Archived operational intelligence briefing
Conflicting narratives persist regarding the status of Kursk Oblast. The Russian Ministry of Defence definitively claims the completion of the defeat of Ukrainian formations in the region, asserting remaining units have been pushed back beyond the state border and that the "Sever Group of Forces" liberated Gornal, the last settlement controlled by Ukrainian militants. They claim over 76,550 cumulative Ukrainian personnel losses on the Kursk direction, along with significant equipment losses including tanks, IFVs, APCs, artillery, MLRS, EW stations, and radars. They state that measures are being taken to locate hiding Ukrainian servicemen and that mine clearing and restoration of civilian life are underway with assistance from the Russian Armed Forces. This is contrasted by the Ukrainian General Staff (GSh), which maintains the defensive operation in designated areas of Kursk Oblast is ongoing, describing the operational situation as difficult but with Ukrainian units holding positions, repelling six combat engagements with one ongoing, inflicting effective fire, and employing active defense tactics. The GSh also reports continued active operations in designated areas of Belgorod Oblast. DeepState earlier acknowledged Russian progression near Hornal. The Ukrainian DShV of the 82nd Separate Air Assault Brigade released video purporting to show the destruction of Russian naval infantry from the 810th and 177th Marine Brigades in Kursk Oblast, further indicating ongoing clashes and Ukrainian operational activity in the area. The Acting Governor of Kursk Oblast, Alexander Khinshtein, while acknowledging a shortage of shelters in Kursk compared to Belgorod, stated that mass installation is impractical against tactical missile strikes and linked the current situation to the "liberation" and "complete clearing" of the territory from the enemy. Russian sources continue to claim Ukrainian losses in the Kursk direction. Butusov Plus shared a video featuring a captured Russian soldier from the 810th Marine Brigade, who was allegedly captured in Kursk Oblast after being in the war for only one day, describing significant losses to his unit from mines and drones.
The official Russian acknowledgement of North Korean military personnel participation in the Kursk operation continues to be amplified by Russian sources. Voenkor Russkoi Vesny released video from December 6, claiming it shows North Korean special assault units, supported by Russian marines and infantry, expelling Ukrainian forces from Plekhovo in Kursk Oblast in 3 hours, utilizing poor weather to hinder Ukrainian drone use. They claim these troops then continued towards Guyevo. This video, while archived, serves to reinforce the narrative of North Korean effectiveness and contribution. Russian milblogger Kotsnews provides a detailed account of the North Korean deployment and performance, describing them as "combat Buryats" for secrecy, undergoing training, and fighting with discipline and disregard for death, particularly their Special Operations Forces. They are credited with significant contributions to liberating settlements in Korenevsky district and near Kurilovka, with a strict rule of not being captured alive. Kotsnews also shared a photo of a propaganda leaflet allegedly distributed by Ukraine targeting North Korean soldiers. Boris Rozhin, in an interview with Radio Sputnik, characterized the participation of North Korean troops as their "first serious war" and an opportunity for them to gain experience for modernizing their armed forces, thanking them as a close military ally who was not deterred by sanctions or threats.
Russia continues to promote the narrative of a security zone in Sumy Oblast and the claimed liberation of Popovka in Belgorod Oblast. Colonelcassad shared video claiming the complete clearing of Popovka from Ukrainian forces, attributing it to the "Sever" grouping and claiming over 1760 cumulative Ukrainian losses in the "Krasnoyaruzhsky adventure." The Ukrainian GSh reports enemy artillery shelling of settlements in Chernihiv and Sumy Oblasts, including Popivka, and Russian aviation strikes on areas in Sumy Oblast, indicating continued pressure in this border region, but does not confirm or deny the situation in Popovka in this specific update.
On the South Donetsk direction, Russian source Voin DV claims that Ukrainian attempts to break the course of hostilities with large forces have failed, reporting five counterattacks repelled, including three at night with armored vehicles. They claim the "Vostok" grouping maintains control and is methodically advancing. Specific claims include the destruction of two waves of attacks by the Ukrainian 37th Marine Brigade south of Bohatyr (up to 25 personnel on BTR M-113 and Kozak AFV), resulting in the destruction of a BTR M-113, a Kozak, and up to 20 personnel. Two attempts by assault groups of the 79th Air Assault Brigade southeast of Bohatyr (up to 35 personnel on two AFVs and BTR M-113) were reportedly unsuccessful, with a Kozak, BTR M-113, and over 25 personnel eliminated. A counterattack by the 37th Marine Brigade southeast of Otradne (10 personnel on an AFV) was reportedly neutralized, with the AFV and 8 personnel destroyed by drones, and a dismounted group of the 23rd Mechanized Brigade (10 personnel) repelled with 7 losses. Total claimed Ukrainian losses on this direction for the period include 2 BTR M-113, 3 Kozak AFVs, and over 65 personnel. On the Vremivka direction, Russian assault troops reportedly strengthened positions in Vilne Pole, eliminating over 15 personnel and expanding control over the settlement. On the Polohy direction (part of Zaporizhzhia axis), advances of 1x2 km are claimed south of Malynivka, seizing three tree lines and causing over 10 Ukrainian personnel losses. Counter-battery fire reportedly destroyed two mortars on the Shakhtarsk direction. Artillery and drones reportedly hit 13 Ukrainian reinforcement groups near Bohatyr, Komar, and Zelenyi Kut, disrupted rotations in Huliaipole and Yablokove, and destroyed 10 vehicles and up to 25 personnel. Voin DV asserts the "Vostok" grouping maintains tactical superiority using drones and artillery. They also share a photo of what they claim is a new Ukrainian "joker" mine with a large activation radius (over 9 meters), active through obstacles including walls, and an enhanced magnetometer, warning against approaching closer than 10 meters.
Politically, President Zelenskyy commented on his interaction with former US President Donald Trump, reiterating it was a "productive meeting" where "sensitive issues" were discussed, including how to achieve peace and the results of the Paris and London meetings. Zelenskyy also met with UK Labour Party leader Keir Starmer for over an hour in Italy and is scheduled to meet with Italian Prime Minister Meloni and EC President von der Leyen, indicating continued diplomatic efforts. Deputy Head of the Office of the President, Ihor Brusylo, stated that a subsequent meeting between Zelenskyy and Trump could occur after their teams prepare a document and agree on positions, emphasizing the need for a basis and argumentation for the presidents to meet and state the document is ready as a result of achieved agreements. TASS reports that Putin, during a meeting with Witkoff, confirmed Russia's readiness for negotiations with Kyiv without any preconditions, as stated by Peskov. "Zona SVO" and Alex Parker Returns amplified this statement, with Alex Parker Returns expressing confusion as to whether this meant negotiations with the "neo-Nazi regime." STERNENKO also noted the shift in Peskov's rhetoric compared to previous statements questioning Zelenskyy's legitimacy. TASS also reports Medvedev visited the Kapustin Yar testing range in Astrakhan Oblast, observing advanced weapons systems, drones, loitering munitions, and artillery.
A significant development is the report from "Zona SVO" of the preparation for a large-scale prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine, 500 for 500, mediated by the UAE, scheduled for May 3rd. This would be a major humanitarian development if it materializes.
Increased casualties from the explosion at the port in Bandar Abbas, Iran, are confirmed, with at least 4 dead and 516 wounded, according to TASS citing authorities.
The Ukrainian Zaporizhzhia Oblast Military Administration reports on the progress of reconstruction efforts in Zaporizhzhia city, stating that of 17 partially damaged multi-story buildings, 5 are restored, 8 are in active reconstruction (planned for completion this year), project documentation is being developed for 2, and 2 are irreparable with residents receiving housing certificates. They highlight a unique case on Zestafonska Street where part of a building is being repaired while residents of the irreparable section receive certificates, thanking the Government of Ukraine and the Fund for the Elimination of the Consequences of Armed Aggression. This demonstrates ongoing efforts to restore civilian life despite the conflict.
Civilian casualties are reported in Donetsk Oblast. The Office of the Prosecutor General reports that on April 26, at 11:35, occupiers dropped 3 air bombs (FAB-250 with UMPK) on Kostiantynivka, hitting a private sector area, resulting in the death of a 41-year-old civilian and injuries to a woman and a 50-year-old man (mine-blast trauma, shrapnel wounds, fractured ribs). At 12:18, Kostiantynivka was again shelled, killing a 45-year-old civilian and injuring three others. Occupiers also attacked Pokrovsk district near Novyi Ekonomichne, killing a 55-year-old man who was the driver of a car. The driver and two passengers of another car were injured (concussions, shrapnel wounds). Ukrainian sources (RBC-Ukraina) report 8 air bombs were dropped on Kostiantynivka, resulting in two deaths and five injuries, with damage to 20 private houses, 2 multi-story buildings, an administrative building, 6 warehouses, cars, and trucks. They also report the death of a driver and injury to another driver in Novyi Ekonomichne from FPV drone attacks on civilian vehicles, and one person injured in Siversk.
Ukrainian athlete Yaroslava Mahuchikh won her 20th Diamond League high jump competition, clearing 1.97m in China. This is a non-military development but is highlighted by Ukrainian sources.
Russian milblogger Colonelcassad shared reflections on the psychological toll of the conflict on soldiers who have been fighting for four years without respite, noting that many will return physically but not mentally, struggling to process the losses. He notes the difficulty of getting used to losses despite experiencing combat and interacting with those directly involved in assaults. This offers a glimpse into the human cost and long-term psychological impact of the war.
Two Majors promotes an action called "Immortal Regiment VBrone_31" in anticipation of the 80th anniversary of Victory in the Great Patriotic War, involving the creation of personalized armor plates ("bronekomplekt") in memory of a WWII veteran, linking historical conflict remembrance to current military efforts and involving fundraising for metal for the armor. Basurin also promotes a quiz related to Victory Day and the "Flame of Memory" campaign, offering prizes, further linking current events to historical narratives and engaging the public.
Sever.Realii reports that medical workers in St. Petersburg are being pressured by their employers to join the "United Russia" party as supporters, with the party actively "mobilizing" supporters in preparation for elections, indicating potential political pressure and mobilization efforts within Russia affecting public sector employees.
WarGonzo reports on escalated tensions between India and Pakistan following an attack in Kashmir, with India threatening to withdraw from the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty and stating no water from the Indus River will reach Pakistan. Pakistan's Minister of Defense reportedly stated any attempt to divert water would be considered an "act of war." WarGonzo notes the logistical challenges for India to implement this threat but highlights the ongoing tensions.
ASTRA reports on the funeral of Pope Francis in Rome, with Italian authorities estimating at least 400,000 people in attendance, exceeding Vatican estimates. TASS also reported on the funeral.
Russian source Kotsnews reports that the CIA has officially confirmed the death of the son of the Deputy Head of the agency, Michael Gloss, who was reportedly fighting on the side of Russia in Ukraine. The report states he died in Eastern Europe in December last year from extensive blood loss due to artillery shelling while aiding a wounded comrade. The CIA reportedly asked the family to remain silent, and his obituary did not mention Russia or Ukraine. The CIA released a brief statement today after social media publications about his death. This is a significant and sensitive development regarding potential foreign national involvement on the Russian side and intelligence community implications.
The Ukrainian General Staff reports a total of 90 combat engagements along the entire front line since the beginning of the day.
Significant activity is noted on several axes:
Colonelcassad shared a video claiming a Russian "Inokhodets" (Orion) reconnaissance and strike drone hit Ukrainian equipment in a forest. Operatyvnyi ZSU shared a video of a Russian soldier filming the aftermath of a Ukrainian kamikaze drone strike on their location. TASS shares a video claiming FPV drones destroyed a Ukrainian T-72 tank in Kharkiv Oblast.
The large-scale technical failure impacting Ukrainian digital and payment systems continues to be a significant non-combat incident with wide-ranging implications for civilian life and economic activity. While some sources attribute it to technical issues, the simultaneous failure of various unrelated systems remains concerning.
Diplomatically, President Zelenskyy's continued engagements in Italy, including meetings with Keir Starmer and planned meetings with Meloni and von der Leyen, highlight ongoing efforts to secure international support and discuss potential peace frameworks. The Russian statement confirming Putin's readiness for unconditional negotiations with Kyiv during the meeting with Witkoff is a notable development in the political sphere, although the sincerity and implications of this stance require further analysis. The reported preparation for a large-scale prisoner exchange, if it occurs, would be a significant humanitarian and political event. The increased casualties from the explosion in Iran highlight a separate regional incident. The reported death of the son of the Deputy Head of the CIA fighting on the Russian side in Ukraine is a highly sensitive and potentially impactful development with implications for intelligence and international relations.
Reports of pressure on medical workers in St. Petersburg to join "United Russia" reflect potential internal political mobilization efforts in Russia. The escalating tensions between India and Pakistan, including the threat to the Indus Waters Treaty, represent a significant regional geopolitical development.
The passing of Pope Francis and his funeral in Rome is a major international event attended by many world leaders, including Zelenskyy. Zurab Tsereteli was buried in Tbilisi.
Ukrainian sources highlight their domestic production capabilities, with Tsaplienko reporting that Ukraine produces up to 36 2S22 Bohdana artillery systems per month, citing "Army Technology," while the Defense Procurement Agency states "not less than 20" per month.
Russian source Voin DV shares a photo of what they claim is a new Ukrainian "joker" mine with a significant activation radius and enhanced magnetometer. Russian source Филолог в засаде (Philologist in Ambush) is conducting an April collection for materials for "ЦЕХ 77" (TSEKH 77), indicating ongoing volunteer/civilian support for Russian military units.
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