Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 18, 2025, 17:02 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (16:32 UTC - 17:02 UTC)
CONFIRMATION OF TRUMP-PUTIN CALL CONCLUSION (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
ТАСС (16:33 UTC): Reports the call lasted OVER 1.5 HOURS.
ТАСС (16:48 UTC): PESKOV confirms the call has ENDED.
РБК-Україна (16:48 UTC): PESKOV confirms the call has ENDED.
CNN (via РБК-Україна, 16:48 UTC): Reports the call went "VERY WELL", citing a RUSSIAN SOURCE.
CNN (via Новости Москвы, 16:49 UTC): Reports the call went "VERY WELL". LONGEST IN HISTORY of US-Russia presidential calls.
Reuters (via РБК-Україна, 16:59 UTC): The WHITE HOUSE will release a STATEMENT.
Assessment:UNANIMOUSLY CONFIRMS the CALL HAS ENDED. The DURATION is CONSISTENTLY REPORTED as being LENGTHY, ranging from OVER 1.5 HOURS to 2.5 HOURS. The RUSSIAN SOURCES reporting that the call went "VERY WELL" is a CRITICAL DETAIL, but REQUIRES CAREFUL INTERPRETATION and CORROBORATION from the UPCOMING WHITE HOUSE STATEMENT. The claim of the LONGEST CALL IN HISTORY is NOTEWORTHY but NOT YET VERIFIED.
CRASH OF RUSSIAN MI-28 HELICOPTER (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
ТАСС (16:35 UTC): MI-28 CRASH in LENINGRAD OBLAST. CREW KILLED.
ASTRA (16:35 UTC): MI-28 CRASH in VOLOSOVSKY DISTRICT, LENINGRAD OBLAST. RUSSIAN AIR FORCE. RESCUERS ON SITE. IMAGES/VIDEOS.
Оперативний ЗСУ (16:36 UTC): MI-28 CRASH. BOTH PILOTS KILLED. IMAGES/VIDEOS.
Colonelcassad (16:41 UTC): MI-28 CRASH. CREW KILLED. In a DESOLATE AREA. CAUSE UNKNOWN.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (16:43 UTC): MI-28 CRASH during a TRAINING FLIGHT. BOTH PILOTS KILLED. NO DAMAGE ON THE GROUND. IMAGES/VIDEOS.
РБК-Україна (16:48 UTC): MI-28 CRASH during a TRAINING FLIGHT. CREW KILLED. IMAGES.
Север.Реалии (16:53 UTC): MI-28 CRASH. CREW KILLED. Near SHUGOVITSY in VOLOSOVSKY DISTRICT.
Assessment:UNANIMOUSLY CONFIRMS the CRASH of a RUSSIAN MI-28 HELICOPTER in the LENINGRAD OBLAST, specifically the VOLOSOVSKY DISTRICT. ALL REPORTS CONFIRM the DEATH OF THE CREW (two pilots). The CRASH OCCURRED during a TRAINING FLIGHT. The CAUSE IS UNKNOWN, but UNDER INVESTIGATION. NO DAMAGE ON THE GROUND. This REPRESENTS A LOSS OF RUSSIAN AIR ASSETS, but DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the IMMEDIATE BATTLEFIELD SITUATION in UKRAINE. The LOCATION, far from the front lines, SUGGESTS this was NOT DUE TO ENEMY ACTION.
CONTINUED FIGHTING NEAR BELGOROD BORDER (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Colonelcassad (16:35 UTC): Claims NO ENEMY in BELGOROD REGION, but COMPLEX SITUATION. Claims destroyed Ukrainian equipment.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (16:36 UTC): Claims 5 ARMORED VEHICLES with INFANTRY attempted to enter DEMIDOVKA. 3 DESTROYED. A TANK HIT A MINE.
Два майора (16:39 UTC, 16:44 UTC, 16:49 UTC): Reports CONTINUED ATTEMPTS by Ukrainian forces to BREAK THROUGH near DEMIDOVKA. Claims RESERVES are being PULLED UP. ONGOING FIGHTING. Claims destruction of TWO UKRAINIAN VEHICLES near DEMIDOVKA around 18:00. Claims MULTIPLE UKRAINIAN LOSSES in MARINO, PRILESE, and LIPSTSY. Claims NO ENEMY on BELGOROD TERRITORY, but COMPLEX SITUATION.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (16:53 UTC): Claims COMPLEX SITUATION in KRASNOYARUZHSKY DISTRICT, BELGOROD OBLAST. GLADKOV says NO ENEMY on the TERRITORY.
ASTRA (16:48 UTC): GLADKOV says NO ENEMY on the TERRITORY, COMPLEX SITUATION.
ТАСС (16:47 UTC): GLADKOV: COMPLEX SITUATION in KRASNOYARUZHSKY DISTRICT, NO ENEMY on the TERRITORY.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (16:58 UTC): VIDEO. Claims to show aftermath, with claim "Russian propagandists came to shoot a video in Sudzha."
Assessment:CONFIRMS CONTINUED, INTENSE FIGHTING near DEMIDOVKA in the BELGOROD REGION. RUSSIAN SOURCES UNANIMOUSLY CLAIM NO UKRAINIAN FORCES are PRESENT on RUSSIAN TERRITORY, but ACKNOWLEDGE A COMPLEX SITUATION. The REPORTS OF DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT, including TANKS, ARMORED VEHICLES, and IMR ENGINEERING VEHICLES, are CONSISTENT and suggest SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSSES. RUSSIAN CLAIMS of REPELLED ATTACKS and FAILED BREAKTHROUGHS are also CONSISTENT.
OTHER:
Север.Реалии (16:04 UTC): Reports that ten EU countries signed a statement on readiness to seek alternative sources of financing for RFE/RL.
Assessment: This addresses funding issues for an important source of news.
Два майора (16:06): Claims that Ukrainian forces, backed by NATO, are fighting to the last man. Claims NATO is a Nazi organization.
Assessment: This is likely propaganda.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:08 UTC): Reports on Ukrainian resistance in Toretsk. Claims Russian losses.
Assessment: Claims of high Russian losses, but also confirms ongoing combat.
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (16:09 UTC): Reports on a Ukrainian tank commander.
Assessment: This shows insight into the Ukrainian forces.
Alex Parker Returns (16:09): Claims the Trump-Putin call is lasting over two hours.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (16:11): Claims the Trump-Putin call is over 1.5 hours long.
WarGonzo (16:15): Reports on events in the DPR regarding the "Day of the Return of Crimea to Russia".
Assessment: Confirms pro-Russian activities.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (16:15 UTC): GLADKOV reports a CASUALTY in REPYAKHOVKA, BELGOROD OBLAST, due to an FPV DRONE ATTACK. ANOTHER CASUALTY in KRASNAYA YARUGA during COMBAT OPERATIONS. BUS ON FIRE.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (16:16): Claims population evacuation in Krasnoyaruzhsky district.
Fighterbomber (16:18): Claims the Trump-Putin call is about a ceasefire.
Басурин о главном (16:21 UTC): Reports on a HUNGARY BILL.
РБК-Україна (16:21 UTC): Reports on the SYBIHA-SIJJARTO MEETING.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (16:30 UTC): Reports on RUSSIAN ATTACKS and DAMAGE in the NIKOPOL and SYNELYNYKIVSKYI REGIONS.
Assessment: Confirms RUSSIAN STRIKES and CIVILIAN DAMAGE.
Воин DV (16:29): Claims that Russian forces are advancing on the front, and that Ukrainian counterattacks are failing. Claims success in Razliv, with 1km of advance. Claims that a Paladin was destroyed.
Assessment: Claims of Russian advance, but this is likely exaggerated.
Assessment: Shows Ukrainian strikes, but this doesn't indicate a breakthrough.
Kotsnews (16:32): Reports on a tourism project.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (16:33): Claims the Trump-Putin call is 2.5 hours long.
Рыбарь (16:33 UTC): Claims the UK hopes the US will provide drones and satellites to monitor the front line. Claims this would help NATO intelligence.
Assessment: Likely true, as the UK is a staunch ally.
Президентська бригада ЗСУ (16:35 UTC): VIDEO. Claims drone strikes.
Assessment: Propaganda video.
STERNENKO (16:35 UTC): Promotes a fundraising campaign.
Assessment: Fundraising campaign, but the funds are for equipment used in combat.
Олександр Вілкул (16:40 UTC): Reports NO SHELLING in KRYVYI RIH DISTRICT. ENEMY ATTACKS in NIKOPOL DISTRICT.
Assessment: Confirms CONTINUED RUSSIAN ATTACKS in the NIKOPOL DISTRICT.
ТАСС (16:40 UTC): Reports the UN appreciates the US-RUSSIA CONTACTS.
Assessment: The UN wants a resolution to the war.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (16:43 UTC): Reports on the MI-28 CRASH. IMAGES/VIDEOS.
Два майора (16:44 UTC): VIDEO. Claims to show DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT near DEMIDOVKA.
Assessment: Confirms Ukrainian equipment loss.
Анатолій Штефан "Штірліц" (16:45 UTC): Promotes a FUNDRAISING CAMPAIGN.
WarGonzo (16:46 UTC): Reports the TRUMP-PUTIN CALL lasted 2.5 HOURS.
РБК-Україна (16:52 UTC): Reports on a LARGE FIRE in ODESA OBLAST. IMAGES/VIDEOS.
Север.Реалии (16:53 UTC): Reports on the MI-28 CRASH.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (17:00 UTC): DRONE THREAT in SUMY and CHERNIHIV OBLASTS.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
TRUMP-PUTIN CALL HAS ENDED after a LENGTHY DURATION (over 1.5 hours, possibly up to 2.5 hours). RUSSIAN SOURCES claim it went "VERY WELL". WHITE HOUSE STATEMENT IMMINENT. This is the MOST CRITICAL DEVELOPMENT.
INTENSE FIGHTING CONTINUES near DEMIDOVKA in the BELGOROD REGION. MULTIPLE REPORTS of DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT, including TANKS, ARMORED VEHICLES, and IMR ENGINEERING VEHICLES. RUSSIAN SOURCES CLAIM NO UKRAINIAN FORCES on RUSSIAN TERRITORY, but ACKNOWLEDGE A COMPLEX SITUATION. This is a MAJOR ESCALATION and a POTENTIAL CRISIS.
HIGH PRIORITY:
RUSSIAN MI-28 HELICOPTER CRASH in LENINGRAD OBLAST. CREW KILLED. CAUSE UNKNOWN. This REPRESENTS A LOSS OF RUSSIAN AIR ASSETS, but DOES NOT DIRECTLY IMPACT the IMMEDIATE BATTLEFIELD SITUATION.
CONTINUED FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN SHELLING of KRASNAYA YARUGA, targeting INFRASTRUCTURE.
CLAIMED DESTRUCTION of UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT and PERSONNEL by RUSSIAN FORCES.
RUSSIAN CLAIMS of ADVANCES in RAZLIV.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
LARGE FIRE in ODESA OBLAST.
Reports of DRONE THREAT to the regions of SUMY OBLAST and CHERNIHIV OBLAST.
Reports on the SYBIHA-SIJJARTO MEETING.
Reports on a HUNGARY BILL.
RUSSIAN FUNDRAISING CAMPAIGN.
Updated Recommendations
MONITOR THE AFTERMATH OF THE TRUMP-PUTIN CALL (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
CLOSELY MONITOR the WHITE HOUSE STATEMENT for ANY DETAILS about the CALL, including POTENTIAL AGREEMENTS, CEASEFIRE PROPOSALS, or CHANGES IN US POLICY.
URGENTLY COMMUNICATE with UKRAINIAN LEADERSHIP to ASSESS THEIR POSITION and COORDINATE A RESPONSE.
PREPARE CONTINGENCY PLANS for VARIOUS OUTCOMES, including a POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE, NEGOTIATIONS, or CHANGES IN US POLICY.
ADDRESS THE BELGOROD BORDER SITUATION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY VERIFY the REPORTS of DESTROYED UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT near DEMIDOVKA. ANALYZE IMAGES/VIDEOS for TIMESTAMPS and GEOLOCATIONS.
ASSESS THE SCALE of the UKRAINIAN LOSSES and DETERMINE THE IMPACT on their OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES.
DEPLOY ADDITIONAL FORCES to the AREA to REPEL ANY FURTHER UKRAINIAN INCURSIONS and REINFORCE THE BORDER.
PROVIDE AIR DEFENSE SUPPORT to COUNTER POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN AIR ATTACKS and DRONE ACTIVITY.
ASSESS THE DAMAGE to INFRASTRUCTURE in KRASNAYA YARUGA and TAKE STEPS TO REPAIR IT.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL EVACUATIONS of CIVILIANS from BORDER AREAS if NECESSARY.
INVESTIGATE THE MI-28 CRASH (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
GATHER ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION on the MI-28 CRASH.
DETERMINE THE CAUSE of the CRASH.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on RUSSIAN AIR OPERATIONS.
ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL DRONE ATTACK (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN A HEIGHTENED STATE OF ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in SUMY and CHERNIHIV OBLASTS.
MONITOR RADAR and OTHER SURVEILLANCE SYSTEMS for ANY SIGNS of INCOMING DRONES.
PREPARE AIR DEFENSE MEASURES.
ADDRESS THE ODESA FIRE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, SUPPORTIVE ACTION):
ASSESS THE DAMAGES.
PROVIDE SUPPORT.
INVESTIGATE THE CAUSE.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND RAPIDLY EVOLVING. The END OF THE TRUMP-PUTIN CALL and the CONTINUED INTENSE FIGHTING along the BELGOROD BORDER are MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS that DEMAND IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION. The POTENTIAL FOR ESCALATION remains EXTREMELY HIGH. ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, RAPID ANALYSIS, DECISIVE ACTION, and ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
