Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (April 28, 2025, 08:49 UTC)
Executive Summary
Persistent and intense ground combat continues across multiple axes, with Ukrainian forces reporting the repulsion of a high volume of Russian assaults, particularly on the Pokrovsk (64 attacks), Lyman (20), Kramatorsk (16), Toretsk (9), Novopavlivsk (13), and Kursk (23) directions. Russian attacks were also stopped on the Kharkiv (6) and Kupyansk (3) directions, and two offensive actions on the Siversk direction. No combat clashes were reported on the Huliaipole direction, and single Russian attempts were noted on the Orikhiv and Prydniprovskyi directions. There are no signs of enemy offensive group formation on the Volyn and Polissia directions. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks, and claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive in this area. DeepState reports the capture of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast by Russian forces. A Russian source claims advances over 1 km east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. A Russian military blogger, citing "Two Mayors," reports Ukrainian forces starting offensive actions through Basivka in Sumy Oblast. A Russian military blogger also reports that Russian forces in the Hornal area are preventing Ukrainian forces from rotating and are destroying personnel and equipment. Another Russian military blogger claims Russian forces on the Southern Donetsk direction have destroyed numerous Ukrainian vehicles and personnel near Bohaytr, Oleksiivka, and Komar, including a M113 BTR, four pickups, and several infantry groups, and also destroyed a pickup near Otradne and a mortar position and a UAV unit, and also claimed the destruction of six "Baba Yaga" copters and two infantry groups by soldiers from Primorye, and that soldiers from Amur destroyed two enemy UAVs, a truck, a car, and a field fuel depot, and that operators of the 57th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade and the 305th Artillery Brigade destroyed an ammunition storage and a German-made "Ground Observer 12" radar station north of Shevchenko.
A critical development is the official acknowledgment and extensive reporting by Russia and North Korea regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast. This is framed as allied support under their defense treaty and a response to Ukrainian actions. Putin personally thanked the North Korean units, highlighting their heroism and training, and stating their actions were in accordance with international law. The US State Department has expressed concern and called for North Korea to cease this assistance. TASS reports that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty and that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed. ASTRA reports on the official North Korean confirmation and planned monument. Colonelcassad reports that the President of Congo will attend the Victory Day Parade in Moscow, citing his intention to meet Putin and highlighting Congo's desire to join BRICS and develop joint projects with Russia, and discussing Russia's strategy for decolonization in Africa. Russian military bloggers share footage of North Korean soldiers' combat training, linking it to their participation in the Kursk operation.
Aerial bombardment persists with significant and widespread drone activity across multiple Ukrainian Oblasts, including Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, and Kyiv. Air raid alerts are active in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and Kyiv. A significant Ukrainian UAV attack targeted Bryansk Oblast, reportedly a military microelectronics factory, resulting in a civilian fatality and injury and claims of extensive drone destruction by Russian air defense (102 over Bryansk, 115 total overnight). Temporary flight restrictions were imposed at Pulkovo, Nizhny Novgorod, and Yaroslavl airports, with restrictions lifted at the latter two. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. The Ukrainian Navy reports Russian missile carriers in the Black Sea (up to 6 Kalibrs) and Mediterranean Sea (up to 8 Kalibrs). The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a high volume of Russian strikes on civilian areas over the past day, causing damage and partial outages. Russian military bloggers attribute overnight explosions in Zaporizhzhia, Sumy (Shostka), and Kharkiv to "Geranium" drones. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS near Chasiv Yar and destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv. Two Mayors reports remote mining by Ukraine and an attempted Russian assault with AFVs and motorized infantry on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, and that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka through Basivka and Loknya. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports a civilian fatality and injury in Kupiansk from a drone and significant damage/livestock losses in Izium and Kharkiv districts from drone/artillery attacks. A drone crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, resulted in a civilian fatality and injury. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV has started striking targets in Ukraine, particularly Odesa Oblast. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroyed Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. Миколаївський Ванёк reports on drone activity in Cherkasy Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a high-speed target in Sumy Oblast moving west and a target in northern Poltava Oblast moving west, and strike UAVs near Pavlohrad heading towards Synelnykive and from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. Explosions are reported near Cherkasy. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video claiming mine clearance operations by the 92nd Engineer Regiment in the Kursk border area. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit, and provide updated statistics for their operational zone, including the destruction of a tank, artillery systems, vehicles, UAVs, boats, and electronic warfare systems, and the destruction of 47 shelters.
Information operations are intense. Russia highlights claimed gains, allied support (especially from North Korea), and portrays alleged Ukrainian actions negatively. Ukraine is focused on defense, reporting Russian losses, and seeking reparations. Donald Trump has explicitly called on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," expressing belief in existing conditions for a deal, stating he will decide on trusting Putin soon, and suggesting Zelenskyy understands Crimea will remain Russian, attributing the conflict to NATO aspirations. The confirmed presence of North Korean troops significantly alters the external support dynamic. Russian military bloggers contribute to IO, promoting recruitment, reporting cyber threats, and highlighting the impact of measures against "foreign agents." New propaganda claims include alleged French fighters for Russia and the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia (confirmed by Russian MoD). Russia is also recruiting Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" with financial incentives and promoting military service with security organs in "new regions." An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, attributed to an explosive device, is being investigated as murder, with some Russian milbloggers claiming the deceased is Major General Yaroslav Moskalik, Deputy Head of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff. Lavrov stated that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative for a settlement. TASS reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. Ukraine's Prosecutor General is investigating the Pavlohrad attack as a war crime. Anatolii Shtefan reports the death of an "Akhmat" platoon commander on the Kursk direction, alleging past atrocities. ASTRA reports protests in occupied Mariupol over destroyed homes and unaffordable housing and details the case of a mobilized Russian soldier facing new charges after alleged mistreatment and desertion. Ukraine's "Epicenter" retail chain reports a widespread technical failure, officially attributed to technical problems. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President for desertion and illegal border crossing, sentencing him to 15 years. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the detention by the SBU of a couple in Dnipro accused of preparing terrorist attacks for Russia. Russian military bloggers are disseminating statistics on civilian casualties in Russia allegedly from Ukrainian strikes, citing a Russian MFA report claiming 292 killed and 1197 injured in January-March 2025. A Russian military blogger claims that the Kurksk Oblast Veteran's Council is requesting new memorial steles because the names of deceased servicemen no longer fit on existing ones. Russian media reports a resident of Sverdlovsk was stripped of Russian citizenship for supporting Ukrainian "right-radicals." Russian sources are highlighting the sentencing of a terrorist in Udmurtia to 18 years for planning an attack on a defense enterprise head, claiming he planned to go to Ukraine afterward. STERNENKO shares a video of US Senator John Neely Kennedy criticizing Putin and advocating for stronger action, including targeting Russia's oil industry. Russian military bloggers highlight the alleged low number of contracts signed with the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense for youth.
Strategic and Tactical Overview
Russian Actions and Claims:
- Ground Operations: Continued intense assaults on the Pokrovsk direction, with claims of gains. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 64 Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction over the past day, all of which were stopped by Ukrainian defenders. Russian forces on the Konstantinovka direction reportedly continue offensive operations. Rybar reports that Russian forces have largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk after regrouping and repelling counterattacks, and are conducting raids north of Dzerzhinsk, advancing towards Dyliivka, and fighting on the western flank near Shcherbinivka and Petrovka, potentially bypassing fortifications. Rybar also reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive, and reports claims of Ukrainian forces preparing for an offensive in this area. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 9 Russian attacks on the Toretsk direction over the past day. Significant claims of Russian advances persist on the Sumy direction. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya. New claims from Russian sources, supported by a map dated April 27, 2025, indicate advances on the Lyman direction, specifically in the direction of Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, and Zelyonaya Dolina. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 20 Russian attacks on the Lyman direction over the past day. Russian sources claim units on the Pokrovsk direction repelled counterattacks and secured ground. A Russian source claims that infantry of the 1442nd regiment have consolidated positions on the outskirts of Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction and successfully repelled four enemy counterattacks over the past day. This suggests Russian forces have entered the immediate vicinity of Stupochky. Unconfirmed Russian claims persist regarding the "Dnepr" Group of Forces occupying islands and potentially crossing to the right bank of the Dnieper on the Kherson direction. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 1 Russian attempt to advance on the Prydniprovskyi direction, which was repelled. DeepState reports that Russian forces have captured the village of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 13 Russian attacks on the Novopavlivsk direction over the past day, which were stopped. The Ukrainian General Staff reports no combat clashes on the Huliaipole direction over the past day, and no signs of enemy offensive groups forming on the Volyn and Polissia directions. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 6 Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction over the past day, and 3 Russian attacks on the Kupyansk direction, which were stopped. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 2 Russian offensive actions stopped on the Siversk direction over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 16 combat engagements on the Kramatorsk direction over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 23 Russian assaults on the Kursk direction over the past day, all of which were repelled by Ukrainian defenders. A Russian source claims positional battles in the area of Siversk-Hryhorivka, with Russian assault units occupying new positions east of Hryhorivka and advancing over 1 km along the Siverskyi Donets towards Siversk. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that their colleagues "Two Mayors" note that the enemy has started offensive actions through Basivka, confirming ongoing combat in this area of Sumy Oblast, and claims the Ukrainian forces will have a large number of losses. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroyed 3 Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. Дневник Десантника shares video claiming Russian forces in the Hornal area are preventing Ukrainian forces from rotating and are destroying personnel and equipment. Сливочный каприз provides a summary of fighting from April 24-27, claiming Russian forces attacked in Oleshnaya and Hornal, regained lost ground in Loknya with success west of the settlement, clarified the control zone in Zhuravka, intensified fighting near Stepova Novoselivka on the Kupyansk direction and occupied a stronghold north of the settlement, expanded the control zone north of Krymske on the Gorlovka direction and started fighting in the northern part of Shcherbinivka, occupied residential buildings in Berezivka on the eastern охват of Krasnoarmeysk, resumed the offensive on the Nadezhdinka-Novoaleksandrovka line on the southern охват, and that motorized infantry made a push and occupied new positions south of Bogatyr west of Kurakhovo. Воин DV claims Russian forces on the Southern Donetsk direction have destroyed numerous Ukrainian vehicles and personnel near Bohaytr, Oleksiivka, and Komar, including a M113 BTR, four pickups, and several infantry groups, and also destroyed a pickup near Otradne and a mortar position and a UAV unit, and also claimed the destruction of six "Baba Yaga" copters and two infantry groups by soldiers from Primorye, and that soldiers from Amur destroyed two enemy UAVs, a truck, a car, and a field fuel depot, and that operators of the 57th Separate Guards Motor Rifle Brigade and the 305th Artillery Brigade destroyed an ammunition storage and a German-made "Ground Observer 12" radar station north of Shevchenko. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit.
- Air and Drone Warfare: Significant and multi-directional drone activity was reported across Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Chernihiv Oblasts, with air raid alerts active and air defense confirmed working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. New reports track groups of attack UAVs moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and likely Mirnohrad in Donetsk Oblast, and towards Poltava Oblast, specifically Mirgorod. New groups of attack UAVs are also reported moving through Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and towards Chernihiv Oblast and Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod and Hadiach), and towards Cherkasy Oblast, with an explosion reported near Cherkasy, and the threat has now extended to Kyiv Oblast with active air raid alerts due to ballistic missile threat. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. A significant Ukrainian UAV attack targeted Bryansk Oblast, reportedly a military microelectronics factory, resulting in a civilian fatality and injury and claims of extensive drone destruction by Russian air defense (102 over Bryansk, 115 total overnight). The Ukrainian Navy reports one Russian missile carrier with a total salvo of up to 6 Kalibr missiles in the Black Sea and one missile carrier with up to 8 Kalibr missiles in the Mediterranean Sea. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 354 Russian strikes on 12 settlements in the oblast over the past day, including 21 aerial strikes, 210 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 117 artillery shellings, resulting in damage to one house and partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community but no civilian casualties. Temporary flight restrictions have been imposed at Pulkovo Airport in St. Petersburg, with 17 flights diverted, and also at Nizhny Novgorod and Yaroslavl airports, which have since been lifted. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 Russian air strikes, dropping 165 KABs, conducting 5089 shellings (88 MLRS), and utilizing 2337 kamikaze drones over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russian aviation strikes on numerous locations in Chernihiv, Sumy, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports significant damage to civilian infrastructure and livestock losses due to Russian drone and artillery attacks in Izium and Kharkiv districts over the past day, including a fatality and injuries. Reports also indicate a local doctor was injured in Kupiansk due to an FPV drone attack. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions to support advances, including the destruction of a mortar crew and a UAV control point. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital. TASS reports successful test launches of Kalibr cruise missiles by a Russian nuclear submarine in the Pacific Ocean. Военкор Котенок reports that 119 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight, including 102 over Bryansk, 9 over Crimea, 2 over Kursk, 2 over Nizhny Novgorod, 2 over Leningrad, 1 over Belgorod, and 1 over the Black Sea, citing the Russian MoD. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV with speeds of 400-500 km/h has started striking targets in Ukraine, primarily in Odesa Oblast, citing a Ukrainian military expert. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroyed 3 Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a high-speed target in Sumy Oblast moving west and a target in northern Poltava Oblast moving west, and strike UAVs near Pavlohrad heading towards Synelnykive and from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast, specifically towards Zolotonosha, Smila, and Cherkasy. Explosions are reported near Cherkasy. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video claiming mine clearance operations by the 92nd Engineer Regiment in the Kursk border area. Народная милиция ДНР shares video claiming drone operators of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar and robotic ground equipment on the Konstantinovka direction. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit. РБК-Україна reports explosions near Cherkasy after a Ukrainian Air Force warning about drones. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports explosions in Cherkasy and up to 10 "Shahed" drones around the city. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone, including the destruction of 6 UAVs, 5 boats, 7 electronic warfare stations, and 1 UAV control point, and the destruction of 47 shelters.
- Capabilities and Logistics: Russia and North Korea are explicitly claiming the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast, framing it within a defense agreement and the "liberation" of the area. North Korea has also affirmed its continued support for Russia and commitment to the spirit of their treaty. Russian sources highlight North Korea's "mass heroism" and frame the operation as a success. Russian sources are also citing historical examples of Korean support for Russia/Soviet Union during WWII to bolster the narrative of North Korea as a reliable ally. Russian sources claim French fighters are in the zone of the "special military operation" fighting on their side. The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes. New reports from TASS indicate that fines for children under 16 years of age operating electric scooters in Russia have been increased. Reports circulating in Russian military blogger channels about a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application highlight ongoing cybersecurity concerns. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that Russian air defense units of the Ministry of Defense destroyed "several dozens" of Ukrainian UAVs during a massive attack. Russia's Ministry of Defense claims a total of 102 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight and a total of 115 across various regions overnight, including 2 over Leningrad Oblast. Russia is actively utilizing information channels, including military bloggers, to recruit Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" and offering financial compensation, indicating a capability and intent for unconventional recruitment and subversion. The Russian Ministry of Defense video showcasing a Mi-28NM helicopter strike highlights the continued use of tactical aviation and precision-guided munitions. Russian sources are showcasing mobile groups equipped to counter FPV drones on the Pokrovsk direction, indicating adaptation to Ukrainian drone tactics. The Ukrainian Navy's report indicates Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and a significant presence in the Mediterranean, highlighting Russia's broader naval reach and potential for strikes from multiple vectors. Russian sources claim to have disrupted almost 260 aerial attacks over major cities in the DNR over the past week, suggesting significant efforts in air defense in that region. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr by UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping, highlighting their drone capabilities in this area. A Russian military blogger shares a video demonstrating a sniper's capability for remote destruction of mines/IEDs. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 21 aerial strikes, 210 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 117 artillery shellings on 12 settlements in the oblast over the past day, indicating a high volume of Russian firepower directed at this region and causing partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS for strikes, highlighting their continued use of this artillery system. Russian airborne forces claim to have destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast, indicating operations in that area. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, indicating Russian operational objectives and current movement patterns in the Sumy region. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive. Rybar reports claims of Ukrainian forces preparing for an offensive in the Dzerzhinsk area. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front, highlighting the continued use and effectiveness of Lancet drones against Ukrainian artillery. Fighterbomber discusses the role of North Korean troops and other military allies, and aspects of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, indicating these are areas of focus within the Russian military information space. Rybar reports that Russian forces have largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk after regrouping and repelling counterattacks, indicating successful tactical maneuvers and persistence. Alautdinov reports that Russian forces are showing very good progress in Sumy Oblast, suggesting momentum and potential tactical advantages in this region. The world's military spending in 2024 reportedly broke Cold War records, reaching $2.718 trillion, a 9.4% increase from 2023, according to SIPRI, highlighting the global financial commitment to military capabilities. TASS reports that all individuals involved in the mercenary case in Kyrgyzstan, including a blogger and Russian House employee, have been released under house arrest, indicating potential Russian influence or legal processes. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan," a platoon commander of the "Akhmat" 4th brigade's "Okhotnik" battalion, on the Kursk direction, indicating the presence of Chechen units in this area. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol regarding the destruction of their homes and unaffordable new housing, highlighting potential internal challenges and resistance within occupied territories. TASS reports on a planned system for direct payment acceptance by state institutions without bank involvement, planned for 2025, indicating a development in Russian financial infrastructure. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions to support advances. The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed the death of the son of the CIA Deputy Director, Michael Gloss, stating he died in December from artillery shelling in Eastern Europe while aiding a wounded comrade, highlighting the capability of Russian forces to inflict casualties, including on foreign nationals allegedly fighting for them. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. The Russian government has reportedly developed a plan to counter illegal employment by analyzing the non-working population and involving them in the labor market. Russian authorities have reportedly issued a directive to create an award for individuals who contributed to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast from the Ukrainian Armed Forces, indicating a focus on recognizing and rewarding participation in this specific operation. A phone conversation reportedly took place between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio regarding the "Ukrainian crisis," with both sides emphasizing the importance of prerequisites for negotiations towards a stable peace, and Lavrov noting that some elements of an agreement require further work, highlighting ongoing diplomatic efforts. TASS reports successful test launches of Kalibr cruise missiles by a Russian nuclear submarine in the Pacific Ocean, showcasing Russian naval capabilities and projecting power. Reports indicate increased demand for learning the Chinese language in Moscow, which while not directly military, could have implications for future personnel and communication capabilities. The Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations is reportedly working with Iranian authorities to extinguish the fire in the port of Shahid Rajaee, demonstrating a capability for international humanitarian response. Rosaviatsia reports that 17 flights were diverted due to restrictions at Pulkovo Airport, indicating potential disruptions to civilian air travel due to security measures. The Russian consumer protection agency reports a stable cholera situation in Russia, which is a domestic health report. Военкор Котенок reports on the number of Ukrainian drones shot down overnight, citing the Russian MoD, highlighting Russian air defense capabilities and the scale of Ukrainian drone attacks. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations in Kharkiv Oblast. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that the enemy attempted to advance through Basivka and will have a large number of losses, implying claimed Ukrainian personnel losses in this ongoing assault. Rybar provides a map and analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, identifying specific units (Southern Special Operations Center, 29th, 31st, and 385th Naval Infantry Brigades), estimated force strength (up to 550 personnel, over 80 high-speed boats, over 60 USVs), attack vectors (main landing at Novoozernoe, diversionary landing at Kotovskoe, USV strikes on Cape Tarkhankut), and potential staging areas (Odesa, Illichevsk, Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Zatoka, Yuzhnyi, Ochakiv, Iron Port), concluding that Ukraine is preparing for a possible landing operation to demonstrate capabilities and create chaos, and notes that this has become possible due to Ukraine acquiring USVs with anti-aircraft missiles. Kotsnews sharing articles from Western media that are critical of supporting Ukraine or question the origins of the conflict serves to bolster Russian narratives and potentially influence Western public opinion. ТАСС reports the sentencing of a participant in a Ukrainian terrorist organization preparing a terrorist attack against a defense enterprise in Izhevsk. ТАСС reports the arrest of a deputy head of the capital repair fund in Kursk Oblast for bribery. STERNENKO shares contrasting tweets from a Trump associate and Dugin. ТАСС reports planned criminal liability for "droppers." РБК-Україна reports on alleged Trump-Macron incident at Vatican and clarification. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the detention by the SBU of a couple in Dnipro accused of preparing terrorist attacks for Russia, stating they were a contract soldier and his wife who set up six caches of homemade explosive devices and grenades in and around the city for planned detonations in crowded places. Операція Z / Военкоры Русской Весны reports that global military spending in 2024 reached a record $2.718 trillion, a 9.4% increase from 2023 according to SIPRI, with Russia's spending increasing by 38% and Ukraine's being 34% of its GDP, and notes that over 100 countries increased military budgets. Alex Parker Returns reports that Kyrgyzstan received S-300 air defense systems from Russia and questions who they are defending against. AV БогомаZ, Governor of Bryansk Oblast, reports on a massive Ukrainian UAV attack overnight, stating that drones attacked civilian objects and infrastructure, causing a residential house and outbuilding to burn down, damaging seven houses and two apartments, destroying seven cars, causing fires at an Institute of Management and Business and a production warehouse, damaging a construction crane, and damaging power supply facilities in two districts, and frames it as a "fascist" terrorist attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Два майора share a video discussing why volunteers are collecting funds for items like magazines for AKs on the Konstantinovka direction and disseminate a recruitment advertisement for military service under contract with the Russian security organs, offering service in Moscow Oblast and "new regions" with different pay scales. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers, with accompanying commentary mocking the losses. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares video/commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, calling him an "imbecile" and hoping locals will "liquidate" him. A Russian source claims positional battles and advances east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV has started striking targets in Ukraine, particularly Odesa Oblast. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators destroying Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. ASTRA reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier with five children who was allegedly beaten and threatened, deserted, received a suspended sentence, and is now facing a new criminal case for refusing to return to the same unit, highlighting issues within the Russian military. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, highlighting ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing, sentencing him to 15 years. ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon if needed. ТАСС reports that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty. ТАСС reports that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities. Alex Parker Returns shares a link to a service for currency exchange and international transfers. Новости Москвы reports on a themed ambulance train in the Moscow Metro. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned. STERNENKO is fundraising for equipment, referencing a "deficit of Rusoreza." Kotsnews reports on the large drone attack on Bryansk and attributes it to Ukraine after "military defeat" in Kursk, stating a civilian was killed. ТАСС reports that the President of the Republic of Congo will attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day events in Moscow. Лавров stated that dialogue between Russia and the US on a Ukraine settlement continues, and Moscow hopes for mutually acceptable results, stating that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations. Народная милиция ДНР shares video claiming drone operators of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar and robotic ground equipment on the Konstantinovka direction, highlighting Russian drone capabilities. Two Mayors shares a photo of a DJI Mavic 3 Classic drone and reports a collection for military equipment on the Artemovsk-Chasiv Yar-Klishchiivka-Siversk directions, listing needed items including drones, anti-drone systems, radios, thermal imagers, generators, Starlink, and power banks, indicating ongoing logistical needs and a reliance on fundraising for specific equipment. Two Mayors reports on a Telegram channel recruitment for the "African Corps," listing needed specialists including IT engineers and medics, and discusses the channel being "shadow-banned" on Google Play. Colonelcassad shares a photo related to fundraising efforts for the 3rd Combined Arms Army, showing boxes of power banks. Colonelcassad shares a photo of a DJI Mavic 3 Classic drone. Fighterbomber shares a video of a parade formation of Belarusian fighters, likely for propaganda purposes. Новости Москвы shares information about a project approval in the Tagan district of Moscow. Colonelcassad reports that the President of Congo will attend the Victory Day Parade in Moscow and potentially meet Putin, and discusses Russia's strategy for decolonization in Africa, highlighting historical context and potential benefits. Mash na Donbasse reports a resident of Sverdlovsk lost Russian citizenship for supporting Ukrainian "right-radicals." БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a "Z-volunteer" discussing the situation in Sudzha and claiming Russian military bloggers and TV are lying. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that the Kursk Oblast Veteran's Council is requesting new memorial steles because the names of deceased servicemen no longer fit on existing ones, suggesting significant personnel losses. MO D Russia shares video claiming mine clearance operations by the 92nd Engineer Regiment in the Kursk border area. Новости Москвы shows a Lada e-Aura electric car at an exhibition. Новости Москвы reports on a top 10 list of Russian anxieties. ASTRA reports the release of Natalia Sekerina and others from SIZO to house arrest in Kyrgyzstan in the mercenary recruitment case. Поддубный reports on civilian casualties in Russia from Ukrainian strikes, citing the Russian MFA report. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video claiming the destruction of a Russian vehicle and dugout on the Kinburn Spit. Дневник Десантника shares a photo of artillery shells, reporting that Czechia delivered 400k shells to Ukraine and has sources for 1.5 million more, highlighting continued Western military aid. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares footage of North Korean soldiers' combat training, linking it to their participation in the Kursk operation. Colonelcassad reports the sentencing of a terrorist in Udmurtia. Север.Реалии shares a story of a Russian web designer who deserted and is seeking asylum in France. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" action being held at football matches. STERNENKO shares a video of US Senator John Neely Kennedy criticizing Putin. Военкор Котенок shares footage of North Korean soldiers' combat training. Воин DV reports on Russian forces on the Southern Donetsk direction destroying Ukrainian vehicles, personnel, and equipment.
- Casualties and Losses: Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses on Russian forces on the Pokrovsk direction and claims 1160 personnel losses for Russia over the past day, bringing the total claimed Russian losses to almost 950,000 personnel since the start of the full-scale invasion. Ukraine also claims the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day. Ukraine claims significant Russian losses in the Belgorod operational area, including the withdrawal of specific brigades/battalions for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. North Korea and Russia officially claim the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast, with North Korea highlighting their "mass heroism" and the operation's success. A significant propaganda claim from Russian sources alleges the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia, which the Russian MoD confirmed. Russian sources claim French fighters are present and fighting for Russia. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle, implying a loss for Ukrainian forces. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that a civilian was killed and another injured as a result of a Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk. The Russian Ministry of Defense video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian temporary deployment point suggests claimed losses for Ukrainian forces in that area. Approximately 35 people were injured and required medical assistance in a civilian bus accident in Vladimir Oblast, Russia. Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces lost over 4.9 thousand military personnel and mercenaries on the LPR front lines over the past week, which if verified would represent significant personnel losses for Ukraine in that area. Russian sources claim that infantry of the 1442nd regiment successfully repelled four counterattacks near Stupochky, implying Ukrainian personnel losses in these engagements. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr by UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping, implying losses for Ukrainian forces in that area. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports no civilian casualties in the oblast over the past day despite the high volume of Russian strikes. An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, has been officially attributed to an explosive device and is being investigated as a murder, with several Russian military bloggers claiming the deceased is Major General Yaroslav Moskalik, Deputy Head of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff. If confirmed, this would represent a significant loss of a high-ranking Russian military official. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS to strike Ukrainian personnel and equipment near Chasiv Yar, implying Ukrainian losses in this area. Rybar reports claims of Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive. Rybar reports claims of Ukrainian forces preparing for an offensive in the Dzerzhinsk area. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front, implying equipment losses for Ukraine. Two Mayors reports that the enemy attempted an assault on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast with up to 6 AFVs and two platoons of motorized infantry, implying potential losses for Ukraine if the assault was unsuccessful. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan," a platoon commander of the "Akhmat" 4th brigade's "Okhotnik" battalion, on the Kursk direction, alleging his participation in atrocities in Kyiv and Chernihiv Oblasts in 2022. This indicates a loss of a Russian officer, potentially a member of a notable unit. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports one civilian fatality and one injured in Kupiansk due to an FPV drone attack, and significant livestock losses (22 killed, 30 injured) in Kharkivskyi district due to a drone attack. ASTRA reports one person died and one was injured in the attack on Bryansk Oblast, with the injured person hospitalized and damage inflicted on civilian objects and infrastructure, confirming civilian impact. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України highlights the medical and psychological rehabilitation support provided to recently released POWs, indicating ongoing efforts to support personnel after captivity. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital, indicating a civilian fatality and injury. Russian military bloggers report the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew and a UAV control point by artillery fire on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions, implying Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed the death of the CIA Deputy Director's son, Michael Gloss, stating he died in December from artillery shelling in Eastern Europe while aiding a wounded comrade, confirming a fatality among foreign nationals allegedly fighting for Russia. The Kyiv City Military Administration is issuing memorial posts for fallen defenders from Kyiv, highlighting Ukrainian personnel losses. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine for desertion, indicating legal consequences for certain actions. Дневник Десантника shares a video promoting the narrative of corruption within the Ukrainian mobilization process, which, while an information operation, suggests potential issues with personnel recruitment and retention. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that the enemy attempted to advance through Basivka and will have a large number of losses, implying claimed Ukrainian personnel losses in this ongoing assault. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses, which highlights Russian personnel losses. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, highlights potential risks to individuals collaborating with Russian authorities and underscores the human element of the occupation. ASTRA reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier, Sergey Kulikov, who allegedly suffered beatings and threats in the military, deserted, received a suspended sentence, and is now facing a new criminal case for refusing to return to his unit, highlighting potential human rights violations and challenges within the Russian military personnel management. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators destroying 3 Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction, implying equipment losses for Ukraine. Kotsnews reports a civilian fatality in Bryansk due to a drone attack. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports the death of 23-year-old Pavel Maximov from a drone attack in Kosiilovo, Belgorod Oblast, and claims Governor Gladkov concealed the death of the serviceman. Народная милиция ДНР shares video claiming drone operators of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar and robotic ground equipment on the Konstantinovka direction, implying Ukrainian equipment losses. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit, implying Russian equipment and personnel losses. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that the Kursk Oblast Veteran's Council is requesting new memorial steles because the names of deceased servicemen no longer fit on existing ones, which is a strong indicator of significant Russian personnel losses in this area. Воин DV claims Russian forces on the Southern Donetsk direction have destroyed numerous Ukrainian vehicles and personnel, including 11 "Baba Yaga" UAVs, two pickup trucks, one electronic warfare station, three UAV control points, a field ammunition storage, and liquidated over 10 Ukrainian personnel. Поддубный reports on civilian casualties in Russia from Ukrainian strikes, citing a Russian MFA report claiming 292 killed and 1197 injured in January-March 2025. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian losses in their operational zone over the past day, including 49 personnel (20 KIA), 85 units of equipment (1 artillery, 13 vehicles, 68 UAVs, 3 special equipment), 59 shelters, an ammunition storage, and a fuel/lubricant storage. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone, reporting the loss of 120 Russian personnel, 1 tank, 4 artillery systems, 43 vehicles and armored vehicles, 6 UAVs, 5 boats, 7 electronic warfare stations, 5 motorcycles, 1 buggy, 2 generators, 5 Starlink systems, 1 UAV control point, 6 communication antennas, 1 observation point, and 1 field post.
Ukrainian Actions and Claims:
- Ground Operations: Ukraine reports ongoing heavy combat across the front, particularly on the Pokrovsk direction, emphasizing holding positions and inflicting significant losses. While not directly confirming or denying specific Russian territorial claims, reports indicate a determined defense. A Ukrainian source provides details on an ongoing combat operation in Belgorod Oblast, claiming the 225th assault regiment and attached units have taken control of a small border "sanitary" strip near Popivka and Demidivka. This operation is described as initially a raid now transitioned to a positional defense, claiming significant Russian losses, including the withdrawal of specific brigades/battalions for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. The loss ratio is estimated in Ukraine's favor, and the operation is claimed to have fulfilled its objectives. Ukraine has not commented on the Russian claim of repelling four counterattacks near Stupochky. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 168 combat engagements over the past day and details the number of Russian assaults repelled on various axes, including 64 on Pokrovsk, 20 on Lyman, 2 on Siversk, 16 on Kramatorsk, 9 on Toretsk, 13 on Novopavlivsk, 1 on Orikhiv, 1 on Prydniprovskyi, and 23 on Kursk. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that Ukrainian defenders stopped Russian assaults on the Kharkiv direction (6 attacks) and Kupyansk direction (3 attacks). The Ukrainian General Staff reports no combat clashes on the Huliaipole direction. NgP raZVedka reports that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk to regain lost positions, potentially simultaneously with intensified combat near Basivka in Sumy Oblast to constrain Russian forces. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, indicating Ukrainian defensive actions. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, suggesting Ukrainian efforts to defend this area. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of a Russian platoon commander on the Kursk direction, alleging his participation in atrocities. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports that Ukrainian defenders repelled 6 Russian attacks in the areas of Vovchansk, Krasne Pershe, and Mala Shapkivka, and 3 Russian attacks in the areas of Nova Kruhlyakivka and Petropavlivka on the Kupyansk direction over the past day. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos of soldiers from the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade engaged in training, emphasizing maintaining a high level of preparation to hold the frontline, indicating ongoing training and readiness efforts. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment, potentially indicating ongoing or planned amphibious or covert operations. STERNENKO shares a video featuring Ukrainian soldiers and the Ukrainian flag, likely as part of an information operation to highlight resistance and national identity. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that their colleagues "Two Mayors" note that the enemy has started offensive actions through Basivka, confirming ongoing combat in this area of Sumy Oblast, and claims the Ukrainian forces will have a large number of losses. Два майора share a map and text indicating Ukrainian Armed Forces are concentrating units and increasing FPV drone strikes in the Bryansk direction as part of a possible activation. РБК-Україна reports the Podilskyi District Court of Kyiv заочно sentenced former President Yanukovych to 15 years in prison for organizing illegal border crossing and inciting desertion, and his ex-security chief to 10 years. Миколаївський Ванёк shares a video claiming a unique operation by Ukrainian drone operators and border guards freed three Ukrainian soldiers from captivity by using drones to force the enemy to retreat. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit. РБК-Україна shares a report from the Zaporizhzhia direction featuring the 44th Brigade and the Ukrainian "Bohdana" howitzer. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video about the unique operation freeing three captured soldiers, citing the State Border Guard Service and the 1st Tank Brigade. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video claiming the destruction of a Russian vehicle and dugout on the Kinburn Spit by the Ukrainian Navy. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone, including the destruction of 120 Russian personnel and 68 units of weapons and military equipment, and details on Russian attacks repelled on the Novopavlivskyi, Huliaipole, Orikhiv, and Prydniprovskyi directions.
- Air Defense and Counter-Drone Operations: Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of attack UAVs and provides detailed tracking of drone movements, indicating ongoing efforts to track and counter Russian aerial threats. Ukrainian forces are actively engaging Russian drones. Ukrainian sources from the "Dnepr" Group of Forces claim control of airspace on the right bank of the Dnieper and successful engagements of heavy hexacopters. Ukrainian Air Force is actively tracking and reporting on multiple groups of Russian attack UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, providing trajectory information. New reports provide further detail on the movement of drone groups into Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts, and towards the Zaporizhzhia direction, including the activation of air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Reports indicate ongoing drone activity and anti-drone work in the vicinity of Шостка. Ukrainian sources confirm air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have now been cancelled. New reporting from Ukrainian sources tracks groups of attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, and Druzhkivka. Additional reports from Ukrainian sources indicate the last two drone groups near Dobropillya are heading towards Mirnohrad/Pokrovsk, and advise the public to seek shelter. New groups of attack UAVs are also reported moving through Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and towards Chernihiv Oblast and Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod and Hadiach), and towards Cherkasy Oblast, with an explosion reported near Cherkasy, and the threat has now extended to Kyiv Oblast with active air raid alerts due to ballistic missile threat. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. Ukraine has demonstrated the capability to conduct significant UAV attacks deep within Russian territory, as evidenced by the attack on Bryansk Oblast, reportedly targeting a military microelectronics factory, resulting in a civilian fatality and injury. Ukrainian Air Force reports a UAV near the border of Kharkiv and Sumi Oblasts, heading towards Poltava Oblast, specifically Mirgorod. New groups of Russian attack UAVs are reported moving through Romny towards Chernihiv Oblast and past Okhtyrka towards Poltava Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force is actively reporting on the movement of multiple groups of Russian attack UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, and Cherkasy Oblasts, including specific trajectories, enabling timely air raid alerts and defensive measures, and has now reported drone and ballistic missile threats in Kyiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Navy reports their current naval posture and highlights Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and Mediterranean. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration demonstrates a capability to collect and report detailed statistics on Russian strikes on civilian areas. Ukraine is tracking and reporting estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses, including detailed categories of destroyed military assets, indicating ongoing capabilities in battle damage assessment. Ukraine has reported the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, indicating ongoing operational successes in these areas. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports that Nikopol and the Marhanets community were attacked with heavy artillery and kamikaze drones overnight, highlighting the ongoing impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Military Administration, confirms attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with artillery and drones, and reports that the situation in the Kryvyi Rih district is controlled and there were no attacks there overnight. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 Russian air strikes, dropping 165 KABs, conducting 5089 shellings (88 MLRS), and utilizing 2337 kamikaze drones over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that aviation, missile troops, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck two areas of personnel concentration, four command posts, and three enemy artillery systems over the past day, indicating successful targeting of Russian assets. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs near Pavlohrad heading towards Synelnykive. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast, specifically towards Zolotonosha, Smila, and Cherkasy. An explosion has been reported near Cherkasy, possibly related to the incoming drone groups. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance, highlighting Ukrainian counter-vehicle capabilities using drones. Mykolayiv Vanek reports that 6 drones are located south and west of Smila (Cherkasy Oblast) with potential anti-drone work, and 7 drones are near Kremenchuk, moving into Cherkasy Oblast. Reports indicate a speed target in Sumy Oblast moving westward, and a target on northern Poltava Oblast moving westward. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a new air raid alert for the entire oblast due to a ballistic missile threat. The Ukrainian Air Force confirms the ballistic missile threat in areas where air raid alerts are active. The Kyiv City Military Administration reports an air raid alert in Kyiv due to a ballistic missile threat and urges citizens to seek shelter. РБК-Україна reports an air raid alert in Kyiv and several oblasts due to a ballistic missile threat. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an air raid alert in Kyiv and several oblasts due to a ballistic missile threat. STERNENKO acknowledges the ballistic threat and calls for donations for equipment. The Ukrainian Air Force reports the ballistic missile threat has passed. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports the cancellation of the air raid alert. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian forces utilized 59 kamikaze drones and conducted 516 shellings over the past day in their operational zone, and that Ukrainian forces destroyed 68 UAVs. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports explosions near Cherkasy under drone attack. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone, including the destruction of 6 UAVs, 7 electronic warfare stations, and 1 UAV control point.
- Capabilities and Logistics: Ukraine is actively pursuing mechanisms for reparations from Russia, proposing a special duty on Russian imports in addition to using frozen assets, indicating a focus on long-term financial sustainability and accountability. Ukrainian forces continue to operate and communicate effectively. The report on the operation in Belgorod highlights the claimed effective use of small infantry groups, drones, artillery, aviation, high-precision missiles, and particularly UAV operators against Russian armored vehicles. Ukraine possesses the capability to conduct drone strikes deep within Russian territory. The Ukrainian Navy reports their current naval posture and highlights Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and Mediterranean. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration demonstrates a capability to collect and report detailed statistics on Russian strikes in the oblast. Ukraine is tracking and reporting estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses, including detailed categories of destroyed military assets, indicating ongoing capabilities in battle damage assessment. Ukraine has reported the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, indicating ongoing operational successes in these areas. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports that Nikopol and the Marhanets community were attacked with heavy artillery and kamikaze drones overnight, highlighting the ongoing impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Military Administration, confirms attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with artillery and drones, and reports that the situation in the Kryvyi Rih district is controlled and there were no attacks there overnight. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 168 combat engagements over the past day, indicating the capacity to sustain high-tempo operations. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that aviation, missile troops, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck two areas of personnel concentration, four command posts, and three enemy artillery systems over the past day, indicating successful targeting capabilities. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces is reportedly seeking a doctor for their medical post through recruitment, indicating a need for medical personnel and ongoing logistical support requirements. NgP raZVedka reports that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk, suggesting Ukrainian offensive capabilities and planning. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, indicating Ukrainian defensive tactics. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine is reportedly investigating the attack on Pavlohrad as a war crime, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings and documentation. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports on damage to private houses, farm buildings, administrative buildings, vehicles, and livestock from Russian attacks, indicating the need for repair and recovery resources. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos and information about training exercises is an information operation to showcase the readiness and professionalism of Ukrainian forces, and also shares images showcasing the use of tactical thermal binoculars and potentially other advanced optical gear, highlighting the capability for night and low-light operations and potentially reconnaissance/surveillance. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares photos and information about meetings with recently released POWs undergoing medical and psychological rehabilitation, highlighting the support and care provided to personnel after captivity. Reports indicate a widespread technical failure impacting the "Epicenter" retail chain in Ukraine, with speculation of a cyberattack, which could potentially impact logistical capabilities related to supplies and trade, and the company has officially attributed this to "technical problems". Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance, highlighting Ukrainian counter-vehicle capabilities using drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a "Military Audio" acoustic system made from an ammunition box being sent to soldiers, highlighting ongoing volunteer support for Ukrainian units. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings against past political figures. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment with weapons and camouflage, suggesting capabilities in amphibious or covert operations and recruitment efforts for this branch. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is highlighting the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel undergoing rehabilitation, indicating a focus on supporting personnel recovery and addressing logistical needs for those with mobility issues, and noting a significant need for more specialized vehicles. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro demonstrates Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing efforts to secure international military support and assess past opportunities. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican, and subsequently clarifying it, highlights Ukrainian awareness of and engagement with international political narratives. Ukraine's Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, indicating ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing. Ukraine's Prosecutor General's Office reports a verdict against former President Yanukovych for organizing illegal border crossing and inciting desertion, sentencing him to 15 years in prison. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation, likely a commentary on Russian negotiation rhetoric. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, and notes that this is being quoted by Russian propagandists. Лавров stated that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative in settling the conflict. ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities. Rybar provides a map and analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, identifying specific units, estimated force strength (up to 550 personnel, over 80 high-speed boats, over 60 USVs), attack vectors, and potential staging areas, noting that this has become possible due to Ukraine acquiring USVs with anti-aircraft missiles, indicating a perceived Ukrainian capability for complex maritime operations. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the detention by the SBU of a couple in Dnipro accused of preparing terrorist attacks for Russia, stating they set up six caches of homemade explosive devices and grenades, highlighting Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities. A video from Миколаївський Ванёк shows a unique operation by Ukrainian drone operators and border guards freeing three Ukrainian soldiers from captivity by using drones to drop munitions and force the enemy to retreat, highlighting innovative tactics and inter-unit coordination for personnel recovery. РБК-Україна shares a report from the Zaporizhzhia direction featuring the 44th Brigade and the Ukrainian "Bohdana" howitzer, highlighting the use of NATO-standard artillery and potential capabilities for counter-battery fire. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video about the unique operation freeing three captured soldiers, citing the State Border Guard Service and the 1st Tank Brigade, showcasing inter-unit cooperation and innovative rescue tactics. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video claiming the destruction of a Russian vehicle and dugout on the Kinburn Spit by the Ukrainian Navy, highlighting naval capabilities in the southern region. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone, including the destruction of 68 units of weapons and military equipment (1 tank, 4 artillery systems, 43 vehicles/armored vehicles, 6 UAVs, 5 boats, 7 EW stations, 5 motorcycles, 1 buggy, 2 generators, 5 Starlinks, 1 UAV control point, 6 comm antennas, 1 observation point, 1 field post), and the destruction of 47 shelters, demonstrating continued operational effectiveness in attritting Russian forces and infrastructure. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration shares a video about aesthetic gymnastics training in an updated arena, likely part of efforts to maintain civilian life and infrastructure despite the conflict, and possibly aimed at morale. Дневник Десантника reports that Czechia delivered 400k large-caliber artillery shells to Ukraine and has sources for 1.5 million more, indicating continued significant Western military aid and the potential for Ukraine to sustain high-volume artillery operations.
- Political and Diplomatic Statements: Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. Operational ZSU shares a video with messages of resilience. Statements attributed to Donald Trump regarding the conflict and negotiations are circulating and being highlighted by Ukrainian sources. Significantly, RБК-Україна is reporting on Donald Trump explicitly calling on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," stating his belief that conditions for a deal exist, and stating he will decide whether he trusts Putin in two weeks or less, and believes Zelenskyy understands Crimea will remain Russian and attributes the conflict to Ukraine's NATO aspirations. An international development shows Israeli PM Netanyahu advocating for complete dismantlement of Iranian nuclear infrastructure in any US-Iran deal, a position relevant to broader geopolitical dynamics and the stances of potential international partners. The State Department of the United States has reportedly stated that countries like North Korea bear responsibility for the war in Ukraine and that they are "concerned" by North Korea's assistance to Russia, calling for Kim Jong Un to cease this assistance, indicating a diplomatic response to the confirmed North Korean troop deployment. Pakistan has reportedly offered India a plan to prevent a new regional war, including a "neutral" investigation into tourist killings in Kashmir, demonstrating diplomatic efforts to de-escalate regional tensions. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on Donald Trump's statements following a meeting with President Zelenskyy in Vatican City, including Trump's belief that Zelenskyy wants a peace agreement but also needs more weapons, Trump's intention to decide whether he trusts Putin within two weeks, and Trump's opinion that Ukraine's situation is difficult despite significant US assistance, and Trump's view that the tragedy could have been avoided if he were president. STERNENKO shares a video of Donald Trump stating he will decide if he trusts Putin in 2 weeks and his belief that Zelenskyy is ready to give up Crimea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that North Korea has for the first time officially confirmed that it sent its military personnel to participate in the war in Ukraine, citing a mutual defense treaty and framing it as a signal from two dictators to the civilized world about their military alliance, particularly in the context of ongoing peace talks. ASTRA reports on North Korea's official confirmation of sending military personnel to the war in Ukraine, citing Kim Jong Un's statement that they are heroes on a "sacred mission" in Kursk Oblast and that a monument will be erected in Pyongyang. The Kyiv City Military Administration is issuing memorial posts for fallen defenders, highlighting the impact of the conflict on the city. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine for desertion and illegal border crossing. A phone conversation reportedly took place between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio regarding the "Ukrainian crisis," with both sides emphasizing the importance of prerequisites for negotiations towards a stable peace, and Lavrov noting that some elements of an agreement require further work. Russian authorities have reportedly issued a directive to create an award for individuals who contributed to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast from the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which is a domestic political action related to the conflict. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing international diplomatic and political support for Ukraine, with an emphasis on Germany's independent commitment. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican and its clarification highlights Ukrainian engagement with international political narratives and diplomatic events. Ukraine's Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, indicating ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing. Ukraine's Prosecutor General's Office reports a verdict against former President Yanukovych for organizing illegal border crossing and inciting desertion, sentencing him to 15 years in prison. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation, likely a commentary on Russian negotiation rhetoric. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, and notes that this is being quoted by Russian propagandists. Лавров stated that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative in settling the conflict. ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned. ТАСС reports that the President of the Republic of Congo will attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day events in Moscow. ТАСС reports that Lavrov stated dialogue between Russia and the US on a Ukraine settlement continues, and Moscow hopes for mutually acceptable results. TASS reports Lavrov stated that discussions with Rubio on a Ukrainian settlement were in the spirit of Russian-American consultations. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reports Peskov stated Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations, and that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not in the schedule but can be agreed upon, and reiterates Russia will assist North Korea if needed. Оперативний ЗСУ reports Lavrov stated international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative for peace in Ukraine. ASTRA reports Peskov stated Russia will provide military assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty, and reiterated Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv for direct negotiations. Colonelcassad reports that the President of Congo will attend the Victory Day Parade in Moscow, citing his intention to meet Putin and highlighting Congo's desire to join BRICS and develop joint projects with Russia, and discussing Russia's strategy for decolonization in Africa. TASS reports on the "Immortal Regiment" action being held at football matches. Север.Реалии shares a story of a Russian web designer who deserted and is seeking asylum in France. STERNENKO shares a video of US Senator John Neely Kennedy criticizing Putin and advocating for stronger action.
Information Operations:
Ukraine is reporting on Russian drone activity and presenting messages of national resilience and future rebuilding. Ukraine is also highlighting the proposed mechanism for Russian reparations as a step towards accountability. The detailed report on the operation in Belgorod serves as an information operation highlighting Ukrainian capabilities, claimed successes, and Russian losses in border regions. Ukrainian sources are highlighting and tracking incoming Russian drone attacks, providing updated trajectories and affected areas, and confirming air defense activity. Ukrainian sources are reporting on the cancellation of air raid alerts in affected areas. New reporting from Ukrainian sources on the trajectory of Russian attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast serves as a critical information operation to inform the public and facilitate appropriate responses. Reporting on Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast is an information operation highlighting the nature of Russian aerial attacks. RБК-Україна reporting on Donald Trump's explicit call for Putin to sign a deal is a significant information operation, highlighting a potential avenue for de-escalation and a shift in the diplomatic landscape. Reporting on the Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk serves as an information operation highlighting the capability to strike within Russia and potentially impacting Russian domestic perception of security. Reporting on Russian naval activity in the Black and Mediterranean Seas provides information regarding potential threats and informs public awareness of the security situation. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration's reports on Russian strikes and damage serve as an information operation documenting the impact of the conflict on civilian areas. Operational ZSU reporting on the UAV attack on the Bryansk microelectronics factory is an information operation highlighting a claimed successful strike on a military-related target. The Ukrainian General Staff providing estimated daily and cumulative Russian personnel and equipment losses serves as a significant information operation aimed at highlighting Russian attrition and bolstering morale. Operational ZSU amplifying the General Staff's loss figures, using the term "liquidated swamp dwellers," is a more informal and potentially propagandistic information operation. RБК-Україна reporting on the General Staff's loss figures, using the term "minused" and emphasizing the near 950,000 total losses, is another example of information operation leveraging official data. Operational ZSU reporting on North Korea's official confirmation of troop participation in the war in Kursk Oblast, framing it negatively and reporting on the US State Department's reaction, is an information operation to highlight this development and the international response. STERNENKO reporting on the drone attack in Bryansk, highlighting the target and the claimed number of intercepted drones, is an information operation related to Ukrainian deep strikes. Oleksandr Vilkul's reports on the situation in Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol are information operations to inform the local population and demonstrate control. The Ukrainian General Staff providing daily operational summaries and statistics on combat engagements and Russian losses serves as a primary information operation to inform the public and international community about the course of the conflict. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces promoting recruitment for a medical position is an information operation to attract personnel and highlight the importance of medical support. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reporting the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan" and alleging his past atrocities is an information operation aimed at demoralizing enemy forces, highlighting alleged war crimes, and potentially impacting recruitment into specific Russian units. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, providing detailed reports on the impact of Russian attacks on civilian areas, including casualties and damage, serves as an information operation to document the consequences of Russian actions and potentially garner international sympathy and support. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos and information about training exercises is an information operation to showcase the readiness and professionalism of Ukrainian forces, and also shares images showcasing the use of modern equipment like tactical thermal binoculars to gain an advantage over the enemy, contributing to a narrative of technological superiority and training. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares photos and information about meetings with recently released POWs is an information operation to demonstrate care for personnel, boost morale, and highlight the issue of captivity. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on Donald Trump's statements regarding peace talks and Ukraine's situation is an information operation disseminating key political developments. STERNENKO sharing a video of Donald Trump's statements about trusting Putin and Crimea is an information operation highlighting significant political claims. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reporting on North Korea's official confirmation and framing it as a signal of a military alliance is an information operation. ASTRA reporting on North Korea's official confirmation serves as information dissemination regarding a significant international development. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol, which serves as an information operation highlighting alleged injustices and internal challenges within Russian-controlled territories. The Kyiv City Military Administration issuing memorial posts serves as an information operation to honor fallen soldiers and maintain public remembrance and support. Operational ZSU amplifying the information about the "Epicenter" technical failure serves as information dissemination regarding a significant non-combat event. Operational ZSU sharing a graphic about the daily minute of silence serves as an information operation to encourage public remembrance and reinforce the narrative of the conflict. Operational ZSU sharing a video titled "Нагулявся" which appears to depict a deceased soldier is likely an information operation aimed at demoralizing the opposing forces or highlighting their losses. Operational ZSU sharing a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance is an information operation showcasing Ukrainian capabilities and claimed successes against Russian equipment. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a "Military Audio" acoustic system made from an ammunition box being sent to soldiers, which serves as an information operation to highlight ongoing volunteer support for Ukrainian units and potentially inspire further donations. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reporting on a second verdict against a former President serves as an information operation highlighting efforts to pursue accountability and justice, even for past political figures. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment with a caption emphasizing defense of their home and those who believe in peace, and a call to join, is an information operation aimed at recruitment, highlighting specific unit types and their mission, and promoting a patriotic narrative. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration highlighting the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel undergoing rehabilitation serves as an information operation to demonstrate care for military personnel and veterans and garner public support for this initiative. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro is an information operation highlighting successful counter-intelligence and security operations and portraying Russia as engaging in subversive activities. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing international diplomatic and political support for Ukraine, with an emphasis on Germany's independent commitment. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican and its clarification highlights Ukrainian engagement with international political narratives and diplomatic events. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses is an information operation aimed at demoralizing Russian forces and highlighting their casualties. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, highlights potential risks to individuals collaborating with Russian authorities and underscores the human element of the occupation. РБК-Україна publishing a material about Canadian elections and their potential impact on Ukraine is an information operation aimed at informing the Ukrainian audience about international political dynamics and their relevance to Ukrainian interests. STERNENKO fundraising and stating "So the Russians will be alive" is an information operation aimed at motivating donations by emphasizing the perceived effectiveness of the equipment in eliminating enemy forces. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War providing contact information and emphasizing the importance of appointments serves as an information operation to inform and support families of POWs, and to manage expectations regarding communication and assistance. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief is an information operation highlighting accountability and the legal consequences of their actions. Два майора disseminating a recruitment advertisement for military service under contract with the Russian security organs serves as an information operation to attract potential recruits. РБК-Україна reporting on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, noting that this is being quoted by Russian propagandists, suggests awareness of Russian information operations. Миколаївський Ванёк sharing a video of a unique drone operation freeing POWs is an information operation highlighting innovative tactics and successful personnel recovery. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing images and commentary on the destruction and impact of conflict on Pokrovsk serves as an information operation highlighting the humanitarian cost and attributing it to "рузький мір" (Russian world). РБК-Україна publishing a special project on private education in Ukraine could be seen as an information operation highlighting aspects of civilian life and development despite the conflict. TASS reporting on Lavrov's statement about discussions with Rubio being in the spirit of Russian-American consultations is an information operation highlighting diplomatic engagement with the US. Операція Z: Военкоры Русской Весны reporting Peskov's statements on negotiations and Russia's willingness to assist North Korea serves to reinforce Russian narratives on diplomacy and alliances. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting Lavrov's statement on Crimea and occupied oblasts being an imperative for peace highlights the maximalist Russian position on territorial concessions. ASTRA reporting Peskov's statements on aid to North Korea and negotiations serves to disseminate official Russian positions. Colonelcassad highlighting Congo's attendance at the Victory Day parade and potential meeting with Putin, and discussing Russia's Africa strategy, is an information operation emphasizing Russia's international standing and anti-colonial narrative. Mash na Donbasse reporting on a resident losing citizenship for supporting Ukrainian "right-radicals" is an information operation aimed at portraying pro-Ukrainian sentiment within Russia negatively and highlighting consequences. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video of a "Z-volunteer" criticizing Russian media coverage of the Kursk operation is an information operation highlighting perceived discrepancies between official narratives and reality. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reporting on the Kursk Oblast Veteran's Council requesting new memorial steles is an information operation that, while highlighting casualties, could also be used to emphasize the cost of conflict and the need for continued support. MO D Russia sharing video of mine clearance in Kursk is an information operation aimed at portraying control and restoration efforts in the area. Новости Москвы showing a Lada e-Aura and a list of Russian anxieties are examples of Russian domestic information operations related to economy and social issues. ASTRA reporting on the release of individuals in the Kyrgyzstan mercenary case provides information on legal processes impacting individuals involved in recruitment. Поддубный reporting on civilian casualties in Russia from Ukrainian strikes is an information operation aimed at highlighting the impact of Ukrainian actions on the Russian civilian population. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны sharing footage of North Korean soldiers' training linked to Kursk is an information operation reinforcing the narrative of allied support and the effectiveness of North Korean forces. Colonelcassad reporting the sentencing of a terrorist is an information operation highlighting law enforcement successes and linking terrorism to Ukraine. Север.Реалии sharing a story of a Russian deserter is an information operation highlighting issues within the Russian military and potentially influencing recruitment. TASS reporting on the "Immortal Regiment" at football matches is an information operation promoting patriotic sentiment. STERNENKO sharing a video of US Senator John Neely Kennedy criticizing Putin is an information operation highlighting international criticism of Russia.
Areas of Significant Activity (Updated)
- Pokrovsk Axis: Continued exceptionally intense ground combat with a high number of Russian assaults repelled by Ukrainian forces. Russia claims localized gains.
- Lyman Axis: Significant Russian assaults reported by Ukraine, including attempts to penetrate defenses around multiple settlements. Russia claims advances.
- Kramatorsk Axis: Continued combat engagements reported by Ukraine, particularly near Chasiv Yar, Andriivka, and Kurdyumivka. Russia claims consolidation near Stupochky.
- Toretsk Axis: Continued Russian attacks reported by Ukraine. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances and largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk.
- Novopavlivsk Axis: Continued Russian attacks reported by Ukraine. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report repelling 13 Russian attacks on this axis.
- Kursk Oblast (RU): Official confirmation and extensive reporting by Russia and North Korea on the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations. Ukraine reports repelling a high number of Russian assaults in this area. Russia claims success in the operation and plans an award for participants. Anatolii Shtefan reports the death of an "Akhmat" platoon commander here. Russian Ministry of Defense shares video claiming mine clearance operations. МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ | Новости | Срочники reports that the Kursk Oblast Veteran's Council is requesting new memorial steles because the names of deceased servicemen no longer fit on existing ones, indicating significant Russian personnel losses. Дневник Десантника shares video claiming Russian forces in the Hornal area are preventing Ukrainian forces from rotating and are destroying personnel and equipment. Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны shares footage of North Korean soldiers' combat training, linking it to their participation in the Kursk operation.
- Sumy Oblast Border Region: Continued Russian claims of advances and efforts to create a security zone. Two Mayors reports Russian advances towards Yunakivka and an attempted Russian assault on the Basivka direction, alongside Ukrainian remote mining actions. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports an attempted Ukrainian offensive through Basivka. Alautdinov reports very good Russian progress here. Два майора share a map and text indicating Ukrainian Armed Forces are concentrating units and increasing FPV drone strikes in the Bryansk direction as part of a possible activation. The Ukrainian Air Force reports a high-speed target in Sumy Oblast moving west.
- Bryansk Oblast (RU): Significant Ukrainian UAV attack targeting a military microelectronics factory, resulting in civilian casualties and claims of extensive drone interceptions by Russia. AV БогомаZ details the damage and casualties. Два майора share a map and text indicating Ukrainian Armed Forces are concentrating units and increasing FPV drone strikes in the Bryansk direction as part of a possible activation.
- Kharkiv Oblast: Continued Russian attacks reported by Ukraine, with defenders stopping assaults. Oleh Syniehubov reports a civilian fatality and injury in Kupiansk and damage/livestock losses in Izium and Kharkiv districts. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations. ОТУ "Харків" reports Russian attacks in the areas of Vovchansk, Krasne Pershe, and Mala Shapkivka, and reports Russian losses in their operational zone.
- Kupyansk Axis: Continued Russian attacks reported by Ukraine, which were stopped. Сливочный каприз claims Russian forces have intensified combat and occupied a stronghold near Stepova Novoselivka.
- Siversk Axis: Russian offensive actions reported by Ukraine, which were stopped. A Russian source claims advances east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. Народная милиция ДНР shares video claiming drone operators of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar and robotic ground equipment on the Konstantinovka direction, which is near the Siversk axis.
- Zaporizhzhia Oblast: High volume of Russian strikes on civilian areas reported by Ukrainian authorities, causing damage and partial outages. Continued fighting, artillery duels, and drone use. Russian sources claim a Lancet drone destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report one Russian attempt to advance on the Orikhiv direction, which was repelled. РБК-Україна shares a report from the Zaporizhzhia direction featuring the 44th Brigade and the Ukrainian "Bohdana" howitzer. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a new air raid alert for the entire oblast due to a ballistic missile threat, and later reports the cancellation of the alert. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration shares a video about aesthetic gymnastics training.
- Kherson Direction: Unconfirmed Russian claims of occupying islands and potentially crossing the Dnieper. Ukrainian forces report repelling one Russian assault. Russian airborne forces claim to have destroyed temporary deployment points. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report repelling one Russian assault on the Prydniprovskyi direction and report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel on the Kinburn Spit. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video claiming the destruction of a Russian vehicle and dugout on the Kinburn Spit by the Ukrainian Navy. The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine provide updated statistics for their operational zone.
- Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: Reports of a drone crash in Synelnykivskyi district resulting in a civilian fatality and injury. Attacks on Nikopol and Marhanets communities reported. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs near Pavlohrad heading towards Synelnykive.
- Cherkasy Oblast: New reports of Russian attack UAVs moving towards the oblast, with an explosion reported near Cherkasy. Mykolayiv Vanek reports on drone activity and potential anti-drone work. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. Explosions are reported near Cherkasy. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports explosions in Cherkasy under drone attack.
- Kyiv Oblast: New reports of Russian attack UAVs moving towards the oblast, with air raid alerts active due to ballistic missile threat. The Kyiv City Military Administration reports an air raid alert in Kyiv due to a ballistic missile threat. РБК-Україна reports an air raid alert in Kyiv and several oblasts due to a ballistic missile threat. Оперативний ЗСУ reports an air raid alert in Kyiv and several oblasts due to a ballistic missile threat. The Kyiv City Military Administration reports the cancellation of the air raid alert.
- Mariupol (Occupied): Ongoing humanitarian issues and resident protests over destroyed homes and housing.
- Dnipro: Detention of alleged Russian saboteurs accused of preparing terrorist attacks with explosives.
- Balashikha (RU): Explosion attributed to an explosive device being investigated as murder, with speculation of a high-ranking military official's death. The Russian Investigative Committee officially confirmed the death of Major General Yaroslav Moskalik and is investigating it as murder.
- Vatican City: Location of diplomatic meetings, including a brief interaction between Zelenskyy and Trump.
- Southern Donetsk Direction: Воин DV claims Russian forces have destroyed numerous Ukrainian vehicles and personnel, including UAVs, an electronic warfare station, UAV control points, and a field ammunition storage. Сливочный каприз claims that motorized infantry made a push and occupied new positions south of Bogatyr west of Kurakhovo.
- Konstantinovka Direction: Народная милиция ДНР shares video claiming drone operators of the 132nd Brigade destroyed a Ukrainian mortar and robotic ground equipment.
- Kinburn Spit: The Southern Defense Forces of Ukraine report destroying a Russian vehicle and a dugout with personnel. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS shares video claiming the destruction of a Russian vehicle and dugout by the Ukrainian Navy.
Potential Future Developments
- Independent verification of territorial control on various axes, particularly Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, Sumy, Southern Donetsk, and the Bryansk border region.
- Further details and international reactions to Russia's official acknowledgment of North Korean military involvement, including any observable impact on the battlefield and potential expansion of their roles.
- Outcomes of follow-up discussions between Zelenskyy and Trump and potential shifts in US policy towards Russia or Ukraine.
- Any investigations or international responses to alleged war crimes, including the attack on Pavlohrad and alleged past atrocities by Russian units.
- Continued intensity of fighting on key axes, especially Pokrovsk, Lyman, the Sumy/Bryansk border regions, and Southern Donetsk.
- Further Russian efforts to advance in Sumy and Bryansk Oblasts and any attempts by Ukrainian forces to launch offensive actions in the Dzerzhinsk or Basivka areas.
- Impact of the large-scale Ukrainian drone attack on Bryansk and any subsequent similar attacks or changes in Russian air defense strategies.
- Any observable impact of the widespread technical failure of the Epicenter retail chain on logistics or civilian life in Ukraine.
- Further information or official confirmation regarding the explosion in Balashikha and the identity of the deceased, and any findings from the murder investigation.
- Impact of the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro on potential future attacks or subversive activities.
- Further developments in diplomatic efforts, including any signals from Kyiv regarding negotiations or changes in Russia's stated preconditions.
- Any observable impact of Russia's recruitment efforts, particularly for security organs in occupied territories, and their plan to counter illegal employment.
- Further reports on humanitarian concerns, including the situation in occupied Mariupol and the treatment of mobilized Russian soldiers.
- Any observable impact of new Russian UAV capabilities like the "Banderol" reactive UAV.
- Any observable impact of reported significant deliveries of Western artillery shells to Ukraine.
- Any observed changes in military activity or force posture in the Bryansk border region following reports of Ukrainian unit concentration and FPV drone strikes.
Potential Indicators
- Independent reporting or satellite imagery confirming or contradicting claimed territorial changes on various axes, particularly Pokrovsk, Lyman, Toretsk, Sumy, Southern Donetsk, and in the Bryansk border region.
- Official statements or actions from North Korea regarding their military involvement or the planned monument.
- Public statements or policy changes from the US government regarding North Korea or the conflict.
- Further reporting on the activities or locations of North Korean troops in Russia.
- Independent verification of alleged war crimes or human rights violations.
- Changes in the intensity, targeting, or trajectory of Russian drone and missile activity, particularly in central Ukraine and towards Kyiv.
- Any observable impact or continuation of temporary flight restrictions at Russian airports due to UAV threats.
- Independent verification of damage and impact from the Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk.
- Any observable impact of the technical failure on the Epicenter retail chain.
- Any official statements or investigations regarding the alleged plot by Russian saboteurs in Dnipro.
- Any signals from Kyiv regarding readiness for direct negotiations with Moscow.
- Changes in Russian official statements regarding the prerequisites for negotiations.
- Any observable impact or uptake from Russia's recruitment efforts for security organs or their plan to counter illegal employment.
- Further reports or independent verification regarding the humanitarian situation in occupied Mariupol or the treatment of Russian military personnel.
- Any confirmed use or impact of the Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV.
- Observation of any attempts by Ukrainian forces to launch offensive operations in the Dzerzhinsk or Basivka areas.
- Observation of any changes in the frontline around Hryhorivka and Siversk.
- Any observable impact of new Russian artillery and drone tactics, as claimed by Russian sources.
- Further information regarding the diplomatic exchanges between Lavrov and Rubio.
- Any observable impact of the reported increase in global military spending.
- Confirmed delivery and utilization of large quantities of Western artillery shells by Ukrainian forces.
- Observable increase in Ukrainian military presence or activity in the Bryansk border region.
- Any official statements or investigation updates regarding the death of Major General Moskalik in Balashikha.
- Changes in the frequency or intensity of Ukrainian attacks within Russian territory.
