Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 18, 2025, 01:31 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (01:01 UTC - 01:31 UTC)

1. CONFIRMED RUSSIAN GUIDED AERIAL BOMB ATTACKS ON NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (01:03 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation in the north of Kharkiv Oblast.

   • РБК-Україна (01:03 UTC): Confirms the same, citing the Air Force.

   • Assessment: This CONFIRMS RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES using GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS in NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST. This is a CONTINUATION of PREVIOUS RUSSIAN TACTICS, targeting UKRAINIAN POSITIONS and potentially INFRASTRUCTURE.

2. CLAIMED RUSSIAN DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN SELF-PROPELLED HOWITZER (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE, VIDEO EVIDENCE):

   • Воин DV (01:03 UTC): Provides video claiming to show the destruction of a Ukrainian 152-mm 2S3 "Akatsiya" self-propelled howitzer (SPH) using a "Lancet" loitering munition in the Kupyansk direction.

   • Assessment: The video APPEARS TO SHOW a SUCCESSFUL STRIKE on an ARTILLERY PIECE, CONSISTENT WITH THE CLAIM. However, INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is REQUIRED to CONFIRM the TYPE OF ARTILLERY, the LOCATION, and that it was UKRAINIAN. If CONFIRMED, this represents a TACTICAL LOSS for UKRAINE and DEMONSTRATES RUSSIAN CAPABILITY to TARGET AND DESTROY UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY using LOITERING MUNITIONS.

3. REPORTED RUSSIAN STRIKE ON OIL DEPOT IN ORELSKOE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE, PHOTO EVIDENCE):

   • АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (01:04 UTC): Reports a Russian strike on an oil depot in Orelskoe, northeast of Dnipro. Provides photos showing a large fire and smoke plume. Claims the fire is visible from Dnipro. Provides coordinates: 48°35'38"N 34°49'21"E.

   • Assessment: The PHOTOS SUPPORT THE CLAIM of a LARGE FIRE, CONSISTENT WITH A STRIKE ON AN OIL DEPOT. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is REQUIRED to CONFIRM the TARGET and the CAUSE OF THE FIRE. If CONFIRMED, this is a SIGNIFICANT STRIKE, potentially IMPACTING UKRAINIAN FUEL SUPPLIES and LOGISTICS. The LOCATION, NORTHEAST OF DNIPRO, puts it RELATIVELY DEEP INSIDE UKRAINIAN-CONTROLLED TERRITORY.

4. CLAIMED FIRST FLIGHT OF SJ-100 WITH DOMESTIC RUSSIAN ENGINES (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Colonelcassad (01:05 UTC): Reports the first flight of an SJ-100 aircraft with domestically produced PD-8 engines in Komsomolsk-on-Amur.

   • Assessment: This is NOT DIRECTLY RELATED to the MILITARY SITUATION in UKRAINE, but INDICATES RUSSIAN EFFORTS to REDUCE RELIANCE ON WESTERN TECHNOLOGY in AVIATION.

5. REPORTED EMBEZZLEMENT BY KHABAROVSK POLICE (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

   • Полиция Хабаровского края (01:20 UTC): An accountant for a food sales company is being detained by the police for embezzling.

• Assessment: Needs to be investigated to see if it has any impact, direct or indirect, on military operations.

6. FINAL DRONE REPORTED HEADING TOWARDS CHERKASY (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • Nikolaevskiy Vanyok (01:22 UTC): Reports that the last drone from Kirovohrad Oblast is also heading towards Cherkasy. States that after the all-clear, people can sleep.

   • Assessment: This REINFORCES THE PREVIOUS REPORTS of a CONCENTRATED DRONE THREAT to CHERKASY. The IMPLICATION is that this is the LAST DRONE in this WAVE OF ATTACKS.

7. HAMAS CLAIM OF ISRAELI CEASEFIRE VIOLATION (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • ТАСС (01:22 UTC): Reports that a Hamas representative told Reuters that Israel unilaterally terminated the ceasefire agreement.

• ТАСС (01:24 UTC): Reports that the Trump administration was notified by Israel regarding Israeli strikes in the Gaza Strip.

*   **Assessment:** These reports are *RELATED TO THE ISRAEL-HAMAS CONFLICT*, *NOT DIRECTLY TO UKRAINE*.  However, they *COULD HAVE INDIRECT IMPLICATIONS* if they *LEAD TO INCREASED INSTABILITY* in the *MIDDLE EAST*, potentially *DIVERTING US ATTENTION AND RESOURCES*.

8. CURRENT ENEMY DRONE ACTIVITY (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

• Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (01:26 UTC): Currently, the enemy attack UAV is observed in the southeast of Cherkasy.

  • Assessment: This REINFORCES THE PREVIOUS REPORTS of a CONCENTRATED DRONE THREAT to CHERKASY.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • THE LARGE-SCALE, MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK CONTINUES. RENEWED AND CONTINUING THREAT to CHERKASY with PREVIOUS INTERCEPTION FAILURES.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES using GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS in NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST.
  • RUSSIAN CLAIM that "practically the entire territory of KURSK OBLAST has been liberated." URGENT VERIFICATION REQUIRED.

• RUSSIAN STRIKE ON OIL DEPOT IN ORELSKOE.

• CLAIMED RUSSIAN DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN SELF-PROPELLED HOWITZER.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • CAPTURED/DISABLED UKRAINIAN "BRADLEY" IFVS being TRANSPORTED.
  • RUSSIAN VIDEO claiming to show the ELIMINATION OF UKRAINIAN INFANTRY in KURSK OBLAST.
  • INCREASED US MILITARY ACTIVITY in the MIDDLE EAST.
  • ISRAEL RESUMES MILITARY OPERATIONS AGAINST HAMAS.

Updated Recommendations

1. COUNTER THE RENEWED DRONE THREAT TO CHERKASY (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • REINFORCE AIR DEFENSE ASSETS around CHERKASY, given the PREVIOUS FAILURES to INTERCEPT INCOMING DRONES.
   • DEPLOY COUNTER-DRONE MEASURES as AVAILABLE.
   • ISSUE/MAINTAIN WARNINGS to CIVILIANS in CHERKASY and SURROUNDING AREAS to SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
   • PRIORITIZE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
   • ANALYZE PREVIOUS INTERCEPTION FAILURES to IDENTIFY WEAKNESSES and IMPROVE DEFENSIVE TACTICS.

2. ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES IN NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • DEPLOY AIR DEFENSE ASSETS to NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST to COUNTER THE THREAT of GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS.
   • ASSESS THE DAMAGE caused by the AIRSTRIKES.
   • PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to AFFECTED CIVILIANS.

3. VERIFY AND ASSESS THE REPORTED STRIKE ON THE OIL DEPOT IN ORELSKOE (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • USE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OTHER INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to CONFIRM THE STRIKE and ASSESS THE DAMAGE.
   • DETERMINE THE IMPACT on UKRAINIAN FUEL SUPPLIES and LOGISTICS.
   • CONSIDER POTENTIAL RESPONSE OPTIONS, including INCREASED AIR DEFENSES for SIMILAR FACILITIES.

4. VERIFY AND ASSESS THE CLAIMED DESTRUCTION OF THE UKRAINIAN SPH (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • ANALYZE THE VIDEO FOOTAGE in DETAIL.
   • USE OTHER INTELLIGENCE SOURCES to CONFIRM THE LOCATION AND CIRCUMSTANCES of the CLAIMED STRIKE.
   • ASSESS THE IMPACT on UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY CAPABILITIES in the KUPYANSK DIRECTION.

5. ANALYZE THE CAPTURED "BRADLEY" IFVS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • GATHER INTELLIGENCE to DETERMINE THE LOCATION AND CIRCUMSTANCES of the CAPTURE/DISABLEMENT.
   • ASSESS THE DAMAGE to the IFVS to UNDERSTAND THE WEAPONS USED AGAINST THEM.
   • ANALYZE THE IMPLICATIONS for UKRAINIAN ARMORED OPERATIONS.

6. VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS IN KURSK OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION) (UNCHANGED).

7. ANALYZE RUSSIAN VIDEO FOOTAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION) (UNCHANGED).

8. MONITOR US MILITARY ACTIVITY IN THE MIDDLE EAST (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION) (UNCHANGED).

9. INVESTIGATE THE NEW REPORTS (LOW PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

• Embezzlement
• HAMAS

The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The CONTINUED DRONE ATTACK, particularly the RENEWED THREAT TO CHERKASY, requires IMMEDIATE AND FOCUSED ACTION. The CONFIRMED AIRSTRIKES in NORTHERN KHARKIV OBLAST and the REPORTED STRIKE ON THE OIL DEPOT represent SIGNIFICANT ESCALATIONS. VERIFICATION of CLAIMS and CONTINUOUS MONITORING remain PARAMOUNT.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

• Enemy UAV is conducting reconnaissance in southeastern Cherkasy region.: 0.48
• Enemy UAV is preparing to strike a target in southeastern Cherkasy region.: 0.24
• Enemy UAV is transiting southeastern Cherkasy region en route to another location.: 0.08
• The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.76
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.999999999999999999999999
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
• The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
• Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
• Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
• 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
• Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
• Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
• Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk direction, the AFU losses amounted to more than 66,270 troops, 389 tanks, 307 infantry fighting vehicles, 269 armoured personnel carriers, 2,173 armoured fighting vehicles, 2,383 motor vehicles, 539 artillery guns, 52 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and seven
• Robotic platforms with RPGs, AGS grenade launchers, and a heavy machine gun were deployed by the 1st Slavic Brigade.: 0.99999999999999999999
• Two children (ages 2 and 15) are among 12 injured in Kryvyi Rih.: 0.99999999999999999
• Up to 2,000 Ukrainian soldiers requested to surrender.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999
• A strike happened in Ilyichevsk.: 0.9999999999999999
• Security advisors from Germany, France, and the UK have urgently departed for Washington for talks.: 0.999999999999999
• Russian forces reportedly made advances in the Novopavlovskoe/Bogatyrskoe direction.: 0.999999999999999
• One was killed and three women injured in a Russian strike on Kherson.: 0.99999999999999999
• Ukraine and Russia both agreed to a ceasefire.: 0.999999999999999
• There are power outages in Sumy.: 0.999999999999999
• There is reported drone activity in Orel, Russia.: 0.99999999999
• Chornomorsk is completely without power.: 0.99999999999999
• Air raid alert ended in Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.72
• Drone threat to Kyiv.: 0.999999999999999999
• Russian forces captured Zagryzovo.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
• Lukashenko is attempting to connect with the common populace by using crude humor.: 0.48
• The event is a routine domestic political gathering with no immediate military implications.: 0.24
• : 0.2
• Lukashenko is signaling to his government officials the importance of understanding the work of agricultural workers.: 0.08
• The EU will not stop supplying Ukraine with weapons in the event of a 30-day ceasefire: 0.8
• A large drone attack from the Black Sea is heading toward Odesa: 0.6
• Russian forces captured Zagryzovo in the Kharkiv region: 0.78
• New corruption episodes may be discovered in the case of ex-Deputy Defense Minister Timur Ivanov: 0.8