Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 18, 2025, 07:32 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (07:02 UTC - 07:32 UTC)
KYIV AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY, DEBRIS FALL IN DESNIANSKYI DISTRICT (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
РБК-Україна (07:10 UTC, 07:16 UTC, 07:24 UTC): Reports air defense activity in Kyiv Oblast. Reports explosions in Kyiv. Reports air defense shot down 63 out of 137 drones, with 64 "decoy" drones. Affected areas include Kharkiv, Sumy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk, and Cherkasy regions.
КМВА (Київська міська військова адміністрація) (07:00 UTC, 07:02 UTC, 07:21 UTC): Confirms air raid alert in Kyiv due to drone threat. Requests residents to proceed to shelters. Confirms air defense activity. Reports air raid alert lifted.
STERNENKO (07:02 UTC): Reports threat of UAVs in Kyiv and the region.
РБК-Україна (07:26 UTC): Reports debris fell on a school in the Desnianskyi district of Kyiv.
Оперативний ЗСУ (07:31 UTC): Reports debris fell on the territory of a school in the Desnianskyi district.
Assessment:CONFIRMED AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY in KYIV and KYIV OBLAST, with REPORTED EXPLOSIONS and DEBRIS FALL on a SCHOOL in the DESNIANSKYI DISTRICT. This CONFIRMS a DRONE ATTACK on KYIV, though the EXTENT OF DAMAGE and POTENTIAL CASUALTIES are UNCLEAR. The CLAIM OF 63 DRONES SHOT DOWN out of 137 suggests a LARGE-SCALE ATTACK, with a HIGH INTERCEPTION RATE. The use of 64 "DECOY" DRONES is NEW INFORMATION and suggests an ATTEMPT TO OVERWHELM AIR DEFENSES.
CLAIMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES NEAR BORDER (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):
Два майора (07:01 UTC): Reports continued artillery activity near Grafovka. Claims two engineering vehicles (IMR) and five armored vehicles were brought to Maryino. Reports Russian destruction of two tanks and further fighting. Claims the main activity is near Popovka and Demidovka.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (07:21): Claims the attempt to draw Russian troops was a failure and caused many casualties.
Assessment:MULTIPLE RUSSIAN SOURCES claim CONTINUED FIGHTING near the BORDER, with FOCUS on GRAFOVKA, POPOVKA, and DEMIDOVKA. The CLAIM OF RUSSIAN FORCES DESTROYING UKRAINIAN EQUIPMENT is CONSISTENT, but REQUIRES INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION. The CLAIM OF UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES is LIKELY PROPAGANDA.
CLAIMED UKRAINIAN FORCES TRAINING (MEDIUM):
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (07:28): Reports on the training of the worst soldiers.
Assessment: Reports on training to improve soldier capabilities.
CASUALTIES REPORTED (HIGH PRIORITY):
Два майора (07:06 UTC): Reports three civilians were injured in the Krasnoyaruzhsky district, after an attack on a bus.
ТАСС (07:12 UTC): Reports the attack.
Assessment: Confirmed.
OTHER:
ТАСС (07:04 UTC): Reports that NY Times is reporting on the fear of giving Odessa to Russia.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (07:11 UTC): Reports on a possible remote mining.
Оперативний ЗСУ (07:06 UTC): Reports on the preparation of enemy forces.
Рыбарь (07:06 UTC): Reports on the degradation of USA relations with South Africa.
Kotsnews (07:09 UTC): Reports on the Russian triangle and USA demarche.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (07:13 UTC): Reports on Russian Army Aviation at dawn.
Сили оборони Півдня України (07:17): Reports on 10 repelled attacks in the Huliaipol area.
Север.Реалии (07:18): Reports on censorship in SIZO.
ТАСС (07:19 UTC): Reports on universities receiving grants.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
IMMINENT TRUMP-PUTIN CALL, with INCREASING EVIDENCE of POTENTIAL RUSSIAN DEMANDS for TERRITORIAL CONCESSIONS and UKRAINIAN FEARS of being SIDELINED. URGENT ACTION is REQUIRED to MONITOR THIS CALL and PREPARE FOR ITS POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV, with AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY, REPORTED EXPLOSIONS, and DEBRIS FALL on a SCHOOL. DAMAGE ASSESSMENT and CASUALTY REPORTS are PENDING.
REPORTED UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE in the BELGOROD REGION, with MULTIPLE RUSSIAN SOURCES claiming FAILED ATTEMPTS. URGENT VERIFICATION is NEEDED.
CONTINUED WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY, with NEW THREATS to KYIV, SUMY, and CHERNIHIV OBLASTS.
REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
CLAIMED TRUMP PRESSURE on ZELENSKY.
REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES in the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
CONFIRMED DAMAGE to SUDZHA GIS.
CIVILIAN CASUALTIES and DAMAGE in KURSK OBLAST.
RUSSIAN CLAIMS of DESTROYING UKRAINIAN FORCES near KRASNOARMEYSK (POKROVSK).
LOW PRIORITY:
CLAIMED UKRAINIAN RETREAT from KURSK OBLAST.
Updated Recommendations
ASSESS DAMAGE AND CASUALTIES FROM KYIV DRONE ATTACK (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY TEAMS to the DESNIANSKYI DISTRICT to ASSESS DAMAGE to the SCHOOL and SURROUNDING AREAS.
DETERMINE IF THERE ARE ANY CASUALTIES.
GATHER EVIDENCE of DRONE FRAGMENTS to IDENTIFY THE TYPE OF DRONE used.
INVESTIGATE THE CLAIM of 64 "DECOY" DRONES being used.
REVIEW AIR DEFENSE PERFORMANCE to IDENTIFY ANY VULNERABILITIES or AREAS FOR IMPROVEMENT.
MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT FOR DRONE ACTIVITY (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS, with PARTICULAR FOCUS ON KYIV, SUMY, AND CHERNIHIV OBLASTS.
PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING DRONES targeting CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
DEPLOY COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES as AVAILABLE.
ISSUE/MAINTAIN WARNINGS to CIVILIANS in AFFECTED AREAS.
VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF ADVANCES (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM OR REFUTERUSSIAN CLAIMS of ADVANCES near GRAFOVKA, POPOVKA, and DEMIDOVKA.
ASSESS THE EXTENT OF RUSSIAN CONTROL in the AREA.
MONITOR THE TRUMP-PUTIN CALL (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to MONITOR the REPORTED CALL between TRUMP and PUTIN.
VERIFY THE ACCURACY of ALL CLAIMS regarding NEGOTIATIONS, AGREEMENTS, and DEMANDS.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT of any AGREEMENT on UKRAINIAN INTERESTS and TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY.
**PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL NEGOTIATIONS or CHANGES IN US POLICY.
URGENTLY COMMUNICATE with UKRAINIAN LEADERSHIP to ASSESS THEIR POSITION and COORDINATE A RESPONSE.
VERIFY THE REPORTED UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE IN BELGOROD (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM OR REFUTE the REPORTED UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE in the BELGOROD REGION.
PRIORITIZE IMAGERY INTELLIGENCE and HUMAN INTELLIGENCE from the AREA.
ASSESS THE SCALE AND OBJECTIVES of any UKRAINIAN OPERATIONS.
DETERMINE THE LEVEL OF RUSSIAN CONTROL in the AREA.
INVESTIGATE CLAIMS of UKRAINIAN FORCES being REPOSITIONED from KURSK to BELGOROD.
INVESTIGATE REPORTED CASUALTIES AND DAMAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, RAPID ACTION):
GATHER INFORMATION on CIVILIAN CASUALTIES and DAMAGE in KURSK OBLAST.
ASSESS THE IMPACT on CIVILIAN POPULATIONS and INFRASTRUCTURE.
CAREFULLY ASSESS THE IMPLICATIONS of TRUMP'S REPORTED STATEMENTS regarding PRESSURE ON ZELENSKY and the SUSPENSION OF ARMS SUPPLIES.
GATHER INTELLIGENCE on ANY US POLICY CHANGES related to UKRAINE.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The IMMINENT TRUMP-PUTIN CALL is the MOST PRESSING CONCERN, with the POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES for UKRAINE. The CONFIRMED DRONE ATTACK ON KYIV, the REPORTED UKRAINIAN OFFENSIVE in BELGOROD, CONTINUED DRONE ACTIVITY, and RUSSIAN ADVANCES in MULTIPLE REGIONS require CONSTANT MONITORING AND RAPID RESPONSE. ACCURATE INTELLIGENCE, RAPID ANALYSIS, and ADAPTIVE STRATEGIES are ESSENTIAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions.: 0.76
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.93
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position near Konstantinovka using FPV drones.: 0.8
The destruction of the mortar position indicates ongoing counter-battery warfare.: 0.8
Russian forces continue offensive operations near Pokrovsk, reportedly destroying NATO equipment.: 0.75
The reports on destroyed NATO equipment are likely exaggerated for propaganda purposes.: 0.3
The video evidence is inconclusive and needs further verification.: 0.25
The destruction of NATO-supplied equipment, if confirmed, would be a significant tactical victory for Russia.: 0.6
Russian soldiers captured a US-supplied Humvee.: 0.72
The captured Humvee is of little strategic importance.: 0.44
The video is likely intended for propaganda purposes.: 0.48
The US will assess Ukraine's willingness to make concessions to Russia during the upcoming Saudi Arabia meeting.: 0.88
US will increase pressure on Ukraine to negotiate.: 0.44
The Russian government claims 4800 Ukrainian casualties have been inflicted in the LPR.: 0.1
Two civilians have been killed, and seven injured due to Russian attacks in the Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhzhia, and Kharkiv regions.: 0.65
Russian forces may be using North Korean soldiers.: 0.1
Russian forces used fiber-optic controlled FPV drones.: 0.66
The video aims to create a narrative of Ukrainian military success.: 0.48
The video is part of a coordinated information warfare campaign to undermine support for Ukraine.: 0.32
The video seeks to weaken international coalition unity by creating doubts about Western allies' motivations.: 0.08
Russian forces are consolidating their control in the Kursk Oblast region and preparing for a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive.: 0.83
The map is intentionally designed to overstate Russian gains and demoralize Ukrainian forces and their allies.: 0.27
: 0.1
Ukrainian forces are actively contesting control in the 'grey zone' settlements, leading to a fluid and dynamic front line.: 0.04
Russian airborne units are clearing forests and strongholds in the direction of Dmitryukov Makhnovka.: 0.5
Active assault operations near Melovoye, Ivashkovsky, Guyevo, and Makhnovka.: 0.5
Europe is searching for a Starlink alternative.: 0.6
Russia may be using a gas pipeline near Sudzha.: 0.4
Russian forces captured Ivashkovsky.: 0.88
Russian naval forces are operating in the Black Sea: 0.5
2 Shahed drones were destroyed overnight.: 0.7
Russia shot down 9 drones over Russian regions.:
A Ukrainian drone was used in an attempt to down a Russian drone: 0.6
A Ukranian BMC Kirpi was captured.: 0.4
Guided Aerial Bomb launch on Kharkiv.: 0.8
40 people were injured in an attack in Velikie Kopany.: 0.7
Russia destroyed a drone control center in Zaporizhzhia.: 0.78
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed: 0.68
A bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of
Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Mal
RUSSIAN FORCES APPEAR TO HAVE CAPTURED SUDZHA**, with *MULTIPLE
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to
School in Desnyan district, Kyiv damaged by debris.: 0.94
