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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-29 10:57:44Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-29 10:27:31Z)

Military Situation Update: Ukraine - March 29, 2025, 10:56 UTC

I. Air, Missile, Drone, and Naval Activity

  • Massive Overnight Russian Strikes (Night Mar 28/29 - UA Sources/Zelenskyy):
    • Scale: Over 170 assets launched, including over 100 Shahed-type UAVs and potentially imitator drones.
    • Interceptions: Ukrainian Air Force (UA AF) confirmed 94 Shahed/other UAVs shot down. Southern Defense Forces (SDF) downed 4 Shaheds. Kyiv Military Administration (KMVA) reported 16 UAVs destroyed out of 30 detected near Kyiv airspace.
    • Impacted Regions: Dnipropetrovsk, Kyiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, Khmelnytskyi Oblasts confirmed affected.
    • Dnipro City Impacts:
      • Casualties (Confirmed): 4 civilians KIA, 22 civilians WIA (13 hospitalized, 3 critical). Search/rescue complete.
      • Damage (Confirmed): Extensive damage to hotel-restaurant complex ("Bartolomeo"), private homes (4 destroyed, 10+ damaged), multi-story buildings, educational/administrative buildings, warehouses, vehicles (incl. 2 SES vehicles), garages, service stations. Police documenting evidence.
      • RU Claims (Disinformation): Target alleged mercenary/SBU/GUR hub; claim destruction of UA military vessel; claim strike targeted foreign specialists at the hotel complex.
    • Okhtyrka District (Sumy): Drone attack destroyed a recreation base; no casualties reported.
    • Kharkiv Oblast: Impacts from Shaheds, shelling, MLRS, drone drops causing fires, damage to residential/commercial buildings, infrastructure, vehicles. Power outages affecting >7400 subscribers. 1 civilian WIA near Liutivka. MLRS strike on Borova, fire (100 sqm), private house damaged, 1 civilian (75yo) WIA.
    • Kyiv Oblast: No casualties or destruction reported within Kyiv city limits despite drone interceptions.
  • Ballistic Missile Strike (Kryvyi Rih, Mar 29 Morning / Ongoing Aftermath):
    • Warning issued 09:24 UTC; fast target detected towards Kryvyi Rih 09:26 UTC; explosion confirmed ~09:30 UTC. Ballistic threat alert ended 10:04 UTC.
    • Ballistic missile attack confirmed by City Defense Council Head Vilkul.
    • Impact Location: Between residential buildings; one building previously hit by a missile.
    • Infrastructure damage and fire confirmed. Damage reported to multi-story buildings, private houses, school, car wash.
    • Casualties (Confirmed): 6 civilians WIA (all moderate condition, updated from 1 then 5). Aid station established at local school.
    • RU sources speculate Iskander missile used.
  • Ongoing Air Threats & Activity:
    • Tactical Aviation (KABs): Russian aircraft continue launching Guided Aerial Bombs (KABs) towards Sumy Oblast. Increased activity persists on Eastern/Southeastern axes. KAB launches reported on Donetsk/Zaporizhzhia border area (10:04 UTC).
    • UAV Activity: Enemy UAV reported over Dnipro city with Air Defence active (08:38 UTC). Russian drone reconnaissance reported active near Kursk border identifying UA positions (09:02 UTC). Enemy recon UAV reported over Cherkasy Oblast heading towards Kaniv (10:18 UTC). UAV detected on border of Cherkasy/Poltava Oblasts (10:45 UTC).
  • New Russian Drone Tactics (Reported): Russian forces reportedly employing new swarm tactics for Shahed UAVs (gathering at 2-3km altitude before simultaneous dives). Ukrainian forces developing countermeasures (Bild/Tsaplienko).
  • Overall Russian Strikes (Past 24hrs - UGS 06:00 UTC / RU MoD 10:28 UTC):
    • Missile: 1 strike (5 missiles) (UGS).
    • Air (UA Territory): 94 strikes (179 KABs) (UGS).
    • Air (Kursk Oblast): 28 strikes (44 KABs) (UGS).
    • Artillery/MLRS: 5899 shellings (145 MLRS) (UGS).
    • Kamikaze Drones: 2853 used (UGS).
    • Southern Front Specifics (SDF): >320 shellings (~1500 rounds), 510 kamikaze drones, >230 drone drops, 23 KABs, ~100 NARs (Kherson, Mykolaiv, Zaporizhzhia, Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts).
    • RU MoD claims strikes on airfield infrastructure, UAV workshop/storage/CPs, ammo depots, manpower/hardware in 148 areas.
  • Specific Russian Claims (Past 24hrs / Unverified unless stated):
    • Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk): FPV drone strike claimed on SBU/Police building.
    • Luhansk City (Mar 28 night): Warehouse fire claimed caused by debris from intercepted UA UAVs.
    • GIS Sudzha (Kursk): Claimed UA HIMARS strike destroyed Gas Measuring Station.
    • Solar Power Stations (Kherson Oblast): Claimed UA shelling destroyed solar stations, substations, power lines.
    • Panteleimonivka (Donetsk): Claimed destruction of UA PVD and infantry group using artillery guided by drones (Visual Claim).
  • NATO ISR Activity (Black Sea/Romania): NATO Bombardier Challenger 650 Artemis SIGINT aircraft observed conducting surveillance over Romania, focusing on Transnistria and the western Black Sea (08:04 UTC).
  • Naval Missile Threat Assessment (UGS 06:00 UTC):
    • Black Sea: 2 Kalibr carriers (up to 8 missiles).
    • Mediterranean Sea: 3 Kalibr carriers (up to 26 missiles).
    • Azov Sea: No Russian naval assets reported.
  • Ukrainian Counter-Strikes & Air Defense (Past 24hrs - UGS/Other Sources):
    • General (UGS): Hits reported on 9 RU concentration areas, 1 AD system, 1 C2 point, 2 artillery systems, 2 other targets.
    • Drone Donations/Effectiveness (UA Naiev): Reported delivery of hundreds of donated drones (~211M UAH). Claims 70% of RU losses attributed to drones. Cites recent weekly figures for his tactical group: 3 arty systems, 1 tank, 3 BBM, 37 vehicles, 23 RU UAVs (Orlan, Supercam, Lancet), 350 RU personnel destroyed. Plans for monthly delivery of 2000 donated UAVs to front-line brigades.
    • Donetsk Front Repulsion (UA CLAIM): Combined UA forces (72nd Mech, 59th Motorized, 35th Marines, 414th Drone Bde) claim repelling large RU assault, inflicting losses: 59 personnel (26 KIA), 5 vehicles, 71 drones neutralized by EW.
    • FPV Drone Strikes: Successful FPV drone attacks reported on RU personnel/vehicle recovery; RU positions/equipment (tank, cannon, BMP, guns, mortars, ATV, etc.) by 3rd Assault, 63rd Brigades. Destruction of RU "cope cage" tank near Kupyansk by 77th Airmobile Brigade. Lancet drone downed by UA "Sokil" special unit ("Nebesnyi rusoriz" project).
    • Airstrike (Velyka Novosilka - UA CLAIM): Airstrike claimed on RU command post in occupied Velyka Novosilka.
    • Belgorod Oblast Interceptions (RU CLAIM): 3 Ukrainian UAVs claimed shot down overnight.
    • General RU Air Defense Claims (Past 24hrs - RU MoD 10:28 UTC): Claimed interception of 1 JDAM bomb, 1 HIMARS rocket, and 73 Ukrainian UAVs.
  • Ukrainian Partisan Activity:
    • Mariupol (Occupied): Ukrainian partisans ("Mariupol Resistance") claim successful arson attack on a Russian military base/parking area on Mar 23, destroying vehicles and ammunition (UA CLAIM).

II. Ground Combat Operations & Border Areas

  • Overall Intensity: 183 combat clashes recorded across the front line in the past 24 hours (UGS 06:00 UTC).
  • Kursk/Belgorod/Sumy Border Operations:
    • Ukrainian Claims/Actions:
      • Advance into Belgorod Oblast: Ukrainian forces reportedly advanced 3-4 km into Belgorod Oblast, breaching the first Russian defense line in the Popovka area (Reuters/Tsaplienko/BBG/ISW).
      • Kursk Operations: Operations continue. 14 Russian assaults repelled in the past 24 hours (UGS). 5 Russian POWs captured (UA DShV Claim/Visual
Previous (2025-03-29 10:27:31Z)

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