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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-04-29 12:50:00Z
10 months ago
Previous (2025-04-29 12:20:18Z)

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (April 29, 2025, 12:49 UTC)


Updated Situation

Intense ground combat continues across multiple axes with significant reported Russian gains on the Pokrovsk and Sumi fronts. New Russian claims of advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina and in the western microdistrict of Chasiv Yar are circulating. Russian forces are also reported to be fighting in Uspenovka, Kotlino, near Zverevo, towards Chunishino, and on the outskirts of Mirolyubovka on the Pokrovsk direction, with claimed successes in Novogrodovka, eastern outskirts of Novosergiyevka, northern Kotlyarovka, and Orekhovo. On the Southern Donetsk direction, Rybar reports Russian forces advancing towards Bogatyr and claims their aviation destroyed two bridges near Zeleny Kut and Novoukrainka. The liberation of Tarasovka near Toretsk is reported. Russian sources claim continued encirclement of Petrovka and Shcherbinovka from the west after liberating Sukha Balka, advancing towards Romanovka. DeepState reports Russian advances in Uspenivka, near Kotlyarivka and Rozdolne. Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses and maintaining heavy fighting across various sectors, repelling numerous assaults including 9 on the Kharkiv direction and 7 on the Kupyansk direction. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a very high volume of Russian strikes (544) across 10 settlements in the oblast over the past day, utilizing aviation, drones, MLRS, and artillery, causing damage but no casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff provides updated operational data, reporting 178 combat engagements over the past day, with Ukrainian forces repelling 59 attacks on the Pokrovsk direction, 18 on Lyman, 6 on Siversk, 10 on Kramatorsk, 14 on Toretsk, 23 on Novopavlivsk, 5 on Orikhiv, 5 on Prydniprovskyi, and 15 on Kursk. They also report repelling 9 attacks on the Kharkiv direction and 7 on the Kupyansk direction, and note no combat on the Huliaipole direction. A Russian military blogger claims active combat continues on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, with enemy (Ukrainian) pressure continuing on almost all parts of this direction. A Russian source claims Russian forces advanced 2.5 km in Sumy Oblast and occupied new positions in the northern part of Bilovody. Russian sources are promoting video reports claiming significant destruction of Ukrainian armored vehicles and vehicles on the Southern Donetsk direction by special forces drone operators. Ukrainian sources report actively searching for manufacturers of anti-aircraft FPV drones, indicating efforts to enhance counter-drone capabilities. Australia is reportedly still awaiting US permission to transfer M1A1 Abrams tanks to Ukraine after a year, highlighting ongoing logistical and bureaucratic hurdles in military aid delivery. Russian sources claim to have destroyed a Ukrainian command post in Kherson Oblast using a FAB-500 with a UMPK, and destroyed a Ukrainian T-72 tank near Vasyltsivka, Kharkiv Oblast, also claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian MaxxPro armored vehicle in the Krasnoarmeysk direction. Colonelcassad provides map updates claiming Russian gains including expanded control near Hryhorivka and Lysovka, liberation of Kamyanka, advances near the Pokrovsk-Konstantinovka highway interchange, pushing Ukrainian forces back from the state border near Popivka, advances north of Nadiyivka, and expanded control in Chasiv Yar. The Southern Ukraine Defense Forces report eliminating 103 Russian personnel and destroying significant amounts of Russian equipment in the South over the past day, including 11 artillery systems, 51 units of vehicles/armored vehicles, 8 UAVs, 5 boats, 3 electronic warfare stations, and other assets. Ukrainian forces claim the destruction of a Russian MaxxPro armored vehicle and six personnel west of Vesele using FPV drones. Russian sources, citing Ukrainian channels, reiterate the claim that a Ukrainian Su-27 was shot down by a friendly F-16 due to issues with the "friend or foe" system during a Russian drone attack, a claim also mentioned by a Ukrainian source (head of staff fund of the 3rd Assault Brigade) without specifics but attributing it to human error. A Russian military blogger suggests the potential for North Korean military personnel to be involved in combat operations on other fronts after the completion of operations in Kursk Oblast, citing the head of the State Duma Defense Committee. Russian sources report receiving bills for garbage collection in Sudzha, Kursk Oblast for March, when fighting was ongoing, which they highlight with sarcasm regarding the operational environment. Russian sources continue to disseminate narratives suggesting a potential Trump peace deal would be a "trap" for Zelenskyy, potentially leading to a political crisis in Ukraine, citing Politico. Russia's Ministry of Defense claims to have liberated Doroshovka in the Kharkiv region and shot down a Ukrainian Su-27. Russian military bloggers confirm the liberation of Doroshovka and note the significance of this advance on the Kupiansk direction, suggesting it expands the Russian bridgehead and opens potential avenues for further offensive operations towards Kupiansk or Velykyi Burluk and Vovchansk. A Russian military blogger provides details and claims the pilot of the downed Ukrainian Su-27, Captain Klubnikin Nikolay Nikolaevich from the 831st Brigade in Myrhorod, survived the ejection. The Ukrainian General Staff is actively seeking personnel for the Center for Scaling Technological Solutions, with vacancies for PCB Engineers, Computer Vision Engineers, Embedded Systems Engineers, and Aviation Engineers, indicating a focus on domestic technological development for defense. Ukraine's Office of the Prosecutor General reports informing a serviceman and two citizens in Odesa Oblast of suspicion for abuse of influence, allegedly demanding $15,000 to remove an individual from the wanted list and arrange a deferral from mobilization. Russian military bloggers share videos claiming successful drone and artillery strikes by the 39th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade against Ukrainian personnel, a mortar crew, and a "Baba Yaga" drone. Russian sources also share videos claiming successful strikes by UAV operators of the 33rd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 20th Guards Motorized Rifle Division on Ukrainian personnel in dugouts north of Tarasovka on the Konstantinovskoe direction. A Russian military blogger shares a satellite image from NASA claiming a serious fire at a former missile and artillery armament base in Kehychivka, Kharkiv Oblast, overnight, attributed to a "Geran" strike, with evidence of the base not being abandoned. TASS reports on successful tests in Russia for a supersonic civilian aircraft, demonstrating advanced control systems. A Russian military blogger shares intelligence claiming the Governor of Odesa Oblast, Oleh Kiper, issued a secret instruction to facilitate the departure of his assistant to Austria, speculating it is related to the legalization of Kiper's property and funds abroad. TASS reports on the death of the Deputy Head of the Federal Penitentiary Service in the Krasnoyarsk Territory, with suspected suicide. Medvedev continues his strong rhetoric, claiming the relationship between Russia and Europe has passed the point of no return, calling European leaders "aggressive fanatics and militarists," stating Russia's response to "peace through strength" is "peace through fear," predicting a future holiday in Russia dedicated to the victory in the "special operation," and calling assertions that Russia would attack Europe "nonsense." He also reiterates the legitimacy of targeting foreign mercenaries and claims the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime." He also claims Washington and London planned an attack on the Red Army in 1945 and were preparing a third world war. TASS reports the Russian Ministry of Defense claims striking a military airfield and a training center for the Ukrainian State Border Guard Service, and provides claimed Ukrainian casualty figures across various Russian groupings. TASS reports the Russian Ministry of Defense claims Russian air defense shot down 189 Ukrainian UAVs and 7 JDAM guided aerial bombs. ASTRA reports on a Russian servicemember from unit 71718, accused by Ukraine of executing prisoners of war, attacking a civilian with a knife while on leave in Volgograd Oblast. Wall Street Journal reports that Russia plans to accelerate its offensive in Ukraine with warmer weather and increasing foliage, which is expected to reduce the effectiveness of Ukrainian drones and facilitate the use of heavy equipment, also noting expected shortages in Western artillery supplies. A new report from the Office of the Prosecutor General reports an attempt to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a representative of the Russian Federation, with two individuals from Ternopil and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts suspected. A Russian military blogger reports that the enemy attempted an assault on the Sumy direction using pickup trucks, which were destroyed by marines from the 810th Guards Brigade. A video report from WarGonzo highlights the work of Russian sappers on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, emphasizing clearing paths, countering drones, and remote mining on liberated territories. TASS reports that 17 Russians injured in a bus accident in Antalya, Turkey, remain hospitalized. A Russian military blogger reports the official confirmation by the Russian MoD of the liberation of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast. The Police of the Khabarovsk Territory share a video of a program with a singer, which is likely unrelated to the conflict. Russian sources report that the Kremlin has rejected Ukraine's proposal for a one-month ceasefire instead of the initially proposed May 8-10 truce, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. ASTRA reports on the trial of a transgender woman in Vologda accused of publicly calling for terrorist attacks, who is on a hunger strike. Colonelcassad shares an image with a potentially sarcastic caption related to the ongoing situation. The Office of the Prosecutor General confirms that a group of individuals is suspected of attempting to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a Russian representative. Поддубный reports that the Russian army has taken control of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast, that Ukrainian attempts to stabilize the situation failed, and that Russian forces now control a section of the P-79 highway, continuing to advance both south towards Kupiansk and northwest from Doroshovka. TASS reports that one of three Russian sailors wounded in Yemen has been hospitalized and requires surgery. Дневник Десантника reports that an enemy drone attacked a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 17-year-old boy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that fighters of the 63rd brigade destroyed 13 units of enemy equipment, including shooting down a Merlin reconnaissance drone for the third time and destroying vehicles, cannons, and mortars with drones. Rybar reports on the escalation in Jammu and Kashmir, including troop movements, air force exercises, and increased reconnaissance flights, noting that Pakistan has offered India a plan to prevent a new regional war. STERNENKO reports a missile threat in occupied Crimea, with reports of a Neptun attack. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА discusses the importance of showcasing the real work of Russian special forces in the media, highlighting the need to attract new specialists in areas like cyber intelligence and drone operations and to combat misinformation. RBC-Ukraine reports that the sister of Putin's negotiator Dmitriev secretly visited Ukraine in February 2025 using a US passport, citing an American journalist. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian equipment delivering food and ammunition by drone operators of the "Okhotnik" detachment. TASS reports that payment for travel on several Russian highways via "Госуслуги" has been temporarily suspended due to technical work. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a 68-year-old woman was injured and private houses and an agricultural enterprise were damaged by Russian attacks in one community. TASS reports that two Russian citizens received minor injuries during a US strike on the Yemeni port of Ras Isa. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА continues his discussion on the importance of media coverage for Russian special forces, mentioning that showing "cool work" is sometimes prohibited by leadership but is necessary for recruitment and public understanding. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of soldiers from the 1st Separate Feodosia Marine Battalion, discussing the search for missing persons, exchange negotiations, and adherence to humanitarian law. News from Moscow reports that combining barbecue with strong alcohol or beer is dangerous for health. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine "one of the most corrupt countries in the world" and suggesting Zelenskyy could have signed a mineral deal instead of arguing with the US President. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, discusses the situation in the oblast, emphasizing the need for civilian evacuation from frontline communities, particularly Kupiansk, noting the opening of new businesses despite the risks, and highlighting support for families of fallen defenders.

A major development remains the official confirmation and extensive reporting by North Korea and Russia regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in "operations to liberate areas of Kursk Oblast" within the framework of a defense agreement, citing Article 4 of their treaty. This is explicitly linked by Russian sources to Ukraine's actions and is being promoted as a model of a true military alliance, with suggestions for inviting North Korean labor and drawing historical parallels. Russian sources are now further elevating the significance of this operation, suggesting it should be included in historical textbooks and standardized exams (ЕГЭ). Adding to this, North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has reportedly called the participation of North Korean soldiers in fighting in Kursk Oblast a "sacred mission" and announced the construction of a monument in Pyongyang to honor the soldiers who fought in Russia. Ukrainian forces continue combat operations in Kursk Oblast, with the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reporting 15 combat engagements, 17 airstrikes, 27 guided aerial bombs dropped, and 338 shellings over the past day. A Russian military expert claims Russian forces, in the course of liberating Gornal in Kursk Oblast, encountered mercenaries from Poland, the USA, and Turkey. Ukraine continues combat operations in Belgorod Oblast, claiming control of a border strip and inflicting significant Russian losses. Russian sources continue to deny any significant Ukrainian presence in border areas like Popivka and Demidivka. TASS reports that no Ukrainian servicemen who tried to enter Popivka in Belgorod Oblast returned, citing a Ukrainian prisoner. Astra reports two people died and three were wounded as a result of a Ukrainian drone attack on a car on a road in Belgorod Oblast. Russian sources are discussing the potential for North Korean military personnel to be involved in combat operations on other fronts after the completion of operations in Kursk Oblast.

A significant and widespread Ukrainian UAV attack targeted multiple regions in Russia and occupied Crimea overnight. The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have destroyed a total of 91 Ukrainian UAVs, including 40 over Kursk Oblast, 12 over Oryol, 11 over Ryazan, 8 over Nizhny Novgorod (with reports of an attack on the Sverdlov plant in Dzerzhinsk), 7 over the Black Sea, 6 over Crimea, 3 over Belgorod, 2 over the Moscow region, 1 over Kaluga, and 1 over Bryansk. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports one civilian fatality and one injury from a Ukrainian UAV attack. News reports from Moscow confirm the interception of 2 UAVs over the Moscow region. The governor of Bryansk reports the destruction of one UAV over the oblast with no casualties or damage. ASTRA also reported on the claimed destruction of 91 drones and highlighted the attack on Dzerzhinsk. This indicates a large-scale, coordinated Ukrainian drone operation targeting various locations within Russia and Crimea. Rybar reports that 51 drones were destroyed over the Black Sea, Crimea, Kursk, Oryol, and Belgorod Oblasts shortly before midnight, and attacks were repelled in Nizhny Novgorod and Kaluga Oblasts overnight. The Ukrainian Air Force reports that 100 strike UAVs and drone simulators were launched by Russia overnight, with 37 strike UAVs and drones of other types shot down and 47 drone simulators "locationally lost" (without negative consequences). Affected regions include Kharkiv, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kyiv Oblasts. Russian sources claim the Ukrainian "Wild Hornets" UAV group may be involved in the death of journalist Semyon Eremin. STERNENKO reports a missile threat in occupied Crimea, with reports of a Neptun attack.

Aerial bombardment persists with "Shahed" drones and guided aerial bombs (KABs) targeting multiple Ukrainian oblasts. Air raid alerts were active in several areas including Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, but have now been lifted across all oblasts. The Kyiv mayor reports a woman was injured and a recreation base building was destroyed in a drone attack on the Desnianskyi district. The Kyiv City Military Administration reports 11 enemy UAVs were detected in the vicinity and airspace of the capital, with 9 destroyed and 2 locationally lost. No critical infrastructure was hit, but the fall of debris caused a fire at a recreation base with damage to buildings and vehicles, and three people sought medical attention on site. The Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports a massive Russian drone attack on the oblast, with air defense destroying 7 UAVs. However, the attack resulted in the death of a 12-year-old girl and injuries to a 6-year-old girl and two adults in Hubynyska community (Samarivskyi district). Damage to private houses and outbuildings was also reported. A UAV strike in Slovyanska community (Synelnykivskyi district) caused a fire at an agricultural enterprise. A KAB strike was reported in Velykomykhailivska community (Synelnykivskyi district) with consequences being clarified. Nikopol, Marhanetska, and Pokrovska communities on Nikopolshchyna were targeted by artillery and FPV drones, resulting in one injured 47-year-old woman, damage to infrastructure, houses, an outbuilding, and power lines. Olexandr Vilkul reports the situation in Kryvyi Rih is controlled, with no shelling in Kryvyi Rih district, but attacks in Nikopol district (Nikopol, Marhanetska, Pokrovska communities) with artillery and FPV drones resulting in one injured woman and damage. RBC-Ukraine reports on the drone attack in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast resulting in a child's death and another rescued from rubble and shares photos from the aftermath. Rybar reports Russian forces conducted strikes on Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, and Dnipropetrovsk, with Ukraine reporting over 40 Russian UAVs. Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleh Syniehubov reports that over the past day, 20 strike UAVs and 31 guided aerial bombs were used against civilians, resulting in injuries to two men. Specific incidents included a Shahed causing a warehouse fire in Kehychivka, a drone damaging a house and causing a fire in Kupiansk, KABs hitting the outskirts of Duvanka, a Shahed causing a fire in an disused building in Zarichne, a drone damaging a window in Vilshany, Uragan MLRS damaging garages and a house in Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi, KABs damaging houses in Kupiansk and Pisky-Radkivski (also causing a forest fire and damage to outbuildings/garages), a FAB-250 damaging a house in Kivsharivka, artillery damaging a garage in Kupiansk, an explosion injuring a man in Kupiansk, a drone dropping ordnance causing a grass and outbuilding fire in Verkhnii Saltiv (also hit by a Molniya drone), and a FAB-1500 injuring a man in Kupiansk (hospitalized) and a FAB-500 damaging a house in Kupiansk. Rocket danger is reported in Kharkiv Oblast. The Office of the Prosecutor General has initiated criminal proceedings regarding the drone and artillery attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, confirming the death of the 12-year-old girl and injuries to four others, and damage to civilian infrastructure. The Ukrainian Air Force reports launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation on Sumy Oblast and Donetsk Oblast. Russian sources claim that T-72B3M tanks of the "Sever" Group of Forces destroyed Ukrainian strongholds and armored vehicles on the Kharkiv direction overnight, guided by UAVs with thermal imaging. WarGonzo reports Russian UAV calculations of the 41st Motorized Rifle Regiment destroyed three "Baba Yaga" hexacopters in the sky over Kharkiv Oblast. STERNENKO reports that in Nikopol, Russians attacked rescuers during the liquidation of a fire, with no casualties among personnel but damage to a fire truck. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that energy infrastructure of communities in Zaporizhzhia Oblast are under constant enemy attacks, with over 22,000 subscribers recently left without power, which was restored in less than an hour. The Ukrainian Air Force warns of enemy tactical aviation activity and threat of aerial weapons on the southern and southeastern directions, and also on the eastern and northeastern directions. The Ukrainian Air Force also reports launches of guided aerial bombs on Kherson Oblast. A Ukrainian source claims a Ukrainian Su-27 was shot down by an F-16 during a Russian drone attack on Cherkasy due to human error, although this is presented as a possibility from media and a claim by a Ukrainian source, not an official confirmation. Ukrainian Air Force is reporting on enemy reconnaissance UAV activity on the west of Donetsk region. A Russian military blogger claims that the Su-27 was shot down by friendly fire from an F-16 due to confusion caused by Russian Geran drones, citing issues with the "friend or foe" system. The Air Force of Ukraine reports a guided aerial bomb towards Kherson and reconnaissance UAV activity in western Donetsk Oblast. RBC-Ukraine reports on Romania raising F-16 and Eurofighter jets during the Russian drone attack on Ukraine, with the possibility of a drone briefly crossing Romanian airspace. The Air Force of Ukraine reports a missile in southern Sumy Oblast heading southwest, later specifying it is heading towards Lebedyn. Russian military bloggers claim the destruction of a Ukrainian MaxxPro armored vehicle in the Krasnoarmeysk direction by a Nona-SVK self-propelled mortar crew of the "Tsentr" Group of Forces. Colonelcassad shares a video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian T-72 tank near Vasyltsivka, Kharkiv Oblast, by fighters of the 16th Separate Special Purpose Brigade. The Office of the Prosecutor General is investigating drone and artillery attacks in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Дневник Десантника reports that an enemy drone attacked a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 17-year-old boy. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a 68-year-old woman was injured and private houses and an agricultural enterprise were damaged by Russian attacks in one community. A powerful explosion with secondary detonation is reported in Sloviansk near the railway station. Russian sources confirm a powerful explosion and secondary detonation in Sloviansk near the railway station, stating air raid alerts were not announced but local channels report a hit.

Discussions regarding potential peace settlements continue. Russian statements about readiness for negotiations and Donald Trump's reported claims regarding Zelenskyy's readiness to abandon claims to Crimea and his view on the conflict's cause are circulating. Significantly, Donald Trump has now explicitly called on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," stating he believes conditions for a deal exist. The UN has responded to Putin's unilateral ceasefire announcement, stating their position remains the same: they want to see the end of the war based on the UN Charter, international law, and relevant resolutions, without directly endorsing or rejecting the ceasefire. Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. The US House of Representatives has reportedly received articles of impeachment against President Trump from Congressman Shri Thanedar, citing serious violations. Yermak states that Putin could stop the fire with one command but does not, hoping to deceive everyone, and says Russia must stop the fire and not block Trump's peace efforts, which Ukraine supports. Russian sources are disseminating opinions from Western media (UnHerd) suggesting Europe should accept Trump's peace deal and that victory is not an option for Ukraine. TASS reports that Patrushev claims the majority of Odesa residents have nothing in common with the Kyiv regime. Ukrainian sources report that in the US Congress, impeachment of President Trump was initiated, with accusations on 7 articles. Kotsnews cites Military Watch Magazine (USA) on the North Korean factor and a new truce, mentioning the role of North Korean military equipment in Russian operations and the possibility of the US President hardening his stance towards Putin. It also cites The Telegraph (UK) on Putin's three-day ceasefire announcement and Trump's push for a peace deal. It cites Fakt (Poland) and General Waldemar Skrzypczak on Trump's threats of sanctions against Russia and the opinion that Putin does not listen to Trump and sees him as weak in imposing anything on Russia. WarGonzo cites Bloomberg on Trump hating the EU and the relationship between the US and Europe only worsening. Wargonzo cites "Abkhaz" (commander Akhra Avidzba) on the Russian side demonstrating humanity with the truce, mentioning exchanges of bodies and willingness for negotiations. Russian military bloggers are showcasing propaganda videos portraying Ukrainians abroad celebrating and being indifferent to the conflict, framing it in a negative light. Peskov stated that Putin is ready to start negotiations without preconditions, but there is no response from Ukraine. Peskov also noted that there is no understanding whether Kyiv will join the ceasefire for Victory Day, calling Ukraine's lack of a direct response a "manipulation." Peskov acknowledged difficulties with the legitimacy of the Kyiv regime but emphasized that the interests of peaceful settlement are paramount. Peskov did not clarify if North Korean military personnel would participate in the Victory Parade, but stated that Russian awards for distinguished North Korean soldiers fighting in Kursk are possible. Peskov reiterated the lack of a direct response from Kyiv on the ceasefire, calling it a "manipulation." Peskov also stated that Russia is ready for direct negotiations with Ukraine and that Zelenskyy's status is "not so important" in this matter, while acknowledging "legal difficulties" with his legitimacy but prioritizing peaceful settlement. Medvedev expressed strong negative opinions on inviting "Bandera-Nazis" to Berlin for the 80th anniversary of Victory, calling it "beyond cynicism." Medvedev also stated that Russia's response to the Western principle of "peace through strength" should be "peace through fear," as "fear still works." Medvedev claimed Trump essentially admitted that the US, Europe, and Kyiv are responsible for the conflict in Ukraine. Medvedev stated that the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime." Medvedev noted that during the "special operation," legitimate targets include not only the Armed Forces of Ukraine but also foreign mercenaries. China has called on Ukraine and Russia to clarify the roots of the "conflict" and supports steps towards a peaceful resolution and a balanced, long-term agreement, according to the Chinese Foreign Minister. Russian sources report that the Kremlin has rejected Ukraine's proposal for a one-month ceasefire instead of the initially proposed May 8-10 truce, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. RBC-Ukraine reports that the sister of Putin's negotiator Dmitriev secretly visited Ukraine in February 2025 using a US passport, citing an American journalist. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine "one of the most corrupt countries in the world" and suggesting Zelenskyy could have signed a mineral deal instead of arguing with the US President. RBC-Ukraine reports on Donald Trump's interview where he suggests he might become more favorable towards Ukraine (though not necessarily Zelenskyy) due to certain actions by Putin. He mentions the possibility of intervening with "sanctions," "banking mechanisms," and "many other types of weapons," rather than necessarily "weapons with bullets," to support Ukraine's territorial integrity. STERNENKO reports that in an interview with The Atlantic, Trump admits that certain actions by Putin can make him more favorable to Ukraine (but not necessarily Zelenskyy).

Domestic Russian news includes reports on a fatal ambulance accident in Belgorod, discussions among military bloggers, recruitment for internal affairs organs in occupied territories, a report from the Russian МВД on scam attempts in Telegram, and increased fines for children operating electric scooters. Reports circulating in Russian military blogger channels about a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application via a fake "Pro-version" highlight ongoing cybersecurity concerns. Russian military bloggers are also highlighting the financial impact of "foreign agent" status on individuals like Ilya Varlamov, framing it as a successful state measure. Russian state media continues to publish historical documents from the FSB related to alleged collaboration during WWII in Donbas. Reports indicate an increase in direct flights between Tunisia and Russia. Basurin highlights the historical significance of Vasily Tatishchev on "Day in History," focusing on his contributions to Russian history, geography, and the founding of cities. Archangel Spetsnaz shares a video of a light installation in Volgograd for the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War. A preliminary model of the MS-21 aircraft with new Russian systems has completed its first flight, according to Rostec, as reported by TASS and ASTRA, showcasing efforts towards technological self-sufficiency in aviation. Fighterbomber shares videos of the MC-21 flight. Kotsnews reports on the imported-substituted MS-21's first flight, emphasizing the replacement of foreign systems and the use of PD-14 engines. The police in the Khabarovsk Territory report that 18 residents fell victim to scammers last week, with a total loss of over 5 million rubles and are investigating possible damage to structures at a city cemetery. Russian military bloggers are disseminating Russian Ministry of Defense claims that NATO is practicing scenarios for capturing Kaliningrad Oblast and blocking shipping in the Baltic and Black Seas during exercises near Russia's borders, a claim echoed by Patrushev. TASS reports that Fortum is not planning to return to Russia and will continue the process of selling assets when possible and is also pursuing arbitration against Russia regarding the transfer of its assets to external management. ASTRA reports that a 19-year-old student of the Baltic Naval Institute in Kaliningrad has been accused of rape, and a police investigation is underway. Russian military bloggers are highlighting the presence of NATO aircraft (AWACS, special mission aircraft) near Kaliningrad as evidence of NATO activity near Russia's borders. TASS reports that Putin stated it is necessary to repel those who try to justify Nazi crimes. TASS reports on the cost of river electric transport in Moscow with the "Summer tariff". Mash on Donbas shares a video of Vitaly Gura, head of Novokakhovsky district, before recording a video. Alex Parker Returns comments on the burning of a computer with "insides" of "Tolik" and an incident on the Pakistan border. TASS reports on plans to install new monuments to Soviet military sailors in Russia and Panama to mark the 80th anniversary of Victory. TASS reports the body of a deputy head of the Federal Penitentiary Service in the Krasnoyarsk Territory was found in a garage, with suspected suicide. ASTRA reports the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has proposed new grounds for granting asylum, including facing "rusophobia" or inability to "observe traditional values." Colonelcassad reports on the alleged liquidation of a Ukrainian champion in Muay Thai. Russian sources are promoting a fundraising effort for quadcopters for an assault battalion of the 60th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade for operations on the Southern Donetsk direction. The Office of the Prosecutor General in Ukraine is investigating two individuals for allegedly producing fake military documents for border crossing for $20,000, arresting them and seizing funds. News from Moscow indicates city services will continue working as usual during the May holidays. Astra reports on the removal of a children's playground in Novosibirsk under the control of a United Russia deputy, which was built by his election opponent, with residents calling it theft. TASS reports on the need for doctors in Russia, particularly ambulance doctors, pharmacists, and dietitians. The Police in the Khabarovsk Territory are conducting raids to prevent fires. Russian military bloggers are sharing content highlighting the daily life of soldiers. Medvedev characterized inviting "Bandera-Nazis" to Berlin for the 80th anniversary of Victory as "beyond cynicism." Medvedev stated that Russia's response to "peace through strength" should be "peace through fear." Medvedev claimed Trump acknowledged the US, Europe, and Kyiv are responsible for the conflict. Medvedev stated the "special operation" must end with Russia's victory and the destruction of the "Kyiv regime," and foreign mercenaries are legitimate targets. TASS reports on a potential crime investigation involving a deputy head in Krasnodar. News from Moscow confirms traffic restrictions today for Victory Parade preparations. TASS reports 18 Russian tourists were injured in a bus accident in Antalya, Turkey. News from Moscow reports on a new project to create software for humanoid robots. A new report from the Office of the Prosecutor General reports an attempt to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a representative of the Russian Federation, with two individuals from Ternopil and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts suspected. A Russian military blogger reports that the enemy attempted an assault on the Sumy direction using pickup trucks, which were destroyed by marines from the 810th Guards Brigade. A video report from WarGonzo highlights the work of Russian sappers on the Krasnoarmeysk direction, emphasizing clearing paths, countering drones, and remote mining on liberated territories. TASS reports that 17 Russians injured in a bus accident in Antalya, Turkey, remain hospitalized. A Russian military blogger reports the official confirmation by the Russian MoD of the liberation of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast. The Police of the Khabarovsk Territory share a video of a program with a singer, which is likely unrelated to the conflict. Russian sources report that the Kremlin has rejected Ukraine's proposal for a one-month ceasefire instead of the initially proposed May 8-10 truce, with Peskov stating it's impossible without addressing "nuances" and accusing Ukraine of not striving for peace. ASTRA reports on the trial of a transgender woman in Vologda accused of publicly calling for terrorist attacks, who is on a hunger strike. Colonelcassad shares an image with a potentially sarcastic caption related to the ongoing situation. The Office of the Prosecutor General confirms that a group of individuals is suspected of attempting to commit sabotage on a railway in Lviv on behalf of a representative of the Russian Federation. Поддубный reports that the Russian army has taken control of Doroshovka in Kharkiv Oblast, that Ukrainian attempts to stabilize the situation failed, and that Russian forces now control a section of the P-79 highway, continuing to advance both south towards Kupiansk and northwest from Doroshovka. TASS reports that one of three Russian sailors wounded in Yemen has been hospitalized and requires surgery. Дневник Десантника reports that an enemy drone attacked a school bus in Mykhailivka district, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, injuring a 17-year-old boy. Оперативний ЗСУ reports that fighters of the 63rd brigade destroyed 13 units of enemy equipment, including shooting down a Merlin reconnaissance drone for the third time and destroying vehicles, cannons, and mortars with drones. Rybar reports on the escalation in Jammu and Kashmir, including troop movements, air force exercises, and increased reconnaissance flights, noting that Pakistan has offered India a plan to prevent a new regional war. STERNENKO reports a missile threat in occupied Crimea, with reports of a Neptun attack. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА discusses the importance of showcasing the real work of Russian special forces in the media, highlighting the need to attract new specialists in areas like cyber intelligence and drone operations and to combat misinformation. RBC-Ukraine reports that the sister of Putin's negotiator Dmitriev secretly visited Ukraine in February 2025 using a US passport, citing an American journalist. Народная милиция ДНР shares a video claiming the destruction of Ukrainian equipment delivering food and ammunition by drone operators of the "Okhotnik" detachment. TASS reports that payment for travel on several Russian highways via "Госуслуги" has been temporarily suspended due to technical work. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports that a 68-year-old woman was injured and private houses and an agricultural enterprise were damaged by Russian attacks in one community. TASS reports that two Russian citizens received minor injuries during a US strike on the Yemeni port of Ras Isa. АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА continues his discussion on the importance of media coverage for Russian special forces, mentioning that showing "cool work" is sometimes prohibited by leadership but is necessary for recruitment and public understanding. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War held a meeting with families of soldiers from the 1st Separate Feodosia Marine Battalion, discussing the search for missing persons, exchange negotiations, and adherence to humanitarian law. News from Moscow reports that combining barbecue with strong alcohol or beer is dangerous for health. Операция Z shares a video citing a Trump advisor calling Ukraine "one of the most corrupt countries in the world" and suggesting Zelenskyy could have signed a mineral deal instead of arguing with the US President. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, discusses the situation in the oblast, emphasizing the need for civilian evacuation from frontline communities, particularly Kupiansk, noting the opening of new businesses despite the risks, and highlighting support for families of fallen defenders. Russian sources are reporting on the growth of a cemetery in Kursk where deceased military personnel are buried, highlighting the human cost of the conflict. Russian military bloggers are discussing PTSD, specifically condemning behavior attributed to some "veterans" who engage in domestic violence or aggression towards civilians, arguing that this is not a result of PTSD but rather pre-existing issues, and that such individuals cast a negative light on all veterans. A Russian source is disseminating information regarding social benefits for war veterans and victims in Ukraine, framing the amounts as negligible and highlighting the large number of casualties, potentially as an information operation to demoralize Ukrainian forces and population. Russian sources are promoting the development of the Arctic shelf as a source of energy and a symbol of Russian sovereignty and future, linking it to the 25th anniversary of Putin's first inauguration, potentially as an information operation to bolster national pride and highlight strategic long-term goals. Putin and Lukashenko are in Volgograd for events related to the "Great Heritage - Common Future" forum and will visit Mamayev Kurgan to honor defenders of Stalingrad. Reports from Volgograd indicate disruptions to mobile internet and traffic closures due to the high-level visit, with students reportedly being used for crowd presence. Russia's Ministry of Finance has proposed tax benefits for participants of the "special military operation" and their families, as well as tax deductions for large families, and exemption from tourist tax for санаторно-курортное лечение. A Ukrainian source reports that the price of electricity for the population remains unchanged until October 31, 2025, but notes that intensive Russian shelling has destroyed or damaged approximately 10 GW of generating capacity. A Ukrainian source reports new details on two car accidents in Poland involving a bus on the Minsk-Wroclaw route and a truck driven by a Ukrainian citizen, resulting in injuries to 15 people.

The core operational picture remains one of sustained, high-intensity conflict on multiple fronts, with significant use of drones and aerial bombardment by both sides, resulting in civilian casualties and now impacting areas closer to the administrative borders of oblasts previously less affected. The North Korean military involvement and diplomatic maneuvering remain key strategic factors. Continued Russian efforts on the Sumy direction and now demonstrably towards eastern Dnipropetrovsk Oblast are evident, as are ongoing Ukrainian counter-intelligence and defense measures against aerial threats. The large-scale Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia continue. The rhetoric from both sides remains firm, with no clear path to a negotiated settlement evident despite ongoing discussions, further evidenced by Peskov's stance on ceasefire nuances and Medvedev's strong rhetoric. Ukraine is actively pursuing diplomatic channels to highlight Russian aggression and secure international support, including through the upcoming UN Security Council meeting. Russia's reported plans to exploit mineral resources in occupied territories further indicate a long-term strategic objective of control. Domestic issues in both countries and international diplomatic events continue to unfold alongside the military conflict. The reported liberation of Doroshovka by Russian forces on the Kupiansk direction, if confirmed, represents a localized Russian tactical gain and a potential expansion of their bridgehead in the area. The alleged downing of a Ukrainian Su-27 by Russian forces, if verified, would be a significant loss for the Ukrainian Air Force and an indicator of Russian aerial effectiveness. Ukraine's focus on recruiting for technological roles within the military indicates a strategic emphasis on developing and deploying advanced defense solutions. The reported incident involving a Russian servicemember accused of a violent crime while on leave, and who was previously accused of war crimes by Ukraine, raises concerns about potential behavioral issues among some returning personnel and potential legal and ethical implications. The Wall Street Journal report suggesting Russia plans to accelerate its offensive with favorable weather conditions and foliage cover, coupled with anticipated shortages of Western artillery for Ukraine, highlights potential future operational challenges and strategic considerations for both sides. The reported attempt at railway sabotage in Lviv, if confirmed as directed by Russia, indicates continued efforts to disrupt Ukrainian logistics and infrastructure, even in western regions. The reported injury of a civilian in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and the attack on a school bus are concerning examples of the humanitarian impact of the conflict. The destruction of Ukrainian equipment by the 63rd brigade and Russian drone operators highlights the ongoing attrition and effectiveness of drone warfare. The meeting of the Coordination Headquarters with families of marines underscores the ongoing efforts to address the human cost of the conflict and the issue of prisoners of war and missing personnel. A powerful explosion with secondary detonation in Sloviansk near the railway station indicates a successful strike on a significant target, likely a military or logistical asset given the location. The increased size of the cemetery in Kursk is a somber indicator of the human cost of the conflict for Russia. Discussions among Russian military bloggers about PTSD and the behavior of some veterans reflect internal social issues and challenges within Russia related to the conflict. The Russian Ministry of Finance proposing tax benefits for "special military operation" participants and their families indicates government efforts to provide social and economic support for those involved in the conflict. Ukraine's continued ability to maintain stable electricity prices despite significant damage to generating capacity highlights resilience in the energy sector, although the noted destruction points to a vulnerability that Russia is exploiting.

Major Changes in the Last 6 Hours:

  • Explosion and Secondary Detonation in Sloviansk: A powerful explosion, followed by secondary detonation for over half an hour, has been reported and confirmed by multiple sources in Sloviansk, specifically near the railway station. This indicates a significant target was struck, likely a military or logistical asset.
  • Increased Size of Cemetery in Kursk: Russian sources are reporting on the growth of a cemetery in Kursk used for burying deceased military personnel. This is a direct indicator of the human cost of the conflict for Russia.
  • Discussion Among Russian Military Bloggers on PTSD and Veteran Behavior: Russian military bloggers are engaging in a discussion about PTSD and the behavior of some returning veterans, condemning domestic violence and aggression towards civilians attributed to some individuals and arguing that such behavior is not a result of PTSD but rather pre-existing issues. This reflects internal social issues and challenges within Russia related to the conflict.
  • Russian Ministry of Finance Proposes Tax Benefits for SVO Participants: Russia's Ministry of Finance has proposed legislation to provide tax benefits for participants of the "special military operation" and their families, including exemptions from transport and land taxes, and tax deductions for large families. This indicates government efforts to provide social and economic support for those involved in the conflict.
  • Ukraine Maintains Stable Electricity Prices Despite Damaged Generation Capacity: A Ukrainian source reports that the price of electricity for the population will remain unchanged until October 31, 2025. However, the same source notes that intensive Russian shelling has destroyed or damaged approximately 10 GW of generating capacity. This highlights Ukraine's efforts to maintain energy stability despite Russian attacks, but also points to a vulnerability that Russia is actively exploiting.

Potential Indicators:

  • Further details on the target and damage caused by the explosion in Sloviansk, and any impact on railway operations.
  • Further reporting on the size and rate of growth of the cemetery in Kursk, and any official statements regarding military casualties.
  • Any observable impact of the discussion among Russian military bloggers on veteran behavior or official policies related to veteran support and rehabilitation.
  • Legislative progress and implementation of the proposed tax benefits for "special military operation" participants in Russia.
  • Any changes in Ukraine's energy supply or pricing structure after October 31, 2025, and any further reports on damage to energy infrastructure.
  • Independent verification of the details and impact of the car accidents in Poland involving Ukrainian citizens.
  • Further analysis of Russian information operations surrounding the Moskalik assassination, particularly regarding the alleged role of Ignat Kuzin.
  • Independent verification of Russian claims regarding territorial gains on the Toretsk and Pokrovsk axes, and the Lyman direction.
  • Continued tracking of Russian drone activity, particularly any changes in volume, trajectory, or targeting following the reported waves of attacks.
  • Any observable impact of North Korean troop deployment on the battlefield or in occupied territories, and further statements or actions from international bodies regarding this development.
  • Further statements from Donald Trump or other international leaders regarding potential peace negotiations.

Previous (2025-04-29 12:20:18Z)

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