Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 19, 2025, 10:23 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (09:53 UTC - 10:23 UTC)

1. CONTINUED RUSSIAN CLAIMS REGARDING CEASEFIRE AND UKRAINIAN VIOLATIONS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

   • Multiple Russian Sources (Continuing from previous reports): Persistently claim UKRAINE VIOLATED a RUSSIAN-DECLARED CEASEFIRE on UKRAINIAN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE by ATTACKING an OIL FACILITY in KRASNODAR KRAI. Russian MoD claims RUSSIA SHOT DOWN ITS OWN DRONES targeting UKRAINIAN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE after the CEASEFIRE ORDER.
     • Alex Parker Returns (09:54 UTC, 10:00 UTC): Amplifies these claims, describing Russian actions as "heroic" and "self-sacrificing."
     • Военкор Котенок (09:54 UTC): Acknowledges the Russian MoD's claim of shooting down their own drones but expresses skepticism and criticism, questioning the logic and purpose of such actions.
     • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (09:53 UTC): Repeats the claim of Russian forces shooting down their own drones after a ceasefire order.
     • Colonelcassad (10:01 UTC): Claims the Ukrainian "cocaine führer" is whining that 150 drones have flown towards Ukraine, but is also stating that Russia shot down 7 of their own drones after a conversation between Trump and Putin.
   • Assessment: The CONSISTENCY of the RUSSIAN NARRATIVE across MULTIPLE SOURCES suggests a COORDINATED INFORMATION OPERATION. The CLAIMS of a PRIOR CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT and SUBSEQUENT UKRAINIAN VIOLATION remain HIGHLY SUSPICIOUS and LIKELY PROPAGANDA aimed at DEMONIZING UKRAINE and JUSTIFYING FURTHER RUSSIAN AGGRESSION. The CLAIM of RUSSIA SHOOTING DOWN ITS OWN DRONES is UNUSUAL and, while REPEATED, LACKS INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. INTERNAL CRITICISM from sources like Военкор Котенок suggests POTENTIAL DISSENT or SKEPTICISM even within PRO-RUSSIAN CHANNELS. URGENT VERIFICATION from INDEPENDENT SOURCES (US, EU, UK) is CRITICAL.

2. UKRAINIAN REACTION TO RUSSIAN CLAIMS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCES):

   • Оперативний ЗСУ (09:54 UTC): Posts a dismissive image ("What the fuck?"), reacting to the Russian claims.

• РБК-Україна (09:56): Reports the Russian MoD's statement of claiming to stop attacks, and then shooting down 7 drones. * Николаевский Ванёк (09:57 UTC): Denies any threat to energy infrastructure in Mykolaiv Oblast from drones, calling Russian claims "bullshit." * ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:09): Posts an image mocking the Russian claim of shooting down their own drones.

• Оперативний ЗСУ (10:18): Reports Zelensky's statement: Russia must first stop targeting Ukrainian energy infrastructure before Ukraine stops targeting Russian infrastructure.

  • Assessment: UKRAINIAN SOURCES UNANIMOUSLY REJECT and MOCK the RUSSIAN CLAIMS. This REINFORCES the ASSESSMENT that the RUSSIAN NARRATIVE is PROPAGANDA. ZELENSKY'S STATEMENT makes it CLEAR that UKRAINE WILL NOT UNILATERALLY CEASE RETALIATORY STRIKES without RECIPROCAL ACTION from RUSSIA.

3. REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES NEAR SUDZHA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Сливочный каприз (10:00 UTC): Reports positional fighting near Sudzha and claims Russian forces expanded controlled territory on the western bank of the Psel River, advancing up to 1.5 km towards the demarcation line. Provides coordinates.
   • Assessment: This SUPPORTS PREVIOUS REPORTS of RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIVITY in the KURSK REGION. The CLAIM OF ADVANCING 1.5 KM is SIGNIFICANT, but REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. The PROVIDED COORDINATES allow for GEO-LOCATION ANALYSIS.

4. REPORTED FAILED UKRAINIAN ATTACK NEAR BELGOROD BORDER (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Воин DV (09:59 UTC): Reports a failed Ukrainian attack near the Belgorod border, claiming Ukrainian forces attempted to breach the same area where a similar group was destroyed yesterday. Claims Russian artillery destroyed the Ukrainian force, killing at least 30 soldiers.

• Старше Эдды (10:01): Reports enemy maneuvers were attempted near the state border, and that the enemy was engaged.

*   **Assessment:** This *REPORT REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION*. *IF TRUE*, it suggests *CONTINUED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS* to *CONDUCT CROSS-BORDER RAIDS* or *ATTACKS* in the *BELGOROD REGION*, despite *PREVIOUS SETBACKS*. The *CLAIM OF 30 UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES* is *SIGNIFICANT* but *LIKELY INFLATED*. The *RUSSIAN SOURCE* uses *DEROGATORY LANGUAGE* ("Zelensky sent..."), indicating a *PROPAGANDA BIAS*.

• Colonelcassad (10:03): Shows images of destroyed equipment, which is claimed to be Ukrainian forces moving towards the border, and claims this improved the situation.

5. AIR RAID ALERT (EXTREME PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
   • 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (09:58): Reports an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, advising people to shelter.
   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:01 UTC): Reports a threat of ballistic missile use from the east.

• Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (10:21): Reports that the threat of ballistics, and the air raid alert, have ended. * Assessment: This suggests an IMMINENT THREAT of BALLISTIC MISSILE ATTACK in EASTERN UKRAINE, specifically ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. The SHORT DURATION of the ALERT suggests either a FALSE ALARM or a RAPIDLY NEUTRALIZED THREAT.

6. OTHER REPORTS (MIXED RELIABILITY):

   • ТАСС (09:59 UTC): Reports Trump stating his phone call with Putin on March 18 was not the only one in recent weeks, but previous calls were not publicly reported.
   • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (09:59 UTC): Shows a video of a drone being interacted with, and a cat.

• ASTRA (10:01): Reports that the Russian MoD claims to have ordered a temporary stop to attacking Ukrainian infrastructure. * Народная милиция ДНР (10:02 UTC): Claims Russian air force destroyed a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in Novaya Poltavka. * БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (10:17): Claims they went on a storm and everyone was eliminated.
  • Оперативний ЗСУ (10:10): Reports that Finland's president claims that if you show weakness before Russians, they will take advantage of it.
• АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (10:12): Claims British special forces are on high alert, prepared to possibly be deployed to Ukraine.
  • Colonelcassad (10:15 UTC): Chronicles strikes on Ukrainian territory between March 18 and 19.
• Сливочный каприз (10:17): Reports that Russian forces secured new positions 1km north of Krymskoye.
  • Zelenskiy / Official, ASTRA, and Оперативний ЗСУ (10:20): Reports that Zelensky will not recognize occupied territories, and that the topic is sensitive and difficult in upcoming negotiations.
  • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:21): Reports that if the US doesn't provide intelligence, Ukraine won't know where Russia's ballistics are headed.
• Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (10:06): Claims Poland is mining its borders with Russia and Belarus.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • CONTINUED INFORMATION WARFARE surrounding RUSSIAN CLAIMS of a CEASEFIRE and UKRAINIAN VIOLATIONS. UKRAINIAN SOURCES VEHEMENTLY DENY and MOCK these CLAIMS. URGENT VERIFICATION of any ACTUAL CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT is PARAMOUNT.
  • CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIVITY in the KURSK REGION, with REPORTED ADVANCES near SUDZHA. VERIFICATION NEEDED.
  • AIR RAID ALERT LIFTED in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • POTENTIAL SHIFT in US-UKRAINE INTELLIGENCE SHARING. REQUIRES CLOSE MONITORING.
  • REPORTED FAILED UKRAINIAN ATTACK near the BELGOROD BORDER. VERIFICATION NEEDED.

• CLAIMED DEPLOYMENT OF BRITISH SPECIAL FORCES to UKRAINE. REQUIRES CLOSE MONITORING.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • CONTINUED CLAIMS OF RUSSIAN MILITARY SUCCESSES.
  • CONFIRMED TALKS BETWEEN ZELENSKY AND TRUMP.

• CLAIMED MINING of POLAND'S BORDERS.

Updated Recommendations

1. COUNTER RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • AGGRESSIVELY REFUTE the RUSSIAN CLAIMS of a CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT and UKRAINIAN VIOLATIONS through ALL AVAILABLE CHANNELS (official statements, media briefings, social media).
   • PRESENT EVIDENCE (if available) of CONTINUED RUSSIAN ATTACKS and LACK OF ANY CEASEFIRE AGREEMENT.
   • HIGHLIGHT UKRAINIAN DENIALS and MOCKERY of the RUSSIAN CLAIMS.
   • COORDINATE WITH ALLIES (US, EU, UK) to COUNTER THE RUSSIAN NARRATIVE in the INTERNATIONAL MEDIA.
   • EXPOSE THE PROPAGANDA TACTICS used by RUSSIA to DISCREDIT UKRAINE and JUSTIFY AGGRESSION.

2. VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS AND ASSESS THE SITUATION IN THE KURSK REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES near SUDZHA.
   • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF RUSSIAN CONTROL and UKRAINIAN LOSSES.
   • IDENTIFY KEY RUSSIAN POSITIONS and POTENTIAL VULNERABILITIES.
   • REINFORCE UKRAINIAN DEFENSES where POSSIBLE.
   • PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL COUNTEROFFENSIVES to RECAPTURE LOST TERRITORY.

3. VERIFY AND ASSESS THE REPORTED FAILED UKRAINIAN ATTACK (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • GATHER INTELLIGENCE from ALL AVAILABLE SOURCES to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTACK near the BELGOROD BORDER.
   • ASSESS THE EXTENT OF UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES and EQUIPMENT LOSSES.
   • DETERMINE THE OBJECTIVES of the ATTACK and WHY IT FAILED.
   • EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS of RUSSIAN DEFENSES in the AREA.

4. MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT FOR AIR AND MISSILE ATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS on HIGH ALERT across ALL THREATENED REGIONS, particularly in EASTERN UKRAINE.
   • MONITOR FOR SIGNS OF IMPENDING ATTACKS, including BALLISTIC MISSILE LAUNCHES.
   • ISSUE TIMELY WARNINGS to CIVILIANS to SEEK SHELTER.

5. ADDRESS THE SITUATION IN ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN MONITORING OF THREATS.

6. MONITOR POTENTIAL SHIFTS IN US-UKRAINE INTELLIGENCE SHARING (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • CLOSELY MONITOR STATEMENTS from US OFFICIALS and MEDIA REPORTS regarding INTELLIGENCE SHARING WITH UKRAINE.
   • ASSESS THE LIKELIHOOD of RESUMPTION OR REDUCTION of INTELLIGENCE SHARING.
   • ANALYZE THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on UKRAINIAN MILITARY OPERATIONS.
   • PREPARE CONTINGENCY PLANS for REDUCED INTELLIGENCE SHARING, if NECESSARY.

7. MONITOR THE REPORTED DEPLOYMENT OF BRITISH SPECIAL FORCES (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • **CLOSELY MONITOR STATEMENTS from NATO OFFICIALS and MEDIA REPORTS regarding TROOP DEPLOYMENT TO UKRAINE.
   • **ASSESS THE LIKELIHOOD of OFFICIAL DEPLOYMENT of BRITISH SPECIAL FORCES in UKRAINE.
   • ANALYZE THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on the CONFLICT and INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS.

• **PREPARE FOR VARIOUS SCENARIOS, including POTENTIAL CONFLICT BETWEEN NATO AND RUSSIAN FORCES and SHIFTS IN INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT.

8. ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES): All previous recommendations from previous reports remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated.

The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND HIGHLY DYNAMIC. The CONTINUED INFORMATION WARFARE surrounding the RUSSIAN CLAIMS of a CEASEFIRE is a MAJOR CONCERN, as it could be used to JUSTIFY FURTHER AGGRESSION. The CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIVITY in the KURSK REGION and the REPORTED FAILED UKRAINIAN ATTACK near the BELGOROD BORDER highlight the ONGOING FIGHTING and POTENTIAL FOR ESCALATION. RAPID RESPONSE, ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, and EFFECTIVE COUNTER-PROPAGANDA are ESSENTIAL. The CONFIRMED TALKS BETWEEN TRUMP AND ZELENSKY and POTENTIAL SHIFTS in US POLICY and UK-UKRAINE INTELLIGENCE require CLOSE MONITORING.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

• Vostok group is actively engaged in evacuating civilians from conflict zones.: 0.8998
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.68
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 1.0
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16