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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-22 07:32:37Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-22 07:02:32Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 22, 2025, 07:31 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (07:02 UTC - 07:31 UTC)

  1. CONTINUED REPORTS OF WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACKS ACROSS UKRAINE (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:35 UTC): Reports shooting down 100 enemy UAVs overnight. States 63 "dummy" drones were used. Affected regions include Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Sumy, and Kyiv.
    • Оперативний ЗСУ (06:36 UTC): Duplicate report.
    • РБК-Україна (06:37 UTC): Duplicate report.
    • ASTRA (06:41 UTC): Duplicate report.
    • Colonelcassad (06:33 UTC, 07:23 UTC): Posts videos of the aftermath in Zaporizhzhia, showing significant damage to civilian infrastructure. Also, reports 47 Ukrainian drones intercepted across various Russian regions during the night.
    • Рыбарь (07:03 UTC): Reports drone strikes in Rostov-on-Don, causing civilian casualties.
    • Assessment: CONFIRMS A MASSIVE, COORDINATED RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK overnight, targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. The use of 63 "DUMMY" DRONES is a SIGNIFICANT TACTICAL DEVELOPMENT, indicating an attempt to OVERWHELM UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES. The SCALE OF THE ATTACK (179 drones) is ALARMING. The reports of damage in ZAPORIZHZHIA are CONFIRMED. The reported UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS INSIDE RUSSIA further HIGHLIGHT THE WIDESPREAD NATURE OF THE CONFLICT.
  2. UPDATED CASUALTY FIGURES FROM ZAPORIZHZHIA ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • РБК-Україна (06:47 UTC): Updates Zaporizhzhia casualties to 2 dead, 13 injured.
    • Оперативний ЗСУ (07:02 UTC): Updates Zaporizhzhia casualties to 2 dead, 13 injured. Shows a clock with a photo of the deceased 14-year-old girl.
    • 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (07:13 UTC): Reports a 38-year-old woman died in the hospital, bringing the death toll to 3.
    • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (07:19): Reports the same.
    • Assessment: The DEATH TOLL IN ZAPORIZHZHIA HAS RISEN TO 3, with 13 INJURED. This CONFIRMS THE SEVERE HUMAN COST of the RUSSIAN ATTACKS on CIVILIAN AREAS.
  3. REPORTS OF GUIDED BOMB LAUNCHES ON KHARKIV OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:39 UTC): Reports launches of guided bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Kharkiv Oblast.
    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (06:47 UTC): Confirmed launches on Sumy.
    • Assessment: This INDICATES CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIR ACTIVITY and a THREAT OF AIRSTRIKES in KHARKIV and SUMY OBLASTS.
  4. RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF "NUCLEAR TERRORISM" ATTEMPTS BY UKRAINE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

    • This development was covered in the previous report (07:29 UTC). The key takeaway is that these claims LACK INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION and SHOULD BE TREATED WITH EXTREME CAUTION. They MAY BE PART OF A DISINFORMATION CAMPAIGN.
  5. UKRAINIAN CLAIMS OF SUCCESSFUL DRONE OPERATIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

  • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:04 UTC): VIDEO. Claims to show the work of drones from the 12th Brigade "Azov" on the Toretsk direction, targeting abandoned Russian personnel.
  • Assessment: REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
  1. WARGONZO FRONT SUMMARY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Reports continued fighting on the Zaporizhzhia Front (Shcherbaki, Mali Shcherbaki, Lobkovoe).
    • Reports fighting on multiple sectors of the Donetsk Front, with Russian tactical successes near Uspenivka and movement towards Bogatyr. Fighting near Dzerzhinsk aimed at cutting off Ukrainian logistics.
    • Claims Russian breakthrough in the Shevchenko district of Chasov Yar, and control of a western settlement.
    • Claims battles near the border of the Kursk region, and Ukrainian defenses strengthening there.
    • Reports continued Ukrainian attempts to move infantry towards Demidovka (Belgorod Oblast), thwarted by Russian drones and artillery.
    • Assessment: These claims REQUIRE INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. They suggest INTENSE FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS, with RUSSIAN FORCES reportedly MAKING SOME ADVANCES.
  2. NEW MESSAGES ON THE SITUATION.

    • «Зона СВО» (07:22:48 UTC): Not militarily relevant.
    • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (07:22:57 UTC): Reports that Budanov proposed a plan to blow up all Ukrainian nuclear power plants to the Presidential Office in case of defeat, according to Arestovich.
    • Assessment: This is a very serious claim, but needs to be considered very cautiously. It's coming from Arestovich, a former advisor to Zelensky, who has often made controversial statements. This could be part of an information operation.
    • Colonelcassad (07:23:01 UTC): Reports that overnight air defenses destroyed and intercepted 47 Ukrainian drones.
    • Assessment: This is consistent with earlier reports of a large-scale drone attack.
    • Сили оборони Півдня України (07:24:41 UTC): Reports that 20 "Shahed 131/136" drones were destroyed. Reports 33 enemy artillery systems destroyed, 42 vehicles/armored vehicles, 15 reconnaissance drones, 7 motorcycles/quads, 5 boats, 2 electronic warfare systems, 61 shelters/dugouts, 2 observation posts. Also reports extensive shelling and drone attacks, as well as 17 guided bomb and 100+ unguided rocket attacks.
      • Assessment: This provides further details on the scale of drone attacks, and claims significant Ukrainian successes in destroying Russian equipment and positions. The claims of large numbers of destroyed equipment need careful verification.
    • Десантно-штурмові війська ЗС України (07:24:49 UTC): Not directly militarily relevant - reports on a kettlebell sport competition.
    • ТАСС (07:25:29 UTC): Reports a TASS resident's statement that Ukrainian forces distributed leaflets with information about the introduction of a curfew in occupied Sudzha.
    • Военкор Котенок (07:26:01 UTC): Reports the destruction and interception of 47 Ukrainian drones overnight.
    • АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (07:26:45 UTC): Shows drone footage, claiming to be targeting Ukrainian personnel in the Sumy region.
      • Assessment: This reinforces reports of continued fighting near the border.
    • Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (07:27:08 UTC): Reports that US Special Envoy Witkoff stated that the "central issue" is the recognition of occupied territories as Russian, and that the US is having "very positive" discussions with Russia on this.
      • Assessment: This is a VERY SIGNIFICANT statement, if accurate. It suggests a possible US willingness to concede territory to Russia, which would be a major blow to Ukraine. URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED.
    • Сили оборони Півдня України (07:29:01 UTC): Duplicate of previous report.
    • Воин DV (07:30:02 UTC): Shows drone footage of claimed strikes on Ukrainian positions in N.P. Komar.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • MASSIVE RUSSIAN DRONE ATTACK overnight, targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. CONFIRMED DAMAGE in ZAPORIZHZHIA, with 3 DEAD and 13 INJURED. 63 "DUMMY" DRONES used to OVERWHELM AIR DEFENSES.
    • RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKE WARNINGS ISSUED, particularly in KHARKIV and SUMY oblast.
    • CLAIMS OF NEGOTIATIONS persist, with HIGHLY SPECIFIC claims (Black Sea ceasefire next week, Trump-Putin meeting). URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED. The consistency of these claims across multiple (mostly pro-Russian) sources increases their credibility slightly, but they are still unconfirmed by official Ukrainian or US sources. Witkoff's statements about a potential ceasefire related to energy infrastructure within a week are especially noteworthy.
    • REPORTED US POSITION ON OCCUPIED TERRITORIES suggests a potential MAJOR SHIFT in US POLICY. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • INTENSE FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS, particularly on the ZAPORIZHZHIA and DONETSK FRONTS.
    • RUSSIAN CLAIMS of "nuclear terrorism" attempts by Ukraine LACK INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION and SHOULD BE TREATED WITH EXTREME CAUTION.
    • CONTINUED FIGHTING in BELGOROD OBLAST and KURSK OBLAST. Russian forces claim to be clearing areas near Gorky (Kursk Oblast). "Arkhangel Spetsnaza" reports static positional battles in Kursk Oblast, with focus shifting to Belgorod Oblast.
    • POSSIBLE ESCALATION indicated by the SCALE of Russian attacks (airstrikes, artillery, drones).
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • UKRAINIAN MILITARY OPERATIONS in KURSK OBLAST continue.
    • "Fighterbomber" discusses potential political outcomes and Zelensky's current approval rating, suggesting a focus on internal Ukrainian politics.

Updated Recommendations

  1. VERIFY CLAIMS OF NEGOTIATIONS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS, but with INCREASED URGENCY. The specificity of the claims (Black Sea ceasefire, imminent meetings) requires IMMEDIATE investigation.
    • URGENT REQUEST for DIRECT CONFIRMATION from UKRAINIAN AND US GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.
    • INVESTIGATE WITKOFF'S CLAIMS specifically. Determine his level of access and the reliability of his information.
  2. PREPARE FOR INTENSIFIED AIRSTRIKES (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS, especially SUMY OBLAST and now KHARKIV OBLAST.
    • PRIORITIZE PROTECTION of CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
    • ISSUE/MAINTAIN WARNINGS to CIVILIANS.
  3. REINFORCE POKROVSK SECTOR (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • DEPLOY ADDITIONAL FORCES to the POKROVSK area, given the EXTREMELY HIGH number of reported attacks.
    • PRIORITIZE ARTILLERY SUPPORT and ANTI-TANK CAPABILITIES.
    • STRENGTHEN DEFENSIVE POSITIONS and PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL COUNTEROFFENSIVES.
  4. MAINTAIN VIGILANCE AGAINST DRONE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUED ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS, particularly in KYIV, ZAPORIZHZHIA, KHARKIV, SUMY, and KIROVOHRAD OBLASTS. The sheer number of drones launched (179) indicates a widespread and persistent threat.
    • **PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING INCOMING DRONES.
    • ANALYZE DRONE LAUNCH POINTS AND TRAJECTORIES to improve predictive capabilities and interception rates. The reported use of "dummy" drones suggests an attempt to overwhelm air defenses.
  5. CONTINUE MONITORING THE SITUATION IN KURSK AND BELGOROD (HIGH PRIORITY):

    • Reinforce positions near the border.
    • Deploy additional forces to repel any further Ukrainian incursions.
    • VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS of clearing operations near Gorky and the situation in Gogolevka.
  6. ADDRESS THE HUMANITARIAN SITUATION IN ZAPORIZHZHIA (HIGH PRIORITY):

    • PROVIDE IMMEDIATE ASSISTANCE to the injured and displaced.
    • ASSESS DAMAGE to infrastructure and begin repair efforts.
  7. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES):

The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND VOLATILE. The CLAIMS OF NEGOTIATIONS are the most critical development, requiring IMMEDIATE verification. The INTENSITY OF FIGHTING, RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES, and MASSIVE DRONE ATTACKS are a MAJOR THREAT. PROTECTING CIVILIANS and MAINTAINING MILITARY READINESS are ESSENTIAL. The new messages confirm a multi-front conflict with heavy reliance on air power and artillery, and the potential for a negotiated (though potentially unfavorable to Ukraine) settlement. The widespread drone attacks indicate a significant escalation and a potential shift in Russian tactics.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • Negotiations for a complete ceasefire are underway.: 0.7036
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the Kursk region.: 0.85
  • Ukrainian forces are encircled in the Kursk region.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant casualties in the Kursk region.: 0.5
  • Russian forces have successfully destroyed Ukrainian positions and equipment in the Kursk region.: 0.6
  • The US is actively involved in mediating the ceasefire negotiations.: 0.4
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement will likely favor Russian territorial claims.: 0.3
  • Ukraine is facing significant internal pressure to agree to a ceasefire.: 0.2
  • The international community is divided on the terms of the proposed ceasefire.: 0.1
  • The ceasefire agreement, if reached, will likely lead to a prolonged period of instability.: 0.15
  • Two people were killed and 13 were injured in the Zaporizhzhia attack.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • The Zaporizhzhia attack resulted in 367 strikes on 13 settlements, using various weapons, including aviation strikes, UAVs, MLRS, and artillery.: 0.688
  • : 0.216
  • Damage reports include 74 instances of destruction to residential properties, vehicles, and infrastructure.: 0.056
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 1.0
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 1.0
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.969
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.65
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.969
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 1.0
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 1.0
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.84
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
  • Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
  • Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
  • Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
  • Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
  • Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
  • Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
  • UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
  • Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
  • The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
  • Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
  • Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
  • Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
  • The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
  • Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
  • An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
  • A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
  • The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
  • The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
  • The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
  • A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
  • Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
  • The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
  • Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
  • Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
  • Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
  • Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
  • Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
  • Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
  • Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
  • Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
  • Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
  • The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
  • Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
  • Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
  • Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
  • Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
  • A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
  • Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
  • Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
  • Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
  • Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
  • Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
  • Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
  • An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
  • A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
  • A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
  • Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
  • Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
  • Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
  • Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
  • Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
  • Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
  • A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
  • Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
  • An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
  • Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
  • Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
  • Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
  • The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
  • The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
  • The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
  • The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
  • Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
  • Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
  • 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
  • Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
  • Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry
Previous (2025-03-22 07:02:32Z)

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