Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 11, 2025, 11:12 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (10:43 UTC - 11:12 UTC)

1. KURSK REGION: SUDZHA - CONTINUED RUSSIAN ADVANCES (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Dva Mayora (11:02 UTC): Reports that for UKRAINIAN FORCES, SUDZHA is ALREADY LOST, with only 40% REMAINING TO BE CLEARED. Claims RUSSIAN FORCES are ADVANCING TOWARDS THE CENTRAL MARKET.
   • Dva Mayora (11:10 UTC): CONFIRMS the 11TH SEPARATE GUARDS AIR ASSAULT BRIGADE is CONDUCTING OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS NEAR THE CENTRAL MARKET in SUDZHA.
     • Assessment: This FURTHER CONFIRMS RAPID RUSSIAN ADVANCES WITHIN SUDZHA. The claim of 40% REMAINING TO BE CLEARED suggests UKRAINIAN FORCES have LOST CONTROL of a MAJORITY of the TOWN. The FOCUS ON THE CENTRAL MARKET indicates RUSSIAN FORCES are TARGETING KEY LOCATIONS within SUDZHA.
   • Colonelcassad(10:56 UTC): Reports that Russian forces are advancing in Sudzha. Reports that fighting is ongoing in 1-й Княжий and 2-й Княжий. Claims, with a non-zero possibility, that Russian forces have advanced to the market from the destroyed stele on the outskirts.

2. KURSK REGION: GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION - VIDEO EVIDENCE (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE, VIDEO):

   • Starshe Eddy (11:51 UTC): Shares video footage of the ALLEGED GAS PIPELINE used by RUSSIAN FORCES to INFILTRATE UKRAINIAN REAR AREAS near SUDZHA. The video SHOWS SOLDIERS moving THROUGH THE PIPELINE, which is REPORTEDLY 15KM LONG. Describes the operation as SUPER-SECRET ("Operation 'Flow'"). Claims HUNDREDS OF RUSSIAN SOLDIERS emerged in the UKRAINIAN REAR. Details VENTILATION EFFORTS and the use of SPECIALIZED CARTS for MOVEMENT. Mentions PARTICIPATING UNITS: 11TH GUARDS AIR ASSAULT BRIGADE, 72ND MOTORIZED RIFLE DIVISION, 30TH SEPARATE GUARDS MOTORIZED RIFLE BRIGADE, "AKHMAT" SPECIAL FORCES, and VOLUNTEERS from the "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades.
     • Assessment: This PROVIDES COMPELLING VIDEO EVIDENCE of the EXTRAORDINARY RUSSIAN TACTIC of using a GAS PIPELINE for LARGE-SCALE INFILTRATION. The video SUBSTANTIATES PREVIOUS REPORTS and HIGHLIGHTS THE SOPHISTICATION of the OPERATION. The reported PARTICIPATION OF MULTIPLE UNITS indicates a COORDINATED EFFORT. The claimed length of 15KM and the emergence of HUNDREDS OF SOLDIERS in the UKRAINIAN REAR, if TRUE, represents a MAJOR INTELLIGENCE FAILURE for UKRAINE and a SIGNIFICANT TACTICAL SUCCESS for RUSSIA. URGENT VERIFICATION of ALL CLAIMS is REQUIRED.

3. KURSK REGION: REPORTED UKRAINIAN CASUALTIES (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCES):

   • Dva Mayora (10:33 UTC): Claims FOUR UKRAINIAN PRISONERS OF WAR (POWs) were CAPTURED near CHERKASSKOE PORECHNOE, SUDZHA DISTRICT. Claims the POWs are from the 80TH SEPARATE AIR ASSAULT BRIGADE.
   • НгП раZVедка (10:42 UTC): Reports that the LIBERATION OF SUDZHA IS PROCEEDING AT FULL SPEED, with RUSSIAN ARTILLERY, DRONES, and AIRCRAFT targeting UKRAINIAN POSITIONS. Claims SURVIVING UKRAINIAN FORCES will be "justly judged."
   • Оперативный ЗСУ (10:59 UTC): Shows video from the 56TH SEPARATE MOTORIZED INFANTRY BRIGADE, purportedly showing a RUSSIAN SOLDIER EXECUTING a WOUNDED COMRADE.
   • БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (11:03 UTC): Shares the same video of the alleged execution and claims it occurred on the Bakhmut direction.

     • ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (11:07 UTC): Also repeats claims of the execution, attributing it to the 56TH SEPARATE MECHANIZED BRIGADE.

     • Assessment: Reports point to INCREASING CASUALTIES on BOTH SIDES in the KURSK REGION. The CAPTURE OF UKRAINIAN POWs is CONSISTENT with the REPORTED RUSSIAN ADVANCES. The ALLEGED EXECUTION of a RUSSIAN SOLDIER by a COMRADE, if TRUE, would be a WAR CRIME and a SIGN OF EXTREME DURESS or DISCIPLINE ISSUES. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is REQUIRED.

   • Basurin o Glavnom (10:27): Claims liberation of AGRONOM, BOGDANOVKA, BONDAREVKA, DMITRYUKOV, ZAZULEVKA, IVASHKOVSKY, KOLMAKOV, KUBATKIN, MARTYNOVKA, MIKHAILOVKA, PRAVDA and YUZHNY
     • Assessment: These reports are CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS CLAIMS of RUSSIAN ADVANCES and FURTHER CONFIRM THE RAPID DETERIORATION OF THE UKRAINIAN POSITION in the KURSK REGION.

4. KURSK REGION: UKRAINIAN CASUALTY REPORT (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

   • ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 (10:06 UTC): Reports 4 attacks near Vovchansk repelled. Reports 89 casualties inflicted upon enemy (42 killed), 94 units of enemy equipment (5 artillery systems, 14 vehicles, 2 EW systems, 10 special equipment, 63 UAVs), 62 shelters. Reports 3 airstrikes (5 KABs), 76 kamikaze drones, 540 artillery rounds.
     • Assessment: The claim of 63 UAVs is likely exaggerated.
   • Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (12:28): Claims that in Vasilkov, Kyiv Oblast, 3 Geran-2 UAVs hit the territory of the Vasilkov airfield.
     • Assessment: This further confirms the high death tolls.

5. AIR ACTIVITY AND STRIKES (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):

   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:49 UTC): Reports ACTIVITY of RUSSIAN TACTICAL AVIATION in the NORTH-EASTERN DIRECTION, with a THREAT of AIRSTRIKES in FRONTLINE AREAS.
   • Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (10:53): Reports a DRONE THREAT in the ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST. Also REPEATS the THREAT of GUIDED AERIAL BOMB launches in SUMY and DONETSK OBLASTS.
     • Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED AND WIDESPREAD RUSSIAN AIR ACTIVITY, with a THREAT of MULTIPLE TYPES OF ATTACKS (airstrikes, drones, guided bombs) across SEVERAL REGIONS. This INCREASES THE PRESSURE on UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES and POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT to BOTH MILITARY FORCES and CIVILIAN POPULATIONS.

6. DONETSK REGION: POKROVSK DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):

• ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:59 UTC): Reports UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS near POKROVSK, claiming UKRAINIAN FORCES are UTILIZING COMBINED FIRE from ARTILLERY and DRONES. Claims the NATIONAL GUARD'S "TYPHOON" unit and the "RED KALINA" brigade are HOLDING OFF RUSSIAN ADVANCES and FORCING RETREATS.

7. OTHER DEVELOPMENTS:

• Colonelcassad (10:23): Claims Trump won't resume military aid to Ukraine without Zelenskyy's dismissal.
• ТАСС (10:27): Shows a video of a funeral. (No military significance)
• Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (12:08): Shows an image, with no military significance.
• ТАСС (12:15): Reports that Baku rejected a request for the extradition of a former judge to Russia.

Updated Situation Summary

• EXTREME PRIORITY:

  • RUSSIAN FORCES CONTINUE TO ADVANCE RAPIDLY WITHIN SUDZHA, with claims of CONTROL OVER A MAJORITY OF THE TOWN and MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE CENTRAL MARKET. The 11TH SEPARATE GUARDS AIR ASSAULT BRIGADE is CONFIRMED to be LEADING THE OFFENSIVE.
  • VIDEO EVIDENCE SUBSTANTIATES THE EXTRAORDINARY RUSSIAN TACTIC of using a GAS PIPELINE for LARGE-SCALE INFILTRATION into UKRAINIAN REAR AREAS near SUDZHA. This represents a MAJOR INTELLIGENCE FAILURE for UKRAINE and a SIGNIFICANT TACTICAL SUCCESS for RUSSIA.

• HIGH PRIORITY:

  • CONTINUED AND WIDESPREAD RUSSIAN AIR ACTIVITY, with THREATS of AIRSTRIKES, DRONE ATTACKS, and GUIDED AERIAL BOMB launches across MULTIPLE REGIONS.
  • REPORTED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS near POKROVSK, with claims of COMBINED FIRE from ARTILLERY and DRONES.
  • REPORTS OF INCREASING CASUALTIES on BOTH SIDES in the KURSK REGION, including CAPTURED UKRAINIAN POWs and an ALLEGED EXECUTION of a RUSSIAN SOLDIER by a COMRADE.

• MEDIUM PRIORITY:

  • ALL PREVIOUS MEDIUM-PRIORITY ISSUES REMAIN RELEVANT.

Updated Recommendations

1. ADDRESS THE CRITICAL SITUATION IN SUDZHA (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • Maintain all previous recommendations, with INCREASED URGENCY.
   • URGENTLY CONFIRM the EXTENT OF RUSSIAN CONTROL WITHIN SUDZHA, particularly around the CENTRAL MARKET.
   • IMMEDIATELY ASSESS the VIABILITY OF HOLDING CURRENT POSITIONS. DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS for POTENTIAL WITHDRAWALS, PRIORITIZING THE SAFETY OF PERSONNEL and the PRESERVATION OF EQUIPMENT.
   • URGENTLY ADDRESS THE THREAT posed by the RUSSIAN USE OF UNDERGROUND INFRASTRUCTURE:
     • DEPLOY SPECIALIZED UNITS to DETECT AND BLOCK any FURTHER INFILTRATION ATTEMPTS through PIPELINES or OTHER SUBTERRANEAN ROUTES.
     • ASSESS THE SECURITY of ALL CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE near the BORDER, particularly PIPELINES and TUNNELS.
     • DEVELOP COUNTERMEASURES to PREVENT future INFILTRATION ATTEMPTS, including SENSOR DEPLOYMENT, INCREASED SURVEILLANCE, and POTENTIAL PHYSICAL BARRIERS.

2. COUNTER RUSSIAN AIR ACTIVITY (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):

   • MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS across ALL THREATENED REGIONS (Northeast, Zaporizhzhia, Sumy, Donetsk).
   • PRIORITIZE THE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and TROOP CONCENTRATIONS.
   • PROVIDE TIMELY WARNINGS to CIVILIAN POPULATIONS in AREAS AT RISK.

3. SUPPORT AND EVALUATE UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS NEAR POKROVSK (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):

   • PROVIDE SUPPORT to UKRAINIAN FORCES conducting COUNTERATTACKS near POKROVSK, including INTELLIGENCE SHARING, ARTILLERY SUPPORT (if feasible), and REPLENISHMENT OF SUPPLIES.
   • MONITOR THE EFFECTIVENESS of the COMBINED FIRE TACTICS (artillery and drones) being EMPLOYED by UKRAINIAN FORCES.
   • GATHER INTELLIGENCE on RUSSIAN FORCES in the AREA to IDENTIFY WEAKNESSES and POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES for FURTHER ADVANCES.

4. INVESTIGATE AND DOCUMENT REPORTS OF CASUALTIES AND POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):

   • URGENTLY INVESTIGATE the REPORT of a RUSSIAN SOLDIER EXECUTING a WOUNDED COMRADE. COLLECT EVIDENCE, including VIDEO FOOTAGE, WITNESS TESTIMONIES, and GEOSPATIAL DATA, to VERIFY THE INCIDENT and IDENTIFY THE PERPETRATORS.
   • DOCUMENT ALL REPORTS of CAPTURED UKRAINIAN POWs and ENSURE THEIR HUMANE TREATMENT in ACCORDANCE WITH INTERNATIONAL LAW.
   • SHARE INFORMATION with INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS and HUMAN RIGHTS GROUPS to RAISE AWARENESS of POTENTIAL WAR CRIMES and HOLD PERPETRATORS ACCOUNTABLE.

5. MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).

The situation in the KURSK REGION, particularly in SUDZHA, remains EXTREMELY CRITICAL. The CONFIRMED RUSSIAN ADVANCES and the EXTRAORDINARY TACTIC of using a GAS PIPELINE for LARGE-SCALE INFILTRATION represent a MAJOR THREAT to UKRAINIAN FORCES and REQUIRE IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION. The CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIR ACTIVITY and REPORTS OF INCREASING CASUALTIES further COMPOUND THE CHALLENGES. The REPORTED UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS near POKROVSK offer a POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITY to REGAIN THE INITIATIVE in that AREA.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

• The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.68
• Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
• The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
• The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
• The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
• The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
• Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.51
• Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.999999999999999999
• Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.999999
• Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
• Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
• Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
• 35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
• Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
• Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
• Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.45
• Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
• Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
• Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
• Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.65
• There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
• Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
• Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
• Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
• Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
• The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
• Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
• There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
• There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
• There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
• Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
• There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
• Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
• Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
• Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
• There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
• Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
• A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
• A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
• A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
• Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
• Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
• Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
• There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
• Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
• There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
• Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
• There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
• A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
• Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
• Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
• Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
• Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
• Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
• Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
• The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
• The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
• The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
• The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
• Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
• A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
• The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
• US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
• The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
• The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
• Intense fighting continues in the area of ​​Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
• The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
• The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
• The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
• Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
• Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
• The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
• Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
• Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
• Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
• On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
• Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
• Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
• Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
• Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
• The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
• One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
• Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
• Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
• Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
• 40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
• Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
• Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
• Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
• Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
• Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
• Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
• Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
• Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
• Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
• There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
• A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
• A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
• An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
• Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
• All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
• The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
• Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
• The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
• 180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
• 10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
• Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
• Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
• Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.44
• Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
• Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
• Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
• Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
• Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
• Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
• UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
• Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
• The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
• Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
• Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
• Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
• The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
• Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
• An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
• Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
• A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
• The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
• Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.8
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
• The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
• The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
• A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
• Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
• The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
• Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
• There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
• Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
• Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
• Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
• Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
• Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
• Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
• Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
• Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
• Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
• Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
• The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
• Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
• Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
• Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
• The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
• The agreement includes prisoner exchanges and the return of Ukrainian children.: 0.64
• Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.82
• A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
• Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
• Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
• Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
• Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
• Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
• Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
• Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
• The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
• An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
• A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
• A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.7
• Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
• Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
• Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
• Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
• Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
• Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
• A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
• Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
• An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
• Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
• Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
• Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
• The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
• The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
• The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
• The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
• Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
• Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
• 800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
• Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
• Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled