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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-22 11:32:36Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-22 11:02:39Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 22, 2025, 11:31 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (11:02 UTC - 11:31 UTC)

  1. RUSSIAN RETALIATION THREAT (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • TASS, Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны, Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition, Alex Parker Returns, Colonelcassad, РБК-Україна (11:08 UTC, 11:09 UTC, 11:14 UTC, 11:16 UTC, 11:20 UTC, 11:22 UTC, 11:26 UTC): Multiple sources report the Russian Foreign Ministry (MFA) stated Russia reserves the right to a "symmetrical response" to continued Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy facilities. The MFA also claims Kyiv is demonstrating "complete unwillingness to negotiate and a lack of desire for peace" through these attacks.
    • Assessment: This is a MAJOR ESCALATION in RUSSIAN RHETORIC and POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT to UKRAINIAN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE. The CLAIM of "symmetrical response" implies RUSSIAN ATTACKS on UKRAINIAN ENERGY TARGETS. The ACCUSATION of UKRAINIAN INTRACTABILITY is likely intended to JUSTIFY these ATTACKS and SHIFT BLAME to UKRAINE.
  2. ZAPORIZHZHIA MISSILE THREAT & AIR RAID ALERT (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN SOURCES):

    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (11:17 UTC): Reports a missile threat in the Zaporizhzhia region. An air raid alert was issued for the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
    • 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (11:23 UTC): Reports the end of the air raid alert across the entire Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS a BRIEF BUT SIGNIFICANT MISSILE THREAT in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION. The RAPID ISSUANCE AND LIFTING of the AIR RAID ALERT suggests the THREAT WAS DETECTED, TRACKED, and either INTERCEPTED or MISSED ITS TARGET. It is UNCLEAR if any IMPACTS OCCURRED.
    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:26): Reports that recon drones are active, and air defences are in the area.
  3. ZAPORIZHZHIA ATTACK AFTERMATH (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • Офіс Генерального прокурора (11:28 UTC): Reports 3 people were killed and 12 injured as a result of a massive enemy attack on Zaporizhzhia. A family—parents aged 38 and 41, and their 17-year-old daughter—was killed. A 9-month-old child was among the injured. The attack, using UAVs, occurred around 21:00 on March 21. Damage includes multi-story buildings, a kindergarten, a gymnasium, a recreation facility, private houses, and other infrastructure.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS SIGNIFICANT CASUALTIES and DAMAGE from a RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK on ZAPORIZHZHIA on MARCH 21. The DEATH of an ENTIRE FAMILY is PARTICULARLY TRAGIC. The TARGETING of CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE constitutes a POTENTIAL WAR CRIME.
  4. UKRAINIAN DRONE OPERATIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (11:19 UTC): Reports that the "Samosud" crew of the 11th National Guard Brigade shot down three Russian Zala reconnaissance drones in the Kherson region. Claims these drones are typically used to guide Lancet drones, KABs (guided aerial bombs), and artillery.
    • Підрозділ Shadow (11:21 UTC): Reports a tandem operation with the "SHADOW" group identifying and fixing coordinates, and the "SOLOVEY" group using FPV drones to destroy enemy targets, resulting in "minus occupants, minus a threat to our fighters."
    • ✙DeepState✙🇺🇦 (11:27 UTC): Reports joint work by the 67th Mechanized Brigade and Ukrainian border guards against Russian forces in the Basivka area. Describes the nature of the fighting, with Russian infantry constantly attempting to advance through plantings between Zhuravka and Novenke towards Basivka. Claims Ukrainian forces constantly monitor and engage the enemy, preventing them from taking Basivka.
    • STERNENKO (11:14, 11:37): Provides continued reports on donated drones, and where they are deployed.
  • Assessment: CONTINUED, INTENSE DRONE WARFARE on BOTH SIDES. UKRAINIAN FORCES appear to be EFFECTIVELY USING DRONES to TARGET RUSSIAN LOGISTICS AND PERSONNEL. UKRAINE IS DEVELOPING COUNTER-DRONE CAPABILITIES.
  1. RUSSIAN DRONE OPERATIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (11:09 UTC): Reports Russian ground kamikaze robots destroying enemy dugouts in the Kharkiv region. Claims the robot enters the fortification and detonates TM-62 mines, killing those inside.
    • Assessment: This indicates RUSSIAN USE OF GROUND-BASED DRONES for OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS. The CLAIM OF EFFECTIVENESS REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
  2. OTHER UPDATES:

    • Оперативний ЗСУ (11:03 UTC): Shows a video of a Russian soldier being targeted by a drone, labeled "another 'last kiss of Putin'." UKRAINIAN PROPAGANDA, intended to DEMORALIZE RUSSIAN FORCES.
    • Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (11:05 UTC): Reports that Russian authorities in occupied Henichesk are forcing children to weave camouflage nets for Russian forces, even releasing them from lessons. REQUIRES VERIFICATION, but IF TRUE, would constitute EXPLOITATION OF CHILDREN and a VIOLATION OF INTERNATIONAL HUMANITARIAN LAW.
    • 🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (11:07 UTC): Reports two people injured in Nikopol due to Russian artillery shelling, with over a dozen shells fired at the city. Both injured were hospitalized in moderate condition. Two enterprises were damaged. CONFIRMED, indicates CONTINUED RUSSIAN SHELLING of CIVILIAN AREAS.
    • РБК-Україна (11:06 UTC): Reports that border security has been strengthened in Transcarpathia, on the border with Romania and Hungary.
    • Сили оборони Півдня України (11:07 UTC): Reports the delivery of evacuation buggies to medical units.
    • Fighterbomber (11:16): Mentions an F-16 crashing without landing gear.
    • Colonelcassad (11:14): Claims Ukrainian bots are pretending to be Russian Soldiers.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • RUSSIAN THREAT OF RETALIATORY STRIKES on UKRAINIAN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE. This POSES A MAJOR THREAT and REQUIRES IMMEDIATE PREPARATIONS.
    • BRIEF BUT SIGNIFICANT MISSILE THREAT in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION. AIR RAID ALERT ISSUED AND LIFTED. REQUIRES MONITORING.
    • AIR RAID ALERTS in MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN REGIONS. THREAT HAS SUBSIDED, but VIGILANCE REMAINS ESSENTIAL.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • CONFIRMED RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK on ZAPORIZHZHIA on MARCH 21, resulting in CIVILIAN CASUALTIES and DAMAGE.
    • CONTINUED FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS, with REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES.
  • ESTONIA TO PROVIDE MILITARY AID TO UKRAINE.

    • ZELENSKYY VISITED POKROVSK COMMAND POST and MET WITH DRONE UNIT COMMANDERS.
    • UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKE IN CRIMEA.
    • Claimed advances.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • NETHERLANDS PROVIDING ENERGY SUPPORT. * EU PROVIDES MEDIA FUNDING. * REPORTED UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATION IN SKADOVSK. * RUSSIAN TRAINING OF DRONE OPERATORS. * REPORTED US-TURKEY NEGOTIATIONS ON S-400/F-35. * Reports of aircraft landing with flares. * Continued drone activity.

Updated Recommendations

  1. PREPARE FOR RUSSIAN RETALIATORY STRIKES (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • INCREASE VIGILANCE and READINESS of AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across UKRAINE, with PARTICULAR FOCUS on PROTECTING ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE.
    • DISPERSE CRITICAL ASSETS and IMPLEMENT PROTECTIVE MEASURES to MITIGATE DAMAGE from POTENTIAL STRIKES.
    • PREPARE FOR RAPID RESPONSE and REPAIR CAPABILITIES to ADDRESS ANY DAMAGE to ENERGY FACILITIES.
    • COORDINATE WITH INTERNATIONAL PARTNERS to SEEK ASSISTANCE in STRENGTHENING AIR DEFENSES and ENSURING ENERGY SECURITY.
  2. MONITOR ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION.
    • **CONTINUOUSLY MONITOR for INDICATIONS of FURTHER MISSILE LAUNCHES or DRONE ACTIVITY.
    • **GATHER INTELLIGENCE on the IMPACTS of the PREVIOUS ATTACK and ASSESS ANY REMAINING THREATS.
    • **PROVIDE SUPPORT to CIVILIANS AFFECTED by the ATTACK.
  3. INVESTIGATE RUSSIAN CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, URGENT ACTION):

    • UTILIZE ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS (signal intelligence, human intelligence, satellite imagery) to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the RUSSIAN CLAIMS of SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSSES, SHOOTING DOWN a UKRAINIAN MiG-29, JDAM BOMBS, and HIMARS ROCKETS, and the destruction of 142 DRONES.
    • CONTACT UKRAINIAN MILITARY SOURCES to OBTAIN INFORMATION on the STATUS of their AIRCRAFT, MUNITIONS, PERSONNEL, and EQUIPMENT.
    • DETERMINE THE LOCATIONS of the CLAIMED INCIDENTS.
      • ANALYZE RADAR DATA and OTHER SENSOR INFORMATION to IDENTIFY ANY POTENTIAL AIRCRAFT LOSSES or MISSILE INTERCEPTIONS.
      • SEARCH FOR ANY DEBRIS OR WRECKAGE in the AREAS mentioned in the RUSSIAN REPORT.
  4. INVESTIGATE UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATION IN SKADOVSK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, URGENT ACTION):

    • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM the REPORTED OPERATION and ASSESS THE DAMAGE.
    • ATTEMPT TO IDENTIFY THE RUSSIAN OFFICERS reportedly KILLED.
  5. MONITOR ZELENSKYY'S VISIT TO POKROVSK (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • GATHER INTELLIGENCE on ANY DECISIONS made during ZELENSKYY'S VISIT.
    • ASSESS THE IMPACT of his VISIT on TROOP MORALE.
    • MONITOR FOR ANY CHANGES in RUSSIAN ACTIVITY in the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
  6. INVESTIGATE REPORTED US-TURKEY NEGOTIATIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, URGENT ACTION):

    • CONTACT US GOVERNMENT SOURCES to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the REPORT.
    • ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPLICATIONS of such a DEAL.
  7. CONTINUE MONITORING ALL FRONTS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN A HIGH LEVEL OF VIGILANCE across ALL FRONTS.
    • GATHER INTELLIGENCE on RUSSIAN MOVEMENTS AND INTENTIONS.
    • **PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIONS.
  8. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS and HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The RUSSIAN MoD REPORT, if TRUE, indicates a MAJOR ESCALATION and SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSSES. URGENT VERIFICATION of these CLAIMS is PARAMOUNT. ZELENSKYY'S VISIT to the POKROVSK COMMAND POST highlights the IMPORTANCE of this AREA and the FOCUS ON DRONE WARFARE. RAPID INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, EFFECTIVE RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and a WILLINGNESS TO ADAPT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING CIRCUMSTANCES are ESSENTIAL.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • Negotiations for a complete ceasefire are underway.: 0.7036
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the Kursk region.: 0.85
  • Ukrainian forces are encircled in the Kursk region.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant casualties in the Kursk region.: 0.5
  • Russian forces have successfully destroyed Ukrainian positions and equipment in the Kursk region.: 0.6
  • The US is actively involved in mediating the ceasefire negotiations.: 0.4
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement will likely favor Russian territorial claims.: 0.3
  • Ukraine is facing significant internal pressure to agree to a ceasefire.: 0.2
  • The international community is divided on the terms of the proposed ceasefire.: 0.1
  • The ceasefire agreement, if reached, will likely lead to a prolonged period of instability.: 0.15
  • The Zaporizhzhia attack killed three people.: 1.0
  • The Zaporizhzhia attack resulted in 367 strikes on 13 settlements, using various weapons, including aviation strikes, UAVs, MLRS, and artillery.: 0.688
  • : 0.216
  • Damage reports include 74 instances of destruction to residential properties, vehicles, and infrastructure.: 0.056
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 1.0
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 1.0
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.969
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.65
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.969
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 1.0
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 1.0
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.52
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.84
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
  • Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
  • Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
  • Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
  • Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
  • Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
  • Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
  • UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
  • Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
  • Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
  • Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
  • Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
  • The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
  • Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
  • An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
  • A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
  • The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.84
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.64
  • The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
  • The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
  • A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
  • Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
  • The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
  • Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
  • Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
  • Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
  • Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
  • Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
  • Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
  • Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
  • Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
  • Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
  • The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
  • Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
  • Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
  • Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
  • Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
  • A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
  • Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
  • Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
  • Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
  • Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
  • Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
  • Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
  • An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
  • A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
  • A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
  • Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
  • Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
  • Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
  • Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
  • Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
  • Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
  • A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
  • Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
  • An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
  • Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
  • Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
  • Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
  • The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
  • The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
  • The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
  • The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
  • Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
  • Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
  • 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
  • Russian forces
Previous (2025-03-22 11:02:39Z)

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