Sitrep 2025-04-28 00:49:46

Operational Intelligence Briefing - Major Updates and Analysis (April 28, 2025, 00:49 UTC)

Executive Summary

Ground combat remains exceptionally intense across multiple axes, with significant Russian claims of advances on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk (Konstantinovka) directions, as well as on the Zaporizhzhia and Sumi fronts. Unconfirmed Russian claims of amphibious crossings on the Kherson direction persist but are treated with caution. Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses and maintaining heavy fighting. New reports indicate continued Russian pressure and potential advances on the Lyman direction, specifically towards Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina.

A major development is the official confirmation and extensive reporting by North Korea and Russia regarding the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in "operations to liberate areas of Kursk Oblast" within the framework of a defense agreement, citing Article 4 of their treaty. This is explicitly linked by Russian sources to Ukraine's actions and is being promoted as a model of a true military alliance, with suggestions for inviting North Korean labor and drawing historical parallels.

Ukraine is conducting combat operations in Belgorod Oblast, claiming control of a border strip, inflicting significant Russian losses, and forcing unit withdrawals. Russian defenders are reportedly repelling a Ukrainian UAV attack on Bryansk Oblast. Russian sources also claim the presence of French fighters on their side. A significant propaganda piece from Russian sources alleges the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia in Ukraine.

Aerial bombardment persists, with significant and multi-directional drone activity reported across Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Chernihiv Oblasts, with air raid alerts active and air defense confirmed working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alerts have now been lifted in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. New reports track groups of attack UAVs moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, and likely Mirnohrad in Donetsk Oblast.

Discussions regarding potential peace settlements continue, with Russian statements about readiness for negotiations and Donald Trump's reported claims regarding Zelenskyy's readiness to abandon claims to Crimea and his view on the conflict's cause, alongside reports of his meeting with Zelenskyy. Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. Domestic Russian news includes reports on a fatal ambulance accident in Belgorod, discussions among military bloggers, recruitment for internal affairs organs in occupied territories, and now a report from the Russian МВД on scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes. New information highlights changes to fines for children operating electric scooters in Russia.

A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle (likely HMMWV or similar) by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units.

Strategic and Tactical Overview

Russian Actions and Claims:

Ground Operations: Exceptionally intense assault actions on the Pokrovsk direction continue with claims of "almost complete" control of Uspenivka, attacks on Novoleksandrivka, full control of Nadezhdinka, and fierce battles along the Kotlyarovka—Troitskoye—Bogdanovka line, and advances north of Andriivka. On the Konstantinovka direction (near Toretsk), units reportedly continue offensive operations, fighting for Dyliyivka, capturing the "Berezka" pioneer camp, and consolidating positions in northern Shcherbinivka. Russian forces on the Zaporizhzhia front reportedly advance towards Bohatyr. Significant claims of Russian advances persist on the Sumi direction, with airborne forces allegedly pushing west of Oleshnya, the 11th Brigade taking Oleshnya from the east, and paratroopers advancing between Loknya and Belovody. New claims from Russian sources indicate advances on the Lyman direction, specifically in the direction of Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina, supported by a map dated April 27, 2025, showing these areas as recently coming under Russian control. Russian sources claim units on the Pokrovsk direction repelled counterattacks, secured Tarasovka, dislodged Ukrainian forces from Berezovka, are pressing south of eastern Malinovka, and are in intense fighting on the southern outskirts of Mirolyubovka and for Elizavetovka. Russian sources report special forces and artillery engaging Ukrainian infantry near Shcherbinivka. Unconfirmed Russian claims persist regarding the "Dnepr" Group of Forces occupying islands between Krynky and Kazachi Laheri and potentially crossing to the right bank of the Dnieper, entering the southern part of Tyahynka on the Kherson direction. These claims are viewed with caution by some Russian sources. A new report indicates Russian defenders in Bryansk Oblast are repelling a Ukrainian UAV attack. Russian sources claim French fighters are in the zone of the "special military operation" fighting on the side of Russia.
Air and Drone Warfare: New groups of attack UAVs were reported near Bohodukhiv in Kharkiv Oblast. Significant drone activity was reported west and south of Kharkiv, with large groups moving towards Meredy/Nova Vodolaga and Zlatopil, and smaller groups through the Kupyanskyi district and near Izium. Previous reports indicated drone groups near the border of Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts and in central Ukraine. New reports indicated more than ten groups of attack UAVs in Kharkiv Oblast heading towards Chuhuiv, Izium, Nova Vodolaha, and Zmiiv. Several Shaheds from Kharkiv Oblast were moving towards Poltava Oblast. Groups of attack UAVs were heading towards Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (specifically Pavlohrad). New groups of Shaheds were reported in northern Sumy Oblast moving towards Chernihiv Oblast. Further updates indicated continued movement of drone groups from Iziumskyi district into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Some groups were moving from Kharkiv Oblast to Donetsk Oblast (Pokrovsk direction). Groups of drones north of Dobropillya were heading towards Konstantinovka. Drones west of Kharkiv were moving towards Zlatopil. A new drone from Belgorod Oblast was heading towards Kharkiv. Шостка was reported to be under massive drone attack with additional drones in the area. Air raid alerts were active in Zaporizhzhia Oblast due to drone activity, including the city of Zaporizhzhia, with drone groups from Izium and the Kharkiv/Donetsk area heading towards the region. Ukrainian sources confirmed air defense was active in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Russian sources showcase a video allegedly of Russian drone operators engaging a Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone. Air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have now been cancelled. New reporting from Ukrainian sources tracks groups of attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, and Druzhkivka. Additional reports from Ukrainian sources indicate the last two drone groups near Dobropillya are heading towards Mirnohrad/Pokrovsk. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units.
Capabilities and Logistics: Russian military bloggers continue fundraising for specific equipment for units on the Zaporizhzhia front. Russian sources highlight a video of a Russian serviceman from the 136th brigade surviving a close artillery shell detonation. A fatal road accident involving an ambulance is reported in Belgorod. Two Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations aircraft were sent to assist in extinguishing a fire in a port in Iran, highlighting Russian international assistance capabilities. Russia and North Korea are explicitly claiming the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast, framing it within a defense agreement (Article 4) and the "liberation" of the area. North Korea has also affirmed its continued support for Russia and commitment to the spirit of their treaty. Russian sources from the "Dnepr" Group of Forces claim maintaining control of the airspace on the right bank of the Dnieper by mobile air defense and soldiers, shooting down heavy hexacopters. Russian military bloggers are sharing images portraying "Moments of the SVO" including damaged military/adapted civilian vehicles and armed personnel in damaged buildings. A public service announcement from the Khabarovsk Krai police is being disseminated by a Russian military blogger, actively recruiting individuals for service in internal affairs organs, including in the newly claimed Russian territories. Russian sources are also citing historical examples of Korean support for Russia/Soviet Union during WWII to bolster the narrative of North Korea as a reliable ally. Russian sources claim the presence of French fighters operating on their side. The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes. New reports from TASS indicate that fines for children under 16 years of age operating electric scooters in Russia have been increased from 10,000 to 30,000 rubles. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units, highlighting their drone capabilities.
Casualties and Losses: Ukraine reports inflicting significant losses on Russian forces on the Pokrovsk direction. Russian sources highlight a soldier surviving a close call with an artillery shell. A paramedic was killed in a road accident in Belgorod. Ukraine claims significant Russian losses in the Belgorod operational area, including the withdrawal of the 128th brigade and a battalion of the 155th marine brigade for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. North Korea and Russia officially claim the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast, with North Korea highlighting their "mass heroism" and the operation's success. A significant propaganda claim from Russian sources alleges the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia. Russian sources claim French fighters are present and fighting for Russia. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle, implying a loss for Ukrainian forces.
Information Operations: Russian sources heavily emphasize claimed territorial gains on multiple axes. They are highlighting specific unit actions and the effectiveness of their forces. Videos showcasing battlefield incidents and survival are used to portray resilience. Russian state media (TASS) is disseminating information on healthcare statistics and domestic incidents. Ukraine is utilizing video to convey messages of resistance and future rebuilding. Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. Russia and North Korea are explicitly and extensively claiming the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast, framing it within a defense agreement (Article 4), showcasing "mass heroism" and successful "liberation," and emphasizing continued support based on their treaty. This is a significant coordinated information operation to project an image of strong allied support. Russian military bloggers are commenting on internal affairs and legal matters, including the case of General Popov. There are posts with antisemitic content from one Russian source. Donald Trump's statements regarding potential negotiations and his claimed readiness of Zelenskyy to abandon claims to Crimea are being amplified by Russian state media (TASS) and highlighted by RБК-Україна, which also notes Trump's stated disappointment with Russian strikes and timeline for deciding on trusting Putin. Trump's statements on the success of his Vatican meeting with Zelenskyy and his perception of Zelenskyy wanting a deal are also being reported. Videos portraying alleged forced conscription in Ukraine are being circulated by Russian sources. Russian military bloggers are sharing visual content depicting the impact of the conflict ("Moments of the SVO") and are disseminating official recruitment information for Russian internal affairs organs, including in the occupied territories. Russian sources are also highlighting the North Korean official statement as evidence of a true military ally, contrasting it with other alliances and suggesting North Korean labor for reconstruction, drawing historical parallels. A new propaganda claim is circulating about the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia. Russian sources are claiming the presence of French fighters on their side. The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram, indicating a focus on informing the public about potential security threats and likely part of broader efforts to control the information space. New reports from TASS on increased fines for children operating electric scooters are part of domestic reporting and regulations. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units.
Internal Russian Affairs and Human Rights: TASS reporting on healthcare statistics and a fatal road accident in Belgorod likely serve domestic information purposes. Russian military bloggers are commenting on domestic legal matters. Antisemitic content from one Russian source is present. Two Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations aircraft were sent to Iran to help with a port fire, demonstrating some level of international humanitarian/disaster response. Videos circulating in Russian sources allegedly show instances of forced conscription in Ukraine. A public service announcement from the Khabarovsk Krai police is being disseminated, actively recruiting individuals for service in internal affairs organs, including in the "new subjects of the Russian Federation." The Russian МВД reports on scam attempts in Telegram, highlighting efforts to address cybercrime affecting the population. New reports from TASS on increased fines for children operating electric scooters reflect changes in domestic law enforcement and regulations.

Ukrainian Actions and Claims:

Ground Operations: Ukraine reports ongoing heavy combat across the front, particularly on the Pokrovsk direction, emphasizing holding positions and inflicting significant losses. While not directly confirming or denying specific Russian territorial claims, reports indicate a determined defense. A Ukrainian source provides details on an ongoing combat operation in Belgorod Oblast, claiming the 225th assault regiment and attached units have taken control of a small border "sanitary" strip near Popivka and Demidivka. This operation is described as initially a raid now transitioned to a positional defense, claiming significant Russian losses, including the withdrawal of specific brigades/battalions for replenishment and the destruction of over 100 pieces of armored vehicles by UAV pilots of the 414th brigade. The loss ratio is estimated in Ukraine's favor, and the operation is claimed to have fulfilled its objectives.
Air Defense and Counter-Drone Operations: Ukrainian Air Force reports new groups of attack UAVs and provides detailed tracking of drone movements, indicating ongoing efforts to track and counter Russian aerial threats. Ukrainian forces are actively engaging Russian drones. Ukrainian sources from the "Dnepr" Group of Forces claim control of airspace on the right bank of the Dnieper and successful engagements of heavy hexacopters. Ukrainian Air Force is actively tracking and reporting on multiple groups of Russian attack UAVs in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts, providing trajectory information. New reports provide further detail on the movement of drone groups into Dnipropetrovsk and Donetsk Oblasts, and towards the Zaporizhzhia direction, including the activation of air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Reports indicate ongoing drone activity and anti-drone work in the vicinity of Шостка. Ukrainian sources confirm air defense is working in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have now been cancelled. New reporting from Ukrainian sources tracks groups of attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast moving towards Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, and Druzhkivka. Additional reports from Ukrainian sources indicate the last two drone groups near Dobropillya are heading towards Mirnohrad/Pokrovsk, and advise the public to seek shelter.
Capabilities and Logistics: Ukraine is actively pursuing mechanisms for reparations from Russia, proposing a special duty on Russian imports in addition to using frozen assets, indicating a focus on long-term financial sustainability and accountability. Ukrainian forces continue to operate and communicate effectively. The report on the operation in Belgorod highlights the claimed effective use of small infantry groups, drones, artillery, aviation, high-precision missiles, and particularly UAV operators against Russian armored vehicles.
Political and Diplomatic Statements: Ukraine is proposing a new economic mechanism for reparations. Operational ZSU shares a video with messages of resilience. Statements attributed to Donald Trump regarding the conflict and negotiations, including the highly significant claim that Zelenskyy is ready to abandon claims to Crimea, are circulating and being highlighted by Ukrainian sources, who also note Trump's stated disappointment with Russian strikes and timeline for deciding on trusting Putin. Trump's statements on the success of his Vatican meeting with Zelenskyy and his perception of Zelenskyy wanting a deal are also being reported.
Information Operations: Ukraine is reporting on Russian drone activity and presenting messages of national resilience and future rebuilding. Ukraine is also highlighting the proposed mechanism for Russian reparations as a step towards accountability. The detailed report on the operation in Belgorod serves as an information operation highlighting Ukrainian capabilities, claimed successes, and Russian losses in border regions. Ukrainian sources are highlighting and tracking incoming Russian drone attacks, providing updated trajectories and affected areas, and confirming air defense activity. Ukrainian sources are reporting on the cancellation of air raid alerts in affected areas. New reporting from Ukrainian sources on the trajectory of Russian attack UAVs in Donetsk Oblast serves as a critical information operation to inform the public and facilitate appropriate responses.
Humanitarian Situation: The ongoing intense fighting in populated areas raises significant humanitarian concerns. A fatal road accident involving an ambulance is reported in Belgorod. Videos circulating in Russian sources allegedly show instances of forced conscription in Ukraine. New reporting from Ukrainian sources on the trajectory of Russian attack UAVs towards populated areas in Donetsk Oblast, including advice to seek shelter, highlights the ongoing humanitarian risk posed by these strikes.

Capabilities, Logistics, and Personnel

Ukrainian Capabilities: Demonstrated capacity for determined defense and inflicting significant losses. Continued ability to track and report on Russian aerial threats and engage drones. Pursuing innovative economic mechanisms for long-term financial stability. Conducting cross-border operations in Belgorod Oblast with claimed tactical gains and significant Russian losses. Claimed effective use of UAVs against Russian armored vehicles. Maintaining air control in specific tactical areas. Effective tracking and reporting of multi-directional, multi-group Russian drone attacks, including updated trajectories and affected oblasts (Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Chernihiv), and specific areas under attack (Шостка, Zaporizhzhia Oblast/City, Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka). Confirmed active air defense in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and subsequent cancellation of air raid alerts. New capabilities include tracking and reporting specific drone movements towards key urban centers in Donetsk Oblast (Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mirnohrad).
Russian Capabilities: Sustained capacity for intense offensive operations on multiple axes with claimed localized gains. Continued ability to utilize widespread, multi-vector drone swarms. Use of specific military units in offensive actions. Continued reliance on external support for some logistical needs (military blogger fundraising). Propaganda efforts to highlight the resilience of personnel. Official and extensive claims of deploying and employing North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast are a major indicator of strengthened military capabilities through international partnership. North Korea's stated continued support, explicitly referencing Article 4 of their defense treaty, signifies a reliable ally and a deeper level of commitment. Russian sources are promoting this as a model for other allies and even suggesting labor cooperation, citing historical examples. Russian forces in Bryansk Oblast are actively engaged in air defense operations against Ukrainian UAVs. Russian military bloggers are utilizing visual media to depict the conflict and are actively disseminating recruitment information for internal security forces in occupied territories. Russian sources are claiming the presence of French fighters operating on their side. The Russian МВД reporting on scam attempts in Telegram suggests a focus on combating cybercrime. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by a drone operated by the "South" Group of Forces reconnaissance units, showcasing their operational capabilities. New reports on increased fines for children operating electric scooters reflect the Russian government's ability to implement and enforce domestic regulations.
Personnel and Losses: Ukraine claims significant Russian losses on the Pokrovsk direction and in the Belgorod operational area (including withdrawal of units and destruction of over 100 armored vehicles). A Russian soldier is showcased surviving a close call with an artillery shell. A paramedic was killed in a road accident in Belgorod. North Korea and Russia officially claim the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat in Kursk Oblast, with North Korea highlighting their "mass heroism" and the operation's success. A significant propaganda claim from Russian sources alleges the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia. Russian sources claim French fighters are present and fighting for Russia. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle, implying a loss of personnel for Ukrainian forces operating the vehicle.
Logistics: Fundraising by Russian military bloggers continues for units on the Zaporizhzhia front. Ukraine is focusing on long-term financial sustainability through reparations. Claimed destruction of over 100 Russian armored vehicles in Belgorod, if verified, indicates significant equipment losses for Russia in that area. Russia has dispatched two aircraft for international disaster relief. Russian military bloggers are sharing images of damaged vehicles, potentially indicating logistical strain or the impact of combat on equipment. The dissemination of recruitment information for internal affairs organs, including in the occupied territories, points to efforts to bolster internal security and administrative control in these areas, potentially with implications for personnel allocation.

Ethical Considerations and Compliance

Intense fighting in and around settlements raises significant concerns about civilian casualties and collateral damage. New reporting on drone trajectories towards populated areas in Donetsk Oblast underscores this ongoing risk and the need for measures to protect civilians.
The proposed mechanism for Russian reparations aligns with holding Russia accountable under international law.
Claims of military operations in border regions and potential crossings raise questions about adherence to international borders and sovereignty.
The official confirmation of deploying North Korean troops to assist Russia within a defense agreement raises significant concerns about potential implications for international norms, the international arms trade, and adherence to UN sanctions, and may be a violation of international law depending on the nature and scope of the deployment. North Korea's stated continued support, especially referencing Article 4 of their treaty, reinforces these concerns and indicates a potentially deeper military alliance with broader implications.
Antisemitic content in a Russian source is a concerning ethical issue.
The TASS report attributing to Trump a claim that Zelenskyy is ready to abandon claims to Crimea, if unfounded, could be a deliberate attempt to manipulate public opinion and pressure Ukraine, raising ethical concerns regarding information warfare. RБК-Україна also highlighting this, while adding other details from Trump's statement, contributes to the dissemination of this potentially unverified claim.
Videos circulating in Russian sources allegedly show instances of forced conscription in Ukraine raise concerns about potential human rights violations and the depiction of such events.
The sharing of images depicting damaged vehicles and armed personnel in destroyed buildings, while potentially serving as situational reporting, also contributes to the normalization and visual representation of conflict and destruction.
The propaganda claim regarding the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia is a clear attempt at disinformation and psychological warfare, raising significant ethical concerns regarding the manipulation of personal tragedy for political purposes.
The reported scam attempts in Telegram using fake investment schemes highlighted by the Russian МВД raise ethical concerns regarding financial fraud and exploitation, potentially exacerbated by the conflict environment.

Potential Indicators

Independent verification of Russian claims of territorial gains in Uspenivka, Novoleksandrivka, Nadezhdinka, Dyliyivka, Shcherbinivka, Bohatyr, Oleshnya, Loknya, Belovody, Tarasovka, Berezovka, Malinovka, Mirolyubovka, Elizavetovka, Ridkodub, Kolodezi, Zelyonaya Dolina, and the unconfirmed claim regarding islands between Krynky and Kazachi Laheri and the southern part of Tyahynka.
Independent verification of Ukrainian claims of control over a border strip near Popivka and Demidivka in Belgorod Oblast and the claimed Russian losses in that area, including unit withdrawals and destruction of armored vehicles.
Any observable impact of the proposed Ukrainian reparations mechanism.
Changes in the intensity, targeting, or trajectory of Russian drone activity, particularly near the Kharkiv/Sumi border, in central Ukraine, west/south of Kharkiv, and now towards Chuhuiv, Izium, Nova Vodolaha, Zmiiv, Poltava Oblast, and Pavlohrad in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and northern Sumi Oblast towards Chernihiv Oblast, as well as towards Donetsk (Pokrovsk, Konstantinovka, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mirnohrad) and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts and Шостка. Subsequent cancellation of air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast is an indicator that the immediate aerial threat in that area has subsided. Continued tracking of drone movements towards key urban centers in Donetsk Oblast will be crucial.
Further details or independent evidence regarding the claimed Russian advances in the Sumi region.
Continued or increased fundraising by Russian military bloggers.
Independent reporting on the humanitarian situation in areas experiencing the most intense fighting.
Independent verification of the presence, numbers, specific roles, and claimed "mass heroism" of North Korean troops supporting Russian forces, any evidence of their operations extending beyond Russian territory, the implementation of plans for a monument in Pyongyang, and any observable impact of their deployment on the battlefield or in occupied territories.
Any observable shifts in Russian tactics or operational focus as a result of claimed losses in the Belgorod area.
Further statements or clarification from Donald Trump, Ukrainian officials, or other international actors regarding the reported claims about negotiations and Crimea and the reported Vatican meeting.
Independent verification of claims regarding forced conscription in Ukraine.
Further reports on discussions between Lavrov and other foreign officials regarding the "Ukrainian crisis."
Independent reporting on Russian air defense activity and claimed interceptions of Ukrainian UAVs in Bryansk Oblast.
Any observable impact of the recruitment drive for Russian internal affairs organs in the occupied territories.
Independent verification or refutation of the claims regarding French fighters operating for Russia and the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence.
Further reporting or official statements regarding the alleged scam attempts in Telegram highlighted by the Russian МВД.
Independent verification of the destruction of the Western-made armored vehicle claimed in the new Russian video.
Observation of any impact of the increased fines for children operating electric scooters on traffic or public behavior in Russia.

Updated Situation: The conflict continues with extremely intense ground combat, particularly on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk axes, and heightened activity in border regions. Russia claims further localized gains on multiple fronts, including significant advances on the Pokrovsk and Sumi directions, and new claims of advances on the Lyman direction towards Ridkodub, Kolodezi, and Zelyonaya Dolina, supported by a dated map. Russia continues to make unconfirmed claims on the Kherson direction. Ukraine is engaged in heavy defensive fighting and is also actively conducting combat operations in Belgorod Oblast, claiming tactical successes and inflicting significant Russian losses in that area. A major new development is the official confirmation and extensive reporting by Russia and North Korea of the deployment and participation of North Korean troops in combat operations in Kursk Oblast, framed as allied support under their defense treaty (specifically Article 4) and a response to Ukrainian actions, with North Korea reaffirming its continued support and planning a monument for fallen soldiers. Russian sources are actively promoting this alliance and suggesting potential labor cooperation for reconstruction, drawing historical parallels. Aerial bombardment persists with significant drone activity, particularly near Kharkiv and in western/southern directions, with new waves of drones detected and tracked in Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, and Chernihiv Oblasts, including specific areas like Шостка and Zaporizhzhia Oblast/City, and now moving towards key urban centers in Donetsk Oblast (Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk, Kramatorsk, Druzhkivka, Mirnohrad), with air raid alerts activated and confirmed air defense activity in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, although air raid alerts in Zaporizhzhia Oblast have now been cancelled. Information operations are intense, with Russia emphasizing claimed successes and allied support (particularly from North Korea), circulating videos portraying alleged forced conscription, and discussions regarding potential peace settlements are ongoing with conflicting narratives and notable unverified claims attributed to Donald Trump regarding Ukraine and Crimea, although Trump has also reportedly characterized his meeting with Zelenskyy as successful. Ukraine is focused on defense, inflicting losses, securing reparations, and highlighting national resilience and claimed successes in border operations. The confirmed presence of North Korean troops is a significant shift in the external support dynamic for Russia, underscoring a strengthened military alliance with stated commitments under a defense treaty. Russian military bloggers are also contributing to information operations through visual content and promoting recruitment for internal security forces in occupied territories. New propaganda claims from Russian sources allege the presence of French fighters fighting for Russia and the death of the son of a US Deputy Director of Intelligence fighting for Russia in Ukraine. Domestic Russian news includes reports on scam attempts in Telegram and new regulations on electric scooter usage, potentially indicating a focus on internal security and cybercrime and domestic governance. A new video from Russian sources claims the destruction of a Western-made armored vehicle by drone fire.

Situation Report