Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 10, 2025, 10:30 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (10:01 UTC - 10:30 UTC)
KURSK REGION - CONTINUED RUSSIAN CLAIMS, CONFLICTING REPORTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN/UKRAINIAN SOURCES):
Colonelcassad (10:05 UTC) shows video reporting from near Malaya Loknya, featuring HIGH NUMBERS OF DEAD UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS.
Assessment: This SUPPORTS PREVIOUS RUSSIAN CLAIMS of HEAVY UKRAINIAN LOSSES in the KURSK REGION. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION. The video's PROPAGANDA VALUE is HIGH, potentially aimed at DEMORALIZING UKRAINIAN FORCES and BOLSTERING RUSSIAN MORALE.
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (10:23 UTC) reports that Trump has said that he hasn't seen willingness for peace from Ukraine, but expects it.
Assessment: Further confirms previous reports.
Dnevnik Desantnika (10:09 UTC) reports that Russian Geran-2 drones struck a Ukrainian repair base and military equipment storage facility in Verkhnezoryanskoye and Agronom (Kharkiv Oblast). Claims destruction of a repair hangar and six tractors used for fortifications.
Assessment: This EXTENDS RUSSIAN STRIKES to KHARKIV OBLAST, potentially TARGETING UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS and REPAIR CAPABILITIES. The use of GERAN-2 DRONES (Iranian-designed Shahed-136) is CONFIRMED. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
Alexander Khinshtein (10:08 UTC) reports that an "Akhmat" drone operator requested oxygen tanks from the Kursk government, but was rejected.
* Assessment: This contradicts with previous reports of the situation.
Два майора (10:26): Adds to the reports of the oxygen tanks.
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (10:19 UTC) reports that Ukrainian forces were FORCED TO WITHDRAW from SOME POSITIONS near SUDZHA. Claims the situation is "very difficult." Acknowledges HEAVY RUSSIAN LOSSES due to UKRAINIAN FIREPOWER and DRONE USE. Reports SUCCESSFUL BLOCKING of a RUSSIAN ATTEMPT TO CUT OFF the "salient" near GUEVO, with HEAVY RUSSIAN LOSSES. Claims RUSSIAN FORCES are USING GAS PIPELINES as LOGISTICAL ROUTES, but that UKRAINIAN FORCES are TARGETING THESE AREAS.
Assessment: This CONFIRMSUKRAINIAN WITHDRAWALS in the SUDZHA AREA, but also HIGHLIGHTS UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE and RUSSIAN VULNERABILITIES. The claim of RUSSIAN FORCES USING GAS PIPELINES is SIGNIFICANT and POTENTIALLY EXPLOITABLE by UKRAINIAN FORCES. The CONFIRMATION of HEAVY RUSSIAN LOSSES is IMPORTANT, but the OVERALL SITUATION remains CRITICAL for UKRAINIAN FORCES.
DRONE WARFARE (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, BOTH SIDES):
Colonelcassad (10:28 UTC) claims a Russian Forpost drone strike on a pontoon bridge over the Psel River near Grunovka (Sumy Oblast), followed by an Inokhodets drone strike on a tank attempting to cross the damaged bridge.
Assessment: This DEMONSTRATES RUSSIAN DRONE CAPABILITIES to TARGET UKRAINIAN LOGISTICS and EQUIPMENT. The use of TWO DIFFERENT DRONE TYPES (Forpost and Inokhodets) indicates RUSSIAN DIVERSIFICATION of DRONE ASSETS. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
АРХАНГЕЛ СПЕЦНАЗА (10:06 UTC) reports that UKRAINIAN FORCES are now using FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES in the KURSK DIRECTION. Claims these drones are HARD TO DETECT.
Assessment: This is a SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT, indicating a POTENTIAL TECHNOLOGICAL ADVANTAGE for UKRAINIAN FORCES. FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES are LESS SUSCEPTIBLE TO JAMMING and DETECTION by CONVENTIONAL MEANS. This poses a SERIOUS THREAT to RUSSIAN FORCES. REQUIRES URGENT VERIFICATION AND COUNTERMEASURES.
🇺🇦Сергій Лисак / Дніпропетровська ОДА (ОВА) (10:02): Confirmed that Ukrainian air defenses shot down a reconnaissance drone.
Assessment: Reinforces previous reports.
Народная милиция ДНР (10:20): Video of a fundraising call for supplies.
POKROVSK DIRECTION (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Оперативний ЗСУ (10:21 UTC) reports that Ukrainian drone units ("Predators") are targeting Russian forces attempting to advance and consolidate near Toretsk.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED FIGHTING near TORETSK and the USE OF UKRAINIAN DRONES to DISRUPT RUSSIAN ADVANCES.
AIR DEFENSE ACTIVITY (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (10:01 UTC, 10:08 UTC) reports and then lifts an air raid alert for Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Assessment: This INDICATES A CONTINUED THREAT of AIR ATTACKS in the REGION, requiring MAINTAINED VIGILANCE.
KHARKIV FRONT (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN/RUSSIAN SOURCE):
ОТУ "Харків"🇺🇦 (10:03 UTC) reports that Russian forces launched 4 airstrikes with 8 guided bombs, used 79 kamikaze drones, and shelled Ukrainian positions 537 times. Claims 6 Russian attempts to attack near Volchansk were repelled. Reports 66 Russian personnel losses and 90 pieces of equipment destroyed/damaged.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS INTENSE FIGHTING and RUSSIAN AIR AND ARTILLERY ACTIVITY on the KHARKIV FRONT. The CLAIMED UKRAINIAN SUCCESSES in REPELLING ATTACKS and INFLICTING LOSSES require VERIFICATION.
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:00): Confirms that Ukrainian forces restored positions near Synkivka and Burlatske, and that Russian forces advanced near Ulakly.
DONETSK FRONT - DESTRUCTION OF UKRAINIAN MORTAR (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Народная милиция ДНР (10:04 UTC) shows video claiming the destruction of a Ukrainian 120mm mortar position near Dyleevka by Russian artillery (130mm M-46 gun).
Assessment: This FURTHER CONFIRMS RUSSIAN ARTILLERY ACTIVITY on the DONETSK FRONT and the TARGETING of UKRAINIAN ARTILLERY POSITIONS.
OTHER REPORTS:
ТАСС (10:05 UTC) reports that Peskov denied plans for US-Russia talks in Saudi Arabia this week.
Assessment: This CONTRADICTS PREVIOUS REPORTS of POTENTIAL NEGOTIATIONS.
ТАСС (10:07 UTC) reports that there are no deadlines for liberating the Kursk region, and that Russian forces are doing everything possible.
Assessment: This IMPLIES A PROTRACTED CONFLICT in the REGION, with NO CLEAR TIMELINE for a RUSSIAN VICTORY.
ТАСС (10:08) reports that the heating system in Moscow will be reduced.
РБК-Україна (10:05, 10:12) reported on a disruption of the social network X.
Assessment: Confirmed by other reports.
Басурин о главном (10:21): Highlights successes.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
CONFLICTING REPORTS AND INTENSE FIGHTING CONTINUE IN THE KURSK REGION. RUSSIAN SOURCES claim HIGH UKRAINIAN LOSSES, while UKRAINIAN SOURCES claim SUCCESSFUL RESISTANCE and HEAVY RUSSIAN LOSSES, but also ACKNOWLEDGE SOME WITHDRAWALS. URGENT VERIFICATION is CRITICAL. The POTENTIAL USE OF GAS PIPELINES by RUSSIAN FORCES is a MAJOR CONCERN. The reported UKRAINIAN USE of FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES is a SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT that REQUIRES IMMEDIATE ATTENTION.
HIGH PRIORITY:
CONTINUED FIGHTING on MULTIPLE FRONTS, including POKROVSK, TORETSK, KHARKIV, and DONETSK.
INTENSIFIED DRONE WARFARE, with both UKRAINIAN and RUSSIAN FORCESUTILIZING DRONES for RECONNAISSANCE, TARGETING, and DIRECT ATTACKS. The REPORTED USE of FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES by UKRAINE is a POTENTIAL GAME-CHANGER.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIR AND ARTILLERY STRIKES, including the use of GUIDED BOMBS.
AIR RAID ALERTS in ZAPORIZHZHIA OBLAST.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
CONFIRMED RUSSIAN DRONE STRIKES in KHARKIV OBLAST, TARGETING LOGISTICS.
ADDRESS THE DETERIORATING SITUATION IN THE KURSK REGION (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Maintain all previous recommendations, including URGENT DEPLOYMENT OF INTELLIGENCE ASSETS, REINFORCEMENT OF UKRAINIAN DEFENSES, DEVELOPMENT OF CONTINGENCY PLANS, and TARGETING OF ADVANCING RUSSIAN FORCES.
IMMEDIATELY INVESTIGATE and COUNTER the reported RUSSIAN USE of GAS PIPELINES as LOGISTICAL ROUTES. This could involve TARGETING PIPELINE INFRASTRUCTURE or DEPLOYING FORCES to INTERCEPT RUSSIAN TROOPS.
DEVELOP AND IMPLEMENT COUNTERMEASURES against FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES. This may involve RESEARCHING DETECTION METHODS and DEVELOPING JAMMING TECHNOLOGIES.
PRIORITIZE the SAFETY and EXTRACTION of UKRAINIAN TROOPS.
Intensify efforts to DISRUPT RUSSIAN ADVANCES and PREVENT further TERRITORIAL LOSSES.
Prioritize the DEVELOPMENT AND DEPLOYMENT of COUNTER-DRONE SYSTEMS, particularly those capable of DETECTING AND JAMMING FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES.
Increase the use of FPV drones and multirotor bombers to TARGET ENEMY FORCES AND EQUIPMENT.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR and RESPOND TORUSSIAN DRONE ACTIVITY, including STRIKES ON LOGISTICAL TARGETS.
MAINTAIN HIGH ALERT STATUS FOR AIR DEFENSES (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
Maintain all previous recommendations, including PRIORITIZING THE PROTECTION OF CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE AND MILITARY FACILITIES.
Be prepared for potential air strikes in areas where RUSSIAN AIRCRAFT ACTIVITY has been REPORTED.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FIGHTING ON MULTIPLE FRONTS (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
Maintain heightened alert status for ALL UNITS on the POKROVSK, TORETSK, KHARKIV, and DONETSK FRONTS.
Continuously monitor the situation and BE PREPARED to RESPOND RAPIDLY to CHANGING CIRCUMSTANCES.
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND DYNAMIC. The CONFLICTING REPORTS and INTENSE FIGHTING in the KURSK REGION, combined with the INTENSIFIED DRONE WARFARE and CONTINUED RUSSIAN AIR AND ARTILLERY STRIKES, create a CRITICAL SITUATION requiring IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION. The REPORTED UKRAINIAN USE of FIBER-OPTIC CONTROLLED DRONES is a SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT that MUST BE ADDRESSED.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.64
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.62
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.999
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.92
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.65
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.45
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.25
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.76
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.65
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.8
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.57
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.68
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.68
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.83
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.84
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04.
Russian forces captured Nikolaevka and Malaya Loknya: 0.59
Russian forces have liberated 3 settlements.: 0.5
Ukrainian forces are planning a breakthrough in the area of Sudzha.: 0.2
On March 3, Russian forces attacked a Ukrainian command post.: 0.3
Four people were injured in an airstrike in Konstantinovka.: 0.63
Ukrainian forces successfully ambushed and eliminated a large group of Russian saboteurs attempting to use gas pipeline infrastructure for infiltration.: 0.93
Russian forces are attempting to replicate tactics used in Avdiivka to infiltrate Ukrainian-controlled territory using underground infrastructure.: 0.85
Russian forces are experiencing morale issues and feeling abandoned by their command.: 0.5
The Ukrainian military is effectively using intelligence to anticipate and counter Russian sabotage operations.: 0.9
One person was killed and 4 were injured in the Kherson region due to Russian attacks.: 0.6
Russian forces are attacking Sudzha from multiple directions.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are attempting to hold the Yunakovka corridor from Sudzha.: 0.6
Russian forces are blocking a secondary supply route to Sudzha and advancing towards the main route.: 0.65
Ukrainian forces near Kurilovka have their supplies cut due to the Russian fire control of their supply route.: 0.6
40 people were injured in an attack in Dobropillia.: 0.7
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to attack targets.: 0.7
Guided aerial bombs (KAB) were used on Sumy and the north of Kharkiv.: 0.7
Sudzha and surrounding settlements are under intense assault by multiple Russian units, including special forces and marines.: 0.7
Ukrainian forces are experiencing significant logistical challenges, with potential encirclement looming.: 0.6
Russian air and artillery activity is high, particularly targeting Ukrainian supply routes and troop concentrations.: 0.8
Russian forces are making advances from Viktorovka and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
The Ukrainian 82nd Air Assault Brigade, previously involved in the offensive, has been withdrawn for recovery, indicating heavy losses.: 0.7
Russian forces are claiming the capture of several settlements, including Staraya Sorochina, Viktorovka, and Nikolaevka.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are facing significant challenges in the Kursk region, with reports of reduced artillery fire and potential ammunition shortages.: 0.7
There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.: 0.5
A Russian meat processing plant in Bogodukhov, Kharkov, used to supply the Ukrainian forces, was destroyed.: 0.4
A bridge in the Guev region was destroyed, further cutting off the logistics of the Ukrainian forces.: 0.58
An FPV drone destroyed a Ukrainian "Furia" drone.: 0.4
Russian forces have shifted to a large-scale offensive in the Kursk region.: 0.8
All units are involved, including the "AKHMAT" special forces, 30th motorized rifle regiment, 11th airborne assault brigade, "VETERANS" and "VOSTOK" brigades, and marine brigades.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces received the order to retreat to Sudzha, maintaining the corridor to Yunakovka.: 0.5
The goal of the Russian group is to maintain fire control on the Yunakovka-Sudzha road and block reinforcements.: 0.7
Russian troops identified ammunition depots and FPV drones of the Ukrainian forces, using drones, artillery, and FAB-500 bombs.: 0.7
The northern troop group is advancing.: 0.6
180 Ukrainian soldiers were killed in the past 24 hours in various locations in the Kursk region.: 0.4
10,000 Ukrainian soldiers are at risk of encirclement.: 0.8
Only one Ukrainian soldier surrendered in the last 24 hours.: 0.3
Pre-planned targeting of Ukrainian communication nodes in Sudzha.: 0.85
Russian forces are making advances in the Zaporozhye region: 0.44
Ballistic missile launch detected from the East.: 0.7
Rocket threat in Mykolaiv Oblast.: 0.8
Widespread drone threat across multiple regions of Ukraine, with confirmed movement in Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kyiv Oblasts.: 0.7
Reported Russian strikes in Pogrebki, Kursk Oblast, with visual evidence of fighting and casualties, potentially indicating a widening Russian offensive.: 0.85
Imminent threat of ballistic missile attacks from the east, signifying an escalation of the threat level.: 0.95
Reported partial ceasefire offer.: 0.68
UK-Ukraine consultations ahead of US-Ukraine meeting, suggesting close coordination.: 0.6
Air raid alert in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, indicating an imminent threat.: 0.88
The US is likely to resume intelligence sharing with Ukraine in the near future.: 0.85
Upcoming US-Ukraine negotiations in Saudi Arabia are expected to yield positive results.: 0.7
Trump's statement is primarily intended to signal support for Ukraine without necessarily implying immediate action.: 0.1
Canada will maintain tariffs on US goods until the US changes its trade policies.: 0.56
The new Canadian Prime Minister intends to take a firm stance against the US on trade issues.: 0.16
Trade relations between Canada and the US will remain strained in the near future.: 0.08
An alleged Ukrainian POW, Alexander Ivanovich Bryk, was abandoned, wounded, and then captured.: 0.6
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk received food, water, and medical care from Russian forces.: 0.7
Alexander Ivanovich Bryk criticizes Zelensky and the Ukrainian government for poor conditions and lack of supplies.: 0.6
A fire occurred at the Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery.: 0.7
The fire at the refinery was caused by a drone strike.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces are striking targets inside Russia: 0.5
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the southeast.: 0.78
There is a threat of airstrikes in the frontline regions.: 0.58
The enemy is conducting reconnaissance in the southeast.: 0.04
The enemy is preparing for an offensive in the southeast.: 0.04
A Ukrainian convoy of 9 cars was destroyed near Sudzha.: 0.8
Mikhail Sheverin, a resident of Kurakhovo and alleged former Ukrainian serviceman, deserted because he considers himself Russian and doesn't want to fight: 0.42
The threat of attack drones has ended.: 0.7
Enemy tactical aviation is active in the north-eastern direction.: 0.68
There is a threat of airstrikes in the north-eastern region.: 0.64
Russian propaganda messages are urging Ukrainians to join a "people's resistance".: 0.65
Guided bombs are being used on Donetsk and Kharkiv.: 0.78
Trump may be planning on undermining Zelensky.: 0.45
Ukraine has advanced near Toretsk and Pokrovsk.: 0.55
Russia is putting pressure on 6 directions of Ukraine.: 0.7
Taiwan detected 11 Chinese aircraft and 9 ships near the island.: 0.7
Ka-52 helicopters maintain operational capability in winter conditions.: 0.55
Russian forces have established sufficient logistics and maintenance support in the area of operation.: 0.54
Russian Ka-52 pilots are employing specific attack profiles and targeting strategies.: 0.47
Russian helicopters are operating in contested airspace and employing electronic warfare countermeasures.: 0.47
The video is part of a Russian propaganda effort to demonstrate military strength and operational effectiveness.: 0.47
Ukraine is attempting to persuade the US to resume intelligence and military support.: 0.78
Ukraine is offering a partial ceasefire on long-range drone/missile strikes and Black Sea operations.: 0.72
Ukraine is emphasizing President Zelensky's desire for a swift end to the war.: 0.65
The proposed ceasefire agreement includes a halt to air attacks, naval operations, and attacks on energy/civilian infrastructure.: 0.67
The agreement includes prisoner exchanges and the return of Ukrainian children.: 0.64
Trump stated that the provision of intelligence data to Ukraine has "almost been restored.": 0.93
Russian forces destroyed a Ukrainian mortar position near Konstantinovka using FPV drones.: 0.8
The destruction of the mortar position indicates ongoing counter-battery warfare.: 0.8
Russian forces continue offensive operations near Pokrovsk, reportedly destroying NATO equipment.: 0.75
The reports on destroyed NATO equipment are likely exaggerated for propaganda purposes.: 0.3
The video evidence is inconclusive and needs further verification.: 0.25
The destruction of NATO-supplied equipment, if confirmed, would be a significant tactical victory for Russia.: 0.6
Russian soldiers captured a US-supplied Humvee.: 0.72
The captured Humvee is of little strategic importance.: 0.44
The video is likely intended for propaganda purposes.: 0.48
The US will assess Ukraine's willingness to make concessions to Russia during the upcoming Saudi Arabia meeting.: 0.88
US will increase pressure on Ukraine to negotiate.: 0.44
The Russian government claims 4800 Ukrainian casualties have been inflicted in the LPR.: 0.1
Two civilians have been killed, and seven injured due to Russian attacks in the Kherson, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhzhia, and Kharkiv regions.: 0.65
Russian forces may be using North Korean soldiers.: 0.1
Russian forces used fiber-optic controlled FPV drones.: 0.66
The video aims to create a narrative of Ukrainian military success.: 0.48
The video is part of a coordinated information warfare campaign to undermine support for Ukraine.: 0.32
The video seeks to weaken international coalition unity by creating doubts about Western allies' motivations.: 0.08
Russian forces are consolidating their control in the Kursk Oblast region and preparing for a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive.: 0.83
The map is intentionally designed to overstate Russian gains and demoralize Ukrainian forces and their allies.: 0.27
: 0.1
Ukrainian forces are actively contesting control in the 'grey zone' settlements, leading to a fluid and dynamic front line.: 0.04
Russian airborne units are clearing forests and strongholds in the direction of Dmitryukov Makhnovka.: 0.5
Active assault operations near Mel: 0.1
Russia destroyed a Ukrainian MiG-29 with an air-to-air missile.: 0.67
Russian forces liberated several settlements (Kubatkin, Zazulevka, Ivashkovsky, Agronom) and the northern part of the "Kursk salient" is collapsing.: 0.88
Very heavy Ukrainian losses reported in the Kursk region fighting from March 7-10.: 0.8
Russian forces are clearing the Kolizey plant and Ivashkovsky forest.: 0.8
Russian forces claim to have "liquidated" the cauldron north of Kazachya Loknya.: 0.8
Ukrainian forces are attempting to evacuate from Sudzha, both on foot and with surviving equipment.: 0.89
Some Ukrainian units have evacuated from Sudzha towards the border, with no fighting in Sudzha itself.: 0.9
There are heavy Russian fires on Ukrainian supply routes in the Kursk region.: 0.95
Ukrainian drone strikes increased by 22% in February compared to January.: 0.69
There is an urgent need for a unified standard for drone operations across all Ukrainian units.: 0.78
Russian forces are developing rapid-response drone units and fiber-optic controlled drones.: 0.6
Russian FPV drones of the Rubikon Centre are hitting armored vehicles, manpower, and UAVs, and destroying bridges in the Kursk region.: 0.83
Ukrainian forces restored positions near Synkivka and Burlatske, and Russian forces advanced near Ulakly.: 0.57
Russian forces captured Ukrainian soldiers during the "clearing" of positions between Malaya Loknya and Nikolaevka.: 0.78
Many of the captured Ukrainian soldiers had only a week of training before being deployed.: 0.62
Ukrainian forces are working to destroy Russian forces near Novenke, Sumy region.: 0.72
Ukrainian forces lost a 120mm mortar.: 0.87
Ukrainian forces took an industrial building and captured 9 Russian forces near Pokrovsk: 0.79
Ukrainian 80th Airborne brigade members were captured in Cherkasskoe Porechnoye: 0.45
