Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 19, 2025, 20:23 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (19:53 UTC - 20:23 UTC)

1. CONFIRMATION OF PRISONER EXCHANGE (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Оперативний ЗСУ (19:55 UTC): Confirms the return of 175 Ukrainian service members, including 6 members of the 12th "Azov" Brigade, as part of a prisoner exchange. States that 842 members of the 12th "Azov" Brigade remain in Russian captivity. Includes photos of released soldiers.
   • Colonelcassad (19:59 UTC): Shows video of Russian soldiers returning to Moscow after being exchanged.
   • Assessment: This CONFIRMS a SIGNIFICANT PRISONER EXCHANGE took place. The RELEASE OF AZOV BRIGADE MEMBERS is NOTEWORTHY, given their SYMBOLIC IMPORTANCE and PREVIOUS CONTROVERSIES. The LARGE NUMBER OF REMAINING AZOV PRISONERS highlights the ONGOING CHALLENGES in SECURE PRISONER RELEASES. The RUSSIAN VIDEO of RETURNING SOLDIERS serves as PROPAGANDA, emphasizing the HUMANITARIAN ASPECT of the EXCHANGE.

2. CONTINUED RUSSIAN ADVANCE CLAIMS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

   • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (20:08 UTC): Claims Russian forces liberated a 5th settlement, Lobkove, on the Vasilievsky-Kamensky direction, and are completing the clean-up. Claims advances north of Rabotino towards Novodanilovka.

   • Рыбарь (20:09 UTC): Provides a situation report, mentioning Russian advances north of Druzhba and fighting in Dzerzhinsk.

   • Assessment: These CLAIMS suggest CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIVITY and TERRITORIAL GAINS, particularly in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION. The CLAIM OF "LIBERATING" LOBKOVE is SIGNIFICANT, but REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. The REPORTED FIGHTING near DZERZHINSK and ADVANCES near DRUZHBA REINFORCE PREVIOUS REPORTS.

3. CONTINUED DRONE ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • STERNENKO (19:58 UTC): Reports a massive Russian UAV attack on Ukraine, with large groups of drones moving through Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, and Sumy Oblasts.
   • Nikolaevskiy Vanyok (20:17 UTC): Provides a detailed breakdown of drone locations and movements, including: *6 drones flying through Novyi Buh towards the Kirovohrad region. *12 from Dnipropetrovsk region flying towards Kropyvnytskyi via Dolynska. *2 in the Kryvorizka region. *2 northwest of Kamianske, southwest course. *1 spinning near Kremenchuk. *4 near Cherkasy. *1 north of Samara. *6 west of Poltava, course to Cherkasy Oblast. *1 flying from Kharkiv Oblast to Poltava Oblast, another one - to Sumy Oblast. *8 going towards/through Pryluky. *6 near Konotop, course towards Pryluky. *3 near Shostka, course to Konotop.
   • Assessment: This CONFIRMS a CONTINUED, LARGE-SCALE DRONE ATTACK across MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. The SCALE AND PERSISTENCE of the ATTACK suggest a COORDINATED EFFORT to OVERWHELM UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES. The REPORTS indicate a HIGH THREAT TO CIVILIAN POPULATIONS and CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE across MULTIPLE REGIONS.

4. REPORTED DRONE ATTACK ON SLAVYANSK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • ASTRA (20:18 UTC): Reports a drone attack on the center of Slavyansk, Donetsk Oblast. Publishes video of the aftermath.
   • Assessment: This REPORT needs VERIFICATION. IF CONFIRMED, it would indicate RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES targeting a CITY CENTER, potentially causing CIVILIAN CASUALTIES and DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE.

5. CONTINUED FIGHTING ON BELGOROD BORDER (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (20:05 UTC): Reports on the situation in the Belgorod direction, claiming Ukrainian forces attempted attacks near Krasnaya Yaruga and Demidovka, but were repelled by Russian forces. Claims destruction of Ukrainian tanks and a Bradley fighting vehicle. Reports ongoing "clearing" operations in the forests near the border.
   • Assessment: This REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of CONTINUED FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER. The CLAIMS OF DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT need VERIFICATION. The REPORT suggests a SHIFT IN UKRAINIAN TACTICS, from using MOBILE ARMORED GROUPS to DEPLOYING INFANTRY UNITS in the FORESTS.

6. REPORTED UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY):

   • Оперативний ЗСУ (20:20 UTC): Shows video of Ukrainian strikes on a Russian boat, and other buildings in the Kherson region.
   • Assessment: This CONFIRMS UKRAINIAN STRIKES, and further indicates their use of drone technology.

7. OTHER REPORTS (MIXED RELIABILITY):

   • Alex Parker Returns (19:54 UTC, 20:20 UTC): Reports protests against Erdogan in Istanbul, claiming economic turmoil and Erdogan's attempts to usurp power.
   • Alex Parker Returns (19:57 UTC): Claims "agent Krasnov" is ready to partition Ukraine, control seized ports and nuclear power plants, and withdraw from investigation into Putin's war crimes.
   • ТАСС (20:01 UTC): Reports that 4.1 billion rubles were recovered from former leaders of the Kursk Region Development Corporation.
   • ASTRA (20:03 UTC): Reports a military serviceman committed suicide by drowning in a pond in the Kursk region.
   • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (20:03 UTC): Video and photo message celebrating submariners.
   • ТАСС (20:04 UTC): Reports an increase in the firefighting force at the Kavkazsky oil depot in Krasnodar Krai to 406 people and 157 pieces of equipment.
   • Офіс Генерального прокурора (20:04 UTC): Reports on war crimes investigations in Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast, following Russian airstrikes that resulted in casualties and damage. Includes photos.

• Zelenskiy / Official (20:05 UTC): Posts photos and a message about Zelensky's meeting with students and faculty at the University of Helsinki and the University of Tampere, discussing efforts to achieve a just peace and Finland's participation in Ukraine's reconstruction. * РБК-Україна (20:07 UTC): Reports that a US-Russia meeting will take place, but not at the highest level, citing a US State Department spokesperson. * Новости Москвы (20:12 UTC): Reports on the construction of a new residential complex in Shchukino, Moscow. * Военкор Котенок (20:17 UTC): Criticizes the return of six Azov fighters in a prisoner exchange, calling them "terrorists." * Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (20:20): Reports that Ukrainian troops repelled 18 attacks. 127 combats have occurred in the past day. Claims 281 soldiers were eliminated, 152 without return. Reports that a tank, 3 BMPs, and 2 Starlink Terminals have been destroyed.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • CONFIRMED PRISONER EXCHANGE, including the RELEASE OF AZOV BRIGADE MEMBERS.
  • CONTINUED LARGE-SCALE DRONE ATTACK across MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. HIGH THREAT TO CIVILIAN POPULATIONS and CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE. The attack shows no signs of stopping, with new reports of drones still flying.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • CONTINUED FIGHTING near the BELGOROD BORDER, with REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS TO BREACH THE BORDER and RUSSIAN COUNTERATTACKS.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • RUSSIAN ADVANCE CLAIMS in ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION and near DZERZHINSK.
  • REPORTED DRONE ATTACK on SLAVYANSK.

Updated Recommendations

1. ADDRESS THE ONGOING DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS.
   • **PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING INCOMING DRONES. Focus air defense resources in the Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Poltava, and Sumy regions, as those are the currently reported regions.
   • ISSUE TIMELY WARNINGS to CIVILIANS to SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
   • PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL POWER OUTAGES and DAMAGE TO CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.

2. VERIFY AND ASSESS RUSSIAN ADVANCE CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

   • DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the CLAIM OF LIBERATING LOBKOVE and OTHER REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES.
   • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF RUSSIAN CONTROL and UKRAINIAN LOSSES.
   • IDENTIFY KEY RUSSIAN POSITIONS and POTENTIAL VULNERABILITIES.

3. VERIFY AND ASSESS THE REPORTED DRONE ATTACK ON SLAVYANSK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • GATHER INTELLIGENCE from ALL AVAILABLE SOURCES to CONFIRM the REPORTED DRONE ATTACK on SLAVYANSK.
   • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE and POTENTIAL CIVILIAN CASUALTIES.
   • DETERMINE THE TARGET of the ATTACK and the TYPE OF DRONE USED.

4. ADDRESS THE BELGOROD BORDER SITUATION (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN REINFORCED DEFENSES along the BELGOROD BORDER.
   • CONTINUE SURVEILLANCE and INTELLIGENCE GATHERING to DETECT AND PREVENT FURTHER UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS TO BREACH THE BORDER.
   • ANALYZE THE REPORTED SHIFT IN UKRAINIAN TACTICS and ADJUST DEFENSIVE STRATEGIES ACCORDINGLY.

5. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY DYNAMIC AND DANGEROUS. The CONTINUED LARGE-SCALE DRONE ATTACK and the RUSSIAN ADVANCE CLAIMS represent MAJOR THREATS. The CONFIRMED PRISONER EXCHANGE is a POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT, but the REMAINING CAPTIVES highlight the ONGOING CHALLENGES. ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, RAPID RESPONSE, AND ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES are ESSENTIAL.

[Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs]

• Active mortar operations are ongoing or imminent.: 0.48
• : 0.2
• Offensive actions are being conducted in the area.: 0.16
• Defensive actions are being conducted in the area.: 0.12
• The depicted location is in Eastern Europe.: 0.04
• Ukrainian public sentiment regarding the war is waning, potentially impacting their military's ability to sustain efforts.: 0.32
• The Meduza report is part of an information warfare campaign designed to undermine Ukrainian morale.: 0.2
• : 0.2
• The Meduza report is accurate and reflects a genuine decline in the willingness of Ukrainians to fight.: 0.16
• Declining public support will force Ukraine to alter its strategic decisions regarding resource allocation and mobilization.: 0.08
• The report indicates long-term societal erosion in Ukraine due to the ongoing war.: 0.04
• The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
• The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
• Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
• Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
• 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
• Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
• Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
• Robotic platforms with RPGs, AGS grenade launchers, and a heavy machine gun were deployed by the 1st Slavic Brigade.: 0.99999999999999999999
• Two children (ages 2 and 15) are among 12 injured in Kryvyi Rih.: 0.99999999999999999
• Up to 2,000 Ukrainian soldiers requested to surrender.: 0.9999999
• A group of foreign mercenaries belonging to the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) was eliminated during an attempt to move to the front line near Konstantinovka in the Donetsk People's Republic (DPR).: 0.7
• Russian forces are attacking northeast of Druzhba, towards positions previously captured near Ozeryanovka.: 0.65
• Ukrainian F-16s are acting as air cover for Ukrainian forces.: 0.55
• Ukrainian F-16 flights in the Kursk direction have been observed since February.: 0.65
• Airstrikes targeting Sumy and Donetsk regions are ongoing