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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-27 00:01:35Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-26 23:31:34Z)

Military Situation Update: March 27, 2025, 00:01 UTC

I. Air, Missile, and Drone Activity (Updates)

  • Massive Shahed UAV Attack (ONGOING):
    • Dnipro: Confirmed impacts in residential areas, multiple fires (cars, infrastructure), casualties being ascertained. (No change from 23:31 UTC report).
    • Kharkiv City & Oblast:
      • Total casualties from drone attack updated to 16 citizens injured (including three children) across Kharkiv city and Zolochiv community (National Police via RBC-Ukraine, ~22:43 UTC). Images confirm widespread damage to civilian structures and vehicles.
      • Previous reports confirmed 4 fire locations in Kharkiv city, including civilian infrastructure damage and a large fire (2500 sqm) in a production building (DSNS). Zolochiv: 1 house destroyed, 12+ damaged, admin building, stadium, power lines hit. 8 injured/affected (3 hospitalized, 5 acute stress).
    • Updated UAV Movements/Threats (Ukrainian Air Force, ~23:51 UTC):
      • Sumy/Poltava Border: 1 UAV present, moving west. (Supersedes 23:17 UTC report of UAV at intersection).
      • Cherkasy: 1 Shahed UAV heading towards Cherkasy. Air defense confirmed active in Cherkasy (Suspilne via RBC-Ukraine, ~23:55 UTC). (Updates 23:17 UTC report of 2 UAVs east of Cherkasy).
      • Kirovohrad: 1 UAV present, moving northwest. (Updates 23:17 UTC report of UAV near Novyi Buh heading towards Kirovohrad).
      • Khmelnytskyi: UAV previously reported approaching Starokostiantyniv, air defense engaged (~23:17 UTC). No further update.
      • Vinnytsia: UAV previously reported transitioning from Kyiv Oblast (~23:17 UTC). No further update.
      • Mykolaiv/Kherson: UAV previously reported near Novyi Buh heading towards Kirovohrad (~23:17 UTC). Now reported in Kirovohrad Oblast.
      • Kyiv Oblast: UAV previously reported transitioning into Vinnytsia Oblast (~23:17 UTC). No further update.
  • Alleged Russian Tactical Shift (Ukrainian Source - Hayabusa): Claim persists: Russia prioritizing systematic nightly mass drone strikes on residential areas over energy infrastructure. Requires ongoing verification and target pattern analysis.
  • Reported Russian Tactical Shift (Russian Source - RVvoenkor, ~23:55 UTC): Citing alleged "Kyiv intelligence," claims Russia is changing tactics to mass large numbers of drones (potentially up to 300/day) against single specific areas per attack wave to overwhelm air defenses. Requires verification of source claim, alleged numbers, and observed tactical patterns.

II. Ground Combat Intensity and Frontlines (Updates)

  • Overall Operational Tempo (Ukrainian Source - DeepState): Russian ground assaults exceeded 200/day for two consecutive days. March intensity 17% higher than February (as of Mar 26). (No change from 22:13 UTC report).
  • Primary Russian Focus Areas (DeepState): Kursk Oblast Border, Lyman, Pokrovsk, Vremivka Directions. (No change from 22:13 UTC report).
  • Specific Frontline Changes (DeepState Map Update, 22:41 UTC):
    • Kotlyne (Kharkiv Oblast, Kupyansk): Ukrainian Defence Forces repelled Russian forces.
    • Katerynivka (Luhansk Oblast, Svatove): Russian forces advanced near the settlement.
    • Terny (Donetsk Oblast, Lyman): Russian forces advanced.
    • Dniproenerhiya Area (Likely Enerhodar/Zaporizhzhia NPP area): Russian forces advanced. Requires clarification/verification.
    • Pischane (Kharkiv Oblast, Kupyansk): Russian forces advanced.
  • Zaporizhzhia Direction (New Claim): Russian sources (Colonelcassad, ~23:03 UTC) claim destruction of a Ukrainian T-72M1 tank using FPV drones. Requires verification.

III. Russian Military Activities & Logistics

  • Sanctions Evasion (Ukrainian Source - Operatyvnyi ZSU / BBG): Allegation: Russian explosives makers procure chemicals via fertilizer companies. (No change from 22:03 UTC report).
  • Training Activity: Footage showed RU 68th Army Corps (Donetsk Oblast) and 102nd Regt (150th Guards Div) training. (No change from 22:25 UTC report).
  • Drone/EW Focus (Russian Source - Colonelcassad): Continued discussion on drones and EW ("Slavyanka" complex). (No change from 22:03 UTC report).
  • Propaganda/Morale (Russian Source - RVvoenkor, ~22:37 UTC): Video: Russian soldiers re-erecting damaged Orthodox cross in claimed "liberated Kursk land." Primarily information warfare value.

IV. Ukrainian Strike Confirmation (Recap)

  • Successful strike on Russian Command Post (9th MRR/18th MRD) near Viktorivka-Uspenivka (Kursk Oblast, RU), Battalion Commander eliminated. (No change).

V. International/Support Developments (Recap)

  • EU Aid Plan Obstruction (Reported - Politico via RU Source): France, Italy, Spain potentially hindering EU defense spending plan. (No new information).

VI. Previous Significant Reports (Archive - March 24-26)

  • Energy Moratorium (Mar 18): Formally active, but violations alleged by both sides. Protected infrastructure list published.
  • US-Russia Talks (Mar 24, Riyadh): Confirmed. Contradictory reports on Black Sea ceasefire linked to sanctions relief. Zelenskyy rejects linkage.
  • Russian Claims (Mar 25): Liberation of Mirnoye (Donetsk), Malye Shcherbaki (Zaporizhzhia). Routing UA forces in Kursk border area. ZNPP declared "Russian nuclear object".
  • German Government: Scholz cabinet in caretaker role; Merz (CDU) expected to form new government.
  • Intense Russian UAV Attacks (Mar 25-26): Widespread, including massive multi-wave attacks on Kryvyi Rih, Sumy (Okhtyrka), Kharkiv. Air defense active across multiple oblasts. 5 Shaheds downed over Sumy (Mar 26 AM).
  • Heavy Border Fighting (Mar 25-26): Ongoing clashes reported in Demydovka, Popovka (Belgorod Oblast), Huyevo (Sumy). Russian sources confirm RU control of Cherkasskoye Porechnoye (Kursk). UA claims successful raid into Demydovka (Belgorod). Russian sources claim destruction of UA equipment in Kursk Oblast (Mar 26 AM). RU claims UA buildup near Krasnoyaruzhsky district (Belgorod).
  • High Intensity Frontline Combat (Mar 25-26): 183-200+ clashes reported daily. Pokrovsk direction remains highest intensity (68 attacks on Mar 25). Significant Russian losses claimed by UGS in Pokrovsk. Russian claims of advances in Lyman (near Yampolivka), Toretsk (near Panteleimonivka), Novopavlivsk (near Rozlyv), Orikhiv directions. ISW confirms RU advances near Terny, Spirne (Lyman); NW of Toretsk, SE Shcherbynivka, near Oleksandropil (Toretsk); S Lobkove, C Stepove (Orikhiv).
  • Black Sea Missile Threat: 1 Kalibr carrier active (up to 4 missiles) as of Mar 26 AM.
  • SBU Activity (Mar 25): Detention in Kryvyi Rih (plotting attack on TCC). Zelenskyy praise for SBU successes.
  • Sumi Missile Strike Aftermath (Mar 24): Casualty count rose to 106 injured (23 children).
  • Widespread RU Airstrikes (Mar 24): Reported across Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblasts.
  • Clashes near Vovchansk (Mar 24): Confirmed.
  • Claimed SSO Strike (Mar 24): UA SSO "Requiem Group" claimed destruction of RU 2S3 Akatsiya SPH in Belgorod Oblast (unverified).
  • Claimed RU Espionage Arrest (Mar 24): FSB claimed arrest in Moscow for passing info to Ukraine.
  • Claimed RU Sabotage Arrest (Mar 24): UA reported arrest of Kharkiv resident planning attacks.
  • Chemical Weapon Use Claim (Mar 24): Russian sources alleged UA use near Kursk border (unverified).
  • Other archived items from previous summaries remain as reported.
Previous (2025-03-26 23:31:34Z)

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