Military Situation Update: Ukraine - April 6, 2025, 07:01 UTC
I. Executive Summary & Major Developments
Large-Scale Overnight Air Assault (Resolved): Russia executed a significant combined air attack targeting Kyiv and its agglomeration, the Uman district (Cherkasy Oblast), Starokostiantyniv (Khmelnytskyi Oblast), and Sumy. Weapon systems reportedly included Kh-101/Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles, and Shahed/Gerbera-type UAVs.
Russian Claims (WarGonzo): Estimated approx. 40 UAVs, 10 Kalibrs, and 10 ballistic missiles (targeting Kyiv). Source (Basurin) claims strikes were precise against military targets.
Air Defense Activity: Air alerts concluded across Ukraine. Polish and Allied air assets were active over Poland during the attack.
Kyiv Attack Aftermath: Ballistic missiles inflicted damage and casualties in Kyiv city. Damage also reported in Kyiv Oblast.
Damage (City): Confirmed fires and damage to non-residential buildings in Darnytskyi, Obolonskyi, and Solomianskyi districts. Includes a partial collapse (3rd-5th floors) of a 5-story business center (Obolonskyi), fires at a furniture workshop spreading to a warehouse (Obolonskyi), destruction of a non-residential building and ignition of 3 cars (Darnytskyi), and 8 additional vehicles damaged (Darnytskyi). Warehouse fire reported in Solomianskyi. Visual confirmation of a large crater (Obolonskyi).
Damage (Kyiv Oblast - RBC-Ukraina/Oper. ZSU): Combined attack caused damage in Brovarskyi (2 buildings of auto repair shop destroyed, 7 cars, 2 loaders damaged, gas station facade/windows damaged), Buchanskyi (roof/wall of house damaged), and Fastivskyi (car damaged) districts. No casualties reported in Kyiv Oblast from these specific incidents.
Sumy Shahed Attack: An overnight attack involving 8 Shahed drones targeted civil/industrial infrastructure in Sumy city.
Damage: Administrative and warehouse buildings, vehicles, and equipment of an enterprise damaged (Sumy OVA). Visual evidence shows significant fire damage at industrial/warehouse-type facilities. RU sources (Kotenok) claim an industrial enterprise was destroyed.
Kupyansk Residential Strike: A Russian Guided Air Bomb (KAB) struck the 9th floor of a residential high-rise building in Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast).
Damage: Resultant fire spread across multiple balconies (2nd-7th floors) and four apartments (100 sq m area). Partial damage to the struck building and window damage in three adjacent buildings. Visuals confirm damage.
Mykolaiv Drone Attack: Overnight Shahed attack resulted in falling debris.
Casualties:4 civilians injured (at least 3 women confirmed) (ASTRA/Main Report).
Damage: Fires in two private houses (extinguished), damage to 13 private houses and one vehicle (Main Report). Visuals confirm damage and emergency response. 7 Shaheds downed over Mykolaiv Oblast (UA Southern Forces).
Commemoration: National Day of Mourning observed Apr 6, including in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Ground Combat Intensity: Remains HIGH, particularly on the Eastern Front. 178 combat engagements reported by UGS over the past 24 hours (as of Apr 6 AM). UA Southern Defense Forces report high RU drone intensity in the South (>500 kamikaze drones/day, >250 drops/day).
Russian Offensive Posture & Activity:
Main Effort:Pokrovsk axis remains primary focus (75 attacks stopped).
Weapon Usage: Heavy use of KABs (163 used over Ukraine, 34 on Kursk direction in 24h; 22 used in South), kamikaze drones (2237 used in 24h, ~500 in South), artillery/MLRS (~5449 shelling incidents, 123 from MLRS in 24h), and unguided rockets (16 NARs used in South).
RU Claims (Advances): Near Novoliubivka (Lyman axis) (W of Balka Zhuravka, 3.5km wide, 1.72km deep salient) and Kamianka (Kupyansk axis) (S. outskirts). TASS claims RU forces pushing UA units out of Huyevo and Oleshnia in Kursk Oblast.
RU Claims (FPV/Other Strikes):
Sparta Btn (Colonelcassad): Destroyed Kozak APC and 3 vehicles via FPV.
16th Spetsnaz Bde (Colonelcassad): Destroyed T-72 tank near Podoly (Kharkiv Oblast, Kupyansk direction).
Other claims: Hits on personnel, Starlink, Kirpi APC, pickup truck, comms equipment (Pokrovsk, Novopavlivsk axes).
Training: MoD Russia reports combat cohesion training for Sever Group units (44th Army Corps) focusing on tactical shooting, mine warfare, UAV use, and assault tactics.
Ukrainian Defensive Operations & Activity:
Air Defense: Engaged ballistic/cruise missiles over Kyiv. 7 Shaheds downed over Mykolaiv Oblast (Southern Forces). RU Claim (MoD/Kotenok): 11 UA UAVs downed over Rostov (8), Kursk (2), Belgorod (1) Oblasts overnight.
Ground Defense: Repelled numerous assaults, notably 75 on the Pokrovsk axis and 17 on the Kursk/Sumy border.
Offensive Actions: Continued use of FPV drones (60th OMBR, Favorit Coy, Rubizh BTG, Sternenko units active). Hit 12 RU concentration areas, 1 AD system (UGS, past day). Rubizh BTG reports repelling RU assault with combined arms (infantry, drones, mortars, arty, tanks). Sternenko channel claims successful drone-vs-drone interception ("samurai-padawans").
Information Environment: RU sources frame strikes as targeting military/industrial objectives, justify attacks, claim gains. UA sources emphasize civilian casualties/damage, report high RU losses, detail extensive shelling of civilian areas. US Ambassador Brink explicitly attributed recent missile attacks to "Russia" (noted by UA sources).
Weather: Snowfall reported in Lviv, Odesa, Ternopil, and Cherkasy oblasts, potentially impacting ground and air operations (RBC-Ukraine).
99 Aviation Strikes (using 163 KABs across Ukraine; 22 KABs in the South).
16 Unguided Air Rockets (NARs) used in the South.
~5449 Shelling Attacks (including 123 MLRS attacks). >300 shelling incidents (>1300 rounds) in the South.
2237 Kamikaze Drone attacks (including ~500 kamikaze drones and >250 drone drops in the South).
Ongoing Threats (as of 07:01 UTC):
Guided Air Bombs (KABs): Persistent threat. UA Air Force reports KAB launches towards Donetsk and Sumy Oblasts (06:34 UTC). Recent confirmed KAB strikes on Kupyansk (high-rise, city council), Slatyne (Kharkiv Obl., 14 houses). Air strikes hit Stepnohirsk and Lukianivske (Zaporizhzhia Obl.).
Tactical Aviation: Activity reported on Eastern (06:28 UTC) and Northeastern (06:33 UTC) directions (UA Air Force). Threat of air strikes remains for frontline oblasts.
Uman District (Cherkasy Obl.): Targeted by cruise missiles; RU sources report explosions.
Nikopol District (Dnipropetrovsk Obl.): Continued artillery/drone attacks on Nikopol city & Marhanets community. Damage to apartments, infrastructure, shop, car. No casualties reported.
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Air strikes hit Stepnohirsk and Lukianivske. FPV strikes impact frontline settlements.
Russian Air Defense Claims: RU MoD/Kotenok claim 11 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed overnight over Rostov (8), Kursk (2), and Belgorod (1) Oblasts.
III. Frontline Situation Overview (Selected Axes - UGS Report 05:00 UTC Apr 6 & Other Sources)
(Based on 178 total combat engagements reported over the past 24 hours)
Kursk/Sumy Border: High intensity. 17 Russian attacks repelled by UA forces in Kursk Oblast (UGS). RU conducted 322 artillery/MLRS strikes, 22 air strikes (34 KABs) in this direction (UGS). RU maintains presence in UA border settlements (Kursk side).
RU Claim (TASS): Actively pushing UA units out of Huyevo and Oleshnia (Kursk Oblast).
Kharkiv Axis: Low intensity ground combat. 1 Russian attack repelled near Kamyanka (UGS). Multiple settlements under RU air/drone/arty strikes.
Kupyansk Axis: Moderate intensity. 6 Russian attacks repelled near Petropavlivka, Zahryzove, Nova Kruhliakivka (UGS). Kupyansk city heavily shelled (KAB hit high-rise, 2 injured). RU claimed destruction of T-72 near Podoly (16th Spetsnaz Bde).
RU Claim (RVvoenkor): Advanced on southern outskirts of Kamianka.
Lyman Axis:High Intensity. 26 Russian attacks conducted near Novoiehorivka, Novoliubivka, Hrekivka, Nevske, Katerynivka, Terny, Yampolivka, Torske, and towards Zelena Dolyna (UGS).
RU Claim (RVvoenkor): Secured ground west of Balka Zhuravka and Novoliubivka (claimed 3.5km wide, 1.72km deep salient).
Siversk Axis: Moderate intensity. 5 Russian attacks repelled near Bilohorivka and Verkhnokamyanske (UGS).
Kramatorsk Axis (Chasiv Yar): Low-moderate intensity ground assaults. 3 Russian attacks repelled near Chasiv Yar and Hryhorivka (UGS).
Toretsk Axis:High Intensity. 20 Russian attacks conducted near Kurdyumivka, Toretsk, Dachne, Leonidivka, and Druzhba (UGS).
Pokrovsk Axis:Highest Intensity.75 Russian attacks stopped by Ukrainian defenders near Kotlyarivka, Valentynivka, Oleksandropil, Tarasivka, Lysivka, Shevchenko, Kotlyne, Udachne, Uspenivka, Novoolexandrivka, and Bohdanivka (UGS). RU "Sparta" Btn claims FPV destruction of Kozak APC and 3 vehicles in this area.
Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk Axis: Moderate intensity. 8 Russian attacks repelled near Rozliv, Kostiantynopil, and Burlatske (UGS). RU claims drone strikes near Bohatyr.
Orikhiv Axis (Zaporizhzhia): Moderate intensity ground clashes. 4 unsuccessful Russian attacks near Stepove, Mali Shcherbaky, Mala Tokmachka, Novoandriivka (UGS & SDF). Air strikes hit Stepnohirsk and Lukianivske.
Prydniprovsky Axis (Kherson - Left Bank): Low intensity ground assaults. 2 unsuccessful Russian attempts to approach UA fortifications (UGS & SDF).
Volyn/Polissia: No signs of Russian offensive grouping formation detected.
IV. Naval Situation
(No significant changes reported since Apr 4 update)
Black Sea / Azov Sea: No Russian warships reported deployed (as of Apr 4 AM). Kalibr launch capability likely exists but vessels may be harbored.
