Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 23, 2025, 18:01 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (17:31 UTC - 18:01 UTC)

1. RUSSIAN DELEGATION ARRIVES IN RIYADH (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Colonelcassad (17:32 UTC), ТАСС (17:21 UTC): Reports the arrival of a Russian delegation in Riyadh for consultations with the US, scheduled to begin on March 24th.
   • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (17:43 UTC): Reports that talks have finished. Claims that Ukrainian representatives wouldn't have a meeting with the Russian delegation.
   • Оперативний ЗСУ (17:43 UTC): Claims the delegation has finished talks.

• РБК-Україна (17:39 UTC): Reports Russian media reports that the Ukrainian and US talks have ended. States that representatives refused to comment.

• ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:46): Reports that talks have ended, stating that representatives would not meet.

  • Assessment: CONFIRMS the RUSSIAN DELEGATION'S ARRIVAL, INCREASING the LIKELIHOOD of US-RUSSIA TALKS. However, the Kremlin spokesman DENIES the reports. The REPORTS of UKRAINIAN REPRESENTATIVES being PRESENT but REFUSING to MEET with the RUSSIANS is UNCLEAR and POTENTIALLY CONTRADICTORY. This needs FURTHER CLARIFICATION. The situation regarding potential negotiations is UNCLEAR. While a US official claims indirect talks are progressing, and a Russian delegation has arrived in Riyadh, there is no independent confirmation of direct Ukrainian-Russian talks, and the Kremlin denies reports.

2. CLAIMED UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL FROM DEMIDOVKA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Военкор Котенок (17:59 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces partially destroyed and partially withdrew from the outskirts of Demidovka, Belgorod Oblast. Reports a small Ukrainian group remains on the southwestern outskirts. Describes Russian efforts to locate and eliminate them. Claims Ukrainian forces have shifted to small infantry group tactics.

• Alex Parker Returns (17:21): Claims that border guards state that there are fights directly in Demidovka.

• Два майора (16:48): Reports fighting in Demidovka, Belgorod. Details include small groups of Ukrainian soldiers on foot, Russian artillery, air strikes and FPV drone use by both sides. Reports Ukrainian HIMARS, guided bombs, and "Baba Yaga" drones used for remote mining.

  • Assessment: REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The CLAIM of PARTIAL WITHDRAWAL needs INDEPENDENT CONFIRMATION. CONSISTENT with PREVIOUS REPORTS of FIGHTING in the AREA, but REPRESENTS A POTENTIAL SHIFT in the SITUATION. This IS consistent, however, with other reports of the use of small groups. The claims of fighting INSIDE the village need confirmation.

3. EXPLOSION REPORTED IN KHERSON (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Alex Parker Returns (17:35 UTC): Reports an explosion in Kherson.
   • Assessment: REQUIRES VERIFICATION. NO DETAILS PROVIDED. COULD BE ANYTHING from SHELLING to an IED.

4. CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DAMAGE OF GAS STATION IN SUDZHA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Два майора (17:36 UTC): Provides a video claiming to show damage to a gas measuring station in Sudzha, allegedly attacked by Ukrainian forces on March 21st.
   • Assessment: REQUIRES VERIFICATION. IF CONFIRMED, this would be CONSISTENT with UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to DISRUPT RUSSIAN LOGISTICS and INFRASTRUCTURE.

5. ENEMY DRONE IN SUMY OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (17:57 UTC): Reports an enemy reconnaissance drone in Sumy Oblast, possible air defense activity.
   • Assessment: CONFIRMS CONTINUED DRONE THREAT. INCREASES the LIKELIHOOD of AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY.

6. PROPAGANDA (LOW PRIORITY):

• Alex Parker Returns (17:58): Shares multiple messages regarding Sudzha, claiming that it shows that Ukrainians will continue attacking. Shares a video of a pro-Russian vlogger.
• Басурин о главном (17:41): Shares an image of a "fake" letter.
• Kotsnews (17:41): Claims 70% of people claim that traitors shouldn't die of old age, using the example of Gordievsky.
• Оперативний ЗСУ (17:43): Refers to Russian reports of "refusing to comment".
• Alex Parker Returns (17:44): States that talks between Ukraine and US representatives have ended. States that all Ukrainian representatives have dressed in military clothing.
• Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (17:45): Shares photos. States that a woman walked into a police station and exploded, calling her a terrorist. Claims that the FSB remotely detonated it.
• ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:46): Reports that talks in Saudi Arabia have ended.
• Alex Parker Returns (17:49): States that a special envoy claims that Putin is a smart guy.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:
  • CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACKS. Focus on KHARKIV OBLAST and DNIPRO CITY. MULTIPLE TRAJECTORIES indicate attempts to overwhelm air defenses.
  • CONFIRMED FIGHTING IN DEMIDOVKA, BELGOROD OBLAST, INSIDE RUSSIA. Small-scale Ukrainian infantry engagements, supported by HIMARS, guided bombs, and FPV drones. Russian forces responding with artillery and airstrikes. Potential for further escalation. UKRAINIAN "BABA YAGA" DRONES REPORTEDLY REMOTELY MINING RUSSIAN SUPPLY LINES. CLAIMED PARTIAL WITHDRAWAL of Ukrainian forces.
• HIGH PRIORITY:
  • THREE DEAD, ONE INJURED in POKROVSK.
  • CONFLICTING REPORTS ON US-RUSSIA TALKS. RUSSIAN DELEGATION IN RIYADH.
  • CONTINUED REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE in Kyiv and other locations, CONTRADICTING CLAIMS OF A CEASEFIRE ON INFRASTRUCTURE.
• ENEMY RECONNAISSANCE DRONE in SUMY OBLAST.
• MEDIUM PRIORITY:
• REPORTED DEATH of RUSSIAN TACTICAL MEDICINE INSTRUCTOR. * CLAIMED RUSSIAN MLRS ATTACK. * REPORTED UKRAINIAN MOVEMENTS near BELGOROD.
  • REPORTED RUSSIAN AIRCRAFT INCIDENT. * CLAIMED RUSSIAN PURSUIT of UKRAINIAN FORCES near SUDZHA.
• CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DAMAGE OF GAS STATION in SUDZHA.
• REPORTED EXPLOSION in KHERSON.
• LOW PRIORITY:
  • UKRAINIAN RECRUITMENT campaign.
• ZELENSKY VISIT TO KHARKIV. * LITHUANIAN BORDER MINING.

Updated Recommendations

1. MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT FOR AIR/DRONE ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • CONTINUOUSLY MONITOR for DRONE ACTIVITY, especially in KHARKIV OBLAST and DNIPRO CITY. SUMY OBLAST also has CONFIRMED DRONE ACTIVITY.
   • DEPLOY AIR DEFENSE ASSETS.
   • ISSUE TIMELY WARNINGS.

2. ADDRESS INCREASING CASUALTIES IN POKROVSK (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • PROVIDE MEDICAL ASSISTANCE.
   • DOCUMENT THE ATTACK and GATHER EVIDENCE.
   • INCREASE SECURITY MEASURES.

3. VERIFY REPORTS (HIGH PRIORITY, INVESTIGATION):

   • RUSSIAN MLRS ATTACK in KAKHOVKA DIRECTION.
   • UKRAINIAN TROOP MOVEMENTS near BELGOROD.
   • DEATH of RUSSIAN TACTICAL MEDICINE INSTRUCTOR.
   • RUSSIAN SU-34 LANDING without LANDING GEAR.
   • RUSSIAN PURSUIT OF UKRAINIAN FORCES near SUDZHA.
   • RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN DPR.
   • CIVILIAN CASUALTIES and INVESTIGATIONS in DONETSK OBLAST.

• CLAIMED UKRAINIAN DAMAGE of GAS STATION in SUDZHA.
• REPORTED EXPLOSION in KHERSON.

4. ADDRESS FIGHTING IN DEMIDOVKA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • Deploy counter-drone measures.
   • Disrupt the supply lines.
   • Maintain all recommendations. VERIFY reports of PARTIAL WITHDRAWAL.

5. CLARIFY STATUS OF TALKS (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • URGENTLY DETERMINE the STATUS of TALKS in RIYADH.
   • CONFIRM OR REFUTE the PRESENCE of a UKRAINIAN DELEGATION.
   • ASCERTAIN whether ANY TALKS are TAKING PLACE, and BETWEEN WHOM.

6. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND VOLATILE. The CONTINUED DRONE ATTACKS, FIGHTING INSIDE RUSSIA, and CONFLICTING REPORTS ON NEGOTIATIONS create a HIGHLY UNPREDICTABLE ENVIRONMENT. RAPID RESPONSE, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, and CONSTANT VIGILANCE are CRITICAL. The CONFIRMED PRESENCE of a RUSSIAN DELEGATION in RIYADH INCREASES the IMPORTANCE of CLARIFYING the STATUS of POTENTIAL TALKS.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs

• Kyiv is under attack by drones.: 0.8416
• : 0.064
• Explosions in Kyiv were caused by something other than a drone attack (e.g., air defense activity, other military activity).: 0.0512
• The report is inaccurate or exaggerated.: 0.0064
• Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.93
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
• The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
• Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
• Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
• 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
• Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
• Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
• Robotic platforms with RPGs, AGS grenade launchers, and a heavy machine gun were deployed by the 1st Slavic Brigade.: 0.99999999999999999999
• Two children (ages 2 and 15) are among 12 injured in Kryvyi Rih.: 0.99999999999999999
• Up to 2,000 Ukrainian soldiers requested to surrender.: 0.9999999
• UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATIONS IN KHARKIV REGION: 0.67
• Ukrainian forces counterattacked
• Ukrainian forces successfully shot down another Russian Zala drone using an FPV drone. : 0.88
• The "Sky Reaper" operation is approaching 1000+ downed aerial targets.: 0.48
• Russian forces completed the "destruction" of
• Kyiv is under attack by drones.: 0.8416
• Explosions in Kyiv were caused by something other than a drone attack (e.g., air defense activity, other military activity).: 0.0512
• The report is inaccurate or exaggerated.: 0.0064
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the Chasovoyarsk and Kupyansk directions, and near Velikonovosyolkovskoe and South-Donetsk.: 0.52
• A Ukrainian "Baba Yaga" drone carrying four mines was shot down in the Zaporozhye direction.: 0.5
• Fighting is reported near Grafovka and Demidovka in the Belgorod region. Attacks using ATVs and buggies were repelled. Russian artillery and UAVs are active against Ukrainian forces.: 0.65
• Kyiv is currently under threat of drone attacks.: 0.7
• The DRONE ATTACK is ONGOING, *W