Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 10, 2025, 15:00 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (14:30 UTC - 15:00 UTC)

RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
- Alex Parker Returns (14:36 UTC): Shares an image related to Syria.
  - Assessment: Irrelevant to the current military situation.
- Alex Parker Returns (14:47 UTC): Claims that there are no issues encircling troops. * Assessment: This contradicts a lot of reports, and appears to be propaganda.
- Шеф Hayabusa🫡🇺🇦 (14:38) Reports that the 47th OMBR did not withdraw from the Kursk region.
  - Assessment: This indicates that the 47th OMBR may be under heavy attack.
UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
- Оперативний ЗСУ (14:24 UTC): Reports that the "Spartan" unit of the Ukrainian Armed Forces is preventing Russian troops from consolidating in the Pokrovsk direction.
  - Assessment: This indicates continued UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE and ACTIVE FIGHTING in the POKROVSK DIRECTION.
REPORTED INCIDENT WITH TESLA AND TCC PERSONNEL (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
- Два майора, Colonelcassad (14:27 UTC, 14:48 UTC): Reports an incident in Dnipro where a Tesla driver allegedly drove with a TCC worker on the hood of the car.
  - Assessment: Same assessment, further confirmation.

INTELLIGENCE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):

*РБК-Україна* (14:37) Reports that the US never cut off intelligence information.
 *    **Assessment:** This resolves previous concerns.

NEGOTIATIONS (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED):
- РБК-Україна (14:29): Reports that Zelensky arrived in Saudi Arabia.
- СТРАНА (14:54): Reports that members of the New People party will change a rule regarding registration for people.
  - Assessment: Irrelevant to the current military situation.
RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED):
- ```
*Дневник Десантника🇷🇺* (14:32): Reports strikes against Ukrainian assets in the Kharkiv region.
*   **Assessment:** This reinforces the idea that Russia is targeting Ukrainian equipment.
```
- Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (14:29 UTC): Reports strikes on various locations in the Kharkiv and Sumy regions. * Assessment: This reinforces earlier assessments on Russian efforts to target specific regions.
AIRPORT CLOSURES (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
- TASS (14:46 UTC) Reports that decrees were signed in relation to ministers.
- Assessment: Irrelevant to the current military situation.
SUDZHA AREA (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFLICTING, RUSSIAN ADVANCES): * Генеральний штаб ЗСУ, Оперативний ЗСУ (14:40 UTC, 14:46 UTC): Claims that the situation on the border of Sumy Oblast with the Kursk region is under the control of the Ukrainian Defense Forces. Also claims that Russian forces, supported by North Korean infantry, have suffered heavy losses, including almost an entire infantry battalion in the area of Plekhovo. Ukrainian forces are being reinforced.
- Assessment: The situation has been very unclear, but based on the reports, it appears likely that fighting is still ongoing. * АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (14:31): Reports that a group of Ukrainian forces surrendered to Russian forces.
  - Assessment: Provides another indicator for heavy fighting.
UKRAINIAN SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES (SSO) CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
- Генеральний штаб ЗСУ (14:55 UTC): Reports strikes on the Ryazan and Novokuibyshevsk oil refineries on March 9 and 10, respectively.
  - Assessment: The Ukrainian military claims the strikes were a result of their actions. The Ryazan refinery supplied fuel for jets, and that the Novokuibyshevsk refinery produced fuel for Russian forces.
- ```
*Оперативний ЗСУ* (14:58) Reports that there have been strikes on strategic objects in the Ryazan and Samara regions.
```
  - Assessment: Corroborates claims.

Updated Situation Summary

EXTREME PRIORITY:
- RUSSIAN FORCES CONTINUE TO ADVANCE IN THE KURSK REGION, with CONFIRMED PRESENCE in MALAYA LOKNYA. RUSSIAN SOURCES claim SIGNIFICANT SUCCESSES in DISRUPTING UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS and INFLICTING HEAVY LOSSES.
- INTENSE FIGHTING CONTINUES ON THE POKROVSK DIRECTION, with RUSSIAN FORCES claiming ADVANCES in TARASOVKA and UKRAINIAN FORCES claiming a SUCCESSFUL COUNTERATTACK in SHEVCHENKO.
HEAVY FIGHTING CONTINUES, based on Ukrainian high command reports. * STRIKES ON RUSSIAN OIL REFINERIES.
HIGH PRIORITY:
- Reports on UKRAINIAN DRONE capabilities were released, which, if true, would be a SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT.

MEDIUM PRIORITY:

There is an air alarm in the Zaporizhzhia region.

Updated Recommendations

ADDRESS THE RUSSIAN ADVANCE IN THE KURSK REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations, including URGENT DEPLOYMENT OF INTELLIGENCE ASSETS, REINFORCEMENT OF UKRAINIAN DEFENSES, DEVELOPMENT OF CONTINGENCY PLANS, and TARGETING OF ADVANCING RUSSIAN FORCES.
- IMMEDIATELY ASSESS the VIABILITY of BREAKING any POTENTIAL ENCIRCLEMENT.
- PRIORITIZE the SAFETY and EXTRACTION of UKRAINIAN TROOPS.
- Consider all possible options, including NEGOTIATED WITHDRAWAL if DIRECT MILITARY ACTION is deemed TOO RISKY.
- Intensify efforts to DISRUPT RUSSIAN ADVANCES.
COUNTER RUSSIAN BRIDGE DESTRUCTION STRATEGY (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
COUNTER DRONE THREATS (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
- ASSESS claims regarding the NEW UKRAINIAN DRONE.
MONITOR AND RESPOND TO FIGHTING ON THE POKROVSK DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
- VERIFY CLAIMS of RUSSIAN ADVANCES in TARASOVKA.
- GATHER INTELLIGENCE on RUSSIAN FORCES in the AREA, including UNIT IDENTIFICATION, STRENGTH, and EQUIPMENT.
- VERIFY CLAIMS of UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACK in SHEVCHENKO.
- GATHER INTELLIGENCE on RUSSIAN FORCES in the AREA, including UNIT IDENTIFICATION, STRENGTH, and EQUIPMENT.
ASSESS POTENTIAL SHIFT ON THE DONETSK FRONT (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
VERIFY AND ASSESS UKRAINIAN SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES CLAIMS (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
SUPPORT UKRAINIAN DOMESTIC WEAPONS PRODUCTION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, LONG-TERM STRATEGY):
- Maintain all previous recommendations.
CLARIFY STATUS OF US INTELLIGENCE SHARING (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
- Maintain all previous recommendations, but the priority is lowered due to clarifications.
ADDRESS STRIKES ON RUSSIAN OIL REFINERIES (HIGH PRIORITY):
- Continue targeting strategically important Russian oil refineries.

The situation continues to be highly dynamic. The strikes on Russian oil refineries are a major development, and the fighting in the Kursk region continues.

Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:

The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.9999999
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.92
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.45
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.65
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.3
Ukrainian forces successfully counteracted gas-pipeline infiltration.: 0.9
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.44
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.5
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
A Ukrainian attempt to unblock the SUDZHA-GORNAL road by attacking near the "Kolosok" camp with up to a company-sized assault group was completely destroyed, with the area remaining under Russian control.: 0.7
Multiple bridges near Sudzha have been destroyed:0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 2nd Knyazhy (destroyed by a FAB-3000 UMPK guided bomb).: 0.7
Bridge over the Loknya River in the hamlet of 1st Knyazhy.: 0.7
Bridge in Sudzha, near the destroyed Ukrainian convoy (corroborating previous reports).: 0.7
Bridge east of Sudzha, behind the convoy, destroyed by an FPV drone strike on explosives.: 0.7
Intense fighting in Tarasovka: 0.42
Ukrainian forces (Signum unit of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade) shot down 9 Russian reconnaissance drones overnight: 3 Orlans, 3 Zalas, and 3 Supercams.: 0.5
Two men claiming to have been evacuated from the Sudzha direction after being under "fascist occupation" for six months.: 0.5
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk.: 0.6
The 144th Center of the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) captured 9 Russian soldiers near Pokrovsk, using a drone.: 0.7
An "Inokhodets" drone was used to kill up to 50 enemy personnel.: 0.25
A fiber-optic controlled FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian soldier and ambushed an armored vehicle in the Kursk region.: 0.6
A Ukrainian Special Operations Forces (SSO) raid on a gas platform near the Golitsynskoye gas field in the Black Sea on the night of March 7-8.: 0.7
Two boats were supposedly destroyed.: 0.6
Ukraine is prioritizing domestic weapons production, including rockets, drones, and long-range weapons, despite the continued value of foreign weapons.: 0.7
Kremlin spokesman Peskov denies reports of US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.: 0.7
Damage to the roof of a building at the "Konservsushzavod" plant in Starodub, Bryansk region, Russia, after a UAV attack was confirmed.: 0.7
Alawite leaders in Syria requested protection from Israel.: 0.3
Mothers of deceased soldiers in Udmurtia are being sent to a monastery for rehabilitation.: 0.5
A drone will be sent to soldiers.: 0.4
Quad bikes are requested for soldiers.: 0.6
An image of "I love combat training" has been posted.: 0.6
Online weapons permits are now available in the Diia app.: 0.6
Ukraine refuses a ceasefire on land, as this would allow Russia to recover, and instead offers one on air and naval forces.: 0.7
Russian forces advanced 2 km on the eastern outskirts of Krasnoarmeysk, reaching Tarasovka.: 0.4
The application facilitates improved control and tracking of civilian firearms, potentially impacting military strategies for maintaining public order.: 0.32
The application poses geolocation risks if not adequately secured, which could indirectly affect military security.: 0.24
The application could be used to assess and potentially mobilize armed civilians in support of military operations.: 0.16
The application's permit ordering system enhances bureaucratic efficiency but has minimal direct impact on military operations.: 0.08
Russian forces (Rubicon battle groups) are destroying Ukrainian logistics on the Sudzha-Yunakivka road.: 0.8
Soldiers of the 9th regiment have retrieved the body of their commander, Sergey Chebnev, who died in August: 0.7
800 Russian soldiers used a gas pipeline to infiltrate Ukrainian positions near Sudzha.: 0.89
Russian forces (Sever Group) liberated the settlements of Kositsa, Malaya Loknya, and Cherkasskoye Porechnoye: 0.75
Russia claims to have destroyed more than 340 troops, two tanks, seven infantry fighting vehicles, five armoured personnel carriers, ten armoured fighting vehicles, 13 motor vehicles, three self-propelled artillery systems, eight field artillery guns, one AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery warfare station, an engineering vehicle, as well as six UAV command posts, and an ammunition depot. Two AFU servicemen surrendered.: 0.7
Since the beginning of hostilities in Kursk direction, the AFU losses amounted to more than 66,270 troops, 389 tanks, 307 infantry fighting vehicles, 269 armoured personnel carriers, 2,173 armoured fighting vehicles, 2,383 motor vehicles, 539 artillery guns, 52 MLRS launchers, including 13 of HIMARS and seven of MLRS made by the USA, 25 anti-aircraft missile launchers, one self-propelled anti-aircraft system, ten transport-loading vehicles, 120 EW stations, 16 counter-battery warfare radars, ten air defence radars, 55 units of engineering and other materiel, including 23 counterobstacle vehicles, one UR-77 mine clearing vehicle, five bridge launchers, one engineering reconnaissance vehicle as well as 14 armoured recovery vehicles, and one command post vehicle. : 0.4
UKRAINIAN SPECIAL FORCES OPERATIONS IN KHARKIV REGION: 0.67
Ukrainian forces counterattacked in Shevchenko: 0.55
Russia is attempting to destroy Ukrainian UAV control centers in the Zaporizhzhia region.: 0.55
Russian forces claim Malaya Loknya is completely under their control.: 0.98
Russian forces are targeting and destroying Ukrainian troops fleeing Sudzha.: 0.65
The US hasn't stopped providing intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.64
The US stopped providing intelligence to Ukraine.: 0.09
There is a ballistic missile threat from the East.: 0.85
The new "UAS SETH" Ukrainian drone has been released.: 0.6
"UAS SETH" is a Ukrainian drone.: 0.8
The "UAS SETH" is easy to use.: 0.7
The "UAS SETH" is fully automated.: 0.7
The "UAS SETH" is equipped with machine vision.: 0.7
The "UAS SETH" is being used in Toretsk: 0.7
Russia advanced on the territory of the Dnipropetrovsk REGION.: 0.6
A man died in a drone attack in Shebekino.: 0.8
Fighting is ongoing in Dmytrivka.: 0.8
The body of Hero of Russia Sergey Chebnev, call sign Otmel, who died in battle in the Kursk region in August, was found near the building of a women's colony in the liberated Malaya Lokna and pulled out from under the rubble: 0.9
Russian forces have targeted enemy communications in Dneproenergiya.: 0.8
The "UAS SETH" drone is operational.: 0.7
Russian artillery units destroyed a Ukrainian command post and ammunition depot.: 0.78
Russian forces are making advances towards Yuzhny, Bogdanovka, and the north of Kazachya Loknya.: 0.7
Battles are ongoing in Dmtryukov.: 0.68
Russian forces have secured Berdin.: 0.73
There is tension between the civilian population and military recruiters.: 0.44
There are 84 clashes in the region.: 0.8
The 47th OMBR did not withdraw from the Kursk region.: 0.7
The US never stopped providing intelligence to Ukraine: 0.8
The "Spartan" unit is preventing Russians from consolidating in the Pokrovsk region.: 0.7
Zelensky is in Saudi Arabia.: 0.8
A group of Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russian soldiers in the Kursk direction.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces claim strikes on Russian oil refineries in Ryazan and Samara regions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces attacked the Ryazan refinery, which manufactures fuel for jets.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces attacked the Novokuibyshevsk refinery, which supplies fuel for Russian forces in the northern direction.: 0.7
800 Russian soldiers may be in the gas pipeline: 0.3

Situation Report

Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 10, 2025, 15:00 UTC

Key Changes and Developments (14:30 UTC - 15:00 UTC)

Updated Situation Summary

Updated Recommendations