Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 22, 2025, 23:31 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (23:01 UTC - 23:31 UTC)

1. CONTINUED, INTENSIFIED DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Colonelcassad (23:03 UTC, Videos): Shows videos of explosions in KYIV, claiming a "massed raid" by "Geran" drones (Shahed-136). Claims air defenses are attempting to intercept.

   • РБК-Україна (23:05 UTC): Reports another fire on the 16TH FLOOR of an APARTMENT BUILDING in the PODILSKYI DISTRICT. INFORMATION ON CASUALTIES IS BEING CLARIFIED.

   • КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) (23:06 UTC): CONFIRMS the FIRE on the 16TH FLOOR of an APARTMENT BUILDING in the PODILSKYI DISTRICT. CONFIRMS DAMAGE TO A CAR in the SHEVCHENKIVSKYI DISTRICT from FALLING DEBRIS.

   • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (23:10 UTC): Reports FALLING DEBRIS on an APARTMENT BUILDING in the PODILSKYI DISTRICT, with a FIRE ON THE TOP FLOOR. (23:11 UTC, Videos, Photos): Shows videos and photos of FALLING DEBRIS and FIRES in KYIV.

   • РБК-Україна (23:11 UTC, Photo): Shows a photo from Mayor Klitschko of a FIRE ON THE TOP FLOOR of an APARTMENT BUILDING.

   • КМВА (23:15 UTC): Reports another hit, of debris, on a 20TH FLOOR OF A RESIDENTIAL BUILDING at a new location.

   • РБК-Україна (23:15): CONFIRMS, additional falling debris hit the 20th floor of a building in the Dniprovskiy District.

   • Николаевский Ванёк (23:18 UTC): Provides updated drone locations:

     • 1 moving from ZHITOMYR OBLAST to KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST.
     • 3 moving from VINNYTSIA OBLAST to KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST, 2 of them heading towards STAROKONSTANTINOV.
     • 3 new drones heading towards/through CHUGUEV.
     • 1 moving from KYIV OBLAST to VINNYTSIA OBLAST.

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (23:23 UTC): Updates on drone movements:

     • Drone in WESTERN ZHITOMYR OBLAST, heading SOUTH.
     • Drones in VINNYTSIA OBLAST, heading WEST.
     • Drones in NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST, heading SOUTH-EAST.

   • РБК-Україна (23:29 UTC): CLARIFIES that the REPORT of a SECOND HIT in the PODILSKYI DISTRICT on a 16TH FLOOR APARTMENT BUILDING was INCORRECT. INFORMATION ON CASUALTIES IS BEING CLARIFIED for all other impacts.

   • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (23:31 UTC, Videos): Shows multiple videos of FIRES and EMERGENCY VEHICLES in KYIV, claiming AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY and HITS ON BUILDINGS.

   • Assessment: The DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV has INTENSIFIED and is ONGOING. MULTIPLE DISTRICTS are AFFECTED by FALLING DEBRIS from INTERCEPTED DRONES, causing FIRES in MULTIPLE APARTMENT BUILDINGS. The SCALE and PERSISTENCE of the ATTACK are EXTREMELY CONCERNING. The REPORTS OF FIRES on HIGH FLOORS OF APARTMENT BUILDINGS pose a SIGNIFICANT THREAT to CIVILIAN LIVES. AIR DEFENSES are ACTIVE, but the VOLUME OF DRONES appears to be OVERWHELMING their CAPACITY. The UPDATED DRONE LOCATIONS suggest CONTINUED THREATS to OTHER REGIONS as well. The CORRECTION regarding the SECOND HIT in the PODILSKYI DISTRICT is IMPORTANT, but the OVERALL SITUATION REMAINS CRITICAL.

2. CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRIKES IN KHARKIV REGION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Colonelcassad (23:15 UTC, Video): Claims a Russian FPV drone strike destroyed a Ukrainian 155mm FH70 howitzer, two trucks, and a minivan in the KHARKIV DIRECTION.
   • Assessment: This CLAIM REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The VIDEO shows DRONE FOOTAGE of a STRIKE on a HOWITZER and VEHICLES. If CONFIRMED, this represents a LOSS of UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY and LOGISTICAL ASSETS.

3. REPORTED DRONE THREAT IN KHARKIV OBLAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (23:02 UTC): Reports a drone threat in KHARKIV OBLAST.
   • Assessment: This CONFIRMS a CONTINUED DRONE THREAT in KHARKIV OBLAST, CONSISTENT with the CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRIKES.

4. STARLINK ISSUES IN SOUTH AFRICA (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

• TASS (23:02 UTC): Reports Elon Musk claims Starlink is not receiving necessary documents to operate in South Africa due to "racist attitudes" towards him. * Assessment: NOT DIRECTLY RELEVANT to the MILITARY SITUATION IN UKRAINE.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • INTENSIFIED, ONGOING DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV. MULTIPLE DISTRICTS AFFECTED by FALLING DEBRIS. FIRES in MULTIPLE APARTMENT BUILDINGS on HIGH FLOORS. AIR DEFENSES ACTIVE but OVERWHELMED. POTENTIAL CASUALTIES.
  • CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV, with MULTIPLE DRONES STRIKING APARTMENT BUILDINGS. POTENTIAL CASUALTIES.
  • WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY CONFIRMED across UKRAINE. MULTIPLE REGIONS under THREAT.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN STRIKE in NOVA KAKHOVKA. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
  • CLAIMED RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES in SUMY OBLAST.
  • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY STRIKES in TORETSK.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • KHARKIV MILITARY CABINET MEETING CONFIRMED. UPCOMING US-UKRAINE TALKS.
  • CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE EFFORTS near TORETSK.
  • CONFIRMED DAMAGE FROM RUSSIAN ATTACK IN ZAPORIZHZHIA.
  • CLAIMED RUSSIAN FPV DRONE STRIKE on a UKRAINIAN "BRADLEY" IFV.
  • CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRIKES in KHARKIV REGION, targeting HOWITZER and VEHICLES.

• REPORTED DRONE THREAT in KHARKIV OBLAST.

• LOW PRIORITY:

  • CROCUS CITY HALL ATTACK ANNIVERSARY and INFORMATION WARFARE.
  • RUSSIAN WARNING TO CIVILIANS in RUSSIA.
  • RUSSIAN CRITICISM OF EU MEDIA FUNDING.
  • REPORTED US STRIKES IN YEMEN.
  • NEW RUSSIAN CYBERSECURITY MEASURES.
  • US AIRSTRIKES in YEMEN.
  • REPORTED RUSSIAN ARTILLERY STRIKES IN KOMAR.
  • Report that this year will be among the hottest on record.

• CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT.

• CLAIMED REPORTS FROM OCCUPIED TERRITORIES.

• STARLINK ISSUES in SOUTH AFRICA.

Updated Recommendations

1. CONTINUE ADDRESSING THE KYIV DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across KYIV and SURROUNDING AREAS.
   • **PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING INCOMING DRONES.
   • CONTINUE ISSUING WARNINGS to CIVILIANS to REMAIN IN SHELTERS.
   • DEPLOY EMERGENCY SERVICES to ALL AFFECTED DISTRICTS to ASSESS DAMAGE, EXTINGUISH FIRES, and PROVIDE ASSISTANCE TO RESIDENTS.
     • PRIORITIZE APARTMENT BUILDINGS with FIRES ON HIGH FLOORS.
   • GATHER INFORMATION on CASUALTIES and PROVIDE MEDICAL CARE.
   • ESTABLISH SECURITY PERIMETERS around IMPACT SITES and COLLECT EVIDENCE for INVESTIGATIONS.
   • COORDINATE WITH LOCAL AUTHORITIES to EVACUATE RESIDENTS from DANGEROUS BUILDINGS if NECESSARY.

2. VERIFY THE CLAIMED RUSSIAN STRIKES IN KHARKIV REGION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

   • ANALYZE THE VIDEO FOOTAGE provided by Colonelcassad.
     • ATTEMPT TO GEO-LOCATE THE INCIDENT to CONFIRM it occurred in the KHARKIV DIRECTION.
     • CONFIRM that the TARGETED HOWITZER is an FH70.
     • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF THE DAMAGE to the HOWITZER and VEHICLES.
   • CROSS-REFERENCE with OTHER INTELLIGENCE SOURCES to CORROBORATE THE CLAIM.
   • ASSESS THE IMPACT of the POTENTIAL LOSS on UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY CAPABILITY in the AREA.

3. MONITOR DRONE ACTIVITY IN KHARKIV OBLAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in KHARKIV OBLAST.
   • TRACK DRONE MOVEMENTS and ISSUE WARNINGS to CIVILIANS and MILITARY UNITS.

4. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES):

The situation in KYIV remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL and has WORSENED. The INTENSIFIED, ONGOING DRONE ATTACK, with MULTIPLE HITS ON APARTMENT BUILDINGS and FIRES ON HIGH FLOORS, requires IMMEDIATE AND SUSTAINED ACTION. AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS must REMAIN AT MAXIMUM ALERT, and EMERGENCY SERVICES must be FULLY DEPLOYED to ADDRESS THE CONSEQUENCES OF THE ATTACK. The POTENTIAL FOR CASUALTIES is HIGH.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs

• Russian forces are conducting a coordinated drone attack on Kyiv targeting multiple districts.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The drone strikes are intended to cause damage to critical infrastructure or civilian targets in Kyiv.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The attack is intended to test Ukrainian air defenses and response capabilities.: 0.08
• The fires are a result of the drone strikes and are spreading to multiple locations.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russian banks are implementing new security measures to combat fraud, including enhanced mobile app functionality and parental notification of teenage account activity.: 0.56
• Cybercriminals are increasingly targeting Russian citizens through bank transfers and tokenized cards, prompting regulatory intervention.: 0.16
• The Russian government is actively promoting cybersecurity awareness and providing resources for citizens to report cybercrime through platforms like 'Cyberpolice of Russia'.: 0.08
• Target is a high-value military asset.: 0.32
• Target is critical infrastructure (e.g., power plant, communication hub).: 0.24
• Target is a civilian area and the descent is an intelligence gathering mission.: 0.12
• Target is a staging area for enemy combatants or vehicles.: 0.08
• The video is a simulation or training exercise.: 0.04
• The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.9776
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Kras