Nightwatch logo
'Nightwatch' text with white and gray letters
Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-14 00:27:53Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-13 23:57:48Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 14, 2025, 00:26 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (23:57 UTC - 00:26 UTC)

  1. KURSK OBLAST ECONOMIC DAMAGE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ТАСС (00:01:58 UTC): Video interview with acting Governor of Kursk Oblast, Aleksandr Khinshtein, stating the region's economy has suffered significantly from the "invasion" and will feel the full impact later. He emphasizes reliance on federal support.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS significant ECONOMIC DISRUPTION in KURSK OBLAST due to the ongoing military operations. It highlights the REGION'S DEPENDENCE on FEDERAL ASSISTANCE, which could become a VULNERABILITY if federal resources are strained. The statement serves both to ACKNOWLEDGE THE SEVERITY of the situation and to REINFORCE the narrative of CENTRAL GOVERNMENT CONTROL.
  2. RUSSIAN EXPERT OPINION ON SUDZHA (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ТАСС (00:11:05 UTC): Military expert Andrey Marochko claims Ukrainian forces lack the strength to retake Sudzha after their losses.
    • Assessment: This is a PROPAGANDA STATEMENT intended to REINFORCE the narrative of RUSSIAN SUCCESS and UKRAINIAN WEAKNESS. While UKRAINIAN FORCES in the area have likely suffered SIGNIFICANT LOSSES, this statement DOES NOT PROVIDE OBJECTIVE EVIDENCE of their INABILITY TO COUNTERATTACK. It should be treated with CAUTION.
  3. TAJIKISTAN-KYRGYZSTAN BORDER AGREEMENT (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Colonelcassad (00:16:06 UTC) Reports that Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan have settled their border dispute.
    • Assessment: The situation is unrelated to Ukraine.
  4. RUSSIAN DUMA COMPLAINT ON DRIVER FINES (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • TASS (00:17:49 UTC) States that there is a complaint about the rise of driver fines.
    • Assessment: The situation is unrelated to Ukraine.
  5. SOCHI AIRPORT TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ТАСС (00:23:18 UTC): Reports temporary restrictions at Sochi airport.
    • Assessment: This could be due to a NUMBER OF FACTORS, including WEATHER, MAINTENANCE, or SECURITY CONCERNS. Given the ONGOING DRONE THREATS, a PRECAUTIONARY MEASURE related to SECURITY is PLAUSIBLE, but NOT CONFIRMED. Further information is needed.
  6. GREENLAND LEADERS CONDEMN TRUMP STATEMENTS (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • РБК-Україна (00:25:24 UTC): Reports Greenland's acting Prime Minister and potential next Prime Minister strongly condemn recent statements by US President Trump regarding control of the island. Danish defense committee head raises concern about potential war between NATO allies.
    • Assessment: This is a GEOPOLITICAL DEVELOPMENT with NO DIRECT IMPACT on the MILITARY SITUATION IN UKRAINE. However, it HIGHLIGHTS the POTENTIAL FOR STRAINED RELATIONS between the US and its ALLIES, which could have INDIRECT, LONG-TERM CONSEQUENCES for INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION and SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY: Remains unchanged.

    • REPORTED INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC BLOCKADE OF RUSSIA.
    • UKRAINIAN FORCES REPORTEDLY IN FULL RETREAT from the KURSK REGION.
    • RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CONTINUES IN KURSK AND SUMY REGIONS.
  • HIGH PRIORITY: Remains unchanged.

    • US RESUMING SUPPLY OF MODIFIED GLSDB BOMBS TO UKRAINE.
    • INTENSE FIGHTING CONTINUES ON MULTIPLE FRONTS.
    • CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKE IN KHARKIV.
    • US PREPARES TO SEND GLSDB INSTEAD OF ATACMS.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • CONTINUED DRONE ACTIVITY.
    • RUSSIAN EVACUATIONS from SUDZHA.
    • CONTINUED DRONE WARFARE ON THE ZAPORIZHZHIA FRONT.
    • US VICE PRESIDENT STATES TRUMP'S OPPOSITION TO NUCLEAR WEAPONS SPREAD IN EASTERN EUROPE.
    • CONFIRMED ECONOMIC DAMAGE IN KURSK OBLAST due to military operations, with reliance on federal support.
    • RUSSIAN EXPERT CLAIMS UKRAINIAN FORCES UNABLE TO RETAKE SUDZHA (requires cautious interpretation).
    • TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS AT SOCHI AIRPORT (reason requires confirmation).
  • LOW PRIORITY:

    • TAJIKISTAN-KYRGYZSTAN BORDER AGREEMENT (unrelated to Ukraine).
  • Complaint about Driver fines (Unrelated to Ukraine).

    • GREENLAND LEADERS CONDEMN TRUMP STATEMENTS (limited indirect relevance).

Updated Recommendations

All previous recommendations remain valid. The new information adds the following:

  1. MONITOR KURSK OBLAST ECONOMIC SITUATION (MEDIUM PRIORITY):

    • Gather intelligence on the SPECIFIC ECONOMIC IMPACTS in KURSK OBLAST, including DISRUPTIONS TO SUPPLY CHAINS, DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE, and IMPACT ON LOCAL INDUSTRIES.
    • Assess the EFFECTIVENESS OF FEDERAL SUPPORT and the POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED DEPENDENCE.
    • Monitor for any signs of SOCIAL UNREST or DISCONTENT related to the ECONOMIC SITUATION.
  2. INVESTIGATE SOCHI AIRPORT RESTRICTIONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY):

    • Determine the REASON for the TEMPORARY RESTRICTIONS at SOCHI AIRPORT.
    • If related to SECURITY CONCERNS, assess the NATURE OF THE THREAT and take APPROPRIATE PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES.
  3. MONITOR US-ALLIED RELATIONS (LOW PRIORITY):

    • Track developments in the RELATIONSHIP between the US and GREENLAND/DENMARK.
    • Assess the POTENTIAL IMPACT on BROADER INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, including SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE.

The overall situation remains unchanged, with a confirmed international blockade of Russia, the Ukrainian forces in retreat, and the Russian offensive continuing. The addition of the statement regarding nuclear weapons by the US vice president does not change the situation. The REPORTED ECONOMIC BLOCKADE OF RUSSIA, if TRUE, remains the MOST SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. The UKRAINIAN RETREAT in the KURSK REGION and the RESUMPTION OF GLSDB SUPPLIES are also KEY FACTORS to MONITOR.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.999999999999999999999
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.74
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.44
  • Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
  • Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
  • Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
  • Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
  • Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
  • Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
  • UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
  • Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
  • The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
  • Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
  • Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
  • Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
  • The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
  • Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
  • An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
  • Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
  • A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
  • The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
  • The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
  • The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
  • A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
  • Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
  • The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
  • Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
  • There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
  • Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
  • Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
  • Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
  • Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
  • Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
  • Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
  • Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
  • Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
  • Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
  • The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
  • Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
  • Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
  • Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
  • The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
  • The agreement includes prisoner exchanges and the return of Ukrainian children.: 0.64
  • Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
  • A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
  • Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
  • Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
  • Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
  • Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
  • Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
  • Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
  • Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
  • The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.6
  • Russian attacks in the Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhzhia, and Kharkiv regions. 2 civilians killed and 7 wounded.: 0.65
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Sumy region.: 0.999999999999995
  • Ukraine confirms that they are retreating in the Kursk Region.: 0.99999999999
  • Ukraine claims that the retreat from the Kursk region has a purpose.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are being deployed to Chasiv Yar.: 0.88
  • The Russian MoD confirms the liberation of Novomarkovo and Dniproenergiya.: 0.98
  • Russian airborne troops raised the flag over Kazachya Loknya.: 0.88
  • Four people were killed, and two injured, in an animal feed factory in Kursk.: 0.999999999
  • The attack on the animal feed factory was done by Ukrainian forces.: 0.8
  • Russian forces are utilizing drones to attack individual targets.: 0.75
  • An investigation will occur concerning the bodies in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye.: 0.8
  • Russia will use the bodies in Cherkasskoye Porechnoye for propaganda.: 0.6
  • Ukraine confirms they are retreating in the Kursk region: 0.9
  • Chinese navy ships are circling Australia unannounced: 0.9
  • There is a complete international blockade of major Russian banks: 0.9999999999
  • Ukrainian logistics have collapsed in the Kursk Region: 0.999999999
  • The US is preparing to send GLSDB to Ukraine.: 0.56
  • The US will not send ATACMS to Ukraine in the short term.: 0.16
  • The information about GLSDB being sent is false or misleading.: 0.08
  • Drone operators from the 70th Motorized Rifle Regiment are targeting Ukrainian vehicles.: 0.8
  • Drone warfare in the Zaporizhzhia region is effective.: 0.8
  • Israeli forces have struck strategic infrastructure in Lebanon.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using "Geran-2" drones to attack Kharkiv.: 0.9
  • Multiple drone strikes occurred across multiple regions of Kharkiv.: 0.8
  • Civilians were injured in the Kharkiv drone strikes.: 0.8
  • Infrastructure was damaged in Kharkiv.: 0.8
  • There is ongoing drone warfare in the Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.8
  • Israel is attacking Hezbollah.: 0.8
  • The Trump administration is enforcing additional restrictions against Russian oil, gas, and banking sectors.: 0.999999999
  • These restrictions make it more difficult for other countries to purchase Russian oil.: 0.9
  • These restrictions are meant to encourage Russia to accept the 30-day ceasefire: 0.7
  • The restrictions are the result of expiring exceptions introduced by Biden.: 0.8
  • The expiration blocks foreign companies from conducting transactions with Russian oil via Russian banks.: 0.9999999
  • The restrictions may lead to a spike in oil prices.: 0.68
  • FPV drones are destroying Ukrainian command posts, equipment, and personnel.: 0.6
  • Russian forces will continue to search for those who have committed crimes in the Kursk region.: 0.5
  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.88
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.9
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.999999999999999999999
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.85
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.5
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.85
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.74
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Av
Previous (2025-03-13 23:57:48Z)

We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.

Learn more in our Privacy Policy.