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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-24 07:12:37Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-24 06:42:34Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 24, 2025, 07:11 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (06:42 UTC - 07:11 UTC)

  1. CLAIMED RUSSIAN BORDER CONTROL (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ТАСС (06:41 UTC): Reports that Russian forces in the Sumy direction have restored control over a significant section of the state border.
    • Assessment: This REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. It's UNCLEAR which SPECIFIC SECTION of the border is referenced. If CONFIRMED, this could indicate a RUSSIAN ADVANCE or RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF CONTROL in previously contested areas. This should be CORRELATED with reports of FIGHTING NEAR THE BORDER and CLAIMS OF UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS.
  2. RUSSIAN ESPIONAGE ARREST (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

    • ТАСС (06:45 UTC), Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (06:49 UTC), Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (06:56 UTC), ASTRA (06:57 UTC), WarGonzo (06:58 UTC), Colonelcassad (07:00 UTC), Военкор Котенок (07:11 UTC): Reports the arrest of an employee of a Russian supervisory body for treason, allegedly passing information to Ukraine about the protection of border infrastructure and the location of Russian Armed Forces. TASS released video of the arrest (06:54 UTC).
    • Assessment: This is CONFIRMED BY MULTIPLE RUSSIAN SOURCES, INCLUDING OFFICIAL CHANNELS. The arrest HIGHLIGHTS ONGOING COUNTERINTELLIGENCE EFFORTS within RUSSIA. The ALLEGED INFORMATION LEAK is HIGHLY SENSITIVE and could have SIGNIFICANT OPERATIONAL IMPLICATIONS for RUSSIAN FORCES.
  3. CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE NEAR USPENIVKA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Сливочный каприз (06:45 UTC): Claims Russian forces advanced up to 400 meters in Uspenivka and occupied new positions in the southern part of the settlement. Provides map with coordinates: 48.196835, 37.020455.
    • Assessment: This is a RUSSIAN CLAIM and REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The SPECIFIC COORDINATES should be CHECKED AGAINST OTHER SOURCES, including SATELLITE IMAGERY and UKRAINIAN REPORTS. This claim REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of INTENSE FIGHTING in the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
  4. CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES ON UKRAINIAN "BURROWS" (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • WarGonzo (06:45 UTC): Claims Russian drone operators are targeting Ukrainian "burrows" (likely referring to dugouts or fortified positions) in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction. Reports a successful kamikaze drone strike. Provided video.
    • Assessment: This is a RUSSIAN CLAIM. The VIDEO should be ANALYZED to VERIFY THE CLAIM and IDENTIFY THE TARGET. This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of INTENSE FIGHTING and DRONE WARFARE in the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
  5. CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE INTERCEPTIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Военкор Котенок (06:57 UTC): Reports the Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have intercepted 29 Ukrainian drones overnight and in the morning. Lists specific regions: Bryansk (12), Rostov (12), Crimea (2), Belgorod (1), Krasnodar Krai (1), Azov Sea (1).
    • ASTRA(6:43): Confirms a large-scale drone attack.
    • Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (06:45 UTC): Reports destruction of 57/99 drones.
    • Assessment: The RUSSIAN CLAIM is PARTIALLY CORROBORATED by UKRAINIAN CLAIMS. This indicates a LARGE-SCALE UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACK was LARGELY INTERCEPTED.
  6. REPORTED FIGHTING IN KURSK/SUMY REGION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (06:46 UTC): Reports ongoing positional battles near Zhuravka, with Russian forces working on enemy rear areas. Claims Tula's 51st Airborne Regiment is "grinding down the enemy" and has almost liberated Basovka. Reports difficult conditions near Guev, with Ukrainian forces occupying advantageous positions. Claims Russian forces have approached Vladimirovka in the Sumy region. Provided map.
    • Assessment: This is a RUSSIAN CLAIM and REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The SPECIFIC LOCATIONS mentioned should be CHECKED AGAINST OTHER SOURCES. This suggests CONTINUED FIGHTING in the KURSK/SUMY REGION, with RUSSIAN FORCES claiming ADVANCES.
  7. CLAIMED UKRAINIAN TACTICAL HELMET THROW (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (06:47 UTC): Reports a Ukrainian soldier, out of grenades, threw his helmet at a Russian soldier during trench fighting in the Kupyansk direction. Provides video.
    • Assessment: This is a UKRAINIAN CLAIM. The VIDEO should be ANALYZED, but the TACTICAL SIGNIFICANCE is LOW.
  8. REPORTED CASUALTIES FROM DRONE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN & UKRAINIAN SOURCES):

  • ASTRA(6:43): Reports on casualties in various regions (Kyiv, Kharkiv, Sumy, Kirovohrad, Zaporizhzhia) and damage from drone strikes. Reports a 35-year-old man injured in Nikopol, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. In the village of Bolshaya Babka, Kharkiv Oblast, a drone struck a house, injuring a pregnant woman and two others. In the village of Russkaya Lozovaya, a man was injured.
  • Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (06:45 UTC): Reports damage in regions mentioned by ASTRA.
  • Assessment: Corroborates the large scale drone attack and the casualties.
  1. RUSSIAN-US MEETING IN RIYADH (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • ТАСС (06:48 UTC), Военкор Котенок (06:58 UTC), Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (07:07 UTC), Оперативний ЗСУ (07:11 UTC), ASTRA (07:03), Colonelcassad(7:04), РБК-Україна (07:09 UTC): Reports a closed-door meeting between Russian and US delegations in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Journalists were asked to leave.
    • Assessment: This is CONFIRMED BY MULTIPLE SOURCES. The CLOSED-DOOR NATURE of the meeting suggests SENSITIVE DISCUSSIONS. The TOPIC OF THE MEETING is UNCLEAR, but likely relates to the CONFLICT IN UKRAINE.
  2. OTHER REPORTS:

  • ТАСС (06:53): Reports "Мострансавто" routes may not show on online maps due to a hack.
  • Assessment: Confirmed by an earlier report.
  • Рыбарь (6:54 UTC): Reports logistical issues at Polish Rzeszów airport.
  • Assessment: Noteworthy, needs further investigation.
  • ТАСС (06:54): Reports arrest of Moscow resident for helping Ukrainian forces.
  • Assessment: Confirmed.
  • Оперативний ЗСУ (6:48 UTC): Claims 61/140 engagements in the Pokrovsk direction.
  • Assessment: Needs further investigation.
  • ТАСС (07:08): Claims US allies are developing their own nuclear capabilities.
  • Assessment: Needs further investigation.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN HELICOPTER STRIKE DESTROYING FOUR RUSSIAN HELICOPTERS in BELGOROD OBLAST. MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN SOURCES, including OFFICIAL CHANNELS and affiliated Telegram groups, continue to REPORT THE STRIKE, but INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is still LACKING. ADDITIONAL CLAIM OF 5 DESTROYED RUSSIAN MLRS.
    • REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCE in GOGOLEVKA, KURSK OBLAST, with POTENTIAL ENCIRCLEMENT of UKRAINIAN FORCES. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION.
  • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN HIMARS STRIKE INSIDE BELGOROD OBLAST. POTENTIAL ESCALATION. URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED.

  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • CONTINUED DRONE ATTACKS TARGETING KYIV OBLAST, with CONFIRMED DAMAGE and FIRES.
    • CONTINUED FIGHTING near DEMIDOVKA, BELGOROD OBLAST, with CONFLICTING CLAIMS about CONTROL OF THE SETTLEMENT. RUSSIAN SOURCES DOWNPLAY UKRAINIAN SUCCESSES.
    • CONFIRMED DESTRUCTION OF A BRIDGE in GRAFOVKA, BELGOROD OBLAST.
  • BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT in areas with air raid alerts, specifically in SUMY, and POLTAVA OBLASTS.

  • CLAIMED LAUNCHES OF GUIDED BOMBS in DONETSK and SUMY OBLASTS.

  • RUSSIAN ESPIONAGE ARREST. CONFIRMED LEAK OF SENSITIVE INFORMATION.

  • REPORTED CASUALTIES from DRONE ATTACKS.

  • RUSSIAN-US MEETING in RIYADH.

  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • CLAIMED RUSSIAN BORDER CONTROL in SUMY DIRECTION. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
    • CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCE near USPENIVKA. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
    • CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES on UKRAINIAN POSITIONS. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
    • CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE INTERCEPTIONS. PARTIALLY CORROBORATED.
    • REPORTED FIGHTING in KURSK/SUMY REGION. RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF ADVANCES.
    • Claimed destruction of 57/99 drones from Russia.
    • REPORTED LOGISTICS ISSUES at RZESZÓW AIRPORT, potentially impacting the FLOW OF WESTERN MILITARY AID. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
    • REPORTED US-RUSSIA MEETING in RIYADH.
    • CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF TWO UKRAINIAN LEOPARD TANKS in the POKROVSK DIRECTION. REQUIRES VIDEO ANALYSIS.
    • RUSSIAN CLAIMS of INTERCEPTING 28 UKRAINIAN DRONES overnight. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
    • CONFIRMED DAMAGE AND CASUALTIES IN NIKOPOL AND MARHANETS from RUSSIAN DRONE AND MLRS ATTACKS.
    • CONTINUED RUSSIAN BOMBARDMENT of ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST, as reported in the previous update.
    • RECON DRONES REPORTED ACTIVE in SUMY OBLAST.
  • Reports of "Baba Yaga" drones being destroyed in Kharkiv region.

  • REPORTED APOLOGY FROM AKIM APACHEV. SUGGESTS INTERNAL DISCORD.

  • REPORTED CYBERATTACK ON "MOSTRANSAUTO" SERVERS.

  • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN LOSSES NEAR POKROVSK. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.

  • CLAIMED SECOND DAY OF UKRAINIAN RAILWAYS WEBSITE DOWNTIME.

  • LOW PRIORITY:

    • UKRAINIAN TACTICAL HELMET THROW. LOW TACTICAL SIGNIFICANCE.
    • New scam reported by TACC

Updated Recommendations

  1. VERIFY RUSSIAN BORDER CONTROL CLAIM (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to IMMEDIATELY VERIFY the RUSSIAN CLAIM of RESTORING CONTROL over a SECTION OF THE BORDER in the SUMY DIRECTION.
    • UTILIZE SATELLITE IMAGERY, DRONE RECONNAISSANCE, AND HUMAN INTELLIGENCE to IDENTIFY THE SPECIFIC AREA and ASSESS THE SITUATION on the GROUND.
    • CONTACT UKRAINIAN MILITARY SOURCES to OBTAIN THEIR ASSESSMENT.
    • ANALYZE REPORTS OF FIGHTING in the KURSK/SUMY REGION to CORRELATE WITH THE CLAIM.
  2. ASSESS IMPLICATIONS OF RUSSIAN ESPIONAGE ARREST (HIGH PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):

    • ANALYZE THE AVAILABLE INFORMATION on the ARRESTED INDIVIDUAL and the ALLEGED INFORMATION LEAK.
    • ASSESS THE POTENTIAL DAMAGE to RUSSIAN OPERATIONS caused by the COMPROMISED INFORMATION.
    • EVALUATE THE IMPACT on RUSSIAN COUNTERINTELLIGENCE EFFORTS and POTENTIAL CHANGES in SECURITY PROTOCOLS.
  3. VERIFY RUSSIAN ADVANCE NEAR USPENIVKA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, INVESTIGATION):

    • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the RUSSIAN CLAIM of an ADVANCE near USPENIVKA.
    • **UTILIZE SATELLITE IMAGERY and DRONE RECONNAISSANCE to ASSESS THE SITUATION at the PROVIDED COORDINATES (48.196835, 37.020455).
    • **SEEK INFORMATION FROM UKRAINIAN MILITARY SOURCES and INDEPENDENT OBSERVERS.
  4. ANALYZE VIDEO OF CLAIMED DRONE STRIKES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):

    • ANALYZE THE VIDEO from WarGonzo to VERIFY THE CLAIM of SUCCESSFUL DRONE STRIKES on UKRAINIAN POSITIONS.
    • **IDENTIFY THE TYPE OF DRONE and MUNITIONS USED.
    • **ASSESS THE ACCURACY and EFFECTIVENESS of the STRIKES.
  5. ASSESS REPORTS OF FIGHTING IN KURSK/SUMY REGION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):

  • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to IMMEDIATELY VERIFY the claims of the REPORTED FIGHTING. * UTILIZE SATELLITE IMAGERY, DRONE RECONNAISSANCE, AND HUMAN INTELLIGENCE to CONFIRM or REFUTE the CLAIMS. * ASSESS THE SCALE AND SIGNIFICANCE of any CONFIRMED FIGHTING.
  1. MONITOR RUSSIAN-US MEETING IN RIYADH (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

    • **GATHER INTELLIGENCE on the CONTENT and OUTCOME of the MEETING.
    • **ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on the MILITARY SITUATION.
  2. ANALYZE VIDEO OF UKRAINIAN TACTICAL HELMET THROW (LOW PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):

    • ANALYZE THE VIDEO from БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС to CONFIRM THE EVENT.
    • **ASSESS THE CONTEXT of the INCIDENT and any POTENTIAL PSYCHOLOGICAL IMPACT.
  3. ASSESS CASUALTIES FROM DRONE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):

    • **COLLECT AND ANALYZE INFORMATION from ALL AVAILABLE SOURCES on CASUALTIES AND DAMAGE caused by DRONE ATTACKS.
    • **ASSESS THE IMPACT on CIVILIAN POPULATIONS and CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
    • **COORDINATE WITH HUMANITARIAN ORGANIZATIONS to PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to the AFFECTED AREAS.
  4. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains CRITICAL. The RUSSIAN ESPIONAGE ARREST is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT, highlighting POTENTIAL VULNERABILITIES within RUSSIAN SECURITY. The CLAIMED RUSSIAN BORDER CONTROL and ADVANCES in the SUMY and POKROVSK DIRECTIONS REQUIRE URGENT VERIFICATION. The CONTINUED DRONE ATTACKS and REPORTED CASUALTIES underscore the ONGOING INTENSITY OF THE CONFLICT. RAPID RESPONSE, ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, and EFFECTIVE COORDINATION are ESSENTIAL.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs

  • Ukrainian Air Force successfully intercepted and destroyed 114 enemy UAVs.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • The image is part of a psychological operation to boost morale and deter enemy drone operations.: 0.5
  • The claimed number of destroyed drones is an exaggeration or fabrication for propaganda purposes.: 0.01
  • France is providing significant military aid to Ukraine.: 0.59
  • France is playing a key diplomatic role in the conflict.: 0.5
  • Ukraine and France are coordinating their strategies closely.: 0.42
  • Zelenskyy is attempting to publicly reinforce the image of strong international support.: 0.47
  • : 0.29
  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 1.0
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Akim Apachev has apologized for his actions in Sudzha.: 0.6
  • "Mostransavto" servers were subjected to a hacker attack.: 0.75
  • Ukrainian forces lost a number of elite units and Western equipment during counterattacks near Krasnoarmeysk (Ukrainian name - Pokrovsk).: 0.4
  • The "Ukrainian Railways" website has been down for a second day.: 0.8
  • Russian forces will start fighting for Lobkovoye, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.7
  • There is a threat of a ballistic missile attack in Sumy Oblast.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian GUR and SSO units released footage of HIMARS strikes inside BELGOROD OBLAST. : 0.6
  • Launches of guided bombs have been made in Donetsk and Sumy Regions.: 0.85
  • Russian forces in the Sumy direction have restored control over a significant section of the state border.: 0.62
  • An employee of a Russian supervisory body has been arrested for treason, for allegedly passing information to Ukraine about the protection of border infrastructure and the location of Russian Armed Forces.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Russian forces advanced up to 400 meters in Uspenivka and occupied new positions in the southern part of the settlement.: 0.6
  • Russian drone operators are targeting Ukrainian "burrows" (likely referring to dugouts or fortified positions) in the Krasnoarmeysk (Pokrovsk) direction.: 0.7
  • The Russian Ministry of Defense claims to have intercepted 29 Ukrainian drones overnight and in the morning.: 0.8
  • Positional battles near Zhuravka continue, with Russian forces working on enemy rear areas.: 0.8
  • Tula's 51st Airborne Regiment is fighting near Basovka and may be involved in an attempt to liberate the settlement.: 0.6
  • Conditions are difficult near Guev, with Ukrainian forces occupying advantageous positions.: 0.7
  • Russian forces have approached Vladimirovka in the Sumy region.: 0.6
  • A closed meeting between Russians and Americans is taking place in Saudi Arabia.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
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