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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-27 08:01:59Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-27 07:32:01Z)

Military Situation Update: March 27, 2025, 08:00 UTC

I. Air, Missile, and Drone Activity

Overnight Russian Attacks (Night of Mar 26-27)

  • Attack Composition: Combined attack involving 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile (from Voronezh Oblast, RU) and 86 drones (Shahed-type and imitators) launched from multiple locations (Millerovo, Kursk, Primorsko-Akhtarsk - RU; Chauda - occupied Crimea).
  • Target Areas: Primarily impacted Kharkiv, Sumy, Dnipropetrovsk, and Chernihiv Oblasts.
  • Ukrainian Air Defence:
    • Confirmed Interceptions: 42 Shahed-type UAVs confirmed destroyed across southern, northern, and central Ukraine (Source: UA Air Force, General Staff). 10 UAVs neutralized near Kyiv; 6 UAVs downed over Dnipropetrovsk Oblast; 9 Shaheds downed by SDF South (likely Mar 26).
    • Missiles/Drones Not Intercepted: 1 Iskander-M missile was not intercepted. 26 drones (imitators) were reported "locationally lost" without negative consequences (Source: UA Air Force).
  • Impacts and Casualties:
    • Kharkiv City/Oblast: 11 injured (including children); extensive damage to residential buildings, infrastructure, warehouses (large fire), workshops, animal shelter, power lines, gas pipe (Multiple UA Sources). A criminal investigation is underway (Source: Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor's Office).
    • Dnipro City: 3 injured; damage to enterprises, educational/cultural facilities (including Potemkin Palace/Palace of Students), apartment buildings, vehicles. Fires extinguished (Multiple UA Sources; Dnipropetrovsk Regional Prosecutor's Office confirms investigation).
    • Zaporizhzhia Oblast: Shelling caused power and communication outages in a frontline community (>10 strikes reported). >3300 subscribers without power in frontline areas (Source: Zaporizka OVA, Sternenko).
    • Nikopol District (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast): 1 woman injured; damage to residential buildings, infrastructure, petrol station, vehicles from kamikaze drone and artillery attacks (Source: Dnipropetrovsk OVA).
    • Sumy Oblast (Okhtyrka - RU Claim): Russian sources claim destruction of a "logistics hub" at a bread factory by 3 Geran-2 drones. Verification required. (RU Source: Dnevnik Desantnika).

Ongoing Air Threats (Morning Mar 27)

  • Ballistic Missile Threat: Air raid alerts (07:10-07:27 UTC) issued for Kyiv and multiple oblasts due to ballistic missile threat. Alerts subsequently lifted for most regions except Sumy Oblast (Source: UA Air Force, KMVA, RBC-Ukraina).
  • Tactical Aviation Threat: Russian tactical aviation active in the east and northeast (07:58 UTC, 06:20 UTC), posing a threat of air-launched weapon strikes on frontline oblasts (Source: UA Air Force).

Claimed Ukrainian Strike (Engels-2 Airbase, Mar 20)

  • Ukrainian General Staff claims a strike destroyed 96 Russian air-launched cruise missiles and significant fuel reserves (Source: UA General Staff, Operatyvnyi ZSU, RBC-Ukraina, CyberBoroshno).
  • Russian-linked sources (ASTRA) report corroborating details: Ammo depot hit, fire, 3+ secondary explosions, 3 RU servicemen WIA, civilian evacuations/damage nearby. Verification required.

Naval Activity

  • 1 Russian Kalibr carrier (up to 4 missiles) reported in the Black Sea; none in the Sea of Azov (Source: RBC-Ukraina).

II. Ground Combat and Border Operations

Overall Intensity

  • High intensity reported on March 26, with 224 combat clashes (Source: UA General Staff).
  • Main Russian Efforts: Pokrovsk, Toretsk, South Donetsk (Vremivka), Kursk/Belgorod borders, Kupyansk axes.

Kursk & Belgorod Oblast Border Operations (Ongoing UA Operations)

  • Kursk:
    • Intense fighting continues near Guevo, Sudzha, Basovka (Source: Multiple). Ukrainian forces stopped 25 RU assaults (Mar 26) (Source: UA General Staff).
    • Russian forces reportedly active near Veselovka, claim control of Vladimirovka (west of Zhuravka), and continue pressure near Gordeyevka and Uspenovka to support operations near Zhuravka (RU Source: Dnevnik Desantnika).
    • Russian air/artillery activity remains high (19 air strikes/28 KABs, 492 shelling incidents on Mar 26) (Source: UA General Staff).
    • Russian sources claim destruction of UK CRARRV and US M992 FAASV near the border (RU Source: Colonelcassad).
  • Belgorod:
    • Heavy fighting reported near Demydovka and Popovka (Krasnoyaruzhsky district) (Source: Multiple RU Sources). Situation remains contested/fluid.
    • Ukrainian strikes reported targeting bridges in Grafovka and Annovka (Belgorod Oblast) to disrupt Russian reinforcements (RU Source: RVvoenkor).
    • Casualties: Russian journalist Anna Prokofieva confirmed killed near Tishanka (Multiple RU Sources).

Eastern & Southern Frontlines (Mar 26 Data)

  • Kharkiv Direction: 2 RU assaults near Vovchansk stopped (Source: UA General Staff, Kharkiv OVA). RU MoD claims deployment of UGVs guided by UAVs (RU Source: MoD Russia).
  • Kupyansk Direction: 4 RU assaults near Holubivka and Zahryzove repelled/ongoing (Source: UA General Staff, Kharkiv OVA). RU claims advance north of Nizhnyaya Dvurechna river (Mar 23-26) (RU Source: Slivochny Kapriz).
  • Lyman Direction: 14 RU attacks repelled near Kopanky, Yampolivka, Novoserhiivka, towards Nove, Kolodyazi, Novomykhailivka (Source: UA General Staff).
  • Siversk Direction: 11 RU attacks stopped near Bilohorivka, Verkhnokamianske, Ivano-Darivka (Source: UA General Staff).
  • Kramatorsk Direction (Chasiv Yar): 4 RU attacks repelled near Chasiv Yar, Predtechyne, Bila Hora (Source: UA General Staff). Russian storming actions continue.
  • Toretsk Direction: 20 RU attacks in areas of Toretsk, Dachne, Krymske, towards Dyliivka (Source: UA General Staff). Urban fighting ongoing. RU claims expanded control north of Krymske, occupied positions in northern Rozivka, and advanced near Panteleimonivka (Mar 23-26) (Multiple RU Sources).
  • Pokrovsk Direction: Highest intensity with 88 clashes repelled near multiple settlements (Oleksandropil, Tarasivka, etc.) (Source: UA General Staff). UA SSO (144th Center) reportedly captured 9 RU soldiers using a drone near Pokrovsk (Source: UA 144th Center via ASTRA). Confirmed UA loss: Captain Oleksandr Melnyk (Battalion Commander, "Kholodnyi Yar") (Multiple RU/UA Sources). Russian forces claim destruction of UA UAV crews using Orlan-30 (RU Source: Colonelcassad).
  • Novopavlivsk / South Donetsk / Vremivka Sector: 25 RU attacks towards Rozliv, Vesele, near Kostiantynopil, Skudne (Source: UA General Staff). RU claims break into Vesele, storming ongoing; UA reportedly counterattacking in Dniproenerhiia (RU Source: RVvoenkor). RU claims advances south of Konstantynopil, near Novosilka, entered central Vilne Pole (Mar 23-26) (Multiple RU Sources).
  • Huliaipole Direction: 16 RU attacks stopped near Rivnopil, Novosilka, Pryvilne, Vilne Pole, Novopil (Source: UA General Staff).
  • Zaporizhzhia Direction (Orikhiv Sector): 9 RU assaults repelled near Mali Shcherbaky, Lobkove, Shcherbaky, towards Stepove (Source: UA General Staff). RU claims storming UA positions in western Stepove, reached new positions in Lobkove (Mar 23-26) (RU Source: Slivochny Kapriz).
  • Kherson Direction (Prydniprovsky): 2 RU attacks stopped (Source: UA General Staff). Positional fighting. Ukrainian forces thwarted a terrorist act aimed at disrupting mobilization in Kherson; suspect detained after attempting to plant IED at recruiting center (Source: UA Prosecutor General).

III. Other Military & Security Developments

  • Claimed RU Losses (UA General Staff, Mar 26): 1670 personnel, 8 tanks, 16 AFVs, 58 artillery systems, 2 MLRS, 1 AD system, 108 UAVs OTR, 169 vehicles, 1 special equipment. UA strikes hit 15 concentration areas, 1 radar, 1 arty piece.
  • Confirmed RU Loss: Ukrainian forces (SDF South) destroyed a Russian Zoopark counter-battery radar (Mar 26) (Source: SDF South, Operatyvnyi ZSU).
  • Russian Tactics: Continued heavy use of KABs (116+28 on Mar 26), FPV/kamikaze drones (2646 on Mar 26), artillery, MLRS. Reported use of UGVs guided by UAVs (Kharkiv Oblast). Use of fiber-optic controlled FPV drones reported (Kursk region).
  • North Korean Support (Claim): Alleged deployment of ~3000 additional NK soldiers to Russia (Jan-Feb), increased weapon shipments (SRBMs, SPGs, MLRS, ammo). Preparations for Lavrov visit to NK and Kim Jong Un visit to Russia reported (Multiple Sources). Verification required.
  • Russian Espionage/Recruitment: FSB claims Ukrainian special services attempting to recruit Russians and gather data on strategic aviation under guise of US RAND Corporation (Source: FSB via TASS).
  • Ukrainian Recruitment: Expanded list of brigades for "Contract 18-24" program (Source: DShV, UA General Staff). "Reserve+" app updated to allow online deferral requests for people with disabilities (Source: RBC-Ukraina).
  • Ukrainian Cyber: Ukrzaliznytsia online ticket sales restored after major cyberattack (Source: Operatyvnyi ZSU, RBC-Ukraina).
  • Russian Logistics: Ongoing crowdfunding suggests persistent equipment needs (e.g., Kherson artillery recon) (RU Source: Dvа Mayora). Recruitment drive for contract service continues with high financial incentives (RU Source: Dvа Mayora).

IV. Political and Diplomatic Context

  • Russia-Iran: Treaty on strategic partnership submitted for ratification in Russian State Duma (Source: TASS).
  • Russia-China: Discussions reported on mutual recognition of driving licenses; Russia ratifies protocol for visa-free group travel (Source: TASS).
  • EU-Russia Sanctions: EU reiterates stance against sanctions relief for Russia (e.g., SWIFT access) as part of potential ceasefire agreements (Source: Euractiv via TASS, Tsaplienko).
  • Moldova/Gagauzia: Pro-Russian Gagauzia head Gutsul appeals to Putin and Erdogan for pressure on Moldovan authorities following her detention related to alleged illegal party financing linked to RU crime groups (Source: TASS, Operatyvnyi ZSU, Voenkor Kotenok). Russia accuses Chisinau of escalating internal tensions (Source: TASS).
  • Russia-Armenia: Russia signals potential review of economic relations if Armenia pursues EU path (Source: TASS).
  • US Security Leak: Reported leak of personal data of Trump administration officials via Signal, potentially compromising Yemen operation discussions (Source: Operatyvnyi ZSU citing Spiegel; Tsaplienko).
  • US-UK Relations: Strain reported following Signal leak and US tariffs on UK steel (RU Source: Rybar).
Previous (2025-03-27 07:32:01Z)

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