Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 18, 2025, 20:02 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (19:32 UTC - 20:02 UTC)
CONTINUED DRONE ATTACKS & AIR RAID ALERTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Nikolaevskiy Vanyok (19:56 UTC): Provides an updated DETAILED BREAKDOWN of DRONE POSITIONS (summarized below):
2 from KYIV OBLAST moved to ZHYTOMYR OBLAST.
2 approaching KYIV near BORYSPIL - may be loud.
2 north of CHERKASY, heading SOUTHWEST.
6 passed ZAPORIZHZHIA, heading NORTHWEST.
2 new from ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST, heading to DNIPROPETROVSK OBLAST.
1 passed OLEKSANDRIYA, heading NORTHWEST.
5 south of POLTAVA, heading WEST.
7 from KHARKIV OBLAST, heading to POLTAVA OBLAST.
2 passed BALAKLIYA, heading WEST.
3 near PRYLUKY.
4 west of SUMY, heading SOUTH.
7 heading to/through KONOTOP.
1 north of CHERNIHIV OBLAST.
КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) (20:01 UTC): Warns Kyiv residents to remain in shelters until the air raid alert is over. Aerial targets are approaching the capital. Possible air defense activity.
Assessment: The DRONE ATTACK REMAINS WIDESPREAD AND COMPLEX. MULTIPLE WAVES of drones are ACTIVE ACROSS A BROAD FRONT. The DETAILED TRACKING by Nikolaevskiy Vanyok is HIGHLY VALUABLE for AIR DEFENSE PRIORITIZATION. KYIV remains under DIRECT THREAT.
Colonelcassad (19:39 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces attempted another breakthrough in BELGOROD OBLAST, near DEMIDOVKA and PRILESYE. Claims Ukrainian forces were unsuccessful near DEMIDOVKA. Claims fighting is ongoing near PRILESYE, with Ukrainian forces attempting to isolate the village with drone strikes.
Военкор Котенок (19:55 UTC): Reports that after an unsuccessful attempt to advance in the Belgorod border area towards DEMIDOVKA, Ukrainian forces, supported by armored vehicles, artillery, and MLRS, retreated to their initial positions after suffering losses in armor and personnel.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (19:56 UTC): Claims FPV drones destroyed Ukrainian UR-77, IMR "Winsent 1MC", and BMP Bradley vehicles in the Belgorod border area. Claims another Bradley was destroyed by a mine.
* Assessment:REINFORCES PREVIOUS CLAIMS of UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS to breach the border in BELGOROD OBLAST. The CLAIM OF UNSUCCESSFUL ATTEMPT near DEMIDOVKA is REPEATED. The REPORTED FIGHTING near PRILESYE suggests a CONTINUED EFFORT by UKRAINIAN FORCES. RUSSIAN SOURCES claim to have DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT, including a BRADLEY. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
Воин DV (19:59 UTC): Claims that scouts of the 215th ORB of the 98th Airborne Division thwarted a Ukrainian counteroffensive attempt near CHASIV YAR, destroying infantry transports and two vehicles.
Assessment:UNCLEAR VERACITY. The REPORT is from a RUSSIAN SOURCE and should be TREATED WITH CAUTION. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
OTHER:
Два майора (19:34 UTC): Claims that the "Española" unit is involved in reconnaissance and analytical operations, as well as providing air defense and electronic warfare support, in Crimea. Claims to have intercepted a Ukrainian Beaver drone.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (19:35 UTC): Announces guided bomb launches towards SUMY OBLAST.
ASTRA (19:35 UTC): Reports on human rights abuses in Crimea since 2014.
РБК-Україна (19:36 UTC): Reports on the elimination of four high-ranking Hamas officials in the Gaza Strip.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (19:38 UTC): Repeats Trump's claims of a "very good and productive" call with Putin, with agreements on an immediate ceasefire concerning energy infrastructure, working toward a complete ceasefire.
«Зона СВО» (19:39 UTC): Repeats Trump's claims of a "very good and productive" call with Putin.
Два майора (19:40 UTC): Posts an image and a video about a KAMAZ truck that survived an FPV drone attack, claiming its armor protection saved the crew.
Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (19:42 UTC): Claims that a Lancet drone was intercepted by the APEX Predators unit.
Alex Parker Returns (19:43 UTC): Claims the ZVO symbols have been removed from the US embassy in Moscow.
Два майора (19:45 UTC): Criticizes RIA Novosti for sensationalizing the removal of the ZOV symbols.
РБК-Україна (19:45 UTC): Reports Zelensky has not yet spoken with Trump after his call with Putin.
НгП раZVедка (19:45 UTC): Claims four "Geran" and "Gerber" drones are heading towards Kyiv and Kharkiv.
Colonelcassad (19:45 UTC): Reports air raid alerts in Kyiv and several other regions.
Оперативний ЗСУ (19:49 UTC): States Ukraine will support any steps that lead to a reduction in strikes.
Два майора (19:50 UTC): Posts a video about a fundraiser for reconnaissance drones for the Zaporizhzhia front.
ASTRA (19:50 UTC): Claims Telegram provides user data to Russian security services in terrorism cases.
РБК-Україна (19:51 UTC): Confirms an upcoming prisoner exchange between Ukraine and Russia.
Janus Putkonen - Uutisia ja kuulumisia - SÄHKEET/TIEDOTTEET (MV-Lehti & Verkkomedia) (19:53 UTC): Comments on the Trump-Putin negotiations, considering them positive steps.
Alex Parker Returns (19:54 UTC): Claims Ukraine supports the proposal to stop attacks on energy infrastructure.
Kadyrov_95 (19:55 UTC): Reports on the 1st stage of the Russian Sniping Cup 2025 held in Gudermes.
Глеб Никитин (19:59 UTC): Claims Nizhny Novgorod is ready to host a match between KHL and NHL players.
Два майора (19:59 UTC): Posts an image celebrating the 11th anniversary of Crimea's reunification with Russia.
Alex Parker Returns (20:00 UTC): Claims Ukraine is on the menu in the negotiations between Putin and Trump, according to Skynews.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACKS across MULTIPLE REGIONS, with NEW THREATS to KYIV. DETAILED TRACKING INFORMATION is AVAILABLE.
HIGH PRIORITY:
REPORTED UKRAINIAN ATTEMPTS to breach the border in BELGOROD OBLAST were REPULSED.
REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES near SUDZHA (from previous updates).
HIGHLY AMBIGUOUS SITUATION regarding TRUMP-PUTIN TALKS, with CONFLICTING CLAIMS about CEASEFIRE. UKRAINIAN SOURCES reject a FULL CEASEFIRE.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN STRIKES, potentially TARGETING ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE despite CLAIMED CEASEFIRE.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
REPORTED FAILED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACK near CHASIV YAR.
Updated Recommendations
COUNTER THE ONGOING, MULTI-WAVE DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN EXTREME ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS, ESPECIALLY KYIV, ZHYTOMYR, DNIPROPETROVSK, POLTAVA, KHARKIV, SUMY, AND CHERNIHIV OBLASTS.
UTILIZE ALL AVAILABLE TRACKING DATA (including from Nikolaevskiy Vanyok) to PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTIONS and ADJUST DEFENSE DEPLOYMENTS in REAL-TIME.
ISSUE/MAINTAIN WARNINGS to CIVILIANS in ALL THREATENED AREAS, especially KYIV.
PRIORITIZE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE, given the REPORTS OF ENERGY TARGETING.
CLARIFY THE TRUMP-PUTIN TALKS SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY SEEK CONFIRMATION from US AND UKRAINIAN OFFICIAL SOURCES regarding the ACTUAL CONTENT AND OUTCOMES of the TRUMP-PUTIN CALL.
DISREGARD CLAIMS OF A FULL CEASEFIRE until INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of any PARTIAL CEASEFIRE (on energy) on UKRAINIAN MILITARY OPERATIONS.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL NEGOTIATIONS, but MAINTAIN A HIGH LEVEL OF SKEPTICISM given the CONFLICTING REPORTS.
VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS IN BELGOROD AND NEAR CHASIV YAR (HIGH PRIORITY, RAPID ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM OR REFUTERUSSIAN CLAIMS of REPULSED UKRAINIAN ATTACKS in BELGOROD OBLAST and DESTROYED EQUIPMENT.
VERIFY REPORTS of a FAILED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACK near CHASIV YAR.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation is EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACKS pose an IMMEDIATE THREAT, especially to KYIV. The AMBIGUITY surrounding the TRUMP-PUTIN TALKS and the REPORTS OF CONTINUED RUSSIAN STRIKES create SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY and POTENTIAL RISKS. The REPORTED SITUATION in BELGOROD OBLAST requires CONSTANT MONITORING. RAPID, ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE and ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister
Qatar supports initiatives to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, according to the Qatari Ministry of Foreign Affairs.: 0.9
The Ukrainian General Staff has confirmed the loss of Sudzha, now under Russian control.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian Drone operators struck a temporary deployment point in Razliv.: 0.899999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the north, with threat of airborne weapons.: 0.8
Hull Daily Mail claimed 70,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed in the Kursk direction.: 0.1
A Leopard tank was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A MaxxPro armored vehicle was destroyed by Russian drone operators in the south-donetsk direction.: 0.7
A Russian "Vandal" drone destroyed a Ukrainian "wooden" armored vehicle.: 0.6
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian stronghold in the Kursk region.: 0.4
The Russian Air Force used a FAB-3000 bomb to destroy a Ukrainian fortified position in the Kursk direction.: 0.8
A Russian infantry attack towards Veseloe.: 0.65
Russian advances on the Burlatskoe-Skudnoe line, extending control by up to 2.5 km.: 0.8
In the Kharkiv Direction, units of the "North" group of troops inflicted damage on formations of the assault battalion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the border detachment of the Ukrainian Border Guard Service in the areas of the settlements of Perovskoe and Kazachya Lopan in the Kharkiv region.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 70 servicemen, six vehicles, four artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Kharkiv Direction.: 0.6
Units of the "South" group of troops have occupied more advantageous lines and positions.: 0.6
The Ukrainian Armed Forces lost up to 305 servicemen, a tank, an armored fighting vehicle, four vehicles, seven field artillery pieces, including four Western-made, and a Croatian-made RAK-SA-12 multiple rocket launcher system. A material warehouse was destroyed.: 0.5
Units of the "Center" group of troops continued to advance deep into the enemy's defense.: 0.6
The enemy lost up to 450 servicemen, five armored fighting vehicles, eight pickup trucks, five artillery pieces, and an electronic warfare station in the Center Direction.: 0.5
Units of the "East" group of troops have improved their position along the front line.: 0.5
The Ukrainian Armed Forces losses amounted to over 150 servicemen, two armored fighting vehicles, five vehicles, and three field artillery pieces in the East Direction.: 0.4
Units of the "Dnipro" group of troops inflicted damage on the manpower and equipment of two mechanized, mountain assault brigades of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Up to 90 servicemen, five vehicles, two field artillery pieces, and three electronic warfare stations were destroyed.: 0.5
Air defense systems shot down four US-made JDAM guided bombs and 141 fixed-wing unmanned aerial vehicles.: 0.6
Since the beginning of the special military operation, 658 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 46917 unmanned aerial vehicles, 601 anti-aircraft missile systems, 22297 tanks and other armored fighting vehicles, 1529 multiple launch rocket systems, 22620 field artillery and mortars, and 32940 special military vehicles have been destroyed.: 0.4
Enemy tactical aviation activity in the southern direction.: 0.85
Threat of the use of aviation weapons for frontline areas.: 0.8
Launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation in Sumy region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully repelled 36 attacks in the Pokrovsk area.: 0.8
From March 10-16, 2025, Ukrainian air defenses destroyed over 850 aerial targets.: 0.8
1 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missile was destroyed: 0.7
515 Shahed attack drones were destroyed.: 0.8
170 reconnaissance drones were destroyed.: 0.8
172 other types of drones were destroyed.: 0.7
The Ukrainian Air Force conducted over 160 sorties during the week.: 0.8
Russian forces are evacuating civilians from recently liberated Sudzha and Kazachya Loknya.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
About 40 civilians were evacuated from Sudzha, including bedridden patients: 0.7
371 people, including 14 children, have been evacuated from liberated settlements in the Kursk region since March 12.: 0.6
A phone call between Putin and Trump is expected next week.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Whitkoff's meeting with Putin in Moscow lasted 3-4 hours and was "positive".: 0.7
Putin "accepts Trump's philosophy" regarding the end of the war.: 0.7
The distance between US and Russian positions on Ukraine has narrowed.: 0.55
Trump expects the war in Ukraine to end within weeks.: 0.1
Britain intends to deploy over 10,000 troops to Ukraine as part of a "coalition of the willing".: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Britain has secured support from "significantly more" countries than previously.: 0.65
Launches of guided aerial bombs (KAB) towards Kharkiv Oblast.: 0.78
Russian forces advanced 1km deep and 500m wide near Razliv.: 0.75
Russian forces captured two strongholds and a dominant height near Shevchenko, advancing 500m deep and 2km wide.: 0.65
5 reinforcement groups, 3 rotation attempts, and 3 engineering groups were destroyed.: 0.5
MaxxPro armored vehicle, 5 other vehicles, and up to 25 Ukrainian personnel were destroyed.: 0.5
Russian forces are establishing positions near Basivka on the border of Sumy Oblast.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The President of Finland believes it is virtually impossible to reach a ceasefire with Russia.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999
Russian forces made advances near Hryhorivka and Orikhovo-Vasylivka.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces captured aerial footage near Basivka.: 0.8
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudz
