Nightwatch logo
'Nightwatch' text with white and gray letters
Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-19 07:54:29Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-19 07:24:22Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 19, 2025, 07:53 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (07:24 UTC - 07:53 UTC)

  1. REPORTED RUSSIAN ELECTRONIC WARFARE (EW) SUCCESS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Colonelcassad (07:25 UTC): Claims a Ukrainian drone was "planted" (forced to land) by a Russian 136th Motorized Rifle Brigade EW unit. Includes images of the purported downed drone.
    • Assessment: This SUGGESTS RUSSIAN EW CAPABILITIES are ACTIVE AND EFFECTIVE in COUNTERING UKRAINIAN DRONE OPERATIONS. The SPECIFIC UNIT MENTION (136th Brigade) allows for TRACKING of RUSSIAN EW DEPLOYMENTS. Further VERIFICATION is NEEDED to CONFIRM THE DRONE'S ORIGIN AND THE CIRCUMSTANCES OF ITS DOWNING.
  2. ALLEGED ABDUCTION AND EXTORTION INVOLVING "WAGNER" (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ASTRA (07:25 UTC): The missing person case in Krasnoyarsk krai has been reported, detailing the supposed circumstances behind it.

    • Assessment: This is likely UNRELATED TO DIRECT MILITARY OPERATIONS. The MENTION OF "WAGNER" could be an ATTEMPT TO INTIMIDATE or EXPLOIT THE GROUP'S REPUTATION. This could be simple CRIMINAL ACTIVITY or even a HOAX. This should only be MONITORED for any UNEXPECTED CONNECTIONS to MILITARY OR PMC ACTIVITIES.

  3. REPORTED CEASEFIRE DISCUSSIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Дневник Десантника (07:27 UTC): Claims, citing White House statements, that details of a ceasefire will be worked out starting March 23 in Jeddah. Also claims the US expects Ukraine to support the agreements, and that the ceasefire will cover attacks on infrastructure. Notes Russia's temporary halt to strikes on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, while Ukraine continues drone attacks.
    • Assessment: This report REINFORCES PREVIOUS REPORTS of a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE. The MENTION OF JEDDAH as the LOCATION FOR TALKS is NEW INFORMATION. The CLAIM of a US EXPECTATION for UKRAINIAN SUPPORT adds POLITICAL PRESSURE. The RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE presented highlights a PERCEIVED DOUBLE STANDARD regarding ATTACKS ON INFRASTRUCTURE. This NEEDS CAREFUL MONITORING as a POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT towards a NEGOTIATED SOLUTION, although MAJOR SKEPTICISM is WARRANTED.
  4. REPORTED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES IN BELGOROD BORDER AREA (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

    • Два майора (07:28 UTC) & Colonelcassad (07:45 UTC): Reports continued fighting on the Belgorod border. Claims Ukrainian forces attempted to break through using infantry, ATVs, and armored vehicles during the night and morning. Reports Russian forces repelled the attacks, destroying equipment.
    • Assessment: These reports show CONTINUED FIGHTING on the BELGOROD BORDER, with BOTH SIDES DEPLOYING VARIOUS MILITARY EQUIPMENT.
  5. REPORTED UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:28 UTC): Claims Ukrainian air defense (specifically the 12th "Azov" Brigade) is actively destroying enemy drones. Includes video footage.
    • Assessment: This HIGHLIGHTS UKRAINIAN EFFORTS to COUNTER RUSSIAN DRONE OPERATIONS. The SPECIFIC UNIT MENTION ("Azov" Brigade) allows for TRACKING OF UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE DEPLOYMENTS. The VIDEO FOOTAGE (if verified) provides EVIDENCE OF UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE CAPABILITIES.
  6. REPORTED CONTINUED FIRE AT OIL DEPOT IN KRASNODAR KRAI (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ASTRA (07:52 UTC): Reports a continued fire at an oil depot in Kropotkin, Krasnodar Krai, after a reported attack. Claims damage to a pipeline and a complete halt to operations at the "Kavkazskaya" oil transfer point. States this facility is key for Russian oil exports. Also mentions a previous attack on a nearby facility on February 17, 2025.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS A MAJOR FIRE at a CRITICAL RUSSIAN OIL INFRASTRUCTURE FACILITY. The REPORTED DAMAGE and OPERATIONAL HALT have SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIC AND POTENTIALLY MILITARY IMPLICATIONS. This SUPPORTS THE HYPOTHESIS of TARGETED UKRAINIAN STRIKES on RUSSIAN ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE.
  7. OTHER (VARIOUS PRIORITIES):

  • 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (07:21 UTC): Air raid alert.
  • Басурин о главном (07:22 UTC): Report on Russian satellite launch. * Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:23 UTC): Ballistic missile threat in areas with an air raid alert.
  • Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (07:23 UTC): Announcement regarding prisoners of war.
  • Глеб Никитин (07:25 UTC): Report on para-athletes.
  • ТАСС (07:28 UTC): Report on funds sent from marketplaces to those impacted in the Kursk region. * Координаційний штаб з питань поводження з військовополоненими (07:39 UTC): Announcement regarding prisoners of war. * ТАСС (07:41 UTC): Report on a sentence given to a man accused of spying and explosions in Donetsk. * РБК-Україна (07:42 UTC): Report on Radio Liberty suing the Trump administration.
  • Alex Parker Returns (07:43 UTC): Provocative and derogatory social media post.
  • ТАСС (07:44 UTC): Report on an illegal ruling. * Оперативний ЗСУ (07:44 UTC): Report on the consequences of a night attack in Kyiv oblast.
  • Kotsnews (07:47 UTC): Post on Navy submariners day.
  • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:48 UTC): End of ballistic threat.
  • 🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (07:49 UTC): Air raid alert ended.
  • РБК-Україна (07:49 UTC): Map of battles in the Kursk region. * ТАСС (07:50 UTC): Report on Eurasian Association of the Russian Language.
  • МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (07:50 UTC): Report on a soldier being scammed out of money. * РБК-Україна (07:51 UTC): Report on analysis of a conversation between Trump and Putin.
  • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (07:51 UTC): Report on attacks on the Belgorod border. * Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (07:52 UTC): Enemy recon drone reported north of Sumy, with a warning of possible air defense activation.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • CONFIRMED MAJOR FIRE at RUSSIAN OIL INFRASTRUCTURE FACILITY in KROPOPTKIN, KRASNODAR KRAI. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE AND OPERATIONAL HALT REPORTED. POSSIBLE UKRAINIAN STRIKE.
    • CONTINUED FIGHTING along the BELGOROD BORDER, with REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS TO BREACH THE BORDER and RUSSIAN COUNTERATTACKS. USE OF ADVANCED DRONE TECHNOLOGY (fiber-optic controlled) reported by RUSSIAN SOURCES.
    • CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ATTACKS on HOSPITALS and RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS in SUMY OBLAST. POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES. UKRAINIAN PROSECUTOR GENERAL'S OFFICE has LAUNCHED INVESTIGATIONS.
    • AIR RAID ALERT in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. IMMINENT THREAT OF AIR ATTACK.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

  • ***REPORTED UKRAINIAN DRONE STRIKES*** targeting *RUSSIAN OIL INFRASTRUCTURE*.
    
*  ***REPORTED RUSSIAN EW SUCCESS*** in *COUNTERING UKRAINIAN DRONES*.
*   *REPORTED RUSSIAN SATELLITE LAUNCH* aimed at *ENHANCING MILITARY COMMUNICATIONS*.
*   *REPORTED DAMAGE FROM RUSSIAN ATTACK* on *KYIV REGION*.
 *   ***HOUTHI THREATS TO ATTACK ALL US WARSHIPS IN THE RED AND ARABIAN SEAS***, following a claimed attack on the *USS HARRY S. TRUMAN*. *URGENT VERIFICATION NEEDED*.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • REPORTED CEASEFIRE DISCUSSIONS to BEGIN MARCH 23 IN JEDDAH. RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE EMPHASIZES UKRAINIAN ATTACKS WHILE RUSSIA HALTS ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE STRIKES.
    • POWER OUTAGE in KREMENCHUK, POLTAVA OBLAST, due to FALLING DEBRIS.
    • 12 Shahed drones reported to be shot down in Sumy Oblast.
    • CONTINUED FIGHTING reported around CHASIV YAR.
  • LOW PRIORITY:

    • Reported abduction case possibly involving a mention of "Wagner".
    • Russian claims of deploying a female assault group.
    • Russian claims of evidence of Ukrainian crimes.
    • Planned meeting between Trump and Putin.

Updated Recommendations

  1. ADDRESS THE KROPOPTKIN OIL FACILITY FIRE (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • ASSESS THE FULL EXTENT OF DAMAGE to the "KAVKAZSKAYA" OIL TRANSFER POINT and RELATED INFRASTRUCTURE.
    • DETERMINE THE IMPACT on RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS and DOMESTIC FUEL SUPPLIES.
      • ANALYZE POTENTIAL DISRUPTIONS to the CASPIAN PIPELINE CONSORTIUM.
    • INVESTIGATE THE CAUSE OF THE FIRE, PRIORITIZING the POSSIBILITY OF A UKRAINIAN STRIKE.
      • GATHER ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE (satellite imagery, drone footage, witness accounts).
      • ANALYZE DEBRIS for EVIDENCE OF WEAPONRY USED.
    • INCREASE SECURITY at SIMILAR OIL INFRASTRUCTURE FACILITIES across RUSSIA.
      • STRENGTHEN AIR DEFENSES.
      • IMPLEMENT COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES.
      • INCREASE SURVEILLANCE.
  2. ADDRESS THE BELGOROD BORDER SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN REINFORCED DEFENSES along the BELGOROD BORDER.
    • CONTINUE SURVEILLANCE to DETECT AND PREVENT FURTHER UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS TO BREACH THE BORDER.
      • PRIORITIZE COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES to NEUTRALIZE UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS.
    • VERIFY REPORTS of DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT.
    • ASSESS THE THREAT POSED BY RUSSIAN FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES and DEVELOP COUNTERMEASURES.
  3. ADDRESS THE AIR RAID ALERT IN ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • This has now ended. Maintain a high level of alert, in case further attacks occur.
  4. INVESTIGATE SUMY OBLAST ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • FULLY SUPPORT THE INVESTIGATIONS by the UKRAINIAN PROSECUTOR GENERAL'S OFFICE.
    • GATHER ALL AVAILABLE EVIDENCE regarding the ATTACKS ON HOSPITALS AND RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS.
      • PRIORITIZE IDENTIFYING THE TYPES OF WEAPONS USED.
      • DETERMINE THE ORIGIN OF THE ATTACKS.
      • COLLECT WITNESS TESTIMONY.
    • PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL INTERNATIONAL LEGAL ACTION and WAR CRIMES PROSECUTIONS.
  5. MONITOR THE CEASEFIRE DISCUSSION REPORTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

    • SEEK INDEPENDENT CONFIRMATION of the REPORTED TALKS IN JEDDAH ON MARCH 23.
    • ANALYZE THE RUSSIAN PERSPECTIVE on the CEASEFIRE CONDITIONS.
    • ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of a CEASEFIRE on MILITARY OPERATIONS.
      • CONSIDER BOTH THE ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES.
      • DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS for VARIOUS SCENARIOS.
  6. ASSESS RUSSIAN EW CAPABILITIES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

    • VERIFY THE REPORT of the DOWNED UKRAINIAN DRONE by the RUSSIAN 136TH BRIGADE.
    • ANALYZE THE IMAGES of the DRONE to IDENTIFY ITS TYPE AND CAPABILITIES.
    • ASSESS THE EFFECTIVENESS OF RUSSIAN EW SYSTEMS against VARIOUS TYPES OF UKRAINIAN DRONES.
  7. VERIFY REPORT OF RUSSIAN SATELLITE LAUNCH (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

    • SEEK INDEPENDENT CONFIRMATION of the RUSSIAN SATELLITE LAUNCH.
    • ASSESS THE CAPABILITIES of the "RODNIK" SATELLITES and their POTENTIAL IMPACT on MILITARY COMMUNICATIONS.
  8. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The CONFIRMED FIRE at the KROPOPTKIN OIL FACILITY, the CONTINUED FIGHTING along the BELGOROD BORDER, the CONFIRMED ATTACKS ON HOSPITALS in SUMY OBLAST, and REPORTED CEASEFIRE DISCUSSIONS all demand IMMEDIATE ATTENTION AND DECISIVE ACTION. ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, EFFECTIVE RESOURCE ALLOCATION, and CLOSE COORDINATION are ESSENTIAL.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs

  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
  • Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
  • Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
  • Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
  • Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
  • Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
  • UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
  • Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
  • The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
  • Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
  • Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
  • Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
  • The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
  • Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
  • An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
  • A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
  • The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
  • The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
  • The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
  • A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
  • Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
  • The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
  • Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
  • Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
  • Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
  • Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
  • Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
  • Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
  • Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
  • Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
  • Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
  • The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
  • Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
  • Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
  • Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
  • Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
  • A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
  • Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
  • Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
  • Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
  • Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
  • Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
  • Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
  • An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
  • A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
  • A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
  • Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
  • Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
  • Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
  • Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
  • Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
  • Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
  • A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
  • Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
  • An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
  • Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
  • Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
  • Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk,
Previous (2025-03-19 07:24:22Z)

We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.

Learn more in our Privacy Policy.