Archived operational intelligence briefing
CONTINUED WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
Nikolaevskiy Vanek (20:04 UTC, 20:15 UTC): Provides detailed updates on numerous drone groups across multiple regions:
Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (20:08 UTC): Official update on drone movements:
Assessment: This CONFIRMS a MASSIVE, MULTI-DIRECTIONAL DRONE ATTACK is UNDERWAY, targeting MULTIPLE REGIONS of UKRAINE. The sheer NUMBER OF DRONES and DIVERSITY OF APPROACH VECTORS is EXTREMELY CONCERNING. This represents a SIGNIFICANT STRAIN on UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES and a MAJOR THREAT to CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE and POPULATION CENTERS.
RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN KURSK OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED/REPORTED, MULTIPLE SOURCES):
UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACKS IN SUMY OBLAST * Voenkor Kotenok (19:35 UTC): Reports Ukrainian counterattacks against the 83rd Brigade on the Basivka-Belovody line and against the 810th Brigade and Anvar unit in the Kholodnyi Yar-Dubrava area. * Assessment: INDICATES UKRAINIAN RESISTANCE, but without further confirmation, the SCALE AND EFFECTIVENESS of these counterattacks are UNCLEAR.
RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE ACTIONS IN MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (20:09 UTC): Detailed report on Russian attacks across multiple fronts:
Assessment: This report CONFIRMS INTENSE FIGHTING across MULTIPLE FRONTS, with the POKROVSK and KURSK DIRECTIONS being PARTICULARLY ACTIVE. The HIGH NUMBER OF REPORTED ATTACKS and CASUALTY CLAIMS (if accurate) indicate a MAJOR RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE EFFORT. The UKRAINIAN REPORT should be TREATED WITH SOME CAUTION, as it is likely to PRESENT THE SITUATION IN A FAVORABLE LIGHT. However, it provides VALUABLE INSIGHT into the SCALE AND SCOPE of the RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE.
EXPLOSIONS REPORTED NEAR RYAZAN OIL REFINERY (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
VLADIKAVKAZ AIRPORT CLOSED, UAV ATTACK DANGER (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
UAVS SHOT DOWN IN RYAZAN (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
"SHAHED" DRONES IN NORTH OF KHMELNYTSKYI OBLAST
DRONE THREAT IN CHERNIHIV OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
DRONE THREAT IN KYIV OBLAST (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
NO BREAKTHROUGH BETWEEN NOVENKOYE AND ZHURAVKA
CASUALTY REPORTS
GUIDED AERIAL BOMBS USED (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
REPORTED SETTLEMENT CAPTURES (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED):
TELEGRAM BLOCKED IN CHECHNYA AND DAGESTAN (MEDIUM PRIORITY):
POTENTIAL UKRAINIAN COUNTERATTACK * There's potential for a Ukrainian counterattack from Sumy Oblast to relieve encircled forces.
INCIDENT IN ST PETERSBURG
EXTREME PRIORITY:
HIGH PRIORITY:
MEDIUM PRIORITY:
TELEGRAM BLOCKED in CHECHNYA and DAGESTAN.
MAINTAIN AND INTENSIFY AIR DEFENSE EFFORTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONTINUOUS ACTION):
RESPOND TO RUSSIAN ADVANCES IN KURSK OBLAST (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
ASSESS AND RESPOND TO FIGHTING ON OTHER FRONTS (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
INVESTIGATE REPORTED EXPLOSIONS NEAR RYAZAN OIL REFINERY (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
MONITOR SITUATION IN RYAZAN AND VORONEZH OBLASTS
CONTINUE TO SEEK DIPLOMATIC SOLUTIONS AND REQUEST INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT
The situation has DETERIORATED SIGNIFICANTLY, with a MASSIVE DRONE ATTACK underway and RUSSIAN FORCES MAKING GAINS in the KURSK REGION. IMMEDIATE AND DECISIVE ACTION is required to DEFEND AGAINST MULTIPLE THREATS and PREVENT FURTHER LOSSES.
Updated Dempster-Shafer Combined Beliefs:
We only use optional analytics cookies if you allow them. Necessary cookies stay on for sign-in and site security.
Learn more in our Privacy Policy.