to 1.85 km deep on the Kostiantynivka direction, taking two strongholds and reaching the western outskirts of Leonidivka.
Russian Claimed Ceasefire Largely Disregarded: Russia announced a limited three-day ceasefire. However, multiple sources indicate continued intense fighting despite this announcement, particularly in the Tetkino area of Kursk Oblast. Alex Parker Returns reports that in Titkino, battles continue and no ceasefire has occurred, and that Ukrainians brought in reserves after the ceasefire was announced. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 states that on separate sections of the front, including in the Tetkino area, the enemy does not observe the ceasefire, and battles continue.
Continued Russian Aerial and Drone Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports high numbers of Russian drone and aerial strikes in the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast and warned of activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that at approximately 7:05 AM on May 8th, Russian forces struck a civilian car with an FPV drone near the village of Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district, injuring three women. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone, indicating the presence of unexploded ordnance. Сили оборони Півдня України report over 407 enemy shellings with nearly 1800 munitions, 660 kamikaze drone strikes, and nearly 400 drops from UAVs with over 500 munitions over the past day on the southern direction. They also report 11 air strikes with 12 guided bombs and 94 unguided aerial rockets. FPV strikes affected frontline areas in Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported a missile in Sumy Oblast heading towards Nedryhailiv.
Updated Estimated Russian Losses: Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian losses for the past day as 1200 personnel, 2 tanks, 10 armored fighting vehicles, 50 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 air defense system, 141 operational-tactical UAVs, 120 vehicles/fuel tanks, and 2 units of special equipment. The total estimated Russian personnel losses since February 24, 2022, are now 961,970. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic from the Ukrainian General Staff detailing estimated Russian losses, consistent with the figures above. Сили оборони Півдня України report eliminating dozens of units of enemy equipment on the southern direction.
Ukrainian Deep Strikes: Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that at approximately 7:05 AM on May 8th, Russian forces struck a civilian car with an FPV drone near the village of Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district, injuring three women, indicating continued Russian FPV drone usage on the Kharkiv front.
Information Operations and Narratives surrounding Victory Day: Russian sources are heavily promoting the historical significance of Victory Day. Ukrainian sources are actively countering Russian narratives. Zelenskiy / Official and Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА shared video messages on the Day of Remembrance and Victory over Nazism in World War II. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shared a statement from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi on the Day of Memory and Victory, stating that Ukraine is fighting "new Nazis" who want to destroy Ukraine and go further. The Coordinator Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a statement on the Day of Memory and Victory, emphasizing global unity against "the monster" (Russia) and that solidarity with Ukraine is the best investment in a free and safe Europe. РБК-Україна published a material explaining why May 8th is about memory and not celebration for Ukraine, highlighting the rejection of the Soviet victory cult. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared a video message commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, drawing parallels between the fight against Nazism and the current fight against "rashism". Alex Parker Returns reports on the Tetkino situation in the context of the ceasefire announcement, framing Ukrainian actions negatively. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 comments on Kyiv not officially stating a ceasefire but giving instructions to cease fire, and the enemy not observing it. РБК-Україна shares an interview with historian Roman Kabachii about the perception of WWII in Ukraine. Сливочный каприз reports on military actions in the Borova area in the context of the date (May 8th). ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares commentary on May 8th as a day of memory and victory, contrasting the Ukrainian perspective with the Russian one and drawing parallels between Nazism and "rashism". Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a woman from Pokrovsk refusing evacuation to Western Ukraine because she speaks Russian, highlighting a narrative used in the information war.
Russian Internal Security Concerns: ASTRA reports the potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service in Moscow on May 9th for security reasons. ТАСС reports on Chinese journalists gathering in the Kremlin before negotiations between Putin and Xi Jinping, and the arrival of the President of South Ossetia for Victory Day celebrations, indicating security measures and the symbolic importance of these events.
Ukrainian Military Leadership Discussions: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА reports on discussions about introducing military service for women in Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with US and European partners regarding a 30-day ceasefire. The Ukrainian delegation included high-ranking officials like the Head of the Presidential Office, Minister of Defense, and Head of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Increased "Yunarmia" Membership: ТАСС reports that the membership of "Yunarmia" has exceeded 1.8 million people.
Recovery Efforts: РБК-Україна reports that power supply has been restored to all subscribers in Poltava Oblast after yesterday's Russian shelling.
Airport Restrictions Lifted: ТАСС reports that restrictions on the reception and departure of aircraft at airports in Ivanovo and Yaroslavl have been lifted. ТАСС reports that Novokuznetsk airport is temporarily closed due to technical reasons. Север.Реалии reports restrictions were lifted at airports in Nizhny Novgorod, Ivanovo, and Yaroslavl.
International Events: ТАСС reports that the President of Ethiopia has arrived in Moscow. РБК-Україна and Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны report on a major aerial battle between Pakistan and India. РБК-Україна reports that the US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury called Putin a war criminal, explosions were heard near Amritsar airport in India, and North Korea launched several ballistic missiles towards the East Sea. ТАСС reports that Venezuela does not refuse plans to join BRICS. ТАСС reports that Chinese journalists are gathering in the Kremlin before negotiations between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, and the President of Egypt and the President of South Ossetia have arrived in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations, indicating continued diplomatic engagement with these countries. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Deputy Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Putin a war criminal but also stated the necessity of negotiating with both sides.
Military Aid: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports that Germany has transferred a new military aid package to Ukraine, including armored vehicles, howitzies, air defense missiles, tank ammunition, artillery shells, drones, recovery vehicles, mine clearance vehicles, surveillance radars, laser rangefinders, binoculars, diving scooters, equipment for border guards, anti-tank guns, assault rifles, medical tourniquets, and sleeping bags. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 is also conducting a fundraising campaign for necessary equipment for various brigades.
Economic and Political Developments (Ukraine): РБК-Україна reports that the Verkhovna Rada will vote today on the ratification of a "minerals agreement" with the US. РБК-Україна reports that bail of 18 million hryvnias was posted for former Deputy Head of the Presidential Office Smirnov. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine is considering abandoning the dollar and tying its currency more closely to the euro, citing the head of the National Bank. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on Ukraine considering transitioning from the dollar to the euro.
Ukrainian Military Commemoration: Оперативний ЗСУ reports that the "Cultural Forces" platform has presented a music album dedicated to Infantry Day. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports the opening of the "Alley of Defenders of Ukraine" near the Arch of Freedom of the Ukrainian People in Kyiv on Infantry Day. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video on Infantry Day and a video observing a moment of silence. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and Оперативний ЗСУ shared messages about the daily moment of silence. КМВА also shared a memorial for a fallen defender from Kyiv. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, observing a moment of silence and placing flowers at a memorial. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared video messages commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism in World War II. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic and text from the Ukrainian General Staff on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared photos and text commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, placing flowers at a memorial. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a photo and text from the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia" reporting the liberation of a forest area north of Lyptsi on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, framing it as a symbolic victory. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares commentary on May 8th, contrasting Ukrainian and Russian perspectives on Victory Day.
Russian Military Analysis and Capabilities Showcase: Colonelcassad shared a video showcasing the work of ZALA "Lancet" and ZALA Z-16 UAVs. Воин DV shared a historical overview of Russian Far East cities' contribution to WWII. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared information about a crashed Finnish F/A-18 fighter jet during exercises. «Зона СВО» shared a photo of a soldier with a drone, implying continued reconnaissance activities. Colonelcassad shared a video from Zvezda claiming Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers from the 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade near Lypove, who claimed to be abandoned by their command. Kotsnews shared a video claiming the "Vega" special forces unit conducted a review of enemy equipment on logistical chains on the Pokrovsk direction before the ceasefire. MoD Russia shares a video of servicemen from the "Tsentr" Group of Forces being awarded insignias. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of enemy equipment on the Tetkino direction. Сливочный каприз shares a video and photo claiming active combat and Russian advances in the Borova area. Военкор Котенок claims Russian advances north of Chasiv Yar.
Ukrainian Military Units in Action: Оперативний ЗСУ shared a video claiming to show fighters of the 25th Separate Airborne Brigade dropping something. DeepState mentions the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia" and the 92nd Separate Assault Brigade in the liberation of a forest area north of Lyptsi. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС mentions the "SIGNUM" battalion on the Lyman direction. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a photo and text from the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia" reporting the liberation of a forest area north of Lyptsi. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shared photos of an armored vehicle with "cope cage" armor belonging to the 81st Airmobile Slobozhanska Brigade, highlighting its use in protecting against drone threats.
Russian Claims of Capturing Ukrainian Soldiers: Colonelcassad shared a video claiming Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers from the 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade near Lypove in the DNR.
Finland Military Exercise and Aircraft Crash: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared information about a crashed Finnish F/A-18 fighter jet during exercises.
Unexploded Ordnance: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone.
Ukrainian Negotiations on Ceasefire: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with US and European partners regarding a 30-day ceasefire.

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Pokrovsk Direction: Remains the most intense area of combat with 61 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian troops advanced here before the ceasefire. Kotsnews reports continued targeting of enemy logistics here before the ceasefire.
Novopavlivka Direction: Experienced the second-highest intensity with 32 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Сили оборони Півдня України report repelling 32 enemy attacks here over the past day, near Kostiantynopol, Novosilka, Vilne Pole, Novopil, Bahatyr, and Otradne.
Sumy Direction (Border Area): Experienced 19 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. WarGonzo reports intense fighting near Tyotkino. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports Russian tactical aviation launched KABs towards Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України reports missile activity in northern Sumy Oblast heading west and warns of tactical aviation activity on the northeastern direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports enemy air strikes on residential areas in Bilopilska community this morning, with a woman rescued from rubble, and a local resident killed in Sumy district due to night shelling. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast. Север.Реалии reports that despite the ceasefire announcement, the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported attacks on Sumy Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported a missile in Sumy Oblast heading towards Nedryhailiv.
Kursk Direction (Border Area): WarGonzo reports intense fighting near Tyotkino and Novy Put. Два майора reports continued intense fighting in Tetkino despite the ceasefire, with an early morning Ukrainian "nakat" being repelled with significant claimed Ukrainian casualties. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report a "new wave of offensive" by the enemy on the Kursk front, with attacks underway at Novy Put, Volfino, and Tyotkino. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of enemy equipment on the Tetkino direction. Alex Parker Returns reports that in Titkino, battles continue and no ceasefire has occurred. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 states that on separate sections of the front, including in the Tetkino area, the enemy does not observe the ceasefire.
Lyman Direction: Experienced 24 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of "SIGNUM" battalion pilots' work here.
Toretsk Direction: Experienced 13 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Рыбарь provides detailed analysis of intense fighting and claimed Russian advances here.
Kharkiv Direction: Experienced 11 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports enemy used 1 Lancet UAV, 24 Shahed-type UAVs, and 1 Iskander missile on Kharkiv Oblast over the past day, damaging civilian infrastructure. DeepState reports that fighters of the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia," in cooperation with the 92nd Separate Assault Brigade, have liberated a forest area north of Lyptsi. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports that at approximately 7:05 AM on May 8th, Russian forces struck a civilian car with an FPV drone near the village of Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district, injuring three women. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a photo and text from the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia" reporting the liberation of a forest area north of Lyptsi on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic and text from the Ukrainian General Staff on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism.
Kramatorsk Direction: Experienced 10 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day.
Orikhiv Direction: Experienced 7 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Сили оборони Півдня України report successfully repelling seven enemy attacks in the areas of Stepove, Kamyanske, and Shcherbaky over the past day.
Siversk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day.
Kupiansk Direction: Experienced 6 engagements reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Олег Синєгубов reports civilian infrastructure damage here.
Huliaipole Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Сили оборони Півдня України report one unsuccessful attempt by the enemy to advance in the direction of Vysokye over the past day.
Pridniprovskyi Direction: Experienced 1 unsuccessful Russian attempt to advance reported by the Ukrainian General Staff in the past day. Сили оборони Півдня України report the enemy attempted to advance once unsuccessfully over the past day.
Borova Area: Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations and a Russian infantry attack and clearing of a Ukrainian stronghold north of Makeevka, with a claimed Russian advance of over 1 km on the western bank of the Zherebets River.
Chasiv Yar Direction: Военкор Котенок claims Russian assault groups advanced over 1 km north of Chasiv Yar and entered the "Severny" mine.
Kostiantynivka (Donetsk Oblast): Hit by a Russian aviation strike using a FAB-250 on May 7th, resulting in 12 civilian injuries and potentially one person under the rubble. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian troops advanced here before the ceasefire. Север.Реалии reports 12 people were injured by a Russian bomb here an hour before the ceasefire.
Novopavlivska community (Synelnykove district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Hit by Russian KAB strikes, injuring a 72-year-old woman and damaging infrastructure. Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here.
Velykomykhailivska community (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Hit by a Russian drone attack, damaging a house. Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here.
Nikopol and Marhanets communities (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Attacked by Russian artillery and a kamikaze drone. Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here.
Tyotkino (Kursk Oblast, Russia): WarGonzo reports intense fighting. Два майора reports continued intense fighting despite the ceasefire. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report a "new wave of offensive" by the enemy here. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of enemy equipment here. Alex Parker Returns reports that battles continue here and no ceasefire has occurred. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 states that the enemy does not observe the ceasefire here. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Ukrainian infantry and an armored group are attempting to break through towards Tyotkino.
Novy Put (Kursk Oblast, Russia): WarGonzo reports that Ukrainian attacks in this direction were repelled. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report a "new wave of offensive" by the enemy here.
Volfino (Kursk Oblast, Russia): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report a "new wave of offensive" by the enemy here.
Troitske (Donetsk Oblast): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces entered the eastern part and control a significant portion of the settlement before the ceasefire.
Nelepovka (Donetsk Oblast): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces advanced west of here before the ceasefire.
Leonidivka (Donetsk Oblast): Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Russian forces reached the western outskirts here before the ceasefire.
Makeevka Area (Borova): Сливочный каприз reports active combat operations and a Russian infantry attack and clearing of a Ukrainian stronghold north of here, with a claimed Russian advance of over 1 km on the western bank of the Zherebets River.
Severny Mine (Chasiv Yar): Военкор Котенок claims Russian assault groups advanced over 1 km north of Chasiv Yar and entered this mine.
Mykolaiv Oblast (Frontline areas): Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here.
Kherson Oblast (Frontline areas): Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here, with 6 people injured.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Frontline areas): Сили оборони Півдня України report FPV strikes affected frontline areas here, with 1 person injured from drone terror and 4 injured from a massive aviation strike.
Sumy District (Sumy Oblast): ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a local resident was killed here due to night shelling.
Velyki Prokhody (Kharkiv District, Kharkiv Oblast): Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a civilian car was struck by a Russian FPV drone near here, injuring three women.
Nedryhailiv (Sumy Oblast): Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported a missile in Sumy Oblast heading towards this location.
Lypove (DNR): Colonelcassad shared a video claiming Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers from the 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade near here.

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia used 2891 kamikaze drones in the past day and 141 operational-tactical UAVs were destroyed. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports a civilian car was struck by a Russian FPV drone near Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district, injuring three women. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone. Сили оборони Півдня України report 660 kamikaze drone strikes and nearly 400 drops from UAVs with over 500 munitions over the past day on the southern direction. FPV strikes affected frontline areas in Mykolaiv, Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. «Зона СВО» shared a photo of a soldier with a drone, implying continued reconnaissance activities. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of enemy equipment, likely by drones, on the Tetkino direction. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 is conducting a fundraising campaign for necessary equipment, including for various brigades, likely including drones.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia launched 1157 guided bombs in the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported launches of KABs towards Sumy Oblast. Сили оборони Півдня України report 11 air strikes with 12 guided bombs over the past day on the southern direction. Север.Реалии reports 12 people were injured by a Russian bomb in Kostiantynivka an hour before the ceasefire.
Missile Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia launched 2 missile strikes using 2 missiles in the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported a missile in Sumy Oblast heading towards Nedryhailiv. Сили оборони Півдня України report 11 air strikes with 94 unguided aerial rockets (NAR) over the past day on the southern direction.
Aviation: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted 89 air strikes in the past day. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine warned about the activity of enemy tactical aviation on the northeastern direction and the threat of aviation weapons for frontline oblasts. Сили оборони Півдня України report 11 air strikes with 12 guided bombs and 94 unguided aerial rockets over the past day on the southern direction. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports enemy air strikes on residential areas in Bilopilska community this morning. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared information about a crashed Finnish F/A-18 fighter jet during exercises. Сливочный каприз shares a video claiming active combat in the Borova area, potentially involving air support.
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Ukrainian General Staff reports Russia conducted over 6000 shellings, including 151 from MLRS, in the past day. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a local resident was killed in Sumy district due to night shelling. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shared a video suggesting ongoing fighting and Russian casualties on a minefield, potentially caused by artillery or drones. Сили оборони Півдня України report over 407 enemy shellings with nearly 1800 munitions over the past day on the southern direction. They also report continued fire from various types of artillery and MLRS on frontline territories and settlements in Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report Russian artillery engaging the enemy on the Kursk front. Сливочный каприз reports on military actions in the Borova area, likely involving artillery.

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Victory Day Narratives: Both Russian and Ukrainian sources are actively engaged in information operations related to Victory Day, promoting competing narratives and drawing parallels between historical events and the current conflict. Zelenskiy / Official, Олег Синєгубов, and 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared video messages commemorating the Day of Remembrance and Victory over Nazism in World War II. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ shared a statement from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi on the Day of Memory and Victory, stating that Ukraine is fighting "new Nazis". The Coordinator Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War shared a statement emphasizing global unity against Russia. РБК-Україна published a material explaining why May 8th is about memory and not celebration for Ukraine. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares commentary contrasting Ukrainian and Russian perspectives on Victory Day. РБК-Україна shares an interview with historian Roman Kabachii about the perception of WWII in Ukraine.
US Politics: The US Deputy Secretary of the Treasury called Putin a war criminal. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that US Deputy Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called Putin a war criminal but also stated the necessity of negotiating with both sides.
Ukraine-US Relations: The Verkhovna Rada will vote today on ratifying a "minerals agreement" with the US. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with US and European partners regarding a 30-day ceasefire, with US Special Representatives participating.
International Relations: The President of Ethiopia arrived in Moscow. Venezuela does not refuse plans to join BRICS. ТАСС reports that Chinese journalists are gathering in the Kremlin before negotiations between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping. ТАСС reports that the President of Egypt and the President of South Ossetia have arrived in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations.
India-Pakistan Conflict: Reported large-scale aerial battle. Explosions near Amritsar airport.
Germany: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports Germany has provided a new military aid package to Ukraine. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with European partners, including a diplomatic advisor to the German Chancellor, regarding a 30-day ceasefire.
Internal Ukrainian Politics: Bail of 18 million hryvnias posted for former Deputy Head of the Presidential Office Smirnov. Ukraine is considering abandoning the dollar and tying its currency more closely to the euro. Оперативний ЗСУ also reports on Ukraine considering transitioning from the dollar to the euro.
Russian Claimed Ceasefire: Russia announced a limited three-day ceasefire. Multiple sources indicate this ceasefire is largely disregarded in areas of intense fighting, particularly in the Tetkino area. РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with partners regarding a 30-day ceasefire, separate from the Russian announcement. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 comments on Kyiv not officially stating a ceasefire but giving instructions to cease fire, and the enemy not observing it.
Ukraine-EU Relations: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with EU partners regarding a 30-day ceasefire.
Ukraine-Nordic/Baltic Countries Relations: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with partners from Northern Europe and the Baltic States regarding a 30-day ceasefire.
Ukraine-France Relations: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with a diplomatic advisor to the President of France regarding a 30-day ceasefire.
Ukraine-UK Relations: РБК-Україна reports that Ukraine held online negotiations with a advisor to the Prime Minister of Britain regarding a 30-day ceasefire.

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security Concerns: Potential disconnection of mobile internet and cellular service in Moscow on May 9th for security reasons. ТАСС reports on security measures related to the arrival of foreign dignitaries in Moscow for Victory Day celebrations.
Impact of Ukrainian Attacks: WarGonzo claims widespread airline delays and cancellations due to drone attacks. Temporary airport closure in Novokuznetsk. Possible fire at the KamAZ plant in Naberezhnye Chelny. Север.Реалии reports restrictions were lifted at airports in Nizhny Novgorod, Ivanovo, and Yaroslavl. Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia), a pro-Russian Finnish source, posted about the severe threat to Finland's viability due to the cessation of eastern trade, suggesting the economic impact of sanctions and geopolitical realignments.
Youth Engagement: Increased membership in "Yunarmia."
Casualties: Colonelcassad reports that 134 CPRF members have died in the "SMO." ASTRA reports the death of a military medical commission head in Sevastopol due to an accidental self-inflicted gunshot wound. DeepState reports almost 1500 enemy soldiers killed and wounded in the forest area north of Lyptsi. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic from the Ukrainian General Staff detailing estimated Russian losses. Два майора reports significant claimed Ukrainian casualties ("all 200") during the early morning "nakat" on Tetkino and among those who entered Chapaeva Street yesterday. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shared a video suggesting Russian casualties on a minefield. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a local resident was killed in Sumy district due to night shelling, and three women were injured near Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district. Сили оборони Півдня України report 6 people injured in Kherson Oblast and 5 injured in Zaporizhzhia Oblast from Russian attacks.

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Humanitarian Situation: Civilian injuries and damage to residential and commercial infrastructure in Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Donetsk Oblasts due to Russian strikes. Potential for further casualties under rubble in Kostiantynivka. A man injured by an explosive device in Kharkiv Oblast. Damage to civilian infrastructure in Izium and Kupiansk districts of Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO reports a woman killed and two injured in Sumy Oblast due to Russian air strikes this morning. РБК-Україна reports on a woman rescued from under rubble in Bilopilska community, Sumy Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports enemy air strikes on residential areas in Bilopilska community this morning, with a woman rescued from rubble, and a local resident being killed in Sumy district due to night shelling. Офіс Генерального прокурора reports three women were injured when a civilian car was struck by a Russian FPV drone near Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district. Сили оборони Півдня України report 6 people injured in Kherson Oblast and 5 injured in Zaporizhzhia Oblast from Russian attacks. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared photos and text commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, placing flowers at a memorial in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video of a woman from Pokrovsk refusing evacuation due to language concerns, highlighting a challenge in humanitarian efforts.
Infrastructure Restoration: Power restored in Poltava Oblast after shelling.
Veteran Support: Completion of payments to WWII veterans by May 9th.
Military Aid to Ukraine: Germany has provided a new military aid package to Ukraine. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 is conducting a fundraising campaign for necessary equipment for various brigades.
Ukrainian Military Culture and Commemoration: The "Cultural Forces" platform has presented a music album dedicated to Infantry Day. The "Alley of Defenders of Ukraine" has been opened in Kyiv on Infantry Day. Commemoration of fallen defenders, including one from Kyiv. Daily moment of silence observed for those killed in the war. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shared a video commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, observing a moment of silence and placing flowers at a memorial. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared video messages commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism in World War II. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic and text from the Ukrainian General Staff on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) shared photos and text commemorating the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism, placing flowers at a memorial. Оперативний ЗСУ shared a photo and text from the 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia" reporting the liberation of a forest area north of Lyptsi on the Day of Memory and Victory over Nazism. ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 shares commentary on May 8th, contrasting Ukrainian and Russian perspectives on Victory Day.

Other Information (Updated):

Casualty Reports: Ukrainian General Staff reports estimated Russian losses for the past day as 1200 personnel. Colonelcassad reports that 134 CPRF members have died in the "SMO." ASTRA reports the death of a military medical commission head in Sevastopol due to an accidental self-inflicted gunshot wound. DeepState reports almost 1500 enemy soldiers killed and wounded in the forest area north of Lyptsi. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shared a graphic from the Ukrainian General Staff detailing estimated Russian losses. Два майора reports significant claimed Ukrainian casualties ("all 200") during the early morning "nakat" on Tetkino and among those who entered Chapaeva Street yesterday. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shared a video suggesting Russian casualties on a minefield. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports a local resident was killed in Sumy district due to night shelling, and three women were injured near Velyki Prokhody in Kharkiv district. Сили оборони Півдня України report 6 people injured in Kherson Oblast and 5 injured in Zaporizhzhia Oblast from Russian attacks. STERNENKO reports a Russian soldier who went on a morning assault was killed.
Russian Military Capabilities Showcase: АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming Russian FPV drone crews destroyed enemy transports and a UAV control antenna. WarGonzo shares a front report. Colonelcassad shared a video showcasing the work of Russian ZALA "Lancet" and ZALA Z-16 UAVs. Воин DV shared a historical overview of Russian Far East cities' contribution to WWII. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shared information about a crashed Finnish F/A-18 fighter jet during exercises. «Зона СВО» shared a photo of a soldier with a drone. Colonelcassad shared a video from Zvezda claiming Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers from the 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade near Lypove. Kotsnews shared a video claiming the "Vega" special forces unit conducted a review of enemy equipment on logistical chains on the Pokrovsk direction before the ceasefire. MoD Russia shares a video of servicemen from the "Tsentr" Group of Forces being awarded insignias. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА shares a video claiming the destruction of enemy equipment on the Tetkino direction. Сливочный каприз shares a video and photo claiming active combat and Russian advances in the Borova area. Военкор Котенок claims Russian advances north of Chasiv Yar.
Ukrainian Military Blogger Reporting: DeepState, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, and STERNENKO continue to provide updates and commentary. Alex Parker Returns and Сливочный каприз also provide reports.
Information Operations: Both sides continue extensive information operations, particularly focused on the narrative around Victory Day and the ongoing conflict. Multiple sources are engaged in disseminating narratives related to the ceasefire, its observance, and ongoing combat. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video highlighting the information operation related to language in Ukraine.
Ukrainian Military Units: 25th Separate Airborne Brigade, 13th Brigade of the National Guard of Ukraine "Khartia," 92nd Separate Assault Brigade, "SIGNUM" battalion mentioned. Colonelcassad shared a video claiming Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers from the 77th Separate Airmobile Brigade near Lypove. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shared photos of an armored vehicle belonging to the 81st Airmobile Slobozhanska Brigade.
Unexploded Ordnance: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shared a video of a sapper working with an unexploded enemy FPV drone.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report