Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 21, 2025, 11:00 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (10:30 UTC - 10:59 UTC)
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN THE SOUTH DONETSK DIRECTION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Дневник Десантника (10:09 UTC): Reports continued Russian advances towards Bogatyr, creating logistical difficulties for Ukrainian forces. Claims Ukrainian counterattacks south of Veseloye involving small groups were repelled. Also claims advances between Volnoye Polye and Novoselka. Provides Map.
Assessment: This suggests CONTINUED RUSSIAN PRESSURE in the SOUTH DONETSK DIRECTION. The CLAIMED ADVANCES and UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS indicate ACTIVE FIGHTING in the AREA. The MAP provided VISUALLY DEPICTS the CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
RUSSIAN MINISTRY OF DEFENSE STATEMENT ON SUDZHA GAS STATION ATTACK (HIGH PRIORITY, OFFICIAL STATEMENT, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ТАСС (10:41 UTC), Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (10:46 UTC), WarGonzo (10:48 UTC): Report that the Russian Ministry of Defense officially declares the attack on the Sudzha gas metering station a "deliberate provocation" by Ukraine, aimed at discrediting US peace initiatives. Claims the station was under Ukrainian control since August 7, 2024, and was used as a "safe" logistical point. Claims the station previously transited over 40 million cubic meters of gas per day to European countries.
Assessment: This is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT with SIGNIFICANT POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS. Russia is OFFICIALLY ACCUSING UKRAINE of a DELIBERATE ACT OF SABOTAGE intended to UNDERMINE PEACE EFFORTS. The claim that the station was UNDER UKRAINIAN CONTROL is CRITICAL and REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The REFERENCE TO US PEACE INITIATIVES suggests Russia is attempting to DRIVE A WEDGE between UKRAINE and the US. The IMPACT ON EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLIES is a MAJOR CONCERN.
CLAIMED UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES IN KURSK REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, RUSSIAN, NEEDS VERIFICATION):
Alex Parker Returns (10:02 UTC): Claims that visually confirmed Ukrainian equipment losses during the "invasion" of the Kursk region exceeded 1000 units and continues to grow rapidly.
Assessment: The claim of over 1000 units has an extremely low level of belief.
UKRAINIAN AND RUSSIAN OFFICIALS CONFIRM ENERGY CEASEFIRE (MEDIUM, CONFIRMED):
Alex Parker Returns(10:24 UTC): Claims that the ceasefire concerning attacks only pertains to the energy grid.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (10:05 UTC): Claims that Putin has ordered a ceasefire on attacks concerning the energy grid.
Assessment: These statements appear to corroborate each other, in a rare case of cross-confirmation.
CODIFICATION OF UKRAINIAN WEAPON MOUNTS (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Оперативний ЗСУ (10:28 UTC): Reports that the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has codified devices for infantry weapons developed and manufactured by Ukrainian gunsmiths. Includes a tripod-mortar for the Mk 19 grenade launcher, a small infantry tripod for the Browning M2 machine gun, a universal mount, and a rack for a pickup truck body.
Assessment: This suggests continued development of weaponry.
Оперативний ЗСУ (10:22 UTC): Claims that a drone from the "Prymary" special unit of the Ukrainian Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR) avoided a missile attack from a Russian "Pantsir-S1" system during a recent operation in occupied Crimea. Provides Video.
Colonelcassad (10:28 UTC): Claims that drone operators from the 36th Separate Guards Motorized Rifle Brigade of the "Vostok" group destroyed enemy drones in the Shakhtyorsk direction. Provides Video.
Assessment: The video claims to show the destruction of a Ukrainian drone.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:18 UTC): Reports that the missile threat has ended.
Assessment: This SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCES the IMMEDIATE THREAT LEVEL from BALLISTIC MISSILES. However, VIGILANCE MUST BE MAINTAINED due to the CONTINUED DRONE THREAT and POTENTIAL FOR RENEWED MISSILE ATTACKS.
OTHER REPORTS (MIXED RELIABILITY):
ОТУ "Харків" (10:08 UTC): Reports that in the operational zone of OTU "Kharkiv", during the past day, Russian forces used 115 kamikaze drones and carried out 651 attacks on Ukrainian positions. Nine enemy attempts to attack near Mala Shapka, Hlyboke, and Vovchansk were repelled. Ukrainian forces destroyed 92 enemy personnel, including 38 killed. 120 units of weapons and military equipment were destroyed or damaged, including 1 armored fighting vehicle, 3 artillery systems, 16 vehicles, 1 EW system, 16 units of special equipment, and 84 UAVs. 97 shelters for personnel and 4 ammunition storage sites were destroyed.
ASTRA (10:11 UTC): Reports that Lyudmila Razumova, a political prisoner and artist, was sent to a prison hospital after a hunger strike.
ТАСС (10:09 UTC): Claims that a drone attacked the presidential palace in the capital of Sudan, resulting in deaths and injuries. Claims the drone belonged to the Rapid Support Forces.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED MASSIVE, WIDESPREAD RUSSIAN ATTACK overnight, using DRONES and GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS. CIVILIAN CASUALTIES AND INFRASTRUCTURE DAMAGE confirmed by ZELENSKY.
SUDZHA GAS STATION ATTACK officially declared a TERRORIST ACT by RUSSIA. RUSSIAN MINISTRY OF DEFENSE claims it was a DELIBERATE PROVOCATION by UKRAINE.
CLAIMED DISRUPTION OF GAS TRANSIT through SUDZHA. POTENTIALLY MAJOR ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the SOUTH DONETSK DIRECTION. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
CONTINUED FIGHTING on the BELGOROD BORDER.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK
GERMAN SEIZURE of RUSSIAN-LINKED TANKER.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
Reports of a meeting between Shoigu and Kim Jong Un.
Reports of negotiations
Reports of EU decisions
LOW PRIORITY:
ALLEGED RUSSIAN COERCION TACTIC targeting UKRAINIANS with PASSPORTS.
Reports that men are being taken from villages.
Reported sentencing of Alexander Skobov.
Reports about the death of Vadim Zhuk.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS THE SUDZHA GAS STATION INCIDENT (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY INVESTIGATE the ATTACK on the SUDZHA GAS STATION.
GATHER ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE, including IMAGERY, SIGNAL INTELLIGENCE, and HUMAN INTELLIGENCE.
ATTEMPT TO DETERMINE the ORIGIN OF THE ATTACK and the RESPONSIBLE PARTY.
ASSESS THE DAMAGE to the STATION and the IMPACT ON GAS TRANSIT.
DETERMINE IF ANY CASUALTIES OCCURRED.
COMMUNICATE WITH EUROPEAN PARTNERS about the POTENTIAL IMPACT on GAS SUPPLIES.
PREPARE CONTINGENCY PLANS to ADDRESS ANY DISRUPTIONS to GAS TRANSIT.
DEVELOP A PUBLIC COMMUNICATION STRATEGY to ADDRESS THE ACCUSATIONS and REASSURE THE PUBLIC.
CONSIDER DIPLOMATIC OPTIONS to DE-ESCALATE THE SITUATION and PREVENT FURTHER ATTACKS on CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
VERIFY AND ASSESS RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF ADVANCES (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY ATTEMPT TO VERIFY the RUSSIAN CLAIMS of ADVANCES in the SOUTH DONETSK DIRECTION.
PRIORITIZE ANALYSIS of any AVAILABLE IMAGERY OR VIDEO EVIDENCE.
USE ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE SOURCES, including IMAGERY INTELLIGENCE, HUMAN INTELLIGENCE, and SIGNAL INTELLIGENCE.
CROSS-REFERENCE with UKRAINIAN REPORTS and OPEN-SOURCE INFORMATION.
IF CONFIRMED, ASSESS THE IMPACT on UKRAINIAN OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES in the AFFECTED AREAS.
DEVELOP PLANS to COUNTER RUSSIAN ADVANCES and PREVENT FURTHER LOSS OF TERRITORY.
PRIORITIZE DETECTION AND INTERCEPTION of BOTH ATTACK AND RECONNAISSANCE DRONES.
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES, including ELECTRONIC WARFARE, KINETIC INTERCEPTORS, and DRONE-MOUNTED INTERCEPTORS.
ANALYZE DRONE FLIGHT PATHS AND TARGETING PATTERNS to ANTICIPATE POTENTIAL STRIKES.
GATHER INTELLIGENCE on DRONE LAUNCH SITES and CONTROL CENTERS.
SHARE INTELLIGENCE and COORDINATE EFFORTS with ALLIED FORCES.
MAINTAIN VIGILANCE DESPITE THE END OF THE MISSILE THREAT (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS, particularly for DRONE ATTACKS.
CONTINUE MONITORING for any SIGNS OF RENEWED MISSILE LAUNCHES.
DEPLOY RAPID RESPONSE TEAMS to ADDRESS ANY NEW DAMAGE or CASUALTIES.
ADDRESS THE AFTERMATH OF THE OVERNIGHT ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
CONTINUE ASSESSING DAMAGE AND CASUALTIES across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS.
PROVIDE EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE to AFFECTED CIVILIANS.
DEPLOY RAPID REPAIR TEAMS to RESTORE CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
DOCUMENT ALL DAMAGE and CASUALTIES for POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES INVESTIGATIONS.
MONITOR AND RESPOND TO THE SITUATION IN THE KURSK REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
CONTINUE VERIFYING CLAIMS of RUSSIAN ADVANCES and UKRAINIAN LOSSES.
DEVELOP PLANS to COUNTER RUSSIAN ADVANCES and PREVENT FURTHER LOSS OF TERRITORY.
ASSESS THE IMPACT OF THE TANKER SEIZURE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
MONITOR RUSSIAN REACTION to the SEIZURE of the TANKER.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS and REVENUE.
COORDINATE WITH GERMAN AUTHORITIES to GATHER INFORMATION.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains CRITICAL, though the IMMEDIATE THREAT from BALLISTIC MISSILES has ABATED. CONTINUED DRONE WARFARE, RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF MAJOR UKRAINIAN LOSSES, and the SUDZHA GAS STATION INCIDENT remain MAJOR CONCERNS. The OFFICIAL RUSSIAN ACCUSATION regarding the SUDZHA ATTACK is a MAJOR ESCALATION with POTENTIAL FOR SERIOUS CONSEQUENCES. RAPID RESPONSE, ACCURATE INFORMATION, EFFECTIVE RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and CLOSE COORDINATION WITH ALLIES are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
A drone attacked the presidential palace in Khartoum, resulting in casualties.: 0.624
Russian troops continue to advance towards Bogatyr, creating logistical challenges for the enemy.: 0.4416
The enemy is attempting counterattacks south of Veseloye.: 0.4416
Russian forces are advancing on the line between Volnoye Pole and Novoselka.: 0.3792
Ukrainian equipment losses in the Kursk region exceed 1000 units and continue to increase.: 0.1
Russian aviation launched a precise strike on a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in Berestok, resulting in personnel losses.: 0.49
A Ukrainian drone from the "Prymary" unit successfully evaded a missile attack.: 0.5776
Ukrainian Air Force successfully intercepted and destroyed 114 enemy UAVs.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The image is part of a psychological operation to boost morale and deter enemy drone operations.: 0.5
The claimed number of destroyed drones is an exaggeration or fabrication for propaganda purposes.: 0.01
France is providing significant military aid to Ukraine.: 0.59
France is playing a key diplomatic role in the conflict.: 0.5
Ukraine and France are coordinating their strategies closely.: 0.42
Zelenskyy is attempting to publicly reinforce the image of strong international support.: 0.47
: 0.29
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 1.0
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position near Konstantinovka using FPV drones.: 0.8
The destruction of the mortar position indicates ongoing counter-battery warfare.: 0.8
Russian forces continue offensive operations near Pokrovsk, reportedly destroying NATO equipment.: 0.75
