Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 21, 2025, 09:29 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (09:00 UTC - 09:29 UTC)

1. CONTINUED RUSSIAN DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK, WIDESPREAD ALERTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Numerous sources continue to report on the ongoing large-scale Russian drone and missile attack. Air raid alerts remain active across a broad swath of Ukraine.

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:19 UTC): Reports activity of ENEMY TACTICAL AVIATION in the NORTH-EASTERN DIRECTION. Threat of AIRSTRIKES using GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS for FRONTLINE REGIONS.

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (09:21, 09:25 UTC): Reports DRONE THREAT for KHARKIV OBLAST. Reports RECONNAISSANCE DRONE ACTIVITY in DNIPROPETROVSK, SUMY, and KHERSON OBLASTS, warning of POTENTIAL AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY.

   • Assessment: The multi-directional attack continues, with both drones and the threat of guided aerial bombs. The widespread reconnaissance drone activity suggests preparation for further strikes, requiring EXTREME VIGILANCE and CONTINUED AIR DEFENSE READINESS.

2. REPORTED UKRAINIAN COUNTER-DRONE OPERATIONS, KHERSON OBLAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:47 UTC, Previous Message, video): Reports that operators of the 2nd Battalion, 40th Coastal Defense Brigade are "hunting" Russian drones in Kherson Oblast daily. Claims some drones are captured.
   • Assessment: CONFIRMS Ukrainian counter-drone efforts. The claimed capture of drones, if true, provides valuable INTELLIGENCE OPPORTUNITIES.

3. CONFIRMED DAMAGE, KYIV REGION (HIGH PRIORITY):

   • Operational Command "North" has made statements concerning damage to the Kyiv region.

   • Assessment: Confirmed Russian air attack.

4. CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES, KURSK REGION (HIGH PRIORITY, RUSSIAN SOURCE, REQUIRES VERIFICATION):

   • Colonelcassad (08:44 UTC, Previous Message, video): Reports that a Ukrainian bridge-laying vehicle was abandoned in Makhnovka, Kursk Oblast. Claims it will be towed to a repair battalion and added to the Russian Armed Forces' inventory.

   • Assessment: This FURTHER REINFORCES claims of RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION, specifically near MAKNOVKA. The capture of a BRIDGE-LAYING VEHICLE, if confirmed, is a SIGNIFICANT LOSS for UKRAINIAN FORCES and a GAIN for RUSSIAN FORCES.

5. CLAIMED DISRUPTION OF GAS TRANSIT THROUGH SUDZHA (HIGH PRIORITY, RUSSIAN SOURCE, REQUIRES VERIFICATION):

   • Alex Parker Returns (08:59 UTC, Previous Message): Claims that "Russian sources" report that gas transit through the Sudzha pipeline, allegedly the "last route" for gas transit through Ukraine to Europe, has been disrupted.

   • Военкор Котенок(08:30 UTC): States that any agreement with Kiev will only work one way, and not to the benefit of Russia.

   • Assessment: This claim, if true, has MAJOR ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS. It is CONSISTENT with RUSSIAN EFFORTS to WEAKEN UKRAINE and PRESSURE EUROPE. URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED. The timing, alongside the reports of a widespread drone attack, suggests a POSSIBLE COORDINATED EFFORT to MAXIMIZE PRESSURE.

6. REPORTED DAMAGE IN KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • РБК-Україна (09:04 UTC, Previous Message, multiple images): Reports a Russian attack on Khmelnytskyi Oblast overnight, targeting a "civilian infrastructure object." A fire broke out. Reports damage to a warehouse.
   • Assessment: CONFIRMS DAMAGE to CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE in KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST. This is CONSISTENT with RUSSIAN TARGETING PATTERNS.

7. ALLEGED RUSSIAN COERCION TACTIC (LOW PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN):

   • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (08:29 UTC): Reports that the Russian dictator signed a decree forcing people with Ukrainian passports to leave Russia by September 10th. Claims the goal is to force residents of occupied territories to re-register their citizenship and to put Ukrainians in Russia in a dependent position so they can be persuaded to mobilize or sign a contract.

   • Assessment: This is an ALLEGED COERCION TACTIC, potentially part of a BROADER EFFORT to CONSOLIDATE CONTROL over OCCUPIED TERRITORIES and PRESSURE UKRAINIANS.

8. NEGOTIATIONS:

• Alex Parker Returns (08:45, Previous Message): Claims that the US State Department said that Russia and Ukraine were close to a ceasefire.
• Assessment: CONFLICTING REPORTS.
• There are reports that the EU has not approved the provision of 5 billion euros for ammunition for Ukraine.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • CONTINUED LARGE-SCALE RUSSIAN DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK across UKRAINE. WIDESPREAD AIR RAID ALERTS. THREAT OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS. RECONNAISSANCE DRONE ACTIVITY. IMMEDIATE ACTION REQUIRED to PROTECT CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and CIVILIAN POPULATION.
  • CLAIMED DISRUPTION OF GAS TRANSIT through SUDZHA. POTENTIALLY MAJOR ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • CONFIRMED DAMAGE to CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE in KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST.
  • CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION, including the REPORTED CAPTURE of a BRIDGE-LAYING VEHICLE. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
  • CONTINUED FIGHTING on the BELGOROD BORDER.

• CONTINUED RUSSIAN DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK, WIDESPREAD AIR RAID ALERTS

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • UKRAINIAN COUNTER-DRONE OPERATIONS in KHERSON OBLAST.
  • Reports of negotiations
  • Reports of EU decisions

• LOW PRIORITY:

  • ALLEGED RUSSIAN COERCION TACTIC targeting UKRAINIANS with PASSPORTS.

Updated Recommendations

1. ADDRESS THE CONTINUED DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS.
   • PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTION of INCOMING DRONES AND MISSILES.
   • DEPLOY RAPID RESPONSE TEAMS to ADDRESS DAMAGE and PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to AFFECTED AREAS.
   • GATHER INTELLIGENCE on LAUNCH SITES and DRONE/MISSILE TYPES used in the ATTACK.
   • PRIORITIZE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and CIVILIAN POPULATION CENTERS.
   • ADDRESS THE THREAT OF GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS in FRONTLINE REGIONS. DEPLOY APPROPRIATE COUNTERMEASURES.
   • MONITOR RECONNAISSANCE DRONE ACTIVITY and PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FOLLOW-ON STRIKES.

2. VERIFY AND ASSESS THE CLAIMED DISRUPTION OF GAS TRANSIT (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM or REFUTE the CLAIM of DISRUPTED GAS TRANSIT through SUDZHA.
   • ASSESS THE IMPACT of any CONFIRMED DISRUPTION on UKRAINIAN ENERGY SECURITY and EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLIES.
   • INVESTIGATE THE CAUSE of any CONFIRMED DISRUPTION. DETERMINE if it was a RESULT OF MILITARY ACTION, SABOTAGE, or OTHER FACTORS.

3. VERIFY AND ASSESS REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the KURSK REGION, including the CLAIMED CAPTURE of a BRIDGE-LAYING VEHICLE.
   • UTILIZE SATELLITE IMAGERY, DRONE RECONNAISSANCE, AND HUMAN INTELLIGENCE to CONFIRM or REFUTE the CLAIMS.
   • ASSESS THE IMPACT of any CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES on UKRAINIAN DEFENSIVE POSITIONS and THE OVERALL SITUATION in the REGION.

4. ADDRESS DAMAGE IN KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE to the CIVILIAN INFRASTRUCTURE in KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST.
   • PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to AFFECTED RESIDENTS.
   • DOCUMENT THE INCIDENT for POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES INVESTIGATIONS.

5. SUPPORT UKRAINIAN COUNTER-DRONE OPERATIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

   • PROVIDE INTELLIGENCE AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT to UKRAINIAN UNITS engaged in COUNTER-DRONE OPERATIONS.
   • ENCOURAGE THE CAPTURE of INTACT RUSSIAN DRONES for INTELLIGENCE EXPLOITATION.

6. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL due to the CONTINUED LARGE-SCALE RUSSIAN DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACK, the POTENTIAL DISRUPTION OF GAS TRANSIT, and the REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES. RAPID RESPONSE, EFFECTIVE RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and CLOSE COORDINATION WITH ALLIES are ESSENTIAL. The WIDESPREAD RECONNAISSANCE DRONE ACTIVITY is a MAJOR CONCERN, requiring HEIGHTENED VIGILANCE and PREPARATION FOR FURTHER STRIKES.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

• Ukrainian Air Force successfully intercepted and destroyed 114 enemy UAVs.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The image is part of a psychological operation to boost morale and deter enemy drone operations.: 0.5
• The claimed number of destroyed drones is an exaggeration or fabrication for propaganda purposes.: 0.01
• France is providing significant military aid to Ukraine.: 0.59
• France is playing a key diplomatic role in the conflict.: 0.5
• Ukraine and France are coordinating their strategies closely.: 0.42
• Zelenskyy is attempting to publicly reinforce the image of strong international support.: 0.47
• : 0.29
• The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 1.0
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka
• Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone