Sitrep 2025-04-28 07:51:21

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (April 28, 2025, 07:49 UTC)

Executive Summary

The operational environment remains highly complex and active. Intense ground combat continues, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Sumy axes, with Russia claiming localized gains. New claims of Russian advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, and Zelyonaya Dolina are reported, alongside claimed consolidation near Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction. DeepState reports the capture of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast by Russian forces. Russia also continues unconfirmed claims on the Kherson direction. Ukrainian forces report repelling numerous Russian assaults across multiple axes, with the highest intensity on Pokrovsk (64 attacks repelled), followed by Lyman (20 attacks), Kramatorsk (16 engagements), Novopavlivsk (13 attacks), Toretsk (9 attacks), and Kursk (23 assaults repelled). Ukrainian defenders stopped Russian attacks on the Kharkiv (6 attacks) and Kupyansk (3 attacks) directions, and two offensive actions on the Siversk direction. No combat clashes were reported on the Huliaipole direction, and single Russian attempts were noted on the Orikhiv and Prydniprovskyi directions. No signs of enemy offensive group formation were reported on the Volyn and Polissia directions. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, and claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive in this area.

A significant development is the official confirmation and extensive reporting by Russia and North Korea regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast. This is framed as allied support under their defense treaty and a response to Ukrainian actions, with Russia further elevating its significance for historical and educational purposes and emphasizing the "unbreakable military alliance." North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has reportedly called this a "sacred mission" and announced a monument in Pyongyang. Putin has personally thanked North Korean units for their participation, highlighting their heroism and training, and stating their actions were in accordance with international law. The US State Department has expressed concern and called for North Korea to cease this assistance.

Aerial bombardment persists with significant drone activity across multiple Ukrainian Oblasts, including Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, and now Kyiv. Air raid alerts were active and air defense engaged in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, though alerts have since been cancelled. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. A significant Ukrainian UAV attack targeted Bryansk Oblast, reportedly a military microelectronics factory, resulting in a civilian fatality and injury and claims of extensive drone destruction by Russian air defense (102 over Bryansk, 115 total overnight). The Ukrainian Navy reports Russian missile carriers in the Black Sea (up to 6 Kalibrs) and Mediterranean Sea (up to 8 Kalibrs). The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a high volume of Russian strikes on civilian areas over the past day, causing damage and partial outages. Temporary flight restrictions at Pulkovo Airport resulted in 17 flight diversions. Russian military bloggers attribute overnight explosions in Zaporizhzhia, Sumy (Shostka), and Kharkiv to "Geranium" drones. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS near Chasiv Yar and destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv. Two Mayors reports remote mining by Ukraine and an attempted Russian assault with AFVs and motorized infantry on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, and that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka through Basivka and Loknya. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports a civilian fatality and injury in Kupiansk from a drone and significant damage/livestock losses in Izium and Kharkiv districts from drone/artillery attacks. A drone crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropetrovsk Oblast, resulted in a civilian fatality and injury.

Strategic and Tactical Overview

Russian Actions and Claims:

Ground Operations: Exceptionally intense assault actions on the Pokrovsk direction continue with claims of "almost complete" control of Uspenivka, attacks on Novoleksandrivka, full control of Nadezhdinka, and fierce battles along the Kotlyarovka—Troitskoye—Bogdanovka line, and advances north of Andriivka. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 64 Russian assaults on the Pokrovsk direction over the past day, all of which were stopped by Ukrainian defenders. On the Konstantinovka direction (near Toretsk), units reportedly continue offensive operations, fighting for Dyliyivka, capturing the "Berezka" pioneer camp, and consolidating positions in northern Shcherbinivka. Rybar reports that Russian forces have largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk after regrouping and repelling counterattacks, and are conducting raids north of Dzerzhinsk, advancing towards Dyliivka, and fighting on the western flank near Shcherbinivka and Petrovka, with these actions potentially facilitating bypassing fortified areas, and reports claims of Ukrainian forces preparing for an offensive in this area. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 9 Russian attacks on the Toretsk direction over the past day. Russian forces on the Zaporizhzhia front reportedly advance towards Bohatyr. Significant claims of Russian advances persist on the Sumy direction, with airborne forces allegedly pushing west of Oleshnya, the 11th Brigade taking Oleshnya from the east, and paratroopers advancing between Loknya and Belovody. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, and that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction and attempted an assault with up to 6 AFVs and two platoons of motorized infantry. Alautdinov reports that Russian forces are showing very good progress in Sumy Oblast despite Ukrainian attempts to divert Russian forces. New claims from Russian sources, supported by a map dated April 27, 2025, indicate advances on the Lyman direction, specifically in the direction of Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, and Zelyonaya Dolina, with a Russian source reporting Russian forces breaking through to the northeastern part of Torske. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 20 Russian attacks on the Lyman direction over the past day. Russian sources claim units on the Pokrovsk direction repelled counterattacks, secured Tarasovka, dislodged Ukrainian forces from Berezovka, are pressing south of eastern Malinovka, and are in intense fighting on the southern outskirts of Mirolyubovka and for Elizavetovka. Russian sources report special forces and artillery engaging Ukrainian infantry near Shcherbinivka. A Russian source claims that infantry of the 1442nd regiment have consolidated positions on the outskirts of Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction and successfully repelled four enemy counterattacks over the past day. This suggests Russian forces have entered the immediate vicinity of Stupochky. Unconfirmed Russian claims persist regarding the "Dnepr" Group of Forces occupying islands between Krynky and Kazachi Laheri and potentially crossing to the right bank of the Dnieper, entering the southern part of Tyahynka on the Kherson direction. DeepState reports that Russian forces have captured the village of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 13 Russian attacks on the Novopavlivsk direction over the past day, and 1 Russian attempt to advance on the Orikhiv direction, and 1 Russian attempt to advance on the Prydniprovskyi direction. The Ukrainian General Staff reports no combat clashes on the Huliaipole direction over the past day, and no signs of enemy offensive groups forming on the Volyn and Polissia directions. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 6 Russian attacks on the Kharkiv direction over the past day, and 3 Russian attacks on the Kupyansk direction, which were stopped. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 2 Russian offensive actions stopped on the Siversk direction over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 16 combat engagements on the Kramatorsk direction over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 23 Russian assaults on the Kursk direction over the past day, all of which were repelled by Ukrainian defenders. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk direction by the 90th Guards Tank Division's D-30 howitzer crew to destroy a Ukrainian mortar crew. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery in the area of Hryhorivka by the 3rd Army's Hyacinth-B howitzer to suppress a Ukrainian firing point and destroy a UAV control point on the Chasiv Yar direction. A Russian source claims positional battles in the area of Siversk-Hryhorivka, with Russian assault units occupying new positions east of Hryhorivka and advancing over 1 km along the Siverskyi Donets towards Siversk. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that their colleagues "Two Mayors" note that the enemy has started offensive actions through Basivka, confirming ongoing combat in this area of Sumy Oblast, and claims the Ukrainian forces will have a large number of losses.
Air and Drone Warfare: Significant and multi-directional drone activity was reported across Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Chernihiv Oblasts, with air raid alerts active and air defense confirmed working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alerts have since been lifted in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. New reports track groups of attack UAVs moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and likely Mirnohrad in Donetsk Oblast, and towards Poltava Oblast, specifically Mirgorod. New groups of attack UAVs are also reported moving through Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and towards Chernihiv Oblast and Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod and Hadiach), and towards Cherkasy Oblast, with an explosion reported near Cherkasy, and the threat has now extended to Kyiv Oblast. Recent reporting indicates strike UAVs are heading towards Zolotonosha, Smila, and Cherkasy in Cherkasy Oblast. Further reports track a drone near Dnipro, several towards Cherkasy Oblast from Poltava, one towards Kyiv Oblast from southern Chernihiv, new Shaheds in southern Sumy Oblast moving towards Poltava Oblast, 3 new UAVs past Okhtyrka towards Poltava, 2 near Konotop, and 1 circling south of Shostka. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units, and showcases mobile groups fighting FPV drones on the Pokrovsk direction. The Ukrainian Navy reports one Russian missile carrier with a total salvo of up to 6 Kalibr missiles in the Black Sea and one missile carrier with up to 8 Kalibr missiles in the Mediterranean Sea. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 354 Russian strikes on 12 settlements in the oblast over the past day, including 21 aerial strikes, 210 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 117 artillery shellings, resulting in damage to one house and partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community but no civilian casualties. Temporary flight restrictions have been imposed at Pulkovo Airport in St. Petersburg, with 17 flights diverted. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 Russian air strikes, dropping 165 KABs, conducting 5089 shellings (88 MLRS), and utilizing 2337 kamikaze drones over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports Russian aviation strikes on numerous locations in Chernihiv, Sumy, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson regions. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports significant damage to civilian infrastructure and livestock losses due to Russian drone and artillery attacks in Izium and Kharkiv districts over the past day, including a fatality and injuries. Reports also indicate a local doctor was injured in Kupiansk due to an FPV drone attack. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions to support advances, including the destruction of a mortar crew and a UAV control point. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital. TASS reports successful test launches of Kalibr cruise missiles by a Russian nuclear submarine in the Pacific Ocean. Военкор Котенок reports that 119 Ukrainian drones were shot down overnight, including 102 over Bryansk, 9 over Crimea, 2 over Kursk, 2 over Nizhny Novgorod, 2 over Leningrad, 1 over Belgorod, and 1 over the Black Sea, citing the Russian MoD. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations in Kharkiv Oblast. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV with speeds of 400-500 km/h has started striking targets in Ukraine, primarily in Odesa Oblast, citing a Ukrainian military expert. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroyed 3 Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction.
Capabilities and Logistics: Russian military bloggers continue fundraising for specific equipment for units on the Zaporizhzhia front. Russian sources highlight a video of a Russian serviceman from the 136th brigade surviving a close artillery shell detonation. A paramedic was killed in a road accident in Belgorod. Two Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations aircraft were sent to assist in extinguishing a fire in a port in Iran, highlighting Russian international assistance capabilities. Russia and North Korea are explicitly claiming the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast, framing it within a defense agreement (Article 4) and the "liberation" of the area. North Korea has also affirmed its continued support for Russia and commitment to the spirit of their treaty. Russian sources from the "Dnepr" Group of Forces claim maintaining control of the airspace on the right bank of the Dnieper by mobile air defense and soldiers, shooting down heavy hexacopters. Russian military bloggers are sharing images portraying "Moments of the SVO" including damaged military/adapted civilian vehicles and armed personnel in damaged buildings. A public service announcement from the Khabarovsk Krai police is being disseminated by a Russian military blogger, actively recruiting individuals for service in internal affairs organs, including in the newly claimed Russian territories. Russian sources are also citing historical examples of Korean support for Russia/Soviet Union during WWII to bolster the narrative of North Korea as a reliable ally. Russian sources claim French fighters are in the zone of the "special military operation" fighting on their side. The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes. New reports from TASS indicate that fines for children under 16 years of age operating electric scooters in Russia have been increased from 10,000 to 30,000 rubles. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units, highlighting their drone capabilities. Reports circulating in Russian military blogger channels about a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application via a fake "Pro-version" highlight ongoing cybersecurity concerns. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that Russian air defense units of the Ministry of Defense destroyed "several dozens" of Ukrainian UAVs during a massive attack. Russia's Ministry of Defense claims a total of 102 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight and a total of 115 across various regions overnight, including 2 over Leningrad Oblast. Russia is actively utilizing information channels, including military bloggers, to recruit Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" and offering financial compensation, indicating a capability and intent for unconventional recruitment and subversion. The Russian Ministry of Defense video showcasing a Mi-28NM helicopter strike highlights the continued use of tactical aviation and precision-guided munitions. A civilian transportation accident involving an overturned bus in Vladimir Oblast, Russia, has resulted in injuries and required medical assistance for approximately 35 people. Russian sources are showcasing mobile groups equipped to counter FPV drones on the Pokrovsk direction, indicating adaptation to Ukrainian drone tactics. The Ukrainian Navy's report indicates Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and a significant presence in the Mediterranean, highlighting Russia's broader naval reach and potential for strikes from multiple vectors. Russian sources claim to have disrupted almost 260 aerial attacks over major cities in the DNR over the past week, suggesting significant efforts in air defense in that region. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr by UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping, highlighting their drone capabilities in this area. A Russian military blogger shares a video demonstrating a sniper's capability for remote destruction of mines/IEDs. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 21 aerial strikes, 210 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 117 artillery shellings on 12 settlements in the oblast over the past day, indicating a high volume of Russian firepower directed at this region and causing partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS for strikes, highlighting their continued use of this artillery system. Russian airborne forces claim to have destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast, indicating operations in that area. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, indicating Russian operational objectives and current movement patterns in the Sumy region. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front, highlighting the continued use and effectiveness of Lancet drones against Ukrainian artillery. Fighterbomber discusses the role of North Korean troops and other military allies, and aspects of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, indicating these are areas of focus within the Russian military information space. Rybar reports that Russian forces have largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk after regrouping and repelling counterattacks, indicating successful tactical maneuvers and persistence. Alautdinov reports that Russian forces are showing very good progress in Sumy Oblast, suggesting momentum and potential tactical advantages in this region. The world's military spending in 2024 reportedly broke Cold War records, reaching $2.718 trillion, a 9.4% increase from 2023, according to SIPRI, highlighting the global financial commitment to military capabilities. TASS reports that all individuals involved in the mercenary case in Kyrgyzstan, including a blogger and Russian House employee, have been released under house arrest, indicating potential Russian influence or legal processes. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan," a platoon commander of the "Akhmat" 4th brigade's "Okhotnik" battalion, on the Kursk direction, indicating the presence of Chechen units in this area. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol regarding the destruction of their homes and unaffordable new housing, highlighting potential internal challenges and resistance within occupied territories. TASS reports on a planned system for direct payment acceptance by state institutions without bank involvement, planned for 2025, indicating a development in Russian financial infrastructure. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions to support advances. The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed the death of the son of the CIA Deputy Director, Michael Gloss, stating he died in December from artillery shelling in Eastern Europe while aiding a wounded comrade, highlighting the capability of Russian forces to inflict casualties, including on foreign nationals allegedly fighting for them. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. The Russian government has reportedly developed a plan to counter illegal employment by analyzing the non-working population and involving them in the labor market. Russian authorities have reportedly issued a directive to create an award for individuals who contributed to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast from the Ukrainian Armed Forces, indicating a focus on recognizing and rewarding participation in this specific operation. A phone conversation reportedly took place between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio regarding the "Ukrainian crisis," with both sides emphasizing the importance of prerequisites for negotiations towards a stable peace, and Lavrov noting that some elements of an agreement require further work, highlighting ongoing diplomatic efforts. TASS reports successful test launches of Kalibr cruise missiles by a Russian nuclear submarine in the Pacific Ocean, showcasing Russian naval capabilities and projecting power. Reports indicate increased demand for learning the Chinese language in Moscow, which while not directly military, could have implications for future personnel and communication capabilities. The Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations is reportedly working with Iranian authorities to extinguish the fire in the port of Shahid Rajaee, demonstrating a capability for international humanitarian response. Rosaviatsia reports that 17 flights were diverted due to restrictions at Pulkovo Airport, indicating potential disruptions to civilian air travel due to security measures. The Russian consumer protection agency reports a stable cholera situation in Russia, which is a domestic health report. Военкор Котенок reports on the number of Ukrainian drones shot down overnight, citing the Russian MoD, highlighting Russian air defense capabilities and the scale of Ukrainian drone attacks. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations in Kharkiv Oblast and promoting the narrative of corruption within the Ukrainian mobilization process. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports on the attempted offensive through Basivka and claims significant Ukrainian losses, indicating ongoing combat and Russian capabilities in conducting assaults in this area of Sumy Oblast. Rybar provides a map and analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, identifying specific units (Southern Special Operations Center, 29th, 31st, and 385th Naval Infantry Brigades), estimated force strength (up to 550 personnel, over 80 high-speed boats, over 60 USVs), attack vectors (main landing at Novoozernoe, diversionary landing at Kotovskoe, USV strikes on Cape Tarkhankut), and potential staging areas (Odesa, Illichevsk, Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi, Zatoka, Yuzhnyi, Ochakiv, Iron Port), concluding that Ukraine is preparing for a possible landing operation to demonstrate capabilities and create chaos, and notes that this has become possible due to Ukraine acquiring USVs with anti-aircraft missiles. Kotsnews sharing articles from Western media that are critical of supporting Ukraine or question the origins of the conflict serves to bolster Russian narratives and potentially influence Western public opinion. ТАСС reports the sentencing of a participant in a Ukrainian terrorist organization preparing a terrorist attack against a defense enterprise in Izhevsk. ТАСС reports the arrest of a deputy head of the capital repair fund in Kursk Oblast for bribery. STERNENKO shares a tweet from a Trump associate stating that Russians are not enemies and aid to Ukraine should stop, contrasting it with a quote attributed to Dugin calling for readiness for war with the US. ТАСС reports the Russian government plans to establish criminal liability for "droppers" who provide their bank cards to fraudsters, with potential sentences up to six years. РБК-Україна reports on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican, citing a British tabloid report and subsequent denial from the Elysée Palace that the third chair was for a translator, and that the meeting was one-on-one. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the detention by the SBU of a couple in Dnipro accused of preparing terrorist attacks for Russia, stating they were a contract soldier and his wife who set up six caches of homemade explosive devices and grenades in and around the city for planned detonations in crowded places. Операція Z / Военкоры Русской Весны reports that global military spending in 2024 reached a record $2.718 trillion, a 9.4% increase from 2023 according to SIPRI, with Russia's spending increasing by 38% and Ukraine's being 34% of its GDP, and notes that over 100 countries increased military budgets. Alex Parker Returns reports that Kyrgyzstan received S-300 air defense systems from Russia and questions who they are defending against. AV БогомаZ, Governor of Bryansk Oblast, reports on a massive Ukrainian UAV attack overnight, stating that drones attacked civilian objects and infrastructure, causing a residential house and outbuilding to burn down, damaging seven houses and two apartments, destroying seven cars, causing fires at an Institute of Management and Business and a production warehouse, damaging a construction crane, and damaging power supply facilities in two districts, and frames it as a "fascist" terrorist attack by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Два майора share a video discussing why volunteers are collecting funds for items like magazines for AKs on the Konstantinovka direction. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers, with accompanying commentary mocking the losses. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka recording a Victory Day greeting, calling him an "imbecile" and hoping locals will "liquidate" him. A Russian source claims positional battles and advances east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV has started striking targets in Ukraine, particularly Odesa Oblast. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators destroying Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. ASTRA reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier with five children who was allegedly beaten and threatened, deserted, received a suspended sentence, and is now facing a new criminal case for refusing to return to the same unit, highlighting issues within the Russian military. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, highlighting ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing. Два майора is disseminating a recruitment advertisement for military service under contract with the Russian security organs, offering service in Moscow Oblast and "new regions" with different pay scales. ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon if needed. ТАСС reports that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty. ТАСС reports that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities. Alex Parker Returns shares a link to a service for currency exchange and international transfers. Новости Москвы reports on a themed ambulance train in the Moscow Metro. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned. STERNENKO is fundraising for equipment, referencing a "deficit of Rusoreza." Kotsnews reports on the large drone attack on Bryansk and attributes it to Ukraine after "military defeat" in Kursk, stating a civilian was killed. ТАСС reports that the President of the Republic of Congo will attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day events in Moscow. Лавров stated that dialogue between Russia and the US on a Ukraine settlement continues, and Moscow hopes for mutually acceptable results, stating that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations.

Ukrainian Actions and Claims:

Ground Operations: Ukraine reports ongoing heavy combat across the front, particularly on the Pokrovsk direction, emphasizing holding positions and inflicting significant losses. While not directly confirming or denying specific Russian territorial claims, reports indicate a determined defense. A Ukrainian source provides details on an ongoing combat operation in Belgorod Oblast, claiming the 225th assault regiment and attached units have taken control of a small border "sanitary" strip near Popivka and Demidivka. This operation is described as initially a raid now transitioned to a positional defense, claiming significant Russian losses, including the withdrawal of specific brigades/battalions for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. The loss ratio is estimated in Ukraine's favor, and the operation is claimed to have fulfilled its objectives. Ukraine has not commented on the Russian claim of repelling four counterattacks near Stupochky. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 168 combat engagements over the past day and details the number of Russian assaults repelled on various axes, including 64 on Pokrovsk, 20 on Lyman, 2 on Siversk, 16 on Kramatorsk, 9 on Toretsk, 13 on Novopavlivsk, 1 on Orikhiv, 1 on Prydniprovskyi, and 23 on Kursk. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that Ukrainian defenders stopped Russian assaults on the Kharkiv direction (6 attacks) and Kupyansk direction (3 attacks). The Ukrainian General Staff reports no combat clashes on the Huliaipole direction. NgP raZVedka reports that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk to regain lost positions, potentially simultaneously with intensified combat near Basivka in Sumy Oblast to constrain Russian forces. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, indicating Ukrainian defensive actions. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, suggesting Ukrainian efforts to defend this area. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of a Russian platoon commander on the Kursk direction, alleging his participation in atrocities. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports that Ukrainian defenders repelled 6 Russian attacks in the areas of Vovchansk, Krasne Pershe, and Mala Shapkivka, and 3 Russian attacks in the areas of Nova Kruhlyakivka and Petropavlivka on the Kupyansk direction over the past day. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos of soldiers from the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade engaged in training, emphasizing maintaining a high level of preparation to hold the frontline, indicating ongoing training and readiness efforts. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment, potentially indicating ongoing or planned amphibious or covert operations. STERNENKO shares a video featuring Ukrainian soldiers and the Ukrainian flag, likely as part of an information operation to highlight resistance and national identity. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that their colleagues "Two Mayors" note that the enemy has started offensive actions through Basivka, confirming ongoing combat in this area of Sumy Oblast, and claims the Ukrainian forces will have a large number of losses.
Air Defense and Counter-Drone Operations: Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of attack UAVs and provides detailed tracking of drone movements, indicating ongoing efforts to track and counter Russian aerial threats. Ukrainian forces are actively engaging Russian drones. Ukrainian sources from the "Dnepr" Group of Forces claim control of airspace on the right bank of the Dnieper and successful engagements of heavy hexacopters. Ukrainian Air Force is actively tracking and reporting on multiple groups of Russian attack UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, providing trajectory information. New reports provide further detail on the movement of drone groups into Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts, and towards the Zaporizhzhia direction, including the activation of air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Reports indicate ongoing drone activity and anti-drone work in the vicinity of Шостка. Ukrainian sources confirm air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have now been cancelled. New reporting from Ukrainian sources tracks groups of attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, and Druzhkivka. Additional reports from Ukrainian sources indicate the last two drone groups near Dobropillya are heading towards Mirnohrad/Pokrovsk, and advise the public to seek shelter. New groups of attack UAVs are also reported moving through Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and towards Chernihiv Oblast and Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod and Hadiach), and towards Cherkasy Oblast, with an explosion reported near Cherkasy, and the threat has now extended to Kyiv Oblast. Ukrainian sources also report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. Ukraine has demonstrated the capability to conduct significant UAV attacks deep within Russian territory, as evidenced by the attack on Bryansk Oblast, reportedly targeting a military microelectronics factory. Ukrainian Air Force reports a UAV near the border of Kharkiv and Sumi Oblasts, heading towards Poltava Oblast, specifically Mirgorod. New groups of Russian attack UAVs are reported moving through Romny towards Chernihiv Oblast and past Okhtyrka towards Poltava Oblast. The Ukrainian Air Force is actively reporting on the movement of multiple groups of Russian attack UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Chernihiv Oblasts, including specific trajectories, enabling timely air raid alerts and defensive measures, and has now reported drone threats in Kyiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Navy reports their current naval posture and highlights Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and Mediterranean. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration demonstrates a capability to collect and report detailed statistics on Russian strikes on civilian areas. Ukraine is tracking and reporting estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses, including detailed categories of destroyed military assets, indicating ongoing capabilities in battle damage assessment. Ukraine has reported the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, indicating ongoing operational successes in these areas. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports that Nikopol and the Marhanets community were attacked with heavy artillery and kamikaze drones overnight, highlighting the ongoing impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Military Administration, confirms attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with artillery and drones, and reports that the situation in the Kryvyi Rih district is controlled and there were no attacks there overnight. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 83 Russian air strikes, dropping 165 KABs, conducting 5089 shellings (88 MLRS), and utilizing 2337 kamikaze drones over the past day. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that aviation, missile troops, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck two areas of personnel concentration, four command posts, and three enemy artillery systems over the past day, indicating successful targeting of Russian assets. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs near Pavlohrad heading towards Synelnykive. The Ukrainian Air Force reports strike UAVs from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 7 Russian air strikes, dropping 13 KABs, and 302 shellings (9 MLRS) on the Kursk direction over the past day. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports that in addition to artillery shelling in Iziumskyi district, ten "Shahed" type UAVs hit Kharkivskyi district, damaging agricultural buildings and killing or injuring livestock. Another "Geranium 2" drone attack in Iziumskyi district damaged a warehouse and production building. Two "Shahed" type UAVs in Iziumskyi district damaged administrative and farm buildings, two vehicles, and a combine harvester. The Ukrainian Air Force reports groups of strike UAVs from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast, specifically towards Zolotonosha, Smila, and Cherkasy. An explosion has been reported near Cherkasy, possibly related to the incoming drone groups. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance, highlighting Ukrainian counter-vehicle capabilities using drones. Mykolayiv Vanek reports that 6 drones are located south and west of Smila (Cherkasy Oblast) with potential anti-drone work, and 7 drones are near Kremenchuk, moving into Cherkasy Oblast.
Capabilities and Logistics: Ukraine is actively pursuing mechanisms for reparations from Russia, proposing a special duty on Russian imports in addition to using frozen assets, indicating a focus on long-term financial sustainability and accountability. Ukrainian forces continue to operate and communicate effectively. The report on the operation in Belgorod highlights the claimed effective use of small infantry groups, drones, artillery, aviation, high-precision missiles, and particularly UAV operators against Russian armored vehicles. Ukraine possesses the capability to conduct drone strikes deep within Russian territory. The Ukrainian Navy reports their current naval posture and highlights Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and Mediterranean. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration demonstrates a capability to collect and report detailed statistics on Russian strikes in the oblast. Ukraine is tracking and reporting estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses, including detailed categories of destroyed military assets, indicating ongoing capabilities in battle damage assessment. Ukraine has reported the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, indicating ongoing operational successes in these areas. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports that Nikopol and the Marhanets community were attacked with heavy artillery and kamikaze drones overnight, highlighting the ongoing impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul, Head of the Kryvyi Rih Military Administration, confirms attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with artillery and drones, and reports that the situation in the Kryvyi Rih district is controlled and there was no attacks there overnight. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 168 combat engagements over the past day, indicating the capacity to sustain high-tempo operations. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that aviation, missile troops, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck two areas of personnel concentration, four command posts, and three enemy artillery systems over the past day, indicating successful targeting capabilities. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces is reportedly seeking a doctor for their medical post through recruitment, indicating a need for medical personnel and ongoing logistical support requirements. NgP raZVedka reports that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk, suggesting Ukrainian offensive capabilities and planning. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, indicating Ukrainian defensive tactics. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine is reportedly investigating the attack on Pavlohrad as a war crime, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings and documentation. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports on damage to private houses, farm buildings, administrative buildings, vehicles, and livestock from Russian attacks, indicating the need for repair and recovery resources. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos of training, emphasizing maintaining a high level of preparation, indicating ongoing training and readiness efforts, and also shares images showcasing the use of tactical thermal binoculars and potentially other advanced optical gear, highlighting the capability for night and low-light operations and potentially reconnaissance/surveillance. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares photos and information about meetings with recently released POWs undergoing medical and psychological rehabilitation, highlighting the support and care provided to personnel after captivity. Reports indicate a widespread technical failure impacting the "Epicenter" retail chain in Ukraine, with speculation of a cyberattack, which could potentially impact logistical capabilities related to supplies and trade, and the company has officially attributed this to "technical problems". Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance, highlighting Ukrainian counter-vehicle capabilities using drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a "Military Audio" acoustic system made from an ammunition box being sent to soldiers, highlighting ongoing volunteer support for Ukrainian units. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings against past political figures. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment with weapons and camouflage, suggesting capabilities in amphibious or covert operations and recruitment efforts for this branch. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is highlighting the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel undergoing rehabilitation, indicating a focus on supporting personnel recovery and addressing logistical needs for those with mobility issues, and noting a significant need for more specialized vehicles. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro demonstrates Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing efforts to secure international military support and assess past opportunities. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican, and subsequently clarifying it, highlights Ukrainian awareness of and engagement with international political narratives. Ukraine's Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, indicating ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing, demonstrating the capacity for legal proceedings against past political figures. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities, indicating efforts to support veterans and others with mobility challenges.
Political and Diplomatic Statements: Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. Operational ZSU shares a video with messages of resilience. Statements attributed to Donald Trump regarding the conflict and negotiations are circulating and being highlighted by Ukrainian sources. Significantly, RБК-Україна is reporting on Donald Trump explicitly calling on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," stating his belief that conditions for a deal exist, and stating he will decide whether he trusts Putin in two weeks or less, and believes Zelenskyy understands Crimea will remain Russian and attributes the conflict to Ukraine's NATO aspirations. An international development shows Israeli PM Netanyahu advocating for complete dismantlement of Iranian nuclear infrastructure in any US-Iran deal, a position relevant to broader geopolitical dynamics and the stances of potential international partners. The State Department of the United States has reportedly stated that countries like North Korea bear responsibility for the war in Ukraine and that they are "concerned" by North Korea's assistance to Russia, calling for Kim Jong Un to cease this assistance, indicating a diplomatic response to the confirmed North Korean troop deployment. Pakistan has reportedly offered India a plan to prevent a new regional war, including a "neutral" investigation into tourist killings in Kashmir, demonstrating diplomatic efforts to de-escalate regional tensions. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reports on Donald Trump's statements following a meeting with President Zelenskyy in Vatican City, including Trump's belief that Zelenskyy wants a peace agreement but also needs more weapons, Trump's intention to decide whether he trusts Putin within two weeks, and Trump's opinion that Ukraine's situation is difficult despite significant US assistance, and Trump's view that the tragedy could have been avoided if he were president. STERNENKO shares a video of Donald Trump stating he will decide if he trusts Putin in 2 weeks and his belief that Zelenskyy is ready to give up Crimea. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reports that North Korea has for the first time officially confirmed that it sent its military personnel to participate in the war in Ukraine, citing a mutual defense treaty and framing it as a signal from two dictators to the civilized world about their military alliance, particularly in the context of ongoing peace talks. ASTRA reports on North Korea's official confirmation of sending military personnel to the war in Ukraine, citing Kim Jong Un's statement that they are heroes on a "sacred mission" in Kursk Oblast and that a monument will be erected in Pyongyang. The Kyiv City Military Administration is issuing memorial posts for fallen defenders, highlighting the impact of the conflict on the city. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine for desertion and illegal border crossing. A phone conversation reportedly took place between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio regarding the "Ukrainian crisis," with both sides emphasizing the importance of prerequisites for negotiations towards a stable peace, and Lavrov noting that some elements of an agreement require further work. Russian authorities have reportedly issued a directive to create an award for individuals who contributed to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast from the Ukrainian Armed Forces, which is a domestic political action related to the conflict. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing international diplomatic and political support for Ukraine, with an emphasis on Germany's independent commitment. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican and its clarification highlights Ukrainian engagement with international political narratives and diplomatic events. Ukraine's Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, indicating ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing. Ukraine's Prosecutor General's Office reports a verdict against former President Yanukovych for organizing illegal border crossing and inciting desertion, sentencing him to 15 years in prison. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation, likely a commentary on Russian negotiation rhetoric. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, and notes that this is being quoted by Russian propagandists.
Information Operations: Ukraine is reporting on Russian drone activity and presenting messages of national resilience and future rebuilding. Ukraine is also highlighting the proposed mechanism for Russian reparations as a step towards accountability. The detailed report on the operation in Belgorod serves as an information operation highlighting Ukrainian capabilities, claimed successes, and Russian losses in border regions. Ukrainian sources are highlighting and tracking incoming Russian drone attacks, providing updated trajectories and affected areas, and confirming air defense activity. Ukrainian sources are reporting on the cancellation of air raid alerts in affected areas. New reporting from Ukrainian sources on the trajectory of Russian attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast serves as a critical information operation to inform the public and facilitate appropriate responses. Reporting on Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast is an information operation highlighting the nature of Russian aerial attacks. RБК-Україна reporting on Donald Trump's explicit call for Putin to sign a deal is a significant information operation, highlighting a potential avenue for de-escalation and a shift in the diplomatic landscape. Reporting on the Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk serves as an information operation highlighting the capability to strike within Russia and potentially impacting Russian domestic perception of security. Reporting on Russian naval activity in the Black and Mediterranean Seas provides information regarding potential threats and informs public awareness of the security situation. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration's reports on Russian strikes and damage serve as an information operation documenting the impact of the conflict on civilian areas. Operational ZSU reporting on the UAV attack on the Bryansk microelectronics factory is an information operation highlighting a claimed successful strike on a military-related target. The Ukrainian General Staff providing estimated daily and cumulative Russian personnel and equipment losses serves as a significant information operation aimed at highlighting Russian attrition and bolstering morale. Operational ZSU amplifying the General Staff's loss figures, using the term "liquidated swamp dwellers," is a more informal and potentially propagandistic information operation. RБК-Україна reporting on the General Staff's loss figures, using the term "minused" and emphasizing the near 950,000 total losses, is another example of information operation leveraging official data. Operational ZSU reporting on North Korea's official confirmation of troop participation in the war in Kursk Oblast, framing it negatively and reporting on the US State Department's reaction, is an information operation to highlight this development and the international response. STERNENKO reporting on the drone attack in Bryansk, highlighting the target and the claimed number of intercepted drones, is an information operation related to Ukrainian deep strikes. Oleksandr Vilkul's reports on the situation in Kryvyi Rih and Nikopol are information operations to inform the local population and demonstrate control. The Ukrainian General Staff providing daily operational summaries and statistics on combat engagements and Russian losses serves as a primary information operation to inform the public and international community about the course of the conflict. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces promoting recruitment for a medical position is an information operation to attract personnel and highlight the importance of medical support. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reporting the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan" and alleging his past atrocities is an information operation aimed at demoralizing enemy forces, highlighting alleged war crimes, and potentially impacting recruitment into specific Russian units. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, providing detailed reports on the impact of Russian attacks on civilian areas, including casualties and damage, serves as an information operation to document the consequences of Russian actions and potentially garner international sympathy and support. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 sharing photos and information about training exercises is an information operation to showcase the readiness and professionalism of Ukrainian forces, and also sharing images and captions emphasizing the use of modern equipment like tactical thermal binoculars to gain an advantage over the enemy, contributing to a narrative of technological superiority and training. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України sharing photos and information about meetings with recently released POWs is an information operation to demonstrate care for personnel, boost morale, and highlight the issue of captivity. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 reporting on Donald Trump's statements regarding peace talks and Ukraine's situation is an information operation disseminating key political developments. STERNENKO sharing a video of Donald Trump's statements about trusting Putin and Crimea is an information operation highlighting significant political claims. ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS reporting on North Korea's official confirmation and framing it as a signal of a military alliance is an information operation. ASTRA reporting on North Korea's official confirmation serves as information dissemination regarding a significant international development. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol, which serves as an information operation highlighting alleged injustices and internal challenges within Russian-controlled territories. The Kyiv City Military Administration issuing memorial posts serves as an information operation to honor fallen soldiers and maintain public remembrance and support. Operational ZSU amplifying the information about the "Epicenter" technical failure serves as information dissemination regarding a significant non-combat event. Operational ZSU sharing a graphic about the daily minute of silence serves as an information operation to encourage public remembrance and reinforce the narrative of the conflict. Operational ZSU sharing a video titled "Нагулявся" which appears to depict a deceased soldier is likely an information operation aimed at demoralizing the opposing forces or highlighting their losses. Operational ZSU sharing a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance is an information operation showcasing Ukrainian capabilities and claimed successes against Russian equipment. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a "Military Audio" acoustic system made from an ammunition box being sent to soldiers, which serves as an information operation to highlight ongoing volunteer support for Ukrainian units and potentially inspire further donations. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reporting on a second verdict against a former President serves as an information operation highlighting efforts to pursue accountability and justice, even for past political figures. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine sharing images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment with a caption emphasizing defense of their home and those who believe in peace, and a call to join, is an information operation aimed at recruitment, highlighting specific unit types and their mission, and promoting a patriotic narrative. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration highlighting the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel undergoing rehabilitation serves as an information operation to demonstrate care for military personnel and veterans and garner public support for this initiative. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro is an information operation highlighting successful counter-intelligence and security operations and portraying Russia as engaging in subversive activities. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine is an information operation highlighting continued international support for Ukraine. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican and its clarification is an information operation related to managing political narratives. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses is an information operation aimed at demoralizing Russian forces and highlighting their casualties. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, highlights potential risks to individuals collaborating with Russian authorities and underscores the human element of the occupation. РБК-Україна publishing a material about Canadian elections and their potential impact on Ukraine is an information operation aimed at informing the Ukrainian audience about international political dynamics and their relevance to Ukrainian interests. STERNENKO fundraising and stating "So the Russians will be alive" is an information operation aimed at motivating donations by emphasizing the perceived effectiveness of the equipment in eliminating enemy forces. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War providing contact information and emphasizing the importance of appointments serves as an information operation to inform and support families of POWs, and to manage expectations regarding communication and assistance. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief is an information operation highlighting accountability and the legal consequences of their actions. Два майора disseminating a recruitment advertisement for military service in the Russian security organs serves as an information operation to attract potential recruits. РБК-Україна reporting on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations is an information operation reporting on Russian diplomatic stances, framed with a dismissive emoji ("🤡").
Humanitarian Situation: The ongoing intense fighting in populated areas raises significant humanitarian concerns. New reporting on drone trajectories towards populated areas in Donetsk Oblast and the report on tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction underscore this ongoing risk and the need for measures to protect civilians. The reported civilian fatality and injury in Bryansk due to a Ukrainian UAV attack are direct ethical concerns related to the impact on non-combatants. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration's report of damage to a house in the oblast highlights the ongoing impact of Russian strikes on civilian infrastructure, although they report no civilian casualties in this instance, but do report partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with heavy artillery and drones, highlighting the ongoing humanitarian impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul's reports on attacks in Nikopol and Marhanets also highlight the impact on the civilian population. A fatal road accident involving an ambulance is reported in Belgorod. Videos circulating in Russian sources allegedly show instances of forced conscription in Ukraine. A civilian bus accident in Vladimir Oblast, Russia, resulting in injuries, underscores broader civilian safety and emergency response considerations, though not directly tied to the conflict zone. An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, officially attributed to an explosive device and being investigated as a murder, is a significant internal security event with humanitarian and security implications, particularly if related to the conflict. The reported pledge by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to pay Syria's debt to the World Bank is an international financial transaction not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine but could influence broader geopolitical and economic dynamics. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine is reportedly investigating the attack on Pavlohrad as a war crime, highlighting the humanitarian impact of such attacks and the legal response. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reporting the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan" and alleging his participation in atrocities in Kyiv and Chernihiv Oblasts in 2022 raises significant human rights concerns regarding alleged war crimes committed by Russian forces. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports a civilian fatality and injury in Kupiansk due to an FPV drone attack and significant livestock losses (22 killed, 30 injured) in Kharkivskyi district due to a drone attack, highlighting the direct humanitarian impact of these attacks. ASTRA reports one person died and one was injured in the attack on Bryansk Oblast, with the injured person hospitalized and damage inflicted on civilian objects and infrastructure, confirming civilian casualties. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol regarding the destruction of their homes and unaffordable new housing, highlighting significant humanitarian issues related to displacement, property rights, and the actions of the occupying authorities. TASS reporting on a planned system for direct payment acceptance by state institutions without bank involvement, planned for 2025, indicating a development in Russian financial infrastructure. The Russian Ministry of Defense confirming the death of the CIA Deputy Director's son, Michael Gloss, and the circumstances surrounding his death raises significant human rights concerns regarding the involvement of foreign nationals in the conflict and the ethical implications of their deaths in combat. The Russian government's reported plan to counter illegal employment involves analyzing the non-working population and involving them in the labor market, which could raise human rights concerns related to forced labor or restrictions on freedom of movement. TASS reports that all individuals involved in the mercenary case in Kyrgyzstan, including a blogger and Russian House employee, have been released under house arrest, which could have implications for the treatment of individuals involved in the conflict and the application of legal processes. The Russian consumer protection agency reporting on the cholera situation is a public health concern. AV БогомаZ reporting on the Ukrainian UAV attack in Bryansk and detailing the damage to civilian objects and infrastructure highlights the humanitarian impact of the attack. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro, who were allegedly preparing terrorist attacks in crowded places using explosive devices and grenades, highlights a significant humanitarian threat that was averted. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video mocking the deaths of Russian soldiers at a cemetery, while an information operation, underscores the human cost of the conflict, albeit presented in a disrespectful manner. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, highlights potential risks to individuals collaborating with Russian authorities and underscores the human element of the occupation. ASTRA's report on the mobilized Russian soldier and his alleged mistreatment, desertion, and facing new charges highlights significant human rights and personnel issues within the Russian military. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War provides support for families of POWs, addressing a significant humanitarian aspect of the conflict. Новости Москвы reporting on a themed ambulance train and ambulance service statistics is related to civilian health and emergency response capabilities, although not directly tied to the conflict. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities addresses humanitarian needs related to rehabilitation and mobility for veterans and injured civilians.

Capabilities, Logistics, and Personnel

Ukrainian Capabilities: Demonstrated capacity for determined defense and inflicting significant losses. Continued ability to track and report on Russian aerial threats and engage drones. Pursuing innovative economic mechanisms for long-term financial sustainability. Conducting cross-border operations in Belgorod Oblast with claimed tactical gains and significant Russian losses. Claimed effective use of small infantry groups, drones, artillery, aviation, high-precision missiles, and particularly UAV operators against Russian armored vehicles. Maintaining air control in specific tactical areas. Effective tracking and reporting of multi-directional, multi-group Russian drone attacks, including updated trajectories and affected oblasts (Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv), and specific areas under attack (Шостка, Zaporizhzhia Oblast/City, Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka), and now including Kyiv Oblast. Confirmed active air defense in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and subsequent cancellation of air raid alerts. New capabilities include tracking and reporting specific drone movements towards key urban centers in Donetsk Oblast (Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mirnohrad) and towards Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod), and towards Cherkasy Oblast (Zolotonosha, Smila, Cherkasy). Reporting on Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction indicates Ukrainian awareness of this type of Russian aerial threat. Demonstrated capability for UAV attacks deep within Russian territory, as evidenced by the attack on Bryansk. New groups of attack UAVs are also reported moving through Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and towards Chernihiv Oblast and Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod and Hadiach), and towards Cherkasy Oblast, and the threat has now extended to Kyiv Oblast. The Ukrainian Navy is capable of monitoring Russian naval activity in the Black Sea and Mediterranean and reporting on potential missile threats. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration demonstrates a capability to collect and report detailed statistics on Russian strikes in the oblast. Ukraine is capable of conducting battle damage assessment and reporting estimated Russian personnel and equipment losses, including detailed categories of destroyed military assets, indicating ongoing capabilities in battle damage assessment. Ukraine has reported the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day, indicating ongoing operational successes in these areas. Ukrainian military administrations at the oblast and city level are capable of providing timely reports on attacks and the local security situation. Ukraine has demonstrated the capability to conduct UAV attacks targeting military-related facilities deep within Russia, as evidenced by the attack on the microelectronics factory in Bryansk. The Ukrainian General Staff reports 168 combat engagements over the past day, indicating the capacity to sustain high-tempo operations. The Ukrainian General Staff reports that aviation, missile troops, and artillery of the Defense Forces struck two areas of personnel concentration, four command posts, and three enemy artillery systems over the past day, indicating successful targeting capabilities. The Ukrainian General Staff reports successfully stopping Russian assaults on multiple axes, including 64 on Pokrovsk, 20 on Lyman, 23 on Kursk, 16 on Kramatorsk, 9 on Toretsk, 13 on Novopavlivsk, 1 on Orikhiv, 1 on Prydniprovskyi, 6 on Kharkiv, 3 on Kupyansk, and 2 on Siversk, demonstrating strong defensive capabilities across a wide front. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade of the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces is reportedly seeking a doctor for their medical post through recruitment, indicating a need for medical personnel and ongoing logistical support requirements. NgP raZVedka reports that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk, suggesting Ukrainian offensive capabilities and planning. Two Mayors reports that the enemy used remote mining on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, indicating Ukrainian defensive tactics. The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine is reportedly investigating the attack on Pavlohrad as a war crime, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings and documentation. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, provides detailed reporting on the impact of Russian attacks, demonstrating a capability to document and assess damage and casualties at the local level. ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 shares photos of training, emphasizing maintaining a high level of preparation, indicating ongoing training and readiness efforts, and also shares images showcasing the use of tactical thermal binoculars and potentially other advanced optical gear, highlighting the capability for night and low-light operations and potentially reconnaissance/surveillance. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України shares photos and information about meetings with recently released POWs undergoing medical and psychological rehabilitation, highlighting the support and care provided to personnel after captivity. Reports indicate a widespread technical failure impacting the "Epicenter" retail chain in Ukraine, with speculation of a cyberattack, which could potentially impact logistical capabilities related to supplies and trade, requiring assessment and potentially mitigation. The company has officially attributed this to "technical problems". Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a video claiming the destruction of a Russian "Ural" vehicle using an FPV drone with guidance, highlighting Ukrainian counter-vehicle capabilities using drones. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video showing a "Military Audio" acoustic system made from an ammunition box being sent to soldiers, highlighting ongoing volunteer support for Ukrainian units. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine, indicating the capacity for legal proceedings against past political figures. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine shares images of what appears to be Ukrainian marines or special forces operating in a water environment with weapons and camouflage, suggesting capabilities in amphibious or covert operations and recruitment efforts for this branch. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is highlighting the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel undergoing rehabilitation, indicating a focus on supporting personnel recovery and addressing logistical needs for those with mobility issues, and noting a significant need for more specialized vehicles. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro demonstrates Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities. Німеччина's Minister of Defense Pistorius stating that Germany will continue military aid to Ukraine even if the US stops, and that the current security agreement could have been obtained earlier, highlights ongoing efforts to secure international military support and assess past opportunities. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican, and subsequently clarifying it, highlights Ukrainian awareness of and engagement with international political narratives. Ukraine's Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War is open for appointments and provides contact information for regional offices, indicating ongoing efforts related to POWs. Оперативний ЗСУ reports on a verdict against former President Yanukovych and his ex-security chief for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing, demonstrating the capacity for legal proceedings against past political figures. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities, indicating efforts to support veterans and others with mobility challenges. Rybar provides a map and analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, identifying specific units, estimated force strength (up to 550 personnel, over 80 high-speed boats, over 60 USVs), attack vectors, and potential staging areas, noting that this has become possible due to Ukraine acquiring USVs with anti-aircraft missiles, indicating a perceived Ukrainian capability for complex maritime operations. Оперативний ЗСУ reports the detention by the SBU of a couple in Dnipro accused of preparing terrorist attacks for Russia, stating they set up six caches of homemade explosive devices and grenades, highlighting Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities.
Russian Capabilities: Sustained capacity for intense offensive operations on multiple axes with claimed localized gains. Continued ability to utilize widespread, multi-vector drone swarms and tactical aviation for guided bomb launches. Use of specific military units in offensive actions (e.g., 1442nd regiment, Akhmat 4th brigade, 35th Combined Arms Army). Continued reliance on external support for some logistical needs (military blogger fundraising). Propaganda efforts to highlight the resilience of personnel. Official and extensive claims of deploying and employing North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast are a major indicator of strengthened military capabilities through international partnership. North Korea's stated continued support, explicitly referencing Article 4 of their defense treaty, signifies a reliable ally and a deeper level of commitment. Russian sources are further promoting this as a model for other allies and even suggesting labor cooperation, citing historical examples, and now advocating for the historical and educational recognition of this operation, highlighting the "unbreakable military alliance." Russian forces in Bryansk Oblast are actively engaged in air defense operations against Ukrainian UAVs and claim to have destroyed "several dozens" of incoming drones. Russia's Ministry of Defense claims a total of 102 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight and a total of 115 across various regions, including 2 over Leningrad Oblast, highlighting their air defense capabilities. Russian military bloggers are utilizing visual media to depict the conflict and are actively disseminating recruitment information for Russian internal affairs organs, including in the "new subjects of the Russian Federation." Russian sources are claiming the presence of French fighters on their side. The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram, indicating a focus on informing the public about potential security threats and likely part of broader efforts to control the information space. New reports from TASS indicate that fines for children under 16 years of age operating electric scooters in Russia has been increased from 10,000 to 30,000 rubles. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units, highlighting their drone capabilities. Reports circulating in Russian military blogger channels about a potential cyber threat targeting military users of the Alpine Quest offline map application via a fake "Pro-version" highlight ongoing cybersecurity concerns. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that Russian air defense units of the Ministry of Defense destroyed "several dozens" of Ukrainian UAVs during a massive attack. Russia's Ministry of Defense claims a total of 102 Ukrainian UAVs were intercepted and destroyed over Bryansk Oblast overnight and a total of 115 across various regions overnight, including 2 over Leningrad Oblast. Russia is actively utilizing information channels, including military bloggers, to recruit Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" and offering financial compensation, indicating a capability and intent for unconventional recruitment and subversion. The Russian Ministry of Defense video showcasing a Mi-28NM helicopter strike highlights the continued use of tactical aviation and precision-guided munitions. A civilian transportation accident involving an overturned bus in Vladimir Oblast, Russia, has resulted in injuries and required medical assistance for approximately 35 people. Russian sources are showcasing mobile groups equipped to counter Ukrainian FPV drones on the Pokrovsk direction, indicating adaptation to Ukrainian drone tactics. The Ukrainian Navy's report indicates Russian naval presence with missile capabilities in the Black Sea and a significant presence in the Mediterranean, highlighting Russia's broader naval reach and potential for strikes from multiple vectors. Russian sources claim to have disrupted almost 260 aerial attacks over major cities in the DNR over the past week, suggesting significant efforts in air defense in that region. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr by UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping, highlighting their drone capabilities in this area. A Russian military blogger shares a video demonstrating a sniper's capability for remote destruction of mines/IEDs. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports 21 aerial strikes, 210 drone attacks, 6 MLRS shellings, and 117 artillery shellings on 12 settlements in the oblast over the past day, indicating a high volume of Russian firepower directed at this region and causing partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS for strikes, highlighting their continued use of this artillery system. Russian airborne forces claim to have destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast, indicating operations in that area. Two Mayors reports that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka, a logistics hub, through Basivka and Loknya, indicating Russian operational objectives and current movement patterns in the Sumy region. Rybar reports claims of Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front, highlighting the continued use and effectiveness of Lancet drones against Ukrainian artillery. Fighterbomber discusses the role of North Korean troops and other military allies, and aspects of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, indicating these are areas of focus within the Russian military information space. Rybar reports that Russian forces have largely restored control over Dzerzhinsk after regrouping and repelling counterattacks, indicating successful tactical maneuvers and persistence. Alautdinov reports that Russian forces are showing very good progress in Sumy Oblast, suggesting momentum and potential tactical advantages in this region. The world's military spending in 2024 reportedly broke Cold War records, reaching $2.718 trillion, a 9.4% increase from 2023, according to SIPRI, highlighting the global financial commitment to military capabilities. TASS reports that all individuals involved in the mercenary case in Kyrgyzstan, including a blogger and Russian House employee, have been released under house arrest, indicating potential Russian influence or legal processes. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan," a platoon commander of the "Akhmat" 4th brigade's "Okhotnik" battalion, on the Kursk direction, indicating the presence of Chechen units in this area. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol regarding the destruction of their homes and unaffordable new housing, highlighting potential internal challenges and resistance within occupied territories. TASS reports on a planned system for direct payment acceptance by state institutions without bank involvement, planned for 2025, indicating a development in Russian financial infrastructure. Russian military bloggers report the use of artillery on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions to support advances. The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed the death of the son of the CIA Deputy Director, Michael Gloss, stating he died in December from artillery shelling in Eastern Europe while aiding a wounded comrade, highlighting the capability of Russian forces to inflict casualties, including on foreign nationals allegedly fighting for them. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, resulting in a fatality and injury. The Russian government has reportedly developed a plan to counter illegal employment by analyzing the non-working population and involving them in the labor market. Russian authorities have reportedly issued a directive to create an award for individuals who contributed to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast from the Ukrainian Armed Forces, indicating a focus on recognizing and rewarding participation in this specific operation. A phone conversation reportedly took place between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and US Senator Rubio regarding the "Ukrainian crisis," with both sides emphasizing the importance of prerequisites for negotiations towards a stable peace, and Lavrov noting that some elements of an agreement require further work, highlighting ongoing diplomatic efforts. TASS reports successful test launches of Kalibr cruise missiles by a Russian nuclear submarine in the Pacific Ocean, showcasing Russian naval capabilities and projecting power. Reports indicate increased demand for learning the Chinese language in Moscow, which while not directly military, could have implications for future personnel and communication capabilities. The Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations is reportedly working with Iranian authorities to extinguish the fire in the port of Shahid Rajaee, demonstrating a capability for international humanitarian response. Rosaviatsia reports that 17 flights were diverted due to restrictions at Pulkovo Airport, indicating potential disruptions to civilian air travel due to security measures. The Russian consumer protection agency reports a stable cholera situation in Russia, which is a domestic health report. Военкор Котенок reports on the number of Ukrainian drones shot down overnight, citing the Russian MoD, highlighting Russian air defense capabilities and the scale of Ukrainian drone attacks. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming successful strikes by Russian aviation with FAB-500 bombs on Ukrainian troop and equipment concentrations in Kharkiv Oblast and promoting the narrative of corruption within the Ukrainian mobilization process. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports on the attempted offensive through Basivka and claims significant Ukrainian losses, indicating ongoing combat and Russian capabilities in conducting assaults in this area of Sumy Oblast. Rybar provides a map and analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, identifying specific units, estimated force strength, attack vectors, and staging areas, and notes that this has become possible due to Ukraine acquiring USVs with anti-aircraft missiles, indicating Russian intelligence and planning for potential Ukrainian offensive actions. Kotsnews sharing articles from Western media that are critical of supporting Ukraine or question the origins of the conflict, serves to bolster Russian narratives and potentially influence Western public opinion. ТАСС reports the sentencing of a participant in a Ukrainian terrorist organization preparing a terrorist attack against a defense enterprise in Izhevsk is an information operation to portray Ukraine as engaging in terrorism and justify Russian security measures. ТАСС reports the arrest of a deputy head of the capital repair fund in Kursk Oblast for bribery is a domestic crime report. STERNENKO shares a tweet from a Trump associate stating that Russians are not enemies and aid to Ukraine should stop, contrasted with a quote attributed to Dugin calling for readiness for war with the US, highlights a diverse range of opinions within Russia and the US and could be used to support various information operations. ТАСС reports the Russian government plans to establish criminal liability for "droppers" which is a domestic legal development. РБК-Україна reporting on the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican, and subsequently clarifying it, is related to reporting on high-level diplomatic interactions. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro highlights Ukrainian counter-intelligence and security capabilities. Операція Z / Военкоры Русской Весны sharing information about the record increase in global military spending highlights Russia's financial commitment to military capabilities and seeks to contextualize its own military spending within a global trend. Alex Parker Returns commenting on Kyrgyzstan receiving S-300s and questioning who they are defending against is an information operation questioning the intentions of a former Soviet state and potentially linking it to Russia's sphere of influence or perceived threats. AV БогомаZ, Governor of Bryansk Oblast, reporting on the Ukrainian UAV attack and detailing the damage to civilian objects and infrastructure, is an information operation aimed at condemning Ukraine and justifying Russian actions. Два майора sharing videos and information about fundraising efforts and reporting from the front lines highlights continued logistical needs and efforts to support Russian troops. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses, while an information operation, highlights the human cost of the conflict. ТАСС reporting on Trump's statement about Zelensky seeking more weapons at the Vatican meeting serves as an information operation to highlight Ukraine's reliance on Western aid. ТАСС reporting on the governor of Zaporizhzhia Oblast warning about fake messages is an information operation to counter disinformation. Colonelcassad reports on a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV with speeds of 400-500 km/h starting to strike targets in Ukraine, suggesting a new or modified UAV capability. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroying Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction, highlighting specific unit involvement and targeting. ASTRA reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier, highlighting potential issues within the Russian military regarding treatment of personnel. Два майора is disseminating a recruitment advertisement for military service under contract with the Russian security organs, indicating ongoing personnel recruitment efforts for specific roles and locations, including "new regions." ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations, indicating Russia's public stance on diplomatic progress. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon if needed, suggesting potential for future high-level contact. ТАСС reports that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty, reinforcing the narrative of a strong military alliance. ТАСС reports that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty, highlighting the mutual defense aspect of the treaty. Новости Москвы reporting on a themed ambulance train and ambulance service statistics is related to civilian health and emergency response capabilities, though not directly tied to the conflict. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data, which is part of information control regarding operations in border areas. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned, providing information on future high-level interactions. Kotsnews reports on the large drone attack on Bryansk, attributing it to Ukraine and highlighting civilian casualties, which is part of their information operation framing Ukraine as targeting civilians. ТАСС reports that the President of the Republic of Congo will attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day events in Moscow, indicating international attendance at a significant Russian event. Лавров stated that dialogue between Russia and the US on a Ukraine settlement continues, and Moscow hopes for mutually acceptable results, stating that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative, clearly outlining Russia's non-negotiable demands for a settlement. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, noting it is being quoted by Russian propagandists, suggesting awareness of Russian information operations.
Casualties and Losses: Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses on Russian forces on the Pokrovsk direction. Russian sources highlight a soldier surviving a close call with an artillery shell. A paramedic was killed in a road accident in Belgorod. Ukraine claims significant Russian losses in the Belgorod operational area, including the withdrawal of the 128th brigade and a battalion of the 155th marine brigade for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. North Korea and Russia officially claim the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast, with North Korea highlighting their "mass heroism" and the operation's success. A significant propaganda claim from Russian sources alleges the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia. Russian sources claim French fighters are present and fighting for Russia. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle, implying a loss for Ukrainian forces. The governor of Bryansk Oblast reports that a civilian was killed and another injured as a result of a Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk. The Russian Ministry of Defense video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian temporary deployment point suggests claimed losses for Ukrainian forces in that area. Approximately 35 people were injured and required medical assistance in a civilian bus accident in Vladimir Oblast, Russia. A Russian source claims Ukrainian forces lost over 4.9 thousand military personnel and mercenaries on the LPR front lines over the past week, which if verified would represent significant personnel losses for Ukraine in that area. Russian sources claim that infantry of the 1442nd regiment successfully repelled four counterattacks near Stupochky, implying Ukrainian personnel losses in these engagements. Russian sources claim the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr by UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping, implying losses for Ukrainian forces in that area. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports no civilian casualties in the oblast over the past day despite the high volume of Russian strikes. Ukraine claims 1160 personnel losses for Russia over the past day, bringing the total claimed Russian losses to almost 950,000 personnel since the start of the full-scale invasion. Ukraine also claims the destruction of 4 tanks, 13 armored combat vehicles, 31 artillery systems, 72 operational-tactical level drones, and 105 vehicles and fuel tanks over the past day. An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, has been officially attributed to an explosive device and is being investigated as a murder, with several Russian military bloggers claiming the deceased was Major General Yaroslav Moskalik, Deputy Head of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff. If confirmed, this would represent a significant loss of a high-ranking Russian military official. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS to strike Ukrainian personnel and equipment near Chasiv Yar, implying Ukrainian losses in this area. Rybar reports claims of Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction, suggesting efforts to reinforce flanks for a northern offensive. Rybar reports claims of Ukrainian forces preparing for an offensive in the Dzerzhinsk area. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv on the Zaporizhzhia front, implying equipment losses for Ukraine. Two Mayors reports that the enemy attempted an assault on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast with up to 6 AFVs and two platoons of motorized infantry, implying potential losses for Ukraine if the assault was unsuccessful. Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reports the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan," a platoon commander of the "Akhmat" 4th brigade's "Okhotnik" battalion, on the Kursk direction, alleging his participation in atrocities in Kyiv and Chernihiv Oblasts in 2022. This indicates a loss of a Russian officer, potentially a member of a notable unit. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports one civilian fatality and one injured in Kupiansk due to an FPV drone attack, and significant livestock losses (22 killed, 30 injured) in Kharkivskyi district due to a drone attack. ASTRA reports one person died and one was injured in the attack on Bryansk Oblast, with the injured person hospitalized and damage inflicted on civilian objects and infrastructure, confirming civilian impact. Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України highlights the medical and psychological rehabilitation support provided to recently released POWs, indicating ongoing efforts to support personnel after captivity. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital, indicating a civilian fatality and injury. Russian military bloggers report the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew and a UAV control point by artillery fire on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions, implying Ukrainian personnel and equipment losses. The Russian Ministry of Defense has confirmed the death of the son of the CIA Deputy Director, Michael Gloss, stating he died in December from artillery shelling in Eastern Europe while aiding a wounded comrade, confirming a fatality among foreign nationals allegedly fighting for Russia. The Kyiv City Military Administration is issuing memorial posts for fallen defenders from Kyiv, highlighting Ukrainian personnel losses. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President of Ukraine for desertion, indicating legal consequences for certain actions. Дневник Десантника shares a video promoting the narrative of corruption within the Ukrainian mobilization process, which, while an information operation, suggests potential issues with personnel recruitment and retention. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports that the enemy attempted to advance through Basivka and will have a large number of losses, implying claimed Ukrainian personnel losses in this ongoing assault. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses, which highlights Russian personnel losses. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, highlights potential risks to individuals collaborating with Russian authorities and underscores the human element of the occupation. ASTRA reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier, Sergey Kulikov, who allegedly suffered beatings and threats in the military, deserted, received a suspended sentence, and is now facing a new criminal case for refusing to return to his unit, highlighting potential human rights violations and challenges within the Russian military personnel management. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators destroying 3 Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction, implying equipment losses for Ukraine. Kotsnews reports a civilian fatality in Bryansk due to a drone attack.

Ethical Considerations and Compliance

Intense fighting in and around settlements raises significant concerns about civilian casualties and collateral damage. New reporting on drone trajectories towards populated areas in Donetsk Oblast and the report on tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction underscore this ongoing risk and the need for measures to protect civilians. The reported civilian fatality and injury in Bryansk due to a Ukrainian UAV attack are direct ethical concerns related to the impact on non-combatants. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration's report of damage to a house in the oblast highlights the ongoing impact of Russian strikes on civilian infrastructure, even if civilian casualties were not reported in this instance, and reports of partial power, communication, and internet outages in one community raise concerns about the impact on essential services. The head of the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast Military Administration reports attacks on Nikopol and the Marhanets community with heavy artillery and drones, highlighting the ongoing humanitarian impact on civilian areas in that region. Oleksandr Vilkul's reports on attacks in Nikopol and Marhanets also highlight the impact on the civilian population.
The proposed mechanism for Russian reparations aligns with holding Russia accountable under international law.
Claims of military operations in border regions and potential crossings raise questions about adherence to international borders and sovereignty.
The official confirmation of deploying North Korean troops to assist Russia within a defense agreement raises significant concerns about potential implications for international norms, the international arms trade, and adherence to UN sanctions, and may be a violation of international law depending on the nature and scope of the deployment. North Korea's stated continued support, explicitly referencing Article 4 of their treaty, reinforces these concerns and indicates a potentially deeper military alliance with broader implications. The Russian promotion of the historical and educational significance of this operation further embeds this potentially problematic alliance within their national narrative. The confirmation from North Korea's leader and the announcement of a monument underscore the official and potentially problematic nature of this military cooperation and highlight the ethical implications of states entering into military alliances that may violate international norms or contribute to conflict. The US State Department's reported statement expressing concern over North Korea's assistance to Russia and calling for it to cease highlights the international ethical concerns surrounding this military cooperation. North Korea's official confirmation of sending military personnel to the war against Ukraine, particularly given the context of ongoing peace talks, raises ethical concerns about escalating the conflict and undermining diplomatic efforts. Путин's personal thanks to North Korean units and his statement that their actions were in accordance with international law are part of an information operation to legitimize a potentially problematic military alliance and their involvement in the conflict, raising ethical concerns regarding the distortion of international legal principles. TASS reporting that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty and that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty further reinforces this potentially problematic alliance and its ethical implications.
Antisemitic content in a Russian source is a concerning ethical issue.
The TASS report attributing to Trump a claim that Zelenskyy is ready to abandon claims to Crimea, if unfounded, could be a deliberate attempt to manipulate public opinion and pressure Ukraine, raising ethical concerns regarding information warfare. RБК-Україна also highlighting this, while adding other details from Trump's statement, contributes to the dissemination of this potentially unverified claim. Donald Trump's explicit call for Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," while potentially aimed at de-escalation, raises ethical considerations regarding the timing and potential impact on Ukraine's negotiating position and sovereignty. Trump's reported statements about Zelenskyy being ready to give up Crimea, if inaccurate, could be considered disinformation with ethical implications for peace negotiations. The clarification by РБК-Україна regarding the alleged incident between Trump and Macron at the Vatican is an effort to address potentially misleading information, which aligns with ethical considerations regarding accurate reporting.
Videos circulating in Russian sources allegedly show instances of forced conscription in Ukraine raise concerns about potential human rights violations and the depiction of such events.
The sharing of images depicting damaged vehicles and armed personnel in destroyed buildings, while potentially serving as situational reporting, also contributes to the normalization and visual representation of conflict and destruction.
The propaganda claim regarding the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia is a clear attempt at disinformation and psychological warfare, raising significant ethical concerns regarding the manipulation of personal tragedy for political purposes. The Russian Ministry of Defense confirming the death of the CIA Deputy Director's son, Michael Gloss, and the circumstances surrounding his death is a highly sensitive ethical issue related to the public disclosure of information about a fatality in conflict, particularly given his alleged affiliation.
The reported scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes highlighted by the Russian МВД raise ethical concerns regarding financial fraud and exploitation, potentially exacerbated by the conflict environment.
The report on a potential cyber threat targeting military map applications, while framed as a warning, also highlights the ethical implications of potential cyber espionage and targeting of military personnel through digital means.
Russia's attempt to recruit Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" by offering financial incentives raises ethical concerns related to inciting rebellion, potentially exploiting vulnerable individuals, and engaging in subversion within another sovereign state.
A civilian bus accident in Vladimir Oblast, while a domestic incident, highlights the broader safety and emergency response needs within Russia, which are not directly conflict-related but are part of the overall operational environment.
The Israeli PM's statement regarding Iran's nuclear infrastructure, while not directly linked to the conflict, involves significant ethical considerations regarding nuclear proliferation and international security.
The reported Ukrainian UAV attack on a military microelectronics factory in Bryansk raises ethical considerations regarding the targeting of facilities that may have civilian functions or proximity to civilian areas, requiring careful assessment of potential collateral damage. ASTRA reports that one person died and one was injured in the Bryansk attack, with damage to civilian objects and infrastructure, confirming civilian impact and raising significant ethical concerns. AV БогомаZ, Governor of Bryansk Oblast, reporting on the Ukrainian UAV attack, framing it as a "fascist" terrorist attack on civilian objects and infrastructure, and detailing the damage, raises ethical concerns about the use of inflammatory language and potentially misleading information. Kotsnews reporting on the civilian fatality in Bryansk and framing the attack as "koshemarit mirnoe naselenie" (terrorizing the civilian population) reinforces a narrative that raises ethical concerns about the portrayal of events.
An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, officially attributed to an explosive device and being investigated as a murder, is a significant internal security event with potential ethical implications if related to the conflict, particularly regarding targeted killings.
The reported pledge by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to pay Syria's debt to the World Bank is an international financial transaction not directly related to the conflict in Ukraine but could influence broader geopolitical and economic dynamics.
The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine is reportedly investigating the attack on Pavlohrad as a war crime, highlighting the humanitarian impact of such attacks and the legal response.
Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits" reporting the death of Umkhanov Buvaisar "Tarzan" and alleging his participation in atrocities in Kyiv and Chernihiv Oblasts in 2022 raises significant human rights concerns regarding alleged war crimes committed by Russian forces. Reporting on alleged war crimes is ethically important for documentation and accountability.
Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reporting on civilian casualties and livestock losses due to Russian attacks highlights the direct ethical implications of these attacks on civilian life and property.
ASTRA reports one person died and one was injured in the attack on Bryansk Oblast, with the injured person hospitalized and damage inflicted on civilian objects and infrastructure, confirming civilian casualties. ASTRA reports on the ongoing protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol regarding the destruction of their homes and unaffordable new housing, highlighting significant humanitarian issues related to displacement, property rights, and the actions of the occupying authorities in rebuilding the city without adequately addressing the needs of the original residents. Framing this as a "raider seizure" highlights the perceived injustice and ethical violations.
TASS reporting on the new payment system planned for state institutions, while seemingly technical, could have ethical implications related to transparency, accountability, and potential for misuse of funds, which are relevant in the context of occupied territories and potential corruption. Reports indicate a crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, where a drone hit a residential building, injuring a man who later died while being transported to the hospital, raising significant ethical concerns related to civilian casualties from drone strikes. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reporting on a second verdict against a former President for desertion and illegal border crossing highlights legal consequences for actions potentially related to the conflict, raising ethical considerations regarding accountability for past actions. The Russian government's reported plan to counter illegal employment by analyzing the non-working population and involving them in the labor market could have ethical implications related to labor rights and individual freedoms. TASS reports that all individuals involved in the mercenary case in Kyrgyzstan, including a blogger and Russian House employee, have been released under house arrest, which could have implications for the treatment of individuals involved in the conflict and the application of legal processes. The Russian consumer protection agency reporting on the cholera situation is a public health concern. ТАСС reporting on the sentence of a participant in a Ukrainian terrorist organization preparing a terrorist attack against a defense enterprise in Izhevsk raises concerns about alleged terrorist activities and the application of justice, with ethical considerations regarding the fairness of the legal process. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС sharing a video of a tractor on a cemetery of deceased Russian soldiers and mocking the losses raises serious ethical concerns regarding disrespect for the deceased and potentially inciting hatred. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 sharing a video and commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, while an information operation, includes inflammatory language and a call for the individual's liquidation by local residents, raising significant ethical concerns about inciting violence and potential war crimes. ASTRA's report on the mobilized Russian soldier and his alleged mistreatment (beatings, threats), desertion, and facing new criminal charges raises serious ethical and human rights concerns within the Russian military. The allegations of being beaten with a rubber baton, threatened with being "zeroed out" (killed) on the front, and being forced to return to the same unit that allegedly mistreated him highlight potential systemic issues related to discipline, accountability, and the treatment of personnel. The Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War providing contact information for regional offices demonstrates an ethical commitment to supporting families of POWs and addressing humanitarian concerns related to captivity. Оперативний ЗСУ reporting on a verdict against former President Yanukovych for inciting desertion and illegal border crossing highlights legal accountability for actions related to the conflict. Два майора disseminating a recruitment advertisement for military service in Russian security organs that includes service in "new regions" (occupied territories) raises ethical concerns about recruitment practices in occupied territories and the potential involvement of these organs in maintaining control and suppressing dissent. The emphasis on potential for "career growth" and obtaining an "officer rank" for service in complex operational environments, and monetary incentives, could be seen as ethically questionable recruitment tactics given the risks involved. Лавров stating that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an "imperative" for a settlement has ethical implications regarding the violation of international law and the principle of territorial integrity. РБК-Україна reporting on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv, framed with a dismissive emoji, raises ethical considerations regarding the use of emotional language in reporting on sensitive diplomatic issues.

Potential Indicators

Independent verification of Russian claims of territorial gains in Uspenivka, Novoleksandrivka, Nadezhdinka, Dyliyivka, Shcherbinivka, Bohatyr, Oleshnya, Loknya, Belovody, Tarasovka, Berezovka, Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Elizavetovka, Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, Zelyonaya Dolina, Vodyane Druhe, and Berezivka, and the unconfirmed claim regarding islands between Krynky and Kazachi Laheri and the southern part of Tyahynka. Independent verification of Russian claims of repelling counterattacks and consolidating positions near Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction. Independent verification of Russian claims of largely restoring control over Dzerzhinsk and advances towards Dyliivka. Independent verification of Russian advances towards Yunakivka through Basivka and Loknya. Independent verification of Alautdinov's report of very good Russian progress in Sumy Oblast. Independent verification of DeepState's report of Russian capture of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast. Independent verification of the claimed Russian advance of over 1 km east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. Observation of any further Russian offensive actions through Basivka. Independent verification of Russian claims of destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction. Observation of any changes in the frontline around Hryhorivka and Siversk.
Independent verification of Ukrainian claims of control over a border strip near Popivka and Demidivka in Belgorod Oblast and the claimed Russian losses in that area, including unit withdrawals and destruction of armored vehicles. Independent verification of NgP raZVedka's report that Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk. Observation of any Ukrainian offensive actions in the Dzerzhinsk or Basivka areas. Observation of ongoing training activities of the 127th Separate Territorial Defense Brigade and other units. Observation of any further actions or recruitment related to Ukrainian marine or special forces units in water environments. Independent verification of the planned or attempted Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea as described by Rybar, including any confirmed unit movements or staging activities.
Any observable impact of the proposed Ukrainian reparations mechanism.
Changes in the intensity, targeting, or trajectory of Russian drone activity, particularly near the Kharkiv/Sumi border, in central Ukraine, west/south of Kharkiv, and now towards Chuhuiv, Izium, Nova Vodolaha, Zmiiv, Poltava Oblast (Mirgorod, Hadiach), and Pavlohrad in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Synelnykove), and northern Sumi Oblast towards Chernihiv Oblast, as well as towards Donetsk (Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mirnohrad) and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts and Шостка, and towards Cherkasy Oblast (Zolotonosha, Smila, Cherkasy), and Kyiv Oblast. Subsequent cancellation of air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast is an indicator that the immediate aerial threat in that area has subsided. Continued tracking of drone movements towards key urban centers in Donetsk, Poltava, Cherkasy, and Kyiv Oblasts will be crucial. Confirmation of Russian tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs (КАБів) on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction and any observable impact of these strikes. Continued reporting on the movement of new groups of attack UAVs through Kharkiv, Sumy, and towards Chernihiv, Poltava (Mirgorod and Hadiach), Cherkasy, and Kyiv Oblasts. Independent verification of the number and types of strikes reported by the Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration and the extent of power, communication, and internet outages. Independent verification of the number and type of Russian drone attacks reported in Nikopol and the Marhanets community. Independent verification of the numbers reported by the Ukrainian General Staff regarding Russian air strikes, KABs, shellings, and kamikaze drones over the past day. Independent verification of the reported Russian Lancet drone strike in Orikhiv. Independent verification of the reported Ukrainian UAV attack on the Bryansk military microelectronics factory and the extent of any damage. Further reports on civilian casualties and livestock losses in Kharkiv and Izium districts due to Russian attacks. Further reports and independent verification of the explosion near Cherkasy. Further reports and independent verification of the drone crash and civilian casualty in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Any observable impact or continuation of temporary flight restrictions at Pulkovo Airport and the number of diverted flights. Independent verification of the reported number of Ukrainian drones shot down by Russian air defense. Independent verification of claimed Russian strikes with FAB-500 bombs in Kharkiv Oblast and their impact. Observation of any further claims or evidence of Russian use of the "Banderol" reactive UAV. Observation of any further "Geranium" drone activity in Zaporizhzhia, Sumy (Shostka), and Kharkiv.
Further details or independent evidence regarding the claimed Russian advances in the Sumi region. Independent verification of the use of remote mining by Ukrainian forces on the Basivka direction. Any observable impact or continuation of the attempted Russian assault on the Basivka direction.
Continued or increased fundraising by Russian military bloggers.
Independent reporting on the humanitarian situation in areas experiencing the most intense fighting. Further reports on civilian casualties and damage in Bryansk. Further reports on the investigation into the attack on Pavlohrad. Further information regarding the protests and demands of residents in occupied Mariupol and any response from Russian authorities. Further reports on civilian casualties and damage in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Any observable impact of the scaling up of social taxi services for veterans and military personnel. Further information or independent verification regarding the allegations of mistreatment of the mobilized Russian soldier as reported by ASTRA, including any official investigations or outcomes. Any changes in the operations or visibility of the Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War or its regional offices. Any changes in services or demand related to accessible driving schools for people with disabilities.
Independent verification of the presence, numbers, specific roles, and claimed "mass heroism" of North Korean troops supporting Russian forces, any evidence of their operations extending beyond Russian territory, the implementation of plans for a monument in Pyongyang, and any observable impact of their deployment on the battlefield or in occupied territories. Observation of any construction or progress on the proposed monument in Pyongyang. Further statements or actions from the US State Department or other international bodies regarding North Korea's military assistance to Russia. Further official confirmations or denials from North Korea or Russia regarding troop deployments. Further statements or actions from the US State Department or other international bodies regarding Putin's thanks to North Korean units and claims of their actions being in accordance with international law. Any observable changes in the scope or nature of the Russia-North Korea defense treaty or its application.
Any observable shifts in Russian tactics or operational focus as a result of claimed losses in the Belgorod area.
Further statements or clarification from Donald Trump, Ukrainian officials, or other international actors regarding the reported claims about negotiations and Crimea and the reported Vatican meeting. Further reactions or responses from the involved parties regarding Donald Trump's explicit call for Putin to sign a deal and his statements regarding Zelenskyy and Crimea. Any follow-up or commentary on the alleged Trump-Macron incident at the Vatican.
Independent verification of claims regarding forced conscription in Ukraine.
Further reports on discussions between Lavrov and other foreign officials regarding the "Ukrainian crisis." Any further statements from Lavrov or US officials regarding the continuation of dialogue and potential for mutually acceptable results.
Independent verification of Russian air defense activity and claimed interceptions of Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast, and independent confirmation of civilian casualties and damage in Bryansk.
Any observable impact of the recruitment drive for Russian internal affairs organs in the occupied territories.
Independent verification or refutation of the claims regarding French fighters operating for Russia. Further information or evidence related to the alleged death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia. Any official statements or investigations from US authorities regarding the death of Michael Gloss.
Further reporting or official statements regarding the alleged scam attempts in Telegram highlighted by the Russian МВД.
Independent verification of the destruction of the Western-made armored vehicle claimed in the new Russian video.
Observation of any impact of the increased fines for children operating electric scooters on traffic or public behavior in Russia.
Any confirmed instances of malware targeting military map applications used by either side, and any observable impact on operational security.
Any observable impact of Russian measures targeting "foreign agents," particularly on the information space or funding for independent media/individuals.
Any observable impact or uptake from the Russian recruitment effort targeting Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance."
Independent verification of the destruction of the Ukrainian temporary deployment point as claimed in the Russian Ministry of Defense video.
Further reporting on the civilian bus accident in Vladimir Oblast and any wider implications for transportation infrastructure or emergency response capacity in Russia.
Any changes in the reported number or posture of Russian missile carriers in the Black Sea and Mediterranean Sea. Further reporting or observation of Russian naval exercises or missile launches, particularly from submarines, as reported by TASS.
Independent verification of Russian claims regarding Ukrainian personnel losses on the LPR front lines. Independent verification of Ukraine's claims of daily Russian personnel and equipment losses, particularly the high reported numbers across various categories.
Independent verification of Rybar's analysis of potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, including the identified units, force strength, attack vectors, and staging areas. Observation of any signs of preparation for such an operation.
Independent verification of Russian claims of disrupting almost 260 aerial attacks over major cities in the DNR over the past week.
Independent verification of Russian claims regarding the destruction of Ukrainian infantry and equipment in the settlement of Bohatyr.
Further examples or confirmation of Russian military snipers utilizing remote means to destroy mines or IEDs.
Independent verification of the cause and circumstances of the explosion in Balashikha, Russia, and official confirmation of the identity of the deceased, particularly if it is Major General Yaroslav Moskalik. Any official statements or investigations from Ukrainian authorities regarding alleged involvement in the Balashikha explosion.
Any observable impact of the reported pledge by Saudi Arabia and Qatar to pay Syria's debt to the World Bank on Syria's financial situation or international relations. Further developments in the Pakistan-India tensions and the proposed investigation in Kashmir. Observation of any changes in global military spending trends as reported by SIPRI. Any recruitment success for the medical position in the 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade. Independent verification of alleged atrocities committed by Russian forces as reported by Anatolii Shtefan "Shtirlits." Observation of any implementation or impact of the planned system for direct payment acceptance by state institutions in Russia. Further reports or independent verification of the technical failure affecting the "Epicenter" retail chain in Ukraine, including the cause and extent of the impact.
Independent verification of Russian military bloggers' claims regarding the destruction of a Ukrainian mortar crew and a UAV control point by artillery fire on the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions.
Further information regarding the second verdict against the former President of Ukraine and any potential legal or political implications.
Any observable impact or public reaction to the Russian government's plan to counter illegal employment.
Any observable actions or statements related to the proposed award for contributions to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast.
Further details or outcomes of the phone conversation between Lavrov and Rubio, and any subsequent diplomatic contacts.
Further reports or observation of increased demand for learning the Chinese language in Russia.
Further reports or observation of the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations' activities in assisting with the fire in the Iranian port.
Rosaviatsia reporting on flight diversions at Pulkovo Airport is likely information management related to a security incident.
Further reports on the cholera situation in Russia.
Independent verification of the reported detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro and the details of their alleged plot.
Continued reporting on Germany's commitment to military aid to Ukraine and any concrete actions taken regardless of US policy.
Observation of any reaction or response to the comments made by Donald Trump's associate and Dugin as reported by STERNENKO.
Observation of any further developments related to the alleged attempted offensive through Basivka and the reported Ukrainian losses in that area.
Independent verification of claimed Russian advances east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk and any impact on the frontline in that area.
Observation of any reaction or response to the video and commentary shared by БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС regarding the cemetery of Russian soldiers.
Observation of any reaction or response to the video and commentary shared by Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 regarding the pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka, and any impact on the individual or local situation.
Observation of any impact of the recruitment drive for military service with Russian security organs, particularly in the "new regions."
Any observable signal or action from Kyiv indicating readiness for direct negotiations with Moscow, as stated by Peskov.
Any further high-level contacts or planned meetings between Putin and Trump or their representatives.
Any observable changes in the level or nature of Russian support for North Korea, or North Korean military actions in accordance with the mutual defense treaty.
Any observable impact or public reaction to the accessible driving schools for people with disabilities.
Any observable activity or impact related to the currency exchange and international transfer service shared by Alex Parker Returns, especially concerning financial flows related to the conflict.
Any further information regarding the themed ambulance train in the Moscow Metro.
Any changes in Russian rhetoric or information control regarding Ukrainian military presence or actions in border areas, following Peskov's comments.
Any observable changes in the level or nature of contact between Putin and Kim Jong Un.
Any observable impact or public reaction to STERNENKO's fundraising appeal using the term "deficit of Rusoreza."
Any further reports or observations related to the President of the Republic of Congo's attendance at the Victory Day events in Moscow.
Any reaction or response from the US or other international actors to Lavrov's statement that recognition of occupied territories as Russian is an "imperative" for a settlement.
Any observable impact of the claimed destruction of Ukrainian vehicles and heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction.

Updated Situation

The conflict persists with intense ground combat, primarily concentrated on the Pokrovsk and Sumy directions, where Russia claims further localized gains. Russia also claims new advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodyazi, and Zelyonaya Dolina, and consolidation near Stupochky on the Chasiv Yar direction. DeepState reports the capture of Nadiyivka in Donetsk Oblast by Russian forces. Russia continues unconfirmed claims on the Kherson direction. Ukrainian forces report repelling a high number of Russian assaults across multiple fronts, with the most intense fighting on Pokrovsk (64 attacks repelled), followed by Lyman (20), Kramatorsk (16), Novopavlivsk (13), Toretsk (9), and Kursk (23). Ukrainian defenders also stopped attacks on the Kharkiv (6) and Kupyansk (3) directions and two offensive actions on the Siversk direction. No combat clashes were reported on the Huliaipole direction, with single Russian attempts on the Orikhiv and Prydniprovskyi directions. No signs of enemy offensive group formation were noted on the Volyn and Polissia directions. Rybar reports claimed Russian advances near Vodyane Druhe and Berezivka on the Konstantinovka direction and claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive in this area.

A significant development is the official confirmation by both Russia and North Korea of the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast, framed as allied support under their defense treaty. This is being heavily promoted by Russian sources for historical and educational purposes, emphasizing the "unbreakable military alliance." North Korean leader Kim Jong Un reportedly called this a "sacred mission" and announced a monument. Putin personally thanked the North Korean units, highlighting their heroism, training, and claimed adherence to international law. The US State Department expressed concern and called for North Korea to cease its assistance. TASS reports that the participation of North Korean military showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty and that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed.

Aerial bombardment continues with significant drone activity across multiple Ukrainian Oblasts, including Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv, and now Kyiv. Air raid alerts were active and air defense engaged in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, though alerts have been cancelled. Ukrainian sources report tactical aviation launching guided aerial bombs on Donetsk Oblast and the Kursk direction. A significant Ukrainian UAV attack targeted Bryansk Oblast, reportedly a military microelectronics factory, resulting in a civilian fatality and injury and claims of extensive drone destruction by Russian air defense (102 over Bryansk, 115 total overnight). A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone, and showcases mobile groups fighting FPV drones. The Ukrainian Navy reports Russian missile carriers in the Black Sea (up to 6 Kalibrs) and Mediterranean Sea (up to 8 Kalibrs). The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports a high volume of Russian strikes on civilian areas over the past day, causing damage and partial outages. Temporary flight restrictions at Pulkovo Airport resulted in 17 flight diversions. Russian military bloggers attribute overnight explosions in Zaporizhzhia, Sumy (Shostka), and Kharkiv to "Geranium" drones. Russian airborne forces reportedly used Grad MLRS near Chasiv Yar and destroyed temporary deployment points in Kherson Oblast. Russian sources claim a "Lancet" drone destroyed a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system in Orikhiv. Two Mayors reports remote mining by Ukraine and an attempted Russian assault with AFVs and motorized infantry on the Basivka direction in Sumy Oblast, and that Russian forces are advancing towards Yunakivka through Basivka and Loknya. Oleh Syniehubov, Head of the Kharkiv Oblast State Administration, reports a civilian fatality and injury in Kupiansk from a drone and significant damage/livestock losses in Izium and Kharkiv districts from drone/artillery attacks. A drone crash in Synelnykivskyi district, Dnipropetropetrovsk Oblast, resulted in a civilian fatality and injury. Colonelcassad reports that a Russian "Banderol" reactive UAV with speeds of 400-500 km/h has started striking targets in Ukraine, particularly Odesa Oblast. Воин DV reports Russian UAV operators of the "Vostok" grouping's 35th Combined Arms Army destroyed Ukrainian vehicles and a heavy machine gun on the Polohy direction.

Information operations are intense, with Russia highlighting claimed gains, allied support (especially from North Korea), and portraying alleged Ukrainian actions negatively. Ukraine is focused on defense, reporting Russian losses, and seeking reparations. Donald Trump has explicitly called on Putin to "stop shooting, sit down and sign a deal," expressing belief in existing conditions for a deal, stating he will decide on trusting Putin soon, and suggesting Zelenskyy understands Crimea will remain Russian, attributing the conflict to NATO aspirations. The confirmed presence of North Korean troops significantly alters the external support dynamic. Russian military bloggers contribute to IO, promoting recruitment, reporting cyber threats, and highlighting the impact of measures against "foreign agents." New propaganda claims include alleged French fighters for Russia and the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia (confirmed by Russian MoD). Russia is also recruiting Ukrainian citizens for a "people's resistance" with financial incentives. An explosion in Balashikha, Russia, attributed to an explosive device, is being investigated as murder, with some Russian milbloggers claiming the deceased is Major General Yaroslav Moskalik, Deputy Head of the Main Operations Directorate of the General Staff. International developments include Israeli PM advocating for dismantling Iranian nuclear infrastructure, Saudi Arabia/Qatar pledging to pay Syria's debt, and Pakistan offering India a plan to prevent a new regional war. Global military spending reportedly reached a Cold War record in 2024. The 46th Separate Airmobile Brigade is recruiting a doctor. Rybar details fighting in the Dzerzhinsk (Toretsk) area, claiming Russian forces largely restored control and are advancing towards Dyliivka, and claims Ukrainian forces are preparing for an offensive in this area. Alautdinov reports very good Russian progress in Sumy Oblast. ASTRA confirms civilian casualties in Bryansk and reports on the case of a mobilized Russian soldier facing new charges after desertion and alleged mistreatment. Ukraine's Prosecutor General is investigating the Pavlohrad attack as a war crime. TASS reports release of individuals in the Kyrgyzstan mercenary case. NgP raZVedka reports Ukrainian preparations for an offensive north of Dzerzhinsk and intensified combat near Basivka to constrain Russian forces. Anatolii Shtefan reports the death of an "Akhmat" platoon commander on the Kursk direction, alleging past atrocities. ASTRA reports protests in occupied Mariupol over destroyed homes and unaffordable housing. Ukraine's "Epicenter" retail chain reports a widespread technical failure, officially attributed to technical problems. Russian military bloggers report artillery use on Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions. The Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine reports a second verdict against a former President for desertion and illegal border crossing, sentencing him to 15 years. Russia is planning to counter illegal employment. Russian authorities plan an award for contributions to the "liberation" of Kursk Oblast. Lavrov and US Senator Rubio reportedly discussed the "Ukrainian crisis," emphasizing negotiation prerequisites. TASS reports successful Kalibr missile tests by a Russian submarine in the Pacific. Increased demand for learning Chinese in Moscow is noted. Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations is assisting Iran with a port fire. Rosaviatsia reported flight diversions at Pulkovo Airport. Russian consumer protection agency reports a stable cholera situation. Военкор Котенок reports Russian MoD claims of 119 Ukrainian drones shot down overnight. Дневник Десантника shares videos claiming Russian aviation strikes in Kharkiv Oblast and promoting a narrative of corruption in Ukrainian mobilization. Оперативний ЗСУ shares video claiming destruction of a Russian vehicle by a drone and reports the detention of alleged Russian saboteurs in Dnipro, who were allegedly preparing terrorist attacks. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video highlighting volunteer support. The General Staff shares images of Ukrainian marines/special forces. Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is scaling up social taxi services for veterans. ARCHANGEL SPETSNAZ reports on attempted Ukrainian offensive through Basivka, claiming high Ukrainian losses. Rybar provides a map and analysis of a potential Ukrainian amphibious assault on Crimea, detailing potential units, force strength, and vectors. Kotsnews shares critical Western media articles on supporting Ukraine and questions about the conflict. TASS reports sentence for participant in Ukrainian terrorist organization planning attack in Izhevsk. TASS reports arrest for bribery in Kursk Oblast. STERNENKO shares contrasting tweets from a Trump associate and Dugin. TASS reports planned criminal liability for "droppers." РБК-Україна reports on alleged Trump-Macron incident at Vatican and clarification, and reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations. Операція Z reports record global military spending. Alex Parker Returns reports Kyrgyzstan receiving S-300s. AV БогомаZ details damage and casualties from the Bryansk UAV attack, framing it as terrorism. Два майора discuss fundraising for AK magazines and disseminate a recruitment advertisement for military service with Russian security organs. БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС shares video mocking Russian losses at a cemetery. Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 shares video/commentary on a pro-Russian official in occupied Nova Kakhovka. A Russian source claims advances east of Hryhorivka towards Siversk. Mykolayiv Vanek reports on drone activity in Cherkasy Oblast. ТАСС reports that Moscow is waiting for a signal from Kyiv to resume direct negotiations. ТАСС reports that a new conversation between Putin and Trump is not scheduled but can be agreed upon if needed. ТАСС reports that the participation of North Korean military in the Kursk operation showed the effectiveness of the Russia-North Korea treaty. ТАСС reports that Russia will provide assistance to North Korea if needed in accordance with their treaty. The Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration is promoting accessible driving schools for people with disabilities. Alex Parker Returns shares a link to a service for currency exchange and international transfers. Новости Москвы reports on a themed ambulance train in the Moscow Metro. ТАСС reports that Peskov commented on Zelenskyy's statements about Ukrainian forces near Kursk, urging reliance on Putin's data. ТАСС reports that contacts between Putin and Kim Jong Un are not currently planned. STERNENKO is fundraising for equipment, referencing a "deficit of Rusoreza." Kotsnews reports on the large drone attack on Bryansk and attributes it to Ukraine after "military defeat" in Kursk, stating a civilian was killed. ТАСС reports that the President of the Republic of Congo will attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day events in Moscow. Лавров stated that dialogue between Russia and the US on a Ukraine settlement continues, and Moscow hopes for mutually acceptable results, stating that international recognition of Crimea and the four occupied oblasts as Russian is an imperative. Оперативний ЗСУ shares a graphic referencing "putler's desire to sign a peace treaty" and the situation. РБК-Україна reports on Peskov's statement about waiting for signals from Kyiv for direct negotiations, noting that this is being quoted by Russian propagandists.

Situation Report