Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 13, 2025, 21:42 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (14:14 UTC - 21:42 UTC)
KURSK REGION: CONTINUED RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF CONTROL/ADVANCES (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (14:20 UTC): Claims a column of "Azov" militants was destroyed by Russian forces in the LPR. Claims army aviation and artillery strikes stopped the column, and drone operators finished off retreating groups and M113 armored personnel carriers.
Assessment: This REINFORCES previous RUSSIAN CLAIMS of SUCCESSES in the LPR and KURSK REGION. The CLAIM of DESTROYING M113s suggests UKRAINIAN LOSSES.
Colonelcassad (14:23 UTC): Video claiming to show Russian forces capturing Ukrainian militants in the Sudzhansky district of the Kursk region. Claims Russians are treating prisoners humanely.
Video Analysis: Shows Russian soldiers in a destroyed building, with one Ukrainian soldier visible, wounded.
Assessment: This FURTHER REINFORCESRUSSIAN CONTROL in the SUDZHANSKY DISTRICT.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (15:09 UTC): Claims Russian forces liberated Goncharovka after capturing Sudzha. Claims ongoing fighting near Basovka and attempts by Ukrainian forces to regain positions. Reports at least three Ukrainian attacks with armored vehicles and FPV drones.
Assessment:CONFIRMS PREVIOUS REPORTS of RUSSIAN ADVANCES and ONGOING FIGHTING near BASOVKA.
Басурин о главном (16:41 UTC): Claims Russian forces have launched a full-scale assault on Basovka in Sumy Oblast.
Assessment:CONTINUES RUSSIAN NARRATIVE of ADVANCES in SUMY OBLAST.
Старше Эдды (14:34 UTC): Claims to have visited Sudzha and spoken with locals who "experienced the occupation." Claims Ukrainian forces retreated quickly.
Assessment:CONTINUES RUSSIAN NARRATIVE of UKRAINIAN "OCCUPATION" and RAPID RETREAT.
Kotsnews (14:18, 16:11 UTC): Claims there will be no ceasefire, citing Putin's statements in Kursk about a security zone. Reports on a damaged M113 and other fighting.
Assessment:FURTHER CONFIRMATION of RUSSIAN REJECTION OF CEASEFIRE and INTENT to CREATE SECURITY ZONE.
ТАСС (14:22 UTC): Reports that Ukrainian forces are being withdrawn from near Kursk to a third line of defense in Sumy Oblast, citing Marochko.
Assessment:SUGGESTS a MAJOR UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWAL from the KURSK REGION.
ASTRA (14:15 UTC, multiple photos and reports): Reports three people injured in Ukrainian drone attacks in Belgorod Oblast. Claims FPV drone attacks in Oktyabrsky and another drone detonated in Dalny.
Assessment: Reports of casualties and new activity.
Два майора (14:19 UTC): Similar reports, claiming drone attacks on Belgorod Oblast, with three civilians injured.
Assessment: Reports of casualties and new activity.
ТАСС (14:14, 14:20, 14:22 UTC): Reports Russia imposing sanctions on members of the Council of Europe, Lavrov stating that US negotiators are "absolutely normal" but he won't discuss their public statements, and Marochko claiming Ukrainian forces are withdrawing from the Kursk area.
Assessment: This represents a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT that CONFIRMS DIRECT US-RUSSIA NEGOTIATIONS.
Басурин о главном (14:22 UTC): Claims that Ushakov stated a temporary ceasefire would be a "trick" to give Ukraine a break, and that Russia will choose its own negotiators for dialogue with the US on Ukraine.
* Assessment:REINFORCES RUSSIAN POSITION against a TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE and INSISTENCE on LONG-TERM SOLUTION.
Fighterbomber (14:36 UTC): Remarks that both Ushakov and Lavrov have called the US ceasefire proposal "complete nonsense".
Assessment: Further confirms Russia's refusal of a temporary ceasefire.
Zelenskiy / Official (16:02 UTC): Reports on a meeting with the leader of the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy, a member of the House of Representatives of the Netherlands, Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius. Reports discussing steps to achieve peace. Reports Zelenskyy said that Ukraine has supported the US proposal for a 30-day ceasefire.
Assessment: Confirms the US PROPOSAL FOR 30-DAY CEASEFIRE from a UKRAINIAN SOURCE.
STERNENKO (15:44 UTC): Reports that the US Treasury Secretary stated that the Trump administration is ready to impose the toughest sanctions against Russia if necessary for the success of negotiations on Ukraine.
Assessment: This represents a SHIFT in US POLICY and SIGNALS INCREASED PRESSURE on RUSSIA.
STERNENKO (15:46 UTC): Reports Putin stating he agrees with the US proposal to cease hostilities, but it must lead to long-term peace.
Assessment: This seems to be in agreement with prior reports.
STERNENKO (15:55 UTC): Reports Putin's demands for the 30-day ceasefire, including no mobilization, training, or weapons for Ukraine.
Assessment: Reinforces earlier information.
РБК-Україна (14:24 UTC): Reports that the head of the IAEA said that the situation with nuclear safety at the Zaporizhzhia NPP is unstable.
Assessment: Adds the situation at ZNPP to the negotiations.
РБК-Україна (15:12 UTC): Reports that Starmer said Putin will break the peace agreement if Ukraine is left without security guarantees.
Assessment: Adds to the skepticism of any ceasefire.
РБК-Україна (15:18 UTC): Reports that Putin will meet with Whitkoff in a closed format.
Assessment: This is a follow-up meeting.
РБК-Україна (16:50 UTC): Reports that Ukraine outlined its red lines at a meeting with the US in Jeddah, including no restrictions on the army and no prohibitions on participation in the EU and NATO.
Assessment: This shows the boundaries of Ukrainian negotiation position.
РБК-Україна (17:03 UTC): Reports that the issue of any territorial concessions was not raised at the meeting in Jeddah.
Assessment: This shows the boundaries of Ukrainian negotiation position.
РБК-Україна (17:04 UTC): Reports that Ukraine proposed signing an agreement with the US on mineral resources in Saudi Arabia.
Assessment: Shows Ukraine trying to find a way to negotiate.
ТАСС (14:49, 14:50, 15:17, 15:23, 15:25, 15:29, 15:31, 15:39, 15:42 UTC): Reports on various topics, including: Putin and Lukashenko concluding talks, the agreement on mutual security between Russia and Belarus entering into force, Russia continuing its course on technological sovereignty, Russia negotiating the return of some foreign companies, Putin thanking Trump for his attention to the Ukraine situation, and the potential for Russia and Belarus to participate in local elections.
ТАСС (16:41 UTC): Reports that the US is saying that it wants to complete the Ukrainian conflict before engaging in a new strategic course of cooperation with Russia.
Assessment: This is Russia's stated position.
ТАСС (16:48, 16:49, 17:00 UTC): Reports that Trump would be happy to meet and talk with Putin, that US negotiators are having "serious discussions" in Russia, and that the US is discussing with Ukraine which territories it will keep and lose.
Assessment: This demonstrates that a meeting between Trump and Putin is a possibility.
ASTRA (17:04 UTC): Reports that Trump said "I hope to meet and talk with Putin."
Assessment: This demonstrates that a meeting between Trump and Putin is a possibility.
ASTRA (17:15 UTC): Reports that Trump said "I think it will happen," regarding the annexation of Greenland.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (14:45 UTC): Reports that Lavrov said Ukraine is lying.
Assessment: This represents Russia's negotiation position.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (15:18 UTC): Reports that the meeting between Whitkoff and Putin will take place tonight in a closed format.
Assessment: This confirms the meeting.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (15:45 UTC): Reports that the agreement on security guarantees within the framework of the Union State of Russia and Belarus has entered into force.
Assessment: This is an important update.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:26 UTC): Reports that Starmer said Putin will break the peace agreement if Ukraine is left without security guarantees.
Assessment: This statement adds to the skepticism.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:37 UTC): Reports that Putin is proud that he took his own city of Sudzha, and claims it will be practically impossible to establish control over the cessation of fire.
Assessment: This reflects the difficulty in establishing a ceasefire.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:42 UTC): Reports that Russia will negotiate the next steps to end the conflict based on the situation on the ground.
* Assessment: This reflects Russia's intentions.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:46 UTC): Reports that Le Monde claims that Ukraine may withdraw its troops from the Kursk region under pressure from the US.
* Assessment: This reflects Ukraine's possible actions.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (16:47 UTC): Reports that Trump wants a ceasefire from Russia.
Assessment: This represents Trump's position.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:11 UTC): Reports that Trump thinks the annexation of Greenland will happen.
Assessment: This demonstrates Trump's thought process.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:12 UTC): Reports that Ukraine already knows which territories Russia will take.
Assessment: This reflects the negotiation position.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:19 UTC): Reports that Trump doesn't think Russia will attack US allies.
* Assessment: This demonstrates Trump's position.
Басурин о главном (14:22 UTC): Reports, citing Ushakov, that the US offer for a temporary ceasefire is an attempt to provide a break to the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Russia will choose its own negotiators to talk with the US about Ukraine.
Assessment: This reflects Russian position and intentions.
РБК-Україна (21:09 UTC): Reports that Kellogg was removed from participation in high-level peace talks at the request of the Kremlin due to being "too pro-Ukrainian," according to NBC News.
Assessment: Confirms that Russia can influence who represents the US in these talks, adding complexity to the negotiation process.
ТАСС (21:16 UTC): Reports that the EU will not lift sanctions on Fridman, despite the court decision, according to Bloomberg.
Assessment: This might be connected to the peace talks, though the connection is not stated explicitly.
OTHER CLAIMED/REPORTED MILITARY ACTIONS (MIXED RELIABILITY):
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (14:18 UTC): Reports 84 enemy attacks on Ukrainian positions, most active on the Pokrovsk and Toretsk directions. Reports on fighting in various locations, including near Vovchansk, Holubivka, Bohuslavka, Yampolivka, Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Druzhba, and numerous settlements on the Pokrovsk direction. Reports ongoing fighting in the Kursk region, with 18 enemy airstrikes and 106 artillery shellings.
Assessment:CONFIRMS INTENSE FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS, particularly on the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
MoD Russia (14:18 UTC): Video claiming a Zemledeliye system remotely mined approaches to Russian positions in the Krasnoarmeysk direction, thwarting a Ukrainian counterattack and destroying armored vehicles.
Assessment: This is a claim of a defensive operation.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (14:18 UTC): Video claiming Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian tank, a Nona self-propelled gun, an antenna, and a radar station.
Assessment: This represents a potential significant loss for Russia.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (14:20 UTC): Claims Russian forces destroyed a column of "Azov" militants in the LPR, using army aviation, artillery, and drones. Claims the column was using US-supplied M113 armored personnel carriers.
Assessment: Claims of significant damage.
STERNENKO (14:23 UTC): Claims Ukrainian forces are working to eliminate enemy troops.
Assessment: Propaganda.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (14:18 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the Sumy region.
Assessment: Reports of continued air strikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (14:37 UTC): Reports a rocket threat in the Kharkiv region.
Assessment: Indicates imminent rocket attacks.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (14:39 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the Kharkiv region.
Assessment: Indicates continued air strikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (14:47 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on the Donetsk region.
Assessment: Indicates continued air strikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (17:47 UTC): Reports a threat of attack UAVs in the Kharkiv region.
Assessment: Imminent drone attacks.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (18:45 UTC): Reports enemy tactical aviation activity in the north-eastern direction with a threat of airstrikes in the frontline areas.
Assessment: Possible preparation for airstrikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (19:17 UTC): Reports enemy tactical aviation activity in the eastern direction with a threat of airstrikes in the frontline areas.
Assessment: Possible preparation for airstrikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (19:30 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Sumy and Kharkiv region.
Assessment: Indicates continued airstrikes.
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (20:03 UTC): Reports launches of guided aerial bombs by enemy tactical aviation on Donetsk region.
Assessment: Indicates continued airstrikes.
ASTRA (14:47 UTC): Reports eight people injured in Russian shelling of Konstantinovka and Pokrovsk in the Donetsk region.
Assessment: New reports of casualties.
MoD Russia (14:48 UTC): Claims that FPV drones of the separate reconnaissance unit operating as a force of the 20th Motorised Infantry Division (Yug Group of Forces) lay waste to CPs, materiel, and manpower of the AFU.
Assessment: Claims of destruction.
MoD Russia (15:49 UTC): Claims the Military Automobile Inspection of the Tsentr Group of Forces trained to fight sabotage and reconnaissance groups.
Assessment: This is routine training.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (14:58 UTC): Reports that groups of Russian and North Korean soldiers are attacking marines on the border of Sumy Oblast.
Assessment: This could indicate an intensification of operations in the region.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (15:34 UTC): Reports that a Ukrainian drone caused a Russian soldier to rocket out of a well.
Assessment: Propaganda video.
Военкор Котенок (14:34 UTC): Claims that the Russian Armed Forces used a FAB with UMPK against Ukrainian positions in the Kurilovka area of the Kursk region.
Военкор Котенок (16:48 UTC): Claims that Russian forces advanced in the plantings near Kamenskoye, taking about 5 square kilometers.
Военкор Котенок (16:49 UTC): Claims that Russian forces liberated the villages of Zaoleshenka and Rubanshchina and are fighting for Basovka.
Assessment: This would represent a significant advancement.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (15:14 UTC): Reports on fighting in the Chasov Yar area, claiming Russian advances and heavy Ukrainian drone use.
Assessment: Reports of heavy fighting.
Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (15:47 UTC): Reports that in Novomoskovsk, Dnipropetrovsk region, a traction substation was hit, stopping train movement. Reports hits in Dnipropetrovsk on a railway station, destroying three wagons with ammunition and equipment.
Assessment: Damage to logistics.
Сливочный каприз (17:42 UTC): Claims an attack by the Russian Armed Forces in the direction of Vasyukivka, with an advance of more than 700 meters.
Assessment: Claims of an advancement.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (14:51 UTC): Reports that rescuers, along with Russian soldiers, are evacuating people from the combat zone in the Kursk region, mainly elderly people.
Assessment: Confirms evacuation efforts.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (15:11 UTC): Reports from Sudzha, claiming that the enemy has been "pushed out."
Assessment: Further support of Russian victory in Sudzha.
OTHER:
Janus Putkonen (14:14 UTC): Reports a warning from the Russian leadership to Finland about its NATO membership.
Assessment:INCREASED TENSIONS between RUSSIA and FINLAND.
ТАСС (14:33 UTC): Reports Russia responding to the 16th EU sanctions package by expanding its "stop list" to include representatives of the Council of Europe.
Оперативний ЗСУ (14:18 UTC): Reports that the EU is not going to lift sanctions on Russia, and that a new package is being prepared.
Assessment:CONTINUED ECONOMIC PRESSURE on RUSSIA.
Оперативний ЗСУ (14:55 UTC): Reports that the Trump administration has asked the US military to develop options for seizing control of the Panama Canal.
Assessment: This would be a major world event.
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (14:19, multiple posts): Reports on cooperation between the Zaporizhzhia regional and city authorities and UNICEF on projects supporting children, youth, and social services, including water and heat supply, and child protection.
Assessment: Reports of humanitarian aid.
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (14:59 UTC): Reports on the training of soldiers.
Assessment: Reports on the training of soldiers.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (14:50 UTC): Reports on Ukrainian development of aerostat-based drone countermeasures.
Assessment: Ukrainian development of new military technology.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (16:02 UTC): Reports on a raid near the Khmeimim air base.
Assessment: Reports of more combat in Syria.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (16:33 UTC): Reports that Putin commented on the proposed 30-day ceasefire.
Assessment: Further comments on the proposed ceasefire.
Alex Parker Returns (14:28 UTC): Claims that the US doesn't have free trade, but dumb trade, and that the whole world is ripping off the US.
Assessment: This reflects his views on trade.
ТАСС (14:16 UTC): Reports that Artem Dzyuba is happy to be called up to the Russian national team. (Irrelevant)
* Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (14:15 UTC): Video showing the inside of a Bradley Fighting Vehicle (BFV), with English markings.
Assessment: Confirms Ukrainian forces are operating BFVs, which are advanced armored fighting vehicles supplied by Western nations.
* Офіс Генерального прокурора (15:00 UTC): Reports on the arrest of 9 members of a criminal organization in Zakarpattia Oblast involved in drug production and distribution.
* СТАРШЕ ЕДДЫ (15:27 UTC): Claims that the US Secretary of the Treasury is threatening Russia with unprecedented sanctions and that Trump is stating that he will increase pressure on both sides of the conflict to force a "pis dil."
Assessment: Reports on increasing pressure from the US.
СТАРШЕ ЕДДЫ (17:04 UTC): Reports that you have to listen to what the President of Russia said, and that he is saying that there will be no ceasefire.
* Assessment: Russian interpretation of Putin's statements.
РБК-Україна (14:37 UTC): Reports that the situation in the Kursk region is dynamic and changes literally every few hours.
* Assessment: Confirms the rapidly changing situation.
Kotsnews (17:02 UTC): Reports that a fighter was given a drone funded by donations.
Assessment: Morale boosting for Russian troops.
Kotsnews (15:59 UTC): Reports that Poland has refused to extradite a couple who filmed and distributed child pornography.
Два майора (14:29 UTC): Claims that "Australia has begun supplying military-technical assistance to the Armed Forces of Russia," referencing a captured Australian Bushmaster vehicle.
Assessment: Sarcastic commentary on a captured vehicle.
Рыбарь (14:31 UTC): Reports that Europeans want to create levers to participate directly in investment projects in Central Asia under the pretext of ecological necessity.
Assessment: Commentary on European policy.
Zelenskiy / Official (14:49 UTC): Reports on a meeting with representatives of the Turkish government and businesses. Reports discussing efforts to bring a fair and lasting peace, the development of bilateral relations, opportunities for cooperation in the production of various types of drones, and the participation of Turkish companies in the reconstruction of Ukraine. Reports that Ukraine views Turkey as one of its strategic partners and a partner for security guarantees.
Assessment: This indicates Ukraine's continued efforts to strengthen relationships with key allies.
Рыбарь (15:09 UTC): Reports on the migration situation in Russia.
Assessment: Commentary on Russian policy.
Старше Эдды (14:36 UTC): Comments that Lukashenko and Lavrov have said that the proposed 30 day ceasefire is a way for Ukraine to improve their fighting ability.
СТАРШЕ ЕДДЫ (15:13 UTC): Mirrors Рыбарь (15:09 UTC) on the migration situation in Russia.
СТАРШЕ ЕДДЫ (15:27 UTC): Claims that the US Secretary of the Treasury is threatening Russia with unprecedented sanctions and that Trump is stating that he will increase pressure on both sides of the conflict to force a "pis dil."
STERNENKO (17:16 UTC): Claims that the US has discussed with Ukraine the territories that Russia will keep.
Assessment: Reflects on the negotiation position.
РБК-Україна (15:37 UTC): Reports that Ukraine is ready to ratify the Free Trade Agreement with Turkey.
РБК-Україна (15:40 UTC): Reports that the US Treasury Secretary said that the Trump administration will not hesitate to raise sanctions against Russia to 10.
Assessment: Increasing economic pressure.
РБК-Україна (16:05 UTC): Reports that the Center for Countering Disinformation of Ukraine (CPD) denies reports that the US has excluded the issue of restoring Ukraine's 2014 or 2022 borders from negotiations.
Assessment: Reports on negotiations.
РБК-Україна (16:25 UTC): Reports that Sweden will purchase 18 Archer artillery systems and Arthur radars for Ukraine.
Assessment: Increasing military supplies for Ukraine.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (15:45 UTC): Reports that the agreement on security guarantees within the framework of the Union State of Russia and Belarus has entered into force.
Assessment: Indicates closer political and military ties between Russia and Belarus.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:11 UTC): Reports that Trump thinks the annexation of Greenland will happen.
Assessment: Suggests Trump's global policy view.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (17:12 UTC): Reports that Ukraine already knows which territories Russia will take.
Assessment: Suggests that part of negotiations may be over.
Басурин о главном (15:30 UTC): Reports that Finland will not send troops to Ukraine.
Assessment: Shows the level of support to Ukraine.
Fighterbomber (15:48 UTC): Reports that Putin said "We are for a ceasefire, but there are nuances."
Assessment: Restates Russian official position.
Fighterbomber (16:18 UTC): Reports that Putin emphasized the meeting with Lukashenko and stated that a formal declaration from President Putin is needed to cement any official response regarding ceasefire negotiations.
Assessment: Indicates Russia's commitment to Belarus.
Fighterbomber (16:42 UTC): Says that the ceasefire is a "normal transaction" and that Russia put forth their own proposal, as did the US. Says that now it is time to bargain.
Assessment: Further statement of Russia's position.
Военкор Котенок (17:11 UTC): Reports that the LDPR is coming up with proposals for remembering SVO soldiers.
Assessment: Attempt to boost Russian morale.
Военкор Котенок (17:31 UTC): Reports that Trump commented on today's statements by Vladimir Putin, saying: "Whitkoff is holding serious talks in Moscow, which are 'going well';" "Putin made a promising statement, but it 'was incomplete';" "Washington would like to see a ceasefire on the part of the Russian Federation;" "If Moscow does not agree to a truce, it will be a 'very disappointing moment for the whole world';" The US is discussing with Ukraine the territorial issue, including the lands that Kyiv will lose as a result of the conflict; The issue of control over the Zaporizhzhia NPP is being discussed."
* Assessment: Reports on ongoing negotiations.
ASTRA (15:35 UTC): Reports that the ECHR ordered Ukraine to pay compensation to the victims and families of those killed in the fire in the Odessa House of Trade Unions on May 2, 2014.
ASTRA (15:49 UTC): Reports that Putin said: "If we stop fighting for 30 days, what does this mean? That everyone who stayed there will come out without a fight? Should we let them out of there? After they committed a lot of crimes against civilians? How will it be? It is not clear."
Assessment: This is a further explanation of Russia's reluctance to a ceasefire.
ASTRA (16:23 UTC): Reports that a military court in St. Petersburg sentenced a Ukrainian to 15 years for setting fire to a military registration and enlistment office.
ASTRA (17:04 UTC): Reports that Trump said "I hope to meet and talk with Putin."
ASTRA (17:15 UTC): Reports that Trump said "I think it will happen," about the annexation of Greenland.
Глеб Никитин (14:44, 15:33, 16:04 UTC): Posts about economic development.
Kadyrov_95 (14:35 UTC): Reports that another group of volunteers went by special flight to the zone of the special military operation.
Басурин о главном (16:01 UTC): Reports on statements made by the Presidents of Russia and Belarus during a joint press conference.
Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (15:09 UTC): Reports that a Ukrainian recruit company has been established.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (15:17 UTC): Reports that the Yakutia city hall is again asking residents to donate to the needs of servicemen.
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (16:35 UTC): Reports that the head of Novy Oskol, Belgorod Oblast, Andrei Miskov, announced that he had signed a contract with the Ministry of Defense and joined the Bars volunteer detachment.
Assessment: Indicates that local officials are joining military operations.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (15:11 UTC): Reports from the liberated Sudzha.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (16:10 UTC): Reports that Putin agreed with proposals to cease hostilities, but it should eliminate the initial causes of the conflict.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (16:44 UTC): Reports that London and Paris are trying to not notice the negotiation process.
ТАСС (18:04 UTC): Reports that Alexander Lukashenko will speak to the Federation Council.
ТАСС (19:31 UTC): Reports that the US is discussing with Russia the possibility of future cooperation with Gazprom in international projects.
ТАСС (20:04 UTC): Reports that Trump has not renewed the license that allows the Western financial system to service transactions for the purchase and sale of Russian energy carriers.
Assessment: This could be used to pressure Russia, or provide incentive for Russia to negotiate.
ТАСС (20:22 UTC): Reports that the Bank of Russia will consider the feasibility of raising the key rate on March 21.
ТАСС (20:47 UTC): Reports that Hungary removed its veto on the extension of EU sanctions against Russia.
ТАСС (21:33 UTC): Reports that Putin had a phone conversation with the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia.
Alex Parker Returns (19:39 UTC): Reports that Zelensky said that Putin's words about a ceasefire were predictable and very manipulative.
Alex Parker Returns (20:14 UTC): Reports that an MP from the Servant of the People party stated that those Ukrainians who left Ukraine 3 years ago and have not yet returned have lost the honorary right to be called Ukrainians.
Alex Parker Returns (21:19 UTC): Reports that the Trump Administration is introducing additional restrictions against the Russian oil, gas and banking sectors.
Assessment: Reports of new sanctions.
Alex Parker Returns (21:22 UTC): Reports that the lieutenant colonel is about to lose his position.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
RUSSIAN ADVANCES CONTINUE, with MULTIPLE SOURCES reporting FURTHER GAINS and UKRAINIAN WITHDRAWALS. RUSSIAN FORCES are CLAIMING to have DESTROYED a COLUMN OF AZOV MILITANTS in the LPR.
NEGOTIATIONS ARE ONGOING, with DIRECT US-RUSSIA TALKS CONFIRMED. RUSSIA is EMPHASIZING its OPPOSITION to a TEMPORARY CEASEFIRE and INSISTING on a LONG-TERM SOLUTION that ADDRESSES ITS CORE SECURITY CONCERNS. UKRAINE has OUTLINED ITS "RED LINES". A MEETING between PUTIN and WHITKOFF is EXPECTED.
INTENSE FIGHTING CONTINUES across MULTIPLE FRONTS, with the POKROVSK DIRECTION remaining a MAJOR HOTSPOT.
