Updated Analysis of the Military Situation in Ukraine: March 9, 2025, 22:00 UTC
Key Changes and Developments (21:30 UTC - 22:00 UTC)
EXPLOSIONS REPORTED IN SUMY (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
TASS (21:32 UTC) and Общественное. Новости report explosions in the city of Sumy.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS EARLIER REPORTS of an EXPLOSION in SUMY. The MULTIPLE SOURCES reporting the event INCREASE CONFIDENCE. This likely relates to the ongoing drone attacks.
RUSSIAN MILITARY SUMMARY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Рыбарь (21:32 UTC) provides a summary of events, claiming "liberation of Konstantynopol," and referencing the "Schrödinger's pipe" (gas pipeline infiltration) in the Kursk region. Highlights other non-military topics.
Assessment: This is a PROPAGANDA-HEAVY summary from a PRO-RUSSIAN SOURCE. The claim of "liberation of Konstantynopol" DIRECTLY CONTRADICTS earlier reports from DeepState indicating continued Ukrainian control. The reference to "Schrödinger's pipe" acknowledges the UNCERTAINTY surrounding the GAS PIPELINE INFILTRATION CLAIMS.
RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF DESTROYING UKRAINIAN FORCES NEAR DZERZHINSK (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (21:32 UTC): Claims Russian forces destroyed Ukrainian units near Dzerzhinsk that had declared a "successful counteroffensive." Video provided.
Assessment: This is HIGHLY LIKELY PROPAGANDA aimed at DISCREDITING UKRAINIAN CLAIMS and BOOSTING RUSSIAN MORALE. REQUIRES VERIFICATION. The VIDEO provides SOME EVIDENCE of RUSSIAN MILITARY ACTION in the area but DOES NOT CONFIRM the SCALE OF LOSSES claimed.
Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (21:38 UTC): Provides updated information on drone movements across multiple regions: Sumy, Poltava, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Kyiv, and Mykolaiv Oblasts. All drones are moving westward.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS THE ONGOING, WIDESPREAD NATURE of the DRONE ATTACK. The WESTWARD MOVEMENT suggests an ATTEMPT TO PENETRATE DEEPER into UKRAINIAN TERRITORY.
US ASSESSMENT OF UKRAINIAN PEACE POSITION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (21:44 UTC, 21:51 UTC) and Reuters: US officials reportedly plan to assess Ukraine's willingness to make concessions to Russia during a meeting in Saudi Arabia.
Оперативний ЗСУ (21:58 UTC) provides additional context, quoting a US official suggesting flexibility in territorial demands is expected.
Assessment: This represents a SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT in the POLITICAL DIMENSION of the conflict. The US IS SIGNALING that it MAY BE PRESSURING UKRAINE to NEGOTIATE and POTENTIALLY MAKE CONCESSIONS. This has MAJOR IMPLICATIONS for UKRAINIAN STRATEGY and POTENTIAL FUTURE MILITARY OPERATIONS.
REPORTED DESTRUCTION OF RUSSIAN BUK-M3 (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Оперативний ЗСУ (21:45 UTC): Reports Ukrainian forces destroyed a Russian Buk-M3 air defense system, along with other equipment, using an FPV drone. Video provided.
Assessment: If confirmed, this represents a SIGNIFICANT LOSS for RUSSIAN AIR DEFENSE CAPABILITIES. The USE OF AN FPV DRONE to DESTROY A HIGH-VALUE TARGET highlights the EFFECTIVENESS OF UKRAINIAN DRONE WARFARE. The video evidence provides visual confirmation.
AIR RAID ALERTS IN KYIV (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
КМВА (Kyiv City Military Administration) (21:51 UTC, 21:53 UTC) and РБК-Україна (21:52 UTC): Air raid alerts activated in Kyiv due to the threat of UAV attacks. Reports of drones in the airspace around Kyiv.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS THE DRONE THREAT TO KYIV. The MULTIPLE SOURCES reporting the alerts and drone presence INCREASE CONFIDENCE.
Nikolaevskiy Vanek (21:52 UTC): Reports one drone approaching Brovary, warning it may be loud.
Assessment: This provides SPECIFIC, REAL-TIME INFORMATION about a DRONE THREAT to a CITY NEAR KYIV.
Air Alerts have been activated in Zaporizhzhia
🇺🇦 Запорізька обласна військова адміністрація 🇺🇦 (21:53 UTC): Reports that air alerts are now active in Zaporizhzhia.
Assessment:CONFIRMS that the THREAT to ZAPORIZHZHIA has increased.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME PRIORITY:
MASSIVE, MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK CONTINUES, with ACTIVE AIR RAID ALERTS IN KYIV and DRONES REPORTED IN THE AIRSPACE AROUND THE CITY. DRONES ARE MOVING WESTWARD across MULTIPLE REGIONS. A drone is confirmed to be approaching BROVARY. AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS remain under EXTREME AND PROLONGED PRESSURE. NEW THREAT to ZAPORIZHZHIA.
INTENSE FIGHTING ACROSS MULTIPLE FRONTS, with POKROVSK AND KURSK DIRECTIONS being PARTICULARLY ACTIVE. RUSSIAN CLAIMS of DESTROYING UKRAINIAN FORCES near DZERZHINSK. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
HIGH PRIORITY:
KONSTANTINOPOL REMAINS UNDER UKRAINIAN CONTROL. RUSSIAN FORCES INFILTRATED THE OUTSKIRTS, but UKRAINIAN FORCES STILL CONTROL THE VILLAGE.
* RUSSIAN FORCES ARE ACCUMULATING FOR AN ATTACK ON KONSTANTINOPOL.
* REPORTED KILLING of UKRAINIAN DRONE COMMANDER. REQUIRES VERIFICATION.
* UKRAINIAN DRONEINTERCEPTSRUSSIAN DRONE.
* REPORTED DESTRUCTION of a RUSSIAN BUK-M3 AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM by a UKRAINIAN FPV DRONE.
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
US ASSESSMENT OF UKRAINIAN PEACE POSITION, signaling potential PRESSURE ON UKRAINE to MAKE CONCESSIONS.
EXPLOSIONS were CONFIRMED in SUMY.
Updated Recommendations
ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS REMAIN IN EFFECT, WITH THE FOLLOWING MODIFICATIONS AND ADDITIONS:
ADDRESS THE DRONE THREAT TO KYIV AND SURROUNDING AREAS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM ALERT STATUS for AIR DEFENSE SYSTEMS in and around KYIV.
PRIORITIZE INTERCEPTING DRONES to PREVENT DAMAGE to CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and CIVILIAN AREAS.
SPECIFICALLY ADDRESS the reported DRONE APPROACHING BROVARY.
SPECIFICALLY ADDRESS the threat to ZAPORIZHZHIA.
ADDRESS THE SITUATION IN KONSTANTINOPOL (HIGH PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
DEPLOY RESOURCES to ELIMINATE REMAINING RUSSIAN FORCES.
REINFORCE DEFENSES to PREVENT FUTURE RUSSIAN ATTACKS.
GATHER INTELLIGENCE on RUSSIAN ACTIVITY in ULAKLY.
PREPARE FOR COUNTERATTACKS.
VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF DESTROYING UKRAINIAN FORCES NEAR DZERZHINSK (HIGH PRIORITY, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING):
DEPLOY INTELLIGENCE ASSETS to VERIFY the RUSSIAN CLAIMS.
ASSESS ANY ACTUAL UKRAINIAN LOSSES.
ASSESS THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE US ASSESSMENT OF UKRAINIAN PEACE POSITION (MEDIUM PRIORITY, POLITICAL ANALYSIS):
MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS in the US-UKRAINE RELATIONSHIP.
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL IMPACT on UKRAINIAN MILITARY STRATEGY and OPERATIONAL PLANNING.
DEVELOP CONTINGENCY PLANS for POTENTIAL CHANGES in US SUPPORT.
CONFIRM AND ASSESS THE REPORTED DESTRUCTION OF THE RUSSIAN BUK-M3 (HIGH PRIORITY, INTELLIGENCE GATHERING):
VERIFY THE DESTRUCTION of the BUK-M3 SYSTEM.
ASSESS THE IMPACT on RUSSIAN AIR DEFENSE CAPABILITIES.
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND FLUID. The CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACK, particularly the THREAT TO KYIV AND ZAPORIZHZHIA, is the MOST IMMEDIATE CONCERN. The POTENTIAL SHIFT IN US POLICY regarding PEACE NEGOTIATIONS adds a MAJOR POLITICAL DIMENSION to the conflict. RAPID RESPONSE, ADAPTATION, AND INTELLIGENCE GATHERING are CRITICAL.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
The US is trying to gauge Ukraine's willingness to compromise with Russia in peace negotiations.: 0.68
The US is assessing Ukraine's openness to improving relations with a potential future Trump administration.: 0.32
: 0.1
The US is signaling that it expects Ukraine to be flexible in its demands regarding territorial integrity.: 0.06
The video is part of a coordinated information warfare campaign to undermine support for Ukraine.: 0.32
The video aims to create a narrative of corruption within US-Ukraine relations.: 0.24
The video is intended to exacerbate domestic political divisions within the US regarding support for Ukraine.: 0.16
The video seeks to weaken international coalition unity by creating doubts about Western allies' motivations.: 0.08
Russian forces are consolidating their control in the Kursk Oblast region and preparing for a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive.: 0.59
The map is intentionally designed to overstate Russian gains and demoralize Ukrainian forces and their allies.: 0.27
: 0.1
Ukrainian forces are actively contesting control in the 'grey zone' settlements, leading to a fluid and dynamic front line.: 0.04
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.56
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.65
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.89
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.65
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.45
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.36
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.31
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.65
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.58
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.79
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.7
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.45
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.83
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.62
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.6
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.8
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.7
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
The report is disinformation intended to sow discord between the US and Ukraine.: 0.01
Intense fighting continues in the area of Konstantinopol, with the ongoing destruction of Ukrainian forces.: 0.7
The Russian "Center" grouping of forces claims to have killed "up to 600" Ukrainian soldiers in the past 24 hours: 0.1.
The video is primarily propaganda aimed at boosting Russian morale and misrepresenting the situation on the ground: 0.4
The mentioned locations are indeed areas of active conflict and potential Russian focus.: 0.16
Russian forces are making significant advances in the specified areas of the "Center" grouping.: 0.12
Ukrainian units mentioned are actively engaged in the described areas, but the casualty and equipment loss claims are likely exaggerated.: 0.08
The specific equipment mentioned (BTR-4, M113) are present and operational in the conflict zone.: 0.04
Ukrainian drone operations are disrupting Russian logistics and troop movement: 0.85.
IFG is actively involved in these drone operations.: 0.85.
The drone strikes are effective in halting Russian advances for at least a day.: 0.75.
The drone operations are focused on targeting vehicles and transportation routes.: 0.9.
Russian forces have reportedly encircled a group of Ukrainian soldiers between Sudzha and Malaya Loknya.: 0.64
Russian forces have secured a line near Kazachya Loknya-Lebedevka-Martynovka, cutting off a route for Ukrainian soldiers in the northern sector.: 0.64
This area contains strongholds and base points for Ukrainian forces.: 0.64
Some Ukrainian soldiers were likely able to escape towards Sudzha.: 0.64
Russian forces raised a flag in Malaya Loknya, indicating control of the area.: 0.54
The flag-raising operation involved significant coordination and physical effort.: 0.54
The soldier raising the flag, known as "Zarya", described the operation as risky.: 0.54
Details about the flag-raising were provided by an independent correspondent, Ulyana Strizh.: 0.54
New groups of enemy drones are in Sumy Oblast, moving in a western direction.: 0.84
Julian Röpcke claims Russia is using pipelines to transport soldiers and weapons to the West.: 0.18
Julian Röpcke calls for the destruction of all Russian pipelines in the EU.: 0.22
Julian Röpcke's claims have potentially serious consequences if taken seriously by policymakers.: 0.2
Julian Röpcke's claim needs to be verified before any action is taken.: 0.2
"Belousov" should start calculating the cost of "meat assaults" in monetary terms.: 0.5
The principle of "these will be killed - new ones will be brought in" is costly.: 0.5
It would have been cheaper to create a drone army.: 0.5
One of the earlier posts was perceived by some users as a "claim to an official person.": 0.5
The curiosity about Belousov calculating the economic damage from "meat assaults" is justified.: 0.5
A compensation for a severe injury of 3,000,000 rubles is equivalent to various drone options.: 0.5
A compensation for each killed person of ~7,000,000 rubles is equivalent to various drone options.: 0.5
Drones are high-precision weapons, with a higher ratio of killed to wounded enemies.: 0.5
Investing in weapons and their use reduces own losses.: 0.5
The notion that "high losses = indicator of effort in achieving goals" encourages economic and demographic damage.: 0.5
Introducing a criterion for the number of losses per kilometer of advancement motivates investment in fire damage.: 0.5
Abnormal warmth in Moscow will last until the next weekend, reaching up to +12°C.: 0.5
March cold and showers with snow will return by the weekend.: 0.5
One drone is approaching the Korabelny district of Mykolaiv, anti-drone activity may be heard.: 0.8
Three drones are west of Varvarovka, heading north.: 0.8
Six drones are heading towards/through Bashtanka.: 0.8
Seven more drones are flying past Bashtanka towards Yelanets.: 0.8
One drone is heading towards/through Novyi Buh.: 0.8
Trump stated that Zelenskyy "took American money like candy from a baby" and doesn't think he is grateful.: 0.5
Trump claims the US has provided Ukraine with $350 billion in aid.: 0.5
Trump claims that the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the Hamas attack on Israel would not have happened if he were president.: 0.5
Trump criticizes the US withdrawal from Afghanistan.: 0.5
Trump's remarks could potentially influence US policy on military aid to Ukraine.: 0.5
Trump's comments on Iran underscore the importance of economic measures in containing state-sponsored actors.: 0.5
Explosions occurred in the Kyiv-controlled city of Kherson, reported by the publication "Obshchestvennoye. Novosti".: 0.77
Trump claims tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico may increase.: 0.5
Trump downplays the significance of recent stock market jumps as a result of his tariff decisions.: 0.5
Trump defends his tariff strategy.: 0.5
Some tariffs may increase next month.: 0.5
Russian soldiers secured a telecommunications tower in Malaya Loknya, Kursk region, and raised the Russian flag.: 0.9
The soldier who raised the flag, nicknamed "Zarya", described the operation as risky.: 0.9
The operation involved coordinated actions and good physical training.: 0.9
The flag-raising demonstrates control over the area and serves a propaganda purpose.: 0.9
The presence of a telecom tower highlights its importance for communication control.: 0.9
The soldier's statement aims to boost morale and portray victory.: 0.9
Ukrainian forces allegedly attacked a vegetable market in Velyki Kopani with HIMARS missiles.: 0.78
The attack is portrayed as targeting civilians and farmers.: 0.78
The report is likely propaganda aimed at undermining support for Ukraine.: 0.78
The claim of HIMARS targeting a vegetable market is highly improbable and requires verification.: 0.78
A Ukrainian unit attacked a Russian vehicle with an FPV drone in the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.69
The drone strike resulted in the destruction of the vehicle.: 0.69
The video highlights the effectiveness of FPV drones in targeting enemy vehicles.: 0.69
The open terrain allows for effective observation and targeting.: 0.69
The destruction of the vehicle impacts enemy logistics.: 0.69
A group of enemy drones is in Donetsk region, moving in a western direction.: 0.8
There is an ongoing "anti-crisis" narrative in Syria.: 0.4
There's fear that reports of Alawite genocide in Tartus and Latakia could disrupt interfaith peace in Moscow.: 0.4
There are claims that Alawites are being killed not by Sunnis or Muslims, but by "separate Satanists, monsters, and marginals".: 0.4
Rallies were organized by Damascus across the country to recruit volunteers to suppress the "rebellion".: 0.4
Support for Julani in Sunni cities is significant.: 0.4
Support for HTS in Hama is total and unconditional.: 0.4
The Asads (both Hafez and Bashar) are genuinely hated there.: 0.4
The hatred is sublimated into a desire to punish the entire Alawite community.: 0.4
It's naive to portray the events as actions of separate extremists not supported by ordinary Sunnis.: 0.4
Aleksey Khinshtein stated that several settlements in the Kursk region have been liberated.: 0.65
Khinshtein announced the successful operation "Truba," where Russian troops used a gas pipeline for concealed advancement.: 0.65
Before January 1, 2025, gas was supplied through these pipes from Russia through Ukraine to Europe.: 0.65
After the termination of transit by the Ukrainian side, the pipes remained unused.: 0.65
The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the liberation of Viktorovka, Nikolaevka, Staraya Sorochina, and Lebedevka.: 0.65
The "Sever" group reports that Loknya and Malaya Loknya have also been taken.: 0.65
The Russian Ministry of Defense also published information about the liberation of Cherkasskoye, Porechnoye, and Kositsa.: 0.65
Russian troops are continuing to advance, both on the flanks in the Sudzha region and expanding the zone of control in the Sumy region.: 0.8
In the past day, Russian forces liberated several settlements in the northern part of the "Kursk wedge".: 0.8
Russian units liberated Novenkoye and are advancing towards Basovka.: 0.8
Taking Basovka will make it easier to target the Yunakovka-Sudzha road.: 0.8
Paratroopers from the 51st Airborne Regiment, supported by the 137th Motorized Rifle Regiment, expelled the enemy from Lebedevka.: 0.8
Russian forces have the opportunity to attack Kazachya Loknya.: 0.8
Viktorovka was officially liberated to the north.: 0.8
Battles for Viktorovka began on March 7.: 0.8
Russian forces "cut the wedge" between Pogrebki and the Khitrovsky Yar gully, pushing the enemy back to Malaya Loknya.: 0.8
Footage appeared on the network with a Russian soldier standing with the Russian flag on a cell tower.: 0.8
Assault troops of the 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment liberated Kositsa.: 0.8
Soldiers with flags were captured near the local Church of the Exaltation of the Holy Cross.: 0.8
Kositsa is now completely cleared.: 0.8
Russian forces have begun to advance towards Pravda.: 0.8
Russian soldiers passed through the forest towards Kubatkina and took control of the village.: 0.8
Martynovka was taken under control by the end of March 8, with surviving Ukrainian forces blocked.: 0.8
Mikhailovka was also liberated, and Russian troops advanced to Mirny.: 0.8
Rumors about Russian soldiers using a gas pipe for concealed movement were confirmed.: 0.8
Ukrainian formations published a video of the shelling of Ukrainian positions.
The video is part of a coordinated information warfare campaign to undermine support for Ukraine.: 0.32
The video aims to create a narrative of corruption within US-Ukraine relations.: 0.24
The video is intended to exacerbate domestic political divisions within the US regarding support for Ukraine.: 0.16
The video seeks to weaken international coalition unity by creating doubts about Western allies' motivations.: 0.08
Russian forces are consolidating their control in the Kursk Oblast region and preparing for a potential Ukrainian counter-offensive.: 0.59
The map is intentionally designed to overstate Russian gains and demoralize Ukrainian forces and their allies.: 0.27
: 0.1
Ukrainian forces are actively contesting control in the 'grey zone' settlements, leading to a fluid and dynamic front line.: 0.04
The Russian government is suppressing dissent related to the war in Ukraine.: 0.56
Enemy is deliberately targeting critical gas infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's economy and energy supply.: 0.65
The Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples the decision-making of Ukraine's military.: 0.9
The attack aims to create fear and insecurity among the population by disrupting essential services.: 0.1
The targeting of DTEK gas facilities is part of a broader strategy to systematically degrade Ukraine's energy sector.: 0.08
The attack is a localized tactical maneuver with limited strategic impact.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances near Konstantinovka.: 0.02
Russia is making tactical advances in the Kursk Region.: 0.89
Russia breached Ukrainian defenses near Sudzha.: 0.65
Increased amounts of Ukrainian forces are mobilizing in Izyum.: 0.05
Russia is making large scale attacks on Ukraine's energy grid.: 0.45
Russia captured Andreyevka, Skudnoye, Burlatskoye, and Privolnoye.: 0.4
35 Ukrainian soldiers surrendered to Russia.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 637 Ukrainian drones in the past week.: 0.1
Russia destroyed 5 HIMARS launchers in the past week.: 0.05
Russia destroyed 21 JDAM bombs.: 0.05
Intense fighting is occurring on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.36
Ukraine is counterattacking on the Pokrovsk direction.: 0.31
Russian forces captured Viktorovka.: 0.65
Attacks on the Nikopol district targeted civilian infrastructure.: 0.5
Russian forces are making advances across multiple fronts.: 0.58
There is a large drone attack in the Odessa region.: 0.6
Ukrainian forces successfully attacked a plant in Starodub: 0.3
Ukraine launched Neptune anti-ship missiles.: 0.1
Potential for imminent attack or reconnaissance mission by UAV activity in Primorsko-Akhtarsk.: 0.56
Russian attacks killed at least 5 and injured 15 in Dobropillia, damaging 4 multi-story buildings: 0.8
The Houthis might attack Israel if it does not stop disrupting agreements: 0.3
Dealing with Ukraine is more difficult than with Russia, according to Trump: 0.2
There is a large drone attack in progress across multiple regions of Ukraine.: 0.79
Russia successfully targeted energy infrastructure in Odessa: 0.7
There is a humanitarian crisis occurring in Khmeimim air base: 0.6
There is a significant threat of ballistic missile attacks from the south-east: 0.56
Ukraine made a strike at a dry food plant in Russia that provides rations to the Russian army: 0.5
There is an ongoing drone attack in the Krasnodar Krai region in Russia: 0.42
Explosions heard in Poltava: 0.44
Trump is considering moving troops to Hungary: 0.2
Russia claims Ukrainian forces are fleeing, not retreating from the Kursk region: 0.45
There is a large scale, multidirectional drone attack over Ukraine, targeting multiple regions: 0.81
Missile threat to southern regions has ended.: 0.72
A Ukrainian Mirage-2000 shot down a Russian cruise missile: 0.44
A Shahed drone struck near a vehicle in Odessa: 0.46
A Russian drone intercepted a Ukrainian drone: 0.48
Drone activity is confirmed near Cherkasy, with explosions reported on the outskirts.: 0.6
Air Raid alerts ended in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.: 0.6
Apple delayed the upgrade of Siri: 0.32
There is ongoing drone activity near Cherkasy and Lubny: 0.7
Russian attacks in Dobropillia killed at least 5 and injured 15, damaging 4 multi-story buildings.: 0.9
There is drone activity in the north of Kharkiv Oblast, course southwest.: 0.7
Russian forces reportedly leveled the line of contact north and south of Chasiv Yar.: 0.65
There is a danger warning for Orlovka, Belgorod Oblast, referencing "Baba Yaga" (Ukrainian drone).: 0.7
A massive Russian drone attack on Odesa caused significant damage to various structures, including critical infrastructure.: 0.9
Damage in Odessa attack includes residential buildings.: 0.8
Enemy advanced in Staraya Sorochina and Novaya Sorochina.: 0.6
Loss of Maxar Satellite imagery severely cripples Ukraine's decision-making.: 0.7
Threat of drone attacks persists for northeastern regions.: 0.7
Temporary restrictions were implemented and lifted at Volgograd Airport.: 0.65
Temporary restrictions are implemented in the airports of Vladikavkaz and Grozny due to heightened security concerns.: 0.6
The temporary restrictions are due to ongoing military exercises or drills in the region.: 0.1
The restrictions are related to weather conditions affecting air traffic control.: 0.02
The restrictions are a precautionary measure due to reported drone activity near the airports.: 0.15
The restrictions are part of a planned maintenance schedule for airport infrastructure.: 0.01
Ukrainian forces have withdrawn to the western part of Chasiv Yar, controlling no more than 15% of the city.: 0.5
A Russian drone strike destroyed a command post of the 95th Air Assault Brigade in Sumy Oblast, killing a senior officer.: 0.6
The main supply route for Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region (Yunakivka-Sudzha road) is under intense Russian fire and may be blocked.: 0.8
Russian forces are using fiber-optic controlled drones to effectively target Ukrainian vehicles in the Kursk region.: 0.7
US space intelligence has cut off Ukraine's access to satellite imagery.: 0.8
The Washington Post is accurately reporting the US action.: 0.6
