Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 10, 2025, 12:59 UTC

Major Updates (Since 12:29 UTC Report)

• Kursk/Sumy Border Axis:
  • Zhuravka (Sumy) Status: Russian MoD claim (Apr 10 morning) of capturing Zhuravka is visually reinforced by video purportedly from the RU 83rd Guards Air Assault Brigade showing flag raising (RVvoenkor, 12:58 UTC). However, this contradicts another RU source (Dnevnik Desantnika, 12:08 UTC) stating the settlement is not yet fully liberated, though pressure towards Yunakovka continues.
  • RU Strike Claim near Oleshnia: Russian sources claim a successful missile strike targeted a concentration area of the Ukrainian 80th Air Assault Brigade and UAV control points of the 1st Tank Brigade and 95th Air Assault Brigade near Oleshnia (Kursk direction), alleging up to 45 Ukrainian personnel losses (Colonelcassad, 12:36 UTC). Requires verification.
  • Ongoing UA Drone/Air Threat: Ukrainian Air Force reports enemy strike UAVs active in northwestern Sumy Oblast and eastern Chernihiv Oblast, moving west/southwest (12:55 UTC). KABs were launched towards Sumy Oblast earlier (12:29 UTC). Tactical aviation remains active on the northeastern direction (12:26 UTC).
• Civilian Casualties & Hazards:
  • A civilian farmer was seriously injured by an unknown explosive device while ploughing a field in Hontarivka, Staryi Saltiv community (Kharkiv Oblast) (Kharkiv OVA, 12:54 UTC). Underscores persistent UXO danger.
  • Russian sources (Bryansk Governor, TASS, Dva Maiora) reiterate the claim that a Ukrainian kamikaze drone attack injured 4 civilians (including a 6-month-old child) in a civilian vehicle in Novaya Pogoshch (Bryansk Oblast, Russia) (12:24 / 12:31 UTC).
• Information Environment / OPSEC:
  • Prominent Russian milblogger channel (WarGonzo, 12:51 UTC) issued a warning to Russian civilians against publishing photos/videos of UAV strike aftermaths. The warning claims Ukrainian intelligence uses OSINT and AI to analyze such data for Battle Damage Assessment (BDA), refining targets, and locating Russian Air Defense systems, potentially compensating for reduced US satellite intelligence access.
• International/Reconnaissance Activity:
  • Russian sources report continued NATO reconnaissance aircraft activity near Russia's borders, specifically mentioning a Bombardier Challenger 650 Artemis (SIGINT platform) operating near Kaliningrad/Baltic states (Voenkor Kotenok, 12:32 UTC).
• Diplomatic:
  • US-Russia consultations in Istanbul, focused solely on bilateral diplomatic mission issues (not the war), concluded after approximately 5.5 hours (TASS, 12:38 UTC).