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Historical Intelligence

Situation Report

Archived operational intelligence briefing

Report Time
2025-03-11 23:43:45Z
11 months ago
Previous (2025-03-11 23:13:33Z)

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 12, 2025, 00:00 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (23:13 UTC - 23:42 UTC)

  1. DRONE ATTACKS CONTINUE ACROSS MULTIPLE REGIONS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

    • Николаевский Ванёк (23:15 UTC): Provides updated drone positions (translated):
      • 2 flew from Kyiv Oblast to Zhytomyr Oblast.
      • 1 south of Bila Tserkva, course west.
      • 1 in the south of Khmelnytskyi Oblast, course west.
      • 5 new ones east of Konotop.
    • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (23:25 UTC): Reports "Shahed" drones in Khmelnytskyi Oblast heading north, in Kyiv Oblast heading west and north, in Zhytomyr Oblast heading northwest, and in Sumy Oblast heading west and south.
    • Assessment: These reports CONFIRM THE CONTINUATION OF THE WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK. The MOVEMENT OF DRONES across MULTIPLE OBLASTS (KHMELNYTSKYI, KYIV, ZHYTOMYR, SUMY) indicates a SUSTAINED AND COMPLEX ATTACK. The PRESENCE OF NEW DRONES east of KONOTOP suggests the ATTACK IS NOT YET OVER.
  2. DAMAGE REPORTED IN KHARKIV (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • РБК-Україна (23:15 UTC, 23:25 UTC): Reports that a "Shahed" drone struck between private houses in Kharkiv. Several houses were damaged. One person is suffering from an acute stress reaction and is receiving medical assistance.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS DAMAGE in a RESIDENTIAL AREA of KHARKIV. While there are NO REPORTED FATALITIES OR PHYSICAL INJURIES at this time, the PSYCHOLOGICAL IMPACT on the POPULATION is SIGNIFICANT. The STRIKE BETWEEN PRIVATE HOUSES highlights the RISK TO CIVILIANS.
  3. DAMAGE REPORTED IN SUMY (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

    • ASTRA (23:17 UTC): Reports that a Russian drone struck a warehouse in Sumy. No casualties were reported by local authorities. Includes images.
    • Assessment: The IMAGES PROVIDED by ASTRA show SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE to a WAREHOUSE in SUMY. The ABSENCE OF REPORTED CASUALTIES is FORTUNATE, but the IMPACT ON INFRASTRUCTURE is SIGNIFICANT. The use of drones in these attacks should be addressed.
  4. OIL REFINERY FIRE IN ODESSA (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (23:24 UTC): Reports a massive fire at an attacked oil refinery in Odessa. Claims the fire has reignited after more than 24 hours. Includes video.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMS A LARGE-SCALE FIRE at an OIL REFINERY in ODESSA. The REIGNITION OF THE FIRE suggests EXTENSIVE DAMAGE and DIFFICULTY IN CONTAINING THE BLAZE. This has SIGNIFICANT IMPLICATIONS for FUEL SUPPLIES and ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE.
  5. GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION OPERATION CONFIRMED (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):

    • ТАСС (23:29 UTC): Reports that, according to Apty Alaudinov, the Russian operation to infiltrate Ukrainian units near Sudzha using a gas pipeline was one of the most successful of the entire special operation.
    • Assessment: This CONFIRMATION from a HIGH-RANKING RUSSIAN OFFICIAL significantly INCREASES THE BELIEF in the SUCCESSFUL GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION OPERATION. This TACTICAL SUCCESS highlights a MAJOR VULNERABILITY in UKRAINIAN DEFENSES and represents a SIGNIFICANT SETBACK for UKRAINE.
  6. OTHER REPORTS

  • ASTRA (23:13 UTC): Reports on damage to houses, a kindergarten and a school in Dnipro, with no reported casualties.
  • ТАСС (23:14 UTC): Reports explosions in Kyiv and Kharkiv, citing the "Obshchestvennoe. Novosti" publication.
  • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (23:31 UTC): Claims that armor for US Army vehicles did not undergo the necessary tests and cracked, citing a Bloomberg report.

Updated Situation Summary

  • EXTREME PRIORITY:

    • CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK ACROSS MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. MULTIPLE OBLASTS are UNDER THREAT, with CONFIRMED MOVEMENT in KHMELNYTSKYI, KYIV, ZHYTOMYR, and SUMY OBLASTS.
    • CONFIRMED ATTACKS and damage from the drones.
    • ALL PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED EXTREME-PRIORITY ISSUES REMAIN RELEVANT.
  • HIGH PRIORITY:

    • CONFIRMED DAMAGE in a RESIDENTIAL AREA of KHARKIV from a DRONE STRIKE. One person is suffering from an acute stress reaction.
    • CONFIRMED DAMAGE to a WAREHOUSE in SUMY from a DRONE STRIKE.
    • CONFIRMED LARGE-SCALE FIRE at an OIL REFINERY in ODESSA, reigniting after a previous attack.
    • CONFIRMED RUSSIAN GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION OPERATION near SUDZHA, representing a MAJOR TACTICAL SUCCESS for RUSSIA and a SIGNIFICANT SETBACK for UKRAINE.
    • ALL PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED HIGH-PRIORITY ISSUES REMAIN RELEVANT.
  • MEDIUM PRIORITY:

    • ALL PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED MEDIUM-PRIORITY ISSUES REMAIN RELEVANT.

Updated Recommendations

  1. ADDRESS THE ONGOING DRONE ATTACK (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • MAINTAIN THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL AFFECTED REGIONS.
    • PRIORITIZE THE INTERCEPTION OF INCOMING DRONES based on the LATEST MOVEMENT REPORTS.
    • CONTINUE TO ISSUE WARNINGS to CIVILIANS to REMAIN IN SHELTERS.
    • GATHER INFORMATION on IMPACT SITES and ASSESS DAMAGE as SOON AS POSSIBLE.
    • PROVIDE EMERGENCY ASSISTANCE to ANY AFFECTED AREAS.
  2. ADDRESS THE DAMAGE IN KHARKIV AND SUMY (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • PROVIDE MEDICAL ASSISTANCE to the individual in KHARKIV suffering from an acute stress reaction.
    • ASSESS THE DAMAGE to RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS in KHARKIV and PROVIDE ASSISTANCE to AFFECTED RESIDENTS.
    • ASSESS THE DAMAGE to the WAREHOUSE in SUMY and DETERMINE THE IMPACT on INFRASTRUCTURE and SUPPLY CHAINS.
  3. ADDRESS THE OIL REFINERY FIRE IN ODESSA (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • DEPLOY ALL AVAILABLE RESOURCES to CONTAIN THE FIRE at the OIL REFINERY in ODESSA.
    • ASSESS THE DAMAGE and DETERMINE THE IMPACT on FUEL SUPPLIES and ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE.
    • INVESTIGATE THE CAUSE OF THE REIGNITION and IMPLEMENT MEASURES to PREVENT FURTHER INCIDENTS.
  4. ADDRESS THE VULNERABILITY EXPOSED BY THE GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

    • CONDUCT A THOROUGH INVESTIGATION into the GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION OPERATION near SUDZHA.
    • IDENTIFY VULNERABILITIES in UNDERGROUND INFRASTRUCTURE and IMPLEMENT MEASURES to PREVENT FUTURE INFILTRATIONS.
    • INCREASE SURVEILLANCE and SECURITY along CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.
  5. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL. The CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK poses a MAJOR THREAT to MULTIPLE REGIONS OF UKRAINE. The CONFIRMED DAMAGE in KHARKIV and SUMY, the LARGE-SCALE FIRE in ODESSA, and the SUCCESSFUL RUSSIAN GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION highlight the URGENCY OF THE SITUATION. IMMEDIATE AND EFFECTIVE ACTION is REQUIRED to MITIGATE THESE RISKS.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

  • The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.66
  • Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
  • The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
  • The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
  • The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
  • The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
  • Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.55
  • Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.9998
  • Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.87
  • Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
  • Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
  • Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
  • 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
  • Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
  • Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
  • Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.3
  • Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
  • Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.78
  • Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
  • Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.75
  • There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
  • Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
  • Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
  • Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
  • The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
  • Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
  • There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.81
  • Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
  • There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
  • There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
  • Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
  • There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
  • Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
  • Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
  • Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.68
  • There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
  • Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
  • A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
  • A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
  • A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
  • Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
  • Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
  • Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
  • There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
  • Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
  • There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
  • Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
  • There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
  • A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
  • Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
  • Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.74
  • Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
  • Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
  • Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
  • Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
  • The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
  • The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
  • The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
  • The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
  • Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
  • A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
  • The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
  • US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
  • The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
  • The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
  • Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
  • The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
  • The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
  • Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
  • Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
  • The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
  • Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
  • Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
  • Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
  • On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
  • Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
  • Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
  • Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
  • The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
  • One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
  • Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
  • 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
  • Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
  • Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
  • Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
  • Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
  • Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
  • There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
  • A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
  • A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
  • An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
  • Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
  • All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
  • The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
  • Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
  • The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
  • 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
  • 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
  • Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
  • Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
  • Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.44
  • Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
  • Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
  • A Ukrainian drone was used in an attempt to down a Russian drone: 0.6
  • A Ukranian BMC Kirpi was captured.: 0.4
  • Guided Aerial Bomb launch on Kharkiv.: 0.8
  • 40 people were injured, and 11 were killed by an attack on Dobropillia.: 0.85
  • Telegram was blocked in Dagestan and Chechnya.: 0.7
  • Netherlands is planning to invest in Ukraine.: 0.6
  • A bridge between Myropillia and Hornal may have been destroyed.: 0.4
  • Russian forces almost liberated Novenkoye, and are approaching Basovka.: 0.5
  • Russian forces officially liberated Viktorovka.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces are fleeing Cherkasskoye Porechnoye and Kositsa.: 0.6
  • Poland announced military training for all men.: 0.3
  • Republicans are calling on Trump to restore aid to Ukraine.: 0.4
  • The main task of the Ukrainian army is to not lose what they currently hold.: 0.4
  • Russian forces liberated Staraya Sorochina yesterday.: 0.4
  • There is a threat of ballistic missile usage for Poltava.: 0.6
  • Russian forces advanced 3km from Razdolnoye towards Bogatyr.:0.6
  • The attack in Dobropillia injured up to 47 people and killed 11.: 0.9
  • At least 20 civilians were killed in Russian attacks across Ukraine since the start of the day.: 0.8
  • Russian forces used a gas pipeline near Sudzha to launch a surprise attack.: 0.37
  • The pipeline attack was a disinformation campaign.: 0.4
  • Hungary opposes financing an increase to the Ukranian military and opposes Ukraine's rapid ascension to the EU.: 0.7
  • 5 Ukrainian UAVs were shot down over Belgorod and Kursk.: 0.6
  • Russian forces are storming Malaya Loknya.: 0.6
  • One person was killed, and 5 were injured in Russian attacks in the Donetsk Region.: 0.7
  • A bridge was destroyed on the bypass of Sudzha, impacting logistics for the Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces repelled 12 attacks in the Kursk region.: 0.75
  • Russian forces captured Konstantinopol.: 0.8
  • Russian forces liberated Cherkasskoe Porechnoe.: 0.7
  • Europe is searching for a Starlink alternative.: 0.6
  • A Russian Iskander missile struck a US HIMARS transport loading vehicle.: 0.3
  • Sudzha is under heavy fire.: 0.7
  • North Korean troops are fighting in the Sudzha region.:0.2
  • The US continues to provide intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.85
  • Russian Forces advanced to the center of Cherkasskoe Porechnoe, capturing half of the village: 0.9.
  • Ukrainian forces claimed successful counterattacks.: 0.1
  • Intense fighting in Sudzha confirmed, ongoing strikes and civilian impact a major concern.: 0.8.
  • Ukrainian forces gained advantage in several areas, repulsing Russian attacks and conducting counterattacks.: 0.3
  • Russian forces claim destruction of a Ukrainian drone operator with FAB-3000.: 0.5
  • There is a major drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions with 73 confirmed downed and 37 lost: 0.77
  • There are reports of drone attacks on Russian territory, targeting an enterprise in Cheboksary: 0.6
  • Fighting has begun for the village of Dneproenergiya in the south of the DPR: 0.2
  • An American MRAP International MaxxPro was destroyed by FPV drones in the Pokrovsk direction: 0.1
  • A drone attacked a spirit plant in Buturlinovka, Voronezh Oblast: 0.2
  • A drone attacked an oil depot at the "Burevestnik Combine" in Cheboksary overnight: 0.59
  • Russian forces attacked with 119 drones overnight, including decoy drones.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian air defenses shot down 73 of the 119 drones.: 0.9
  • Donetsk, Kharkiv, Poltava, Cherkasy, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia regions were affected by the drone attack.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces are facing a critical threat due to Elon Musk's statement and potential disruption of Starlink services.: 0.87
  • Fighting is intensifying in the Kursk, Donetsk, and Chasov Yar directions.: 0.8
  • Russian aviation conducted airstrikes at Dovzhyk, Kozacha Lopan of Kharkiv region, Leontovychi, Voskresenka, Novopil of Donetsk region, Hulyaypole, Zaliznychne, Novoyakovlivka, Pavlivka, Stepove of Zaporizhzhia region, Kozatske of Kherson region: 0.77
  • At Kharkiv axis clashes yesterday near Vovchansk and towards Petro-Ivanivka: 0.76
  • At Kupyansk axis clashes yesterday near Kindrashivka, Lozova, Stepova Novoselivka, Nova Kruhlyakivka and Zahryzove: 0.82
  • At Lyman axis clashes yesterday near Novomykhaylivka, Nove, Myrne, Kolodyaziv, Yampolivka and Zelena Dolyna: 0.73
  • At Kramatorsk axis clashes yesterday near Chasiv Yar and Bila Hora: 0.83
  • At Toretsk axis clashes yesterday near Druzhba and Toretsk: 0.91
  • At Pokrovsk axis clashes yesterday near Yelyzavetivka, Promin, Andriyivka, Oleksandropil, Pokrovsk, Serhiyivka, Novooleksandrivka, Bohdanivka, Tarasivka, Lysivka, Zelenyy Kut and Ulakly: 0.96
  • At Novopavlivka axis clashes yesterday near Kostyantynopil and Burlatske: 0.72
  • At Orikhiv axis clashes yesterday near Pyatykhatky, Stepove, Scherbaka and Kamyanske: 0.9
  • At Huliaipole axis clashes yesterday near Charivne: 0.8
  • In Kursk region Ukrainian forces have repelled 44 Russian army assaults: 0.78
  • US is reportedly pushing for softer wording on Russia in G7 communiqué, opposing a monitoring group for Russia's "shadow fleet".: 0.9
  • Ukraine is reportedly preparing a third attack on the Crimean Bridge.: 0.7
  • The Kremlin is reportedly preparing for a war with the West.: 0.62
  • Intense fighting reported across multiple fronts, with high casualties and equipment losses.: 0.94
  • Ukrainian forces reportedly repelled numerous attacks, particularly in the Pokrovsk and Kursk directions.: 0.86
  • Significant use of guided aerial bombs (KABs) by Russian forces.: 0.8
  • Ukrainian forces are adapting to new roles, such as drone operation, for logistics and medical assistance.: 0.6
  • The Ukrainian front may collapse if Starlink systems are turned off.: 0.87
  • Elon Musk is considering or has already limited Starlink access for the Ukrainian military.: 0.9
  • The message is intended to demoralize Ukrainian forces and create uncertainty about their communication capabilities.: 0.28
  • The message is a form of psychological warfare aimed at influencing public opinion regarding the conflict in Ukraine.: 0.16
  • The message is an attempt to pressure the Ukrainian government to negotiate a settlement with Russia.: 0.08
  • The number of wounded in Druzhkivka has grown from 7 to 12 after the attacks: 0.7
  • Russian forces attacked Kharkiv with drones: 0.9
  • The US continues to provide intelligence to Ukraine, but only for defensive operations: 0.6
  • Russian forces attacked the educational facility in Balakliia: 0.7
  • Russian forces attacked a children's institution in Kochotok: 0.6
  • Guided aerial bombs (KABs) were used on Sumy: 0.6
  • Russian forces successfully destroyed a Ukrainian mortar near Konstantinopol: 0.48
  • Reports of the logistical situation in the Kursk region is very bad.: 0.9
  • Sudzha: 0.8
  • Reports of widespread Russian drone and missile strikes continue, confirmed.: 0.9
  • CLAIMED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS near POKROVSK and TORETSK, potentially SLOWING DOWN the RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE. REQUIRES VERIFICATION. : 0.7
  • Confirmed Russian airstrike on claimed Ukrainian command post in Huliaipole.: 0.95
  • POTENTIAL HALT OF US MILITARY AID (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, NEEDS VERIFICATION):* POTENTIALLY CRITICAL IMPACT on UKRAINIAN MILITARY CAPABILITIES. : 0.99
  • *UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS FORCIBLY DEPLOYED AFTER REFUSING TO FIGHT (HIGH PRIORITY).**: 0.8
  • *New type of Ukrainian drone reported, controlled by fiber-optic cable.: 0.9
  • *New Russian drone "Avatar" reported.: 0.7
  • *Reports of heavy Russian casualties (Cemetery report).: 0.8
  • *German plant in Ukraine.: 0.6
  • *Reports on a Russian missile strike on the 168th reserve battalion.: 0.6
  • *Ukrainian forces are reporting progress in Toretsk.: 0.8
  • Verify and respond to the report of the Russian advance near Seversk.: 0.7
  • REPORTED UKRAINIAN NAVAL DRONE ATTACK on RUSSIAN GAS PLATFORM in the BLACK SEA, potentially using a NEW MOTHER DRONE CAPABILITY.: 0.88
  • Expanded Drone Threat.: 0.76
  • Attack in Petropavlovka.: 0.8
  • Trump is considering making mineral deals to continue supplying Ukraine.: 0.7
  • Trump wants Ukraine to cede territory to Russia in exchange for US military aid and intelligence sharing.: 0.32
  • Trump is using the mineral deal as leverage to pressure Ukraine into making concessions in negotiations with Russia.: 0.24
  • Trump wants Zelensky to resign or hold elections as a condition for continued US support.: 0.24
  • An EU summit statement on Ukraine, approved by 26 countries, has no legal force.: 0.75
  • Trump ordered the cessation of critical aid for F-16 JAMMING SYSTEMS in Ukraine: 0.79
  • Russian recruitment efforts are focused on drone operators and EW specialists.: 0.7
  • Russian forces are completing the defeat of Ukrainian forces near Martynovka: 0.5
  • Russian forces control the southern outskirts of Konstantinopol.: 0.7
  • The SAMP/T air defense system deployed in Ukraine may be experiencing significant issues, potentially reducing its effectiveness against ballistic missiles.: 0.65
  • There is an active air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.95
  • There is an increased threat of enemy tactical aviation activity in the south-eastern direction.: 0.9
  • Only the outskirts of Andreyevka are captured.: 0.7
  • Russian forces liberated Lebedevka and Novenkoye.: 0.52
  • US will not resume aid to Ukraine after a mineral deal: 0.77
  • Russian forces liberated houses in Nikolaevka and Staraya Sorochina equipped as firing positions by Ukrainian militants and foreign mercenaries.: 0.6
  • US technical support and maintenance of F-16s transferred to Ukraine has stopped.: 0.7
  • The militarization of youth is occurring in occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including the use of the "Yunarmiya" youth military organization.: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces lost more than 50 personnel during the "liberation" of Konstantinopol in the DPR.: 0.42
  • The US has partially ceased supporting Ukrainian F-16s, but only for the radar jamming systems.: 0.85
  • Russian forces claim they captured Lebedevka: 0.7
  • Repeated launches of guided aerial bombs by Russian tactical aviation.: 0.7
  • Russian drone strike killed 2 and injured 1: 0.9
  • Russian forces claim advances in Kursk Oblast: 0.8
  • Russian forces have practically encircled Ukrainian forces in Kursk Oblast.: 0.5
  • A Russian "Tor" was destroyed: 0.42
  • 9 vehicles were destroyed in Sudzha.: 0.7
  • A drone struck a house in Bilenke, injuring a young man.: 0.8
  • Building damaged by shelling/airstrike.: 0.48
  • Image is being used for propaganda purposes.: 0.12
  • The area requires humanitarian aid and civilian evacuation.: 0.12
  • Building damaged due to non-military cause (e.g., earthquake, structural failure).: 0.08
  • China, Russia and Iran are holding a joint naval exercise.: 0.6
  • Ukrainian drones have been destroyed over Belgorod and Kursk.: 0.5
  • Launches of guided aerial bombs on Donetsk.: 0.6
  • A high-speed target is heading towards Poltava.: 0.35
  • Russian forces advanced near Pyatikhatki and Shcherbaki: 0.4
  • Ukrainian forces are resisting, using artillery and drones: 0.5
  • Russian air force and "Grad" rocket systems are targeting Ukrainian forward positions: 0.6
  • Ukrainian forces are actively using drones, including kamikaze drones and Baba Yaga drones: 0.7
  • Russian forces are successfully identifying and targeting Ukrainian drone launch sites: 0.6
  • There is evidence of nationalist and aggressive ideology within Ukrainian forces: 0.7
  • Ukrainian forces are taking heavy losses, with some personnel choosing to end their lives rather than surrender: 0.7
  • Russia preparing for a large-scale missile strike.: 0.6
  • Russian reconnaissance is taking place in Khmelnytskyi, Rivne, and Ternopil Oblasts.: 0.6
  • Russian forces captured Kubatkino.: 0.7
  • Group Aida SpN 'Akhmat' jointly with 30 MSP liberated Kubatkino using an underground maneuver.: 0.8
  • Ballistic threat reduced, but air threat still present: 0.65
  • Ukrainian drone shoots down Russian drones.: 0.7
  • Russian forces still in the Kursk region.: 0.7
  • US technical support for Ukrainian F-16 fighters has officially stopped.: 0.9
  • Russian forces are targeting Ukrainian communication nodes.: 0.8
  • Russian forces are clearing Martynovka: 0.85
  • Russian forces have fully captured Mala Ohna.: 0.95
  • The telecommunications tower will be used to improve Russian communications and disrupt Ukrainian communications.: 0.78
  • Ukrainian forces successfully targeted and destroyed a Russian TOS system in Kharkiv Oblast.:
Previous (2025-03-11 23:13:33Z)

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