Оперативний ЗСУ (21:45 UTC) claims, citing Russian media, that a meeting between Russian and US officials is scheduled for Tuesday in Riyadh.
Assessment: This requires CAREFUL VERIFICATION. While a meeting is PLAUSIBLE, the source (claiming to be citing Russian media) and the specific timing should be treated with SKEPTICISM. This could be an attempt to sow discord or influence perceptions of US-Russia relations. This is a POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT, but UNCONFIRMED.
18 drones from Poltava Oblast heading towards Cherkasy Oblast.
2 drones north of Poltava, heading west.
2 drones south and southwest of Kharkiv.
2 drones near Okhtyrka.
12 drones from Chernihiv Oblast heading towards Kyiv Oblast.
2 drones passed Shostka towards Chernihiv Oblast.
Assessment: This CONFIRMS CONTINUED, WIDESPREAD DRONE ACTIVITY, with a MAJOR CONCENTRATION now moving towards CHERKASY OBLAST and KYIV OBLAST. The clearing of Odesa Oblast is a POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT, but the overall threat remains EXTREME. This requires IMMEDIATE ADJUSTMENTS to air defense deployments.
TRUMP ON PUTIN AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION (REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Операция Z: Военкоры Русской Весны (21:53 UTC) shows video of Trump stating that if Russia, "a powerful country that defeated Hitler and Napoleon," did not want a resolution to the conflict, it would be a problem for the US and for him personally.
Assessment: This REINFORCES Trump's previous statements about Putin wanting peace, but adds a SUBTLE THREAT of consequences if Russia does NOT negotiate. This is CONSISTENT with Trump's negotiating style. This REQUIRES CAREFUL MONITORING for its potential impact on US policy.
TRUMP-PUTIN MEETING (REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
Colonelcassad (21:57 UTC) claims Trump announced a meeting with Putin "very soon" in Saudi Arabia, with direct US-Russia talks to be held in Riyadh on February 18th. Claims the EU and Ukraine will be informed after the fact. Also mentions elections in Germany soon.
Assessment: This DIRECTLY CONTRADICTS Zelenskyy's statement (see below) that NO DATE HAS BEEN SET for a meeting with Trump. This is likely RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA aimed at portraying the US as bypassing Ukraine and negotiating directly with Russia. The claim of informing the EU and Ukraine "after the fact" is DESIGNED TO INCREASE TENSIONS and portray the US as unreliable. This REQUIRES EXTREME CAUTION and VERIFICATION.
AVDIIVKA VIDEO (REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
TACC (21:57) shows a video with a soldier describing the battle of Avdiivka.
Assessment: Standard Russian propaganda.
UKRAINIAN UAV UNIT RANKINGS (REPORTED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
БУТУСОВ ПЛЮС (21:57 UTC) presents several images showing rankings of Ukrainian UAV units based on various metrics (personnel affected, tanks destroyed, overall points).
Assessment: This provides VALUABLE INSIGHT into Ukrainian UAV capabilities and priorities. The rankings highlight successful units and could inform resource allocation. However, this also presents a POTENTIAL SECURITY RISK if the information is accurate and falls into Russian hands.
ZELENSKYY IN UAE, MOCKING REPORT (REPORTED, RUSSIAN SOURCE):
НгП раZVедка (21:59 UTC) publishes a mocking report claiming Zelenskyy's arrival in the UAE was unimportant and that he will be watching a Putin-Trump meeting "with binoculars."
Assessment: This is RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA aimed at DISCREDITING Zelenskyy's diplomatic efforts and REINFORCING the narrative of a US-Russia deal bypassing Ukraine.
ZELENSKYY ON TRUMP MEETING (CONFIRMED, UKRAINIAN SOURCE):
РБК-Україна (22:03 UTC) quotes Zelenskyy saying there is NO DATE SET for a meeting with Trump, and that teams are working on it. Zelenskyy suggests a meeting is likely after a US special envoy visits Ukraine.
Assessment: This is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT that DIRECTLY CONTRADICTS Russian claims of an IMMINENT Trump-Putin meeting. This indicates that NO MEETING IS IMMINENT and that Ukraine is ACTIVELY INVOLVED in discussions with the US. This REDUCES THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN about a US-Russia deal bypassing Ukraine.
Updated Situation Summary
EXTREME, ACTIVE DRONE THREAT TO MULTIPLE REGIONS, INCLUDING KYIV AND CHERKASY (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): Air raid alerts remain active across MOST OF UKRAINE. The MAJOR CONCENTRATION of drones is now moving towards CHERKASY AND KYIV OBLASTS.
RUSSIAN STRIKE ON MYKOLAIV POWER PLANT (HIGH PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): Remains a significant factor.
TRUMP-PUTIN MEETING: NO DATE SET, CONTRADICTING RUSSIAN CLAIMS (EXTREME PRIORITY, CONFIRMED): Zelenskyy's statement DIRECTLY REFUTES Russian claims of an imminent meeting. This SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCES the immediate concern of a US-Russia deal bypassing Ukraine.
UKRAINIAN UAV UNIT RANKINGS (HIGH PRIORITY, UKRAINIAN SOURCE): Provides valuable insight but also presents a potential security risk.
ALL PREVIOUS KEY DEVELOPMENTS REMAIN RELEVANT (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
Updated Recommendations
MAINTAIN MAXIMUM AIR DEFENSE READINESS, ADJUST DEPLOYMENTS (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Continue to prioritize air defense operations across ALL THREATENED REGIONS, with PARTICULAR FOCUS on KYIV and CHERKASY OBLASTS.
Adjust air defense deployments based on the updated drone movement information.
Continue to issue clear and frequent warnings to civilians.
Prepare for potential power outages.
ADDRESS RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION ABOUT TRUMP-PUTIN MEETING (EXTREME PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Publicly reiterate Zelenskyy's statement that NO DATE HAS BEEN SET for a meeting with Trump.
Emphasize Ukraine's ACTIVE INVOLVEMENT in discussions with the US.
Coordinate with US officials to COUNTER Russian claims of an imminent meeting and a deal bypassing Ukraine.
Expose the Russian propaganda efforts aimed at discrediting Zelenskyy and sowing discord.
ASSESS DAMAGE TO MYKOLAIV POWER PLANT (HIGH PRIORITY, ONGOING): Remains a priority.
ANALYZE UKRAINIAN UAV UNIT RANKINGS (HIGH PRIORITY, IMMEDIATE ACTION):
Assess the security implications of the published rankings.
Utilize the information to inform resource allocation and identify successful tactics.
Consider counterintelligence measures to prevent Russian exploitation of this information.
CONTINUE ALL PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS (ADJUSTED PRIORITIES).
The situation remains EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND FLUID. The WIDESPREAD DRONE ATTACKS are the MOST IMMEDIATE CONCERN. ZELENSKYY'S STATEMENT on the Trump meeting is a MAJOR DEVELOPMENT that REDUCES IMMEDIATE CONCERN about a US-Russia deal bypassing Ukraine, but RUSSIAN DISINFORMATION EFFORTS require AGGRESSIVE COUNTERING. The UKRAINIAN UAV UNIT RANKINGS provide valuable insight but also require careful handling to mitigate potential security risks. CONSTANT VIGILANCE, RAPID RESPONSE, EFFECTIVE COORDINATION, AND AGGRESSIVE COUNTER-DISINFORMATION EFFORTS are paramount.
