Дневник Десантника🇷🇺 (11:05 UTC): A video message shows a soldier, identifying himself as part of the VDV in the Zaporizhzhia direction, requesting donations to purchase batteries for "Azart" radios. They are seeking 125,000 rubles and have 60,648 remaining to collect.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS a RUSSIAN MILITARY PRESENCE in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION. The request for radio batteries SUGGESTS RELIANCE on TACTICAL COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS. The reliance on TELEGRAM CHANNEL DONATIONS could indicate LOGISTICAL WEAKNESSES or GAPS IN SUPPLY CHAINS within the Russian military.
Anticipation of New Wave of Ukrainian Refugees in Germany (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, GERMAN SOURCE):
Два майора (11:04 UTC) and ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (10:51 UTC): Citing Die WELT, reports that Germany is expecting a new wave of Ukrainian refugees due to the cessation of US aid.
Assessment: This REINFORCES the EXPECTATION of INCREASED HUMANITARIAN CHALLENGES due to the SUSPENSION OF US AID. It highlights the BROADER IMPACT of the conflict on EUROPEAN NATIONS.
European Parliament Members to Propose Action Plan (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
STERNENKO (11:06 UTC) and РБК-Україна (11:08 UTC): Report that MEPs from the Volt party will send EU leaders a nine-point action plan ahead of an emergency summit. Proposals include stripping Hungary of its voting rights, creating a joint European army, and appointing Kaja Kallas as EU foreign minister.
Colonelcassad (11:08 UTC): reports on this.
Assessment: This INDICATES EFFORTS within the EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT to ADDRESS THE CHALLENGES posed by the CONFLICT IN UKRAINE and INTERNAL EU DISAGREEMENTS. The LOW PROBABILITY OF SUCCESS is NOTED.
ТАСС (11:06 UTC): The Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) reported revoking Russian citizenship for almost 1,500 people for violations.
Assessment: This is NOT DIRECTLY RELATED to the MILITARY SITUATION IN UKRAINE, but INDICATES ONGOING EFFORTS to MAINTAIN INTERNAL ORDER and ADDRESS MIGRATION ISSUES within RUSSIA.
Ukrainian Soldiers' Testimony of Abandonment (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Два майора (11:08 UTC): A video shows two Ukrainian soldiers in a trench, smoking, with one claiming abandonment by their command and lack of supplies. The interviewer encourages them to urge others to surrender.
Assessment: This SUGGESTS POTENTIAL MORALE ISSUES and COMMAND & CONTROL PROBLEMS within the UKRAINIAN MILITARY. It could also be a RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA EFFORT.
Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition (11:09 UTC): Reports that a video released by the Ukrainians to "appease Trump" shows an F-16AM equipped with US-supplied AIM-9X Sidewinder air-to-air missiles. Claims these are the only US-supplied weapons that have not yet been "burned" in the conflict zone.
Assessment: No evidence that they have destroyed a US-Supplied F-16 is presented.
Russian Claims of Air Strikes, Reports on AFU Losses (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:12 UTC): Reports air strikes in the Sumy region.
Colonelcassad (11:28 UTC) Reports on attacks that took place on March 4, 2025.
ТАСС (11:12, 11:13 UTC): Claims AFU losses of over 215 troops, a tank, and four armored vehicles in the Kursk direction, with total losses exceeding 65,000.
Assessment: These reports INDICATE CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS and CLAIMS OF SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSSES across MULTIPLE FRONTS. INDEPENDENT VERIFICATION is CRITICAL.
Олег Синєгубов, голова Харківської ОДА (11:25 UTC): Reports that a drone has struck the Osnovian district.
РБК-Україна (11:13, 11:17 UTC, 11:53 UTC) and Оперативний ЗСУ (11:37 UTC): Report an explosion in Kharkiv, with Mayor Terekhov stating it was a "Molniya" drone strike in the central part of the city.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS A DRONE STRIKE on KHARKIV, a MAJOR CITY. The use of a "MOLNIYA" drone, if confirmed, is SIGNIFICANT.
Ukrainian Air Defenses (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
Повітряні Сили ЗС України / Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (11:16 UTC): Show footage of fighting.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSE SUCCESSES
Houthi Claim of Downing US Drone (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, HOUTHI SOURCE):
ЦАПЛІЄНКО_UKRAINE FIGHTS (11:13 UTC): Reports that Yemeni Houthis claim to have shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone with an Iranian "drone-missile."
Assessment: While NOT DIRECTLY RELATED to the CONFLICT IN UKRAINE, this HIGHLIGHTS THE CAPABILITIES of IRANIAN-SUPPLIED WEAPONRY and the THREATS TO US ASSETS in the MIDDLE EAST.
Reported High Desertion Rates in Russian Military (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, HACKER SOURCE):
МОБИЛИЗАЦИЯ I Новости I Срочники (11:16 UTC): Claims that over 50,000 Russian servicemen deserted or left their units last year, citing "official Defense Ministry data" obtained by hackers.
Assessment: This SUGGESTS POTENTIAL MORALE AND DISCIPLINE ISSUES within the RUSSIAN MILITARY. The RELIABILITY OF THE SOURCE should be CAUTIOUSLY ASSESSED.
Putin's Speech at MVD Meeting (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (11:12 UTC) and ТАСС (11:16, 11:22, 11:29 UTC): Report on Putin's speech, emphasizing internal security, migration policy, combating crime, and passportization of residents in occupied territories.
Рыбарь (11:29 UTC): Reports on this.
Assessment: This REINFORCES RUSSIA'S FOCUS on INTERNAL STABILITY and CONSOLIDATING CONTROL over OCCUPIED TERRITORIES.
Other Reports:
ASTRA (11:10 UTC) Reports that a man lost a court case.
ASTRA (11:22 UTC) Reports on their online shop.
Janus Putkonen (11:24 UTC) shows a photo and suggests that mainstream media is biased.
Народная милиция ДНР (11:12 UTC) Shows photos, and posts a request for donations.
Полиция Хабаровского края (11:21 UTC) Reports on actions against economic crime.
ТАСС (11:17, 11:19, 11:26 UTC) Reports on cases of fraud.
Updated Situation Summary
RUSSIAN FORCES REQUESTING SUPPORT, POTENTIAL LOGISTICAL ISSUES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED): VDV unit in Zaporizhzhia seeking donations for radio batteries, suggesting possible supply chain problems.
EXPECTED INCREASE IN UKRAINIAN REFUGEES IN GERMANY (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED): Linked to the suspension of US aid.
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT INITIATIVES (LOW PRIORITY, REPORTED): Volt party proposing measures to address the Ukraine conflict and internal EU issues.
RUSSIAN INTERNAL SECURITY MEASURES (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): MVD reporting citizenship revocations and focusing on internal order.
UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS' CLAIMS OF ABANDONMENT (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, NEEDS VERIFICATION): Potentially indicating morale and command issues.
RUSSIAN CLAIMS ABOUT US-SUPPLIED F-16 WEAPONS (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, NEEDS VERIFICATION): F-16 armed with AIM-9X Sidewinder air-to-air missiles.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS AND CLAIMS OF AFU LOSSES (HIGH PRIORITY, REPORTED, NEEDS VERIFICATION): Across multiple fronts, including Kursk.
DRONE STRIKE ON KHARKIV (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): "Molniya" drone strike reported in the central part of the city.
UKRAINIAN AIR DEFENSES (MEDIUM PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): Ukrainian Air Force operations.
HOUTHI CLAIM OF DOWNING US DRONE (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED): Highlighting Iranian-supplied weaponry capabilities.
REPORTED HIGH DESERTION RATES IN RUSSIAN MILITARY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, REPORTED, NEEDS VERIFICATION): Potentially indicating morale and discipline issues.
PUTIN'S SPEECH EMPHASIZES INTERNAL SECURITY AND CONTROL (LOW PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): Focusing on migration, crime, and passportization in occupied territories.
TRUMP'S STATEMENTS CONFIRM READINESS FOR NEGOTIATIONS AND RESOURCE DEAL, POTENTIALLY UNDER DURESS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED):NO CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS UPDATE.
CONTINUED RUSSIAN STRIKES ON UKRAINIAN INFRASTRUCTURE (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED):REINFORCED BY NEW REPORTS FROM KHARKIV.
WIDESPREAD AND EVOLVING DRONE THREAT CONTINUES (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED):REINFORCED BY NEW REPORTS FROM KHARKIV.
ALL PREVIOUS KEY DEVELOPMENTS REMAIN RELEVANT (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
Gather intelligence to CONFIRM the REPORTED RELIANCE on DONATIONS for ESSENTIAL EQUIPMENT like RADIO BATTERIES.
Assess the extent of POTENTIAL LOGISTICAL WEAKNESSES within RUSSIAN FORCES in the ZAPORIZHZHIA REGION.
Exploit any identified vulnerabilities in RUSSIAN SUPPLY CHAINS.
INVESTIGATE CLAIMS OF UKRAINIAN SOLDIER ABANDONMENT (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Gather intelligence to VERIFY the CLAIMS of ABANDONMENT and LACK OF SUPPLIES reported by UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS.
Assess the impact on MORALE and COMBAT EFFECTIVENESS within UKRAINIAN UNITS.
Address any identified issues with COMMAND & CONTROL or LOGISTICS.
VERIFY RUSSIAN CLAIMS OF AFU LOSSES AND ADVANCES (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Continue to prioritize verification of RUSSIAN CLAIMS across ALL FRONTS.
Focus on independent sources to CORROBORATE or REFUTE these claims.
RESPOND TO KHARKIV DRONE STRIKE (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Assess the damage caused by the "MOLNIYA" drone strike in KHARKIV.
Provide assistance to AFFECTED CIVILIANS.
Investigate the origin and capabilities of the "MOLNIYA" drone.
Enhance air defenses in KHARKIV and other MAJOR CITIES to COUNTER this SPECIFIC THREAT.
INVESTIGATE REPORTED HIGH DESERTION RATES IN RUSSIAN MILITARY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Gather intelligence to VERIFY the CLAIMS of HIGH DESERTION RATES within the RUSSIAN MILITARY.
Assess the impact on RUSSIAN COMBAT EFFECTIVENESS.
Exploit any identified weaknesses in RUSSIAN MORALE and DISCIPLINE.
MONITOR HOUTHI CLAIMS AND IRANIAN-SUPPLIED WEAPONRY (MEDIUM PRIORITY, ONGOING ACTION):
Continue to monitor the situation in the MIDDLE EAST and ASSESS THE THREAT posed by IRANIAN-SUPPLIED WEAPONRY.
Share relevant intelligence with ALLIES.
MAINTAIN ALL OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES): All other recommendations from previous reports remain in effect, with priorities adjusted as indicated.
The situation remains CRITICAL AND DYNAMIC. The CONFIRMED DRONE STRIKE ON KHARKIV is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT requiring IMMEDIATE ATTENTION. CONTINUED RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE OPERATIONS and CLAIMS OF SIGNIFICANT UKRAINIAN LOSSES are CONCERNING. VERIFYING INFORMATION and ADDRESSING POTENTIAL VULNERABILITIES on BOTH SIDES are ESSENTIAL. The SUSPENSION OF US MILITARY AID continues to POSE A MAJOR CHALLENGE to UKRAINE.
