Military Situation Update: Ukraine - March 30, 2025, 05:25 UTC
I. Overall Situation & Combat Intensity
Combat Intensity: Remains High. The Ukrainian General Staff (UGS) reported 223 combat engagements across the front during the past 24 hours (as of 08:00 local / 05:00 UTC, Mar 30).
Russian Strikes (Past 24h - UGS): 1 missile strike, 91 aviation strikes (using 153 KABs), deployed 2,745 kamikaze drones, and executed over 6,000 shelling attacks (184 from MLRS).
Primary Russian Focus: The Pokrovsk Direction remains the main axis of Russian ground offensive efforts, with 93 Russian offensive actions reported repelled by Ukrainian forces over the past day (UGS, Mar 30 morning). This is a significant increase from the 73 attempts reported the previous evening.
Russian Offensive Assessment (ISW via RBC-Ukraina, Mar 30): Recent intensification of Russian offensive operations noted on several fronts, but without achieving tactically significant successes.
Ukrainian Actions (Past 24h - UGS): Air Force, Rocket Forces, and Artillery struck 5 Russian personnel/equipment concentration areas and 1 command post.
Volyn/Polissia Directions: No signs of Russian offensive grouping formation detected (UGS).
II. Air, Missile, Drone & Naval Activity
Threat Status (Updates as of 05:25 UTC, Mar 30):
Ballistic Missiles: Threat concluded (UA Air Force, 05:01 UTC). Threat was previously active from the north-east.
Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs): Threat remains persistent, particularly for front-line Oblasts. 153 KABs used by Russia in the past 24 hours (UGS).
Tactical Aviation: Activity persists on eastern/northeastern axes.
Shahed/Geran UAVs: Previous wave concluded. 2,745 kamikaze drones used by Russia in the past 24 hours (UGS).
Naval Missile Threat:2 Russian Kalibr missile carriers remain in the Black Sea, potential salvo of up to 8 missiles (Ukrainian Navy, Mar 30 morning). No Russian vessels reported in the Azov Sea.
Recent Major Air/Drone Operations & Interceptions:
Overnight Mar 29-30 (Russian Strikes):
Kharkiv: Mass attack using Geran-2 (Shahed) drones caused significant damage and casualties. Confirmed hit on Kharkiv Military Hospital (UGS labels war crime). Casualties: 2 civilians KIA, 30 WIA (incl. 5 children). (Previous reports).
Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): Struck by Grad MLRS overnight. Damage to an enterprise and educational facility. No civilian casualties reported. (Lysak/Vilkul, Mar 30).
Ukrainian Air Defense / UAV Interceptions:
PvK "Skhid" downed 2 enemy UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight Mar 29/30. (Lysak/Vilkul, Mar 30).
Over the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces neutralized 111 Russian operational-tactical UAVs (UGS, Mar 30 morning).
Russian Claims (UAV Interceptions - Overnight Mar 29-30):
Russian MoD claims 6 Ukrainian UAVs destroyed: 3 over Belgorod Oblast, 2 over Bryansk Oblast, 1 over Saratov Oblast. (RU MoD/TASS, Mar 30).
Bryansk Governor confirms 2 UAVs downed over Bryansk, no damage/casualties reported. (Bogomaz, Mar 30).
Ukrainian Actions (Kursk Operational Zone - UGS, Past 24h): Ukrainian Defense Forces stopped 31 Russian attacks. Ukrainian units continue operations on Russian territory aiming to disrupt potential large-scale RU offensives (Zelenskyy, previous statement).
Russian Activity (Kursk Oblast - UGS, Past 24h): Conducted 18 air strikes (using 23 KABs) and 265 artillery shelling attacks (10 from MLRS) against Ukrainian positions and settlements near the border.
Russian Claims/Advances (Kursk Oblast):
RU forces maintain control of the MAPP Sudzha checkpoint building (Previous visual confirmation/claims).
NEW (TASS, Mar 30, 04:53 UTC): Russian sources claim Ukrainian forces suffered dozens of equipment losses northwest of Sudzha, reporting destroyed and abandoned hardware.
NEW (TASS, Mar 30, 05:13 UTC): RU Commander Apty Alaudinov claims discovery of evidence indicating torture and killing of civilians by Ukrainian forces in the Sudzha area. (Serious allegation, requires verification, likely information warfare element).
Russian Claims/Advances (Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts): RU sources previously claimed advances near Zhuravka (Sumy) and capture of Krasne Pershe (Kharkiv, near Kupyansk). UGS morning report confirms repelling RU attacks near Vovchansk and towards Kamyanka (Kharkiv).
Belgorod Oblast: Fighting previously reported in Popovka and Demidovka. UA confirmed previous airstrikes destroying bridges in Grafovka and Nadezhivka.
IV. Frontline Developments by Direction (Based on UGS Morning Report, Mar 30 & Recent Claims)
Kharkiv Direction: Ukrainian forces stopped 4 Russian attacks in the areas of Vovchansk and towards Kamyanka.
Kupyansk Direction: Defense Forces repelled 6 Russian assaults near Pishchane, Petropavlivka, and Zahryzove. RU sources previously claimed capture of Krasne Pershe on this axis.
Lyman Direction: Russian forces attacked 23 times, attempting advances near Nadiia, Yampilivka, Kolodiazi, Torske, and towards Nove, Olhivka, Novomykhailivka. Situation near Terny remains critical (previously assessed as almost fully RU-occupied).
Siversk Direction: Russia attacked 3 times near Ivano-Darivka and Pereizne.
Kramatorsk Direction (Chasiv Yar):13 combat engagements occurred near Mayske, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Predtechyne, Bila Hora, Chasiv Yar, Stupochky, and Kurdiumivka. RU sources (Dnevnik Desantnika, Mar 30) claimed RU 98th VDV repelled a UA attack near Chasiv Yar, destroying equipment.
Toretsk Direction: Russian forces conducted 19 attacks near Krymske, Toretsk, and towards Dyliivka. RU sources previously claimed confirmed capture of Oleksandropil and Panteleimonivka.
Pokrovsk Direction:HIGHEST INTENSITY. Ukrainian defenders stopped 93 Russian offensive actions near Novotoretske, Panteleimonivka, Oleksandropil, Vodyane Druge, Yelyzavetivka, Lysivka, Kotlyne, Udachne, Novoserhiivka, Uspenivka, Novooleksandrivka, Sribne, Andriivka, and towards Kotlyarivka.
NEW RU CLAIM (RVvoenkor, Mar 30, 04:51 UTC): RU forces ("Center" Group) claim they pushed UA forces from Uspenivka and broke into Novooleksandrivka, currently storming the settlement, aiming towards the Dnipropetrovsk Oblast border. (Significant claimed advance on primary RU axis, requires verification).
Novopavlivsk Direction: Defense Forces stopped 15 Russian attacks near Kostyantynopil, Skudne, and towards Rozlyv. RU sources previously claimed daily advances north of Velyka Novosilka.
Huliaipole Direction: Russia conducted 9 attacks near Pryvilne, Novosilka, and towards Novopil.
Orikhiv Direction (Zaporizhzhia): Russia attacked 2 times near Kam'yanske and Lobkove. RU sources (RVvoenkor, Mar 30, 05:18 UTC) released video claiming UA soldiers surrendered near Luhove, citing disillusionment.
Prydniprovsky Direction (Left Bank Kherson): Russia conducted 2 unsuccessful offensive actions towards Sadove and Prydniprovske. RU sources previously noted regular UA attempts to establish footholds near the small railway bridge.
V. Reported Losses & Casualties
Russian Losses (UGS Claim, Past 24h):
Personnel: 1510
Tanks: 14
AFVs: 20
Artillery Systems: 56
MLRS: 2
UAV OTR: 111
Vehicles & Fuel Tanks: 130
Total Estimated RU Personnel Losses (Feb 24, 2022 - Mar 30, 2025): ~914,000
Civilian Casualties (Recent Major Attacks):
Dnipro (Attack Mar 28/29 - Updated): Casualties revised to 4 civilians KIA, 28 WIA. 9 remain hospitalized (2 critical). (Lysak/Dnipropetrovsk ODA, Mar 30).
Nikopol (Attack Mar 29/30): No civilian casualties reported. (Lysak/Vilkul, Mar 30).
Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Past 24h): No civilian casualties reported in latest ODA update (Mar 30), despite 325 RU strikes reported.# Military Situation Update: Ukraine - March 30, 2025, 05:25 UTC
I. Overall Situation & Combat Intensity
Combat Intensity: High. 223 combat engagements reported across the front over the past 24 hours (Ukrainian General Staff - UGS, Mar 30, 05:00 UTC).
Russian Strikes (Past 24h - UGS): 1 missile strike, 91 aviation strikes (using 153 KABs), deployment of 2,745 kamikaze drones, and over 6,000 shelling attacks (184 from MLRS).
Primary Russian Focus: The Pokrovsk Direction continues to see the highest intensity, with 93 Russian offensive actions repelled by Ukrainian forces (UGS, Mar 30 morning). This marks a notable increase from the 73 attempts reported the previous evening.
Other Active Fronts (Attacks Past 24h - UGS): Lyman (23), Toretsk (19), Novopavlivsk (15), Kramatorsk (13), Huliaipole (9), Kupyansk (6), Kharkiv (4), Siversk (3), Orikhiv (2), Prydniprovsky (2).
Russian Offensive Assessment: Independent analysis (ISW, Mar 30) notes recent intensified Russian offensive operations on several axes but judges they have not achieved tactically significant successes.
Ukrainian Actions (Past 24h - UGS): Ukrainian aviation, rocket troops, and artillery targeted 5 Russian personnel/equipment concentration areas and 1 command post.
Northern Border: No signs of Russian offensive group formation detected in the Volyn and Polissia directions (UGS).
II. Air, Missile, Drone & Naval Activity
Threat Status:
Ballistic Missile Threat: Ended as of 05:01 UTC (UA Air Force).
KABs: Persistent threat, especially along the front. 153 KABs used by Russia in the last day (UGS).
Kamikaze Drones: High level of activity. 2,745 deployed by Russia in the last day (UGS).
Naval: 2 Russian Kalibr carriers active in the Black Sea (potential salvo: 8 missiles); none in Azov Sea (UA Navy).
Recent Strikes & Interceptions:
Kharkiv (Mar 29): Mass Shahed attack caused significant damage/casualties (2 KIA, 30 WIA), including a confirmed hit on the Military Hospital.
Nikopol (Mar 29/30): Hit by Russian Grad MLRS overnight; damage to enterprise and educational facility, no casualties reported (Dnipropetrovsk ODA).
Ukrainian Air Defense: Downed 2 enemy UAVs over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast overnight (PvK Skhid via ODA). Neutralized 111 Russian operational-tactical UAVs total in the past day (UGS).
Russian Claims (UA UAV Interceptions): Claimed destruction of 6 Ukrainian UAVs overnight (3 Belgorod, 2 Bryansk, 1 Saratov Oblast) (RU MoD). Bryansk Governor confirmed 2 downed over Bryansk.
III. Border Operations (Kursk/Sumy/Belgorod)
Ukrainian Actions (Kursk Zone): Defense Forces stopped 31 Russian attacks in the past day (UGS). Operations on Russian territory continue.
Russian Activity (Kursk Zone): Conducted 18 air strikes (23 KABs) and 265 shelling attacks against Ukrainian positions/settlements near the border (UGS).
Russian Claims (Kursk):
Maintain control of MAPP Sudzha checkpoint.
Claim Ukrainian forces suffered dozens of equipment losses NW of Sudzha (TASS, Mar 30).
Commander Alaudinov alleges evidence of torture/killing of civilians by UA forces in Sudzha (TASS, Mar 30). (Verification needed, potential information operation).
Kharkiv/Sumy Border: UGS reports repelling 4 RU attacks near Vovchansk and towards Kamyanka (Kharkiv).
IV. Frontline Developments by Direction (UGS Morning Report, Mar 30 & Recent Claims)
Kramatorsk (Chasiv Yar): 13 engagements (near Mayske, Oleksandro-Shultyne, Predtechyne, Bila Hora, Chasiv Yar, Stupochky, Kurdiumivka). RU sources claim repelling a UA attack near Chasiv Yar.
Toretsk: 19 RU attacks repelled (near Krymske, Toretsk; towards Dyliivka). RU previously claimed capture of Oleksandropil and Panteleimonivka.
Pokrovsk:93 RU offensive actions stopped (multiple settlements including Novotoretske, Oleksandropil, Udachne, Uspenivka, Novooleksandrivka, towards Kotlyarivka).
RU CLAIM: Russian forces ("Center" Group) claim breaking into Novooleksandrivka after pushing UA from Uspenivka, currently storming the settlement (RVvoenkor, Mar 30). (Significant claimed advance, unverified).
Novopavlivsk: 15 RU attacks stopped (near Kostyantynopil, Skudne; towards Rozlyv).
Huliaipole: 9 RU attacks repelled (near Pryvilne, Novosilka; towards Novopil).
Orikhiv: 2 RU attacks repelled (near Kam'yanske, Lobkove). RU sources claim UA soldiers surrendered near Luhove.
Prydniprovsky (Left Bank Kherson): 2 unsuccessful RU assaults towards Sadove and Prydniprovske.
