Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 9, 2025, 10:59 UTC
(Analysis based on information received up to 10:59 UTC)
I. Overall Strategic Situation & Major Developments
Major Development - Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi Assessment (Apr 9) & Clarification:
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi stated that Russia has effectively begun an offensive operation targeting the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts. He noted a doubling of Russian offensive actions across all directions observed over approximately the past week (since late March).
Clarification (UA Center for Countering Disinformation, Apr 9): Syrskyi's comments refer to increased Russian activity towards the Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts, not an imminent large-scale offensive on the cities of Sumy or Kharkiv themselves at this time.
Syrskyi assesses Russia continues a strategic offensive aimed at capturing all of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, parts of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts, and establishing a "buffer zone" in Kharkiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv Oblasts.
He estimates the current Russian force grouping involved in operations in Ukraine at 623,000 personnel (up from 603,000 on Jan 1, 2025), with a prepared mobilization resource of ~5 million and a total potential of 20 million.
Syrskyi claims North Korean personnel continue to arrive in Russia for potential deployment (at least two waves noted). Unverified Russian sources also allege presence of Chinese personnel reinforcing Russian units in the Sumy direction (Alex Parker Returns).
Combat Intensity: Remains High to Very High across multiple fronts, with 161 combat clashes reported by the Ukrainian General Staff (UGS) for April 8. Older reports (Apr 7) noted 135 clashes on Apr 6.
Lyman Axis:Critical situation reported by Ukrainian sources (Butusov Plus). Russian offensive continues from Nevske-Terny towards Katerynivka and Nove. UA 66th Mech Bde reported under significant pressure. UA 63rd Mech Bde reports difficult situation north of Lyman, heavy RU infantry pressure; brigade actively supporting adjacent units. Calls for urgent command/organizational changes, potentially integrating 66th Bde into the forming 3rd Army Corps, and allocation of reserves to stabilize the Terny-Yampolivka area. UGS reported 17 Russian attacks repelled (Apr 8). Russian control of Katerynivka confirmed. Russian claims of >2km advance near Torske, entry into northern Torske, advances towards Nove, and advance near Novoliubivka (Colonelcassad, Apr 9). DeepState confirms Russian advance near Katerynivka (Apr 9).
Pokrovsk Axis: Highest activity (58 Russian attacks repelled Apr 8). Russian sources acknowledge Ukrainian counterattacks hindering advances near Shevchenko and Kotlyne. Fighting persists for Kotlyne, Shevchenko, Lysivka. DeepState reports Ukrainian forces recovered positions near Kotlyne (Apr 9). Russian sources claim close combat near Tarasivka involving RU 33rd MRR, including FPV strike on UA structure (Dva Mayora, Apr 9); RU claims repelling a UA motorized attack towards Tarasivka, providing geolocations for RU position (48.34437, 37.55187) and alleged destroyed UA APC (48.35467, 37.55518) (Slyvochny Kapriz/Dva Mayora, Apr 9). Testimony from an alleged Russian POW (33rd MRR) suggests high losses, poor treatment on this axis. Ukrainian MIA project "Khochu Naiti" reports highest number of RU MIA requests (2,144) from this district in March 2025. UA "Flying Skull" unit drone strike claimed 7 RU KIA on this axis (Apr 9).
Kursk/Sumy Border Zone: Significant activity (25 Russian attacks repelled by Ukrainian forces operating in the zone Apr 8). Russian confirmation of controlling Huyevo (Kursk) (Colonelcassad, Apr 9). Russian MoD claims 177th Naval Infantry Regiment secured evacuation of civilians from Huyevo. Fierce fighting ongoing in Oleshnia and Hornal (Kursk), with Russian forces claiming entry, gradual clearing, and advances towards Hornal (Colonelcassad, Apr 9). RU claims missile strikes on UA 80th & 82nd Air Assault Brigade concentration areas near Oleshnia and Hornal, claiming ~45 UA KIA (Colonelcassad/The_Wrong_Side, Apr 9). Russian claims of expanding control near Loknya (Sumy), with fighting reported in the center of Loknya towards Yunakivka (Apr 9 morning). Russian sources describe situation as difficult for UA, alleging rapid RU reinforcements (Alex Parker Returns). Ukrainian Air Assault Forces report successful ambush against a Russian infantry group attempting to advance in Kursk Oblast. Russian Rosgvardia claims destruction of a US M113 APC and a pickup carrying UA drone operators in Sumy Oblast using fiber-optic drones. RU claims capture/destruction of German Marder IFV near Huyevo. Russian sources report heavy mining and difficulty clearing UA forces from forests/ravines near Popovka/Demidovka. Reports indicate UA 299th BTA personnel used as infantry reinforcements due to losses. Russian sources (RVvoenkor) published alleged civilian accounts from Guevo accusing Ukrainian forces of atrocities (shooting civilians, looting, drone attacks, shelling evacuees - resulting in 6 KIA). These claims require independent verification. Ukrainian MIA project "Khochu Naiti" reports 141 MIA requests specifically for RU 810th Naval Infantry Brigade operating in Kursk Oblast during March 2025. RU analysis (Slivochniy Kapriz) claims RU advanced 26.0 km² in Kursk/Sumy oblasts between Apr 3-7. Ukrainian source details death of RU soldier ("Varyag", Akhmat unit) in Kursk area ("Truba").
Toretsk Axis: High activity (18 Russian attacks repelled Apr 8). Situation assessed as worsening by Ukrainian sources. Russian claims of advances near Ozaryanivka. Russian sources claim >500m advance west of Zabalka microdistrict (Apr 9). Russian sources claim expanded control zone north of Dzerzhynsk (Colonelcassad, Apr 9). DeepState reports Russian advances near Kalynove and Nadiivka (Apr 9). RU source (Kotenok, Apr 9) claims breakthrough of UA defenses in the Kalynove area ("Kalynivskyi defensive area") west of Donetsk, attacking towards Valentynivka, near Sukha Balka, west of Aleksandropol, and from Panteleimonivka towards Kalynove/Sukha Balka road. Claims breakthrough west of H20 highway from Ocheretyne direction, advancing west/east of Kalynivskyi pond and entering Kalynove. Also claims attacks from Zelenyi Pol flank (Pokrovsk axis) to bypass Kalynove defenses.
Novopavlivsk Axis: Significant activity (13 Russian attacks repelled Apr 8). Russian claims of expanding control on the Bohatyr section, capturing Dniproenergiya, controlling the Konstantynopil-Bohatyr highway, and fighting towards Bohatyr. RU source (Voin DV, Apr 9) claims 1.2km deep / 2.2km wide breakthrough near Dniproenerhiia–Otradne, clearing forest, taking 2 heights, claiming ~20 UA KIA. RU source (Kotenok, Apr 9) claims further advance towards Komar/Otradne, 1.2km deep / 2.5km wide east of Mokri Yaly river, threatening H15 road; continued attacks near Bohatyr.
Bakhmut Axis: Ukrainian MIA project "Khochu Naiti" reports second-highest number of RU MIA requests (933) from this district in March 2025, indicating continued high intensity/losses.
Russian Advance Rate Trend: Earlier analysis (ISW, Apr 7) indicated Russian territorial gains decreased monthly from Nov 2024 (~627-730 sq km) to Mar 2025 (~143-203 sq km), partly attributed to successful localized Ukrainian counterattacks (Pokrovsk, Toretsk axes). However, recent RU claims (Slivochniy Kapriz, Apr 9) suggest a localized increase, alleging 2.8 km²/day average advance in the SVO zone and 26.0 km² gain in Kursk/Sumy areas between Apr 3-7.
Russian Losses & Morale: Ukrainian project "Khochu Naiti" reports a record 10,027 requests from Russian sources seeking information on MIAs in March 2025 (>320 daily). Total requests since Jan 2024 approach 80,000. The project confirmed 2,057 Russian personnel in Ukrainian captivity, 529 of whom have been exchanged. Highest March MIA requests concerned personnel from 74th, 15th, and 30th (doubled since Feb) Motor Rifle Brigades, primarily lost in Pokrovsk and Bakhmut districts, and the 810th Naval Infantry Brigade in Kursk Oblast. This indicates severe losses, potential communication breakdowns, and morale issues within specific Russian units and on key axes.
Major Event - Aftermath of Massive Russian Shahed Attack (Apr 8-9):
Scale: Russia launched 55 Shahed-type UAVs and imitator drones. Ukraine confirmed 32 Shaheds intercepted; 8 imitator drones lost track of. Kharkiv Governor reported 19 Shahed UAVs attacked Kharkiv city.
Civilian Impact: Dnipro (15 WIA), Kharkiv (4 WIA), Kramatorsk (3 WIA, incl. 11yo girl). Extensive damage to civilian infrastructure (residential buildings, shops, service station, vehicles) confirmed in Dnipro and Kharkiv (Zelensky/Lysak, Apr 9).
Major Event - Large-Scale Ukrainian UAV Operations (Russia, Apr 8-9):
Extensive, coordinated Ukrainian UAV attacks targeted multiple regions across Russia. Syrskyi claims maximum range achieved now exceeds 1700 km.
Russian MoD Claim: 164 UAVs intercepted/destroyed across 14 Oblasts/Republics and Black/Azov Seas.
Key Targets/Impacts: Attempted strikes on Mozdok & Orenburg-2 airbases, Penza ammo arsenal. Explosions/debris confirmed in Rostov Oblast (Taganrog, Zernograd, Aksay, Bessergenovka). FSB EOD disarmed downed UA drone (R15 type claimed) caught in clotheslines in Aksay; fragments found on roof in Bessergenovka. Downed drone confirmed as "Army of Drones" type. UAV debris reported fell in 4 districts of Krasnodar Krai (Kuban), causing damage (no injuries reported) (TASS, Apr 9).
Claimed Attacks on Gas Infrastructure (RU MoD, Apr 9): RU claims 8 UA UAVs attacked Korenovskaya compressor station (feeds TurkStream pipeline) overnight Apr 8-9; all downed, no damage. Claims 2 UA UAVs attacked Temryuk gas distribution station (serving city/port); both destroyed. RU alleges these attacks violate purported Mar 18 agreement.
Major Event - Confirmed Ukrainian Strike on Russian Command Post (Occupied Kherson):
Ukrainian Air Force confirms successful strike on April 7 destroying the command post of the Russian 81st Self-Propelled Artillery Regiment southeast of Oleshky/Nechaeve (46.5725457, 32.752982). Claimed 20-30 Russian personnel killed. Corroborated by UA source video (Apr 9).
Major Event - Claimed Ukrainian Strike on RU Bomber:
C-in-C Syrskyi claims UA drone strike destroyed a Russian Tu-22M3 bomber on the ground "several days ago" shortly after landing (Apr 9). States cost is ~$100M. Ukrainian sources shared alleged satellite/aerial imagery. Verification Required.
Major Event - SBU/PGO Counter-Sabotage Operations:
Khmelnytskyi Oblast: SBU reports detention of two alleged FSB agents preparing IEDs to bomb cars of 8 local deputies in Kamianets-Podilskyi.
Multiple Regions (Kyiv, Kyiv Obl, Zaporizhzhia Obl, Vinnytsia Obl): Prosecutor General's Office/SBU report 9 individuals detained (under suspicion of Article 113 - Diversion) allegedly recruited via Telegram by Russian handlers. Network conducted arson attacks on Ukrainian Armed Forces vehicles and railway infrastructure (relay boxes) in Darnytskyi (Kyiv), Bucha (Kyiv Obl.), Zaporizhzhia city area, and Vinnytsia railway lines. Attacks were filmed for payment. (PGO, Apr 9).
Occupied Donetsk (Volnovakha): RU FSB claims detention of resident allegedly storing explosives/IED parts for UA saboteurs (Mash na Donbasse, Apr 9).
Diplomatic/Political Context:
Chinese MFA denies sending military personnel to Ukraine, demands its citizens not participate in hostilities (RU source, Apr 9). Peskov refuses comment on reports of captured Chinese nationals.
Russia-US consultations scheduled for Apr 10 (RU MFA).
RU MFA warns against foreign military presence in Ukraine, condemns detention of RU MFA employee in Paris, protests alleged memorial vandalism in Estonia (Zakharova/Peskov/TASS, Apr 9).
RU MFA (Zakharova, Apr 9) claims UK/France preparing military intervention force for Odesa (amplified by RU milbloggers).
NYT reports Pentagon concern over aid straining US resources for Asia/China (Apr 9).
Syrskyi notes decreased US aid, Europe as main source; suggests foreign contingent could stabilize situation temporarily. Syrskyi also cited (via RU/UA sources) stating UA needs 30k mobilized monthly, approx. 6M males avoiding TCC updates, push for digitalization for personnel tracking. Expresses concern over upcoming Zapad-2025 RU-Belarus drills.
Bloomberg reports European officials asking US to coordinate/slow potential future troop withdrawals from Europe. TASS reports NATO countries asking US not to withdraw troops without warning (Apr 9).
Ukraine received €1 Billion (third tranche) from EU via G7 initiative ERA, secured by revenues from frozen Russian assets. Total received via ERA is €5 Billion. (RBC-Ukraina/Operatyvnyi ZSU, Apr 9).
Internal Russian Military:
Explosion in barracks of 147th Artillery Regiment (Taman Division) near Odintsovo (Moscow Oblast), 6 conscripts wounded (ASTRA).
Decision made to send previously arrested General Ivan Popov (former 58th CAA commander, accused of fraud May 2024) to the Special Military Operation zone (RU sources citing lawyer). He will reportedly command an assault detachment (Storm-Z unit confirmed), but will not be restored to his previous rank (RU sources, Alex Parker, Mobilizatsiya, Apr 9).
Ukrainian Economic Context:
Ukraine's trade turnover Q1 2025 was $28.4 Billion. Imports ($18.5B) significantly exceeded exports ($9.9B). Key imports: Machinery/Transport ($6.8B), Chemicals ($3.2B), Fuel/Energy ($2.5B). Key exports: Food ($5.8B). (Operatyvnyi ZSU, Apr 9). This highlights dependence on imports, especially fuel/energy, and role as food exporter. Cold weather impacting energy system, calls for conservation (RBC-Ukraina, Apr 9).
Ballistic Missile Threat: Active for Zaporizhzhia Oblast (UA AF, 10:34 UTC). Missile reported moving towards Zaporizhzhia city (10:34 UTC). Air raid alert declared for entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Zaporizhzhia ODA, 10:23 UTC).
Persistent Russian tactical aviation activity on Northeastern, Eastern, and Southeastern directions, posing threat of air-launched weapons to frontline oblasts (UA AF, 09:31 UTC, 10:22 UTC).
Active threat of KAB/KAR attacks on Sumy Oblast, multiple launches confirmed (UA AF, 08:32 - 09:42 UTC, 10:12 UTC).
Hostile UAVs detected in Northern Kharkiv Oblast, engagement reported (UA AF, 10:03 UTC).
Ended Threats: Strike UAV threat (Sumy area ended/not reported after 09:11 UTC). Air alerts ended for Kyiv (09:13 UTC). Recon UAV engagement over E Dnipropetrovsk no longer reported.
Missile Strikes: 1 reported by UGS (possibly Iskander-M). RU claims missile strikes on UA 80/82 Bde concentrations near Oleshnia/Hornal (Kursk). Ballistic missile threats declared twice for multiple regions including Kyiv (Zelensky, Apr 9). Missile reported heading towards Zaporizhzhia (Apr 9, 10:34 UTC).
Air Strikes: 91 reported (UGS), involving 162 KABs. OTU Kharkiv reported 2 airstrikes (5 KABs) in its zone. Targets across Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson Oblasts. Active KAB launches ongoing towards Sumy (Apr 9).
Kamikaze Drones:2180 used (UGS); ~320 in SDF South zone. 111 used in OTU Kharkiv zone. 55 Shahed-type/imitator drones launched overnight Apr 8-9 (Zelensky/UA AF). 19 Shaheds targeted Kharkiv city (Kharkiv Gov). Colonelcassad claims targeted strikes using Shaheds on logistics/repair facilities. RU FPV drone strike hit council building in Bilyi Kolodiaz (Kharkiv Obl.) during humanitarian aid distribution (Zelensky, Apr 9).
Shelling: Almost 4900 instances (UGS), including 100 MLRS attacks. ~220 incidents (>800 rounds) in SDF South zone. 601 shellings in OTU Kharkiv zone.
Massive Ukrainian UAV Operations (Russia, Apr 8-9):158-164 UAVs claimed downed by Russia across 14 regions. Key targets included Mozdok & Orenburg-2 airbases, Penza ammo depot. Damage/disruption/debris confirmed in Rostov Oblast (Aksay, Bessergenovka), Krasnodar Krai (4 districts). "Army of Drones" type confirmed used. Downed drone disarmed in Aksay, fragments found on roof in Bessergenovka.
Claimed Ukrainian Strikes on Russian Energy/Gas Infrastructure (RU MoD, Apr 9): RU MoD alleges ongoing UA attacks violate alleged Mar 18 agreement. Specific claims (past 24h):
Kursk Oblast: Apr 8, 08:18 - power line damage, Bolshoye Soldatskoye outage; Apr 8, 13:20 - power line damage, Kamyshnoye/Krupets outage.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Occupied): Apr 8, 22:39 - UAV hit Botiyevsk wind power plant, reducing capacity 3.25MW.
Rostov Oblast: Apr 9, 03:50 - UAV damaged high-voltage line, ~400 consumers out in Kamensky District.
Krasnodar Krai: Overnight Apr 8-9 - 8 UAVs attacked Korenovskaya compressor station (feeds TurkStream pipeline); all downed, no damage. Apr 9, 02:30 - 2 UAVs attacked Temryuk gas distribution station (serving city/port); both destroyed.
Bryansk Oblast: UA kamikaze drone hit agricultural enterprise substation in Sevsky district, damaging power/gas supply (Gov. Bogomaz, Apr 9).
Ukrainian Strike on RU CP (Occupied Kherson, Apr 7): Confirmed destruction of 81st Arty Regt CP (46.5725457, 32.752982), 20-30 RU KIA claimed. Video evidence shared by UA source Apr 9.
Ukrainian Strike on RU Bomber (Claim): C-in-C Syrskyi claims UA drone strike destroyed a Russian Tu-22M3 bomber on the ground "several days ago". Verification Required.
Other Significant Strike Claims:
RU Claims: Strike on UA logistics hub/armor repair base in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 9). Strike on repair/storage site in Apostolove (Dnipropetrovsk), alleged destruction of An-2 aircraft, vehicles, hangar (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 9). FPV strikes on UA UAV antennas (Chasiv Yar, unspecified location - Arkhangel Spetsnaza), SPG (Vasyutynske area), APC (Novodanylivka area). Artillery on UA CP (Bilohorivka). Strike on UA troop concentrations (Oleshnia/Hornal, Kursk, ~45 UA KIA claimed - Colonelcassad). Mi-28N helicopter strike using Kh-39 missile on UA drone CP. Rosgvardia destroyed US M113 APC/pickup carrying drone operators (Sumy direction) using fiber-optic drones. BMPT "Terminator" crews shown training. BM-21/2A66 strikes on UA rear CPs/reserves (238th Arty Bde). FPV strike destroyed structure used as UA cover (Tarasivka, Pokrovsk axis). Close combat footage including knife use (Kursk area, Colonelcassad/btr80). Artillery strike disabled UA tank, crew fled (Narodnaya Militsiya DNR, Apr 9). Drone strike targeted alleged UA bunker entrance (NgP raZVedka, Apr 9). Video of close combat near destroyed building (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 9).
UA Claims: GUR "Kryla" unit downed 3 RU recon UAVs (1 Orlan, 2 Supercam) (Apr 9). 63rd Mech Bde heavy drone ("Baba Yaga") strikes claim 17 RU KIA overnight (North Lyman front, Apr 9). SSO 3rd Reg successful clearing operation (unspecified village, "hottest directions"). Madyar unit reports 697 RU KIA, 1467 targets hit (Apr 1-8). RU FPV drones killed 1 civilian (Vovchansk area), injured 2 (Bilyi Kolodiaz). UA drone strike destroyed RU aid truck en route to front (ASTRA). Successful ambush by UA Air Assault Forces in Kursk Oblast. Damage reported in Zaporizhzhia frontline community from RU strikes (Apr 9). UA FPV strike damaged car near LDPR HQ in occupied Horlivka (RU source claim, Apr 9). UA "Flying Skull" unit drone strike claims 7 RU KIA (Pokrovsk axis, Apr 9). Drone strike on RU soldier near destroyed outhouse (Shef Hayabusa, Apr 9). Mocking video of alleged drunk RU soldiers (Shef Hayabusa, Apr 9). Video showing aftermath of combat, muddy terrain, possibly near evacuation point (Shef Hayabusa, Apr 9).
Ukrainian Air Defense:32 Shaheds confirmed downed overnight Apr 8-9. 7 RU recon UAVs downed in SDF South zone (Apr 8). GUR claims 3 RU recon UAVs downed (Apr 9). Engagement of UAVs reported over N Kharkiv Oblast (Apr 9). RU claims AD downed 8 UAVs targeting Korenovskaya gas station and 2 targeting Temryuk gas station (Apr 8-9).
III. Key Frontline Developments (Based on UGS Reports & Source Claims up to 10:59 UTC, Apr 9)
Kursk/Sumy Border Zone (High Intensity):
RU Offensive: Syrskyi confirms start of RU offensive operations targeting Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts (clarified as increased activity towards Oblasts, not cities). Russian forces continue offensive operations towards Yunakivka (Sumy Oblast).
Settlement Control/Fighting:
RU confirms control of Huyevo (Kursk) (Colonelcassad). RU MoD claims 177th Naval Infantry Regiment secured evacuation of civilians from Huyevo.
Fierce fighting ongoing in Hornal and Oleshnia (Kursk); RU claims gradual clearing and advances towards Hornal (Colonelcassad). RU claims missile strikes hit UA 80/82 Bde concentrations near these villages, causing ~45 UA KIA (Colonelcassad/The_Wrong_Side).
Loknya (Sumy): Fighting reported in the center of Loknya (RU source, Apr 9 morning). RU sources claim expansion of control zone south of Basivka. Fierce fighting reported around Loknya, RU trying to advance towards Yunakivka (Alex Parker).
UA Actions:25 RU attacks repelled by UA forces operating in Kursk Oblast (Apr 8, UGS). UA Air Assault Forces confirm successful ambush of RU infantry group in Kursk.
Belgorod Border: RU claims clearing operations ongoing in forests near Popovka and Demidovka (RU source).
RU Claims/Assessments: Rosgvardia destroyed M113 and pickup with drone operators (Sumy direction). German Marder IFV destroyed/captured near Huyevo (Colonelcassad). Rapid RU reinforcement reported (Alex Parker). Identified UA assault groups including personnel from 299th Brigade Tactical Aviation repurposed as infantry. Allegations of UA atrocities in Guevo published by RU sources (RVvoenkor). RU analysis (Slivochniy Kapriz) claims 26.0 km² advance in Kursk/Sumy oblasts between Apr 3-7.
Challenges: Area reported heavily mined. Difficulty dislodging UA forces from forests/ravines. Russian source assesses situation as difficult for UA forces in the area (Alex Parker).
Losses: UA project "Khochu Naiti" reports 141 MIA requests for the RU 810th Naval Infantry Brigade operating in Kursk Oblast during March 2025. UA source (Butusov Plus) reports death of RU soldier "Varyag" (Akhmat unit) in Kursk area ("Truba").
Kharkiv Axis: 3 RU attacks repelled near Vovchansk (Apr 8, UGS / OTU Kharkiv, Apr 9). Civilian killed/injured by RU FPV drones (Vovchansk area, Bilyi Kolodiaz). FPV strike hit council building in Bilyi Kolodiaz during humanitarian aid distribution (Zelensky). Persistent KAB strikes ongoing. Active threat from tactical aviation. Hostile UAVs detected and engaged over N Kharkiv Oblast (Apr 9). RU sources claim paratroopers raised flag near Volchansk (Apr 9), claim requires verification. Syrskyi confirms start of RU offensive operations targeting Kharkiv Oblast (clarified as increased activity towards Oblast). OTU Kharkiv reports situation complex, 57 RU personnel losses (31 irrecoverable), 72 equipment losses (1 AFV, 9 Arty, 8 Veh, 8 SpecEq, 2 EW, 44 UAVs), 58 RU shelters destroyed in zone (Apr 8).
Kupyansk Axis: 5 RU attacks repelled near Stepova Novoselivka/Zahryzove (Apr 8, UGS). Earlier reports (Apr 7) claimed UA advance near Kamyanka, RU advance near Zakhidne.
Lyman Axis (High Intensity / Critical Situation):Critical situation reported (Butusov Plus). Situation north of Lyman remains difficult, RU continues pressure with infantry (UA 63rd Bde). 17 RU attacks repelled near Hrekivka, Katerynivka, Nove, Kolodyazi (Apr 8, UGS).
RU Offensive: Ongoing from Nevske-Terny towards Katerynivka and Nove.
Katerynivka:Russian control confirmed.DeepState confirms RU advance near Katerynivka (Apr 9).
Torske/Nove: RU claims advance >2km near Torske, advances into northern Torske, and towards Nove. Fighting reported SE of Nove and W of Balka Zhuravka. RU claims require verification.
Novoliubivka: RU claim advance near Novoliubivka (Colonelcassad, Apr 9).
UA Activity/Concerns: Pressure on 66th Mech Bde. UA 63rd Mech Bde supporting adjacent units, claims 17 RU KIA via heavy drone strikes overnight. Calls for integrating 66th Bde into 3rd Army Corps, allocating reserves, stabilizing Terny-Yampolivka area.
Siversk Axis: 4 RU attacks repelled near Hryhorivka, Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamianske area (Apr 8, UGS).
Kramatorsk Axis (incl. Chasiv Yar): 6 clashes reported (Apr 8, UGS). Kramatorsk city hit by Shahed (3 injured, incl. 11yo girl). RU claims FPV strike on UA UAV antennas N of Chasiv Yar. Earlier reports (Apr 6) confirmed RU advance near Zapadnyi microdistrict.
Bakhmut Flanks/Area: Ukrainian project "Khochu Naiti" received 933 MIA requests for Russian personnel in the Bakhmut district during March 2025, indicating continued heavy fighting and significant Russian losses.
Kotlyne:UA forces recovered positions near Kotlyne (DeepState, Apr 9), though fighting continues. RU sources acknowledged UA counterattacks hindered RU advances near Shevchenko and Kotlyne (Apr 8).
Tarasivka: RU source claims close combat involving RU 33rd MRR, FPV strike on UA cover (Dva Mayora, Apr 9). RU claims repelled UA motorized attack towards Tarasivka; geolocates RU position (48.34437, 37.55187) and alleged destroyed UA APC (48.35467, 37.55518) (Slyvochny Kapriz/Dva Mayora, Apr 9).
UA Drone Strikes: UA "Flying Skull" unit claims 7 RU KIA via drone strikes on this axis (Sternenko, Apr 9).
Morale/Losses: Alleged POW (RU 33rd MRR) describes high losses, use of convicts, killing refusers, poor equipment. Ukrainian project "Khochu Naiti" reports highest number of RU MIA requests (2,144) from the Pokrovsk district in March 2025, confirming extreme intensity and heavy Russian losses.
Toretsk Axis (High Intensity):18 RU attacks repelled near Ozaryanivka, Toretsk, Leonidivka (Apr 8, UGS). UA assessment indicates deteriorating situation.
RU Advances Claimed/Confirmed: RU claims advance near Ozaryanivka. RU source claims >500m advance west of Zabalka microdistrict (Apr 9, 48.38524, 37.82253). RU claims expanded control zone north of Dzerzhynsk (Colonelcassad, Apr 9). DeepState reports RU advances near Kalynove and Nadiivka (Apr 9). Positional fighting ongoing near Dzerzhynsky mine spoil tip. RU source (Kotenok, Apr 9) claims significant breakthrough of UA defenses in the Kalynove area, attacking multiple points (Valentynivka, Sukha Balka, W of Aleksandropol, W of Panteleimonivka) and entering Kalynove from Ocheretyne direction. Also claims flanking attacks from Zelenyi Pol (Pokrovsk axis). These are significant RU claims requiring verification.
Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk Axis: 13 RU attacks repelled near Kostiantynopil, Rozlyv, Dniproenerhiia, Burlatske (Apr 8, UGS).
RU Claims: Expansion of control on Bohatyr section, capture of Dniproenergiya, control of Konstantynopil-Bohatyr highway, fighting towards Bohatyr. Drone strikes reported by RU 77th Recon Bn / 127th MRD. RU source (Voin DV, Apr 9) claims 1.2km deep / 2.2km wide breakthrough near Dniproenerhiia–Otradne, clearing forest, taking 2 heights, claiming ~20 UA KIA. RU source (Kotenok, Apr 9) claims further 1.2km deep / 2.5km wide advance towards Komar/Otradne east of Mokri Yaly river, threatening H15 road; continued attacks near Bohatyr.
Huliaipole Axis: 3 RU attacks repelled towards Vilne Pole / near Burlatske (Apr 8, UGS).
Zaporizhzhia Axis (Orikhiv): 4 RU attacks repelled near Stepove/Lobkove (Apr 8, UGS). 1 civilian injured by RU strikes (Apr 8). Fighting ongoing near Lobkove, Shcherbaky. RU activation reported near Myrne. Damage to houses/cars reported in frontline community from RU strikes (Apr 9, Zaporizhzhia ODA). Ballistic missile threat active, air raid alert declared for entire oblast (10:23-10:34 UTC, Apr 9).
Novopoltavka Building Collapse Aftermath:2 children confirmed killed, 4 injured (serious condition). Cause remains unclear.
Prydniprovsky Axis (Kherson Left Bank): No RU ground assaults reported (Apr 8, UGS). Ukrainian bridgeheads maintained. Confirmed UA strike on RU 81st Arty Regt CP (see Section I). RU claims UA attempted river crossing near Antonivsky Bridge overnight (prevented), observes UA logistics buildup towards Kherson/Mykolaiv, reports mutual fire and UA drone strike on 2 ambulances in Nova Kakhovka (Dnevnik Desantnika, Apr 9).
IV. Naval Situation
Black Sea / Sea of Azov:No Russian warships or missile carriers detected (UA Navy / UGS, Apr 9 morning). RU MoD claimed destroying 6 UAVs over Black Sea, 7 over Azov Sea overnight.
Russian: Continued heavy use of Shaheds (55 overnight), KABs/KARs (162/day), FPV/Kamikaze drones (2180/day), and mass artillery. Use of missiles (Iskander-M, Kh-39 from Mi-28N, claimed strikes on UA Bde concentrations, ballistic towards Zaporizhzhia) claimed/observed. FPV drones used against UA UAV CPs, SPGs, APCs, M113, pickup trucks (incl. sapper vehicle), structures used as cover (Tarasivka), car near political HQ (Horlivka), UA antennas (Arkhangel Spetsnaza). Targeted strikes on alleged logistics/repair hubs (confectionery factory, medical warehouses, industrial plants, aviation club, Dnipropetrovsk base, Apostolove repair/storage site). New batch of BMP-3s delivered with enhanced protection (slat armor, anti-drone cages, low-vis kits); Rostec claims 10% production increase in March. Improvised cope cages observed on damaged/stuck vehicles near Huyevo. Rostec reports development of smoke grenades/aerosol systems effective in visible/IR spectrum. BMPT "Terminator" production/training shown. Use of fiber-optic drones claimed for strikes in Sumy Oblast. Evidence of weaponizing commercial drones with RPG rounds (Dva Mayora). Identified need for Infantry EW backpacks (Kursk), Recon drones (esp. night) & supply issues (Zaporizhzhia), drones/ATVs (Kupyansk - 352nd MRR). Reports of sending personnel with diagnosed mental health issues to frontlines. Continued reports of using convicts, poor treatment, and killing refusers (Pokrovsk). Use of artillery (BM-21, 2A66) with drone recon for rear area strikes. Recruitment estimated at 8-9k contract soldiers per month. Alleged arrival of North Korean personnel; unverified claim of Chinese personnel (Sumy). Use of motorcycle with sidecar noted for mobility in muddy conditions. Employment of 177th Naval Infantry Regiment in Kursk border operations (Huyevo). Deployment of previously arrested General Ivan Popov to SVO zone (as Storm-Z assault detachment commander, not restored in rank). RU Military Intelligence active PSYOP campaign using Telegram bot (@oko_saurona2_robot) soliciting information from Ukrainians, promising rewards (Basurin, Apr 9). Significant Issue: Repeated accidental dropping of own FAB/UMPB glide bombs on Russian/occupied territory (at least 50 since Jan 2025 reported by ASTRA), causing civilian casualties/damage (incl. injury to civilian driver in Belgorod Apr 8), attributed to UMPK modification flaws. Authorities attempt to conceal these incidents. Criticisms noted regarding RU training duration and lack of unit cohesion (Filolog v zasade).
Ukrainian: Active AD against large drone waves (32/55 Shaheds downed Apr 8-9). Massive, coordinated deep UAV strikes into Russia (~1700km+ range confirmed) targeting airbases, ammo depot, gas infrastructure (Korenovskaya, Temryuk - RU claims downed). Confirmed use of "Army of Drones" type UAVs in Rostov Oblast strikes. Successful Air Force strike on RU CP (81st Arty Regt, Kherson - geolocated). Claimed drone strike destroying RU Tu-22M3 bomber "several days ago" (Syrskyi). Successful use of heavy bomber drones ("Baba Yaga" type / Nemesis) by 63rd Mech Bde on Lyman front (claimed 17 RU KIA overnight). Sustained ground operations in Kursk Oblast, including successful ambushes (Air Assault Forces). Recovered positions near Kotlyne (Pokrovsk Axis). SSO clearing operations in unspecified village. Active use of FPV drones (including against RU police/military in Belgorod Oblast, GUR downing 3 RU recon UAVs, alleged strike on car near political HQ in occupied Horlivka, alleged strikes damaging ambulances in Nova Kakhovka, claimed 7 RU KIA by "Flying Skull" unit on Pokrovsk axis, strike damaging RU soldier near outhouse, strike destroying RU tank - Narodnaya Militsiya DNR RU claim, strike destroying RU bunker entrance - NgP raZVedka RU claim). FPV drone strike targeting council building in Bilyi Kolodiaz (Kharkiv Obl.) during humanitarian aid distribution reported (Zelensky). Syrskyi claims sufficient EW capabilities against KAB guidance systems and plans to increase fiber-optic FPV production. PSYOP via drone leaflets, "Khochu Naiti" project targeting RU families. Ongoing FPV drone procurement via crowdfunding (+280 units / 5.4M UAH reported purchased by Sternenko fund in past day). Active 80th Separate Air Assault Brigade recruitment campaign targeting 18-24 year olds. UA 225th Separate Assault Battalion "Pentagon" actively recruiting for expansion, seeking specialists (drones, sappers, EW, etc.). Use of recon UAVs over Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts. SBU counter-sabotage operations (thwarted plot in Khmelnytskyi, disrupted network targeting ZSU vehicles/railways). Reported repurposing of air force ground personnel (299th BTA) as infantry in Sumy border area due to losses. Syrskyi cited stating need for 30k mobilized personnel monthly, push for digitalization to track ~6M males avoiding TCC updates. Facing critical situation on Lyman front, requiring urgent decisions/reserves. Loss of vehicle confirmed for 118th Mech Bde sappers due to RU FPV strike; fundraising underway for replacement (Tsaplienko).
VI. Reported Losses (Apr 8-9 Claims/Updates - Summary)
Russian Losses (UA Claims - Specific): 20-30 KIA at 81st Arty Regt CP (Apr 7, Kherson). 17 KIA claimed by UA 63rd Bde drone strikes (North Lyman, overnight Apr 8-9). 7 KIA claimed by "Flying Skull" unit drone strike (Pokrovsk axis, Apr 9). Claimed destruction of Tu-22M3 bomber (Syrskyi). 3 recon UAVs (1 Orlan, 2 Supercam) downed by GUR (Apr 9). Personnel losses from UA ambush in Kursk Oblast (unspecified). Claimed elimination of 9 RU officers (1 Col, 5 Sr Lt, 2 Lt, 1 Jr Lt), incl. FSB Border Institute grad (Shtirlits, Apr 9). Death of RU soldier "Varyag" (Akhmat unit) in Kursk area ("Truba") confirmed (Butusov Plus). Record MIA reports via UA project suggest very high losses, particularly on Pokrovsk/Bakhmut axes and for specific brigades (74, 15, 30 OMSBr; 810 Naval Inf).
Ukrainian Losses (RU Claims): German Marder IFV destroyed/captured near Huyevo (Kursk). ~50 KIA (80/82 Bdes, Kursk - related to Oleshnia/Hornal strikes, claim up to 45 KIA). Elements of 39th Coast Guard / 17th Mech Bdes (Belgorod border). SPG, APC, UAV antennas. APC destroyed near Tarasivka (Pokrovsk, geolocated claim 48.35467, 37.55518). M113 APC and pickup with drone operators (Sumy Oblast). Personnel from 299th BTA (repurposed as infantry) engaged in Kursk/Sumy border zone. 4 vehicles destroyed (Sumy direction, Apr 8). Transport vehicle hit by arty. Personnel losses in Tarasivka combat (Pokrovsk axis). ~20 KIA claimed near Dniproenerhiia–Otradne (Novopavlivsk axis). Vehicle (pickup) used by 118th Mech Bde sappers destroyed by RU FPV drone (UA source Tsaplienko confirms loss). Alleged 6 civilians KIA during evacuation from Guevo (Kursk) due to UA shelling (RVvoenkor claim). Claimed destruction of 2 service vehicles, warehouses, repair workshop at logistics/repair base in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Claimed destruction of aircraft (2x An-2, 1x sport plane), vehicles at Apostolove repair site. Claimed damage to 2 ambulances by UA drone strike in Nova Kakhovka. Tank disabled by artillery, crew fled (Narodnaya Militsiya DNR claim).
VII. Civilian Impact
Ukraine (from Russian Attacks):
Major Casualties (Apr 8-9 Shahed/Missile Attack):Dnipro (15 WIA), Kharkiv (4 WIA), Kramatorsk (3 WIA, incl. 11yo girl). Total 11 hospitalized in Dnipro/Kharkiv from overnight/day attacks (Zelensky, Apr 9).
Other Casualties (Apr 8-9): 1 KIA (RU FPV, Vovchansk area), 2 WIA (RU FPV, Bilyi Kolodiaz - during aid distribution at council building), 1 WIA (RU KAB, Kharkiv border), 1 WIA (RU shelling, Zaporizhzhia).
Infrastructure Damage: Extensive damage to residential buildings (multi-story), enterprises (incl. confectionery factory, service station), civilian vehicles (>20 burnt in Kharkiv/Dnipro), shops, clinic (ambulatoria), gas pipeline reported in Dnipro, Kharkiv, Kramatorsk, Apostolove, Nikopol District from Shahed/missile strikes (Zelensky/Lysak/Kharkiv ODA, Apr 9). Damage to houses/cars reported in Zaporizhzhia frontline community (Apr 9). Damage to energy infrastructure reported in Dnipropetrovsk (Samarivskyi District) from UAV attacks. Ongoing cleanup/recovery efforts noted in Dnipro (Lysak, Apr 9).
Internal Security: SBU thwarted alleged FSB plot to bomb cars of 8 local deputies in Kamianets-Podilskyi (Khmelnytskyi Oblast). SBU/PGO announced disruption of 9-person RU agent network conducting arson attacks on ZSU vehicles and railway infrastructure in Kyiv, Kyiv Obl, Zaporizhzhia Obl, Vinnytsia Obl. FSB detains resident in Volnovakha (occupied Donetsk) allegedly storing explosives/IED parts for UA saboteurs (RU claim).
Russia / Occupied Areas (from Ukrainian Actions / Conflict Effects / Russian Errors):
Belgorod Oblast (Accidental Russian Bombing):1 civilian driver injured, car damaged, when a Russian FAB bomb accidentally fell on the Tomarovka-Rakitnoye road (Apr 8, ASTRA). Pattern of at least 50 such incidents since Jan 2025 due to faulty UMPK kits reported.
Belgorod Oblast (Krasnaya Yaruga area):3 RU police officers wounded by UAV strike on police vehicle (Apr 8-9, ASTRA). 2 RU military ("Orlan" unit) and 2 civilians reported wounded by UAV strikes (Apr 8-9, ASTRA/Governor). Total 6 WIA reported by Governor (Apr 8). Damage reports.
Rostov Oblast: UAV disarmed in Aksay (temporary evacuation, school to distance learning). Fragments found on private house roof in Bessergenovka. Earlier roof damage (Zernograd, Donetsk RU), evacuation (Aksay) due to UAV debris/impacts. Power outage reported affecting ~400 consumers in Kamensky District due to alleged UA UAV strike damaging high-voltage line (Apr 9, RU MoD claim).
Kursk Oblast (Guevo): RU sources publish allegations of UA forces shooting civilians, looting, drone attacks on homes, and shelling evacuees (6 KIA claimed). RU MoD claims evacuation facilitated by 177th Naval Infantry Regiment. UA actions/atrocity claims require independent verification. Power outages reported in Bolshoye Soldatskoye, Kamyshnoye, Krupets due to alleged UA strikes on power lines (Apr 8, RU MoD claim).
Krasnodar Krai (Kuban): UAV debris fell in 4 districts, causing unspecified damage; no injuries reported (TASS, Apr 9). RU MoD claims 8 UA UAVs targeting Korenovskaya gas compressor station (TurkStream feed) were downed overnight; no damage reported. Claims 2 UA UAVs targeting Temryuk gas distribution station were destroyed; no damage.
Bryansk Oblast: RU Gov. Bogomaz claims UA kamikaze drone hit agricultural enterprise substation in Sevsky district, damaging power/gas supply; no casualties.
Occupied Donetsk (Horlivka): RU claims UA FPV drone struck car near LDPR HQ, causing explosion (Apr 9, Dnevnik Desantnika). Previous claims of UA drone strikes injuring energy workers/official.
Occupied Zaporizhzhia:
Novopoltavka: Building collapse aftermath - 2 children confirmed killed, 4 civilians seriously injured.
Botiyevsk: RU MoD claims UA UAV hit wind power plant, reducing capacity by 3.25MW (Apr 8).
VIII. Current Alerts (As of 10:59 UTC)
Ballistic Missile Threat: Active for Zaporizhzhia Oblast (UA Air Force, missile reported towards city).
Tactical Aviation Threat: Active for Northeastern, Eastern, and Southeastern Frontline Oblasts (UA Air Force).
Guided Air Bomb (KAB/KAR) Threat: Active for Sumy Oblast (UA Air Force, launches confirmed).
UAV Threat: Active in Northern Kharkiv Oblast (UA Air Force, engagement ongoing).
Air Raid Alert: Declared for entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Zaporizhzhia ODA).
(Ended Alerts: Strike UAV Threat (Sumy), Ballistic Missile Threat (other regions), Kyiv City, Recon UAV Threat (E Dnipro))
IX. Map Changes Summary (DeepState Apr 9 / Colonelcassad Apr 9 / Other RU Sources Apr 9)
Pokrovsk Axis: Ukrainian forces recovered positions near Kotlyne (DeepState). RU claims repelled UA attack near Tarasivka, provides geolocations for RU position (48.34437, 37.55187) and alleged destroyed UA APC (48.35467, 37.55518) (Slyvochny Kapriz).
Lyman Axis: Russian forces advanced near Katerynivka (DeepState). RU claims advance near Novoliubivka (Colonelcassad).
Toretsk Axis: Russian forces advanced near Kalynove and Nadiivka (DeepState). RU claims expanded control zone north of Dzerzhynsk (Colonelcassad). RU sources (Kotenok) claim breakthrough of defenses and entry into Kalynove.
Novopavlivsk Axis: RU source (Voin DV / Kotenok) claims 1.2km advance near Dniproenerhiia–Otradne and further 1.2km deep / 2.5km wide advance towards Komar/Otradne, threatening H15 road.
Kursk Border: Russian forces confirmed control of Huyevo and claim advances towards Hornal (Colonelcassad). RU source (Slivochniy Kapriz) claims 26.0 km² advance in Kursk/Sumy areas between Apr 3-7.
