Situation Report

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (May 4, 2025, 04:48 UTC)

---

Updated Situation

The operational tempo remains exceptionally high, dominated by intense ground combat on multiple axes, particularly the Pokrovsk, Novopavlivsk, Toretsk (Konstantinovka), Lyman, and Krasnolimansk directions. Russian forces continue offensive operations, reporting claimed advances and heavy engagements in these areas, specifically highlighting claimed tactical gains in Novoalexandrovka and near Shevchenko on the Pokrovsk direction, and near Velyka Novosilka and on the Aleksandro-Kalinovo direction. Recent analysis from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), shared by РБК-Україна, indicates Russian advances near Lyman, Siversk, Novopavlivka, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka. Ukrainian forces report repelling a high number of assaults across numerous fronts and inflicting significant enemy losses, with ISW maps showing Ukrainian counterattacks in a number of areas. Russian sources are disseminating claimed visual evidence of Ukrainian casualties in border regions, specifically near Guyevo in Kursk Oblast, alongside propaganda encouraging surrender. The conflict is also characterized by persistent, widespread, and evolving Russian aerial and drone activity across widespread areas of Ukraine. Recent reports confirm launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation targeting Sumy Oblast, northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, and now Donetsk Oblast, with a new report from the Ukrainian Air Force confirming launches targeting Kherson Oblast. Ongoing "Shahed" drone activity is impacting various regions, including recent and current threats to Kyiv, Cherkasy, Dnipro, Mirhorod, Sloviansk, Chernihiv, Poltava, Kharkiv, Sumy, Donetsk, potentially Vinnytsia, and now northeastern Vinnytsia Oblast and southeastern Zhytomyr Oblast, with air raid alerts active in some of these areas, including a new threat of strike UAVs for Khmelnytskyi Oblast from the east reported by the Ukrainian Air Force. Specifically, a new warning has been issued for Vinnytsia regarding an approaching strike UAV from the north, and for southeastern Zhytomyr Oblast. Recent detailed reporting provides an updated picture of remaining Russian drone activity across various oblasts, including movements towards Zhytomyr Oblast, Fastiv, Vasylkiv, Kremenchuk district, eastern Kyiv Oblast, and the Konotop area. Video evidence is emerging from Kyiv showing impacts on multi-story buildings and fires, with new photos from the State Emergency Service showing firefighters extinguishing fires in apartments and burned cars in Obolonskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts. The aftermath of the night attacks in Kyiv is being assessed, with confirmed damage and fires from falling debris and a rising number of civilian medical appeals, now totaling 4 injured, all receiving aid on the spot, with previous reports from the DSNS indicating a total of 7 injured, including 2 children. Simultaneously, Ukrainian forces are conducting effective deep strikes against Russian targets, with confirmed drone interceptions over Belgorod and Murmansk Oblasts, and reports of successful FPV drone strikes against Russian logistics and personnel, including a claimed drone destroyed over Kamensk-Shakhtinsky in Rostov Oblast, reported by TASS. Russia is claiming successful counter-drone and counter-artillery operations, including the claimed elimination of nine Ukrainian soldiers in Gornal, Kursk Oblast, by a marine of the "Sever" grouping. A Russian military blogger, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, reports continued enemy reconnaissance activity over the Black Sea, sharing an image from Flightradar24 showing a Saab 340B ISR aircraft over Bulgaria and near Istanbul. The Black Sea remains a contested area, with Russian military bloggers discussing potential renewed Ukrainian drone activity, expressing concern about the Black Sea Fleet's reduced combat capability, and raising the specter of a potential large-scale attack on the Crimean Bridge. Information operations continue to be a significant element, with both sides leveraging narratives around military successes, casualties, and future aid. Diplomatic activity continues, with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy announcing upcoming sanctions against entities assisting Russia in circumventing existing sanctions and reiterating Ukraine's readiness for a ceasefire under specific conditions, while facing continued diplomatic friction with Hungary and potential political changes in Slovakia and Serbia regarding attendance at Victory Day events in Moscow. Discussions regarding potential peace negotiations and the role of international actors are also ongoing, with new reports from US media highlighting difficulties in the implementation of the US-Ukraine mineral resources deal, and a report from the Financial Times suggesting Kyiv may resume military aggression if a peace agreement does not include recognition of territories incorporated into Russia. The humanitarian impact of the conflict remains severe, with continued civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure reported on both sides, currently evidenced by damage and fires from falling drone debris and civilian medical appeals in Kyiv and Cherkasy, the extensive destruction of Toretsk, and a significant increase in the number of injured in the Russian drone attack on Zaporizhzhia. Fundraising efforts for military units are actively being promoted by both Ukrainian and Russian military bloggers, highlighting ongoing logistical needs and reliance on public support. Internal Russian issues, including military welfare and potential dissent, are also being discussed in open source channels, including a reported confusing situation on the Volga River, legal proceedings initiated by the Russian Ministry of Defense against a major state-owned enterprise, and security forces conducting raids on bars in St. Petersburg and Yekaterinburg, checking documents, tattoos, and phones, and questioning individuals about their political views and attitudes towards the "SVO." TASS reports that videoblogger Amiran Sardarov owes almost half a million rubles to the Federal Tax Service, according to law enforcement sources. Ukraine is facing potential challenges with electricity generation this summer, with potential evening deficits. Commemorative events related to Victory Day are being held, including in Washington, D.C. Russian military bloggers are showcasing images and videos of Russian drones participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow, including Orlans, Iks, and Geraniums, likely as part of information operations. A new report from the police in Khabarovsk Krai details various law enforcement activities in that far eastern region of Russia, including theft, property damage, violations of fire safety regulations, fraud, and illegal labor activities by migrants, providing a glimpse into localized internal Russian issues. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming that snipers of the 37th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade, "Vostok" grouping, neutralized enemy personnel in a forest belt on the Southern Donetsk direction, as reported by the military blogger "Воин DV". This suggests ongoing Russian small arms engagements and claims of success on the Southern Donetsk direction. РБК-Україна, citing ISW maps, reports assessed Russian advances near Lyman, Siversk, Novopavlivka, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka, and Ukrainian counterattacks in a number of areas. These maps further corroborate the intense fighting on these fronts and indicate areas of contested control. Specific ISW maps provided by РБК-Україна show assessed Russian advances north of Sumy Oblast, extending into Ukraine, and Russian field fortifications in Kursk Oblast, as well as significant fighting near Makivka. These maps provide visual confirmation of the operational situation in the border regions and highlight a specific area of recent intense combat. ISW maps also detail assessed Russian advances and significant fighting in the Pokrovsk direction, Novopavlivka direction (specifically detailing advances towards Bahatyr and along a highway south of Vilne Pole), Svatove-Kreminna direction (with geolocated footage confirming advances west of Makiivka and north of Torske), Kherson direction (showing assessed advances and Ukrainian counteroffensives), and Zaporizhzhia direction (highlighting significant fighting around Robotyne and Mala Tokmachka). These detailed maps from ISW provide a comprehensive overview of the most active fronts, highlighting areas of Russian gains, Ukrainian resistance, and intense combat, supported by specific geolocated intelligence where available. New reports from the Ukrainian Air Force provide updated information on the movement of enemy strike UAVs in Kyiv, Zhytomyr, and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts. Николаевский Ванёк provides granular details on the remaining drone activity, specifically noting three drones approaching Starokonstantiniv, one near Khmelnytskyi, and one from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Starokonstantiniv. The Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report the presence of one Russian warship capable of carrying up to 6 Kalibr missiles in the Black Sea, no ships in the Azov Sea, and three ships including one Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles in the Mediterranean Sea, along with Kerch Strait passage information. Новости Москвы reports on one-time payments to WWII veterans and other categories in Moscow. TASS reports that citizens of Kyrgyzstan were injured in a landslide in Gelendzhik. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade shares a video reporting on their combat work from April 27 to May 3. Два майора provides a morning summary (May 4), reporting a drone attack repelled in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, consequences of Ukrainian strikes on Novorossiysk including casualties and damage, intensified Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian targets in Bryansk Oblast causing casualties and damage to infrastructure, continued Russian drone strikes on Mirople in Sumy Oblast and advances by Russian forces near Loknya and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, continued Ukrainian activity and Russian claims of repelling attacks in Belgorod Oblast with civilian casualties from shelling and drone attacks, confirmation from Ukrainian channels of Russian advances under Pokrovsk in the central and eastern parts of Shevchenko village and fighting in Kotlyarka and Mirolyubovka, Russian claims of repelling counterattacks near Novoolenevka and developing success in Alexandropol and near Malinovka on the Konstantinovka direction, reports of fighting on the outskirts of Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction with claimed advances and ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks, positional battles in the Zaporizhzhia direction near Shcherbaki, Stepovoe, and Kamenskoe with Russian artillery strikes and Ukrainian strikes on the Russian-occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast causing damage and casualties, and continued Ukrainian shelling of Horlivka in the DNR causing a casualty and damage to a gas pipeline with reported use of 155mm and cluster munitions. Colonelcassad shares photos claiming to show Ukrainian trophies on the Pokrovsk direction. РБК-Україна reports one person injured in a drone attack on Cherkasy overnight with 5 fires reported at various addresses causing damage to residential apartments, a warehouse, a dacha, and dry vegetation. Оперативний ЗСУ shares photos and videos of the aftermath of the night attack on Kyiv, reporting 7 injured and destruction and fires in Obolonskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts, detailing specific damage to a 12-story building, cars, private houses, and infrastructure near a railway bridge. Воин DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hiding place near Bogatyr. The Ukrainian General Staff reports corrected overall enemy losses since February 24, 2022, with adjustments to numbers of tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems, air defense systems, UAVs, cruise missiles, and special equipment due to updated intelligence. The overall estimated enemy personnel losses are now over 956,810, with an additional 1340 in the past day. Daily losses are reported as 1340 personnel, 11 tanks, 24 armored fighting vehicles, 52 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 air defense system, 163 UAVs, and 129 vehicles and fuel tanks. The total count of certain equipment types (tanks, AFVs, artillery, air defense, UAVs, cruise missiles, special equipment) has been updated in the cumulative statistics. РБК-Україна reports that according to the State Emergency Service (DSNS), the number of injured in Kyiv due to the drone attack has increased to 11 people, including 2 children. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports on the situation in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, stating that overnight, Russian forces shelled Nikopol district with 40 Grad MLRS rounds, causing fires and damage to three enterprises, two apartment buildings, and two private houses. In the morning, enemy forces used FPV drones and artillery to attack the Marhanets and Pokrovsk communities. Shahed drones also attacked the oblast overnight, damaging a agricultural enterprise in the Dnipro district. In the evening, the enemy used UAVs against the Novopavlivka community in Synelnykove district, injuring two police officers. Three enemy drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that at least eight enemy KABs attacked the frontline city of Orikhiv, destroying residential buildings and injuring two people. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of enemy attacks on 10 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, including 10 aerial strikes on Malynivka, Temerivka, and Novodarivka, 256 drone attacks on Bilenke, Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka, 15 MLRS shellings on Kamianske, Huliaipole, Novodanylivka, and Novodarivka, and 216 artillery shellings on Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka. 26 reports of damaged apartments, private houses, and cars were received, with no civilian casualties reported in this summary. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that over the past night, 13 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs were destroyed by air defense, including 11 over Rostov Oblast, 1 over Belgorod Oblast, and 1 over Bryansk Oblast. This is also reported by TASS and Два майора. AV БогомаZ reports that a Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was detected and destroyed by air defense over Bryansk Oblast overnight, with no reported casualties or damage. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that the threat of enemy strike UAVs has been cleared for all oblasts. Басурин о главном shares a historical note about Vladimir Monomakh entering Kyiv on May 4, 1113, and highlights his leadership and achievements, including uniting much of Rus' and pushing back nomadic threats. This is presented in the context of "DAY in HISTORY."

Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)

• Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning for Dnipro regarding approaching strike UAVs from the southeast. Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones flying towards or through Dnipro/Samara and one drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast курсом на/через Доброполье. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports strike UAVs on the southeastern part of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, course east/southeast. Air raid alert is active in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, except the city of Zaporizhzhia, which is adjacent. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that overnight, Russian forces shelled Nikopol district with 40 Grad MLRS rounds, causing fires and damage to three enterprises, two apartment buildings, and two private houses. In the morning, enemy forces used FPV drones and artillery to attack the Marhanets and Pokrovsk communities. Shahed drones also attacked the oblast overnight, damaging a agricultural enterprise in the Dnipro district. In the evening, the enemy used UAVs against the Novopavlivka community in Synelnykove district, injuring two police officers. Three enemy drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Николаевский Ванёк, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)])
• Kharkiv Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports four drones in the area of Lozova and two north of Kharkiv, course towards Chuhuiv. 3 Shaheds from Kharkiv Oblast are transferring to Donetsk Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on the northwestern part of Kharkiv Oblast, course southeast. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone under Lozova and one north of Kharkiv towards Chuhuiv. Launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on northeastern Kharkiv Oblast have been confirmed. ISW maps depict assessed Russian advances north of Sumy Oblast, extending into Ukraine, which are also relevant to the border region of Kharkiv Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна])
• Donetsk Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports five drones курсом на/через Доброполье and three north of Доброполье. One drone is reported in the area of Zlatopil. 3 Shaheds from Kharkiv Oblast are transferring to Donetsk Oblast. One drone is reported курсом на/через Купянск. One drone is reported approaching Sloviansk, one approaching Kramatorsk/Druzhkivka, and three in the area of Dobropillya. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on the western part of Donetsk Oblast, course east. Нові групи ударних БпЛА з Донеччини курсом на Дніпропетровщину. Warnings have been issued for Sloviansk regarding approaching strike UAVs. Николаевский Ванёк reports four drones in the Kupiansk area, course towards/through Sloviansk. New detailed reporting indicates a drone approaching Dobropillya from the north. Launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on Donetsk Oblast have been confirmed. ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near Novopavlivka, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka. Detailed ISW maps show assessed Russian advances and significant fighting in the Pokrovsk direction (including a reported advance to the eastern outskirts of Kotlyarivka), and the Novopavlivka direction (detailing advances towards Bahatyr and south of Vilne Pole). Colonelcassad shares a video claiming sniper activity on the Southern Donetsk direction. Два майора's morning summary reports fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (claiming advances under Pokrovsk in Shevchenko village, fighting in Kotlyarka and Mirolyubovka) and the Konstantinovka direction (claiming repelled Ukrainian counterattacks near Novoolenevka and developing success in Alexandropol and near Malinovka). They also report fighting on the outskirts of Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming advances and ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks. They also report continued Ukrainian shelling of Horlivka in the DNR causing a casualty and damage, with alleged use of 155mm and cluster munitions. Colonelcassad shares photos claiming to show Ukrainian trophies on the Pokrovsk direction. Воин DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hiding place near Bogatyr. Два майора also reports on Ukrainian strikes on the Russian-occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast causing damage and casualties in Kamenka-Dneprovskaya and Blagoveshchenka, which are in the broader Southern Donetsk/Zaporizhzhia area. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Воин DV)
• Kyiv Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports four drones in the area of Kaniv, flying towards Kyiv Oblast, one drone from Chernihiv Oblast transferred to Kyiv Oblast, and four drones on the north of Poltava Oblast, flying towards Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine provides updated information on drone movements. ASTRA shares videos and photos highlighting the aftermath of the night attacks in Kyiv, confirming damage and civilian medical appeals. Нові фото від ДСНС Києва, shared by РБК-Україна, show firefighters extinguishing fires in apartments and burned cars in Obolonskyi, Sviatoshynskyi, and Shevchenkivskyi districts. ДСНС reports a total of 7 injured, including 2 children. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in Bila Tserkva district. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares videos and text regarding the attack on Kyiv, confirming impacts and damage. New detailed reporting indicates three drones circulating in the Bila Tserkva district, three drones in the Pereyaslav area, and three drones from Chernihiv Oblast flying towards Kyiv Oblast. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the east, south, and north of Kyiv Oblast, with a warning of a strike UAV approaching Kyiv from the southeast. РБК-Україна confirms the movement of enemy UAVs towards Kyiv from the southeast. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity south of Bila Tserkva transferring to Zhytomyr Oblast, towards/through Fastiv, past Boryspil towards Vasylkiv, circulating in eastern Kyiv Oblast, and from northern Kyiv Oblast transferring to Zhytomyr Oblast. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video evidence of impacts on a multi-story building in Kyiv and photos confirming the fire on the 12th floor of a residential building in Obolonskyi district has been extinguished. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports four residents of Kyiv have sought medical assistance, receiving aid on the spot, citing Mayor Klitschko. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone курсом на/через Фастов, two with Киевской области перелетают в Житомирскую, and one on the east of Kyiv Oblast. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force at 03:14 UTC specifies drone movements on the east of Kyiv Oblast with a south/southwest course. Оперативний ЗСУ at 03:55 UTC shares additional photos and videos of the aftermath in Kyiv, reporting 7 injured and providing a detailed breakdown of destruction and fires in Obolonskyi (fire in a 12-story apartment, partially destroyed roof, 7 cars burned), Sviatoshynskyi (fires in 3 single-story private houses), and Shevchenkivskyi districts (tree fire, damaged power line and roadbed near a railway bridge). РБК-Україна reports that according to the State Emergency Service (DSNS), the number of injured in Kyiv due to the drone attack has increased to 11 people, including 2 children. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], ASTRA, РБК-Україна, ДСНС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS], Оперативний ЗСУ])
• Chernihiv Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports 14 Shaheds from Sumy Oblast are transferring to Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on the eastern part of Chernihiv Oblast, course west/southwest. Нові групи ударних БпЛА через Сумщину курсом на Чернігівщину та Полтавщину. An air raid alert has been issued for Chernihiv due to approaching UAVs from the north and east. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone north of Chernihiv heading west and one drone approaching Chernihiv. New detailed reporting indicates three drones from Chernihiv Oblast flying towards Kyiv Oblast, and three drones south of Konotop, and one drone west of Konotop heading west. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity in the central part of Chernihiv Oblast, course southwest. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity south of Chernihiv heading west. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Sumy Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports eight Shaheds from Sumy Oblast are transferring to Poltava Oblast and 14 from Sumy Oblast are transferring to Chernihiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV in the central part and on the west of Sumy Oblast, course west/southwest. Нові групи ударних БпЛА через Сумщину курсом на Чернігівщину та Полтавщину. Launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast have been confirmed. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in the Konotop area heading west and three drones near Romny. New detailed reporting indicates three drones south of Konotop and one drone west of Konotop heading west, and three drones near Romny. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the northwestern part of Sumy Oblast, course southwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone курсом на/через Конотоп. ISW maps depict assessed Russian advances north of Sumy Oblast, extending into Ukraine. ISW maps also show significant fighting near Makivka. Два майора's morning summary reports continued Russian drone strikes on Mirople in Sumy Oblast, claiming it is a concentration area for Ukrainian forces. They also claim advances by Russian forces near Loknya and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued ground pressure in the border region. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Два майора])
• Poltava Oblast: Николаевский Ванёк reports eight Shaheds from Sumy Oblast are transferring to Poltava Oblast and four on the north of Poltava Oblast, flying towards Kyiv Oblast. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on the north of Poltava Oblast, course west. Нові групи ударних БпЛА через Сумщину курсом на Чернігівщину та Полтавщину. Warnings have been issued for Mirhorod regarding approaching strike UAVs. Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones near Romny. New detailed reporting indicates five drones transferring from Poltava to Cherkasy Oblast. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the north of Poltava Oblast, course southwest. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity in northern Poltava Oblast and towards Kremenchuk district. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Cherkasy Oblast: Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports a UAV on the northeastern part of Cherkasy Oblast, course west/northwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports 13 drones from the Pryluky area are transferring to Cherkasy Oblast. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares videos and text regarding the attack on Cherkasy. New detailed reporting indicates five drones transferring from Poltava to Cherkasy Oblast. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the east and north of Cherkasy Oblast, with varying courses. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the northeastern part of Cherkasy Oblast, course south. РБК-Україна reports that one person was injured in a drone attack on Cherkasy overnight with 5 fires at various addresses affecting residential apartments, a warehouse, a dacha, and dry vegetation, and significant damage to two apartments in a 4-story dormitory. Оперативний ЗСУ shares additional photos and videos of the aftermath in Cherkasy, visually confirming the damage and the response. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, РБК-Україна, Оперативний ЗСУ])
• Lozova (Kharkiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports four drones in this area and one drone under Lozova. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Dobropillya Area (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports five drones курсом на/через Доброполье and three north of Доброполье. Николаевский Ванёк also reports three drones in the area of Dobropillya and one drone from Dnipropetrovsk Oblast курсом на/через Доброполье. New detailed reporting indicates a drone approaching Dobropillya from the north. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Zlatopil Area (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone in this area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Chuhuiv Area (Kharkiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones north of Kharkiv, course towards Chuhuiv and one drone north of Kharkiv towards Chuhuiv. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Kupiansk Area (Kharkiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone курсом на/через Купянск and four drones in the Kupiansk area, course towards/through Sloviansk. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Kaniv Area (Cherkasy Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports four drones in this area, flying towards Kyiv Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Sinelnikovo Area (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones flying through this area курсом на/через Днепр/Самар. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Samara Area (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones flying towards or through this area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Sloviansk Area (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone approaching this area and four drones in the Kupiansk area, course towards/through Sloviansk. Warnings have been issued for Sloviansk regarding approaching strike UAVs. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Kramatorsk/Druzhkivka Area (Donetsk Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone approaching this area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Dzerzhinsk Direction (Donetsk Oblast): Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian artillery in Dyliivka on this front using FPV drones and artillery. Два майора's morning summary reports continued fighting for the mine and in the direction of the Dyleevka ponds north of Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk). (Colonelcassad, Два майора)
• Dyliivka (Donetsk Oblast): Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a mortar and artillery piece here using FPV drones and artillery, and the destruction of an enemy transport with personnel using an ATGM. Два майора's morning summary reports continued fighting for the mine and in the direction of the Dyleevka ponds near Dyleevka. (Colonelcassad, Два майора)
• Kursk Oblast (RU): Colonelcassad shares a video, presented as evidence from a Russian International Public Tribunal, claiming "atrocities" by the "Kyiv regime" in Kursk Oblast, featuring a resident's testimony alleging torture and murder of a Russian soldier, arson, looting, and threats by "Azov" fighters in 1-e Novospasskoye. This indicates an active Russian information operation focusing on this region. Colonelcassad shares photos showing claimed dead Ukrainian soldiers on the outskirts of Guyevo, presented as evidence of successful Russian "mopping up" operations. TASS reports that a marine of the "Sever" grouping eliminated nine Ukrainian soldiers with small arms fire during fighting for Gornal. ISW maps depict Russian field fortifications in Kursk Oblast and assessed Russian advances north of Sumy Oblast, which are also relevant to the border region of Kursk Oblast. Два майора's morning summary reports continued Russian drone strikes on Mirople in Sumy Oblast, claiming it is a concentration area for Ukrainian forces, and claims advances by Russian forces near Loknya and Vodolagi in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued ground pressure in the border region adjacent to Kursk Oblast. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that 1 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was destroyed by air defense over the territory of Belgorod Oblast overnight. (Colonelcassad, TASS, РБК-Україна, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
• Mirhorod (Poltava Oblast): Warnings have been issued for Mirhorod regarding approaching strike UAVs. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Konotop Area (Sumy Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in this area heading west. New detailed reporting indicates three drones south of Konotop and one drone west of Konotop heading west. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone курсом на/через Конотоп. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity in the Konotop area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Romny Area (Sumy Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones near Romny. New detailed reporting indicates three drones near Romny. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Bila Tserkva District (Kyiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports three drones in this district. New detailed reporting indicates three drones circulating in the Bila Tserkva district. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity south of Bila Tserkva transferring to Zhytomyr Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Pryluky Area (Chernihiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports 13 drones from this area are transferring to Cherkasy Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Pereyaslav Area (Kyiv Oblast): New detailed reporting indicates three drones in the Pereyaslav area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Vinnytsia Oblast: The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the northeastern part of Vinnytsia Oblast, course northwest. The Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning for Vinnytsia regarding an approaching strike UAV from the north. РБК-Україна reports a strike UAV moving towards Vinnytsia from the north. Николаевский Ванёк reports five drones north of Vinnytsia, course west. Recent reports on remaining drones specify activity in northeastern Vinnytsia Oblast. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Николаевский Ванёк)
• Moscow (Russia): Colonelcassad is sharing images and videos of Russian drones participating in a Victory Day parade training. (Colonelcassad)
• Fastiv Area (Kyiv Oblast): Recent reports on remaining drones specify two drones towards/through this area. Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone курсом на/через Фастов. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Boryspil Area (Kyiv Oblast): Recent reports on remaining drones specify one drone past this area towards Vasylkiv. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Vasylkiv Area (Kyiv Oblast): Recent reports on remaining drones specify one drone past Boryspil towards this area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Kremenchuk District (Poltava Oblast): Recent reports on remaining drones specify one drone flying towards this area. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Eastern Kyiv Oblast: Recent reports on remaining drones specify one drone circulating in this area. Николаевский Ванёк reports one on the east of Kyiv Oblast. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force at 03:14 UTC specifies drone movements on the east of Kyiv Oblast with a south/southwest course. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Zhytomyr Oblast: Recent reports on remaining drones specify three drones from Bila Tserkva district transferring to this oblast and one drone from northern Kyiv Oblast transferring to this oblast. The latest update from the Ukrainian Air Force indicates drone activity on the southeastern part of Zhytomyr Oblast, course west/northwest. Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones approaching Zhytomyr and two from Kyiv Oblast transferring to Zhytomyr Oblast. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force at 03:14 UTC specifies drone movements on the south of Zhytomyr Oblast with a southwest course. Николаевский Ванёк at 03:21 UTC notes one drone from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Starokonstantiniv. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• St. Petersburg (Russia): ASTRA reports on security forces conducting raids on bars here. (ASTRA)
• Yekaterinburg (Russia): ASTRA reports on security forces conducting raids on bars here. (ASTRA)
• Guyevo (Kursk Oblast, RU): Colonelcassad shares photos showing claimed dead Ukrainian soldiers on the outskirts of this settlement. (Colonelcassad)
• Gornal (Kursk Oblast, RU): TASS reports that a marine of the "Sever" grouping eliminated nine Ukrainian soldiers with small arms fire during fighting for this settlement. (TASS)
• Lyman Direction: ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near this location. Detailed ISW maps show significant fighting on this front. (РБК-Україна)
• Siversk Direction: ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near this location. Detailed ISW maps show significant fighting on this front. (РБК-Україна)
• Novopavlivka Direction: ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near this location. Detailed ISW maps show assessed Russian advances and significant fighting, detailing advances towards Bahatyr and south of Vilne Pole. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming sniper activity on the Southern Donetsk direction, which is related. Два майора's morning summary reports fighting on the outskirts of Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming advances and ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks. Воин DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hiding place near Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction. (РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, Два майора, Воин DV)
• Kurakhove Direction: ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near this location. Detailed ISW maps show significant fighting on this front. (РБК-Україна)
• Velyka Novosilka Direction: ISW analysis indicates Russian advances near this location. Detailed ISW maps show assessed Russian advances and significant fighting, specifically detailing a reported Russian advance south of Vilne Pole along highway C050440. Два майора's morning summary reports fighting on the outskirts of Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming advances and ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks. This is likely related to the Velyka Novosilka/Novopavlivka area. (РБК-Україна, Два майора)
• Zaporizhzhia Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation targeting this oblast. Air raid alert is active in communities of Zaporizhzhia Oblast, except the city of Zaporizhzhia. Detailed ISW maps highlight significant fighting around Robotyne and Mala Tokmachka. Два майора's morning summary reports positional battles on the Zaporizhzhia front near Shcherbaki, Stepovoe, and Kamenskoe with Russian artillery strikes and Ukrainian strikes on the Russian-occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast causing damage and casualties in Kamenka-Dneprovskaya (fire at a milk factory) and Blagoveshchenka (civilian casualties from shelling). 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that at least eight enemy KABs attacked the frontline city of Orikhiv, destroying residential buildings and injuring two people. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 provides a summary of enemy attacks on 10 settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day, including 10 aerial strikes on Malynivka, Temerivka, and Novodarivka, 256 drone attacks on Bilenke, Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka, 15 MLRS shellings on Kamianske, Huliaipole, Novodanylivka, and Novodarivka, and 216 artillery shellings on Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka. 26 reports of damaged apartments, private houses, and cars were received, with no civilian casualties reported in this summary. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦, РБК-Україна, Два майора)
• Rostov Oblast (RU): TASS reports a UAV was destroyed in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky. Два майора's morning summary reports that Russian air defense repelled a UAV attack in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky in Rostov Oblast overnight, with no reported casualties or damage on the ground. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that 11 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs were destroyed by air defense over the territory of Rostov Oblast overnight. This is also reported by TASS and Два майора. (ТАСС, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
• Khmelnytskyi Oblast: The Ukrainian Air Force reports a threat of strike UAVs from the east. Николаевский Ванёк reports 3 drones transferring from Vinnytsia Oblast to Khmelnytskyi. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force at 03:14 UTC specifies drone movements on the east of Khmelnytskyi Oblast with a west/northwest course. Николаевский Ванёк at 03:21 UTC notes one drone near Khmelnytskyi and three approaching Starokonstantiniv, with one from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Starokonstantiniv. This indicates a direct threat to Starokonstantiniv. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that the threat of enemy strike UAVs has been cleared for all oblasts. (Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], Николаевский Ванёк)
• Makivka (near Sumy, Ukraine): ISW maps indicate significant fighting in the past 24 hours near this location. (РБК-Україна)
• Pokrovsk Direction: Detailed ISW maps show assessed Russian advances and significant fighting on this front, including a reported advance to the eastern outskirts of Kotlyarivka. Два майора's morning summary reports fighting on the Pokrovsk direction (claiming advances under Pokrovsk in the central and eastern parts of Shevchenko village and fighting in Kotlyarka and Mirolyubovka). Colonelcassad shares photos claiming to show Ukrainian trophies on the Pokrovsk direction. (РБК-Україна, Два майора, Colonelcassad)
• Svatove-Kreminna Direction: Detailed ISW maps show assessed Russian advances and significant fighting on this front, with geolocated footage confirming advances west of Makiivka and north of Torske. (РБК-Україна)
• Kherson Direction: Detailed ISW maps indicate assessed Russian advances and areas of claimed Ukrainian counteroffensives on this front. Launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation on Kherson Oblast have been confirmed. (РБК-Україна, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine])
• Southern Donetsk Direction: Colonelcassad shares a video claiming sniper activity by the "Vostok" grouping. Два майора's morning summary reports fighting on the outskirts of Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, claiming advances and ongoing Ukrainian counterattacks. Воин DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hiding place near Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction. (Colonelcassad, Два майора, Воин DV)
• Starokonstantiniv (Khmelnytskyi Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports two drones approaching this location. Николаевский Ванёк at 03:21 UTC notes three drones approaching Starokonstantiniv and one from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Starokonstantiniv. Николаевский Ванёк at 04:11 UTC reports the last two drones are circling near Starokonstantiniv. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Nizhyn Area (Chernihiv Oblast): Николаевский Ванёк reports one drone south of this location, course towards Kyiv Oblast. (Николаевский Ванёк)
• Khabarovsk Krai (Russia): Police in this region report on various law enforcement activities including theft, property damage, fire safety violations, fraud, and illegal labor. (Полиция Хабаровского края)
• Gelendzhik (Krasnodar Krai, RU): TASS reports that citizens of Kyrgyzstan were injured in a landslide here. (ТАСС)
• Novorossiysk (Krasnodar Krai, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports consequences of Ukrainian strikes here, including 95 damaged apartments, 5 injured civilians (including 2 children), and a Ukrainian unmanned boat with an R-73 shot down near here with pilots rescued. This indicates Ukrainian attempts to target Russian naval assets with unmanned systems. (Два майора)
• Novaya Pogoshch (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports a Ukrainian drone attack here resulting in 4 injured civilians. (Два майора)
• Churovichi (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports an FPV drone attack on a feed truck of APH "Miratorg" here injuring the driver. (Два майора)
• Aleshkovichi (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports drone damage to a production building and a bus of APH "Miratorg" here. (Два майора)
• Kirillovka (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports fires destroying 6 houses here due to Ukrainian drone attacks. (Два майора)
• Strachovo (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports fires destroying 2 houses here due to Ukrainian drone attacks. (Два майора)
• Lomakovka (Bryansk Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports damage to a house here due to a Ukrainian drone attack. (Два майора)
• Mirople (Sumy Oblast): Два майора's morning summary reports continued Russian drone strikes here, claiming it is a concentration area for Ukrainian forces. (Два майора)
• Loknya (Sumy Oblast): Два майора's morning summary claims advances by Russian forces near this settlement. (Два майора)
• Vodolagi (Sumy Oblast): Два майора's morning summary claims advances by Russian forces near this settlement. (Два майора)
• Popovka (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports that Ukrainian forces have left scattered combat groups on the direction of Popovka and Demidovka and claim Russian forces are repelling attacks. They also report civilian casualties in Belgorod Oblast from shelling in Arkhangelskoe (a family of three injured) and drone attacks in Striguny (a woman injured) and damage to vehicles in Striguny and houses in various villages, and continued strikes on numerous settlements. (Два майора)
• Demidovka (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports that Ukrainian forces have left scattered combat groups on the direction of Popovka and Demidovka and claim Russian forces are repelling attacks. (Два майора)
• Arkhangelskoe (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports civilian casualties (a family of three injured) from shelling here. (Два майора)
• Striguny (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports drone attacks on two cars here injuring a woman. (Два майора)
• Shebekino (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports shelling on Arkhangelskoe in this district. (Два майора)
• Borisov (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports drone attacks on cars in Striguny in this district. (Два майора)
• Novaya Tavolzhanka (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Murom (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Yasnoye Zori (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Urazovo (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Dvuluchnoe (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Mokraya Orlovka (Belgorod Oblast, RU): Два майора's morning summary reports this settlement is under attack. (Два майора)
• Shevchenko Village (Pokrovsk Direction): Два майора's morning summary claims Russian advances under Pokrovsk in the central and eastern parts of this village. (Два майора)
• Kotlyarka (Pokrovsk Direction): Два майора's morning summary reports fighting here. (Два майора)
• Mirolyubovka (Pokrovsk Direction): Два майора's morning summary reports fighting here. (Два майора)
• Novoolenevka (Konstantinovka Direction): Два майора's morning summary claims Russian forces repelled Ukrainian counterattacks near this settlement. (Два майора)
• Alexandropol (Konstantinovka Direction): Два майора's morning summary claims Russian forces are developing success in this settlement. (Два майора)
• Malinovka (Konstantinovka Direction): Два майора's morning summary claims Russian forces are developing success near this settlement. (Два майора)
• Shcherbaki (Zaporizhzhia Direction): Два майора's morning summary reports positional battles in this area. (Два майора)
• Stepovoe (Zaporizhzhia Direction): Два майора's morning summary reports positional battles in this area. (Два майора)
• Kamenskoe (Zaporizhzhia Direction): Два майора's morning summary reports positional battles in this area. (Два майора)
• Kamenka-Dneprovskaya (Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Два майора's morning summary reports Ukrainian strikes here causing damage to a milk factory. (Два майора)
• Blagoveshchenka (Russian-occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast): Два майора's morning summary reports Ukrainian shelling here causing civilian casualties. (Два майора)
• Horlivka (DNR, Russian-occupied Donetsk Oblast): Два майора's morning summary reports continued Ukrainian shelling here causing a casualty and damage to a gas pipeline. (Два майора)
• Black Sea: Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report 1 Russian warship capable of carrying up to 6 Kalibr missiles present as of 06:00 on May 4th. They also report no Russian ships in the Azov Sea and three ships, including one Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles, in the Mediterranean Sea. This provides an updated snapshot of the Russian naval posture and missile threat. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Azov Sea: Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report no Russian warships present as of 06:00 on May 4th. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Mediterranean Sea: Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report 3 Russian ships, including 1 Kalibr missile carrier with up to 8 missiles, present as of 06:00 on May 4th. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Kerch Strait: Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report passage of 13 vessels to the Black Sea (7 towards Bosphorus) and 3 vessels to the Azov Sea (from Bosphorus) in the last day. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Oleshky (Kherson Oblast, RU): Воин DV reports that the Russian MFA condemned the alleged Ukrainian attack on Oleshky as a "terrorist act." Colonelcassad comments on Ukrainian sources dropping flags in Oleshky using drones as an old method of creating fake "peremogas" (victories). (Воин DV, Colonelcassad)
• Orikhiv (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that at least eight enemy KABs attacked this frontline city, destroying residential buildings and injuring two people. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Bilenke (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Kamianske (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks, 15 MLRS shellings, and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Huliaipole (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks, 15 MLRS shellings, and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Shcherbaky (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Novodanylivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks, 15 MLRS shellings, and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Mala Tokmachka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Charivne (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Novodarivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 10 aerial strikes, 256 drone attacks, 15 MLRS shellings, and 216 artillery shellings on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Malynivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 10 aerial strikes on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Temerivka (Zaporizhzhia Oblast): 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 10 aerial strikes on this settlement over the past day. (🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that overnight, Russian forces shelled this district with 40 Grad MLRS rounds, causing fires and damage to three enterprises, two apartment buildings, and two private houses. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)])
• Marhanets Community (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that in the morning, enemy forces used FPV drones and artillery to attack this community. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)])
• Pokrovsk Community (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that in the morning, enemy forces used FPV drones and artillery to attack this community. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)])
• Dnipro District (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that Shahed drones attacked this district overnight, damaging a agricultural enterprise. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)])
• Novopavlivka Community (Synelnykove District, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that in the evening, the enemy used UAVs against this community, injuring two police officers. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (OVA)])
• Bryansk Oblast (RU): Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that 1 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAV was destroyed by air defense over the territory of Bryansk Oblast overnight. This is also reported by TASS and Два майора. AV БогомаZ also reports the destruction of an aircraft-type UAV over the oblast overnight, with no casualties or damage. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, Два майора, AV БогомаZ)

Aerial and Naval Activity (Updated):

• Drone Activity: Continued, widespread, and dynamic Russian drone activity reported across multiple oblasts with updated and detailed trajectories provided. Ukrainian Air Force issues a specific warning for Dnipro, Mirhorod, Sloviansk, and Kyiv regarding approaching strike UAVs, specifically for Kyiv regarding an approaching strike UAV from the southeast, and now for Vinnytsia regarding an approaching strike UAV from the north and for southeastern Zhytomyr Oblast, and a new threat for Khmelnytskyi Oblast from the east. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force provides refined courses for drones, including for northwestern Sumy, northeastern Cherkasy, western Kyiv, northeastern Vinnytsia, and southeastern Zhytomyr Oblasts. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian "Bohdana" self-propelled artillery systems using "Lancet" drones. ASTRA shares videos and photos highlighting the aftermath of the night attacks in Kyiv, confirming damage and civilian medical appeals. New photos from the State Emergency Service in Kyiv show firefighters extinguishing fires in apartments and burned cars. Launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast, northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and now Kherson Oblast and Zaporizhzhia Oblast have been confirmed. New detailed reporting provides an updated picture of remaining Russian drone activity across various oblasts, including movements towards Zhytomyr Oblast, Fastiv, Vasylkiv, Kremenchuk district, eastern Kyiv Oblast, and the Konotop area. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares videos and text regarding the attack on Kyiv and Cherkasy, confirming impacts and damage. Colonelcassad shares information and a video about a new French quadcopter. Colonelcassad is sharing images and videos of Russian drones (Orlans, Iks, Geraniums) participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow. РБК-Україна confirms the movement of enemy UAVs towards Kyiv from the southeast and a strike UAV moving towards Vinnytsia from the north. Recent reports provide further detail on remaining drone trajectories, including those heading towards Zhytomyr Oblast, Fastiv, Vasylkiv, Kremenchuk district, eastern Kyiv Oblast, and circulating in eastern Kyiv Oblast, and specifically approaching Starokonstantiniv. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video evidence of impacts on a multi-story building in Kyiv and photos confirming the fire on the 12th floor of a residential building in Obolonskyi district has been extinguished. TASS reports a UAV destroyed in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky in Rostov Oblast. Updated information from the Ukrainian Air Force at 03:14 UTC specifies drone movements on the east of Kyiv Oblast (south/southwest course), south of Zhytomyr Oblast (southwest course), and east of Khmelnytskyi Oblast (west/northwest course). Николаевский Ванёк at 03:21 UTC notes three remaining drones approaching Starokonstantiniv, one near Khmelnytskyi, and one from Zhytomyr Oblast heading towards Starokonstantiniv, with the last two circling near Starokonstantiniv at 04:11 UTC. Два майора's morning summary reports a drone attack repelled in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky in Rostov Oblast overnight. Два майора also reports intensified Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian targets in Bryansk Oblast causing casualties and damage to infrastructure. Два майора reports continued Russian drone strikes on Mirople in Sumy Oblast. РБК-Україна reports one person injured in a drone attack on Cherkasy overnight with 5 fires reported at various addresses. Оперативний ЗСУ at 03:55 UTC shares additional photos and videos of the aftermath of the night attack on Kyiv, detailing destruction and fires in three districts. Воин DV shares a video claiming that UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping destroyed a Ukrainian hiding place near Bogatyr on the Southern Donetsk direction, indicating continued Russian use of UAVs for targeting. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that over the past night, 13 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs were destroyed by air defense, including 11 over Rostov Oblast, 1 over Belgorod Oblast, and 1 over Bryansk Oblast. This is also reported by TASS and Два майора. AV БогомаZ reports the destruction of an aircraft-type UAV over Bryansk Oblast overnight, with no reported casualties or damage. Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reports that the threat of enemy strike UAVs has been cleared for all oblasts. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports that in the morning, enemy forces used FPV drones to attack the Marhanets and Pokrovsk communities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and Shahed drones attacked the oblast overnight, damaging a agricultural enterprise in the Dnipro district. In the evening, the enemy used UAVs against the Novopavlivka community in Synelnikove district, injuring two police officers. Three enemy drones were shot down over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 256 drone attacks on various settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. (Николаевский Ванёк, Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], РБК-Україна, Colonelcassad, ASTRA, ДСНС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS], ТАСС, Два майора, Оперативний ЗСУ, Воин DV, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, AV БогомаZ, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)], 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Russian Tactical Aviation: Launches of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast, northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, Donetsk Oblast, and now Kherson Oblast and Zaporizhzhia Oblast have been confirmed. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that at least eight enemy KABs attacked the frontline city of Orikhiv, destroying residential buildings and injuring two people. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 10 aerial strikes on Malynivka, Temerivka, and Novodarivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. ([Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine], 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Black Sea Reconnaissance: Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports continued enemy reconnaissance activity over the Black Sea, sharing a Flightradar24 image showing a Saab 340B ISR aircraft over Bulgaria and near Istanbul. This indicates ongoing intelligence gathering efforts over the Black Sea region by unknown actors. (Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
• Naval Presence: The Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report the presence of one Russian warship capable of carrying up to 6 Kalibr missiles in the Black Sea as of 06:00 on May 4th. They also report no Russian ships in the Azov Sea and three ships, including one Kalibr carrier with up to 8 missiles, in the Mediterranean Sea. This provides an updated snapshot of the Russian naval posture and missile threat. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Kerch Strait Traffic: The Ukrainian Navy and General Staff report passage of 13 vessels to the Black Sea (7 towards Bosphorus) and 3 vessels to the Azov Sea (from Bosphorus) in the last day. (РБК-Україна, Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Ukrainian Naval Activity: Два майора reports that a Ukrainian unmanned boat with an R-73 surface-to-air missile was shot down by a Su-30 naval aviation fighter 50 km west of Novorossiysk two evenings prior, with the pilots ejecting and being rescued. This indicates Ukrainian attempts to target Russian naval assets with unmanned systems. (Два майора)
• Artillery and MLRS Activity: 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (OVA) reports that overnight, Russian forces shelled Nikopol district with 40 Grad MLRS rounds, and in the morning, enemy forces used artillery to attack the Marhanets and Pokrovsk communities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 15 MLRS shellings and 216 artillery shellings on various settlements in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. (🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)], 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)

Diplomatic and Political Developments:

• Russian Information Operations: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны promotes a special project highlighting claimed achievements under Putin's leadership. Colonelcassad engages in information operations showcasing claimed Russian military successes and technology and presenting claimed evidence of Ukrainian "atrocities" in Kursk Oblast and claimed dead Ukrainian soldiers in Guyevo. TASS reports on a new scam involving ticket purchases. TASS reports that the President of Cuba is traveling to Russia to participate in Victory Day celebrations. Colonelcassad is sharing images and videos of Russian drones participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow. TASS reports that the Financial Times suggests Kyiv may resume military aggression against Russia if a peace agreement does not include the recognition of territories incorporated into the Russian Federation, especially Crimea. Два майора's morning summary includes information promoting Russian military narratives, including claims of successful defensive actions and advances, and highlighting alleged Ukrainian targeting of civilian areas. Colonelcassad shares photos claiming to show Ukrainian trophies on the Pokrovsk direction, which serves as an information operation claiming success. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a motivational message related to airborne forces and Victory. Новости Москвы reports on one-time payments to WWII veterans and other categories in Moscow related to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War. This highlights a focus on historical commemoration and social support for specific groups within Russia. Басурин о главном shares a historical note about Vladimir Monomakh entering Kyiv and highlights his leadership and achievements in uniting Rus', framed as "DAY in HISTORY." This is likely part of a broader information operation leveraging historical narratives. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, TASS, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Басурин о главном)
• Peace Negotiations and Territorial Disputes: TASS reports on a Financial Times article suggesting Kyiv may resume military aggression if a peace agreement does not include the recognition of Russian-held territories, particularly Crimea. This highlights the fundamental disagreement over territorial status as a major obstacle to a peace settlement and a potential trigger for future conflict. (TASS)
• Internal Russian Politics: TASS reports that videoblogger Amiran Sardarov owes almost half a million rubles to the Federal Tax Service, according to law enforcement sources. This indicates a focus on tax collection by the Russian state and legal issues faced by individuals. Новости Москвы reports on one-time payments to WWII veterans and other categories in Moscow related to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War. This highlights a focus on historical commemoration and social support for specific groups within Russia. (ТАСС, Новости Москвы)
• International Relations and Victory Day Attendance: TASS reports that the President of Cuba is traveling to Russia to participate in Victory Day celebrations. TASS reports that the head of the Indian Ministry of Defense, Rajnath Singh, may not go to Victory Day in Moscow due to the terrorist attack in Pahalgam and will likely be represented by his deputy. (ТАСС)

Internal Russian Issues:

• Information Operations: Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны promotes a project highlighting claimed achievements under Putin's leadership. Colonelcassad engages in information operations showcasing claimed Russian military successes and technology. Colonelcassad presents claimed evidence of Ukrainian "atrocities" in Kursk Oblast and claimed dead Ukrainian soldiers in Guyevo. TASS reports on a new scam involving ticket purchases. TASS reports that the President of Cuba is traveling to Russia to participate in Victory Day celebrations. Colonelcassad is sharing images and videos of Russian drones participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow. Два майора's morning summary includes information promoting Russian military narratives, including claims of successful defensive actions and advances, and highlighting alleged Ukrainian targeting of civilian areas. Colonelcassad shares photos claiming to show Ukrainian trophies on the Pokrovsk direction, which serves as an information operation claiming success. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a motivational message related to airborne forces and Victory. Новости Москвы reports on one-time payments to WWII veterans and other categories in Moscow related to the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War. This highlights a focus on historical commemoration and social support for specific groups within Russia. Басурин о главном shares a historical note about Vladimir Monomakh and his achievements, framed as "DAY in HISTORY," likely as part of a broader information operation leveraging historical narratives. (Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Colonelcassad, TASS, Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, Новости Москвы, Басурин о главном)
• Military Readiness and Propaganda: Colonelcassad is sharing images and videos of Russian drones (Orlans, Iks, Geraniums) participating in a Victory Day parade training in Moscow, explicitly connecting them to "Our birds" and a significant national event. This serves as internal propaganda showcasing military capabilities and preparation for a key national event. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 shares a motivational message related to airborne forces and Victory, including physical exercises, likely aimed at boosting morale and readiness. (Colonelcassad, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺)
• Security and Societal Control: ASTRA reports on security forces conducting raids on bars in St. Petersburg and Yekaterinburg, checking documents, tattoos, and phones, and questioning individuals about their political views and attitudes towards the "SVO." This indicates an ongoing effort by Russian authorities to monitor and control potential dissent, particularly among younger generations, and suggests a focus on identifying individuals with perceived "left-radical" views or negative attitudes towards the conflict. The actions taken during these raids, including checking tattoos and private communications, highlight the extent of surveillance and control. (ASTRA)
• Localized Law Enforcement Activities: A new report from the police in Khabarovsk Krai, a far eastern region of Russia, details various law enforcement activities including theft, property damage, violations of fire safety regulations, fraud, and illegal labor activities by migrants. This provides insight into localized internal Russian issues and law enforcement priorities outside of the immediate conflict zone. TASS reports that citizens of Kyrgyzstan were injured in a landslide in Gelendzhik. While not directly a military event, it highlights a non-conflict-related incident requiring emergency response in Russia. (Полиция Хабаровского края, ТАСС)
• Taxation and Legal Issues: TASS reports that videoblogger Amiran Sardarov owes almost half a million rubles to the Federal Tax Service, according to law enforcement sources. This points to the Russian state's focus on tax collection and legal issues faced by individuals. (ТАСС)
• Impact of Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Territory: Два майора reports the consequences of Ukrainian strikes on Novorossiysk, including 95 damaged apartments and 5 injured civilians (including 2 children). They also report intensified Ukrainian drone strikes on civilian targets in Bryansk Oblast causing casualties (4 injured in Novaya Pogoshch, driver injured in Churovichi) and damage to infrastructure (feed truck, production building, bus, houses) in various villages. This provides a Russian account of the direct impact of Ukrainian military actions on Russian territory and its civilian population. Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 reports that over the past night, 13 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs were destroyed by air defense, including 11 over Rostov Oblast, 1 over Belgorod Oblast, and 1 over Bryansk Oblast. This is also reported by TASS and Два майора. AV БогомаZ reports the destruction of an aircraft-type UAV over Bryansk Oblast overnight, with no reported casualties or damage. (Два майора, Дневник Десантника🇷🇺, ТАСС, AV БогомаZ)

Support and Rehabilitation:

• Ukrainian Psychological Support: Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on the work of psychological support officers utilizing a therapy dog ("Addie") from the 5th Separate Heavy Mechanized Brigade, emphasizing efforts to support the mental well-being of soldiers. This highlights ongoing efforts to address the mental health needs of military personnel.

Other Information:

• Humanitarian Situation: ASTRA shares videos and photos highlighting the aftermath of the night attacks in Kyiv, confirming damage and civilian medical appeals. РБК-Україна reports two injured children in Kyiv, later updated to a total of four residents seeking medical assistance. КМВА reports three women sought medical assistance for stress reaction in Kyiv. New photos from the State Emergency Service in Kyiv show firefighters extinguishing fires and burned cars. ДСНС reports a total of 7 injured, including 2 children. ASTRA's visuals from Kyiv further underscore the civilian impact. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны confirms impacts and damage in Kyiv and Cherkasy, with residential areas affected. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video evidence of impacts on a multi-story building in Kyiv and photos confirming the fire on the 12th floor of a residential building in Obolonskyi district has been extinguished. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports four residents of Kyiv have sought medical assistance, receiving aid on the spot, citing Mayor Klitschko. Оперативний ЗСУ at 03:55 UTC shares additional photos and videos of the aftermath of the night attack on Kyiv, reporting 7 injured and detailing destruction and fires in three districts. РБК-Україна reports that one person was injured in a drone attack on Cherkasy overnight with 5 fires reported at various addresses affecting residential apartments, a warehouse, a dacha, and dry vegetation, and significant damage to two apartments in a 4-story dormitory. Оперативний ЗСУ shares additional photos and videos of the aftermath in Cherkasy, visually confirming the damage and the response. Два майора's morning summary reports civilian casualties in Novorossiysk (5 injured, including 2 children), Bryansk Oblast (4 injured in Novaya Pogoshch, driver injured in Churovichi), Belgorod Oblast (a family of three injured in Arkhangelskoe, a woman injured in Striguny), and Horlivka (1 casualty) due to Ukrainian strikes. TASS reports that citizens of Kyrgyzstan were injured in a landslide in Gelendzhik, a non-conflict-related humanitarian incident. РБК-Україна reports that according to the State Emergency Service (DSNS), the number of injured in Kyiv due to the drone attack has increased to 11 people, including 2 children. 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) reports damage to three enterprises, two apartment buildings, and two private houses in Nikopol district, and damage to a agricultural enterprise in the Dnipro district due to shelling and drone attacks, and injuries to two police officers in Novopavlivka community. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports that at least eight enemy KABs attacked the frontline city of Orikhiv, destroying residential buildings and injuring two people. 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 reports 26 reports of damaged apartments, private houses, and cars in Zaporizhzhia Oblast over the past day. (ASTRA, РБК-Україна, КМВА, ДСНС, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS], Оперативний ЗСУ, Два майора, ТАСС, 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА)], 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦)
• Global Defense Technology: Colonelcassad shares information and a video about a new French quadcopter. (Colonelcassad)
• Ukrainian Military Unit Reporting: The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade shares a video report on their combat work from April 27 to May 3, indicating continued active operations by this unit. The video is likely intended for information purposes, showcasing their activities. Генеральний штаб ЗСУ reports on the work of psychological support officers utilizing a therapy dog ("Addie") from the 5th Separate Heavy Mechanized Brigade. (46 окрема аеромобільна Подільська бригада ДШВ ЗС України], Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])
• Historical Commemoration: Басурин о главном shares a historical note about Vladimir Monomakh entering Kyiv on May 4, 1113, highlighting his leadership and achievements in uniting Rus'. This is presented as "DAY in HISTORY" and is likely linked to broader historical narratives and potentially the approaching Victory Day. (Басурин о главном)
• Updated Enemy Losses: The Ukrainian General Staff reports corrected overall enemy losses since February 24, 2022, with adjustments to numbers of tanks, armored combat vehicles, artillery systems, air defense systems, UAVs, cruise missiles, and special equipment due to updated intelligence. The overall estimated enemy personnel losses are now over 956,810, with an additional 1340 in the past day. Daily losses are reported as 1340 personnel, 11 tanks, 24 armored fighting vehicles, 52 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 1 air defense system, 163 UAVs, and 129 vehicles and fuel tanks. The total count of certain equipment types (tanks, AFVs, artillery, air defense, UAVs, cruise missiles, special equipment) has been updated in the cumulative statistics. (Генеральний штаб ЗСУ])

Potential Future Developments

• Continued High Probability of Russian Offensive Operations: The reports of repelled Ukrainian counterattacks and expanded control zones on the Southern Donetsk direction, coupled with continued claims of advances on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, strongly indicate that Russian forces will maintain their offensive pressure on key fronts. The reported intensity of fighting near Bogatyr and New York suggests these areas will remain focal points. The claimed prevention of a Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast suggests continued vigilance on the border. The high number of reported daily enemy personnel and equipment losses by the Ukrainian General Staff, despite accounting adjustments, underscores the intensity of the ongoing ground fighting.
• Continued High Probability of Russian Aerial and Drone Attacks: The persistent and widespread nature of Russian aerial and drone activity, including reports of renewed drone attacks in frontline cities like Kherson, and on Russian territory, indicates a continued high tempo of attacks across various areas. The fundraising efforts for anti-drone training highlight the ongoing nature of this threat. The clearing of the strike UAV threat for all oblasts by the Ukrainian Air Force indicates a temporary reprieve, but further waves are likely. The confirmed use of KABs on Orikhiv and aerial strikes on Malynivka, Temerivka, and Novodarivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast highlight the continued threat of air-launched guided munitions. The shelling and drone attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast also indicate persistent threats to civilian areas and infrastructure. The confirmed interceptions of Ukrainian UAVs over Rostov, Belgorod, and Bryansk Oblasts suggest that Russia expects and is actively countering Ukrainian drone activity targeting its territory.
• Continued Ukrainian Deep Strikes and Drone Operations: Ukrainian forces are likely to continue utilizing drones for deep strikes against Russian territory and assets, as evidenced by the confirmed damage in Novorossiysk and the reports from Bryansk Oblast. The quantitative data provided by the 414th UAV Brigade suggests that Ukrainian drone operations will remain a significant factor in inflicting losses on Russian forces. Continued Ukrainian naval drone activity is also probable.
• Potential for Increased Civilian Casualties: The tragic fatality and injuries from the drone attack in Kherson and the reported civilian casualties and damage in Bryansk Oblast underscore the ongoing and direct threat to civilians on both sides of the border. Continued aerial and drone attacks are likely to result in further casualties and damage to civilian infrastructure. The increase in injured in Kyiv to 11 people, including children, highlights the significant humanitarian impact of recent attacks. The reported injuries and damage in Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts also indicate the continued human cost of the conflict in these areas.
• Continued Stalemate in Peace Negotiations: The reported impasse in negotiations over territorial demands, with Putin insisting on full control of the claimed regions, suggests that diplomatic efforts towards a comprehensive ceasefire or peace agreement will remain challenging. Zelenskyy's condition for a ceasefire further highlights the differing positions. The information operations surrounding the possibility of a ceasefire suggest that any potential truce would be fragile and subject to differing interpretations.
• Continued Information Warfare: Both sides will continue to utilize information operations to shape narratives, highlight successes, and discredit the opponent, particularly in the lead-up to May 9th. Russian sources will likely continue to emphasize Ukrainian losses and failures, while Ukrainian sources will highlight Russian aggression and their own defensive successes. The narratives surrounding the May 9th parade attendance and the reporting on damage in Novorossiysk are examples of this. The historical narrative presented by Басурин о главном is likely part of a broader effort to leverage history for political purposes. The report of Chinese individuals near GUM in Moscow, while currently unclear in its significance, could potentially be framed within either side's information operations depending on further developments.
• Increased Focus on Counter-Armor and Counter-Drone Tactics: The demonstrated effectiveness of Ukrainian FPV drones against Russian armor suggests a continued focus on developing and employing these tactics. Russian forces will likely continue efforts to counter Ukrainian drone threats and armor, as evidenced by the fundraising for anti-drone training and claims of neutralizing Ukrainian equipment.
• Highlighting of Damage from Ukrainian Strikes: Russian sources are likely to continue highlighting damage to civilian infrastructure in Russia resulting from Ukrainian strikes, as seen with the reports from Novorossiysk and Bryansk Oblast, as part of their information operations.
• Reinforced Ukrainian Stance on Sovereignty: The new messages from Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 explicitly stating that Kherson Oblast is Ukrainian land reinforce Ukraine's unwavering stance on its territorial integrity.
• Impact of Updated Enemy Loss Statistics: The corrected overall enemy loss statistics reported by the Ukrainian General Staff will likely be used by Ukraine to highlight the significant cost of the conflict to Russia and may be incorporated into international appeals for continued support. The daily loss figures will continue to serve as a key indicator of the intensity of fighting.
• Continued Humanitarian Response: The increased number of injured in Kyiv and the reported casualties and damage in other areas will necessitate continued and potentially increased humanitarian response efforts, including medical aid, shelter, and psychological support. The work of psychological support officers with therapy dogs highlights one aspect of these efforts.

Operational Summary

The operational situation is characterized by sustained and intense ground combat on multiple fronts, with Russian forces claiming to be repelling counterattacks and expanding control zones on the Southern Donetsk direction and continuing offensive actions on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes. The pervasive Russian aerial and drone campaign continues to impact numerous Ukrainian oblasts, resulting in civilian casualties, including a fatality and injuries from a recent drone attack in Kherson, and damage to infrastructure in areas like Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia, including Orikhiv being hit by KABs. The number of injured in Kyiv from the recent drone attack has increased to 11, including children. Ukrainian forces are continuing to conduct effective drone operations, showcasing success against Russian armor in Donetsk Oblast and employing evolving tactics, while also conducting strikes on Russian territory resulting in damage and casualties. Russian air defense claims to have destroyed 13 Ukrainian aircraft-type UAVs over Rostov, Belgorod, and Bryansk Oblasts overnight. Diplomatic discussions surrounding potential peace negotiations remain at an impasse due to fundamental disagreements on territorial control, with Russian sources explicitly questioning the possibility of a ceasefire given recent Ukrainian actions. The information landscape remains highly contested, with both sides actively engaged in propaganda, including the leveraging of historical narratives. The Ukrainian General Staff has corrected overall enemy loss statistics based on updated intelligence, highlighting the significant cumulative cost of the conflict to Russia. New information reinforces the intensity of fighting, the continued and deadly nature of drone attacks on civilians on both sides of the border, the ongoing information war being waged by both sides, the continued Ukrainian capability for deep strikes and naval drone activity, the reinforced Ukrainian stance on its territorial sovereignty, and the increasing humanitarian impact of the conflict, necessitating ongoing support and psychological care for military personnel.

Potential Indicators

• Observable changes in the frontline and territorial control on the Southern Donetsk, Pokrovsk, and Toretsk axes, including independent verification of claimed Russian advances and the outcomes of Ukrainian counterattacks.
• Further reports of drone attacks, their locations, and impact on civilian and military targets in Ukraine, particularly in frontline cities like Kherson and in areas like Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts (including Orikhiv, Malynivka, Temerivka, Novodarivka, Bilenke, Kamianske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne), as well as on Russian territory in oblasts like Bryansk, Belgorod, and Rostov, and in areas like Novorossiysk. Any further corroboration or details regarding the drone attacks in Bryansk Oblast reported by AV БогомаZ and Два майора.
• Further reports or visual evidence of Ukrainian drone and unmanned boat activity targeting Russian territory, and any additional confirmed damage in areas like Novorossiysk and other Black Sea locations.
• Continued reporting and analysis of the effectiveness of Ukrainian FPV drone operations against Russian armor, including any changes in Russian tactics or countermeasures.
• Statements and actions from both sides regarding potential peace negotiations and the conditions for a ceasefire. Further statements from Russian sources explicitly questioning the possibility of a ceasefire.
• Continued dissemination of specific information operations by both sides, including narratives surrounding claimed military successes, casualties, and the impact of attacks on civilian infrastructure. The use of reports on civilian impact from attacks in Bryansk Oblast in Russian information operations. Further messaging from Ukrainian sources reinforcing sovereignty. Any further information or context regarding the presence of Chinese individuals near GUM in Moscow.
• Any observable changes in the scale or nature of Russian aerial and drone attacks in response to Ukrainian deep strikes.
• Reports of any further civilian casualties or damage from drone attacks in Kherson or other frontline areas in Ukraine, or in Russian border regions. The impact of increased injured numbers on medical facilities in Kyiv.
• Further details and assessment of the damage in Novorossiysk and any impact on port operations or military assets.
• Reports on the progress and impact of Russian fundraising efforts for anti-drone training and military aid for troops on the front lines. Further requests for military aid from Russian sources.
• Observable changes in military activity along the Ukrainian-Russian border, particularly in areas like Kursk Oblast, and any further claims or evidence of cross-border incursions. Any further information regarding claimed troop movements towards Tetkino.
• Further developments regarding attendance at the May 9th parade in Moscow and related information operations.
• Observable impacts of Turkish airspace closures on Israeli flights and any further escalation of tensions in the Middle East.
• Any further information or context regarding the presence of Chinese individuals near GUM in Moscow.
• Analysis and reaction to the updated enemy loss statistics reported by the Ukrainian General Staff from both Ukrainian and Russian sources, and from international observers.
• Further reports on the provision of psychological support to military personnel and the use of innovative methods like therapy dogs.
• Any observable impact of shelling and drone attacks on infrastructure in Nikopol, Marhanets, Pokrovsk, Dnipro, and Novopavlivka communities in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.