Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 17, 2025, 06:31 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (06:01 UTC - 06:31 UTC)
CONFIRMED EXTENSIVE UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS ACROSS RUSSIA (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
TASS (06:09 UTC): Reports that Russian air defenses shot down 22 drones overnight.
TASS (06:11 UTC): Reports a total of 72 drones shot down since 6:20 PM on March 16, including 36 over Kursk Oblast, 13 over Astrakhan Oblast, 7 over Oryol Oblast, 4 over Volgograd Oblast, 3 each over Bryansk Oblast, Rostov Oblast, and Kalmykia, 2 over Krasnodar Krai, and 1 over Tula Oblast.
Два майора (06:17 UTC): Summarizes the same information, specifying the time frame (6:20 PM March 16 - 7:00 AM March 17) and regions.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (06:22 UTC): Reports that Russian air defenses had shot down 22 drones and a total of 72 since 6:20 PM.
AV БогомаZ (06:16 UTC): Claims three drones shot down over Bryansk Oblast.
РБК-Україна (6:10): Confirms the Drone attacks, and reports that Ukranian forces destroyed 25 drones near Kyiv.
KMBA (06:06 UTC): Confirms that 25 drones were shot down near Kyiv out of 37.
Оперативний ЗСУ (6:12): Confirms that 25 drones were shot down near Kyiv out of 37.
Assessment: This indicates a MASSIVE, COORDINATED UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACK targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS DEEP WITHIN RUSSIA. The SCALE of the ATTACK is UNPRECEDENTED. This represents a MAJOR ESCALATION by UKRAINE, demonstrating its CAPABILITY to PROJECT POWERDEEP INTO RUSSIAN TERRITORY. The specific regions TARGETED are very STRATEGIC: ASTRAKHAN is known for the previous report's attack, KRASNODAR KRAI is near Crimea and contains strategic naval and air force bases, ROSTOV OBLAST is a major logistical hub, and ORYOL and TULA OBLASTS are RELATIVELY CLOSE TO MOSCOW.
US WITHDRAWAL FROM WAR CRIMES INVESTIGATION GROUP (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Оперативний ЗСУ (06:17 UTC): Reports that the US is withdrawing from the group investigating Russian responsibility for the invasion of Ukraine, citing NYT.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (06:28 UTC): Reports the same, attributing it to the Trump administration's refusal to hold Putin accountable.
STERNENKO (06:28 UTC): Reports the same, stating that the decision will be announced today.
Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (6:30 UTC): Reports that the US will be withdrawing from the international group investigating Russian war crimes.
ТАСС (06:18): The United States will withdraw from the international center for the “investigation” of Russian actions during a special operation in Ukraine, the NYT reports.
Assessment: This is a MAJOR POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT. The US WITHDRAWAL from the INVESTIGATION GROUP significantly WEAKENS INTERNATIONAL EFFORTS to HOLD RUSSIA ACCOUNTABLE for WAR CRIMES. This is a SIGNIFICANT VICTORY for RUSSIA and a SETBACK for UKRAINE.
CONTINUED FIGHTING IN KURSK AND KHARKIV OBLASTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (06:01 UTC, I can only see the initial text, not the content): Reports continued fighting in Kursk Oblast, mentioning Guev, Kurilovka, Sverdlikovo, and Basovka (Sumy Oblast). Claims Ukrainian forces are withdrawing via forest paths and burning abandoned equipment. States that fighting is ongoing in Gogolevka.
Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (06:24 UTC): Reports on attacks in Kharkiv Oblast, including a Shahed drone strike on a civilian enterprise in Kam'yana Yaruga, causing a large fire. Reports guided bomb attacks on Kup'yansk and Velyka Shapka, causing damage and casualties.
Assessment: This confirms CONTINUED FIGHTING on the KURSK-SUMY BORDER and in KHARKIV OBLAST. The REPORTED UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL from SOME AREAS in KURSK OBLAST suggests RUSSIAN ADVANCES. The GUIDED BOMB ATTACKS on CIVILIAN AREAS in KHARKIV OBLAST highlight the ONGOING THREAT to CIVILIANS.
Kotsnews (06:06 UTC): Cites Bloomberg and The Times, reporting on a potential US-Ukraine meeting in Saudi Arabia and a proposed Ukrainian ceasefire offer. Claims that Russia has rejected an immediate ceasefire and demands demilitarization, no Western military aid, and Ukraine's non-alignment.
Assessment:UKRAINE and the US are NEGOTIATING in SAUDI ARABIA. This SUGGESTS an ATTEMPT to FIND A DIPLOMATIC SOLUTION, but RUSSIA'S DEMANDS make a NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENTUNLIKELY.
OTHER:
Басурин о главном (6:00): Reports that voice of america has been shut down.
Assessment: This confirms previous reports of defunding media.
Kotsnews (6:06): Talks about the current media situation and the Russian elections.
Assessment: Irrelevant to the military situation.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (6:06): Reports that NATO will not accept Ukraine as part of a peace agreement.
Assessment:NOTHING HAS CHANGED.
РБК-Україна (06:20 UTC): Reports on an interview with Andriy Sybiha, head of the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, discussing the meeting with the American delegation in Jeddah, preparations for a truce, and the reaction from Russia. Claims that Russia has not yet given an official response to the ceasefire proposal and has no right to impose any conditions.
* Assessment:NOTHING HAS CHANGED.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
MASSIVE, COORDINATED UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACK targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS DEEP WITHIN RUSSIA. The SCALE of the ATTACK is UNPRECEDENTED.
HIGH PRIORITY:
US WITHDRAWAL from the WAR CRIMES INVESTIGATION GROUP. This is a MAJOR POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT.
POTENTIAL TRUMP-PUTIN CONVERSATION ON MARCH 18TH, with discussion of "land" and "power plants" as potential concessions.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
CONTINUED FIGHTING reported around DZHERZHYNSK (TORETSK), with RUSSIAN FORCES reportedly ATTEMPTING TO ENCIRCLE UKRAINIAN POSITIONS near STAROMYKOLAIVKA.
CONTINUED POWER OUTAGES reported in POLTAVA OBLAST due to FALLING DEBRIS.
CONTINUED FIGHTING on the KURSK-SUMY BORDER and in KHARKIV OBLAST.
POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN CEASEFIRE OFFER, reportedly REJECTED by RUSSIA.
LOW PRIORITY:
HIGHLY INFLATED RUSSIAN CLAIMS of UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES in the LPR.
Updated Recommendations
ADDRESS THE DRONE ATTACKS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
ASSESS THE DAMAGE caused by the DRONE ATTACKS across RUSSIA.
DETERMINE THE IMPACT on RUSSIAN MILITARY CAPABILITIES and INFRASTRUCTURE.
PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL RUSSIAN RETALIATION, including INCREASED AIR DEFENSE READINESS across UKRAINE and REINFORCEMENT OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION.
DEVELOP A PUBLIC INFORMATION STRATEGY to ADDRESS the INCIDENT and PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL INTERNATIONAL REPERCUSSIONS. This is EVEN MORE CRITICAL given the SCALE of the ATTACK.
ADDRESS THE US WITHDRAWAL FROM THE INVESTIGATION GROUP (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
URGENTLY SEEK CLARIFICATION from the US GOVERNMENT on the REASONS for the WITHDRAWAL.
ASSESS THE IMPACT on INTERNATIONAL EFFORTS to HOLD RUSSIA ACCOUNTABLE for WAR CRIMES.
DEVELOP A STRATEGY to MITIGATE THE NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES, including STRENGTHENING COOPERATION with OTHER INTERNATIONAL PARTNERS.
EXPLORE ALTERNATIVE AVENUES for INVESTIGATING and PROSECUTING WAR CRIMES.
ADDRESS THE POTENTIAL TRUMP-PUTIN CONVERSATION (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Maintain all other recommendations.
ADDRESS THE SITUATION AROUND DZHERZHYNSK (TORETSK) (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Maintain all previous recommendations.
ADDRESS THE POLTAVA POWER OUTAGES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
RESTORE POWER to AFFECTED AREAS as QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE.
ASSESS THE CAUSE of the FALLING DEBRIS.
ADDRESS THE FIGHTING IN KURSK AND KHARKIV OBLASTS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
CONTINUE MONITORING the SITUATION on the KURSK-SUMY BORDER and in KHARKIV OBLAST.
PROVIDE SUPPORT to CIVILIANS affected by the FIGHTING.
REINFORCE DEFENSES in VULNERABLE AREAS.
ANALYZE THE POTENTIAL CEASEFIRE OFFER (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ANALYSIS):
GATHER MORE INFORMATION about the PROPOSED CEASEFIRE OFFER and RUSSIA'S RESPONSE.
ASSESS THE PROSPECTS for a NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT.
DISREGARD THE INFLATED RUSSIAN CASUALTY CLAIMS (LOW PRIORITY, NO ACTION).
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation is now EVEN MORE CRITICAL due to the UNPRECEDENTED SCALE of the UKRAINIAN DRONE ATTACKS across RUSSIA and the US WITHDRAWAL from the WAR CRIMES INVESTIGATION GROUP. IMMEDIATE ACTION is required to ADDRESS THESE DEVELOPMENTS and MITIGATE THEIR NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES. The potential TRUMP-PUTIN CONVERSATION adds a NEW LAYER OF POLITICAL UNCERTAINTY.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
-The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 1.0
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 1.0
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.99999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.88
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999999
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.999999999999999999999999
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.63
Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATIONS IN KHARKIV REGION: 0.67
Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Shevchenko: 0.55
Russia is attempting to destroy Ukrainian UAV control centers in the Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.55
Russian forces claim Malaya Loknya is completely under their control.: 0.98
Reports of captured Ukrainian soldiers in the area of CHERKASSKOE PORECHNOE.: 0.99999999999999
4 attacks were made near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
The enemy is attempting to advance in BILOHORIVKA, FEDORIVKA and VERKHNOKAMYANSKE.: 0.9
89 enemy casualties were sustained (42 deaths) near VOVCHANSK.: 0.9
Russian forces liberated LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
Russian infantry attack with sapper-assault group undermined a Ukrainian position in the center of LEBEDEVKA.: 0.9
There was a Russian advance of over 600 meters in an easterly direction in LEBEDEVKA.: 0.8
Russian airstrikes took place in MALA VOVCHA.: 0.9
Clashes took place in the following areas: LOZOVA, PETROPAVLIVKA, STEPOVA NOVOSELIVKA, BOHUSLAVKA (Kupyansk axis); NOVE, *H
Troop morale is being boosted by the presence of cats.: 0.48
The cats are located near a temporary military base or operating area.: 0.24
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
