Sitrep 2025-05-07 07:34:35

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 7, 2025, 07:33 UTC)

Updated Situation

The operational environment remains characterized by intense ground combat across multiple axes, particularly the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Novopavlivka directions. Fighting in the Kursk border region continues, with conflicting Russian reports of repelling a Ukrainian armored assault near Tetkino and Novy Put', claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment including a tank and armored vehicles, while also reporting Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties in Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts. Simultaneously, there is widespread and ongoing Russian aerial activity across numerous Ukrainian oblasts, primarily utilizing "Shahed" drones, with new groups reported moving towards central and western Ukraine, including towards Poltava and Vinnytsia Oblasts. A significant Russian aerial attack on Kyiv involved a ballistic missile (intercepted) and 28 drones, resulting in 2 civilian fatalities and 7 injuries (including 4 children), and damage to residential buildings and infrastructure across multiple districts (Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi). Ukrainian drone attacks are confirmed against Russian industrial facilities in Saransk (optical fiber and likely "Saranskkabel" machine-building plants), and reportedly the "Splav" plant in Tula Oblast (MLRS manufacturer), and possibly the Kubinka military airfield in Moscow Oblast and Shaikovka airfield in Kaluga Oblast, leading to flight restrictions at Moscow airports (Zhukovsky, Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo) and restrictions in Kaluga, Tambov, Yaroslavl, and Nizhnekamsk, causing disruptions to civilian air travel. Humanitarian impacts continue, with civilian casualties reported in Kyiv, Kharkiv Oblast (including from unexploded ordnance), Zaporizhzhia, and in the Russian border regions (Bryansk and Kursk Oblasts). Information operations and diplomatic communications continue to be a factor, including competing narratives around military successes and the escalating conflict between India and Pakistan. Internal Russian security incidents and events unrelated to the direct conflict are also being reported, alongside potential disruptions to banking services in Moscow due to internet issues. A claimed Russian unilateral ceasefire for Victory Day (May 7-10) is contradicted by ongoing Russian offensive actions and a claimed massive Ukrainian strike repelled by Russian air defense in Bryansk Oblast. Ukrainian forces are also commemorating Infantry Day and a specific UAV battalion. Fundraising efforts for both Ukrainian and Russian military units (drones and thermal ponchos) continue.

New significant updates and analysis from the latest messages (past hour):

Updated Civilian Casualties and Damage in Kyiv: ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS and Офіс Генерального прокурора provide updated figures for the Russian attack on Kyiv, confirming 2 fatalities and 7 injuries (including 4 children). They detail damage to multiple multi-story residential buildings and a non-residential building in Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts. The Kyiv City Prosecutor's Office has initiated a war crimes investigation. This reinforces the severity and human cost of the attack, providing more precise figures and outlining the legal response. (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора)
Confirmed Ukrainian Drone Attacks on Russian Airfields (Kubinka and Shaikovka): Fighterbomber (Russian source) claims a Ukrainian drone attack on Kubinka airfield (Moscow Oblast), home to Russian aerobatic teams, stating the attempt was to disrupt the Victory Day parade. РБК-Україна and Оперативний ЗСУ, citing the Center for Countering Disinformation, confirm Ukrainian drone attacks on both Kubinka airfield and Shaikovka airfield (Kaluga Oblast), which houses Tu-22m3 bombers and X-22 missiles. They also reiterate attacks on the Saransk optical fiber plant and the Tula MLRS plant. ASTRA, citing NASA fire monitoring data, confirms fires at both Shaikovka and Kubinka military airfields after the drone attacks. This strongly indicates successful Ukrainian strikes against significant Russian military aviation infrastructure, potentially impacting strategic bomber operations and ceremonial flights. The use of NASA satellite data provides independent verification of fires at these locations. (Fighterbomber, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ASTRA, ASTRA, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ)
Updated Russian Air Defense Claims Over Bryansk Oblast: ТАСС and Два майора, citing the Bryansk Governor, reiterate the claim that over 140 aerial targets, including one cruise missile, were destroyed over Bryansk Oblast from the evening of May 6th through the night. This is a repeated significant Russian claim of repelling a large-scale Ukrainian aerial attack. (ТАСС, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Russian Claims of Advances and Fighting in Eastern Ukraine: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА provide a morning summary. Рыбарь claims Russian forces advanced west of Kamenka on the northern Kupyansk direction. They also claim Ukrainian forces admit to Russian forces occupying the remaining part of the Bilohorivka chalk quarry and advancing up to 3.5 km on the Siversk direction, with heavy fighting continuing near Hryhorivka. On the Kostiantynivka direction, Рыбарь claims the Russian flag was raised in Novooleksandrivka and strongholds between Tarasivka and Novooleksandrivka were taken, covering the Krasnoarmiysk-Kostiantynivka highway. Heavy fighting continues near Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmiysk), with confirmation of success in Lysovka and renewed attacks near Kotlyarivka, aiming towards the borders of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. On the South Donetsk direction, they claim Ukrainian forces are committing elite airborne and chasseur units to slow Russian advances towards Bohatyr and Otradne. Positional battles continue on the Orikhiv direction near Novodanylivka, Shcherbaky, Stepove, Kamianske, and Mala Tokmachka. These Russian reports continue to emphasize claimed Russian tactical gains across multiple fronts in eastern and southern Ukraine, highlighting specific locations of intense fighting and claimed territorial changes. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Russian Claims of Civilian Casualties in Bryansk and Donetsk Oblasts: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report that in Bryansk Oblast, Ukrainian FPV drone attacks on Starye Yurkovichi (Klimovsky district) resulted in injuries to a local resident. They also claim a deliberate FPV drone strike on a civilian vehicle in Sluchevsk (Pogarsky district) resulted in a civilian fatality. In Donetsk People's Republic, they report injuries to a road construction worker near Donetsk-Yasynuvata due to an explosive device, injuries to a woman in Horlivka from a Ukrainian drone drop, and injuries to a man in Kurakhove from the detonation of an explosive device. These are Russian claims of civilian casualties caused by Ukrainian actions in Russian border regions and occupied territories. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Continued Intense Fighting and Claimed Russian Successes in Kursk Border Region: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА reiterate that near Tetkino and Novy Put', Ukrainian forces continued attempts to break through and deepen into Russian territory. They claim Ukrainian forces were stopped by heavy fire from artillery, aviation, and drones, with equipment burned near the border. They also claim Ukrainian forces partially entered Tetkino but were "erased to dust" by FABs by evening. This aligns with previous Russian reporting on intense fighting in this border area and claims of repelling Ukrainian attempts with significant force. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Continued Russian Air Strikes and Drone Activity: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА report that overnight, Russian forces conducted missile strikes on Kyiv and "Geran" (Shahed) drone attacks on Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Chernihiv, and Konotop. This indicates continued Russian aerial attacks across a wide area of Ukraine. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Escalation and Civilian Casualties in Belgorod Oblast: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА state that Belgorod Oblast suffers from daily Ukrainian strikes on the civilian population, listing Shebekino, Grafovka, Cheremoshnoye, Saltykovo, Berezovka, and Bogun-Gorodok as being under attack. This highlights the ongoing impact of cross-border shelling and drone attacks on civilian areas in Russia. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Confirmed Second Facility Attacked in Saransk and Road Closures: ASTRA confirms that the second enterprise attacked in Saransk was likely the "Saranskkabel" machine-building plant, in addition to the "Optical Fiber Systems" plant. They report that movement is blocked in the areas of the attacked factories. This provides more specific information on the targets of the Ukrainian drone attacks in Saransk, indicating strikes on industrial facilities. (ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Disruptions to Air Travel in Russia Due to Airport Restrictions: Новости Москвы and ASTRA report widespread cancellations and merging of flights by Russian airlines due to temporary airport restrictions implemented due to drone attacks. They highlight significant congestion at Vnukovo airport and a diverted flight to Kazan due to Sheremetyevo closure. This emphasizes the tangible impact of Ukrainian drone attacks on civilian infrastructure and daily life within Russia. (Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Ukrainian Air Force Reports Ongoing Drone Movement: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports on continued UAV movement. They report drones in Sumy Oblast via Okhtyrka and Lebedyn towards Poltava Oblast, drones in Cherkasy Oblast past Zolotonosha, Kaniv, and Korsun-Shevchenkivskyi, drones in Poltava Oblast via Dykan'ka towards Poltava, and drones in Vinnytsia Oblast towards Pohrebyshche. This indicates persistent Russian drone activity and targeting of various regions in central and western Ukraine. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Ukrainian Commemoration and Information Operations: БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a released POW singing. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ and Оперативний ЗСУ share images and captions for a daily 9:00 AM national moment of silence for those killed in the war. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України commemorate the anniversary of the 421st Separate Unmanned Systems Battalion of the DShV. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and Platform of Memory Memorial honor a fallen soldier from Kyiv. These posts are part of Ukrainian information operations aimed at maintaining morale, honoring sacrifices, highlighting resilience, and garnering support. (БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація))
Russian Military Blogger Commentary and Information Operations: Kadyrov_95 shares a video claiming successful FPV drone strikes by the Sheikh Mansur battalion against Ukrainian positions near Stroivka (Kharkiv direction), claiming destruction of a stronghold and seven Ukrainian fatalities. Воин DV shares a video claiming "Vostok" grouping army aviation strikes on Ukrainian positions near Novopol. Colonelcassad shares a video showcasing an FPV drone operator and claiming destruction of Western equipment. Рыбарь shares information on a Russian facial recognition project ("Reflection of a Hero") for public engagement and promoting historical figures. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for thermal imaging ponchos. These are examples of Russian military blogger activity contributing to information operations, showcasing claimed successes, highlighting specific units, and engaging in fundraising for military needs. (Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, Воин DV, Воин DV, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Ukrainian Report on Russian Activity in Kharkiv Oblast and Casualties: Олег Синєгубов, Governor of Kharkiv Oblast, reports that 5 settlements in the oblast were affected by enemy strikes in the past day. He reports 2 injuries in Kupyansk, a 16-year-old injured in Starovirivka, and two fatalities and one injury in Izium due to detonation of an explosive device. He details the use of 7 KABs, 19 Shahed drones, and 5 FPV drones by Russian forces. Damage to civilian infrastructure (private houses, outbuildings, power lines, farm warehouses) is reported in Bohodukhiv and Kupyansk districts. He reports 171 combat engagements in the past day, including 8 near Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory (Kharkiv direction) and 3 near Zahryzove and Petropavlivka (Kupyansk direction). This provides a detailed Ukrainian account of Russian activity, casualties, and damage in Kharkiv Oblast, including the specific types of weapons used and areas of combat engagement. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА)
Medical Preparedness Information: Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares photos and text demonstrating providing first aid for massive groin bleeding using improvised methods (tamponade, two tourniquets, and a water flask for pressure). This highlights the importance of tactical medicine and improvisation in combat conditions. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Russian Domestic Issue - Online Scams: ТАСС reports that fraudsters are scamming sellers on online platforms by directing them to messengers and using fake pages to steal bank card data during payment confirmation. This is a domestic security issue in Russia. (ТАСС)
Ukrainian Humanitarian Commemoration: 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 shares a video about the daily 9:00 AM minute of silence in Zaporizhzhia to honor those killed in the war, both military and civilian. This highlights the ongoing humanitarian impact and public commemoration efforts in Ukraine. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Russian Discussion of Counter-UAV Measures: Рыбарь and АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА note that Russian regions are adopting the practice of disabling mobile internet to disorient some enemy drones. This indicates an adaptation in Russian counter-UAV tactics. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Russian Military Blogger Analysis on Kursk Direction: Colonelcassad shares an analysis from @Multi_XAM on the situation on the Kursk direction on May 6th. It reports Ukrainian attempts to break through in the Glushkovo direction with elements of the 21st Mechanized and 107th Territorial Defense Brigades, supported by drone groups and artillery. The analysis suggests the Ukrainian command aims to stretch Russian forces and gain a political/media victory before May 9th, also compensating for reputational losses. It notes that despite lacking a serious tactical bridgehead capability, Ukrainian actions are designed to be attritional and allow for resonant statements. This Russian military blogger analysis provides insights into the perceived Ukrainian objectives and capabilities in the Kursk border region from a Russian perspective. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast: Subjected to a significant Russian ballistic missile and multi-phased drone attack (28 UAVs). Successful interception of a ballistic missile with debris impact in Solomianskyi district (1 injured). 11 drones shot down in Kyiv/surroundings, 10 left airspace, 3 lost. Significant damage to civilian infrastructure in Solomianskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, Dniprovskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts, including multi-story building fires and partial destruction. Confirmed casualties in Kyiv: 2 dead, 7 injured (4 children). Drone movement reported in the Myronivka/Bohuslav area and from southern Kyiv Oblast towards Vinnytsia Oblast (previous). New reports of drones heading towards Bila Tserkva (previous) and several groups through Pyriatyn towards Cherkasy Oblast. (Previous reports, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Офіс Генерального прокурора, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Kursk Oblast (Russia): Renewed Ukrainian ground offensive towards Tetkino and Novy Put' reported by Russian sources, claiming a Ukrainian armored assault with a tank, IMR, M-113s, Bradley, and Kozak. Russian sources claim the attack was repelled with the destruction of a Ukrainian tank and other armored vehicles and that Ukrainian forces were "erased to dust" by FABs after partially entering Tetkino. Ukrainian drone attacks reported causing civilian casualties in Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts. Evacuation of Glushkovo village is underway (previous). Russian General Staff reports repelling 11 enemy attacks with significant shelling and aviation activity (previous). Russian military blogger analysis suggests Ukrainian attempts aim to stretch Russian forces and gain a political/media victory. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, ТАСС, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad)
Saransk (Mordovia, Russia): Targeted by Ukrainian drone attacks, reportedly striking the optical fiber plant and likely the "Saranskkabel" machine-building plant, resulting in fires. Movement is blocked in the areas of the attacked factories. (Previous reports, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Tula Oblast (Russia): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on the "Splav" plant ("Rostec" enterprise manufacturing MLRS systems and ammunition). Verification of impact on the production building is ongoing (previous). (STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна)
Moscow Oblast (Russia): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on the Kubinka military airfield. Airports near Moscow (Zhukovsky, Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo) are experiencing temporary restrictions and disruptions to civilian air travel due to attacks. Sberbank warns of potential mobile internet disruptions (previous). (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Fighterbomber, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Subjected to a massive Russian UAV attack between 21:55 and 22:20 on May 6th, resulting in 4 injuries and extensive damage to civilian and critical infrastructure (previous). Russian shelling also resulted in 4 injuries, hitting houses and critical infrastructure, causing power outages (previous). Overnight, Russian "Geran" drones worked on Zaporizhzhia. Daily 9:00 AM minute of silence for those killed in the war. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Генеральний штаб ЗSU, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Donetsk Oblast (Lysovka, Uspenovka, Novoalexandrovka, Kotlyarovka, Troitskoye, Krasnoarmeysk/Pokrovsk, Muravka, Dimitrov, Mirolyubovka, Zverevo, Novosergeyevka, Alekseevka, Seversk, Minkovka, Chasov Yar, Kurdyumovka, Konstantinovka, Ivanopolye, Bogatyr, Fedorovka, Volnoye Pole, Novopol, Yablonovka, Horlivka, Kurakhove, Donetsk-Yasynuvata): Russian Ministry of Defense and Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claim the liberation of Lysovka (previous). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 claims Russian forces practically pushed the enemy out of Uspenovka, with ongoing battles in Novoalexandrovka, liberation of Kotlyarovka, and advancement towards Troitskoye in the Krasnoarmiysk (Pokrovsk) direction (previous). Colonelcassad shares Russian MoD report claiming continued advancements by the "Vostok" grouping in the depth of enemy defenses (previous). Russian MoD claims strikes against Ukrainian forces in numerous settlements across Donetsk Oblast, including Seversk, Chasov Yar, and the Pokrovsk direction (previous). Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian BMP-1TS in Yablonovka using an FPV drone (previous). Russian military bloggers report continued fierce battles on the Donetsk front, including near Bogatyr and Otradne, with Ukraine committing reserves, and claimed tactical successes near Kotlyarovka and Preobrazhenka (previous). Ukrainian General Staff reports 171 total combat engagements across all fronts in the past day (previous). Russian military bloggers claim the Russian flag was raised in Novooleksandrivka and strongholds between Tarasivka and Novooleksandrivka were taken. Russian reports claim injuries to a road construction worker near Donetsk-Yasynuvata and a woman in Horlivka from a Ukrainian drone drop, and a man in Kurakhove from detonation of an explosive device. Воин DV claims "Vostok" grouping army aviation strikes near Novopol. (Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, WarGonzo, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Воин DV, Воин DV)
Novopavlivka Direction: Reported intensified enemy assaults, with Russian forces moving in large groups (previous). Ukrainian drone operators and infantry are actively engaged in defense, inflicting losses (previous). A bridge over the Solona River was reportedly destroyed by Russian KABs (previous). (Президентська бригада ЗСУ, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)
Bryansk Oblast (Russia): Russian Governor claims repelling a massive Ukrainian strike with over 140 aerial targets destroyed, including a cruise missile, from yesterday evening through the night. Russian reports claim Ukrainian FPV drone attacks caused civilian casualties in Starye Yurkovichi and Sluchevsk. (AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, ТАСС, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Cherkasy Oblast: Several groups of drones reported past Drabiv (previous). Five drones at the intersection with Kyiv Oblast moving southwest (previous). New reports of several groups through Pyriatyn towards Cherkasy Oblast and drones in the Kaniv area (previous). New reports of drones past Zolotonosha, Kaniv, and Korsun-Shevchenkivskyi. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Zhytomyr Oblast: Drone reported towards Zviahel (previous). One drone reportedly towards/through Zviahel (previous). (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
Sumy Oblast (Iskriskivshchina, Rechki, Yablonovka, Yunakovka, Miropolye, Turya, Sorokino, Korenek, Novovasilievka, Baranovka, Pavlovka, Okhtyrka, Lebedyn): New groups of drones from Sumy Oblast past Romny heading to Chernihiv Oblast (previous). Twelve drones from Sumy Oblast heading towards/through Pryluky (previous). Ukrainian drone attacks reported causing civilian casualties in Sudzhansky district of Kursk Oblast, bordering Sumy Oblast. Renewed Ukrainian ground offensive attempt in the border region. Russian MoD claims strikes against Ukrainian forces (previous). Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition claims destruction of Ukrainian forces in the Sumy border area by the "Anvar" special detachment (previous). New reports of drones via Okhtyrka and Lebedyn towards Poltava Oblast. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Два майора, Colonelcassad, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Chernihiv Oblast (Konotop): New groups of drones from Sumy Oblast past Romny heading to Chernihiv Oblast (previous). One drone from Chernihiv Oblast flying towards Brovary (previous). Overnight, Russian "Geran" drones worked on Chernihiv and Konotop. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Poltava Oblast: Six drones in the area of Pryluky heading towards Cherkasy Oblast (previous). Twelve drones from Sumy Oblast heading towards/through Pryluky (previous). New reports of drones past Lubny (previous). New reports of drones via Dykan'ka towards Poltava. New reports of drones from Sumy Oblast via Okhtyrka and Lebedyn towards Poltava Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Vinnytsia Oblast (Pohrebyshche): Several groups of UAVs from southern Kyiv Oblast heading towards Vinnytsia Oblast (previous). New reports of drones towards Pohrebyshche. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Odesa Oblast: Subject to ongoing Russian drone attacks (previous). Reported drone hit on a private house (previous). Visual evidence of powerful explosions and fires (previous). (ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Alex Parker Returns)
Mykolaiv Oblast: Overnight, Russian "Geran" drones worked on Mykolaiv. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Nizhnekamsk (Tatarstan, Russia): Temporary restrictions on air travel introduced at the airport due to attacks (previous). Disruptions to civilian air travel. (ТАСС, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Kaluga Oblast (Shaikovka, Kaluga): Reportedly targeted by Ukrainian drone attack on Shaikovka airfield (housing Tu-22m3 bombers and X-22 missiles). NASA satellite data confirms fires at Shaikovka. Temporary restrictions on airport operations at Kaluga (previous). Russian MoD claims destruction/interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions, including Kaluga Oblast (previous). (РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-УкраїНА, ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, ASTRA, Colonelcassad)
Tambov Oblast (Tambov): Temporary restrictions on airport operations at Tambov (previous). Disruptions to civilian air travel. Russian MoD claims destruction/interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions (previous). (ТАСС, ASTRA, Colonelcassad, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Yaroslavl Oblast (Yaroslavl): Temporary restrictions on airport operations at Yaroslavl (previous). Disruptions to civilian air travel. Russian MoD claims destruction/interception of 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions (previous). (ТАСС, ASTRA, Colonelcassad, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
India-Pakistan Border: Escalation of conflict with reported civilian casualties (26 Pakistani, 10 Indian). Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs claims "Sindur" operation was to prevent terrorist attacks. Planned Indian civil defense exercises on May 7 near borders. Damaged mosque in Muzaffarabad reported. (ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь)
Lyman Direction (Hryhorivka, Bilohorivka): Russian military blogger WarGonzo reports "decisive battles," claiming Russian advances and expansion of a bridgehead on the right bank of the Zherebets River, and reaching Torske (previous). Ukrainian General Staff reports 21 enemy attacks attempting to advance in the past day (previous). Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces admit to Russian forces occupying the remaining part of the Bilohorivka chalk quarry and advancing up to 3.5 km on the Siversk direction, with heavy fighting continuing near Hryhorivka. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Siversk Direction (Hryhorivka, Bilohorivka): Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces admit to Russian forces occupying the remaining part of the Bilohorivka chalk quarry and advancing up to 3.5 km, with heavy fighting continuing near Hryhorivka. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Kostiantynivka Direction (Novooleksandrivka, Tarasivka, Krasnoarmiysk-Kostiantynivka Highway): Russian military bloggers claim the Russian flag was raised in Novooleksandrivka and strongholds between Tarasivka and Novooleksandrivka were taken, covering the Krasnoarmiysk-Kostiantynivka highway. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
South Donetsk Direction (Bohatyr, Otradne): Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces are committing elite airborne and chasseur units to slow Russian advances towards Bohatyr and Otradne. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Orikhiv Direction (Zaporizhzhia Front - Novodanylivka, Shcherbaky, Stepove, Kamianske, Mala Tokmachka): Russian military bloggers report positional battles continuing. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Belgorod Oblast (Russia - Shebekino, Grafovka, Cheremoshnoye, Saltykovo, Berezovka, Bogun-Gorodok): Russian military bloggers state the oblast suffers from daily Ukrainian strikes on the civilian population, listing specific areas under attack. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk, Starovirivka, Izium, Bohodukhiv, Vovchansk, Vovchanski Khutory, Zahryzove, Petropavlivka, Stroivka): Affected by enemy strikes, including KABs, Shahed and FPV drones. Civilian casualties reported in Kupyansk (2 injured), Starovirivka (child injured), and Izium (fatalities and injury from explosive device). Damage to civilian infrastructure. 171 combat engagements in the past day, including near Vovchansk and Vovchanski Khutory, and Zahryzove and Petropavlivka. Kadyrov_95 claims successful FPV drone strikes by the Sheikh Mansur battalion against Ukrainian positions near Stroivka, claiming destruction of a stronghold and seven Ukrainian fatalities. (Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95)
Sumy Oblast (Stroivka): Kadyrov_95 claims successful FPV drone strikes by the Sheikh Mansur battalion against Ukrainian positions near Stroivka, bordering Sumy Oblast. (Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95)
Bryansk Oblast (Starye Yurkovichi, Sluchevsk): Russian reports claim Ukrainian FPV drone attacks caused civilian casualties. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Donetsk People's Republic (Donetsk-Yasynuvata, Horlivka, Kurakhove): Russian reports claim civilian casualties due to explosive devices and Ukrainian drone drops. (Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

Drone Activity: Intensified and large-scale Russian drone attack on Kyiv (28 UAVs), with 11 shot down in Kyiv/surroundings. Massive Russian UAV attack on Zaporizhzhia (May 6th) resulting in 4 injuries and extensive damage. Continued Russian drone movement reported across central and western Ukrainian oblasts (Kyiv, Zhytomyr, Cherkasy, Sumy, Chernihiv, Poltava, Vinnytsia), with new reports of drones heading towards Poltava and Vinnytsia. Ukrainian drone attacks confirmed targeting industrial facilities in Saransk (optical fiber and likely "Saranskkabel" plants) and reportedly the "Splav" plant in Tula Oblast, and possibly the Kubinka military airfield in Moscow Oblast and Shaikovka airfield in Kaluga Oblast. NASA satellite data confirms fires at Shaikovka and Kubinka airfields. Ukrainian drone attacks reported causing civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast (Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts) and Bryansk Oblast (Starye Yurkovichi and Sluchevsk - FPV drones). Russian authorities claim three Ukrainian UAVs were shot down on the approach to Yaroslavl (previous). Russian military bloggers claim successful FPV drone and Lancet strikes destroyed a Ukrainian tank near Novy Put' in Kursk Oblast (previous). Russian forces used 3267 kamikaze drones and 145 operational-tactical UAVs were destroyed in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Russian Ministry of Defense claims 105 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over 11 Russian regions overnight (May 5th/6th) (previous), and over 140 aerial targets (including drones) over Bryansk from May 6th evening through the night. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video claiming to show a "Geran-2" UAV strike on Ukrainian forces on the Donetsk direction (May 6th) (previous). Russian military blogger shares video purportedly depicting a drone engagement resulting in casualties (previous). Russian military expert claims Ukrainian elite drone regiment deployed to Bilohorivka in Luhansk (previous). Temporary restrictions on air travel introduced at airports in Moscow (Zhukovsky, Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo), Kaluga, Tambov, Yaroslavl, and Nizhnekamsk due to attacks, causing disruptions to civilian air travel. Ukrainian fundraising for FPV drones is ongoing (previous). Russian reports note that regions are adopting the practice of disabling mobile internet to disorient some enemy drones. Kadyrov_95 claims successful FPV drone strikes by the Sheikh Mansur battalion near Stroivka (Kharkiv/Sumy border), claiming destruction of a stronghold and seven Ukrainian fatalities. Colonelcassad shares a video showcasing an FPV drone operator and claiming destruction of Western equipment. Ukrainian forces commemorating the 421st Separate Unmanned Systems Battalion. (КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, ТАСС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ТАСС, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, ТАСС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, ТАСС, STERNENKO, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Fighterbomber, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України)
Ballistic Missile Activity: One Russian ballistic target was successfully intercepted over Kyiv with debris impact in Solomianskyi district (1 injured). Threat of ballistic missile application from the northeastern direction declared, with Kyiv Oblast and other oblasts under alert (previous). (КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Оперативний ЗСУ))
Cruise Missile Activity: Russian Governor of Bryansk claims one cruise missile was among the over 140 aerial targets destroyed from yesterday evening through the night. (AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, ТАСС, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Aviation Activity: Russian forces conducted 96 air strikes and 12 aviation strikes on the Kursk direction in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Russian forces dropped 187 guided aerial bombs on Ukraine and 27 on Kursk Oblast in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Russian forces conducted air strikes on numerous settlements in Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Ukrainian drone attack reportedly targeted the Kubinka military airfield in Moscow Oblast and Shaikovka airfield in Kaluga Oblast, where fighters and bombers are based. Олег Синєгубов reports Russian forces used 7 KABs in Kharkiv Oblast in the past day. Воин DV claims "Vostok" grouping army aviation strikes near Novopol. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Воин DV, Воин DV)
Artillery and MLRS Activity: Russian forces conducted over 6400 shellings, including 109 from MLRS, in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Russian forces conducted 336 artillery shellings, including 14 from MLRS, on the Kursk direction in the past day (May 6th) according to Ukrainian General Staff (previous). Russian shelling in Zaporizhzhia resulted in 4 injuries (previous). Ukrainian drone attack reportedly targeted the "Splav" plant in Tula Oblast, which manufactures MLRS systems and ammunition. Ukrainian General Staff reports 71 artillery systems and 1 MLRS destroyed in the past day (May 6th) (previous). Oleh Synyehubov reports Russian forces used artillery in Kharkiv Oblast. Russian military bloggers claim Ukrainian forces were stopped by heavy artillery fire near Tetkino/Novy Put'. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Naval Activity: No new specific naval engagements reported. (Previous reporting)

Diplomatic and Political Developments (Updated):

Brazil-Russia Relations: President of Brazil traveling to Russia for Victory Day celebrations (previous).
India-Pakistan Relations: Significant escalation on the border with reported civilian casualties on both sides (26 Pakistani, 10 Indian). Indian Ministry of Foreign Affairs justifies their actions as preventing terrorist attacks. Planned Indian civil defense exercises on May 7 near borders. Damaged mosque in Muzaffarabad reported. (ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь)
Russia-Africa Relations: President of the Republic of the Congo visiting Russia for Victory Day; "Immortal Regiment" action in Congo (previous).
Russian Narrative on Victory Day: SVR framing European participation in Kyiv's May 9th commemoration as revanchist (previous). Russian Governor of Bryansk claims "Kyiv regime" attempted massive strike during Russia's unilaterally declared ceasefire for Victory Day. Maria Zakharova states guests from abroad will experience the special atmosphere of Victory Day in Moscow. (AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, ТАСС)
Impact on Russian Air Travel: "Aeroflot" announcing possible flight cancellations/merging due to airport restrictions (previous). Temporary restrictions on air travel introduced at airports in Moscow (Zhukovsky, Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo), Kaluga, Tambov, Yaroslavl, and Nizhnekamsk, causing disruptions to civilian air travel. (ТАСС, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Ukrainian Engagement with Vatican: Conclave in the Vatican to elect a new Pope, with a Ukrainian Cardinal present and discussion of Ukraine's position being heard (previous).
Russian Legislative Activity: State Duma to consider complaints about unilateral changes by banks to service conditions (previous). (ТАСС, ТАСС)

Internal Russian Issues (Updated):

Internal Security Incident: Shooting attack on traffic police in Makhachkala, Dagestan, resulting in casualties (previous). Reported action by a Dagestani security officer who killed a Wahhabi (previous).
Impact of Ukrainian Attacks: Ukrainian drone attacks on industrial facilities in Saransk (optical fiber and likely "Saranskkabel" plants) and reportedly in Tula Oblast and military airfields in Moscow Oblast (Kubinka) and Kaluga Oblast (Shaikovka). Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast (Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts) and Bryansk Oblast (Starye Yurkovichi and Sluchevsk). Russian authorities claim three Ukrainian UAVs were shot down near Yaroslavl (previous), and over 140 aerial targets (including drones) over Bryansk. Disruptions to civilian air travel due to airport restrictions in multiple regions. Sberbank warns of potential mobile internet disruptions in Moscow and Moscow Oblast (previous). Russian military bloggers note that regions are adopting the practice of disabling mobile internet to disorient some enemy drones. (STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, STERNENKO, КіберБорошно | CyberBoroshno, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, AV БогомаZ, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Fighterbomber, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, ASTRA, ASTRA, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА)
Infrastructure Issues: Fire at the "Neryungrinskaya" enrichment plant in Yakutia with 4 injured (preliminary cause methane ignition) (previous). Gas explosion in a residential building in Bulnash, Sverdlovsk Oblast, with 1 injured (previous). Sberbank warns of potential mobile internet disruptions in Moscow and Moscow Oblast (previous). Disruptions to civilian air travel due to airport restrictions. (ТАСС, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, ТАСС, ТАСС, Новости Москвы, Новости Москвы, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA)
Military Fundraising: Colonelcassad is fundraising for drones for a special forces unit (previous). Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 is fundraising for thermal imaging ponchos. (Colonelcassad, Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
Political/Social Events: Detention of Telegram channel editor Pavel Gnilorybov for disobedience to police (previous). Report on a student festival in Chechnya (previous). Russian State Duma to consider complaints about unilateral changes by banks (previous). Russian facial recognition project ("Reflection of a Hero") launched for public engagement and promoting historical figures. Online scams targeting sellers on online platforms. (ТАСС, Kadyrov_95, Kadyrov_95, ТАСС, ТАСС, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, Рыбарь, ТАСС)

Support and Rehabilitation (Updated)

Humanitarian Situation: Increased civilian casualties (2 dead, 7 injured, including 4 children) and significant damage to residential buildings and infrastructure in Kyiv due to Russian attacks. 4 injuries and damage to residential buildings and critical infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia due to Russian shelling (previous). Overnight, Russian "Geran" drones worked on Zaporizhzhia. Fire at Barabashovo market in Kharkiv after a Russian drone attack (previous). Civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast due to Ukrainian FPV drone attacks (previous). Reported injury in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast due to a morning strike (previous). Gas explosion in Sverdlovsk Oblast with 1 injured (previous). Reported civilian casualties (26 Pakistani, 10 Indian) and damaged mosque in Muzaffarabad in the escalating India-Pakistan conflict. Ukrainian drone attacks reported causing civilian casualties in Kursk Oblast (Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts) and Bryansk Oblast (Starye Yurkovichi and Sluchevsk). Civilian casualties in Kharkiv Oblast (Kupyansk - 2 injured, Starovirivka - 16-year-old injured, Izium - 2 fatalities, 1 injured from explosive device). Damage to civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv Oblast. Russian reports claim civilian casualties in Donetsk People's Republic (Donetsk-Yasynuvata, Horlivka, Kurakhove). Daily 9:00 AM minute of silence in Zaporizhzhia to honor those killed. (КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, ASTRA, ASTRA, ТАСС, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА, Рыбарь, АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
Prisoner Exchanges: Video related to prisoner exchanges shows relatives of missing soldiers seeking information (previous). Video of a released POW singing. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС, БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС)
Military Commemoration: Ukrainian General Staff and Оперативний ЗСУ commemorate a daily national moment of silence for those killed in the war. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України commemorate the anniversary of a UAV battalion. КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) and Platform of Memory Memorial honor a fallen soldier. Ukrainian Air Force commemorates Infantry Day (previous). (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України, КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація), Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
Medical Preparedness: Demonstration of providing first aid for massive groin bleeding using improvised methods. (Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦)

Force Composition and Tactics (Updated)

Russia: Continuing large-scale drone attacks, utilizing ballistic missiles and reportedly cruise missiles against urban centers. Maintaining intense ground pressure on multiple axes, particularly Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Novopavlivka, with military bloggers claiming advances and liberation of settlements. Conducting offensive actions in Kursk Oblast with claimed success in repelling Ukrainian attempts. Employing aviation, guided aerial bombs (KABs), MLRS, and artillery extensively. Claiming destruction of Ukrainian equipment with drones (FPV and Lancet) and other means. Experiencing significant estimated daily losses in personnel, artillery, and drones (previous). Leveraging military bloggers for reporting, fundraising, and information operations. Utilizing historical narratives for information operations, including a claimed unilateral ceasefire contradicted by actions. Adapting counter-UAV tactics by advising disabling mobile internet in regions. Actively showcasing claimed successes, including destruction of Western equipment with FPV drones. Utilizing army aviation for strikes.
Ukraine: Conducting renewed ground offensive actions in Kursk Oblast, reportedly involving armor and armored vehicles, and attempting to take Tetkino at any cost according to Russian sources. Utilizing drones for deep strikes into Russian territory targeting industrial and military facilities, including military airfields (Kubinka and Shaikovka). Repelling numerous Russian ground assaults on key axes. Maintaining defenses against Russian aerial and missile attacks, with successful interceptions reported, including a ballistic missile over Kyiv and reportedly over 140 aerial targets in Bryansk Oblast. Reporting on estimated daily Russian losses (previous). Potentially deploying elite drone units to contested areas according to Russian claims (previous). Utilizing drones for counter-infiltration and in combat engagements (FPV drones). Continuing fundraising efforts for FPV drones and other equipment (thermal ponchos). Actively commemorating fallen soldiers and military units. Demonstrating tactical medical preparedness. Highlighting Russian casualties inflicted by Ukrainian units. Reporting on Russian activity and casualties in specific oblasts (Kharkiv).
India: Conducting military operations on the border with Pakistan, including reported airstrikes. Justifying actions as preventing terrorist attacks. Planning civil defense exercises near borders.
Pakistan: Engaged in conflict with India on the border, reporting civilian casualties from Indian attacks. Reporting on shelling of Indian Kashmir.
Rapid Support Forces (Sudan): Reportedly using kamikaze drones against Port Sudan (previous).
M23 Movement (DRC): Reportedly continuing attacks despite agreements (previous).

Strategic Considerations (Updated)

The continued intense Russian ground offensive on the Pokrovsk, Lyman, and Novopavlivka directions, with Russian military bloggers claiming tactical advances and the liberation of settlements, indicates that Russia views these axes as critical for achieving strategic objectives in eastern Ukraine. The ability of Ukrainian forces to hold these lines despite sustained pressure is strategically important for preventing further Russian advances and protecting key urban centers. Russian claims of capturing strongholds covering the Krasnoarmiysk-Kostiantynivka highway highlight efforts to disrupt key logistical routes. The commitment of Ukrainian reserves reported by Russian sources highlights the pressure they are facing in these areas.
The renewed Ukrainian ground offensive in Kursk Oblast, involving armored vehicles and attempts to take Tetkino at any cost according to Russian sources, continues to be a notable development. Russian claims of repelling the assault and destroying Ukrainian equipment are aimed at demonstrating defensive success and deterring further attempts. Ukrainian persistence in this area, despite previous claimed repulsions, suggests a strategic objective beyond immediate territorial gain, potentially aimed at diverting Russian resources from other fronts or creating a new point of pressure. The reported Ukrainian drone attacks causing civilian casualties in Glushkovsky and Sudzhansky districts of Kursk Oblast also contribute to the pressure on Russia in this border region. Russian military blogger analysis suggests these Ukrainian actions are intended to stretch Russian forces and gain a political/media victory before May 9th.
The large-scale Russian aerial attack on Kyiv with ballistic missiles and numerous drones, resulting in tragic civilian casualties and significant damage across multiple districts, continues to underscore the Russian strategy of psychological warfare and targeting civilian infrastructure. The concentration of attacks on the capital aims to inflict maximum impact and potentially pressure the Ukrainian government and population. The tragic loss of life in residential buildings and injuries, particularly to children, highlight the severe humanitarian consequences and are being investigated as war crimes.
Ukraine's confirmed targeting of Russian military airfields (Kubinka and Shaikovka) and industrial facilities in Saransk (optical fiber and likely "Saranskkabel" plants) and reportedly Tula Oblast ("Splav" MLRS plant) demonstrates a continued strategic effort to degrade Russia's war-making capability by striking key elements of their defense industrial base and aviation assets located deep within the country. This tactic aims to impose costs on Russia, disrupt their production of military equipment and components (including optical fiber for drones and MLRS), and potentially impact their air force operations (including strategic bomber operations and ceremonial flights). The resulting widespread disruption to civilian air travel within Russia highlights the operational impact of these strikes.
The escalating tensions and increased civilian casualties on the India-Pakistan border are a significant development in regional geopolitics, adding to the global instability picture. While separate from the conflict in Ukraine, it is a major humanitarian concern and highlights the potential for rapid escalation in other contested regions.
The claim by the Russian Governor of Bryansk Oblast of repelling a massive Ukrainian strike, including a cruise missile, during a unilaterally declared Russian ceasefire is a clear example of the ongoing information war, aimed at portraying Ukraine as aggressive and disregarding humanitarian gestures while highlighting Russian defensive capabilities. This narrative is likely intended for both domestic and international audiences and is being repeated by Russian military bloggers.
The widespread disruptions to Russian civilian air travel due to airport restrictions, stemming from recent drone activity, highlight the increasing impact of the conflict on civilian life within Russia and could potentially have economic and social consequences. The warning about potential banking service disruptions in Moscow due to internet issues could be related to the attacks or security measures and indicates potential broader impacts on infrastructure and daily life in the capital. Russian reports noting regions disabling mobile internet to disorient drones indicate an adaptation in Russian counter-UAV tactics, likely in response to successful Ukrainian strikes.
The ongoing fundraising efforts for Russian military units (drones and thermal ponchos) and Ukrainian forces (FPV drones) underscore the continued need for resources to sustain operations on both sides and the importance of public support in acquiring essential equipment in modern warfare. The focus on thermal imaging ponchos by a Russian military blogger suggests the increasing use and effectiveness of thermal optics by Ukrainian forces and the need for countermeasures.
The various Ukrainian commemorations (Infantry Day, UAV battalion anniversary, fallen soldiers, national moment of silence) are strategically important for maintaining morale, honoring sacrifices, reinforcing national identity, and highlighting the human cost of the conflict to both domestic and international audiences. The emphasis on tactical medicine highlights the reality of combat injuries and efforts to improve battlefield casualty care.
The reports of civilian casualties in Russian border regions (Bryansk and Kursk) and in occupied territories (Donetsk People's Republic) from Ukrainian actions are part of the broader impact of the conflict and are being leveraged in Russian information operations to portray Ukraine negatively.
The detailed reporting by the Kharkiv Oblast Governor on Russian activity, casualties, and damage highlights the continued intensity of fighting in this region and the significant impact on the civilian population and infrastructure, including from various types of Russian ordnance.

Disclaimer: This report is based on the provided information and aims to provide a high-level analysis of the operational situation. It is crucial to acknowledge that the information landscape is dynamic and contested, and independent verification of all claims is not always possible in real-time. The analysis is focused on military intelligence and does not include comprehensive political or economic assessments unless directly relevant to military operations. All recommendations and actions based on this information must be filtered through human oversight and comply with international laws and ethical standards.

Situation Report