Archived operational intelligence briefing
Intense ground combat continues across multiple axes. Russian forces maintain offensive pressure, claiming further gains on the Pokrovsk, Toretsk (Konstantinovka), Zaporizhzhia, and Sumi fronts. New Russian claims of advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina persist, along with claimed consolidation of positions on the outskirts of Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction, suggesting Russian forces have entered the immediate vicinity. Unconfirmed Russian claims of amphibious crossings on the Kherson direction also continue. Russian sources claim to have liberated Doroshovka in the Kharkiv region and shot down a Ukrainian Su-27. Russian military bloggers confirm the liberation of Doroshovka and note the significance of this advance on the Kupiansk direction. Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses and maintaining heavy fighting across various sectors, repelling numerous assaults. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 75 combat engagements since the start of the day (as of 16:00 local time), with Ukrainian defenders stopping 38 Russian attempts to advance on the Pokrovsk direction (22 stopped, 12 ongoing), 10 on Lyman (5 ongoing), 6 on Kramatorsk (2 ongoing), 1 on Toretsk, 6 on Novopavlivsk (1 ongoing), and 1 on Prydniprovskyi. They also report stopping 1 Russian attack on the Kharkiv direction, 2 on the Kupyansk direction, 1 on the Siversk direction, and repelling 6 attacks on the Kursk direction (1 ongoing). They note Russian aviation strikes on Myropillya and Prokhody in Sumy Oblast and shelling of border settlements. Operational ZSU reports that the Knights of the 28th Brigade and adjacent units repelled a combined assault on the Toretsk direction. Slovochniy Kapriz reports active combat near Kurakhove, with Russian light motorized rifle units advancing over 1 km near Konstantinopol, reaching new positions near the Vovcha River.
A major development remains the official confirmation and extensive reporting by North Korea and Russia regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in "operations to liberate areas of Kursk Oblast" within the framework of a defense agreement, citing Article 4 of their treaty. This is explicitly linked by Russian sources to Ukraine's actions and is being promoted as a model of a true military alliance, with suggestions for inviting North Korean labor and drawing historical parallels. Russian sources are now further elevating the significance of this operation, suggesting it should be included in historical textbooks and standardized exams (ЕГЭ). Adding to this, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has reportedly called the participation of North Korean soldiers in fighting in Kursk Oblast a "sacred mission" and announced the construction of a monument in Pyongyang to honor the soldiers who fought in Russia. Ukraine continues combat operations in Kursk Oblast, with the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reporting 6 attacks repelled with one ongoing combat engagement, 4 airstrikes, 15 guided aerial bombs dropped, and 142 shellings (including 2 MLRS) over the past day. A Russian military expert claims Russian forces, in the course of liberating Gornal in Kursk Oblast, encountered mercenaries from Poland, the USA, and Turkey. Ukraine continues combat operations in Belgorod Oblast, claiming control of a border strip and inflicting significant Russian losses. Astra reports two people died and three were wounded as a result of a Ukrainian drone attack on a car on a road in Belgorod Oblast.
Aerial bombardment persists with "Shahed" drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting multiple Ukrainian oblasts. Air raid alerts were active in several areas including Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, but have now been lifted across all oblasts. The Kyiv mayor reports a woman was injured and a recreation base building was destroyed in a drone attack on the Desnianskyi district. The Kyiv City Military Administration reports 11 enemy UAVs were detected in the vicinity and airspace of the capital, with 9 destroyed and 2 locationally lost. No critical infrastructure was hit, but the fall of debris caused a fire at a recreation base with damage to buildings and vehicles, and three people sought medical attention on site. The Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports a massive Russian drone attack on the oblast, with air defense destroying 7 UAVs. However, the attack resulted in the death of a 12-year-old girl and injuries to a 6-year-old girl and two adults in Hubynyska community (Samarivskyi district). Damage to private houses and outbuildings was also reported. A UAV strike in Slovyanska community (Synelnykivskyi district) caused a fire at an agricultural enterprise. A KAB strike was reported in Velykomykhailivska community (Synelnykivskyi district) with consequences being clarified. Nikopol, Marhanetska, and Pokrovska communities on Nikopolshchyna were targeted by artillery and FPV drones, resulting in one injured 47-year-old woman, damage to infrastructure, houses, an outbuilding, and power lines. Olexandr Vilkul reports the situation in Kryvyi Rih is controlled, with no shelling in Kryvyi Rih district, but attacks in Nikopol district (Nikopol, Marhanetska, Pokrovska communities) with artillery and FPV drones resulting in one injured woman and damage. RBC-Ukraine reports on the drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast resulting in a child's death and another rescued from rubble and shares photos from the aftermath. Rybar reports Russian forces conducted strikes on Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, and Dnipropetrovsk, with Ukraine reporting over 40 Russian UAVs. Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleh Syniehubov reports that over the past day, 20 strike UAVs and 31 guided aerial bombs were used against civilians, resulting in injuries to two men. Specific incidents included a Shahed causing a warehouse fire in Kehychivka, a drone damaging a house and causing a fire in Kupiansk, KABs hitting the outskirts of Duvanka, a Shahed causing a fire in an disused building in Zarichne, a drone damaging a window in Vilshany, Uragan MLRS damaging garages and a house in Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, KABs damaging houses in Kupiansk and Pisky-Radkivski (also causing a forest fire and damage to outbuildings/garages), a FAB-250 damaging a house in Kivsharivka, artillery damaging a garage in Kupiansk, an explosion injuring a man in Kupiansk, a drone dropping ordnance causing a grass and outbuilding fire in Verkhnii Saltiv (also hit by a Molniya drone), and a FAB-1500 injuring a man in Kupiansk (hospitalized) and a FAB-500 damaging a house in Kupiansk. Rocket danger is reported in Kharkiv Oblast. The Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated criminal proceedings regarding the drone and artillery attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, confirming the death of the 12-year-old girl and injuries to four others, and damage to civilian infrastructure. The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Russian sources claim that T-72B3M tanks of the "Sever" Group of Forces destroyed Ukrainian strongholds and armored vehicles on the Kharkiv direction overnight, guided by UAVs with thermal imaging. WarGonzo reports Russian UAV calculations of the 41st Motorized Rifle Regiment destroyed three "Baba Yaga" hexacopters in the sky over Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO reports that in Nikopol, Russians attacked rescuers during the liquidation of a fire, with no casualties among personnel but damage to a fire truck. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that energy infrastructure of communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast are under constant enemy attacks, with over 22,000 subscribers recently left without power, which was restored in less than an hour. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of enemy tactical aviation activity and threat of aerial weapons on the southern and southeastern directions, and also on the eastern and northeastern directions. The Ukrainian Air Force also reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Kherson Oblast. A Ukrainian source claims a Ukrainian Su-27 was shot down by an F-16 during a Russian drone attack on Cherkasy due to human error, although this is presented as a possibility from media and a claim by a Ukrainian source, not an official confirmation. Ukrainian Air Force is reporting on enemy reconnaissance UAV activity on the west of Donetsk region. A Russian military blogger claims that the Su-27 was shot down by friendly fire from an F-16 due to confusion caused by Russian Geran drones, citing issues with the "friend or foe" system. The Air Force of Ukraine reports a guided aerial bomb towards Kherson and reconnaissance UAV activity in western Donetsk Oblast. RBC-Ukraine reports on Romania raising F-16 and Eurofighter jets during the Russian drone attack on Ukraine, with the possibility of a drone briefly crossing Romanian airspace. The Air Force of Ukraine reports a missile in southern Sumy Oblast heading southwest, later specifying it is heading towards Lebedyn. Russian military bloggers claim the destruction of a Ukrainian MaxxPro armored vehicle in the Krasnoarmeysk direction by a Nona-SVK self-propelled mortar crew of the "Tsentr" Group of Forces. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian T-72 tank near Vasyltsivka, Kharkiv Oblast, by fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade. The Office of the Prosecutor General is investigating drone and artillery attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника reports that an enemy drone attacked a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 17-year-old boy. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a 68-year-old woman was injured and private houses and an agricultural enterprise were damaged by Russian attacks in one community. A powerful explosion with secondary detonation is reported in Sloviansk near the railway station. Russian sources confirm a powerful explosion and secondary detonation in Sloviansk near the railway station, stating air raid alerts were not announced but local channels report a hit. Военкор Котенок reports that a powerful explosion with secondary detonation occurred near the railway station in Sloviansk, potentially hitting a warehouse or train carrying ammunition. The Ukrainian Air Force reports KABs targeting Donetsk Oblast.
Discussions regarding potential peace settlements continue. Russian statements about readiness for negotiations and Donald Trump's reported claims regarding Zelenskyy's readiness to abandon claims to Crimea and his view on the conflict's cause are circulating. Significantly, Donald Trump has now explicitly called on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," stating he believes conditions for a deal exist. The UN has responded to Putin's unilateral ceasefire announcement, stating their position remains the same: they want to see the end of the war based on the UN Charter, international law, and relevant resolutions, without directly endorsing or rejecting the ceasefire. Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. The US House of Representatives has reportedly received articles of impeachment against President Trump from Congressman Shri Thanedar, citing serious violations. Yermak states that Putin could stop the fire with one command but does not, hoping to deceive everyone, and says Russia must stop the fire and not block Trump's peace efforts, which Ukraine supports. Russian sources are disseminating opinions from Western media (UnHerd) suggesting Europe should accept Trump's peace deal and that victory is not an option for Ukraine. TASS reports that Patrushev claims the majority of Odesa residents have nothing in common with the Kyiv regime. Ukrainian sources report that in the US Congress, impeachment of President Trump was initiated, with accusations on 7 articles. Kotsnews cites Military Watch Magazine (USA) on the North Korean factor and a new truce, mentioning the role of North Korean military equipment in Russian operations and the possibility of the US President hardening his stance towards Putin. It also cites The Telegraph (UK) on Putin's three-day ceasefire announcement and Trump's push for a peace deal. It cites Fakt (Poland) and General Waldemar Skrzypczak on Trump's threats of sanctions against Russia and the opinion that Putin does not listen to Trump and sees him as weak in imposing anything on Russia. WarGonzo cites Bloomberg on Trump hating the EU and the relationship between the US and Europe only worsening. Wargonzo cites "Abkhaz" (commander Akhra Avidzba) on the Russian side demonstrating humanity with the truce, mentioning exchanges of bodies and willingness for negotiations. Russian military bloggers are showcasing propaganda videos portraying Ukrainians abroad celebrating and being indifferent to the conflict, framing it in a negative light. Peskov stated that Putin is ready to start negotiations without preconditions, but there is no response from Ukraine. Peskov also noted that there is no understanding whether Kyiv will join the ceasefire for Victory Day, calling Ukraine's lack of a direct response a "manipulation." Peskov acknowledged difficulties with the legitimacy of the Kyiv regime but emphasized that the interests of peaceful settlement are paramount. Peskov did not clarify if North Korean military personnel would participate in the Victory Parade, but stated that Russian awards for distinguished North Korean soldiers fighting in Kursk are possible. Peskov reiterated the lack of a direct response from Kyiv on the ceasefire, calling it a "manipulation." Peskov also stated that Russia is ready for direct negotiations with Ukraine and that Zelenskyy's status is "not so important" in this matter, while acknowledging "legal difficulties" with his legitimacy but prioritizing peaceful settlement. Medvedev continues his strong rhetoric, claiming the relationship between Russia and Europe has passed the point of no return, calling European leaders "aggressive fanatics and militarists," stating Russia's response to "peace through strength" is "peace through fear," predicting a future holiday in Russia dedicated to the victory in the "special operation," and calling assertions that Russia would attack Europe "nonsense." He also reiterates the legitimacy of targeting foreign mercenaries and claims the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime." He also claims Washington and London planned an attack on the Red Army in 1945 and were preparing a third world war. China has called on Ukraine and Russia to clarify the roots of the "conflict" and supports steps towards a peaceful resolution and a balanced, long-term agreement, according to the Chinese Foreign Minister. Russian sources report that the Kremlin has rejected Ukraine's proposal for a one-month ceasefire instead of the initially proposed May 8-10 truce, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. RBC-Ukraine reports that the sister of Putin's negotiator Dmitriev secretly visited Ukraine in February 2025 using a US passport, citing an American journalist. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine "one of the most corrupt countries in the world" and suggesting Zelenskyy could have signed a mineral deal instead of arguing with the US President. RBC-Ukraine reports that Donald Trump, in an interview, admits that certain actions by Putin can make him more favorable to Ukraine (but not necessarily Zelenskyy). He mentioned the possibility of intervening with "sanctions," "banking mechanisms," and "many other types of weapons," not necessarily "weapons with bullets." TASS reports that participants in the BRICS foreign ministers meeting in Brazil expressed a desire to see a speedy end to the conflict in Ukraine, and that Lavrov explained Russia's position. Trump, cited by Операция Z and Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦, states that Ukraine will be "crushed very soon" because Russia is a "big military machine." Trump also reportedly called Amazon's actions in displaying the cost impact of his policies "hostile and political," leading to a drop in Amazon's stock.
Domestic Russian news includes reports on a fatal ambulance accident in Belgorod, discussions among military bloggers, recruitment for internal affairs organs in occupied territories, a report from the Russian МВД on scam attempts in Telegram, and increased fines for children operating electric scooters. Reports circulating in Russian military blogger channels about a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application via a fake "Pro-version" highlight ongoing cybersecurity concerns. Russian military bloggers are also highlighting the financial impact of "foreign agent" status on individuals like Ilya Varlamov, framing it as a successful state measure. Russian state media continues to publish historical documents from the FSB related to alleged collaboration during WWII in Donbas. Reports indicate an increase in direct flights between Tunisia and Russia. Basurin highlights the historical significance of Vasily Tatishchev on "Day in History," focusing on his contributions to Russian history, geography, and the founding of cities. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a video of a light installation in Volgograd for the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War. A preliminary model of the MS-21 aircraft with new Russian systems has completed its first flight, according to Rostec, as reported by TASS and ASTRA, showcasing efforts towards technological self-sufficiency in aviation. Fighterbomber shares videos of the MC-21 flight. Kotsnews reports on the imported-substituted MS-21's first flight, emphasizing the replacement of foreign systems and the use of PD-14 engines. The police in the Khabarovsk Territory report that 18 residents fell victim to scammers last week, with a total loss of over 5 million rubles and are investigating possible damage to structures at a city cemetery. Russian military bloggers are disseminating Russian Ministry of Defense claims that NATO is practicing scenarios for capturing Kaliningrad Oblast and blocking shipping in the Baltic and Black Seas during exercises near Russia's borders, a claim echoed by Patrushev. TASS reports that Fortum is not planning to return to Russia and will continue the process of selling assets when possible and is also pursuing arbitration against Russia regarding the transfer of its assets to external management. ASTRA reports that a 19-year-old student of the Baltic Naval Institute in Kaliningrad has been accused of rape, and a police investigation is underway. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the presence of NATO aircraft (AWACS, special mission aircraft) near Kaliningrad as evidence of NATO activity near Russia's borders. TASS reports that Putin stated it is necessary to repel those who try to justify Nazi crimes. TASS reports on the cost of river electric transport in Moscow with the "Summer tariff". Mash on Donbas shares a video of Vitaly Gura, head of Novokakhovsky district, before recording a video. Alex Parker Returns comments on the burning of a computer with "insides" of "Tolik" and an incident on the Pakistan border. TASS reports on plans to install new monuments to Soviet military sailors in Russia and Panama to mark the 80th anniversary of Victory. TASS reports the body of a deputy head of the Federal Penitentiary Service in the Krasnoyarsk Territory was found in a garage, with suspected suicide. ASTRA reports the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has proposed new grounds for granting asylum, including facing "rusophobia" or inability to "observe traditional values." Colonelcassad reports on the alleged liquidation of a Ukrainian champion in Muay Thai. Russian sources are promoting a fundraising effort for quadcopters for an assault battalion of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade for operations on the Southern Donetsk direction. The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine is investigating two individuals for allegedly producing fake military documents for border crossing for $20,000, arresting them and seizing funds. News from Moscow indicates city services will continue working as usual during the May holidays. Astra reports on the removal of a children's playground in Novosibirsk under the control of a United Russia deputy, which was built by his election opponent, with residents calling it theft. TASS reports on the need for doctors in Russia, particularly ambulance doctors, pharmacists, and dietitians. The Police in the Khabarovsk Territory are conducting raids to prevent fires. Russian military bloggers are sharing content highlighting the daily life of soldiers. Medvedev characterized inviting "Bandera-Nazis" to Berlin for the 80th anniversary of Victory as "beyond cynicism." Medvedev stated that Russia's response to "peace through strength" should be "peace through fear." Medvedev claimed Trump acknowledged the US, Europe, and Kyiv are responsible for the conflict. Medvedev stated the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime," and foreign mercenaries are legitimate targets. TASS reports on a potential crime investigation involving a deputy head in Krasnodar. News from Moscow confirms traffic restrictions today for Victory Parade preparations. TASS reports 18 Russian tourists were injured in a bus accident in Antalya, Turkey. News from Moscow reports on a new project to create software for humanoid robots. A new report from the Office of the Prosecutor General reports an attempt to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a representative of the Russian Federation, with two individuals from Ternopil and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts suspected. A Russian military blogger reports that the enemy attempted an assault on the Sumy direction using pickup trucks, which were destroyed by marines from the 810th Guards Brigade. A video report from WarGonzo highlights the work of Russian sappers on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, emphasizing clearing paths, countering drones, and remote mining on liberated territories. TASS reports that 17 Russians injured in a bus accident in Antalya, Turkey, remain hospitalized. A Russian military blogger reports the official confirmation by the Russian MoD of the liberation of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast. The Police of the Khabarovsk Territory share a video of a program with a singer, which is likely unrelated to the conflict. Russian sources report that the Kremlin has rejected Ukraine's proposal for a one-month ceasefire instead of the initially proposed May 8-10 truce, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. ASTRA reports on the trial of a transgender woman in Vologda accused of publicly calling for terrorist attacks, who is on a hunger strike. Colonelcassad shares an image with a potentially sarcastic caption related to the ongoing situation. The Office of the Prosecutor General confirms that a group of individuals is suspected of attempting to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a Russian representative. Поддубный reports that the Russian army has taken control of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast, that Ukrainian attempts to stabilize the situation failed, and that Russian forces now control a section of the P-79 highway, continuing to advance both south towards Kupiansk and northwest from Doroshovka. TASS reports that one of three Russian sailors wounded in Yemen has been hospitalized and requires surgery. Дневник Десантника reports that an enemy drone attacked a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 17-year-old boy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that fighters of the 63rd brigade destroyed 13 units of enemy equipment, including shooting down a Merlin reconnaissance drone for the third time and destroying vehicles, cannons, and mortars with drones. Rybar reports on the escalation in Jammu and Kashmir, including troop movements, air force exercises, and increased reconnaissance flights, noting that Pakistan has offered India a plan to prevent a new regional war. STERNENKO reports a missile threat in occupied Crimea, with reports of a Neptun attack. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА discusses the importance of showcasing the real work of Russian special forces in the media, highlighting the need to attract new specialists in areas like cyber intelligence and drone operations and to combat misinformation. RBC-Ukraine reports that the sister of Putin's negotiator Dmitriev secretly visited Ukraine in February 2025 using a US passport, citing an American journalist. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian equipment delivering food and ammunition by drone operators of the "Okhotnik" detachment. TASS reports that payment for travel on several Russian highways via "Госуслуги" has been temporarily suspended due to technical work. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a 68-year-old woman was injured and private houses and an agricultural enterprise were damaged by Russian attacks in one community. TASS reports that two Russian citizens received minor injuries during a US strike on the Yemeni port of Ras Isa. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАZА continues his discussion on the importance of media coverage for Russian special forces, mentioning that showing "cool work" is sometimes prohibited by leadership but is necessary for recruitment and public understanding. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of soldiers from the 1st Separate Feodosia Marine Battalion, discussing the search for missing persons, exchange negotiations, and adherence to humanitarian law. News from Moscow reports that combining barbecue with strong alcohol or beer is dangerous for health. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine "one of the most corrupt countries in the world" and suggesting Zelenskyy could have signed a mineral deal instead of arguing with the US President. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, discusses the situation in the oblast, emphasizing the need for civilian evacuation from frontline communities, particularly Kupiansk, noting the opening of new businesses despite the risks, and highlighting support for families of fallen defenders. Russian sources are reporting on the growth of a cemetery in Kursk where deceased military personnel are buried, highlighting the human cost of the conflict. Russian military bloggers are discussing PTSD, specifically condemning behavior attributed to some "veterans" who engage in domestic violence or aggression towards civilians, arguing that this is not a result of PTSD but rather pre-existing issues, and that such individuals cast a negative light on all veterans. A Russian source is disseminating information regarding social benefits for war veterans and victims in Ukraine, framing the amounts as negligible and highlighting the large number of casualties, potentially as an information operation to demoralize Ukrainian forces and population. Russian sources are promoting the development of the Arctic shelf as a source of energy and a symbol of Russian sovereignty and future, linking it to the 25th anniversary of Putin's first inauguration, potentially as an information operation to bolster national pride and highlight strategic long-term goals. Putin and Lukashenko are in Volgograd for events related to the "Great Heritage - Common Future" forum and will visit Mamayev Kurgan to honor defenders of Stalingrad. Reports from Volgograd indicate disruptions to mobile internet and traffic closures due to the high-level visit, with students reportedly being used for crowd presence. Russia's Ministry of Finance has proposed tax benefits for participants of the "special military operation" and their families, as well as tax deductions for large families, and exemption from tourist tax for санаторно-курортное лечение. A Ukrainian source reports that the price of electricity for the population remains unchanged until October 31, 2025, but notes that intensive Russian shelling has destroyed or damaged approximately 10 GW of generating capacity. A Ukrainian source reports new details on two car accidents in Poland involving a bus on the Minsk-Wroclaw route and a truck driven by a Ukrainian citizen, resulting in injuries to 15 people. The Office of the Prosecutor General reports that a resident of Sumy has been sentenced to 15 years in prison for state treason, including collecting and transmitting information about Ukrainian troop movements and locations, and spreading pro-Russian narratives. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 is actively recruiting for UAV operators for the 22nd Separate Mechanized Brigade, highlighting the use of modern technology and emphasizing contributing to victory. Operational ZSU reports on successful defense against a combined assault on the Toretsk direction by the Knights of the 28th Brigade and adjacent units. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the signing of a memorandum for the relocation of wards from an internment facility in Zaporizhzhia Oblast to Ternopil Oblast for safety, indicating ongoing efforts to evacuate vulnerable populations from frontline areas. Басурин о главном reports on Putin and Lukashenko's visit to the Mamayev Kurgan memorial in Volgograd. RBC-Ukraine reports that the National Bank of Ukraine has significantly lowered the dollar exchange rate for the last day of April. Поддубный shares a video from the Russian Ministry of Defense claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian T-72 tank in Kharkiv Oblast by "West" Group of Forces drones, noting the alleged British efforts to resupply Ukraine with T-72s. WarGonzo shares a video showcasing the use of "Knyaz Vandal Novgorodsky" drones for destroying Ukrainian wheeled vehicles and highlighting daily checks of remote minefields by UAVs. Дневник Десантника shares an older video claiming the destruction of a group of wounded Ukrainian soldiers in a pipe in Demidivka by FPV drone operators of the 34th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade. Два майора reports the detention in St. Petersburg of an individual born in 2002 for posting support for the "Russian Volunteer Corps" and calling for the liquidation of the Russian leadership in social networks in March 2024. ASTRA reports that during Putin and Lukashenko's visit to Volgograd, students were reportedly brought out with flags for the motorcade, mobile communication was jammed, taxi prices surged, and one student was injured by a car after the motorcade passed. ASTRA shares photos of crowds with Russian flags during the Volgograd visit. Военкор Котенок reports a powerful explosion with secondary detonation near the railway station in Sloviansk, potentially hitting a warehouse or train carrying ammunition. Олександр Вілкул provides details on the modernization of heat supply systems in Kryvyi Rih, including the installation of modular boiler houses and cogeneration units, and the replacement of heat networks, highlighting challenges with personnel shortages but also opportunities for employment and military deferment. Новости Москвы reports that Aeroflot has added a function to correct errors in tickets online. Fighterbomber shares photos of a Yakovlev Yak-130 aircraft and calls the crew "heroes of the day," indicating its use and importance in current operations. WarGonzo shares an interview with a soldier from the "Somali" battalion on the Pokrovsk direction, discussing the relevance of boxing skills in combat. Rybar announces a new episode of their podcast discussing the nature of "hype" and Telegram channels. Colonelcassad comments on the North Korean troop involvement in Kursk, acknowledging prior knowledge and highlighting their physical and shooting training, their effectiveness against drones, and their adaptation to combat tactics, praising them as heroes and emphasizing the combat experience gained. Дневник Десантника states he will post summaries later due to being busy with tasks. Два майора shares a video from the 810th Guards Marine Brigade on the Sumy direction, showcasing captured trophies and commenting on the perceived weakness of modern NATO grenade launchers in combat, linking the Western weaponry to alleged Ukrainian plans in Kursk. RBC-Ukraine reports that Hungary has voted to withdraw from the International Criminal Court, with the Foreign Minister citing a loss of impartiality and authority. Trump's recent statements about Ukraine being "crushed very soon" are being amplified by Russian sources. Ukraine is introducing criminal responsibility for the deportation of children, aiming for prosecution of those involved in illegal movement, deportation, delayed repatriation, and using children for military purposes. Reports indicate American M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery systems have been observed in service with four additional Ukrainian brigades and one regiment, suggesting increased Western artillery deliveries, though some may be internal transfers with brigades receiving domestic Bohdana systems. Poddugny and Kotsnews are highlighting the decision to send TCC employees without combat experience to the front, framing it negatively. ASTRA reports an incident in Moscow involving a shooting between members of a Rosgvardiya orchestra, resulting in one injury. Poddugny reports Latvia has supplied Ukraine with 1,500 strike drone systems and is working on providing another 12,000. Ukrainian Naval Forces reportedly destroyed a small vessel used for logistics by Russian forces near the Kinburn Spit. Ukrainian 45th Separate Artillery Brigade is reportedly targeting Russian infantry. President Zelenskyy discusses Ukraine's experience in protecting and restoring energy supply, proposing greater security cooperation in the Three Seas Initiative format, focusing on energy infrastructure protection, backup power, and improved transport links, and linking these to the need for lasting peace. The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine reports the conviction of two Russian servicemen to 12 years imprisonment in absentia for cruel treatment of civilians and rape of a pregnant woman in the Kyiv region in March 2022, resulting in the loss of the pregnancy. Rybar reports on the ongoing ban and associated fines for wearing St. George ribbons in Moldova, noting the contrasting approaches to celebrating Victory Day and Europe Day and the societal split. STERNENKO shares images depicting children participating in what appears to be military-style drills or safety exercises in Russia or occupied territories. WarGonzo shares a memo from a psychologist for families of returning SVO participants, offering advice on communication and reintegration. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of Ukrainian defenders, discussing the negotiation process, information gathering, and adherence to international humanitarian law. The Russian Ministry of Defense is promoting the "Great Heritage, Common Future" forum in Volgograd with Putin and Lukashenko, emphasizing shared history and victory in WWII. Mash on Donbas shares a video reporting on a destroyed residential building in Horlivka allegedly from a Ukrainian strike, with reported casualties, and notes that people may be under the rubble. TASS reports a sentence of 27 years imprisonment for an individual accused of attempting to poison cadets at a Russian flight school. The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine reports identifying two officials from a defense plant and two accomplices suspected of supplying over 120,000 unusable mortar rounds to the front, causing significant damage to combat capability. The Russian Ministry of Defense shares videos claiming successful drone strikes against Ukrainian fortifications and UAV operators on the Krasnoarmeysk and South Donetsk directions. BUTUSOV PLUS shares a video claiming Ukrainian drones are effectively targeting Russian positions and equipment, including an electronic warfare system and a UAV launch point.
The core operational picture remains one of sustained, high-intensity conflict on multiple fronts, with significant use of drones and aerial bombardment by both sides, resulting in civilian casualties and now impacting areas closer to the administrative borders of oblasts previously less affected. The North Korean military involvement, officially confirmed and extensively promoted by both Russia and North Korea as a significant allied contribution and a model for future cooperation, and ongoing diplomatic maneuvering, remain key strategic factors. Continued Russian efforts on the Sumy direction and now demonstrably towards eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are evident, as are ongoing Ukrainian counter-intelligence and defense measures against aerial threats. The large-scale Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia continue. The rhetoric from both sides remains firm, with no clear path to a negotiated settlement evident despite ongoing discussions, further evidenced by Peskov's stance on ceasefire nuances and Medvedev's strong rhetoric, and now Trump's varying statements. Ukraine is actively pursuing diplomatic channels to highlight Russian aggression and secure international support, including through the upcoming UN Security Council meeting and discussions with the US on rare earth metals. Russia's reported plans to exploit mineral resources in occupied territories further indicate a long-term strategic objective of control. Domestic issues in both countries and international diplomatic events continue to unfold alongside the military conflict. The reported liberation of Doroshovka by Russian forces on the Kupiansk direction, if confirmed, represents a localized Russian tactical gain and a potential expansion of their bridgehead in the area. The alleged downing of a Ukrainian Su-27 by Russian forces, if verified, would be a significant loss for the Ukrainian Air Force and an indicator of Russian aerial effectiveness. Ukraine's focus on recruiting for technological roles within the military and for UAV operators indicates a strategic emphasis on developing and deploying advanced defense solutions. The reported incident involving a Russian servicemember accused of a violent crime while on leave, and who was previously accused of war crimes by Ukraine, raises concerns about potential behavioral issues among some returning personnel and potential legal and ethical implications. The Wall Street Journal report suggesting Russia plans to accelerate its offensive with favorable weather conditions and foliage cover, coupled with anticipated shortages of Western artillery for Ukraine, highlights potential future operational challenges and strategic considerations for both sides. The reported attempt at railway sabotage in Lviv, if confirmed as directed by Russia, indicates continued efforts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and infrastructure, even in western regions. The reported injury of a civilian in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and the attack on a school bus are concerning examples of the humanitarian impact of the conflict. The destruction of Ukrainian equipment by the 63rd brigade and Russian drone operators highlights the ongoing attrition and effectiveness of drone warfare. The meeting of the Coordination Headquarters with families of marines underscores the ongoing efforts to address the human cost of the conflict and the issue of prisoners of war and missing personnel. A powerful explosion with secondary detonation in Sloviansk near the railway station indicates a successful strike on a significant target, likely a military or logistical asset given the location. The increased size of the cemetery in Kursk is a somber indicator of the human cost of the conflict for Russia. Discussions among Russian military bloggers about PTSD and the behavior of some veterans reflect internal social issues and challenges within Russia related to the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Finance proposing tax benefits for "special military operation" participants and their families indicates government efforts to provide social and economic support for those involved in the conflict. Ukraine's continued ability to maintain stable electricity prices despite significant damage to generating capacity highlights resilience in the energy sector, although the noted destruction points to a vulnerability that Russia is exploiting. The sentencing of a Ukrainian citizen in Sumy for state treason, including providing information on troop movements and spreading pro-Russian narratives, highlights internal counter-intelligence efforts and the ongoing information war. The relocation of vulnerable populations from frontline areas in Zaporizhzhia Oblast underscores the humanitarian impact of the conflict and the need for evacuation and support. The lowering of the dollar exchange rate by the National Bank of Ukraine indicates economic activity and potentially a degree of stability in the financial sector. The claimed destruction of a Ukrainian T-72 tank by Russian drones highlights the continued effectiveness of UAVs against armored vehicles and the ongoing attrition of Ukrainian equipment. The showcasing of Russian drones destroying Ukrainian wheeled vehicles and remote minefields by UAVs further emphasizes the widespread and impactful use of drones by Russian forces. The detention of an individual in St. Petersburg for supporting the "Russian Volunteer Corps" indicates internal security measures against groups perceived as a threat by Russia. Reports of disruptions and an injury during the high-level visit in Volgograd highlight the impact of security measures on civilian life and potentially raise questions about organization and safety during such events. The modernization efforts in Kryvyi Rih's heat supply system demonstrate ongoing efforts to maintain and improve civilian infrastructure despite the conflict, while also highlighting challenges with personnel shortages and the potential for employment and military deferment incentives. The reported Hungarian vote to withdraw from the International Criminal Court is a significant international development with implications for international justice and accountability. Trump's recent statements expressing a belief that Ukraine will be "crushed very soon" add a new dimension to the diplomatic landscape and signal a potentially pessimistic view from a prominent international figure. Russia is promoting discussions about historical memory and events of World War II, potentially as part of its information operations related to the current conflict. Russian sources claim a precision strike by Russian forces on a warehouse in Sloviansk, resulting in a fire and secondary detonation, further highlighting ongoing strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure and potential military/logistical targets. Russian sources are commenting on alleged corruption and audits of US aid to Ukraine, likely as part of their information operations to undermine Western support. The creation of a new Ukrainian tank battalion indicates ongoing efforts to maintain and build up armored capabilities. Footage of Ukrainian forces destroying a Russian golf cart with a drone on the Siversk direction indicates ongoing localized engagements and the use of drones against unconventional military transport. Ukrainian sources are leveraging the confirmed death of Russian General Moskalik, highlighting his alleged role in providing fabricated reports to Russian leadership as part of their information operations. Russian military bloggers are disseminating negative portrayals of deceased Ukrainian soldiers. Discussion continues regarding the details of the treatment and death of journalist Viktoriia Roshchyna in Russian captivity, highlighting concerns about the treatment of prisoners. Statements from US Vice President Vance questioning Ukraine's ability to win and raising the possibility of nuclear conflict are being amplified by Russian sources, contributing to the narrative of potential Ukrainian defeat and the risks of escalation. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is implementing measures to rotate experienced personnel into Territorial Recruitment Centers and deploy TCC staff without combat experience to combat zones, indicating ongoing efforts to improve recruitment efficiency and personnel utilization. Reports of European leaders declining to attend a summit in Kyiv on May 9th, opting for other security-related engagements, suggest security concerns and prioritization of alternative strategic events are influencing diplomatic schedules. Russian sources are highlighting claimed destruction of Ukrainian equipment by Russian special forces on the Southern Donetsk direction, showcasing their capabilities. A fire at a school in occupied Mariupol is reported, highlighting the continued impact of the conflict on civilian infrastructure in occupied territories. Russian sources are disseminating graphic videos purporting to show the abandonment of deceased Ukrainian soldiers, likely as a psychological operation to demoralize Ukrainian forces and the population. Russian sources are claiming Russian advances on the Southern Donetsk direction. Russian sources are promoting the use of mortars by Russian special forces. Reports of a schoolchild in Kazan being sentenced for anti-war graffiti highlight Russian internal repression against dissent related to the conflict. Russian military bloggers are commenting on German political dynamics and the stance of a potential new German Chancellor towards Russia and Ukraine, indicating a focus on the political landscape of key international partners. Statements from a Russian military blogger characterizing the move to send TCC staff to the front as an indicator of potential corruption in evading conscription are being disseminated. Reports of the Security Service of Ukraine detaining a Russian agent attempting to set fire to a Territorial Recruitment Center in Chernihiv indicate ongoing Russian efforts to disrupt Ukrainian mobilization and infrastructure and Ukrainian counter-intelligence efforts. Statements from a Russian military expert characterize Putin's ceasefire announcement as an attempt to appeal to Ukrainians who value Victory Day, while accusing Ukrainian authorities of not adhering to past ceasefires. The Ukrainian Air Force is reporting ongoing KAB strikes on Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts. Ukraine is formally introducing criminal responsibility for the deportation of children, a move aimed at prosecuting those involved. American M109 Paladin self-propelled howitzers are being observed with additional Ukrainian units, suggesting increased Western artillery supplies. The decision by the Ukrainian General Staff to send TCC employees without combat experience to the front and replace them with wounded personnel is generating discussion and commentary, particularly from Russian sources framing it negatively. An incident involving a shooting within a Russian National Guard orchestra in Moscow highlights internal issues in Russia. Latvia is actively contributing to Ukraine's drone capabilities with significant deliveries. Ukrainian Naval Forces continue to target Russian logistical assets in the southern areas. Ukrainian units are effectively targeting Russian infantry and equipment with artillery. President Zelenskyy is highlighting Ukraine's expertise in energy security and advocating for broader regional cooperation in the Three Seas Initiative framework. Ukraine's Office of the Prosecutor General is pursuing war crimes cases, with a conviction reported for cruel treatment and rape in the Kyiv region. The ban on St. George ribbons in Moldova continues to be a point of contention and social division. Reports of children participating in military-style drills in Russia or occupied territories underscore the impact of the conflict on youth and potential militarization. Efforts are being made to provide psychological support to Russian soldiers and their families returning from the conflict zone. The Coordination Headquarters continues its work on prisoner of war issues and support for families. Russia is leveraging historical narratives and events, such as the forum in Volgograd with Putin and Lukashenko, for political and propaganda purposes. Continued reports of civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure in Horlivka highlight the ongoing humanitarian impact of the conflict. Legal proceedings and convictions are occurring in Russia related to alleged acts of terrorism linked to the conflict. A major case of suspected corruption and hindering military activity has been reported in Ukraine concerning the supply of unusable mortar rounds. The Russian Ministry of Defense and Ukrainian units are showcasing successful drone operations.
Updated Situation: High-intensity ground combat continues, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, where Russian forces are conducting numerous assaults and mechanized attacks, and in the Southern Donetsk direction near Bohatyr. The Kursk border region remains an active area of conflict, with ongoing clashes and shelling and confirmed Ukrainian presence fighting against Russian and North Korean forces, though Russia claims complete liberation and rout of Ukrainian forces in this area and is reporting active infantry attacks and gains in the village of Loknya. A significant development is the confirmed use of a new, faster Russian loitering munition, the "Banderol," potentially indicating a shift in Russian drone warfare capabilities. Information operations surrounding alleged Ukrainian terrorism in Russia and the situation in Kursk remain key focuses for Moscow. Ukraine continues diplomatic efforts and highlights the severity of the conflict through events like the commemoration of the Chernobyl disaster. Russian military bloggers are actively fundraising for specific equipment for units on the Zaporizhzhia front and special forces units, suggesting these remain areas of focus for future Russian operations or are experiencing significant equipment needs. There are continued indicators of potential Ukrainian deep operations within Russia, including alleged intelligence gathering. Internal issues within Russian military units, particularly "Storm Z" units, are being reported, highlighting potential systemic weaknesses. Both sides are continuing to adapt their tactics and technology, including in the use of drones and counter-drone measures, with Ukrainian FPV drone use remaining highly effective in targeting Russian personnel. The political environment remains complex, with differing views on peace terms and ongoing efforts to shape narratives and influence international support. New air raid alerts are active across multiple oblasts due to ongoing Russian UAV activity. A significant corruption case has been uncovered in Ukraine's defense industry, with officials suspected of supplying over 120,000 unusable mortar rounds to the front, impacting combat capability. There are reports of potential civilian casualties following a Ukrainian strike on a residential building in Gorlivka. Urgent fundraising is underway for a Ukrainian brigade on the Kharkiv direction, indicating operational needs and perceived increased Russian pressure. Russian President Putin has ordered the standardization of support for "SVO" participants and their families.
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