Situation Report

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 24, 2025, 03:11 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (02:41 UTC - 03:11 UTC)

1. AIR RAID ALERT IN ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація (02:45:21): Announced an air raid alert for the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
   • Assessment: This is EXTREMELY SIGNIFICANT. It indicates an IMMINENT THREAT of AIR ATTACK, potentially MISSILES or DRONES. This IMMEDIATELY ELEVATES THE RISK LEVEL for the ENTIRE REGION.

2. REPORTED GUIDED AERIAL BOMB LAUNCHES TARGETING ZAPORIZHZHIA (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (02:48:01): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation targeting Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
   • Assessment: This CORROBORATES the AIR RAID ALERT and SPECIFIES THE NATURE OF THE THREAT. GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS pose a SIGNIFICANT DANGER due to their PRECISION and DESTRUCTIVE POWER. This INCREASES THE LIKELIHOOD of DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE and POTENTIAL CASUALTIES.

3. CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN PERSONNEL IN BERESTOK (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Colonelcassad (03:05:17): Provides video claiming to show a Russian airstrike on a Ukrainian temporary deployment point (ПВД) in Berestok, resulting in the destruction of enemy personnel. Claims the 8th Guards Army provided targeting.
   • Assessment: This claim REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The VIDEO appears to show THERMAL IMAGERY of a TARGETED STRIKE, but the SPECIFIC TARGET and the EFFECTIVENESS OF THE STRIKE are NOT CLEAR. ANALYZE THE VIDEO for FURTHER DETAILS, including GEOLOCATION and TARGET IDENTIFICATION. CROSS-REFERENCE with OTHER INTELLIGENCE SOURCES to CONFIRM THE CLAIM and ASSESS THE ACTUAL IMPACT on UKRAINIAN FORCES.

4. CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF 5,600 UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS IN LUHANSK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • TACC (03:00:40) Reports that almost 5,600 Ukrainian soldiers and mercenaries have been destroyed on the LNR borders.
   • Assessment: This is very likely an exaggeration by Russia.

5. OTHER:

   • Дневник Десантника (02:43:01): Advertises a Russian channel about paratroopers.
   • ТАСС (02:49:08): Reports that a Russian economist has warned people not to lose their investments.
   • АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (03:01:06): A good morning message, and a photo of a soldier inside a vehicle.
   • ТАСС (03:11:02): Reports that the Moscow court decided to block the "VKontakte" group.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • AIR RAID ALERT in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. IMMINENT THREAT of AIR ATTACK.

• REPORTED RUSSIAN ATTACK in FASTIV, KYIV OBLAST, resulting in ONE INJURY and DAMAGE TO CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE. * CONFIRMED RUSSIAN RECONNAISSANCE DRONE ACTIVITY in SUMY OBLAST, POTENTIALLY GUIDING ATTACKS. * CONFIRMED USE OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS in DONETSK OBLAST. * REPORTED GUIDED AERIAL BOMB LAUNCHES TARGETING KHARKIV

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • SHIFTING AIR THREATS. DRONE THREATS LARGELY DIMINISHED (except for KHERSON AND MYKOLAIV), but THREAT FROM RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION has INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY. CONFIRMED LAUNCHES of GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS targeting KHARKIV, SUMY AND DONETSK REGIONS.
  • EXTENSIVE DAMAGE CONFIRMED IN ZAPORIZHZHIA from RUSSIAN ATTACK, with MULTIPLE PHOTOS providing VISUAL EVIDENCE.
  • CLAIMED CAPTURE OF FRENCH ARMORED PERSONNEL CARRIER.
  • CLAIMED CAPTURED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT IN KURSK REGION.
  • MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK REPELLED IN ROSTOV OBLAST.

• REPORTED GUIDED AERIAL BOMB LAUNCHES TARGETING ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.

  • CLAIMED RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKE on a UKRAINIAN TEMPORARY DEPLOYMENT POINT in BERESTOK. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • ONGOING INFORMATION WARFARE EFFORTS, with PROPAGANDA MESSAGES from BOTH SIDES, NOW INCLUDING DIRECT RECRUITMENT EFFORTS TARGETING UKRAINIANS.
  • CLAIMED PARTISAN ACTIVITY in SUDZHA.
  • CLAIMED CAPTURED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT *in the KURSK REGION BORDER AREA. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
  • SEVEN UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS SURRENDERED

• LOW PRIORITY:

• NO CHANGE IN SECURITY SITUATION IN ENERGODAR.

• CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF 5,600 UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS.

Updated Recommendations

1. ADDRESS THE AIR RAID ALERT AND REPORTED BOMB LAUNCHES IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN HEIGHTENED SURVEILLANCE of AIRSPACE over ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.
   • ENSURE AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS are FULLY OPERATIONAL and READY TO ENGAGE.
   • ISSUE WARNINGS to CIVILIAN POPULATION to SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
   • PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL CASUALTIES and DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE. MOBILIZE EMERGENCY RESPONSE TEAMS.

2. VERIFY AND ASSESS OTHER CLAIMS.

3. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation has DRAMATICALLY ESCALATED in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. The AIR RAID ALERT and REPORTED GUIDED AERIAL BOMB LAUNCHES indicate an IMMINENT AND SERIOUS THREAT. IMMEDIATE ACTION is REQUIRED to PROTECT CIVILIAN LIVES and MILITARY ASSETS.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs

• Russian authorities are attempting to suppress nationalist movements and ideologies.: 0.56
• : 0.2
• The blocking of the VKontakte group is part of a broader effort to control online information and dissent.: 0.16
• The legal action against the VKontakte group is related to the activities or legacy of Maxim Martsinkevich.: 0.08
• Ukrainian forces conducted a drone attack on Rostov Oblast.: 0.65
• Russian forces are exaggerating the drone attack to gain support for the war effort.: 0.128
• A non-state actor conducted the drone attack.: 0.064
• The drone attack was a false flag operation by Russian forces.: 0.064
• No casualties were observed due to the attack.: 0.894
• Seven Ukrainian servicemen surrendered: 0.64.
• Ukrainian forces have suffered significant equipment losses due to effective enemy attacks.: 0.48
• The 'Kozak' armored vehicle is vulnerable to mines and/or anti-tank weapons.: 0.22
• Medical evacuation capabilities have been compromised.: 0.12
• Tactical errors in route planning or deployment contributed to the vehicle losses.: 0.08
• Ukrainian forces are adapting tactics based on observed equipment vulnerabilities and high-risk areas.: 0.08
• The threat of enemy drone strikes on the regions has been lifted.: 0.76
• The message is disinformation to lower defenses.: 0.024
• The threat has been shifted to a different area or type of attack.: 0.016
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the east.: 0.88
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions in the east.: 0.864
• Guided aerial bombs were launched towards Kharkiv region from the east.: 0.9
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.8
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions in the north-east.: 0.75
• Kherson and Mykolaiv regions are under threat of enemy drone strikes.: 0.95
• Guided aerial bombs were launched towards Sumy region.: 0.85
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The building was damaged due to shelling or explosive attack.: 0.48
• The damage impacts civilian infrastructure and may displace populations.: 0.16
• The presence of responders indicates a need for medical care and assistance.: 0.12
• The location and nature of the damage may reveal enemy targeting strategies.: 0.04
• Air raid alert in Kyiv is over.: 0.76
• There may be a lull in military activity in Kyiv.: 0.2
• There may be a lull in military activity in Kyiv: 0.024
• The alert system might have malfunctioned.: 0.016
• The video depicts the aftermath of a military strike on a built-up area.: 0.56
• Emergency services are responding to a humanitarian crisis caused by the strike.: 0.16
• The damage suggests the use of heavy artillery or aerial bombardment.: 0.08
• Enemy drone attack in Rostov region caused a fatality.: 0.64
• Saratov and Engels were struck in the most massive attack of all time: 0.97
• 132 Ukrainian UAVs were destroyed.: 0.21
• Russian forces shot down a Ukrainian UAV.: 0.6
• Russia conducted 5 airstrikes on Yasna Polyana, Blakytne, and Novoivanivka.: 0.8
• 334 drones of various types attacked Zaporizhzhia, Kamyanske, Bilenke, Malokaterynivka, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
• 12 MLRS attacks were launched on Komyshuvakha, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
• 168 artillery strikes were launched on the territory of Kamyanske, Huliaipole, Shcherbaky, Novodanylivka, Mala Tokmachka, Charivne, and Novodarivka.: 0.8
• Damage to cars, apartments, private houses, commercial structures, and infrastructure facilities was reported.: 0.8
• Two men were injured in an attack on Zaporizhzhia.: 0.8
• Ukrainian UAVs attacked the Engels airfield, hitting warehouses.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.86
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
• The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
• Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
• Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
• 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
• Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
• Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
• UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATIONS IN KHARKIV REGION: 0.67
• Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Shevchenko: 0.55
• Russia is attempting to destroy Ukrainian UAV control centers in the Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.55
• Russian forces claim Malaya Loknya is completely under their control.: 0.98
• Reports of captured Ukrainian soldiers in the area of CHERKASSKOE PORECHNOE.: 0.99999999999999
• 4 attacks were made near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
• The enemy is attempting to advance in BILOHORIVKA, FEDORIVKA and VERKHNOKAMYANSKE.: 0.9
• 89 enemy casualties were sustained (42 deaths) near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
• Russian forces liberated LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
• Russian infantry attack with sapper-assault group undermined a Ukrainian position in the center of LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
• There was a Russian advance of over 600 meters in an easterly direction in LEBEDEVKA.: 0.8
• Russian airstrikes took place in MALA VOVCHA.: 0.9
• Clashes took place in the following areas: LOZOVA, PETROPAVLIVKA, *: 0.92
• Russian forces are making tactical advances near Novolyubovka.: 0.49
• Britain wants US drones to monitor the demarcation zone in Ukraine.: 0.75
• Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland declared their withdrawal from the Ottawa Convention.: 0.87
• Military personnel will be able to receive higher education.: 0.86
• Russians were using blue tape, like the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in the Kursk region: 0.52
• ALLEGED RUSSIAN SUBTERRANEAN INFILTRATION TACTIC (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE): 0.75
• CONTINUED THREAT OF RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE): 0.9
• CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE): 0.69

• EXTREME PRIORITY:
• MULTIPLE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREATS, particularly for SUMY and KHARKIV OBLASTS. IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUIRED. 0.85
• HIGH PRIORITY:
• **CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES. REQUIRES VERIFICATION. 0.76
• CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN COLUMN near SUDZHA. 0.88
• ONGOING PROPAGANDA AND INFORMATION WARFARE EFFORTS from BOTH SIDES. 0.87
• UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to INCREASE DOMESTIC WEAPONS PRODUCTION. 0.77 CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES. REQUIRES VERIFICATION. 0.54

• Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: